Early Line Moves in Football

For the Early Line Moves, we seek out the earliest lines and compare them on late Tuesday nights numbers to see what the so-called Line Movers do. Last week in college football these plays were solid 6-4 on the sides and 3-2 in college totals. This makes season record 36-26-2, 58 percent on sides and 28-17, 62.2 percent on Totals in CFB. In the NFL, they were 1-1 on sides bringing the record to 10-8, 55.5 percent. On the Totals they were sharp 2-0-1 making the updated figure 11-9-1, 55 percent. As you notice, every one of these is making money this season. Enjoy reading and closely follow these numbers for wagering portfolio.

College Sides
Florida -23 to -26
Fresno State -18.5 to -15.5
Miami-O -8 to -5
N. Mex. State -15 to -12.5
Kansas +1.5 to -1
Miss. State -13 to -10.5
Tulsa -21 to -23

College Totals
Ohio/ Temple 43 to 40 Winner
Northw/Ind 48 to 51.5

NFL Sides
N.Y. Jets -10.5 to -13
Philly -7.5 to -9

NFL Totals
SD/NO 48 to 44.5
STL/NE 44 to 42.5
Wash/Det 44 to 42
NYG/Pitt 44 to 42

College Football Game Day Writeups

One more unbeaten will certainly fall when Oklahoma State travels to Austin to do battle with the top-ranked Longhorns, in an afternoon stuffed with great college football wagering action. In the SEC, the Georgia and LSU winner stays in the BCS title race and Florida State can make a statement about how the revitalization of their program is coming along with a win over average Virginia Tech club. Alabama and Tennessee renew un-pleasantries in late October like usual, with as strong angle in place. Out West, USC has what should be their last road hurdle in the Pac-10, traveling to the southern desert, where Lute Olson used to coach basketball. Click here to read more.

College Football Betting Saturday

We’ll take a 2-0 record everyday of the week and Paul Buck won his Thursday Thunder play on West Virginia at our Picks and Waging Options page. For Saturday we have an 85.7 percent college football system in the Big 10 (11). Our Top Trend looks at how Kent State has faired lately. One perdon from the LLC is 18-2 in last 20 CFB plays, see what he picked below. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) PLAY AGAINST road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more. This system is 24-4 ATS, 85.7 percent and makes Minnesota the play against team.

Free Football Trend -2) Kent State has failed to cover the spread on a Saturday in 13 of last 14 games.

Free Football Selection -3) Our guy from the Left Coast Connection is on incredible 18-2 run in college football and is on Ohio State to upset the Nittany Lions.

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Thursday October 23 Wagering Stuff

Here is a quick update were we stand in monitored football rankings.

The Sports Eye -5th CFB
The Sports Eye -7th NFL
Cappers Watchdog -6th CFB
Free Sports Monitor -5th NFL

All three of these are along the right side of this blog to click on and confirm for yourself. Let’s keep the winning coming. On the subject of winning, we have a Super System play for today that is 83.9 percent involving one of tonight’s college football games. The Left Coast Connection is nearly unanimous about who wins Game 2 of the World Series and today’s Top Trend looks at the NFL and is 10-0 ATS, that’s good you know. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Auburn off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival against opponent off two straight wins against conference rivals. This system is 26-5, 83.9 percent.

Free Football Trend -2) The Cleveland Browns are a perfect 10-0 ATS after playing a road game.

Free Baseball Selection -3) All but one of the 10 Left Coast Connection players are on Tampa Bay tonight.

Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.

Looking in Rearview Mirror in Betting Football

For college football bettors who prefer to play favorites, this past week should have been a very good week for you, as the chalk had its best week since the opening of the season with 32-20 ATS mark. This led to another dismal week for home underdogs who were 8-12 ATS, making the three week total a stock market-like 19-37-3 against the spread. If you’re looking for value, some of the very best is in the SEC. Southeastern Conference road teams are fairly decent 13-12, but shine like a bright red Mustang convertible with 17-5-2 ATS record.

After a fantastic start, Bret Bielema has a half-barrel size problem on his hands at Wisconsin. After being given they keys to the Badgers program by his predecessor and boss Barry Alvarez, Bielema started 17-1 and 10-5-1 ATS. Since losing at Illinois last season, Wisconsin is 7-8 and 5-10 against the spread. Two things worth noting about this, since Bielema was hand-picked all but the senior class are his recruits, leaving one to ponder about the direction of this program. After the Badgers fell behind 28-9 to Iowa, it was evident the players had quit, realizing a fourth straight loss was coming. That might be the largest indictment against Bielema and they are on play against list until further notice.

The exact opposite situation is on the UCLA campus. Coach Rick Neuheisel inherited a team lacking talent and had been stripped dramatically by injuries. The Tennessee win was an exciting way to start, however being blasted by BYU 59-0 and Arizona 31-10 at home, brought home the harsh realities about the true talent of this squad. The former Bruin quarterback was not going to let this team feel sorry for itself. He’s pushed, prodded, scolded and praised this team and they hung with more talented Fresno State and Oregon teams and somehow pulled out a last seconds win against Stanford. The win versus Stanford was the 19th time in Slick Rick’s coaching career, his team had come from behind to win in the fourth quarter. Including the Washington State victory, this Wizard of Westwood has his team on a four-game cover streak.

Few people have a lower opinion of Dave Wannstedt as a coach than I do. It has amazed me how often this guy lands on his feet, in spite of being nothing but a very good defensive coordinator. Now in his fourth season at his alma mater Pittsburgh, he had done nothing to endure himself with the alumni with a 16-19 and 16-16 ATS record coming into the season. A 27-17 home opening loss to Bowling Green as 13.5-point favorites left many wondering if a buyout of Wanny’s contract was in order. Yet like a Robert Downey Jr. career resurrection, coach Wannstedt’s Panthers have won five in a row, the last two on the road at South Florida and Navy. Pitt is playing much like the coach himself, tough and physical. In an extremely weak Big East Conference, Pittsburgh is the favorite, as long as they don’t stumble. I know as soon as I pull out a dime to wager on Pitt they will lose; however it might make more sense for others to consider this team.

Really looking forward to Oklahoma State – Texas matchup. Colt McCoy and the Longhorns are playing with incredible confidence and the defense is really coming along. Oklahoma State went through the pastry section in the first part of their season, yet the win at Missouri was over-powering and many handicappers had Baylor with the points expecting Cowboys letdown. Okie State gave a workman-like effort in beating the Bears 34-6, covering the spread handily. Kudos to coach Mike Gundy and his defensive coordinator, moving DE Derek Burton inside and setting up his other defensive ends and blitzing linebackers to create more pressure on the quarterback. This week at Austin will show how far they have come, having lost 10 in a row at Austin, with last win coming in 1944.

Quick notes- Arizona could be the last team to challenge USC and are home in Tucson this week. Not saying this will happen, but if Oregon State wins out, they are Pac-10 champs.

If you can get a halftime wager on Alabama you might want to. The Crimson Tide has outscored the last three opponents by 69-3 in the first 30 minutes. In the second half, Bama has been outscored 61-13, signs of a talented, but young team.

Of the four unbeaten non-BCS teams, Utah, Boise State, Ball State and Tulsa, the Golden Hurricane have the best shot, in my opinion, with non-conference tilt at Arkansas likely deciding their fate.

NFL Betting Thoughts

Watch the New England Patriots this week when they host St. Louis, as the Monday night winners are on a tear. Thus far in 2008 they are 7-0 with a 5-2 ATS record. Have you heard about West Coast teams going East and having to play games with their body clock starting at 10:00 am Pacific, if you haven’t, its time to pay attention. The three hour time difference has left these teams 0-8 and 1-7 ATS. Will Oakland and Arizona be the next victim’s this week? All teams traveling two time zones are 7-14 against the spread this season.

Teams that have scored 40 or more points are 4-1 ATS in last five. We’ll have to wait a week on how Minnesota and Chicago perform, however the Patriots are up this week. Last week it was mentioned here about Yards Per Point and how well the teams in the bottom five positions are performing this season, contrary to the last three years. Last week they were 3-2 and raised season record to 12-5 ATS. This week Miami, Kansas City and Washington all fit, with Baltimore and Oakland canceling themselves out by playing one another.

I’ve talked about coaches here this year and two currently are impacting their teams. It’s rather apparent the St. Louis Rams players had seen the handwriting on Scott Linehan and were not responding. Reports were Linehan lost control of the situation and was expecting to be fired after 0-3 start. In comes assistant Jim Haslett, who no doubt wants to be a head coach in the NFL again and immediately presents a different attitude (more positive) and expects his players to play with more passion. All the Rams do is pick off two NFC East teams and if they could pull another upset in New England and Arizona losses in Carolina, St. Louis would be just a game behind in the NFC West, Wow.

Wade Phillips by all accounts is a nice man, hard-working and a great assistant coach. Last season he was breath of fresh air to a roster of extremely talented players who felt they didn’t need the whip cracked all the time like Bill Parcells did. Phillips expects the players to practice diligently and play hard on Sunday’s. It worked last year for three quarters of the season. But since beating Green Bay on a Thursday night in late November, the Cowboys are 6-6 and 2-10 ATS, including the Giants playoff loss. The atmosphere surrounding Jerry Jones team keeps them in the headlines; however it is a case of too many chiefs and not even indians. Phillips is no longer the right man to turn Dallas around, unless the players take complete ownership.

The Cleveland Browns have a decision to make in the next few weeks. Quarterback Derek Anderson has returned to being the same player he was at Oregon State and the one who couldn’t beat out Charley Frye in training camp last season. Anderson is like many of the rides at the relatively close Cedar Point Amusement Park, up and down, thrilling and will make you sick to you stomach. GM Phil Savage will have to make a decision soon, which will determine the fate of the franchise for the next several years, hook up the train with Anderson or Brady Quinn?

Is their a better example in the NFL of the old phrase “run the ball, stop the run” than the Indianapolis Colts? New Orleans could be play against team, since they survived without their top receivers, being able to utilize a much improved Reggie Bush. Carolina showed the world, how to stop Drew Brees by playing more press coverage on Saints receivers and New Orleans had no quick fix alternatives after Bush went down, which could keep him out a month.

Ticket Prices and Wagering Material

Not sure if you saw this, “The official price of Super Bowl tickets will reach $1,000 for the first time this season. The NFL confirmed Thursday that 25 percent of the tickets for the Feb. 1 game in Tampa will be priced at $1,000. It also announced it will drop the price of 1,000 tickets at Raymond James Stadium by $200 to $500, the first time the league has cut prices for a Super Bowl.” Are you kidding me, what arrogance! In these times of economic strife, the NFL is acting just like a greedy Wall Street firm. It’s obvious the price cut on a 1,000 tickets is to deflect their real intentions are. The NFL may be king, and this is their way to remind everyone they are so. No talk of socialism in Roger’s world.

We have a great Totals System for college football bettors that is 22-3 and yields four plays. The #1 Longhorns are a Top Trend to think about this upcoming weekend. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) PLAY UNDER on teams against the Total after going over the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, in October contests. This peerless system is 22-3, 88 percent. The qualifying teams are Texas A&M, Rice, Oregon and UNLV.

Free Football Trend -2) The Texas Longhorns are 15-1 OVER after out-rushing opponent by 100 or more yards in three straight games.

Free Football Selection -3) No Plays today.

World Series Preview

For all the whining people have done about baseball being geared towards the money clubs, Philadelphia and Tampa Bay will be the 11th and 12th different teams to play in the World Series in the last seven years. These same complainers will no doubt point to the TV rating which will likely be quite low, however who cares what they think, since this Fall Classic has more storylines than a Gray’s Anatomy episode.

Start with the skippers Joe Maddon and Charlie Manuel. Both are long-time baseball men, entrenched in playing baseball the right way. All aspects of the game are used and instead of playing it by the book, each has shown the desire to take calculated risks (used to be called hunches), unafraid to change up the lineup or move starting pitchers around.

Maddon understood he had a young team and even grew a Mohawk to fit in with his players. Manuel is laid-back soft spoken sort, but is perfect fit for this Philadelphia club, as anyone has watched the Phillies all year or in the playoffs, the number of players that continually put their arms around or are slapping the back of Manual during games when things are going well. You don’t see that happening to Lou Piniella or Joe Torre during games.

These two teams are remarkably similar in many areas. The Rays led the Major Leagues in steals with 142, with the Phils six behind at 136. Philadelphia was 9th in runs scored at 799 and Tampa Bay was four spots lower at 774 runs. Both teams have a first basemen that the offense runs thru in Ryan Howard and Carlos Pena.

Tampa Bay has edge in starting pitching in the series, with all their starters having pitched well in the postseason. Scott Kazmir (13-9, 3.54 ERA) and James Shields (15-10, 3.57) will be the opening starters for Games 1 and 2 at Tropicana Field, where the Rays were 29-7 when this duo threw the opening pitch. Matt Garza (13-10, 3.67) won two games in the ALCS proving his skill and Andy Sonnanstine (8-5 on the road) has accounted himself well in two postseason outings.

Philadelphia has to piece things together more than Tampa Bay. Phillies ace Cole Hamels (17-10, 2.92) can be dominating pitcher and is on top of his game right now allowing just 13 hits and three runs in 22 innings in the postseason. Brett Myers (12-13, 4.59) is hot and cold and Jamie Moyer has been dreadful in two post-season appearances, allowing eight runs in 5 1/3 innings, being the only pitcher to suffer a loss for Philadelphia. Joe Blanton has been pretty decent and the Phils have won his last six starts.

The bullpens are similar, yet very different. Maddon does have a closer in Dan Wheeler, but has shown he will ride a hot pitcher in the right situation like David Price in Game 7 against Boston. If Price can stay as dominant, he would help immeasurably against lefty bats Howard and Chase Utley.

The Phillies have excellent set-up men, all leading to closer Brad Lidge who can slam the door late in games. If Philly can get to the late innings with a lead, they should be able to win each contest.

Nuts and Bolts- Tampa Bay had the best home record in baseball and Philadelphia the second best road in the big leagues. The Rays were better in games decided by three runs or less with 66-42 record compared to the Phillies 64-49 mark. Philadelphia is the hotter team, having won 20 of 25, though Tampa Bay is hardly chilly at 21-12. The Rays were 12-6 against the National League, while Philadelphia was sorry 4-11 versus the junior circuit. For what it’s worth, the former Devil Rays hold a 10-5 all-time lead over the Phils having last played in 2006.

3DW Take: Philadelphia has an intangible the last several National League teams have not, power. The Phillies hit 214 home runs during the regular season, proving they can score runs in bunches. In the last 25 World Series games, the American league has out-homered the National 25-10. For Philadelphia to win, Hamels has to win two games and one starter and the Phillies bullpen will have to pick up another.

Tampa Bay has enthusiasm and talented young players. The Rays are unencumbered by expectations, thus should not feel pressure to have to succeed. Tampa has better starting pitching and has won three of five games on the road in October. If the home run hitting keeps up, this will be a tough club to beat four times.

Recently, most Fall Classic’s have been far from it, this one could go seven. With Tampa Bay being so strong at home, we’ll give them the nod, ironically earning that edge with Scott Kazmir being the winning pitcher at the All-Star Game.

Series odds from Bookmaker.com: Philadelphia +125, Tampa Bay -145

Wednesday October 22
Philadelphia (Hamels) at Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 8:35 EDT

Thursday October 23
Philadelphia (Myers) at Tampa Bay (Shields) 8:29 EDT

Saturday October 25
Tampa Bay (Garza) at Philadelphia (Moyer) 8:35 EDT

Sunday October 26
Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) at Philadelphia (Blanton) 8:28 EDT

Monday October 27
Tampa Bay at Philadelphia if necessary

Wednesday October 29
Philadelphia at Tampa Bay if necessary

Thursday October 30
Philadelphia at Tampa Bay if necessary


Offensive – Playoffs
Runs scored -Philadelphia 4.4 Tampa Bay 5.8
Home Runs -Philadelphia 10 Tampa Bay 22
Slugging Ptc. -Philadelphia .431 Tampa Bay .508
Walks -Philadelphia 34 Tampa Bay 37
On base Ptc. -Philadelphia .335 Tampa Bay .335

Pitching & Defense
ERA -Philadelphia 3.19 Tampa Bay 3.52
Strikeouts -Philadelphia 74 Tampa Bay 85
Walks -Philadelphia 35 Tampa Bay 45
WHIP -Philadelphia 1.32 Tampa Bay 1.32
Errors -Philadelphia 4 Tampa Bay 6

Note- Tampa Bay has played 11 postseason games and Philadelphia nine.

SEC versus Big 12 – Who’s the Best?

The SEC is the acknowledged best conference in college football this decade. In fact the discussion has changed from the first part of the millennium from what is the best league, to who is second behind the Southeastern Conference? The Big Ten resembles some of its states, Ohio and Michigan are losing population base, and college players are not as interested in attending most of these schools as in decades ago. The Big East will rise up now and again, but never be a year after year power. The ACC is a basketball conference, adding Boston College and Miami-Fl. has brought zilch to the league’s prestige or the overall results, though Virginia Tech is a big plus, but only as long as Frank Beamer is there is my guess. Pac-10 is down this year, but they’ll be back as soon as they restock the quarterback positions.

That leaves the Big 12 as the only true contender. Though the final results won’t be in until after the bowl games, these conferences are not as far apart as one might think.

Since 2000, Florida and LSU have combined to be the kings of college football three times. The Big 12 has had its stalwarts in Oklahoma and Texas, winning the BCS trophy twice and the Sooners played in the title game two other times, losing both.

I went back and looked at each teams and league’s non-conference record since 2003 and the results were mildly surprising. (Bowl games excluded)

SEC 191-59 76.4 percent
Big 12 197-67 74.3 percent

The SEC will have a chance to widen this margin since they schedule so many non-league games late in the season or have regional rivalries (Florida- Florida State, Georgia –Georgia Tech), still leaving 15 non-conference games to be played, while the Big 12 has the more traditional approach and has completed their schedule.

For the most part, both leagues schedule beatable teams out of conference and generally are medium to extra-large favorites in most instances. The SEC is well-known for digging up what is now referred to today as FCS schools, to beat the daylights out of, but the Big 12 has actually played more of these guaranteed winners, (49-43) over the last six seasons. Against the spread in non-conference action the two leagues are extremely close.

Big 12 118-106 52.5 percent
SEC 107-101 51.4 percent

One of the beauties of college football is the contrast of how conferences play the same game. The Big 10 has been known for big strong players who are not particularly fast across the board. The Pac-10 has been noted for quarterbacks and skill position players.

The Big 12 has only been around since 1996, with its roots in the Southwest Conference, which was a known as running league. The fundamentals have been altered in recent years to be more offensive-minded. How this occurred was at the lower levels of the conference, schools like Missouri, Kansas, Oklahoma State and Texas Tech were likely to never get the quality of athlete a Texas or Oklahoma would year in, year out. Thus the coaches that have been hired were all offensive by trade, taking the approach of competing by scoring, as compared to defending. This method has seen the Big 12 attract far better talent at quarterback and skill positions then in the past, in terms of league depth.

The SEC is like a video game on fast forward. The amount of speed is astonishing on both sides of the line of scrimmage. In this conference, with so much speed on offense, coaches have to have defensive players that can be disrupters and halt the speed they are facing. This has changed the Southeastern Conference into more of a defensive-first league. To illustrate this point, review the year to year figures of the Top 20 teams in total offense and total defense from these leagues.

2004-Top 20 Offenses
Big 12 (4) Texas Tech- Texas- Oklahoma-Texas A&M
SEC – none

2004 Top 20 Defenses
Big 12 (2) Oklahoma – Missouri
SEC (5) Alabama –LSU- Auburn-Georgia- So. Carolina

2005-Top 20 Offenses
Big 12 (2) Texas-Texas Tech
SEC – none

2005 Top 20 Defenses
Big 12 (3) Kansas- Texas- Oklahoma-
SEC (5) Alabama – LSU- Tennessee- Florida- Georgia

2006-Top 20 Offenses
Big 12 (5) Texas Tech- Missouri- Nebraska- Okla. State- Texas A&M
SEC (2) LSU- Florida

2006 Top 20 Defenses
Big 12 (1) Oklahoma
SEC (4) LSU- Florida- Georgia- Auburn

2007-Top 20 Offenses
Big 12 (7) Texas Tech- Missouri- Okla. State- Kansas- Nebraska-Texas-Oklahoma
SEC (2) Florida- Arkansas

2007 Top 20 Defenses
Big 12 (1) Kansas
SEC (4) LSU- Auburn- Georgia-Vanderbilt

2008-Top 20 Offenses (year-to-date)
Big 12 (7) Texas Tech- Missouri-Oklahoma- Okla. State-Texas- Kansas- Nebraska
SEC -none

2008 Top 20 Defenses (year-to-date)
Big 12 -none
SEC (7) South Carolina- Alabama-Auburn-Georgia-Florida-Kentucky-Tennessee

It’s abundantly clear the difference in the two leagues this season, the quarterback position. In 2008, the Big 12 returned 11 of 12 starting quarterbacks from a season ago, setting the table of success in this conference. Names like Sam Bradford, Chase Daniel, Colt McCoy, Todd Reesing and Graham Harrell and others all returned, it stood to reason this would be a more offensive league, especially when it came to throwing the ball. A check of the top 50 quarterbacks in passing yards shows the Big 12 having seven in the top 20 and nine overall. The first visible signal caller throwing the ball from the SEC is Mathew Stafford of Georgia at #25, with a total of three overall. (Heisman winner Tim Tebow is 69th)

Anytime you have a good quarterback in the college game you have a chance to win. Much like the professional football, the quarterback position is taking on greater importance. He’s has to read multiple defenses, run the option well enough to be a threat and throw with accuracy. A top notch thrower on a team with any sort of defense can be a threat to cover the spread. He can lead his team to victory as an upset winner, or provide that backdoor cover late in the game. This is why I believe this year the Big 12 is on par with the SEC.

In the last five years, the Big 12 has held their own against the SEC in regular season matchups. Overall they are 6-4 straight up and 6-3-1 ATS, including 4-2-1 against the spread on the road.

Bowl games have been a different story and this year more than ever might be most telling. In the last five seasons, the SEC has a decided edge at 7-3 SU and ATS record in the post-season.

Don’t assume the SEC is the best just because of history, since if we assumed everything, the price of gas should be less than half of what it was in May, because the price of a barrel of oil is today, right?

Your thoughts welcome.

Tuesday's Top Betting Info at 3Daily Winners

Our NHL expert just missed going to 3-0, with Boston losing in a shootout last night. Our Top System looks at the money line in the NFL on a short number and is fabulous 92.8 percent. The Carolina Panthers play one way off a division victory, can you guess which way. Nobody is to enthusiastic about tonight’s action, however a few members like the Total in college football. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) PLAY ON Home favorites vs. the money line with an average offensive team (4.9 to 5.4 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.9 to 5.4 YPP), after allowing 250 or less total yards in two consecutive games. This money line system is sensational 26-2 over the last 25 years and points to Pittsburgh Steelers as the right side.

Free Football Trend -2) Carolina is 18-4 UNDER off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival.

Free Football Selection -3) No real strong plays in CFB or the NHL, thus we’ll offer the Under in Ohio/Temple game with 3 Left Coast Connection members favoring that side compared to 2 on the Over.

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You have to see this......

I just heard about this, tell me what you think.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=V3Z-kAmbZCc

Bragging Rights and Other Notes

If you have been following this blog for any time, you know we try and present top notch information. Along with this we try to give out as many winners as possible and always tell the truth, good or bad about our the record. Right today a number of people and our trio of plays are doing incredibly well, thus I going to brag on on us for a moment, because I'm damn proud of how we're doing and the information and people we have assembled.

Our last 11 official Systems, Trends and Free plays have won, that right 11-0. You can look it up yourself right here. Paul Buck has hit his last nine football wagers and myself, the 96-yard touchdown pass by Detroit ended a 13-game winning streak for me. Kendall gave out Baltimore winner on Sunday and had two more winners in the NFL raising his record on the season to 26-5 and another individual from the LCC was on Northern Illinois Saturday and picked up three other winners putting him on 18-2 college football roll.

When myself and few others started this blog, this is what we wanted, useful information to help you win. Eveyone associated with this venture knows all us can start losing almost immediately, which is why the information is so important, because facts don't lie. Traffic is up 43 percent from a month ago, I personally thank you.

Concerning today, Paul likes New England and so do I, yet not enough to make it an official play on his part. Kendall bought the Monday night game at Over 46, but is not making it an official play either. One Trend is in the article below about how Denver does in this totals range. Our Hockey guy is 2-0 thus far and likes Boston in their home opener being 17-6 against Pittsburgh. Good Luck.

Monday Night Betting Matchup

In terms of coaching matchups, it hardly gets any better than this in the NFL with Mike Shanahan versus Bill Belichick. The sideline chess game may be just as good as the one on the field. Both head coaches could be poster boys for “No Guts, No Glory,” especially Shanahan, who went for two points and the win against San Diego in Week 2.

Belichick’s probably the only other coach with enough confidence in his team, and desire to drop the hammer on an opponent. And you can bet he’ll be ready to go for broke given Shanahan’s current three-game winning streak in the series and Denver 4-1 and 5-0 ATS in New England.

The Pats return home after splitting a West Coast trip to San Francisco and San Diego. Despite the loss of Tom Brady, New England is 3-2 (2-3 ATS) after a 30-10 loss against the Chargers last Sunday night. New England wasn’t going to beat San Diego last week; however that game illustrated Matt Cassel’s issues.

Besides taking far too many sacks (19), Cassel’s is slow to react to what is placed in front of him on the football field. Speaking to a person who watches tape on every NFL game, Cassel’s lacks presence in the pocket and finding open receivers at this level of football. He expressed it was clear, despite physical talent, his not starting a football game since high school limits the scope of what he is capable of, thus the vertical passing game of the Patriots is strictly hit or miss. He will be helped playing at Gillette Stadium where New England is 37-21 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record.

He takes aim at a Denver defense that continues to sputter, being ranked 30th no matter where it plays. The Broncos fell for the second time in three weeks, losing at home to Jacksonville, 24-17, and the defense was gored for 416 yards, including 276 yards through the air by David Garrard.

The Pats can still score in bunches and from anywhere—just ask the 49ers, who watched Randy Moss burn the secondary for a 66-yard touchdown. What New England desperately needs to improve is a running game split amongst three players (Sammy Morris, LaMont Jordan and Laurence Maroney), none of whom have distinguished themselves. For the bruising—and often bruised—Maroney and shifty Morris at least Denver’s defense, which allows an average of 137.5 yards per game, offers an opportunity to get on the right track. They will seek to get back to normal off of loss at San Diego, which was first spread loss in October in three seasons.

Jay Cutler looked like the second coming of John Elway as the Broncos averaged 38 points in their first three games. Since then an inexplicable loss to Kansas City, a defensive squeaker against the Bucs and a dull effort against Jacksonville. The Broncos have serious problems on defense against the run and pass and scoring 17.3 points a game like they have in the last three outings won’t mask them.

Bookmaker.com has seen New England hold steady as a three-point favorite, with the total having rose to 48 points. What’s intriguing about the upward movement of the total is Denver is 4-12 ATS when both teams score 20 or more points and New England is 43-18 ATS when they score 22 to 28 points.

Denver covers if they confuse Cassel and make him uncomfortable. Stop the run on the early downs against the Patriots and force Cassel to make plays down the field. Cutler needs to be smarter with the football, as they have seven turnovers in two losses. Cutler needs to be patient, since the New England defense is beatable. If the Broncos maximize efficiency, they move to 15-4 ATS after scoring 17 points or less in two straight games

New England covers by finding Randy Moss. Last week Moss started to revert to Oakland day’s, looking disinterested, get him the ball. Belichick has to change up defense to get more pressure, as defensive backs are below average and can be beaten on middle to deep patterns when the quarterback has time to throw. The offensive line has to block well and control the game. With the total at present figure, it favors the Pats, with Denver disastrous 0-11 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last two seasons.

Our Monday night system looks to play against any away underdog that has failed to cover its last two games. This system is 19-8 ATS, 70.3 percent.

NFL Wagering Info for Week 7

What a superb day at 3Daily Winners with 4-0 record in college football and we have been lucky enough to hit seven in a row. Today you get two systems for the same game, with the latter 15-1 ATS. The Top Trend takes a look at an important divisional contest and Kendall, who is 23-5 in the NFL, serves up what we hope is another Winner. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) Tennessee and Kansas City are off a bye and when two teams meet off a bye week, if the home team is off a loss and the visitor is off a win, the visitor is 15-6 ATS. For the clincher, it is best to Play On any unbeaten favorite with an extra week's rest, since they are 15-1 ATS, 93.7 percent.

Free Football Trend -2) Carolina is 10-2 ATS after scoring 6 points or less in last game.

Free Football Selection -3) We’ll give Kendall one more tour of duty here, seeing he is 23-5 in the NFL and he is playing Baltimore as his Best Bet.

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