
Atlanta (70-62, -3.5 units) is chasing first postseason berth in four years and have helped themselves immensely winning eight of last 11 games on the road, moving them to 35-32 on the season as visitor’s. The Braves are 19-9 after five or more consecutive road games this season and have named Javier Vazquez (11-9, 3.02 ERA) as starter, who will be seeking his fifth straight road win.
Atlanta has won Vazquez’s last five starts on the road and he is 7-2 with 2.96 ERA in Braves traveling uniforms and the linemakers at DiamondSportsbook.com have made this combination a -150 money line favorite.
Florida (68-64, +0.9 units) has been in a tailspin at just the wrong time, losing nine of last 13 games. The bats haven’t been able to keep up with the Florida weather and have averaged a cool four runs per game in the process, compared to 4.7 on the season.
The Marlins failed to take advantage of a favorable situation last night facing Tim Hudson, who was making his first start in 13 months after elbow surgery, but scored only two runs in 5 1/3 innings against him and three on the night in a frustrating 4-3 defeat.
Rich VandenHurk (2-2, 5.12) gets the ball for Florida after being a September call-up from the minors, having had success against the Braves with 2-0 record and 3.91 ERA in five lifetime starts. While that makes Fish fans hopeful, the fact remains VandenHurk was sent back down to the minors in mid-August after posting 7.98 ERA in three previous starts.
This leads to a potentially lucrative system for the baseball sports bettor that reads this way.
Play Against home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175, who are average NL offensive team scoring 4.3 to 4.8 runs a game, against a good starting pitcher (ERA of 3.70 or less), after a loss by two runs or less.
Dating back to 1997, this superb system is 53-14, 79.1 percent, with the average margin of victory being 2.6 runs per game. This profitable system is enhanced with Vazquez and the Braves 13-3 as road favorite of -110 or higher. Consider this as potential play in Wednesday baseball action.
No comments:
Post a Comment