For the Early Line Moves, we seek out the earliest lines and compare them on late Tuesday nights numbers to see what the so-called Line Movers do. Last week in college football these plays were solid 5-3-1 on the sides and 5-6 in college totals. This makes season record 50-33-1, 60.2 percent on sides and 37-29, 56 percent on Totals in CFB. In the NFL, it was not good with 0-1 mark on sides bringing the record to 12-10, 54.5 percent. On the Totals they were just as bad at 0-2. making the updated figure 17-13-1, 56.6 percent. Enjoy reading and closely follow these numbers for wagering portfolio.
College Sides
Ball State -15.5 to -18.5 Lost
Iowa -14 to -16
Colo. State +2.5 to Pick
S. Miss Pick to -2.5
Oregon -4 to -6
Ohio State -7.5 to -9.5
UTEP -9 to -12.5
LSU -18 to -16
College Totals
CMU/NIU 48 to 51 Winner
N.D./Navy 48.5 to 51
Tex.A&M/Baylor 64 to 62
AZ/Oreg. 64 to 61
S.J. St/Nevada 56.5 to 53
Neb/K-State 74 to 71
SMU/UTEP 75.5 to 71
NFL Sides
Atlanta -4.5 to 6
NFL Totals
Phil/Cin 43 to 45
NO/KC 47.5 to 49.5
Minn/TB 41.5 to 38.5
Dall/Wash 46 to 43
I’m not a big college football Totals player, but have been tracking a system this year that is 44-30, 59.4 percent. Here are today’s plays to follow or do as you wish. (Had the CMU/NIU game Over, not included in these numbers)
UNC/ Maryland OVER
UAB/Tulane OVER
Rutgers/USF OVER
College Football Game Writeups
The old Florida football coach returns for a second trip to many of his greatest triumphs. Steve Spurrier arrives in Gainesville with a ranked South Carolina club, trying to defeat what many consider the best team in the country today. Ohio State was thought to be that team by many in August; instead they are seeking revenge at Illinois. The ACC continues to try to solve convoluted mess with North Carolina and Maryland winner staying in contention. Texas still has hopes to win the Big 12 South and can’t slip up on the road against risky Kansas club. Oregon State still has the inside track to win the Pac-10 and go to Rose Bowl for the first since 1965 and has to defeat Cal at home to keep advancing.To read the complete article, click here.
College Football Wagering Stuff
A 1-2 Friday, as San Antonio dug deep and pulled out a win over Houston. Started right for college basketball bettors with Penn State coming thru in the first official play of the season. We have an awfully good System Play for Saturday that is 87.1 percent. Today’s Top Trend is a continuation of what a certain Bulldog does, being quite overrated. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) – PLAY ON favorites of 21.5 to 31 points in conference games, after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival. The Florida Gators fit this mold for this system that is 27-4 ATS, 87.1 percent, including 4-0 this season.
Free Football Trend -2) Fresno State is 1-14 ATS after one or more consecutive straight up losses over the last three seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) Slick Rick has nailed his last nine college football plays including his HUGE play on Buffalo two nights ago. Though his wager won't be that big, his favorite play today is Texas.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Free Football System-1) – PLAY ON favorites of 21.5 to 31 points in conference games, after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival. The Florida Gators fit this mold for this system that is 27-4 ATS, 87.1 percent, including 4-0 this season.
Free Football Trend -2) Fresno State is 1-14 ATS after one or more consecutive straight up losses over the last three seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) Slick Rick has nailed his last nine college football plays including his HUGE play on Buffalo two nights ago. Though his wager won't be that big, his favorite play today is Texas.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Get Your Friday Betting Groove On
An excellent bounce back Thursday with 3-1 record. We do feel bad for the Left Coast Connection member who had the Miami Hurricanes, but that’s gambling. With college basketball starting in earnest tonight, thought we’d throw out the best System available tonight, which has been 90 percent the last two years. We have a peculiar Top Trend to follow in the NBA and it’s never lost. Free Play ready. Good Luck.
Free Basketball System-1) - Play On favorites of 10 or more points like Penn State, who were marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49 percent of their games, with four starters returning from last season. This system is 30-8 ATS, 78.9 percent and 9-1 the last two years.
Free Basketball Trend -2) The Charlotte Bobcats are 0-13 ATS versus crummy 3-point shooting teams making 30 percent or less of their attempts.
Free Basketball Selection -3) Five members of the LLC are backing the Houston Rockets tonight.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Free Basketball System-1) - Play On favorites of 10 or more points like Penn State, who were marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49 percent of their games, with four starters returning from last season. This system is 30-8 ATS, 78.9 percent and 9-1 the last two years.
Free Basketball Trend -2) The Charlotte Bobcats are 0-13 ATS versus crummy 3-point shooting teams making 30 percent or less of their attempts.
Free Basketball Selection -3) Five members of the LLC are backing the Houston Rockets tonight.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Lots of Thursday Wagering Action
We’ve stumbled the last few days collectively, including 0-2 yesterday. It’s time to pick ourselves up and dust off and find some winners. Today’s we have TWO Free Plays each coming from LLC members who are going deep. The Top Trend is from the Keystone State on the ice. The Best System going is in the NFL and is 22-4 84.6 percent. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON any team revenging a home loss against opponent, in a game involving two good teams (60 to 75 percent) in the second half of the season. This is easy to comprehend system is 22-4 ATS, 84.6 percent. The revenge-minded team has won by almost six points a game. Oh yea, the team is the Jets, Jets, Jets.
Free Hockey Trend -2) The Pittsburgh Penguins are 11-1 at home against Philadelphia in last dozen meetings.
Free Football Selections -3) Two members of the Left Coast Connection are making HUGE wagers tonight. One backing Buffalo with the points and the other Miami-FL. Hope it works out for them.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON any team revenging a home loss against opponent, in a game involving two good teams (60 to 75 percent) in the second half of the season. This is easy to comprehend system is 22-4 ATS, 84.6 percent. The revenge-minded team has won by almost six points a game. Oh yea, the team is the Jets, Jets, Jets.
Free Hockey Trend -2) The Pittsburgh Penguins are 11-1 at home against Philadelphia in last dozen meetings.
Free Football Selections -3) Two members of the Left Coast Connection are making HUGE wagers tonight. One backing Buffalo with the points and the other Miami-FL. Hope it works out for them.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Jets and Patroits Thursday Night Struggle
First place in the AFC East is up for grabs Thursday night when the New York Jets and New England Patriots renew one of the emerging rivalries in the NFL. Both teams are 6-3 and fans and sports bettors have more storylines to follow than As the World Turns. New England would have what amounts to a two-game lead in the tiebreaker, giving them the edge with six games left. New York would have a lesser advantage, nevertheless, both teams have similar schedules the rest of the way and the Jets have one more home game than the Patriots.The Jets(5-4 ATS) had a historic first half against St. Louis last week, scoring on each of their seven possessions to build a 40-point lead, en route to a 47-3 victory. Their defense forced four turnovers, returning one for a touchdown, and kicker Jay Feely hit field goals of 22, 49, 46 and 55 yards. Feely had 17 points a week after getting 14 in a win at Buffalo, and running back Thomas Jones totaled 149 yards and scored three times.
With most of their starters rested in the fourth quarter, the Jets shouldn’t have any issues dealing with the short work week. Perhaps it’ll help them snap a longstanding funk against New England, which has captured 11 of the last 12 meetings, including a 2006 playoff game and a 19-10 decision in Week 2 of this season. New York is 11-2 ATS as road underdog off a double digit cover against and opponent who is won and covered last week.
Coach Eric Mangini has become obsessed with wanting to beat his former mentor. Since signing with the Jets, Bill Belichick turned his back on Mangini, basically disregarding him as a person for going to division foe. Mangini was taken aback by most insiders and has made it his personal mission to win the AFC East and stick it to his former boss. Since beating the Patriots in New England 17-14 two seasons ago, Mangini and the Flyboys have lost four in a row, getting no closer than nine points. New York is 1-7 ATS after scoring 30 or more points in their previous game.
The Patriots (5-4 ATS) come off an impressive 20-10 victory over the free-falling Bills. Running back BenJarvus Green-Ellis, who began the season fourth on the depth chart, had 105 yards and one touchdown as head coach Belichick’s offense continues to find a suitable ball carrier. Quarterback Matt Cassel (23 of 34, 234 yards) ran an efficient offense that soaked up more than 37 minutes of clock, and the defense held Buffalo without a touchdown until inside of two minutes. That win raised the Pats record to 11-3 ATS after two or more consecutive wins against the spread.
The Cassel vs. Brett Favre matchup is good stuff. This is why the Jets acquired Favre for games just like this. They want his veteran leadership and savvy to make it through the rough spots. Favre however, has regressed in terms of playing under control this season with 12 interceptions. The New England coaching staff has learned Cassel is much more effective throwing the short ball and has adjusted their offense to match his talents, getting the ball to Wes Welker and Randy Moss more efficiently. The Patriots are 10-1 ATS off a win and cover, having gone Under the total two games in a row and playing division opponent.
Bookmaker.com has New England as three-point favorite with total of 41.5. The host team is just 2-16 ATS in these meetings.
New England is facing a much more confident Jones and Brett Favre than it did Sept. 14. Jones has seven touchdowns in the last five games, and Favre has hit on 33 of his last 47 pass attempts with only one interception. New York has the No. 5 rushing defense in the NFL (76.4 yards per game), thanks to Kris Jenkins being stout in the middle of the 3-4 defense and withstanding constant double-teams at the point of attack. The Patriots have won recently with massive time-of-possession advantages that won't be possible against the Jets if they can't run. The Jets have covered five of their last seven road games.
The Patriots are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 tilts following a win. They will need to confuse Favre into mistakes and have Cassel continue to manage the game and provide ball protection.
The NFL Network will once again broadcast this Thursday night showcase starting at 8:15 Eastern.
The Odds of Winning the BCS Championship
With just four weeks left in the college football regular season, it’s time to sit down and conclude who has the best chance to win the BCS trophy and more importantly for college football bettors, who is the best team to wager on. The question has come my way, why make a wager now on who could be national champions. Let me think, how many of you threw away futures tickets on say Georgia, Ohio State, LSU, Missouri and (clearing throat for comedic affect) Clemson.Oh I’m sure some of you took long shots on Alabama or Texas before the season started, but what the heck, it’s much easier to win when the field is narrowed down. For all you that took Clemson and play 10-team parlays on a regular basis, the true idea behind sports betting is to win, not hope you win.
Penn State went from the odds-on favorite last week to essentially out of the picture with upset loss to Iowa. Check these teams out.
Florida Gators (9-5 odds)
Urban Meyer’s team is situated as the odds on favorite to be BCS champions again. They will be favored against South Carolina at home and have no reason to look ahead playing The Citadel next week (can anyone explain why). The usual end of the season battle with Florida State won’t be quite as easy as the last few years; however Tim Tebow should find a way to beat the Seminoles. The matchup with Alabama will be very interesting. The Crimson Tide has the athletic skills to play with Florida and is more physical. Meyer won’t have a coaching edge in this meeting, in fact might have somebody his superior. Alabama is more disciplined, especially in the big games. If the Gators survive, they would be a favorite against any other championship contender except USC. Consider the lower odds a fair bet.
Alabama Crimson Tide (5-2 odds)
The Crimson Tide has one the most important intangibles many recent champions have had. Since 2000, three different coaches have won a national championship in their second season coaching at that university. This means they walked into a good situation with talented players who needed direction and added more by their recruiting efforts. In fact, every coach except Mack Brown has won the title within the first four years with the school in the last eight years, which includes Nick Saban at LSU. Today, coaches have to get talented players on the field right away, to maximize their time, as the cream of the crop heads to the NFL draft board once eligible. Though Mississippi State and Auburn have been tussles in the past, playing at home should make winning a foregone conclusion for Bama. To beat Florida in SEC title game, Alabama will have to have same steely resolve they have had in every big game. They have the ability to make Florida one-dimensional and can control the clock. If they move past them, the Tide is three-point favorite or more against anybody not named USC.
Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-1 odds)
Texas Tech is in control of their own destiny ranked number two in the BCS standings after beating Texas and Oklahoma State in back to back games. The Red Raiders offense has proven to be all but unstoppable as quarterback Graham Harrell has the inside trck on standing at the podium at the New York Downtown Athletic Club in mid-December. The Texas Tech offense places so much pressure on opposing defenses figuring out best way to stop them. This ways heavy on the minds of the other team’s offense once the Red Raiders score, as they feel compelled to match scores and press, not playing with fluidity they normally would. Skeptics have to be impressed with what Mike Leach’s club has accomplished; however want to see them play the same way on the road, which they do on Nov. 22 at Oklahoma. If they survive the trip to Norman, they have Baylor at home, followed by Big 12 championship, in which they would be a double digit favorite. With the remaining contenders, Texas Tech would be an underdog against any SEC team or USC, though the number keeps shrinking with each victory.
Oklahoma Sooners (9-2 odds)
This has the appearance of a poor wager at this time, with Oklahoma needing a lot of help. Oklahoma can steer its path to a degree, still being able to play Texas Tech and Oklahoma State. If they win out and all the other Big 12 South contenders remain victorious, watch out. According to Big 12 rules, the first four tiebreakers will not be enough to declare a winner. The fifth rule becomes the most important; the team with the highest BCS ranking is declared the winner. Think about that for a second. (That’s a completely different article) Like all the teams in contention in the Big 12 South, the Sooners would be a double digit favorite against whoever comes out of the North Division.
If they managed to get all the way to the title game, Bob Stoops team would be an underdog to whoever came out of the SEC, in large part to a faulty defense that has given up a bundle of points against the better offenses in the Big 12.
USC Trojans (5-1 odds)
Head coach Pete Carroll is frustrated with the BCS and on point he is correct. He knows he very likely has one the best teams in college football that was asleep for a half at Oregon State and groggy for another 15 minutes in various parts. A playoff would settle any doubts, however that won’t happen this year or in the foreseeable future with too much money coming to easily. USC needs Florida State to beat Florida, the Gators to defeat Alabama, the Big 12 North champion to beat what would be a one or two loss team out of the Big South. If all that happened and the Trojans win out, they would meet somebody for the national championship game and would be at least a field goal if not more favorite.
Oddsmakers love USC and would make them a favorite against any team in the country, except maybe the Tennessee Titans and New York Giants.
Texas Longhorns (4-1 odds)
Like the rest of the teams, Texas needs help. Winning out the regular season won’t be problem with Kansas and Texas A&M, needing Texas Tech to slip up twice is. The loss at Lubbock has been discussed way out of context in the state of Texas considering whom the Horns had to play. Complaints of the Longhorns not being ready to play were foolish, having to play that many strong teams consecutively. Only Notre Dame in 1943 has been able to defeat a top-12 squad four weeks in a row. The Longhorns remain in the hunt, but have lost control of their destiny.
Utah (100-1 field bet) and Boise State (200-1)
The odds of either of these teams making it to the BCS championship are somewhat better than the Conference USA champion earning a BCS at-large berth, but not a lot better.
Betting Thoughts and Great Hockey System
Really thought we had a winner with Charlotte Bobcats last night with our system play, rats, (OK a little too old school but I have a reputation to keep up) which gave us a 1-2 day. We have another fantastic Hockey System running tonight that is 23-2 since 1997. Today’s Top Trend is not relevant to today, but keep in your back pocket for betting college football on Saturday. Jason gave out nice upset winner in the NBA and is invited back to do so again today. Good Luck.
I have the updated figures at the monitors we belong to. As stated Monday, we are #1 at Free Sports Monitor in the NFL. We are #3 in the NFL at The Sports Eye and #6 in college football. We would be higher ranked in both sports at Cappers Watchdog, but they use the 1-5 unit measure and these plays are placed the same way we would bet on them. Many others us max five all the time, we have chosen to be consistent with our values. However, we are #6 at Cappers Watchdog in the NHL with every play two units.
Very curious about tonight’s Central Michigan and Northern Illinois game and here’s why. The average score of an NIU game is 42.9 points and 38.7 PPG at home. In conference games the average is 42.5 PPG. CMU has averaged 56.2 PPG and 61.4 on the road. In MAC action they have averaged 52.4 PPG. Because of how good NIU plays defense, I believe the conference numbers are more useful for both teams. If my thinking is correct, is the oddsmaker telling us the 49.5 total favors the underdog Chippewas being a potentially higher scoring game? Think my logic is correct? Let me know your thoughts.
Free Hockey System-1) PLAY ON home Favorites of -200 or less like the Vancouver Canucks against the money line off a home win where they shut out their opponent against opponent off a close home win by one goal. This NHL system rocks with 23-2 mark, 92 percent the last 11 seasons.
Free Football Trend -2) The Central Michigan and Northern Illinois contest both have really good trends supporting both sides. The NBA angles are fairly pedestrian, thus will turn to college football this Saturday where the #1 Alabama Crimson Tide are 11-1 UNDER in home games after five or more consecutive straight up wins.
Free Selection -3) Jason of the Left Coast Connection is playing New Orleans Hornets as his Best Bet in the NBA.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
I have the updated figures at the monitors we belong to. As stated Monday, we are #1 at Free Sports Monitor in the NFL. We are #3 in the NFL at The Sports Eye and #6 in college football. We would be higher ranked in both sports at Cappers Watchdog, but they use the 1-5 unit measure and these plays are placed the same way we would bet on them. Many others us max five all the time, we have chosen to be consistent with our values. However, we are #6 at Cappers Watchdog in the NHL with every play two units.
Very curious about tonight’s Central Michigan and Northern Illinois game and here’s why. The average score of an NIU game is 42.9 points and 38.7 PPG at home. In conference games the average is 42.5 PPG. CMU has averaged 56.2 PPG and 61.4 on the road. In MAC action they have averaged 52.4 PPG. Because of how good NIU plays defense, I believe the conference numbers are more useful for both teams. If my thinking is correct, is the oddsmaker telling us the 49.5 total favors the underdog Chippewas being a potentially higher scoring game? Think my logic is correct? Let me know your thoughts.
Free Hockey System-1) PLAY ON home Favorites of -200 or less like the Vancouver Canucks against the money line off a home win where they shut out their opponent against opponent off a close home win by one goal. This NHL system rocks with 23-2 mark, 92 percent the last 11 seasons.
Free Football Trend -2) The Central Michigan and Northern Illinois contest both have really good trends supporting both sides. The NBA angles are fairly pedestrian, thus will turn to college football this Saturday where the #1 Alabama Crimson Tide are 11-1 UNDER in home games after five or more consecutive straight up wins.
Free Selection -3) Jason of the Left Coast Connection is playing New Orleans Hornets as his Best Bet in the NBA.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Looking in Rearview Mirror Betting College Football
One of the great things about being a college football sports bettor, you can live in the present and look towards the future. This week the BCS talk is running rampant, borderline Michael Douglas in “Falling Down”, with too many angry types speculating about everything that is wrong with the BCS system. It is far from a perfect system, but the drama is incredible.Think about how watered-down the Texas Tech at Oklahoma upcoming game would be if both teams already new they were in an eight-team postseason. The Penn State loss at Iowa, no problem guys, shake it off, beat Michigan State and we’re still playing for the national championship. This is do-or-die drama, especially late in the season; it could hardly be more fun.
Those of us who wager on college football can join in on these borderline unhealthy discussions with more knowledge than your average fan, since we cover the entire scope of college football. We might have our favorite teams or know more about a certain conference depending on our proximity; however we are much more informed, even as our personal opinions differ. Just like the coach preaches, we play’em one week at a time and let somebody else worry about what might happen.
Texas Tech was extremely impressive against Oklahoma State. The Cowboys needed two more players on defense to either create a pass rush to stop quarterback Graham Harrell or more help in the secondary. After awhile it was like watching Gary Busey on Celebrity Rehab, you just felt sorry for Okie State. What is most impressive is the play the Red Raiders are getting on both sides of the line of scrimmage. Harrell could have worn a dress suit and gone out to eat after the game, with nary a wrinkle with the protection he received. Though the defense is unheralded, they make enough of a mess to spoil the other team’s offensive flow. In a league where the offense overflows more than Pamela Anderson, the best way to measure the Texas Tech defense is points allowed in their last three games.
Kansas averages 34.5 PPG – scored 21 vs Texas Tech
Texas averages 44.3 PPG – scored 33 vs Texas Tech
Oklahoma State averages 42.8 PPG – scored 20 vs. Texas Tech
The Red Raiders are the first team since Oklahoma in 1984 to defeat a number one team and beat a Top 10 club the following week.
You think the Rose Bowl and wagering outlets were worried about Ohio State- USC rematch; they might have a bigger conundrum on their hands. If Penn State and Oregon State win out, they are set for rematch in Pasadena from Sept.6, when the Nittany Lions pulverized the Beavers 45-14 in Happy Valley. You can bet the West Coast crowd is praying Oregon State loses, setting up JoPa against Pete Carroll. Have to hand it to coach Mike Riley and Oregon State as they are peeking again late in the season. As noted in the Platinum Sheet, they have won a won a minimum of three of last five games of the regular season all but once in the last nine seasons.
For the first time ever, the Mid-American Conference beat their Midwestern heavyweight neighbor four times. Not really sure if that points to the MAC being improved in 2008 or that the Big 10 (11) is brutal. Here’s one other little known fact this season about these two conferences, the MAC was 4-9 straight up, yet covered 10 of 13 meetings. HUMMMM
Nice to see Charley Weis of Notre Dame come to the rescue of suddenly inept offense after being shutout by Boston College 17-0. That’s the second posted zero in last 14 games for the offensive genius. He made it clear that he had nothing to do with being blanked directly and will try to resurrect the offense against defensive powerhouses Navy and Syracuse. His true genius will be shown when his team finishes the season at USC. I never bought into this 9-3 or 10-2 business Beano Cook or others were selling, thinking 7-5 seemed about right. Until Weis can start bringing in offensive and defensive linemen that have ability and bad intentions, there won’t be much fight in the Irish.
This past week was a bad week to be a big home favorite or a home team catching points. Double digit home chalk was 5-9-2 against the spread last week, making them 23-39-3 ATS the last month. After posting positive numbers a week ago, home underdogs returned to sorry ways with 5-11 ATS figure. They are 32-58-3 ATS the last five weeks.
Quick notes- Do you think the Oklahoma Sooners offense is peaking? In their last three games they have averaged 47.3 points per game, in the first half!
If you think the Big 12 South is a confusing mess, try the ACC. Every team in the conference has two losses, meaning tie-breakers deluxe are a possibility to determine who plays in the conference championship game. Not surprisingly with this kind of balance, ACC home teams are 18-13 and 15-16 ATS. Also, home underdogs at 5-2 against the spread should make perfect sense this season.
Most preseason magazines had Iowa in the bottom half of the Big 10 standings. Based on their schedule and defense, believed they would finish fourth in the conference. Coach Kirk Ferentz has his team positioned to finish strong after Penn State upset and their four losses have been by a total of 12 points. The Hawkeyes are younger, which could mean even better days ahead for the honest and glib Ferentz.
In the SEC, Florida is showing they just might be not only the best team in the conference, but in the country the way they are playing. On the other hard, Tennessee coaches are to blame, but the Volunteers players should embarrassed for how they played in losing to Wyoming 13-7 as 27-point home favorites. Departing Phil Fulmer deserves to be criticized for letting program slip, but the guys in the orange jerseys are culpable also for not beating a team that has been outscored by the top four teams in the Mountain West Conference 161-13.
The Texas A&M defense is slower than an express checkout lane as the grocery store.
West Virginia is stuck with Bill Stewart as coach and the program will sink. My guess is the Pittsburgh at Cincinnati Big East conflict on Nov.22 will decide who wins the BCS berth, other games not withstanding.
Tuesday November 11, Wagering Action
The Miami Heat was cooled off last night, winning but failing to cover and Orlando was defeated outright at home. We have a thought-provoking NBA System today that favors a home underdog on a couple of levels. The Utah Jazz have started the season in fine fashion, will it continue in Philadelphia, check out today’s Top Trend. Good Luck.
A salute to all Veterans on what has become a lost holiday.
Free Basketball System-1) PLAY ON home teams vs. the money line like Charlotte who are a weak offensive team (88-92 PPG) against a fair defensive team like Denver (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 175 points or less. This money line system is 28-7, 80 percent. What is really intriguing about this system is the home underdog and the current payout is +155 on the Bobcats if they win. Otherwise appears to be a pretty fair wager catching the points.
Free Basketball Trend -2) The Utah Jazz are 3-13 ATS in road games after playing five consecutive games as favorite over the last three seasons.
Free Basketball Selection -3) Jason of the LLC prefers the Atlanta Hawks to upset Chicago on the road.
A salute to all Veterans on what has become a lost holiday.
Free Basketball System-1) PLAY ON home teams vs. the money line like Charlotte who are a weak offensive team (88-92 PPG) against a fair defensive team like Denver (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 175 points or less. This money line system is 28-7, 80 percent. What is really intriguing about this system is the home underdog and the current payout is +155 on the Bobcats if they win. Otherwise appears to be a pretty fair wager catching the points.
Free Basketball Trend -2) The Utah Jazz are 3-13 ATS in road games after playing five consecutive games as favorite over the last three seasons.
Free Basketball Selection -3) Jason of the LLC prefers the Atlanta Hawks to upset Chicago on the road.
A New Week of Wagering Action
3Daily Winners nailed all three winners yesterday in the NFL and are proud to be #1 at Free Sports Monitor in the NFL, with a couple of other monitors updating their stats later this week. Today’s Top Trend is in the NBA and takes a look-see on how Orlando has played this month over the last few years. Though not an official System Play by our standards, a pretty solid 77.8 percent system to consider also in the NBA. Good Luck.
Free Basketball System-1) PLAY ON home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Boston Celtics, who are making four or less 3-point shots a game on the season in November. This system is 35-10 ATS, 77.8 percent and is 1-0 to start the year.
Free Basketball Trend -2) The Orlando Magic are 17-4 ATS in November the last few seasons.
Free Selection -3) The Left Coast Connection consensus is close to even on tonight's Monday night game, but yesterday's winner Sal and three others like the Miami Heat in the NBA.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Free Basketball System-1) PLAY ON home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Boston Celtics, who are making four or less 3-point shots a game on the season in November. This system is 35-10 ATS, 77.8 percent and is 1-0 to start the year.
Free Basketball Trend -2) The Orlando Magic are 17-4 ATS in November the last few seasons.
Free Selection -3) The Left Coast Connection consensus is close to even on tonight's Monday night game, but yesterday's winner Sal and three others like the Miami Heat in the NBA.
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The Cardinals are Big Chalk on Monday Night Football
If the Cardinals don’t find a way to win the NFC West this year, they never will. Since the move from St. Louis to Arizona in 1988, the franchise has suffered a losing record in 17 of 20 seasons, but not last year when the Cardinals closed with back-to-back wins to finish 8-8. Sun Devil Stadium didn’t offer much in terms of home-field advantage during the Cardinals’ first 18 years in the desert, but their new state-of-the-art venue in Glendale seems to have changed that parameter for the better with a 9-2 and 8-3 spread record since its opening.Arizona has done some serious home cooking with five straight wins (4-1 ATS), beating Miami, Buffalo and Dallas so far this season by a combined 102-51.
Bookmaker.com has established the division leading Redbirds as 10-point home favorites (down from opening 11), with a total of 47.5. The Cards are flushed with new-found success and have to take the next step in overcoming the past with 0-7 ATS record as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points.
With San Francisco in town on Monday night, the Cardinals will take the University of Phoenix Stadium field for the first time in a month. The last time they were home they made NFL history, beating the Cowboys 30-24 in overtime on a recovered blocked punt in the end zone. Arizona had a bye the following week, lost 27-23 in Carolina in Week 8 and won 34-13 in St. Louis last Sunday.
A postseason berth is the goal for the Cardinals, who had to face only two returning playoff teams over their first nine games. They lead the NFC West by three games over each of their three rivals, none of which seems capable of a turnaround.
The 49ers are 2-6 SU and ATS, and making headlines for all the wrong reasons. San Francisco, which lost 23-13 at home to Arizona in Week 1 thanks to five turnovers, became a league spectacle two weeks ago when interim head coach Mike Singletary sent Vernon Davis to the locker room after the third quarter of a 34-13 loss to Seattle, blasted the third-year tight end in the post-game press conference and apologized to fans. The next day, Singletary benched quarterback J.T. O’Sullivan in favor of Shaun Hill. The Niners will come into this AFC West encounter only 5-14 ATS against conference opponents over the last two seasons.
Hill led the 49ers to a pair of victories late last season and had the benefit of a bye week to help get ready for Arizona, which has allowed 218.2 yards passing per game (18th overall) and 16 touchdowns—most in the NFL. Hill looked relatively sharp in relief of O’Sullivan against the Seahawks and completed 15 of 23 attempts for 173 yards and one touchdown with no interceptions. This will be his first career start on the road for a squad that is 6-15 ATS as an underdog over the last two years.
San Francisco covers if they do what they do best, run the ball. Frank Gore is still their best weapon; make him the top priority is establish a pace to the game, which should help Hill in the short passing game. Hill has shown the ability in his limited action to read and get rid of the ball, something O’Sullivan was getting worse at each week taking so many sacks. Defensively, San Fran needs an identity; pick one, 3-4 or 4-3 scheme. Lastly, get Vernon Davis the ball, otherwise he becomes a distraction by not touching the ball as the team and media views it as a rift. The 49ers must control the clock and score. Otherwise they fall to 0-8 ATS vs. good offensive teams scoring 24 or more points a game since 2006.
Arizona covers if they are focused. Being so far ahead in the division despite having a lack of organizational success for decades, this is the kind of game the Cardinals can prove before a national audience they should be taken seriously. The easiest way to beat a beleaguered opponent is to jump on them early, this should figure into Arizona’s game plan. This should also be a contest the Cards can get back to fundamentals by tackling better, something that been a problem all season. Kurt Warner and company averages 387 yards of offense, if they can do just a little better, they’ll take care of the Niners who are 3-16 ATS in road games when they allow 400 or more total yards.
This week’s Monday Night system is to play against any underdog who has allowed 24 or more points in two straight games. This system is 25-11-1 ATS, 69.4 percent.
NFL Sunday Best Wagering Options
A so-so 2-2 Saturday, but a profitable 4-3 week in college football overall. Today we have a NFL System that supports a super-sized underdog, which is 22-3, 88 percent. The Top Trend takes us to the Windy City, literally I hear, for Da Bears and Da Titans. Sal from the Left Coast Connection is back and doing well and has his Best Bet for Free. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON road teams after one or more consecutive wins against the spread, who are a terrible team, winning 25 percent or less of their games, in the second half of the season. This system is 22-3 ATS, 88 percent and it doesn’t take a genius to figure out this team is Kansas City.
Free Football Trend -2) The Chicago Bears are 2-14 ATS after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games.
Free Football Selection -3) We haven’t heard much from Sal of the LCC lately and he is one 12-5 run in the NFL and is playing Atlanta Falcons today as his personal best bet.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON road teams after one or more consecutive wins against the spread, who are a terrible team, winning 25 percent or less of their games, in the second half of the season. This system is 22-3 ATS, 88 percent and it doesn’t take a genius to figure out this team is Kansas City.
Free Football Trend -2) The Chicago Bears are 2-14 ATS after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games.
Free Football Selection -3) We haven’t heard much from Sal of the LCC lately and he is one 12-5 run in the NFL and is playing Atlanta Falcons today as his personal best bet.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
NFL Quarterback Carousel
Round and round, up and down.So goes the beloved amusement park pastime and so goes the quarterback carousel in the National Football League.
The scenario that has played out in 2008 could not have been predicted by anyone and has the signs of becoming even more complex. This is about as crazy of a game of musical quarterbacks as I've seen in my brief sportslife.
Through nine weeks of the season we’ve witnessed 46 different signal callers under center for 32 teams. There have been six permanent quarterback changes due to performance or injury and after this week, only half of the teams will still be playing with the same QB they started the season with.
You might be able to point the blame of this quarterback chaos to Kansas City Chiefs safety Bernard Pollard. He sparked this uncontrollable downward spiral after rolling into Tom Brady’s knee, effectively ending his year (and my fantasy football season) in the first quarter of Week 1.
And now Matt Cassel, who never started a game in college and was probably a better baseball prospect than football player, is attempting to lead the New England Patriots back to the Super Bowl where perfection narrowly escaped the dynasty a season ago.
The QB changes are many I have to use extreme brevity in this recap because you would grow tired of scrolling through the pages if I delved deep into the intricacies of each alteration.
I'm going to spare elaborating on teams like the Chiefs who have had 16 different quarterbacks (okay, maybe just three) and the Lions who also have a new QB, but still haven’t won a game even with the departure of the evil Matt Millen.
I won't even begin to mention how the Tennessee Titans made the right move by benching youngster Vince Young, whose commitment to football is questionable at this point, and opting for wily veteran Kerry Collins.
Vikings head man Brad Childress must have stolen a play from the Jeff Fisher quarterback school of thought as Minnesota also elected to resurrect a has-been from the brink of extinction in Gus Ferrotte, opposed to enduring another learning season from inexperienced gunslinger Tavaris Jackson.
And who could forget the Brian Griese experiment? He did throw for 407 yards after winging the ball 67 times in a win at Chicago but subsequently lost his starting job two games later to Jeff Garcia.
If I haven’t lost you already, strap into those saddles and stirrups because this ride is about to get rowdy.
The merry-go-round continues with the NFC West, which has experienced complete quarterback disarray. All four teams have encountered some form of QB controversy at one point this season. Trent “I Have A Concussion” Green got a sympathy start from the Rams former head coach Scott Linehan but current coach Jim Haslett has since reverted back to old ways with Marc Bulger at the helm.
The Seahawks went 1-3 with Matt “Bad Back” Hasselbeck to begin the season and are 1-3 without him since. That team has been decimated by injuries all over the field and you can’t expect Seneca Wallace to guide Seattle to a fifth consecutive division title. Hasselbeck is expected to return in Week 11.
How about the laughable San Francisco 49ers? They drop 24 million on a #1 overall pick in Alex Smith who has turned out to be about as good as Ryan Leaf. So they opt to go with offensive coordinator Martz’s man who came to the Bay from Detroit. But that guinea pig failed as J.T. O’Sullivan helped them to a 2-6 record and as soon as Mike Singletary replaced Nolan as the head coach, found himself standing on the sidelines. This week, Shaun Hill is preparing himself to be the most recent 49ers quarterback failure.
I have the perfect remedy for the Niners. They need to put Michael Robinson, former Penn State QB, and Frank Gore in the backfield and run the Wildcat formation every down. You even have Arnaz Battle, who was a thrower back in his days with the Irish, to set up the triple Wildcat backfield! What defense wouldn’t be confused with all the reverses, pitches, handoffs and an occasional toss to Vernon Davis?
The final portion of this NFC West shakedown involves the division leader in a pre-season QB change. Question remains, will Matt Leinhart ever live up to the expectations bestowed upon him?
Ken Wisenhunt surely isn’t sold on him as being the future of his Arizona Cardinals club. He has had three seasons to take the starting job that has essentially been shoved to him on a silver platter. But Arena Football League star turned Super Bowl MVP Kurt Warner has claimed the top spot season after season.
And Warner is ready to retire at the drop of a dime. He threw a bad pass to Anquan Boldin who got his jaw shattered and felt bad so he wanted to quit. How bad do you have to be to not snatch the starting job away from a guy who doesn’t even really want to play anymore?
I guess if you have Reggie Bush, LenDale White, Dwayne Jarrett and Steve Smith you really don’t have to be that good to win ballgames. And maybe he wasn’t, perhaps we should ask the 2005 National Champion Texas Longhorns.
Speaking of USC Heisman Trophy winners, this should have been the year that Carson Palmer was talked about in the same breath as Peyton Manning, Tom Brady and Brett Favre. But that may never happen.
Palmer put together a stellar season in 2005 and showed glimpses of greatness, but ever since that knee injury has been nothing but disappointing. Now he needs Tommy John surgery? Isn’t that a surgical procedure for baseball players? Regardless, Ryan Fitzpatrick is slinging it around in Cincy and that should hint to someone that the team needs a complete overhaul.
So the Houston Texans finally found their man huh? Snatched Matt Schaub away from the Falcons, just before the Vickster gets indicted on dog fighting charges, to replace David Carr. Who I have to say was the beneficiary of a good college team and system…ahem…Alex Smith.
But now Schaub is out 2-4 weeks with a sprained MCL and “Pinch of Sage” Rosenfels will get a second opportunity to prove his worth. He suited up against the Colts in Week 5 and nearly had a stranglehold on the starting gig but threw a pick-six and fumbled away two balls to allow Indy to overcome a 17-point fourth quarter deficit.
Our pinkie finger is probably the most expendable appendage we have. But to Tony Romo and the Cowboys it is worth its weight in gold. Seriously though, a pinkie? I pick my nose with my pinkie finger, and that’s about all it is good for. You should be able to throw a football with a bum pinkie.
No matter, the ‘Boys are 1-2 without their savior and his second coming may be too late. They sit at the bottom of the NFC East standings with a 5-4 record and have a brutal schedule left after their bye week, starting with a date in Washington against the ‘Skins.
The most recent changing of the guard happened in our first NFL Network Thursday night matchup. Four-year pro Derek Anderson might have splintered his booty squirming around on the bench having to watch pretty-boy Brady Quinn get the nod after starting 23 straight contests.
Anderson just hadn’t appeared to have been able to put up to the lofty numbers he did a season ago (29 TDs, 3700+ yards), but maybe if Braylon Edwards could catch a pass or Kellen Winslow actually tried to run a route he could have kept his job.
And I’m sure his uneasiness didn’t subside after the kid went 23-35 with 239 yards and a couple of touchies. Well, at least Kellen Winslow was still dropping passes and fumbling balls. That guy needs to take a seat in the corner and put on the dunce hat or he is about to REALLY start pissing some people off.
There looks to be another QB swap on the horizon as well, but most likely a temporary one. We never heard the end of “Rex is our quarterback” from Chicago coach Lovie Smith in 2007. And then Da Bears roll into 2008 with the “Kyle is our quarterback” campaign plastered all over the walls.
This worked out pretty well until Orton went down with a high ankle sprain last weekend. And now we will get to see how disgusting Grossman can look against the mighty Titans defense. He was able to mount a comeback in last week’s game, throwing for a score and running in another, but this test won’t be against the hapless Detroit Lions.
As long as quarterbacks in the NFL keep underachieving and getting injured, we’ll keep pumping tokens into this carousel.
Scott Cooley is a free-lance writer and chimes in from time to time at 3Daily Winners.
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