Twitter crapping out
Oh Yea Baby College Football Saturday
What I thought yesterday- The whole LaGarrette Blount episode was stupid on so many levels. First, nothing was said about the Boise State player baiting him, though I understand this goes on all the time and you don’t go around slugging people because you’re angry. Second, I was surprised the suspension was for the whole season, when three games or 25 percent of the season who seem like a fair punishment. However, based on past transgressions and how he reacted walking to the locker room showed somebody out of control.
In checking, it was presumed he was probably third round material for next year’s NFL draft and he’s probably hired an agent already trying to get hooked up for a tryout.
Lost in all this was how inept Oregon looked. Coach Chip Kelly, the offensive guru was completely overmatched as a coach. His team was not nearly as well prepared as Boise State. Center Thomas Bird stood up his man on almost every play and pushed him around for four quarters and guards Will Lawrence and Kevin Sapien also had great games. Broncos coach Chris Peterson really has a feel for the moment as a play caller.
Announcement- On Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners
Starting today I will have a running analysis of all the college football action on Twitter. I’ll have all my TV’s lined up, working the remote as well as the computer. Sign up at Twitter and let’s have some fun and all learn something.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points who were terrible offensive team from last season, scoring 14 or less points a game, with an experienced QB returning as starter. This remarkable system is 24-4 the last 16 years, 85.7 percent. The bad news is the teams that fit are Washington and Washington State.
Free Football Trend -2) California will look to pick up where they left off last year being 7-0 ATS as a home favorite.
Free Football Pick -3) Mike picked up two more winners yesterday making him 12-1 this week and he’s played Texas A&M at -14 (now -15) to win big over New Mexico.
Today Paul Buck and myself have what we believe are some very solid week 1 winners on Guaranteed Picks. Not going to oversell, but if you are looking for good start in CFB betting, we believe we can help.
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Five Extra-Large College Football Previews
Thursday was a nice appetizer; however what college football and sports bettors are looking for is day long action. Depending on your proximity it’s time to get those last wagers in and settle in for great day. Will Notre Dame finally look like a program on the rise? Can Oklahoma State knock off opponent with real pedigree? Is this the year Illinois wins the Arch Rivalry? Is Oklahoma worthy of lofty ranking with rebuilt offense? Will Virginia Tech prove the ACC is on the rise vs. Alabama? All or part of these questions will start to be answered on Saturday.Georgia (+5, 61) at Oklahoma State 3:30E ABC-GP
The Georgia Bulldogs seemingly are returning to what they do best under coach Mark Richt. In his eight seasons in Athens, Richt is 82-22 (51-47-1 ATS) and his best teams were usually those with less gaudy expectations. Matthew Stafford raised the SEC title beliefs and when they weren’t delivered, enough Bulldogs backers wondered why. This year it is back to basics, with workman-like Joe Cox under center. Cox and the rest of the seniors were put thru the paces by Richt in the spring, expecting them to lead by example. Last year’s offensive line failures are expected to be replaced by hungry individuals returning from injury or those seeking playing time. Sophomore A.J. Green is first team All-SEC pass catcher and will ease Cox’s transition. Defensively, Georgia has the athletes on the line to quell running game and linebacker Rennie Curran is on many All-American lists. The Bulldogs are 8-0 and 5-2-1 ATS in first away game of the year.
Oklahoma State comes off their most successful season since 2003 at 9-4. Former Cowboys gunslinger and head coach Mike Gundy (27-23, 23-21-2 ATS) has the program headed in the right direction with three consecutive winning seasons and three bowl bids. The next order of business is climbing into top three in Big 12 South. For Gundy’s squad to take this step, he must have defensive improvement. Since the 2002 season, Oklahoma State has not ranked higher than 74th in total defense. Cornerback Perrish Cox and linebacker Andre Sexton will try to lead the improvement, but it will be the D-Line that will determine fate. On offense, it’s hard to find a better trio than quarterback Zac Robinson, running back Kendall Hunter and receiver Dez Bryant. This deadly trio helped lead an offense that scored 40.8 points per game last season. Though that imposing number might be difficult to reach again, the Cowboys will score a ten-gallon hatful of points. Sportsbook.com has Okie State as five-point favorites with total of 61 and Gundy’s crew is 7-1-1 ATS as home favorites Boone Pickens Stadium.
This is return match from two years ago, when Georgia won at home 35-14. Okie State has won 13 straight home openers (5-3 ATS); however this is different type of opponent. The Cowboys are 4-18 and 6-14-2 ATS against ranked teams.
Nevada (+15, 62) at Notre Dame 3:30E NBC
Charley Weis has had a tumultuous time at Notre Dame and if things haven’t been challenging enough, this billboard popped up in South Bend this week.
-Best wishes to Charlie Weis in the fifth year of his college coaching internship. –
Notre Dame opened as 8-10-point favorites depending on where you looked and were quickly lifted to current status. The Wolf Pack is 16-25 ATS as dogs of 10 or more points.
Notre Dame can’t overlook Nevada who can score. This is important year for coach Weis or its back to the NFL. Notre Dame just 3-13 ATS against non-BCS schools at home.
Missouri (+6.5, 61) vs Illinois 3:40E ESPN
A new era dawns of Missouri football, starting without Chase Daniel. He wasn’t the only one to depart as high draft picks Jeremy Maclin and Chase Coffman will being playing on Sunday’s instead. This could mean head man Gary Pinkel (59-41, 50-43-2 ATS) relies on the running game more, at least to start the season. Blaine Gabbert is the starter at quarterback and he will he handing off tailback Derrick Washington, until he feels more comfortable in the pocket. The Tigers lost top receivers, but Jared Perry and Danario Alexander are both seniors and they have contributed plenty and have deep speed. The defensive line’s two deep lacks experience and Jaron Baston is only returning starter. All-Big 12 linebacker Sam Weatherspoon is a stud and will have to be leader. Only one starter is back in defensive backfield, which might not be a big deal after finishing 117th in pass defense. The Tigers have shown some teeth with 8-3 ATS record in first game away from Columbia.
When Ron Zook was hired at Illinois, his recruiting skills were not questioned, his coaching ability was. Many thought Zook had turned a corner after taking Illinois to Rose Bowl two years ago; however last year’s 5-7 campaign opened up Pandora ’s Box again for Zook. That makes this a critical season for Zook, not from a job standpoint, rather if he can take the Illini program to similar status of Wisconsin year-in year-out in the Big Ten. Having Juice Williams should help, if he cuts down interceptions and every down running back emerges to make Williams run less. Arreloius Benn should have true bust-out year and Michael Hoomananwanui needs to have 40+ receptions at tight end. Talented individuals are on defense, with the question being can they be molded in a cohesive unit. The Fighting Illini haven’t shown much fight with 3-9 ATS record the last three years as single digit favorites.
Hard to call Game 1 is critical; nonetheless it could set the tone for both schools. Missouri has won four in a row in the Arch Rivalry and is 8-1 ATS in last nine. Illinois has rugged opening slate and Missouri wants to get program situated early.
BYU (+21.5, 66) vs Oklahoma 7:00E ESPN
BYU is coming off 10-3 endeavor and has its sights set on even greater glory in 2009. The Cougars over the years have not been afraid to take on some of the best programs in the country and they will get a look at one of the finest in Oklahoma. Coach Bronco Mendenhall (38-13, 25-22-1 ATS) has signal caller Max Hall back for senior season. Hall will have new receivers to chuck the pigskin to, making tight end Dennis Pitta especially important as bailout pass catcher. The offensive line needs four new starters, yet the Cougars usually find a way to put together a group of road-graters that can pass protect. The Cougars never mounted a pass rush in 2008 and nothing seems to have changed that much. The corners look weak, which is not what you need against a Heisman Trophy quarterback like Sam Bradford to start you new season. BYU is abominable 4-17 ATS in first game away from home.
Bradford stood behind arguably the best offensive in the college game last year and will have four different helmets to look at this fall. The junior has a quick trigger and Ryan Broyles and Jermaine Gresham will be favorite targets in no-huddle attack. Running backs DeMarco Murray and Chris Brown will find lanes to scoot thru. While the offense doesn’t figure to be as prolific scoring 51.1 points per game, the nine returning starters on defense will play more of a role. Though it sounds ridiculous, the Sooners have six players in defensive line with pro potential, led by Gerald McCoy. Ryan Reynolds and Travis Lewis anchor a swift linebacker core. Oklahoma may disappoint in the biggest games, but don’t think for moment Bob Stoops isn’t elite coach. Boomer Sooner is 8-2 and 7-2-1 ATS in first matchup away from Norman.
After bumbling a bit, the Sooners are 11-1 and 10-1 ATS in non-conference regular season contests the last three years. With BYU having to replace four O-linemen against Sooners defense, the Cougs could be tough spot, already 0-5 ATS versus neutral site ranked teams.
Alabama (-6, 38) vs Virginia Tech 8:00E ABC
Alabama played in SEC title game and made BCS bowl game, are greater things on the horizon for Nick Saban’s (19-8, 12-13-1 ATS) third year in Tuscaloosa? It depends and the answer won’t really be known until later in the season. Where the tricky part is the offense, junior Greg McElroy has waited his turn and is now the big man on campus for the Crimson Tide. McElroy has professed to be ready and sophomore sensation Julio Jones will be one of his favorite targets to pass to. The offensive line has to be reworked with three outstanding starters gone and running back Glen Coffee leaving early. On defense, zero question marks with nine starters back and improving depth in support. All-American nose tackle Terrance “Mount” Cody is poised for colossal campaign and is leaner and reportedly meaner than ever. Rolando McClain is a headache at linebacker and the secondary has aggressive ball-hawks. The Tide have won last five of six as favorites.
Does it seem possible that Virginia Tech was ever bad under coach Frank Beamer? You have to go back to 1992 to find the last losing season in Blacksburg. The Hokies have won 10 or more games eight times in the last decade including five in a row (38-24-1 ATS). With 14 starters back in the fold, this opening game could determine if Virginia Tech is national contender or one of the best in the ACC. Junior Tyrod Taylor in the undisputed leader of the offense. He’s worked diligently to become better passer and expects to see the results. With Darren Evans out with ACL tear an unproven yet versatile running core will have to step up, running behind an offensive that came into its own late last season. Jason Worilds might be just 6’2 240 pound defensive end; however he’s upfield before the tackle is even out of his stance pressuring the quarterback, leading another stern Hokies defense. The Hokies are 12-4 ATS in first roadie of the season.
Oddsmakers have made their case about this matchup. Bama opened as a six-point choice despite a new quarterback and just four returning offensive starters. That speaks volumes about what they think about the difference between SEC and ACC. This is a special opening matchup and Virginia Tech is 17-6 ATS in September road encounters. The Tide is 16-1 SU in opening tilts since 1992, but just 5-10 ATS during that time.
Holiday Weekend Commences- Enjoy
We got beat up good with 0-3 day and will attempt to make a solid comeback immediately. Our focus is going to start to move more towards football with much of the information will go heading that direct. Providing this information on Friday’s is going to be hit and miss just like last year, because of what I do. I will make better effort to have Saturday material up Friday night as a make good. I have a top notch MLB system that 68-5, 93.2 percent today. The Top Trend is in college football action Saturday,on a well disciplined team. Good Luck
Yesterday was a record day in number of visitors here, thanks to all, I hope you liked it.
Announcement- On Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners
Starting this Saturday and on Sunday once the NFL begins, I will have a running analysis of all the college football action on those days. I’ll have all my TV’s lined up, working the remote as well as the computer. Sign up at Twitter and let’s have some fun and all learn something.
Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250, who aren’t hitting a lick like Pittsburgh, batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games, against opponent with a roasting starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last five starts. Over the last five years, this MLB system is blistering 68-5, 93.2 percent, including perfect 10-0 this year.
Free Football Trend -2) The Navy is 15-3 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points.
Free Baseball Pick -3) Mike of the LCC has turned up the heat with 10-1 week and is on the Halos tonight with the younger Weaver brother.
Paul Buck hit Boise State yesterday and has another Guaranteed Play tonight
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Tulsa Two Touchdown Choice Friday
Coach Todd Graham has the Golden Hurricane striving for larger ambitions despite tacking up a 21-7 (13-14 ATS) record the last two seasons. Tulsa has played in the Conference USA title game the last two years and come up short on both occasions. He wants the program to revert to 2005, when Tulsa won the inaugural C-USA championship.It won’t be a simple task, since Graham has to replace a quarterback and five other offensive starters. Junior Jacob Bower has earned the inside track at quarterback, after being an understudy last season. The offensive line has to be rebuilt in order for Bower to succeed. If these elements come together quickly, Tulsa can build on 8-3 ATS September record.
Defensively, eight players return, however, according to the coach they need to play with more conviction, after conceding 30 points or more six times last season. “Defensively, we have to get back to doing what we’ve done in the past of being successful, and that’s a relentless attitude to run to the ball and get back to a hard edge mentality defensively,” Graham said. “What we have to improve on defense is not giving away too many one play drives.”
DiamondSportsbook.com has Tulsa as 14-point road favorites with total of 64.5 and they are just 4-7 ATS in that role under Graham.
Tulane has won six games in two years under coach Bob Toledo and everyone associated with the program understands this has to be the year to start showing positive signs. “We feel like we’ve really got to turn this thing around,” receiver Jeremy Williams told the Times-Picayune. “We’re not waiting on the future. We’ve got to do it now.”
The Green Wave welcome back seven offensive starters and redshirt sophomore Joe Kemp who won the quarterback derby. Tulane will be helped by the return of RB Andre Anderson, who was fourth in the nation in rushing and all-purpose yards when he went down to injury in game seven. They will need to score points to hang with Tulsa, however are just 4-10-1 ATS catching points at home.
Tulane comes into this season with misleading defensive statistic. The Green Wave was 14th in the country in pass defense, allowing 173 yards per game. That was at least in part to surrendering 218 (5.7 yards per carry) yards per game on the ground. Senior DE Logan Kelley anchors a very experienced defensive line that must upgrade its game in 2009. Tulane is 7-23-1 ATS in last 31 conference matchups.
Tulsa plays four of first five games on the road, including first three and has failed to cover last four roadies. Tulane is 0-4 SU and ATS versus the Golden Hurricane in C-USA action, losing by 33 points per game.
This conference clash starts at 8 Eastern on ESPN, with Tulsa 7-2-1 OVER as road chalk.
School is in Session
The opening days of baseball, college football and the NFL are all special, thus today is already a great day. So was yesterday with 3-0 record. It’s all football today with Top Trend and Free Pick in college football and Best System is a non-qualifier, yet potent 8-3 in NFL preseason. Good Luck
What I thought today – Is it me or is this new crop of NFL coaches a little power hungry. Josh McDaniel essentially doesn’t want strong armed quarterback to run his system and can’t find way to work with Jay Cutler. Kansas City’s Todd Haley fires his offensive coordinator Chan Gailey and Tampa Bay’s new coach Raheem Morris launches his OC, before one official game has been played. If the NFL is about continuity and routine, all three of these head coaches are a disruptive force to their own teams.
Announcement- On Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners
Starting this Saturday and on Sunday once the NFL begins, I will have a running analysis of all the college football action on those days. I’ll have all my TV’s lined up, working the remote as well as the computer. Sign up at Twitter and let’s have some fun and all learn something.
Free Football System-1) In the NFL, PLAY On away favorites that scored 24 or more points and lost at home last week. This preseason system is 8-3 ATS, 72.7 percent and suggests to play on Arizona tonight.
Free Football Trend -2) The Oregon Ducks are 27-5 ATS in first road game of a new season.
Free Football Pick -3) Edward had easy MLB winner yesterday and chooses to back N.C. State in revenge spot.
College Football Guaranteed Picks Available.
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Will the Boise State Broncos Go Unbeaten?
For the above question, we’ll find out very early if this is truly a possibility, when the 14th ranked Broncos host the 16th ranked Oregon Ducks. Boise State is unanimous choice to win the WAC this season and is the early season darling from the non-BCS schools to possibly pluck another BCS berth when the bids come out in December. Consider the track record of Boise State coming into the season.Boise State has had three unbeaten regular seasons in the last five years and is 55-9 in all games since 2004. Faced with oddsmakers’ numbers just begging the sports bettor to play the other side, the Broncos are 33-25-1 against the spread in that time period.
In games played on the “Smurf Turf” blue carpet at Bronco Stadium, Boise State is 64-2 and 40-17 ATS the last decade, which includes 49 in a row during the regular season. Boise State returns a dozen starters, including quarterback Kellen Moore, who broke unto the scene last year as a freshman. In truth, coach Chris Peterson might have a team equal to or better than the 2006 squad (which was 13-0 and knocked off Oklahoma in Fiesta Bowl) next season.
The Oregon Ducks are not to be taken for granted just because they have a new coach in Chip Kelly. With just ten returning starters from last year’s surprising 10-3 squad, the ranking appears a trifle inflated, however three components help justify the number.
Oregon might not average 41.9 points per game this upcoming season, however, will still have ample firepower with Jeremiah Masoli at the controls. The junior quarterback is far from classic passer, but he’s accurate and is powerful runner and is listed as All-Pac 10 QB in several preseason publications. Speaking of powerful, 240-pound LeGarrette Blount is one blunt object in the open field. The architect of this high-powered offense is coach Kelly, whose been the Oregon offense coordinator. The Ducks are 27-5 ATS in first road game, including covering nine of last 10.
Bookmaker.com has Boise State listed as 3.5-point home favorite, down from opening number of 5.5, with total having risen to 64. We checked in Rocky Atkinson of RocketmanSports.com to get is opinion on this anticipated contest and Boise State’s chances of going unscathed during the regular season.
“I feel like Boise State will get by Oregon at home and cover the number. Boise State is incredible at home with 66-6 SU record and 42-18 ATS since 1992. Last year the Broncos beat opponents by an average of 40.7 to 8 at home. Chris Peterson is in his 4th year as head coach of Boise State and has led them to a 35-4 overall record. Boise State wins this one.
I would also consider the total; with Oregon is 7-0 to the Over when playing WAC opponents.
As far as Boise State going undefeated this year, I'm going to have to say no. They should have a tough time when they play in Fresno State but I think they will actually win that one in a nail-biter. The one game I see them losing will be when they travel to Tulsa on October 14th. Tulsa was undefeated at home last season and will give Boise all they can handle and then some.”
This is the second game on ESPN Thursday night, which will start at 10:15 Eastern and Oregon has revenge on their minds after last year’s 37-32 home upset as 10.5-point favorites to the Broncos. Masoli told a Eugene television station during the offseason that the loss was “embarrassing” and that this year he and his team would “take it to (Boise State).”
Boise State’s first test could set the tone for 2009 campaign.
College Football is Back!
Finally! After what seems like an eternity, all the talk about college football will cease and the games will be played, with salivating sports bettors ready for action. Five lined games will open the festivities and we’ll cover four of them here, including the very first one, South Carolina at N.C. State. Let the fun begin!South Carolina at N.C. State
Folks in Columbia are still waiting for the Steve Spurrier magic to kick in. In four seasons, the ol’ ball coach is 28-22 and 26-20-1 against the spread. After losing last three games, including bowl invite by a combined score of 118-30, the never satisfied Spurrier changed out five coaches trying to find magic formula to turn South Carolina into SEC contender. With only 12 starters returning, Chris Angel would have a hard time making this illusion work. Previous quarterbacks have transferred out except for sophomore Stephen Garcia, who has worked on being better passer to match his athletic running style. The offense only rushed for 94.1 yards per game last year and new line coach Eric Wolford is preaching toughness. The defense has talent in front seven; however secondary has to be rebuilt after finishing second in the country in passing yards allowed. The Gamecocks are just 2-6 ATS in last eight road games.
North Carolina State closed the 2008 regular season with four wins to earn bowl berth, before falling 29-23 to an equally hot Rutgers club in the Papajohns.com bowl. Coach Tom O’Brien’s disciplined style started to take root and 15 starters are coming back from last year’s turnaround squad. O’Brien enters his third season in Raleigh with 11-14 record, though has bettors attention with 15-8 ATS mark. Leading the way is ACC Rookie of the Year Russell White, who tossed 17 touchdowns, with only one interception. The offensive line should be steady with three starters back, however quality depth is nonexistent beyond starting five. The linebackers are difference-makers and the defensive line has potential All-ACC performers Alan-Michael Cash and Willie Young. The secondary has questions that will have to be answered for another bowl trip for a squad that is on 7-0-1 ATS run to start a new campaign.
With weeks to look at the side and total from Bookmaker.com and other wagering outlets, sports bettors have taken N.C. State from three-point favorites to five. The total has remained relatively stable moving from 45 to 46.
North Carolina State was embarrassed 34-0 at South Carolina as two touchdown underdogs last year and are looking forward to return engagement at Carter-Finley Stadium this go-round. This matchup will once again be on ESPN at 7 Eastern and coach Steve Spurrier is only 7-7 against the spread in non-conference games and has usual early date with Georgia next on September 12. South Carolina is 2-7-1 ATS facing non-conference foes before the Bulldogs. N.C. State is 4-1-1 ATS hosting the Gamecocks.
Troy at Bowling Green
This game will garner very little attention on the national scope, however is extremely important to Troy and the Sun Belt Conference. The SBC teams have for years taken paydays to be somebody’s patsy (they still will, just less frequently); however they have a goal in mind today. The Sun Belt wants to gain recognition like the MAC teams and in order to surpass them and gain bragging rights, they have to start knocking them off.
Troy is the unanimous choice to win the Sun Belt and is loaded on both sides of the ball. If the offensive line comes together, the Trojans could surpass last year’s offense that averaged more than 32 points per game. Defensively, the athletic front seven is a load for a team that is 7-3 ATS on the non-conference road.
First year coach Dave Clawson is right about his team’s non-conference schedule, “It’s a really challenging schedule,” Clawson said about playing Troy, Boise State, at Missouri and at Marshall. “The one thing I do know is that we will be well-prepared for our MAC schedule by the time we are through with our out-of-conference schedule.” With just 10 starters returning, the Eagles might be hard pressed to improve on 3-10 ATS home record the last three years. Troy is touchdown favorite.
On ESPNU at 7:30 Eastern, two other Sun Belt and MAC teams will collide. North Texas ruled the SBC in the early years of this decade, no more, having won five conference games in last four years. Coach Todd Dodge is convinced the personnel is improving and if his redshirt freshman son Riley can rev up the offense, brighter days could be ahead in Denton for a team that is 0-20 and 2-18 ATS in non-conference road games.
Ball State won’t look like the same team. A new coach, new quarterback and four new offensive linemen are where it starts in Muncie. Redshirt freshman Kelly Page takes over for prolific passer Nate Davis and hopes his line will give him time to show off his arm. The defense switches to 4-3 from 3-4, however has speed and athletes on this side of the ball seldom seen on the Ball State campus. The Cardinals are 16-point favorites and are 7-1 ATS as home chalk.
Utah at Utah State
It will be a tough encore for Utah after completing 13-0 season and ranked No.2 in the final polls after taking apart Alabama 31-17 in the Sugar Bowl. The Utes lost QB Brian Johnson to graduation and coach Kyle Whittingham has decided to keep everyone in suspense about who his new signal caller will be. Blog reports from observers have seen junior college transfer Terrance Cain taking the majority of the snaps with the first team. Utah is listed as 21-point favorite over in-rival Utah State and they are 10-5-1 ATS as 20-point or more choice.
Utah players and coaches will see a familiar face on the Aggies sideline in Gary Andersen, who has been the Utes defensive coordinator the last three seasons. Anderson has brought excitement to Logan, though the talent will still have to arrive later. In “The Battle of the Brothers” Utah is 11-0 and 8-3 ATS since 1998, with the visitor 8-1 ATS. This is on the MTN at 9:00 Eastern.
Early Line Moves
Next year 3Daily Winners expects to have a football newsletter, but in the meantime, we will offer Free inside information. When we say “inside information” we mean finding material not commonly found on other websites and blogs. In other words we had to figure it out. One popular and profitable segment I’ve followed for year is Early Line Moves.
If you read the interview with Fezzik, the professional bettor from Las Vegas, he explains how sharp bettors like himself hit the action early, pounding on weak numbers. (You can find the interview, take a minute or two) Over the years I’ve followed this regularly and over 77 percent of the time, the various segments I show make a profit over the season. Here is example of last year.
CFB sides 68-41 62.3 percent
CFB totals 48-36 57.1 percent
NFL sides 19-17 52.7 percent
NFL totals 32-22-1 59.2 percent
When you have those kinds of numbers, it’s hard to argue with the results. I’m always a skittish about week 1 numbers since so many people have has access, but over the last five seasons it still works out were the sports bettor makes money. Here are this week’s college football games. (For those not familiar with this, the numbers showing are opening figures and those found early in the week to establish differences)
Sides
Troy -4.5 to -7
North Texas +23 to +16
Navy +24 to +2 1
Notre Dame -10 to -14
BYU +25 to +22
Illinois -3 to -7
Minnesota -3.5 to -7
Wisconsin -14 to -16.5
Texas A&M -7 to -15
Idaho +6 to +3
UTEP -4.5 to -8
San Jose State +37 to +33.5
Tennessee -27 to -30
Totals
Oregon/Boise St 62 to 64
Troy/BG 58.5 to 56.5
W. Mich/Michigan 54 to 56
Nevada/N.D. 58 to 61
Minn/Syracuse 49 to 47
3Daily Winners CFB Top 25
1) Florida2) Oklahoma
3) Texas
4) USC
5) Alabama
6) Virginia Tech
7) Mississippi
8) Penn State
9) California
10) Ohio State
11) Oklahoma State
12) LSU
13) Boise State
14) Georgia
15) Tennessee
16) Georgia Tech
17) BYU
18) TCU
19) Iowa
20) Florida State
21) Pittsburgh
22) Rutgers
23) Notre Dame
24) Oregon State
25) Utah
College Football starts tomorrow my friends
Good comeback Tuesday with 2-1 mark. With everyone including myself anxious for college football, one more day of all baseball plays (there will be more in the future). The Best System checks at a lofty 44-8 on the base paths. For the third day in a row we have unbeaten Trend and Free Pick has run line action. Good Luck
What I saw today – All the talk surrounding national title hopes for the loser of Saturday's Alabama/Virginia Tech game irks Tide coach Nick Saban. He doesn't think either team should be counted out of the hunt for the BCS crown based on a loss to a top-10 team on the first Saturday of the fall. Saban pointed to his 2003 LSU team that won a national championship with a regular-season blemish and the 2007 Tiger champs actually lost twice before winning the SEC title and beating Ohio State to claim the BCS crown. "So now we're talking about the first game of the season, you're out of it," Saban said Monday. "It's horrible. It's a horrible thought for any team to be out of anything for one game." As a result, the Alabama coach said he is an advocate of a "plus-one" format for the BCS that would pit the winners of two BCS bowl games in a national championship game. -- Ledger-Enquirer
Announcement- On Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners
Starting this Saturday and on Sunday once the NFL begins, I will have a running analysis of all the college football action on those days. I’ll have all my TV’s lined up, working the remote as well as the computer. Sign up at Twitter and let’s have some fun and all learn something.
Free Baseball System-1) PLAY ON all favorites with a money line of -150 or more like Detroit, who are hitting team .260 or less as a team, against a decent AL starting pitcher (4.20 or less ERA), in the second half of the season. Doing the math, this system rings up at 44-8, 84.6 percent the last dozen years.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Mark Buehrle and the White Sox are 11-0 when the money line is -100 to -150 this season, winning by 3.1 runs per game. (Note -Very lucky win)
Free Baseball Pick -3) Edward of the LCC is strictly a run line player and backs the Redbirds over Milwaukee.
New Guaranteed NFL Picks – Are cleaning up check out our packages.
StatFox Top Tips – The Platinum Sheet – Yours truly a writer.
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Fish floundering and in lousy betting situation
Both Atlanta and Florida are on the outer reaches of the race for the wild card chase, nevertheless, both still have a chance if they could put together a significant winning streak and Colorado would falter. The Braves have placed themselves in the better position having won the last two nights against the Marlins at Land Shark Stadium, leaving them three games behind the Rockies.Atlanta (70-62, -3.5 units) is chasing first postseason berth in four years and have helped themselves immensely winning eight of last 11 games on the road, moving them to 35-32 on the season as visitor’s. The Braves are 19-9 after five or more consecutive road games this season and have named Javier Vazquez (11-9, 3.02 ERA) as starter, who will be seeking his fifth straight road win.
Atlanta has won Vazquez’s last five starts on the road and he is 7-2 with 2.96 ERA in Braves traveling uniforms and the linemakers at DiamondSportsbook.com have made this combination a -150 money line favorite.
Florida (68-64, +0.9 units) has been in a tailspin at just the wrong time, losing nine of last 13 games. The bats haven’t been able to keep up with the Florida weather and have averaged a cool four runs per game in the process, compared to 4.7 on the season.
The Marlins failed to take advantage of a favorable situation last night facing Tim Hudson, who was making his first start in 13 months after elbow surgery, but scored only two runs in 5 1/3 innings against him and three on the night in a frustrating 4-3 defeat.
Rich VandenHurk (2-2, 5.12) gets the ball for Florida after being a September call-up from the minors, having had success against the Braves with 2-0 record and 3.91 ERA in five lifetime starts. While that makes Fish fans hopeful, the fact remains VandenHurk was sent back down to the minors in mid-August after posting 7.98 ERA in three previous starts.
This leads to a potentially lucrative system for the baseball sports bettor that reads this way.
Play Against home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175, who are average NL offensive team scoring 4.3 to 4.8 runs a game, against a good starting pitcher (ERA of 3.70 or less), after a loss by two runs or less.
Dating back to 1997, this superb system is 53-14, 79.1 percent, with the average margin of victory being 2.6 runs per game. This profitable system is enhanced with Vazquez and the Braves 13-3 as road favorite of -110 or higher. Consider this as potential play in Wednesday baseball action.
Let's Rip it on Tuesday
A not so hot 0-2 Monday leaves a bad taste in the mouth, but a new day is like mouthwash. The Best System is 83.9 percent which is encouraging. Can a perfect trend really lose two days in a row, I hope not. And a hot better backs a heavenly MLB team tonight. Good Luck
What I saw yesterday – I must be the only guy in America who didn’t think Brett Favre’s block was illegal. He went into the guy’s hip and it wasn’t his fault the defender was paying no attention to him. Agree or disagree.
Announcement- On Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners
Starting this Saturday and on Sunday once the NFL begins, I will have a running analysis of all the college football action on those days. I’ll have all my TV’s lined up, working the remote as well as the computer. Sign up at Twitter and let’s have some fun and all learn something.
Free Baseball System-1) PLAY ON all favorites like the Yankees with a money line of -175 to -250, after allowing four runs or less four straight games against opponent after a loss by four runs or more. Since 2005, this system is 52-10, 83.9 percent.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Joel Pineiro and St. Louis are 10-0 in the second half of the season winning by 3.3 runs per game.
Free Baseball Pick -3) A member of the LCC who prefers privacy is on 12-2 baseball betting roll and likes the Halos with Ervin Santana to play some sweet music in Seattle.
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Tampa Bay not looking like a good wager
As September begins, the defending American League champions are backed into a corner. The Rays earned a road split with Detroit yesterday with 11-7 win, yet still trail Boston by five games for the wild card, with Texas a game ahead of them. This is not to say Tampa Bay isn’t capable of making a run over their next 32 games, since they still have six important encounters with the Red Sox over the next 13 days. If it were only that easy.This is crunch time and Rays know it, opening up a three-game series with the Red Sox. “I don’t know if it gets any bigger,” Evan Longoria said of the upcoming series. “…. It should be fun.” Even when Tampa Bay was the American League doormat they gave Boston trouble and it has continued into this season. The Rays have won eight of 12 against Boston and are 18-10 at Tropicana Field versus the BoSox.
Many wondered how the Tampa Bay front office could have moved the team’s all-time wins leader is Scott Kazmir, while still in the thick of chasing post-season berth. Tampa Bay has had an unusual situation and has tricky economic picture to consider.
After years of being one of the sickest and poorly run franchises in baseball, Tampa Rays invested in farm system. They have assembled some of the best young talent in the game; unfortunately, baseball isn’t just played on the field.
Last year’s World Series run has not led to a huge bump in attendance, ranking 22nd at 24,168 per game, which is behind Baltimore, San Diego and Arizona, whose seasons were over long ago. In fact they draw 4,000 more per game on the road than at home. The Rays lack a substantial season ticket base, strong corporate presence and potential for substantial ballpark revenues. The end result is Tampa Bay has to win to try and draw while always keeping an eye on the money matters.
With Kazmir gone, Andy Sonnanstine (6-7, 6.61 ERA) has been recalled from Triple-A. The right-hander gets the call since he is 2-0 with 0.96 ERA in last three starts against Boston. Bookmaker.com oddsmakers are not impressed with Sonnanstine or the fact the Rays are 57-23 at home playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons. They have made the Red Sox -155 money line road favorites, with the total Un9.
Jon Lester (10-7, 3.60) will be charge of stopping Joe Maddon’s club. The Red Sox are 14-3 in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher like Sonnanstine, whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 and is 12-2 with a day off. The rub is Lester is 0-2 with an 8.22 ERA in three starts in 2009 vs. the former Devil Rays, with Boston losing all of them. While it is true the Red Sox are 11-0 after seven or more consecutive home games this season, you can’t overlook the fact they are 1-11 when playing against a team with a win percentage between 54 to 62 percent in the second half of this year.
Longoria and teammates are 15-3 UNDER as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last two seasons, while Boston is 14-3 UNDER in road games vs. good power teams, averaging 1.25 or more home runs a game in the second half of the season.
While manager Terry Francona laments about trip to -The Trop-, “Those cowbells stay with you for about a week.” at least his club is still in better position and doesn’t have the Rays upcoming schedule.
Tampa Bay plays host to Boston and division leading Detroit this week before heading on the road next for trips the Yankees and Boston.
First pitch tonight is set for 7:08 Eastern on NESN and Sun networks.
Not your ordinary sports handicapper
Kevin O’Neill operates Strategic Sports Publishing in Atlanta, offering publications and services to those interested in sports handicapping and wagering. Kevin has published books that are intelligently written and designed for the sports bettor who has thirst for knowledge and genuinely wants to be a better sports player. Kevin is well-respected within the industry, not being a shameless self-promoter, rather, building customers and loyalty through hard work and delivering useful winning information. Kevin’s accomplishments include a 56 percent college football record of the past six years, several Top 5 finishes with The Sports Monitor and he has an always interesting reading website called Realworldsports.com.Here is an interview with one the best in the business.
Doug Upstone: You have long been one of the most successful sports handicappers in the industry, what methods have allowed you to stay on top?
Kevin O’Neill: That's kind of you to say, Doug. I think the most important "method" is not being beholden to a single method. Different forms of analysis will have value for a while and most will come around to being properly reflected in the marketplace, which depletes their value. While it's important to have a good defense, a balanced offense, and be well-coached, you have to look for changes in the sports that you handicap. For instance, several years ago I would have said that the running game (both offensively and defensively) is a lot more important than the passing game in handicapping matchups, even in the NFL. There's no way you can make that statement today. Things are always changing in every sport, and you have stay ahead of the curve.
DU: What in your background led you to doing this kind of work?
KO: As a kid I was a sports fan, and I liked statistics. I used to bet small amounts with a friend and we would ride our bikes down to the barber shop every week to play a dollar parlay card. I realized that I had a good feel for it. So I'd always bet on sports, but I didn't intend to get in the business. After publishing a couple of articles on sports betting in the early-90's I was encouraged to self-publish a little book on football betting in 1996. It sold a surprising number of copies pretty quickly and people really seemed to like it. All of the sudden people were writing to me and asking me questions, asking me if I sold picks, etc. So being in the business is kind of a happy accident. It just happened organically from people liking my work. I was also helped by several people to get exposure. People like Tim Trushel, Jeff Nelson, Marc Lawrence, and the late, great Mike Lee all were interested in what I was doing and supported me. Some of the early online guys like Oddswiz.com and Heath Boutwel helped me out as well.
DU: You recently had another Gambler's Boot Camp; can you explain how a sports bettor could value from attending one of these?
KO: I've known Fezzik, the pro sports bettor who won the Hilton contest last year, for a number of years and every time I'm out in Vegas we would get together for dinner. I found myself writing down a couple of things after every meeting and I think he benefited from some stuff I would share as well. I thought it would be a good opportunity to teach a small group of people about how to pursue the handicapping and wagering process at a pretty high level. He didn't want to do it and I hadn't really thought much more about it but then he called me out of the blue this year and was suddenly amenable to it. It's been a great experience, we get some pretty sharp attendees and some other guys who know a decent amount but are really eager to learn. It's a good process to tell what you do and then have to explain why it is done that way. We just did one and the preparation for it really gave me a head start on this upcoming football season, both in handicapping and refining some of my wagering techniques.
DU: Kevin, you have written three books related to sports wagering, the latest - Real World Sports Betting: How Real People Make Money in a Global Sports Marketplace. Without giving away all the juicy details- please explain how this book would be valuable to the sports bettor?
KO: I think if you're interested in a subject, you really need to be trying to learn from people who know a little bit more about it. I'm proud that from what people tell me, the beginner and intermediate guy learns a lot from my books, while people who bet for a living will tell me that there's usually a nugget or two in there for them, even if they're experienced and have a high level of expertise. I've actually got a juicy -if I can steal your word- little ebook coming out this fall that I think people would like and if they get on my mailing list at http://www.footballannual.com/ they can get it at no charge.
DU: You publish a newsletter called the Maximum Profit Football Weekly, what makes "The Max" different in the marketplace?
KO: I think what really differentiates it is that it stands on its own as a valuable product. It's not just a vehicle to sell picks, and in fact, there's far less promotional content than other newsletters. I've also got some pretty serious contributors in Dave Fobare, Erik Scheponik, and Matty Baiungo who do a very good job and give people some real food for thought.
DU: Kevin, I also know you write an article for the Marc Lawrence’s Playbook Yearbook, where you pick the conference and division winners for college football. I’ve always liked your “Spotlight Team” previews from each conference. The two most interesting one’s to me were Illinois and San Jose State this upcoming season, can you share your thoughts.
KO: Years ago Marc asked me to do those for the annual magazine, and the process helps me get ahead of the season. I’ve always enjoyed sitting down and doing research early on teams, which helps me formulate ideas on teams for the upcoming season.
Illinois is not a strong defensive group, with the secondary likely the biggest problem. But some of those guys were big recruits, so they may develop. But Ron Zook has a ton of firepower offensively. Quarterback Juice Williams is back for senior year and he’ll be throwing to talented wide receivers like Arrelious Benn. Zook brought in Mike Schultz from TCU to be new offensive coordinator and Schultz has stated he wants offense to play fast, which is, of course, what every coach in America is saying right now. Illinois has talent on defense; it’s just a question can they step up. If not, it could be shootout after shootout for the Illini, particularly if they keep their promise about a new pace on offense.
San Jose State has an outstanding coach in Dick Tomey. After starting 1-8 with a dormant program in 2005, Tomey is 20-17 and 21-14-1 against the spread since. He has 14 returning starters, the most experienced club he’s had. San Jose State should get toughened up playing at USC and home against Utah, which should have them ready for conference play.
DU: Besides Florida, Texas, Oklahoma and USC, any other teams you see that could play for the BCS title?
KO: Conceivably a team from the ACC could be undefeated if the conference comes up really weak. If Virginia Tech finds some offense and their defense is good, they could such a team, though I expect them to lose to Alabama this week. Georgia Tech gets Clemson, Virgina Tech, and Clemson at home and are ridiculously tough to defend. If Ohio State can take advantage of the true freshman QB at USC they could be in the mix, but everyone’s tired of seeing them get whipped up on in the champion game. But I’m reaching with some of those teams, because I do agree with the premise of your question, the difference between the top four teams in the polls and the rest of teams’ seems to be a huge gap.
DU: In the NFL, Bill Belichick, Tom Coughlin and John Fox teams have been great plays on the road, any reason to think that won’t continue?
KO: It seems like the best coaches in all of sports all do well on the road. Andy Reid and Philadelphia is another team that fits over the years. One possible explanation is everyone knows these are the best coaches and there teams tend to be overvalued at home, making it difficult for them to cover point spreads at home. It wouldn’t surprise me if these teams and coaches are still covering on the road this upcoming season.
DU: What does Kevin do for fun?
KO: My answer would have been a lot different a few years ago, but right now I just love doing stuff with my kids.
DU: What is your favorite book or movie that you read or seen that left impression on you?
KO:"It's a Wonderful Life" is my favorite movie, because Jimmy Stewart helps me to remember my dad. It also reminds me of the power we have to touch those around us. So it's kind of for personal reasons, but it's also a lot less corny than people think. He goes to some pretty dark places before the people who care about him pull him back out.
As far as reading goes, I read a ton for work but try to work in some investment books, simply to get a feel for how top traders (who are like bettors) and analysts (who are like handicappers) approach their work. I also like the international thriller genre and I read a little theology as well. I've got a bunch of biographies stacked up that I'm sure I won't touch until we're done with football and basketball.
DU: I notice it seems you have low-key presence for someone who has been as successful as yourself, why this path?
K.O: It seems like the people in this business who are constantly throwing a parade for themselves really don't fare all that well when it comes to the bottom line results for their customers. But I'm also able to do so due to the structure of my business and the tremendous loyalty of my customers. You can't buy my picks online, and you can't buy my service for a day or a week, you have to be a member of my service. So I enjoy the luxury of not having to get up in the morning and have to come up with some game to sell on the internet. Being able to just do the work for my customers is a much better way to spend time than trying to remember if I've had my Conference USA Game of the Month yet this month and then try to write copy that will out-hype all the other guys on the web sites. When your focus is on the results for your customers, a daily marketing routine really gets in the way. I don’t envy the guys who have to do that every morning.
DU: What is one key aspect most football bettors miss?
KO: Getting the best possible numbers and arranging to play for reduced juice. For a guy betting $25 to $50 a game, it might not be worth it to shop around for the best lines and pick up a few extra net units a year. For someone who wagers to win beyond just the entertainment value, they should be much more focused on getting the right numbers. This could searching for lower juice, betting earlier to have better line value or taking advantage of sportsbook promotions to maximize money outlay.
In fact, I recently had conversation with OddsWiz about breaking down the variables in looking at -105 vs.-110 and what it could mean in long term money saved on sports betting. The math is pretty staggering over the long run. I’ll probably do something about that on RealWorldSports.com sometime soon.
Having a slow, unsophisticated local guy isn’t the worst thing in the world, but those types are harder to find these days.
DU: Kevin, what is one piece of sound advice you would pass along to any sports bettor?
KO: Develop a coherent strategy. That could mean focusing on an individual sport or conference with a given sport. For most sports bettors, they have jobs and they try to shot-gun analyze every game on the board in college and pro football, it is very difficult to do. If you really want to become an expert, I would specialize. I find the best people in this business are specialists, not generalists.
I’m a specialist myself. I focus on college and pro football and college basketball and the NBA. I do this full-time. A person with limited time should focus on specific area, possibly like where they live. I’m in Atlanta, so the SEC and ACC and maybe even the Sun Belt are natural areas. Because of the internet, you can have the same fan experience no matter where you live. Someone may be transferred to Atlanta from the West Coast and could still be a Pac-10 expert if they wanted. Biggest recommendation for those with time that is more limited than mine, be a specialist.
DU: Great insights and having followed your career from a distance, you’ve delivered the goods as expected. Thanks for your time and good luck this football season.
KO: Thoroughly enjoyed it, Doug. Keep up the good work.
No moaning this Monday
The old clean sweep of the board on Sunday gives us a 219-148-3 record since early April. Today the Top Trend is flat dead perfect and Mark of the LCC looks to stay that way as well, seeking a fourth straight Free Winner. The Best System just misses qualifying at 77.4 percent. Good Luck
What I saw yesterday – Josh McDaniels might be in over his head in Denver. The Broncos have a number of issues including Kyle Orton at quarterback. Owner Pat Bowlen might not regret firing Mike Shanahan, but he might regret bring in the former Patriots assistant.
Announcement- On Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners
Starting this Saturday and on Sunday once the NFL begins, I will have a running analysis of all the college football action on those days. I’ll have all my TV’s lined up, working the remote as well as the computer. Sign up at Twitter and let’s have some fun and all learn something.
Free Baseball System-1) PLAY ON home favorites like Texas with a money line of -150 or more, with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season in the American League, in August games. Over the last 12 years, this system is more than respectable 82-24, 77.4 percent.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Randy Wolf of the Dodgers is 10-0 in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last three seasons. (Team's Record)
Free Baseball Pick -3) Mark goes for number in a row and like the Rangers to round up Toronto.
New Guaranteed NFL Picks – Are cleaning up check out our packages.
StatFox Top Tips – The Platinum Sheet – Yours truly a writer.
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Monday Night Football Preview with Caveat
The vast majority of people are sick to death hearing about a quarterback that has worn the number four in Green Bay and for one season in New York. Because my bosses demand I write an article about tonight’s Minnesota at Houston matchup, they didn’t tell me I had to mention this person from Mississippi by name. In staying with the theme from Sports Illustrated this week (100% F_ _ _ E Free Issue), I’ll avoid using his name.Minnesota’s newest quarterback played only briefly last week and reports are he will see considerable action on this televised contest. (The rumor is untrue John Madden will come out of retirement to do this game) The worldwide leader in sports newest NFL reporter Adam Shefter has reported there is a "schism" in the Vikings locker room concerning what teammates think about the veteran quarterback, compared to those already on hand. Upon further review, those close to the team have found this not to be the case, with a few dissenting voices, but hardly the next Civil War to start in Minnesota.
The Vikings have won and covered both their preseason encounters and will have to settle on a backup quarterback. Sage Rosenfels missed last week with an ankle and Tarvaris Jackson, thought to be the goner when the Wrangler jeans pitchman was signed, took full advantage of the situation, completing 12 of 15 passes against Kansas City for 202 yards and a pair of touchdowns. DiamondSportsbook.com has the Vikings as 3.5-point road underdogs, with a total of 39.
Houston hasn’t had the drama seen in the Twin Cities, but there was a many long faces after the Texans were blasted by 38-14 by New Orleans as three-point home favorites last week. The Houston defense was scorched for 420 yards by the Saints and some members of the defensive line are on the firing line. In particular, starting defensive tackle Amobi Okoye has come under scrutiny. Now in his third season though only 21 years old, the Nigerian hasn’t progressed as some would like to see for the 10th overall pick in the 2007 NFL Draft. A solid game against a good Minnesota offensive line would help quell dissatisfaction.
Quarterback Matt Schaub leads what should a potent Houston attack, with numerous weapons like Andre Johnson, Steve Slaton, Owen Daniels and Kevin Walter. The Texans are 6-4 and 4-3-3 ATS playing at home in August football since 2004 and have covered their last three Week 3 assignments.
Minnesota is 24-13-1 ATS in their last 38 underdog roles and is 16-5 ATS when they score 22 to 28 points in the preseason. From situational perspective, the Vikings could be in a hole, since they are 0-7 ATS on the road versus opponent off a 10 or more point loss.
ESPN will have the first ever preseason meeting between these teams at 8 Eastern. Don’t you wonder what one of the main story lines will be?
Sunday action and concert review
What I saw yesterday – Went to concert last night. First up was Cheap Trick and they rocked and the crowd got into it, unusual for the first of three bands. It was blazing hot with temperature probably not getting below 100 degrees until the very end (outdoor concert obviously). I grew up in Rockford, Ill. so I have seen Cheap Trick literally hundreds of times. Guitarist Rick Nielsen pulled out his five-neck guitar and bragged (kiddingly) “our new songs just came out and it is the top seller in the country on 8-track”.
Next up was Poison and though not a big fan, Brett Michaels put on a great show. Lots of energy and he came across very genuine, a big supporter of the troops overseas.
Last was Def Leppard. They had cool stage setup and Joe Elliot gave a commanding performance as singer. Of course they played all the hits and I always gave them a ton of credit for sticking with drummer Rick Allen after he lost his arm. I found it interesting that Allen learned to use both his feet to play some the drum parts from the earlier albums that required different beats.
A sold out show and everybody and fun.
Announcement- On Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners
Starting this Saturday and on Sunday once the NFL begins, I will have a running analysis of all the college football action on those days. I’ll have all my TV’s lined up, working the remote as well as the computer. Sign up at Twitter and let’s have some fun and all learn something.
Free Baseball System-1) PLAY ON home favorites like the Angels with a money line of -150 or more, after three straight games where they committed no errors, starting a pitcher who was hit for five or more runs in his last two outings. Dating back to when Semi-Charmed Life by Third Eye Blind was a hit song, this system is 38-7, 84.4 percent.
Free Baseball Trend -2) The Atlanta Braves are 3-16 in road games after a win by six runs or more over the last two seasons.
Free Baseball Pick -3) Mark has another winner here and likes Detroit and Jason Verlander to come out victorious.
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Jay Cutler returns to Mile High City
Edward Everett Hale wrote a short story about the death of poor Philip Nolan back in the early 1800’s and based on the path Jay Cutler’s mouth and actions are leading him, he could follow in Mr. Nolan’s footsteps. Hale wrote of Nolan’s death as “A Man without a Country” and Cutler this year is making enemies every time his lips start flapping. (Gosh, Jay Cutler sure looks different out of uniform. Or maybe I pulled the wrong Jay Cutler picture)Cutler would be wise to keep his pie-hole shut Sunday night and absorb the booing the Denver Broncos faithful will rein on him and just play football. The former Vanderbilt product (This is supposed the Harvard of the South, right) showed a rocket arm with oodles of potential in the Rockies, unfortunately proved to have skin thinner than a slice of salami, talking his way out of the Mile High City when his new coach Josh McDaniels didn’t shower him with love and had the gall to check into the services of other available quarterbacks.
Once traded to Chicago, the now windy Cutler, fit right into the Windy City, ripping Broncos fans (later apologizing) compared to Bears’ loyalists and later suggesting Devin Hester is limited as pass receiver. Of course Culter hasn’t exactly made anyone forget Billy Wade or Sid Luckman (very old school Bears QB’s) by his performances thus far, other than having All-Pro foot in mouth offseason.
Lovie Smith’s Bears have looked like most NFL teams this time of year, part choppy and part pretty good. Chicago played well at home last week in containing the Giants in 17-3 as 2.5-point favorites. They will look to do the same in Denver, but are 2-12 ATS off a home win.
Coach McDaniels acted like a rookie coach the way he handled the Cutler saga, but could not have bargained for his best receiver Brandon Marshall, would be so insubordinate he’d have to suspend for the rest of the preseason, with the rest of the story to evolve.
Quarterback Kyle Orton has looked out of place in Denver uniform, throwing numerous bad passes (including interception left-handed). The Denver front office put on happy face after trading for Orton in Cutler deal, hoping the former Purdue chucker could just manage games, much like he did in Chicago. Though nothing really matters yet, Orton has definitely not settled into his new surroundings.
Maybe positive support from the home fans will help, as they see Orton in Broncos home uniform for first time. Denver is 11-2 ATS at home after one or more consecutive straight up losses.
DiamondSportsbook.com has the Broncos as two-point favorites with total listed at 38. Denver is 11-1 ATS when they are below .500 in the preseason. The Bears are 9-21 ATS in the final two weeks of the exhibition season and 12-3 OVER in road games off one or more games going Under the total.
The NBC crew should have field day with this matchup which starts at 8 Eastern.
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