August 8, 2009 at 3Daily Winners

Everything was going according to plan until the Giants gave it faster than (Fill in your own story) _____ and lost to Cincy, giving us losing day. The Cubs are in a nasty spot for Top Trend. The Best System around is 81.5 percent and a LLC member making solid cash has Free Pick. Good Luck

What happened yesterday- Though I lost in the monitors because there was no way to avoid it, I saved myself some money. I’d bet the Cubs with Carlos Zambrano, who scratched 15 minutes before the start of the game. I always take listed pitchers, since I rather go into a game with the reasoning I had (good or bad) than hope I get lucky with other circumstances I had not thought of. Do you play Listed Pitchers or Play Action? I’d love to here.

Now on Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY ON AL home favorites like Detroit with a money line of -150 or more, with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season, in August games. Since 2005, this system is 31-7, 81.5 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) The Chicago Cubs are 3-19 as underdogs of +100 or higher, losing by 2.3 runs per game.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Alan of the Left Coast Connection is $5,240.00 since August began on personal wagering and he believes San Diego will sail by the Mets.

New StatFox Football Annual on Sale – A must for Every Sports Bettor

Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right.

Suitable for Framing Friday (I hope)

Not exactly inspiring 1-1 Thursday, but at least didn’t have losing day. The Top Trend will yield two plays from the same game, but will only count as one. The Best System is about as straightforward as they come and 62-12. Jason looks for another winner as a high volume player with Free Pick. Good Luck

What I’m learning – I’ve received a couple of emails from people regarding buying picks from the Google ads. As many of you might know, I have no control of what Goggle places on this blog other than to create matches. I’ve received one email today and saw one on a forum Killer Sports (From Google ads) is doing something fishy. When I learn more details will pass along, but like everything in life, Buyer Beware.

Now on Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Pittsburgh with a money line of +175 to +250 after allowing 10 runs or more. This system is an 83.7 percent winner at 62-12 since 2007.

Free Baseball Trend -2) I’m a little embarrassed to use this as trend because of the money line, thus I’ll give you both sides of it. Homer Bailey and Cincinnati are 0-10 when playing against a team with a winning record and Tim “Cy” Lincecum and the Giants are 15-1 vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game. (There I fell better)

Free Baseball Selection -3) Jason had the correct side yesterday raising his record to 23-9 in August and his best bet is Kansas City to oust Oakland.

New StatFox Football Annual on Sale – A must for Every Sports Bettor

Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right.

MLB Series Wagering- Twins at Tigers

For most of the season, the Minnesota Twins have been a floundering baseball club, not being good enough to run neck and neck with Detroit in the AL Central, nor bad enough to hang out with Cleveland and Kansas City. This weekend in the Motor City, they will have chance to change people’s perception of them, including their own.

The Twins (53-55, -7.8 units) have lost five of six and are undernourished 22-32 on the road, scoring 4.3 runs per game. Minnesota is in third place, 4 ½ games behind Detroit and knows the significance of turning season around quickly. “They’re all important when you’re chasing,” Minnesota manager Ron Gardenhire said. “It’s in our division and on the road. You don’t want to get too far behind or too far under .500.”

Detroit (57-50, +2.2 units) on the other hand has been a punishing home team. The Tigers are 34-17 at Comerica Park, which ties them for the fourth best home record with Tampa Bay and they are very profitable +12.4 units. Besides wanting to create distance between Central Division rivals, Detroit wants to get Armando Galarraga (5-10, 5.22 ERA) pointed in opposite direction. Galarraga has lost his last three decisions (Tigers have fallen five straight when Galarraga starts), having last won on June 30 against Oakland. "No pitcher in the history of the game can hide from the fact that you've got to throw strikes," manager Jim Leyland said in reference to his right-hander. "Every pitching coach talks about the same thing: Strike one. There's nothing new about that, but there's also a lot of truth to that.” Detroit is a -110 home favorite at DiamondSportsbook.com with total of 9.5, with Galarraga and teammates 2-12 in night games.

Minnesota will counter with Anthony Swarzak (3-4, 4.25), who was among the pitchers torn up by the Los Angeles Angels last weekend. Swarzak is a rookie and though his numbers are not overly impressive, he’s 2-0, with 2.22 ERA pitching on the road in four starts (Twins 3-1). With Minnesota off a tough 2-1 loss yesterday at Cleveland, they are 8-0 after losing by a single run versus a division rival over the last two seasons.

Game 1 Edge: Minnesota

Saturday’s contest will have the Tigers as large chalk favorites and they come into this series 28-12 as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. The main reason for being tagged with big number is because Jason Verlander (12-5, 3.29) is Detroit’s starting pitcher. Twins hitters don’t figure to have an easy time with hard throwing right-hander. Those swinging from the right side of the plate are batting only .223 against Verlander and he has 1.66 ERA this season in home games. Overall, Verlander and Detroit are 22-4 at Comerica against teams with losing records.

With Minny starting this series with 28-10 record after having lost five or six of their last seven games over the last two years, they will need Glen Perkins (6-7, 5.95) to do a 180-degree turn, after being shelled for season highs in runs (9) and hits (12) by the Halos. Perkins usually does a descent job once thru the batting order, but because he lacks an “out’ pitch, hitters are very comfortable the second or third time around. The only bright news is Perkins and the Twins are 10-4 when he hurls in Game 2’s. Totals players should be aware 10 of those 14 starts have gone OVER.

Game 2 Edge: Detroit

The scheduled Sunday afternoon pitchers are Scott Baker (9-7, 4.59) for Minnesota and Jarrod Washburn (8-7, 2.93) for Detroit. Baker was horrible to start 2009, but has emerged as Gardenhire’s ace since June. Baker is 7-1 since June 4, allowing three or less runs in 10 of his last dozen starts. Watch the money line on him since Baker and the Twinkies are 1-6 as underdogs.

Washburn was brought in to solidify Tigers staff and he suffered rocky first game wearing the “D” for a lid, giving up six runs in just over five innings against Baltimore in taking the loss. From pitching effectiveness perspective, he’s on pace to have career low ERA and could have his most wins since 2002 World Series season with the Angels (18). Left-handed batters are hitting only .184 against him, which could neutralize the M&M boys from Minnesota. Washburn is 4-2 in day games (team’s record) with 2.29 ERA and he’s on the right team with the Tigers 24-14 playing without lights.

Game 3 Edge: Detroit

Because our guest selectors have been performing so well with 4-0 record, we’ll bring in another, professional gambler named Sal to make the pick.

“It’s tempting to pick the Twins because they have won six of eight against Detroit and have winning record (11-9) at Comerica the last three years. Verlander will dominate Game 2 for Detroit. Game 1 is likely an Over with two pitchers that will be lucky to see the sixth (inning). I’ll give the Twins the nod in the opener. This brings it down to Sunday. As much as I like Baker right now, the Tigers play so well at home and the Twins stink as visitors. Washburn settles down with new club and Detroit wins the series.”

DiamondSportsbook.com series odds: Minnesota +135, Detroit -170

3DWPick: Detroit

2009 Record – 6-9

In Search of Winning Thursday

After 16 weeks of providing 60 percent or higher plays, we have hit the wall this week. As I said before, we’ll brag a little when we are doing well and face up to the fact when we are not. We’ve had five lousy days in a row and believe we have the right tonic in today’s Free Play and Top Trend. We want the Top System to be a winner; it just won’t count in our record since it is below 80 percent. Good Luck

What I thought yesterday- While Henry Aaron is one of the all-time great players; he’s on occasion voiced opinions that were questionable. He recently said all 104 players names should be released on 2003 MLB drug testing. I agree, but he’s also asked about having asterisk by their names in the record books. That is incorrect since what those players did was not against the rules of baseball. I agree it was against the integrity of the game, but it wasn’t against the rules.

Aaron has also said Pete Rose should be in the Hall of Fame. In this case Rose did break the rules and has been punished. Why would Aaron want a convicted (loose term I understand) liar allowed to receive the game’s greatest honor yet chastise others for what wasn’t illegal? This type of logic would be like every person who was pulled aside for potential drunken driving and blew 0.9 when the law was 1.0 and deciding to re-ticket them now since the new rule is 0.8. Thanks for the memories Hank, but you are wrong on these points. (Your opinions welcome)

Now on Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY OVER on teams like Oakland teams when the total is 9 to 9.5, off two straight upset wins over division rivals as a home underdog and have 38 to 46 win percentage on the on the season. This non-qualifying system is 33-10, 76.7 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Though Texas is very popular wager today; the Rangers are 1-10 in road games with double revenge against opponent this season.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Jason of the LCC had been having ordinary MLB season by his standards, but has gotten as hot as the August weather and like the Yankees on the run line.

New StatFox Football Annual on Sale – A must for Every Sports Bettor

Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right.

New York Yankees revenge-minded favorites

The New York Yankees hold down first place in the American League East, however that will be only one the things they will have on their minds as Boston comes to town for consequential four-game series. New York is 0 for 2009 against the Red Sox, having lost eight games to them and they fully realized many more losses could cost them coveted division crown.

With the Yankees having been outscored 55-31 by the BoSox this season, manager Joe Girardi framed succinctly what these games mean. “You want to get that zero, that goose egg out of there,” Girardi said. “We’re going to be asked about that goose egg as long as it’s there, so you want to get that out of the way as soon as possible.”

After playing sloppy baseball the first three games in Chicago, New York won the last contest against the White Sox and swept Toronto 2-0, including taking down Yankee-killer Roy Halladay. This has to give Girardi’s club a mental boost and they are 14-2 after six or more consecutive road games this season.

Boston (62-44, +3 units) limps into the Big Apple, after losing two to Tampa Bay, falling further behind the Bronx Bombers and letting the Rays narrow the gap for wild card to three games. The Red Sox offense has been inconsistent all season on the road, scoring 4.8 runs per game, but tending to do it bunches. This accounts for 27-27 record and they are only 18-29 playing against a team with win percentage of 54-to-62 percent in the second half of the season since last year.

Boston will be at another disadvantage, as pickup John Smoltz (2-4, 7.12 ERA) has been totally ineffective. In his last three starts, Smoltz has ERA of 9.18 and has been tagged for six home runs, not exactly recipe for success at long ball-friendly Yankee Stadium. Though the former Atlanta hurler didn’t walk a batter, he is 1-8 after allowing no free passes over the last two seasons. (Team's Record)

The Yanks Joba Chamberlain (7-2, 3.58 ERA) by contrast has been amazingly effective. He’s come up with several big performances when New York has needed them and in last three starts, he has 0.83 ERA over 21 innings, surrendering just eight hits, posting three wins. Chamberlain and his pin-striped teammates are 14-3 in his last 17 starts in the Bronx.

Sports bettors are pounding the money line at Bookmaker.com on New York, now up to -200 after opening at -170, with the total relatively stable at Un10. The Red Sox should have confidence based on this year’s results and are 22-7 vs. AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs a game on the season. New York returns home feeling much the same way on three game winning streak. The Yankees are 20-6 off a victory and have won 27 of last 37 encounters. They have had their way with right-hand starters with sensational 17-4 record.

First pitch is set for 7:05 Eastern and though public perception is these rivals always play high-scoring games, they are 9-9 against the total playing in New York.

Time to climb over the hump on Wednesday

It was a bad day at Bedrock (rare Flintstone’s reference) with 0-3 record. I really sense a tumultuous period, with lots of surprising underdogs winning. If you are not having good season, it might be time to bail and get ready for football or be very careful like yours truly over the next several days. The Best System is 90.9 percent and has complete article about it is written for today. The Top Trend features a Brewers pitcher and Randy of the LCC hopes to keep winning with Free play. Good Luck

What I learned yesterday - Ichiro Suzuki went 2-for-5 in the Mariners' 7-6 win at Kansas City. It was the 600th multiple-hit game of Ichiro's nine-year major-league career. That's by far the most multi-hit games over a nine-year span during the live-ball era. The second-highest total during that time is 581 by Rogers Hornsby (1920-1928 and 1921-1929). Thanks Elias

Now on Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System-1) See Reds article below.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Brandon Looper of Milwaukee is 1-11 when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last two seasons. (Team's Record)

Free Baseball Selection -3) Randy of the LCC pops up on 7-2 baseball run and likes the Rangers on the money line.

New StatFox Football Annual on Sale – A must for Every Sports Bettor

Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right.

Reds up against nasty 90+ percent system

The Cincinnati Reds have fallen into the abyss and they are engaged in a battle they really can’t win at the moment. Cincinnati (45-61, -14.8 units) started to go south just before the All-Star break, losing six of eight. Things have gotten even worse for the Reds, as they have gone off the deep end, right into the nearby Ohio River since, with eight straight losses and posting one win in last 15 contests.

The offense in particular is to blame, having nine hits as the high water mark in last 11 games. The Cincinnati bats have generated an atrocious 3.1 runs per game during stretch and they have lacked pitching support as bailout backup plan, since they have been outscored by almost three runs per game (2.93) during this horrendous period.

It doesn’t figure to get any easier tonight against their division rival Chicago Cubs (57-48, -0.4 units). The Cubs are a National League-best 14-5 (+8.85) since the All-Star game and are mere percentage points ahead of St. Louis for the lead in the NL Central. With two victories already in hand in the series, the Cubs have won six in a row over the Reds this season.

Chicago will go for the sweep behind Rich Harden (7-6, 4.50 ERA), who has worked out mechanical issues. Harden was having difficulties with his stride, causing him to throw everything up in the strike zone. Since making correction, Harden has 1.50 ERA in his last four starts and picked up two wins. The right-hander has been sterling on the road all year with 4-1 record and 2.19 ERA in eight assignments.

With Cincinnati scoring a measly 2.6 runs per game in this eight-game losing streak, they are +165 home underdogs according to DiamondSportsbook.com and run up against this puissant system.

Play Against all underdogs with a money line of +150 or more, who is cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last three games, against opponent with a sizzling starting pitcher, with WHIP 1.000 or less over his last five starts.

With the Reds 4-15 at Great American Ballpark after five straight games with less than 10 hits, it is even more difficult to combat a system that is 40-4, 90.9 percent since 2005. The Cubs are bashing bad baseball teams like the Reds and are 9-0 vs. clubs outscored by opposition by 0.5 or more runs a game in the second half of the season.

Take a close look at playing against Cincy the results are in your favor to be satisfied.

Tuesday's Top Plays and lesson learned

Never would have guessed the Dodgers to lose last night, but it happens. In case you haven’t noticed, the MLB lines are razor sharp and dogs have been coming in with great frequency since August has started. Today’s only qualifying System play is 80.9 percent. Kendall reappears here for Top Free Play and a team from the Cement Jungle is involved in Top Trend. Good Luck

What I learned yesterday (again) – Why wagering everyday is so difficult is the moods we are in. Even the most successful of sports bettors have off days, sometimes due to lack of discipline. Though I only 0-1 yesterday, playing Pittsburgh was stupid and here’s why. On Friday when the series started, I remember telling myself (I work at home, I’m so alone I have to talk to somebody that will listen) to be smart and don’t follow bad teams playing each other because every game can literally go either way. So what do I do yesterday, play the Bucs against the Nats. I’m still having great season, however dunce cap for that play.

Now on Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY ON AL home favorites with a money line of -150 or more with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season, in August games. The Tigers fit a system this is 76-18, since 1997.

Free Baseball Trend -2) The New York Mets are 15-1 against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw six or more innings, winning by almost four runs per games. (Granted with much better line-up)

Free Baseball Selection -3) Kendall must be getting ready for football, he’s smokin’ in MLB action with 9-2 run and views Florida flushing Washington.

New StatFox Football Annual on Sale – A must for Every Sports Bettor

Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right.

These Angels make Heavenly Profits

The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim quietly moved ahead of more well-known teams like Boston and the New York Yankees, to be the best team in the American League with 63-40 record and would be ahead for the best overall record with their city brethren, the Dodgers, if they had played two more games and won both. The Angels may not have made a lot of noise in climbing to be the best team in the AL, but they have excruciatingly loud with how they swing the bat.

The Angels lead the Major Leagues in hitting with a .290 average. With the high batting average, they are also the No.1 scoring offense at 5.7 runs per game, helped dramatically by hitting .308 with runners in scoring position. Just how good is the Los Angeles offense, start considering these numbers.

Manager Mike Scioscia’s team plays its own version of merry-go-round, with 94 more total hits than the average AL team to this point of the season. The Halos are second in baseball in all important on-base percentage to the Yankees and are third in slugging percentage, despite hitting 40 less home runs than the Bronx Bombers (154 homers) and 45 less than second place Texas (159 homers).

To understand just how good Los Angeles has been playing, consider on June 12, they were 29-29 on the season. Since then, L.A. is 34-11, having picked up +21.65 units of profit in just over seven weeks. Over what is a quarter of the season during this stretch, the Angels are AVERAGING over seven runs per game. That includes not having two of their biggest sluggers, Torii Hunter and Vladimir Guerrero in the lineup since before the All-Star break when they swept the Yankees at the Big A.

Just this part weekend, L.A. traveled to Minnesota, who was just off a sweep of the Chicago White Sox and feeling pretty spry. All the Angels did was outscore the Twins 35-15, collecting at least 15 hits in each game, becoming just the second American League team since the 1938 Red Sox (Sept. 4-5) to score more than ten runs with at least 15 base hits in each of three straight games. The Cleveland Indians did so in the interim with 15-4, 13-5 and 17-9 victories over the Brewers at County Stadium (Sept. 4-6 1986) according to Elias Sports Bureau.

The Angels remarkable offense plays in the Windy City starting Tuesday against the White Sox. The domination of this newer Big Red Machine shows up in several other key areas. A test of a team’s strength is how they preside over other opponents. Scioscia’s squad leads the major’s in running from first to third and this dizzying pace has them at 27-12 in games decided by four or more runs. They are 14-7 (+14.6) as underdogs and one game behind Philadelphia for the best road record (31-20) in baseball, having won 15 of last 18 as visitors.

Are the Angels than true World Series contenders? Probably not, unless the offense can continue at near the same pace, this is unlikely to occur in the postseason. The Los Angeles pitching staff does not strike fear into opposing hitters with ERA of almost five. John Lackey’s pitching has improved as the season has won on, but he is no longer the hard thrower he was when the Halos won the World Series in 2002. Jered Weaver has started to pitch like a No. 4 starter again, after throwing like an ace early in the season. Joe Saunders is hitting a lot of bats and Ervin Santana is a shell of former self since coming back from injury.

The bullpen has gotten better after carrying ERA of 5.5 or worse into June, but could hardly be described as reliable. The Angels front office acted like a salesperson working without leads in this recession and did nothing to help out current team, despite many working parts in the minor leagues.

That is something to concern with later; right now the Angels are stuffing bankrolls. Parlay wagers on them with the OVER mean serious return on investment, with Los Angeles 61-37-5 OVER (No.1). Totals players can’t believe their great fortune with L.A. on 13-0 OVER run. Since July 1, the Angels and OVER has won on parlays 18 times.

It’s not always fun to follow the crowd and do what everyone else is doing, nevertheless, when money is ripe to be taken, playing these Angels and the total is heavenly.

Looking to start the week right

We’ve been a little ordinary lately with our plays, time to pick up the pace. We’ll start with 40-3 System, which is awfully good. The Top Trends checks in how the O’s might do in Motown. I’ll dole out another Free Play chasing success. Good Luck

What I learned yesterday – Melky Cabrera's ninth-inning triple completed the first cycle by a Yankee since Tony Fernandez in 1995. The only American League team with a longer current cycle drought than the one the Yankees just ended is Kansas City. No player has cycled for the Royals since George Brett in 1990. Cabrera's cycle was the fifth in the major leagues this season and the fourth that was completed with the toughest of the four elements, a triple. Michael Cuddyer, Ian Kinsler and Orlando Hudson each finished a 2009 cycle with a three-base hit; Jason Kubel capped his with a home run.

Now on Twitter at:www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Milwaukee, with a money line of +150 or more, who are batting chilly .200 or worse over their last three games, against opponent with starting pitcher who has WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last five starts. Give me a high five if you like 40-3 record, 93 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) The Baltimore Orioles are 2-15 in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 or better this season, losing by 3.3 runs per game.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Nailed my play here and like Pittsburgh to keep it going for me.

New StatFox Football Annual on Sale – A must for Every Sports Bettor

Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right.

Why can’t San Fransisco win on the road?

You’ll have to forgive the San Francisco if they are feeling a little giddy at the moment. This team came into the 2009 season looking to rid itself of an overbearing shadow (Barry Bonds) and build a new foundation based on pitching and fielding with younger players. Everything has essentially gone according to plan except for one element, the Giants are tied for the wild card lead after winning three of four at home against the World Series champion Philadelphia Phillies, who have the best road in baseball.

San Francisco has the best home record in the game at 37-16 (+20.4 units). Unless the Giants are going win there remaining 28 games at AT&T Park, they are going to have to pick up the pace on the road.

The Giants travel to Houston (52-53, +1.3 units) for a three game set and they are 21-31 (-6.8 units) wearing the road uniforms. Most team’s offense will sag on the road, which is particularly dangerous for manager Bruce Bochy’s club, since they only score 3.9 runs per game to start. As visitors, the Giants are last in the National League (29th in baseball) in runs scored at 3.4 per game.

Brian Sabean is the San Francisco general manager, who tried to milk the Bond’s era for every late drop and not enough every day ball players have come up through the Giants system that are productive. The farm system hasn’t been completely barren, with hitting-machine Pablo Sandoval and Nate Schierholtz having very good breakout seasons.

Though AT&T Park is believed to be pitcher’s park, it’s the Giants pitchers and extensive center field area that lends itself to that belief. Balls hit straight away to right or left field and towards the lines, travel the same as anywhere else. If anything, San Francisco should score more runs, not less on the road.

The conundrum is more varied and is brought out in other numbers. Giants’ hitters are next to last in the Major Leagues in extra base hits and home runs on the road. They are far from a patient group in visiting uniforms, averaging only two walks per game (30th) and have little speed, with a manger not inclined towards the running game, ranked 12th in stolen bases in the senior circuit.

What the Giants do have is pitching and lots of hit. Led by Tim Lincecum, San Francisco can mow down opposing batters. They lead the NL in ERA, complete games (9) and shutouts (15). There infielders don’t receive as much action as other teams, however they get plenty of practice throwing the ball around the infield, since Giants hurlers strikeout the most batters.
One big turnaround pitcher has been Matt Cain (12-2, 2.12 ERA). After years of being a play against pitcher because he always had that one bad inning, Cain has been brilliant, and is coming off nine shutouts innings against Pittsburgh last Wednesday. The Giants have won 16 of his 21 starts in 2009.

DiamondSportsbook.com has made the Giants a -133 money line road favorite and Cain and company are 11-1 as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. They will face Mike Hampton (6-8, 5.36) and the Astros in series lid-lifter. Hampton has been rocked in last three starts with ERA of almost 10. Though San Fran is 17-11 against left-hand starters, Hampton has given them trouble during his career. The veteran lefty has owned certain teams like Pittsburgh, whom he’s picked up half his wins against this season, with the Giants not to far behind. He’s 15-4 with a 3.59 ERA in 23 career starts vs San Francisco and Houston heats up like the Texas weather in August, with 22-10 record the last couple of seasons.

This contest is an 8:05 Eastern start at Minute Maid Park and will be available for viewing in local markets. One last thing to worry about the Giants, they are 1-6 in last seven visits to Houston.

Planning on Winning Sunday at 3Daily Winners

Had a misstep yesterday with 1-2 mark and want to close the week on winning note. To do so have 85 percent system taking place in the Bay Area. Today’s Top Trend involves bad baseball teams, which is worse, keep reading. I’ll throw out my two cents (I actually will wager more) on Free Play. Good Luck

Thought of the day – While most people don’t believe the New York Yankees could lose four in a row to Chicago, don’t count me among them. The Yankees are playing very sloppy baseball, both physically and mentally and though C.C. Money Bags has good history against the White Sox, his recent starts have teams batting .317 against him. Mark Buehrle has poor history against Yanks, but you won’t see me betting against him on a Sunday at the Cell.

Now on Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs with a money line of +150 or more, who are batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games, against opponent with a scorching starting pitcher, with WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last five starts. The pitcher is Cole Hamels, which means San Francisco could be hurting for system that is 51-9, 85 percent since 2007.

Free Baseball Trend -2) The Washington Nationals are 0-12 on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season, losing by an average of 2.9 runs per game.

Free Baseball Selection -3) I’m as hot as anyone right now with 21 winners in 28 games (not bragging just factual) and I like Toronto to toast Oakland.

New StatFox Football Annual on Sale – A must for Every Sports Bettor

Sunday Night Baseball Preview

With Jair Jurrjens taking the mound, the Atlanta Braves have a good chance to win their lone home series in a 17-day span. That will require a second straight victory over the best team in the majors as the Braves and Los Angeles Dodgers decide their three-game set Sunday night at Turner Field. These games are Atlanta’s only home contests between July 24 and Aug. 9, a stretch that came just as the Braves have won 11 of 14 at home. Jurrjens (9-7, 2.69 ERA) has won all three of his starts at Turner Field in that span, allowing one earned run and six hits in 20 2-3 innings.

Atlanta’s latest home loss was a 5-0 defeat in Friday’s series opener, but the Braves (53-51, -6.8 units) bounced back with a 4-3 victory Saturday afternoon, giving them their ninth win in last 12 games as home favorite.

With an offense that has been inconsistent for much of the year, Atlanta has relied on strong pitching—its 3.74 ERA is among the lowest in the majors—to stay within striking distance in the NL East and wild-card races. Derek Lowe turned in a quality start Saturday to win his first game against his former team.

Jurrjens has been perhaps the Braves’ best pitcher this season, with his ERA leading the team’s starters and ranking among the top six in the NL.

The right-hander has been especially hot lately; going 3-0 with a 1.75 ERA in his last four starts overall. He failed to win his fourth straight outing Tuesday against Florida, but still allowed just two runs in six innings of Atlanta’s 4-3 loss. He is 20-8 after a win over the last three seasons. (Braves Record)

Jurrjens beat the Dodgers twice last year, allowing two runs and eight hits in 13 innings and has won his last five starts against NL West clubs. He’ll again face Los Angeles’ Chad Billingsley after beating him in Atlanta’s 9-3 victory July 8, 2008.

The Dodgers (64-40, +17.6 units) aren’t feeling much heat with a comfortable lead in the NL West, but Billingsley (10-6, 3.96) is under some pressure after his recent struggles. The right-hander won nine of his first 12 decisions and had a 2.72 ERA on June 14, but since then he’s 1-3 with a 6.46 ERA in eight starts, including 1-4 if opponent had winning record.

He allowed one hit through five shutout innings Tuesday against St. Louis, but gave up six runs and couldn’t get out of the sixth in a 10-0 loss, walking a season-high six. Still, Dodgers manager Joe Torre said he had “good stuff” and seemed optimistic about Billingsley’s progress. “It got to the point, in a close game, it just looked to me like he was trying to make every pitch perfect,” Torre told the Dodgers’ official Web site. “That was about as good and loose and free I’ve seen him in a while.”

Besides his loss to Jurrjens, Billingsley also lost to the Braves in his first start against them April 19, 2008. In the two outings, the right-hander walked nine and allowed nine earned runs in 10 1/3 innings.

The newest Brave, Adam LaRoche, has homered twice off Billingsley in four at-bats. LaRoche, traded from Boston to Atlanta on Friday after being shipped from Pittsburgh to the Red Sox nine days earlier, went 2 for 3 with a walk Saturday to begin his second stint with the Braves.

“This turned out great,” LaRoche said. “I’m not going to lie and say Boston wasn’t fun. I did not see this coming at all. But if I was going to go anywhere from Boston, this is where I would want to be.” Atlanta has won six of seven at Turner Field against right-hand starters.

DiamondSportsbook.com has established Atlanta as -120 money line favorites with total having shrunk to 7.5. The Braves are 5-1 in Game 3’s of late and 6-2 if Jurrjens is the starter. Atlanta is 12-3 UNDER when the 23-year old takes the ball and the money line is +125 to -125.

Andre Ethier is the Dodgers hottest hitter, going 4 for 9 with two home runs and five RBIs in the series. He’s 2 for 3 with three walks in his career against Jurrjens. Los Angeles will need his bat and they are 20-7 vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits a start this season. L.A. is 9-2 OVER after allowing four runs or less four straight games this season.

ESPN of course will have the coverage starting just after 8 Eastern, with Torre’s club 23-9 in Game 3 of a series. These teams will meet four times at Dodger Stadium starting Thursday.

Mike Lipka, STATS writer contributed to this article.