Free Baseball Picks at 3Daily Winners

Our System plays are heating up again, and now are 35-20, 63.6 percent. Today 3Daily Winners has uncovered an 80 percent System play, which has won by large margins. Yesterday’s Top Trend was a winning play, giving us 2-1 day and follows the exploits of Washington in Atlanta. A founding member of the LCC has his Top Play available for Free. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher, like it is on San Diego, after five straight games where they stranded seven or less runners on base, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 8.00 the last five games. This truly unique system is 60-15 the last five seasons; with winning margin being 2.4 runs a game.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Washington has lost 13 of last 15 games playing on Saturday.

Free Baseball Selection -3) One of the founders of the Left Coast Connection has been knocking down winners in MLB action with 10-2 mark, picking +8.65 units. Tonight he has the Chicago White Sox as strong selection.

Baseball Betting American League 2nd Half Outlook

With the second half of the season about to commence, here is an in-depth look at many of the different perspectives of the contenders to win divisions or American League pennant. We’ll look into scheduling aspects, key stats that the contenders must maintain or improve upon in the last 60+ games remaining in the season. Additionally, we’ll look into these teams’ odds to win division or be AL representative in the World Series.

The Los Angeles Angels have the best record in the American League at 57-38 (+12.5 units). Their style of play in more National League-like, thanks to manager Mike Scioscia preferring to steal bases, having runners on the move and being aggressive. Despite superior record, they rank just third at most sportsbooks to be AL squad to be in Fall Classic at 3-1 odds. L.A. is only +21 in score differential, thanks to faulty offense. The Halos are 11th in runs scored in the AL, 12th in on-base percentage and impatient at the plate, ranking next to last in walks. The L.A. pitching staff is awesome, however the bullpen ranks only 11th in ERA in the AL. The Angles open the second half with Boston and Cleveland at the “Big A” in Anaheim. After that they head east to face Baltimore, the Red Sox and New York. In scheduling oddity, they have more games left with the Yankees (7), than with division rival Oakland (6).

Oakland continues to hang around in the AL West thanks to tremendous pitching from mostly talented youngsters. The A’s allow the fewest runs; have the lowest OBP surrendered and fourth best bullpen ERA. On offense, Oakland scuffles. The A’s are 11th in OBP and have the 2nd most strikeouts, making scoring runs an uphill battle. After the break, the Athletics road schedule is brutal, with series at New York, at Tampa Bay, at Boston, at Toronto, at Detroit and at Minnesota. Starting August 1, 20 of next 26 contests will be in traveling grays. Oakland is 4-1 to win division and real long shot at 30-1 to make Series.

Texas has baseball’s best offense-to-pitching dichotomy. The Rangers are first in runs scored, 2nd in OBP and 2nd in walks. These free swingers whiff more than any team in the junior circuit. Pitching numbers has Texas last in runs allowed, OBP, walks and next to last in strikeouts and bullpen ERA. In spite of playing pretty good baseball to have 50-46 record, hard to consider them even serious wild card contenders. The Rangers fate could be decided quickly with nine-game roadie at Twins, at White Sox and at Oakland.

The Chicago White Sox lead the AL Central by 1.5 games and are second in the league in run differential at +83. The White Sox offense has gone through a few droughts, yet have bounced back to be third in runs scored. Manager Ozzie Guillen has produced a few tirades; however they have had nothing to do with the pitching. Sox pitchers do a fantastic job in limiting big innings; ranking 2nd in fewest walks and stay out of jams, being 3rd in strikeouts. Closer Bobby Jenks will start the second part of the season on the DL, with the Pale Hose having enough to cover up with the finest bullpen ERA in AL. If Chicago can but together 6-4 road trip starting July 25, they return to U.S. Cellular Field to take on Detroit, Boston and Kansas City, where they are sensational 32-13. Sox are 1-2 to take AL Central and 6-1 to make World Series.

Have to give manager Ron Gardenhire credit again, as most preseason magazines had Minnesota 4th or 5th in the division. Justin Morneau and Joe Mauer are legit stars and Michael Cuddyer has turned himself into a good player from a part-timer. With offensive deficiencies in the lower part of the line-up, scoring a lot of runs will continue to be an issue, but as long as the pitchers continue to give up the fewest walks, Minnesota is still a threat. The Twinkies open second half at the MetroDome and will play 19 of 31 there thru August 20. After this they leave for 15-day, 14-game road trip that sends them out West and to Canada. When the Twins arrive back home, everyone will know if 2-1 odds to division were true.

Detroit really missed a golden opportunity to close the gap in division; losing three of four to Minnesota at home in last series. If they had reversed those numbers, the Tigers would be only five back of Chicago and 1.5 behind the Twins. Holding a 19-27 road record, Jim Leyland’s club will prove if they deserve being mentioned for postseason or just underachievers. Detroit will start with 17 of 20 on the road, which includes six conflicts with the White Sox. To have any hope, they will need to be within four games of Sox to have any potential real chance it appears. The Tigers are 4-1 to win division title and with pitching staff that is 12th in OBP and walks, the Tigers will need gigantic leap by all members of the staff to make run.

When analyzing numbers, no wonder Boston is 13-10 odds to return to World Series to defend crown. Second in runs, first in free passes and OBP, the Red Sox do all the little things right. They will definitely have to clean up 21-29 road record and possibly having David Ortiz back will help. The starting pitching is secure, with more consistency needed out of the bullpen to put together winning streaks of six or seven games. The schedule is fairly balanced and the Red Sox will enjoy a couple more days off than competitors, having played the most games in baseball to this point. Hard not to like Boston chances, if for no other reason than 36-11 record at Fenway Park.

Everyone was waiting for Tampa Bay slump and it came right before All-Star break. The Rays will seek to quickly regroup at Tropicana Field, where they are 36-14. Great pitching has kept Tampa Bay on everyone’s mind, being second in OBP allowed, 3rd best bullpen and 4th in runs allowed. The offense runs hot and cold, which is exhibited by being 3rd in walks and 3rd in striking out. Manager Joe Maddon will have to massage the egos of his young team, since after six home games starting Friday, 20 of next 29 are on the road. The Rays will have mettle tested in September also, playing AL East clubs, plus six with Twins and trio with Tigers. Tampa is 1-1 to steal the East and 5-2 to be Series rep from the AL.

The Yankees still believe they have enough to at least be wild card team. Injured players are returning, giving the New York faithful hope. Statistically, the numbers are not present to suggest such a run, being rather pedestrian in most categories. Joe Girardi’s squad will have opportunity to get on a roll with 13 of 16 at Yankee Stadium beginning Friday. The Bronx Bombers will need to likely be very close come Labor Day, with only 10 home games at Yankee Stadium in September. New York is just 7-1 to win division yet interestingly enough, have same 6-1 odds as White Sox to play in World Series.

Though a real long shot, have to at least mention Toronto, with its exceptional pitching, ranking 2nd in runs allowed. If the Blue Jays could at least be a top five offense team in the second part of the year, they would have to be a factor and sneak up to be in the hunt for wild card.

Free Baseball Picks at 3Daily Winners

A perfect 2-0 as the Left Coast Connection connected on third straight Free Winner and the system was also correct on Thursday. Another extraordinary System play is ready, presently hitting at 85 percent. Today’s top Trend returns in the State with 10,000 lakes and the LCC consensus play goes for four in a row in the great state of Texas. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like San Diego, with a money line of +100 or higher, who are dreadful offensive team scoring 4.1 RPG or less, against an average starting pitcher like Brandon Looper (ERA=4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher like Greg Maddux whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL. This sweet system bakes, at 34-6, 85 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Minnesota is 13-1 in last 14 outings at the MetroDome.

Free Baseball Selection -3) The LCC has nailed down three FREE winners in a row and has seven members are on the Cubs, with nobody supporting Houston.

Free Baseball Picks Return

Hope you enjoyed a brief reprieve. Last Sunday we hit both posted plays. Today, one System play is available with small schedule and it has hit 90.4 percent since 2004. The LCC has another Free MLB play after hitting last two. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST home underdogs, like the Reds with a money line of +125 to +175, who are average offensive team (4.3 to 4.8 runs a game) against a good starting pitcher like Johan Santana (8-7, 2.84) with ERA of 3.70 or less, after a loss by 2 runs or less. This system is flabbergasting 19-2 the last five years.

Free Baseball Trend -2) No superior trends today.

Free Baseball Selection -3) The Left Coast Connection has hit last two plays and has another consensus selection with backers 9 for 9 on the Cardinals.

Baseball Betting National League 2nd Half Outlook

The National League is glad not to have anything to do with the American League until October, when the stakes will be higher. As second half of the year starts today, we’ll examine key stats, scheduling situations of all the teams in contention in the National League. With most teams having about 68 games to play, give or take a few, we’ll see how oddsmakers feel about these teams chances to win division titles and head to World Series.

These are heady times in Chicago this summer, for the first time in 31 years, both major league baseball teams are in first place as the last part of the schedule starts after the break. The Chicago Cubs have been the best team in the senior circuit for the vast majority of the season. They have been consistently one of the best bets in baseball at +12.2 units, and an incredible +19 at Wrigley Field with 37-12 mark. Chicago lead the NL in runs scored, on-base percentage and walks and are 3rd in runs allowed, accounting for largest run differential in the sport at +106. With Alfonso Soriano coming back and Rich Harden solidify starters; the only real pieces left are the return to form of Carlos Marmol and Kerry Wood being a touch more consistent out of the back end of pen. The Cubs will attempt to open a gap between them and Brewers and Cardinals in August, with 21 home games. If this fails, could be dicey September with only nine contests at Friendly Confines. Cubs are 1-3 to win division and odds on choice at 3-2 to make World Series at many Vegas sportsbooks. (Cubs fans and backers, drink lots of fluids)

Milwaukee will give it go, being able to have three excellent and two pretty serviceable starting pitchers over every five-game period. In order to catch the Cubs or be the wide card team, the 7th ranked scoring offense has to climb into the top five, as 11th ranked bullpen does not figure to get much better unless starters can regularly go 7+ innings. Brewers are 5-2 to comeback and win NL Central and 5-1 to return to Series for the first time since Hall-of-Famers Robin Yount and Paul Molitor were patrolling old County Stadium. Milwaukee’s schedule is balanced and includes 10 games with division leading Chicago. The only downside of remaining games is only a dozen versus the NL West.

One of the great mysteries of the first half of the season is how the St. Louis Cardinals have 53-43 record. Based on talent and ability, more than half the teams in the NL have better one-two starting pitcher combo than Kyle Lohse and Adam Wainwright of the Cardinals. The bullpen has 13-20 record and has blown 20 saves; along with 4.29 ERA, which is 13th in the National League. The staff strikes out the fewest batters in the league, just on this information alone, it’s impossible to believe St. Louis would have the best road record in the NL at 27-22, +10.5 units. Yet the offense is second to Cubs in OBP, draws the 2nd most walks and is steady as it goes. The Cards are 5-1 to snag division crown and open with eight home games, including four with the Brew Crew. By August 14, everyone will have a good indication about the Tony LaRussa’s club, playing mostly contenders until that time.

Philadelphia is 2nd in runs scored, has the best bullpen in baseball, and yet can’t create any separation in NL East due to unstable starting pitching. It would seem the Phillies will try to add a starter by July 31 trade deadline, using Brett Myers as the bait for a team needing bullpen help. The offense has been more dissonant than expected and will face immediate test, at Florida and at New York, to start 12 of 15 road contests. Starting August 5, the Phillies play 15 of 22 at home. Philadelphia is just a shade behind Mets to win division crown at 11-10 and 9-2 to earn right to play in Fall Classic.

The Mets are a challenge to figure. After not being to get out of their own shadow, they close 9-0 to have the same number of losses as front-running Philly. Skeptics claim beating San Francisco and Colorado at home is not overly impressive; nevertheless, shutting them out four times in six encounters is an attention grabber. The offense has been tastier than a Nathan’s all-beef, scoring 6.2 runs per game in July. The schedule does not feature any long or short home or road trips and the furthest destination will be one time zone away at Houston. If the starting pitchers can deliver 6+ innings regularly, the warts the bullpen has can be masked pretty well. If the bats continue to grind, the Mets should win the East and 7-2 wager to return to Series is possible.

Just when it looks like it is time to right off Florida, they have resurgence. At 50-45, nobody takes them serious as real contenders (5-1 to win NL East), especially being -28 run differential. The Marlins give up too many runs (14th), allow too many free passes (14th), leaving the offense to pick up the slack. Somehow, someway, Florida scores in bunches and is 3rd in runs scored. Though they create natural wind flow leading the league in K’s, the Marlins find ways to manufacture wins. For exactly one month, Florida plays NL contenders, with possible exception of Colorado. Remember August 18 standings for Florida, it will tell the tale.

Arizona is a squad in real need of veteran leadership. This division is pathetic and they have found a way to bring others back into contention. Bullpen leaks oil, mostly on the road, the starting pitching could be great if Micah Owings and Randy Johnson find a groove. The hitters are too stubborn for their own good, whiffing 3rd most in the league. The D-Backs are 27-19 in downtown Phoenix and could use fast start, facing the Dodgers and Cubs at home. If successful, this creates immediate space in the standings. Build a small lead, hang on and wait until August 19, when the only trip is to sordid San Diego over next 15 ball games.

Like Arizona, the Los Angeles Dodgers are 1-1 odds to win NL West. Playing in Dodger Stadium helps L.A. surrender the fewest runs among the sixteen teams and strongly contributes to them being 13th in runs scored. The bullpen is second in the league in ERA, which means if this team is going to win division; the bats will have to come alive. With virtually no power (15th in home runs), how the Dodgers start magically scoring more runs is food for thought. A 3-3 road trip to commence second half is good beginning, with 20 of next 26 at home. If possible, Joe Torre’s club will want to have a lead in the division by September 8, when only six games will remain to be played at Dodger Stadium.

Because the NL West is so sad, San Francisco and Colorado have to be mentioned and now they have been.

Brett Favre Overdose

This whole Brett Favre situation has really taken a turn for the worse it seems. What’s most troubling is both sides are essentially talking about same elements that have occurred, with each interrupting the events in their own way. Both sides have valid points and I have no idea how this will get solved.

Those reporting in the media seem to be on board with Rodgers deserves chance since Favre retired. Hard to disagree there. Brett backers can’t get enough of this long time warrior and would support him if he threw a 100 interceptions (receivers just ran wrong routes, wink).

O.K. seeing I’m main writer for this blog, I should have opinion and do, though it’s different from what I wrote a week ago. Still being a Packers season ticket holder (Milwaukee version), I initially supported management, knowing I was a Green Bay fan before #4 and will be one after he leaves. I do feel for Aaron Rodgers, this does stink after all this time, but last I looked, life is like Forrest Gump said.

As a fan, I want the team I root for to have the best chance to win possible, period. If this situation comes to complete impasse, coach Mike McCarthy declares quarterback position open. That’s right, Fav-re quit, team needed commitment he could not deliver, gave his best answer at the time. Packers went with Rodgers, who is best available quarterback on the roster. Rodgers feels he deserves to be starter, Favre believes he’s proven (rightfully) he shouldn’t be backup. Have open competition in camp and let the best player earn the job. As a true competitor, both would be asked to perform at their best. While Rodgers might feel the situation is weighted against him, too damn bad. If you are truly the right QB for what ended up being the second best team in the NFC, show your worth.

Having previously lived in the state of the frozen tundra for many years, winning with Favre would be great, but winning with Rodgers will work also.

Though never really a huge fan of Billy Packer, was surprised he was either leaving or being shown the door. Listening to Packer describe games was generally a pleasure with his no-nonsense basketball-first style. His often aloof approach to the selection committee, the changes in the college game, left him seeming out of touch in the new millennium. His personal views about life and politics only alienated people, thus why would he bother other than to be heard.

In all honesty, thought Packer was better than he had been in years this past season. He was more into games, talked more frankly about players and situations. In different telecasts he observed O.J. Mayo and Eric Gordon were good, not great college players. He mentioned he understood, both would likely go in the NBA draft after the season, but were far from polished products. He talked about how dull the Big Ten tournament was, lacking top level players compared to other conferences. His remarks about North Carolina being done in the national Final Four game were priceless, as Jim Nantz and every CBS executive’s jaw fell to the floor based on his appraisal so early in the contest, of which the network is shelling out a 1, with a whole bunch of zeroes behind it to broadcast.

Thanks Billy, it’s been fun, as we move into the world of Clark Kellogg and “taking the orange to the tin” or “he’s got a lot in his bookbag”.

Baseball Betting Changes

Earlier this season while doing research, came across a rather curious trend in major league baseball. At that point, it had been winning at a high rate of return and though it has slowed down to a point, still delivering far better than average results. Having never seen it mentioned anywhere else, decided to see if it had any legs beyond this season.

The angle read this way – What does a baseball team do against the money line, after exactly three consecutive games of 10 or more hits and next contest is on the road?

What was uncovered, road teams in this role have lost 40 of 62 games played to date in 2008, a 35.4 winning percentage. Playing against these teams has earned a dependable +15.60 units of profit, right at the All-Star break. What has been a boom for bettors is profits have been available in all areas concerning the money line.

Road favorites are 9-12, -5.85 units
Road underdogs are 12-25, -7.60 units
Road team “Pick” 1-3, -2.15 units.

Is this trend an anomaly for this season or has this been missed by baseball betting researchers?
Went back to 2007 and found 124 instances of this occurring for the entire season and the results were far different than this current campaign. Last year road teams were 61-63 in the same scenario and actually showed a profit in all games.

Road favorites were 26-19, +2.85 units
Road underdogs were 31-39, +6.99 units
Road team “Pick” 4-5, -1.25 units.

When I started thinking about what these numbers would mean in terms of perception, had to try break it down two ways, with two different conclusions. It would seem if a team is hitting the ball well enough to post three consecutive games of double digit base-knocks, the carryover affect would be strong, no matter where they played, unless they happened to draw the ace of the opposing team’s staff.

Having started with the 2008 numbers first, developed another way of looking at this, surmising the road team has not been able to continue the momentum of swinging the lumber with a high degree of execution and just ran out of luck as the road team, with the law of average just catching up with them.

Decided to put on archeologist attire and dig into 2006 and see which way was more prevalent. As it turned out, the original perception was right on the money, with road teams showing large gains and significant profit.

Road favorites were 25-10, +13.45 units
Road underdogs were 34-41, +9.35 units
Road team “Pick” 4-10, -6.5 units.

This reinforced original belief a hot-hitting team is dangerous, even on the road. The confidence level is high for those in the lineup and they are less intimated by playing on the road as a whole. A piece of very useful information was found, showing road teams off three games of 10 or more hits that are a “Pick”, are mere 9-18 the last three years.

Going back to where we started, based on the previous two years, how does one explain the lack of success road teams have had in 2008? While no one answer will encompass the entire scope of this question, there would appear to be one explanation that generally covers why this has occurred to date. As of right now, only three teams have a winning road record in major league baseball. In 2007, seven teams ended up above .500 record as visiting team and 2006 saw a total of 10 squads finishing in-the-black as visitors. Those numbers correlate to highlighted figures.

Thus far, road teams are winning 43.1 percent of all games played compared to 46 percent the prior three seasons. Will the trend of playing against these specific road teams continue or will the numbers equal out by the end of the year as per usual? Of course their no way to know precisely, but every year in all the various sports, unusual situations go against the norm, this could be one worth following.

Free Baseball Picks at 3DW

Sorry to be so late, right up against game time, but was searching for top quality system and could not find one, thus will pass instead of putting something ordinary out there. After another 3-0 sweep of the board yesterday, 3Daily Winners has well regarded Perfect Trend and another swell Free Play ready for tonight. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System -1) No top quality systems available today.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Baltimore continues to fetor on Sunday’s with 0-13 record.

Free Baseball Selection -3) The Left Coast Connection has another consensus play almost as strong as last night’s on the New York Mets.