Saturday May 31, Three Daily Winners Betting Info

Went into extra innings to lose two of yesterday’s plays and the Toronto hot bats punished a bad Angels bullpen. Today’s System is a powerful 38-5, the Trend supports an 80.9 winning record and our newest introduction of Kendall, has him backing an American League club. Good Luck.

System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Washington with a money line of +150 or more, versus a starting pitcher like Brandon Webb (9-2, 1.098 WHIP) whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, with a hot starting pitcher like Jason Bergmann, whose ERA is less than 2.50 (0.00) over his last three starts. The rational for this system is oddsmakers have little faith that a pitcher like Bergmann can keep pitching this well and a top notch hurler like Webb will win. This system is 38-5, 88.4 percent the L5Y.

Trend – 2) Toronto is 17-4 against the money line with a hot bullpen who’s WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games this season.

FREE Selection -3) Kendall from the LCC is on 11-3 run in all sports and is taking Cleveland to keep Kansas City’s losing streak intact.

Friday May 30, Three Daily Winners Wagering Tips

As promised here at 3Daily Winners, we got right back on board with two winners and a fortunate push on the Lakers. Today we have a 15-3 System play on an underdog, offering excellent value. Our Trend selection is on another underdog, based on road team being favored with meager record. The FREE play is a consensus play from the LCC. Good Luck.

System -1) PLAY ON road underdogs like the White Sox with a money line of +100 or higher, with a starting pitcher, (J. Contreras 5-3, 1.049) whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL, and has pitched even better, with a WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games. In the past five years, this dog has delivered 15 winners in 18 games, 83.3 percent.

Trend – 2) Boston is 2-11 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or fewer runners on base per game this season.

FREE Selection -3) The consensus of players in the Left Coast Connection favors the Halos to beat Toronto.

Celtics and Pistons showing their age

If anyone wagered on Boston to win the Eastern Finals, chances are the feeling is becoming increasing more comfortable, given the fact Boston is 29-0 all-time in the playoffs when leading 3-2 in a series. While bettors under 30 years old will scream, they don’t care about Larry Bird, Kevin McHale, Bill Russell or Red Auerbach, the guys that built this streak, facts are facts and have yet to see anyone in the last three decades or so that has an A.D. after their name that wasn’t associated with a job.

In watching this series, you can’t help but notice the window of opportunity is probably closing for both teams after this season, if they don’t produce a NBA championship. General Manager Danny Ainge was looking very much like a man needing a new job after falling to fifth in the NBA draft, from top spot last season, being more immediately crestfallen than a 16-year old being told they could not take the family car by them selves after receiving drivers’ license the same day. After dusting himself off, Ainge and coach Doc Rivers, put together a plan which saw them acquire Kevin Garnett and Ray Allen, to go along with Paul Pierce and quicker than a cheesy magician can yell “Presto!” Boston was rebuilt. They went on to have the best regular season record in the league at 66-16, with 54-28 ATS record.

A review of the Big Three shows Garnett and Allen at 32 years old and Pierce coming in at 30. The grind of the postseason is tough on any player, but each of these players has shown the affects of a long season in the playoffs, far more often than one might expect and each will have a short turnaround leading to next season. This places additional urgency on each player, since they understand why they were brought together in the first place. The Big Three, along with Kendrick Perkins enabled the C’s to win Game Five. The three elder statesmen were 7 for 10 beyond the arc and Boston was 8 for 15 overall, leading Boston backers to really like the Celtics, who are 12-2 ATS after a game where they made 50 percent of their three-point shots or better this season.

In spite of a noble fourth quarter comeback, Detroit has not played with the passion associated with championship teams. A perusal of the Pistons roster shows Rasheed Wallace and Antono McDyess will both be 34 before the start of next season, Chauncey Billups will be 32 and Richard Hamilton is 30 years old. The youngest core player is Tayshaun Prince at 28. That is not to say Detroit or Boston is going to age years overnight, yet when players of this basketball life span have a hard time getting up for playoff games, what will the regular season for next year bring as far as emotions?

The Pistons return to The Palace, 14-5 ATS off a road loss this season, also knowing Boston is 0-7 ATS on the road when leading in a playoff series the last six weeks. All the key members of the Detroit roster disappeared for significant lengths of time in last outing, if this happens again, they’ll be leaving the locker room as well, headed for unwanted summer vacation.

Detroit 5.5-point home favorite at most reporting wagering outlets with Total having risen to 175. The Pistons have covered 14 of last 19 home games and will face a Boston outfit that is 2-8 against the spread in last 10. The Celtics have managed to crank up the effort after teams have broke the century mark against them, with 40-13 ATS record.

In Game Six on ESPN, Detroit tries to continue the dream, while Boston pushes to advance. The tip will be after 8:35 Eastern, with the road team up to 10-3 ATS when these two veteran teams collide.

Lakers Finish off San Antonio

Even though the Los Angeles Lakers won’t be singing Willie Nelson’s, “Turn out the lights the party’s over” song, they will be trying to turn out the dim hopes of San Antonio Spurs for this season. Much like somebody trying to get a drink after last call, the Spurs Brent Barry’s last ditch effort, came up empty. It’s back to La-La Land, where the stars will be brighter than ever, looking to bask in the glow of the Lakers advancing to the NBA Finals.

It was unbelievable to watch Brent Barry get fouled on the game’s last play, (he did) and San Antonio not make a huge stink about it. The Spurs players were maybe too stunned to react and coach Greg Popovich’s infamous stare would zero impact. The fact remains, San Antonio had no business stealing that game, since they did little over the course of 48 minutes to do so.

After a brilliant Game 3, Manu Ginobili played like he just saw the premiere episode of Denise Richards reality TV-show, “It’s Complicated”. The Lakers defenders did a significantly better job of making the Argentinean go to his right and he was held to just seven points, which affected his defense also.

Though constantly double-teamed from different angles, Duncan scored 29 and grabbed 17 boards, yet he’ll be haunted by missing more one-foot shots (7) than a 10-year old at basketball camp. This situation does not set up well for San Antonio, with 24-25 record this season on the road, with only 18 covers.

What has changed from last year to this season for the Spurs to be in this predicament? Start with being one year older across the board. San Antonio knew they could beat weak-minded Phoenix, owned more experience than New Orleans, but the Lakers are different. They are long to clog up the middle; they have fresher and younger legs and have the only coach that can truly match wits with Popovich in Phil Jackson. The last point might be the most important, as teams or players age, they lack the ability to take it to the rim and finish. San Antonio’s best three players in the paint are Duncan, Ginobili and Tony Parker, the latter two being guards. The rest of the roster is essentially jump-shooters, leaving the team at the mercy of how they shoot. When L.A. has clogged the paint to stop everyone but Mr. Fundamental, they’ve won.

The Lakers are 7-0 (5-2 ATS) at the Staples Center in the postseason and are the last team still playing not to lose on the home hardwood. Los Angeles is up to 10-2-1 ATS after a straight up win and coach Jackson has again adroitly used his roster to the team’s advantage. He knows his club has a speed and quickness edge in this series. Jackson makes great adjustments, but more importantly, he knows almost immediately what he will receive from his bench players. Vlade Radmanovic has played exceptional at times; Sasha Vujacic has played extended minutes when he shoots well and Jordan Farmar has been defensive dynamo in short spurts. Though his minutes will vary greatly depending on opposition, Luke Walton was a big contributor off the pine in Game 4.

The Lakers opened as 7.5-point favorites at most wagering outlets and were quickly bet up to eight, with bettors smelling the blood in the water. It would be foolish beyond comprehension to believe San Antonio will just show up and play like the Memphis Grizzlies. This team and whole organization is too proud and has the heart of a champion and is 14-5 against the spread in Conference Finals for a reason. They will have to be contrarian to what they have been all season, with 2-10 ATS mark in road games after playing two consecutive home games this season.

All four games in this series have gone Under to total and linemakers have established Game 5 at 193.5. Los Angeles is 8-2 UNDER after a win and San Antonio has played UNDER in last six games with a day’s rest.

My intial thought was L.A. motors past the Spurs. Don't like the trend that shows the Lakers are 9-23 ATS in home games off a road win by three points or less, with winning margin 3.6 points. Plus the aforementioned San Antonio pride. Lakers on the money line makes the most sense.

Thursday May 29, Three Daily Winners Wagering Info

Had rare losing day at 3Daily Winners and we’ll try to get on track immediately. The System play needed a total Royals ninth inning meltdown to falter, we’ll bring in an unreal situation that has a 94.1 percent record. The Trend play is in the NBA this evening, while I’ll try to stay en fuego with the balls and bats. Good Luck.

System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Colorado with a money line of +125 to +175, a below average NL hitting team (.255 or less BA) against a team with a good bullpen like the Cubs (3.75 or less ERA), with a starting pitcher like Jeff Francis (1-5, 6.19) whose ERA is 5.70 or worse on the season (NL). This fascinating system is 16-1 since 2004.

Trend – 2) The Lakers are 10-2-1 ATS after a straight up victory.

FREE Selection -3) Thanks to Frank, for providing us and you readers with a number of NBA Winners. I’ll take a stab at the MLB board, thanks to a few quality days, as seen at FSM and back the White Sox.

Hump Day May 28, Three Daily Winners Betting Info

Frank from the Left Coast Connection can’t be stopped in the NBA Playoffs, providing 3Daily Winners FOUR FREE WINNERS in a row. He has another going tonight, with Detroit and Boston contest. The System plays are nearly as good, with 14-2 amazing run. Another outstanding system is loaded for today. Good luck.

System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Minnesota with a money line of +125 to +175, after a win by two runs or less against opponent after scoring four runs or less five straight games. Take Kansas City with Zack Greinke to end the Royals nine game slide, with system that is 14-3, 82.3 percent the last three seasons.

Trend – 2) The D-Backs are 22-4against the money line revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last two seasons.

FREE Selection -3) Frank from the Left Coast Connection has hit seven straight NBA plays, including four in a row right here. Though he doesn’t like the side, he’s taking the UNDER in the first half, with a system he believes in, that has hit 93.7 percent in this situation. Hard to doubt him with as hot as he is.

Baseball Bettor’s Silent Killer

Have you noticed what’s been going on in major league baseball this season? Nobody knows if it will last or if it will just end up being one of those years, but whatever it is, either the “sharp” bettor is going down hard or the so-called “square” is enjoying great success. What are we talking about, the baseball road kill epidemic.

A look at the May 27 standings has road teams winning just a notch over 43 percent of the time, a very low figure. As of today, only five teams in the big leagues have a winning record.

Florida 12-8
L.A. Angels 16-11
Chicago W.S. 15-13
Philadelphia 15-13
St. Louis 13-12

That’s it, only a handful of teams have shown the capacity to win on the road, with just four others managing a small profit for bettors. In all, road teams have lost -80.8 units and if you add up the all the teams with losing road marks, they are -116.1 units.

Typically, smart bettors prefer underdogs, because of the value of the money line, making actual wins and losses less important. Long time handicapper Tony Stoffo has often been published about winning large sums of money betting baseball, despite a losing record. Seeing a high percentage of road teams are underdogs, to date this has been a costly way to wager on baseball.

Baseball road chase systems have taken a beating also, as the frequency of road teams being swept has been inordinately high. In all, 43 times visitors have been swept in a series with a minimum of three games, 23 in the American League and 20 in the National League. How important are these number to baseball bettors?
In the last three seasons, here is the winning percentage of home teams during the regular season.

2007 – 54.2 percent
2006 – 54.6 percent
2005 - 53.7 percent

If you extrapolate the current winning percent of 56.9 against the three-year average of 54.2 percent, this would be 75 more wins for the home teams over the course of an 81-game home schedule, a minimum +75 units of profit, a huge figure.
What has happened to have road teams perform so poorly? Major League baseball has seen a NFL-like change in the records of teams that made the playoffs from last season. The World Series champion Red Sox, are a downtrodden 11-17, dropping 7.7 units. San Diego has been dreadful all season, more so on the road at 8-19, -11.0 units. Colorado, who’s late season rush took them to the World Series, 8-17, -7.7 units on the road. Plus, Cleveland at 8-13 and the Cubs at 10-13, have combined to lose -10.2 units.

In addition, Detroit was supposed to be strong contender in the American League and they are 9-16 on the road, while the New York Mets, who won 47 games in the traveling grays in 2007, have started 11-16.

This is followed up with several hard to explain home/road dichotomies by major league teams.

Boston with their poor road record, is a baseball best 21-5 at Fenway Park. Atlanta may be 6-16 on the road, but is impressive 21-7 at Turner Field. Last season’s playoff combatants Arizona and the Cubs are below .500 on the road, nonetheless, love the home cookin’ with 19-8 and 20-8 records in respective home ballparks. Baltimore is 10-18 on the road, yet is .500 for the season, thanks to 15-7 mark at home. Even Tampa Bay has joined in, with incredible 20-8 (+11.5 units) record at Tropicana Field, including 14-4 versus AL East opponents, leading to being in first place in their division.

Don’t think for a second oddsmakers haven’t noticed. Your typical money line home favorite of the past, fit into -120 to -125 home favorite spot. With what has occurred thus far, -130 to -135 is a more fair number, before considering pitching matchups.

The bottom line to home teams winning this season is not unlike what happened to the New England Patriots in football last year. If you want to back baseball’s home teams, you are going to pay the price. This does add value to playing road teams, however if the bettor can not isolate which road teams will win, a loss is still a loss.

No question, this bares watching and following intently for serious baseball bettors.

Tuesday May 27, Three Daily Winners Betting Info

Frank from the Left Coast Connection is on a hot NBA run, having hit six in a row. He has another Free selection listed below. The System plays are now incredible 13-2 and have an American League contest that could be very solid. It took an extremely rare bad day by Brandon Webb to end a nice streak on the trend plays, which are still 6-3 of late. Good luck.

System -1) PLAY ON home favorites like the Angels with a money line of -110 or higher, averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game on the season, after scoring four runs or less five straight games. The premises is the home favorite is due to bust loose offensively and is 33-9, 78.5 percent the last three years, including 12-3 in 2008.

Trend – 2) The Red Sox despite poor road record thus far in 2008, just murder bad teams and are 22-4 facing clubs with losing records.

FREE Selection -3) Frank from the Left Coast Connection has been killing it in the NBA playoffs and will for seventh straight win and third in a row at 3Daily Winners by taking the Lakers and the points.

Memorial Day, Three Daily Winners Wagering Info

It took a foolish Cleveland extra inning error to possibly keep the System plays alive for another winner. Like all intelligent bettors, you understand what a 12-2 record over the last two weeks mean. The Trend plays are on 6-2 run and we’ll look for two in a row for Free picks today. Have a GREAT Memorial Day and Good luck.

System -1) PLAY ON All favorites like Tampa Bay, with a money line of -175 to -250, who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game on the season. This system is remarkable 50-5, 90.9 percent since the beginning of 2004.

Trend – 2) These are two top trends relating to same game. Arizona is 13-1 UNDER in road games after a win by six runs or more over the last three seasons and Atlanta is 13-1 UNDER after one or more consecutive Overs this year.

FREE Selection -3) Frank from the LCC has been smokin’ in the NBA Playoffs. Yesterday he had San Antonio for his sixth straight easy winner and believes Detroit Pistons will be the same tonight.

Sunday May 25, Three Daily Winners

Would have had a perfect day at 3DailyWinners yesterday, except for Kerry Wood of the Cubs blowing another save. The value of System plays is exhibited by almost perfect record with a 12-1 record. The Trend plays have hit five of last seven, making them valuable as well. Good luck.

System -1) PLAY ON home favorites like Cleveland with a money line of -175 to -250, with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing two runs or less. Over the last five years, this system is a piping hot 56-9, 86.2 percent.
Trend – 2) Seattle is 0-11 against the money line after two or more consecutive Overs this season.
FREE Selection -3) Frank from the LCC, has hit the correct side in NBA Playoffs five times in a row and has San Antonio in a big play.