
At this time a year ago he had six wins and all the talented right-hander can say is “I’m just trying to keep us in ball games. We’re just getting beat right now,” Greinke stated.
The Royals lack of success falls into one broad pool. The Royals ace has to be perfect every time because his offense is objectionable. In his seven starts Kansas City hitters have scored a grand total of 17 runs, 2.4 per outing. K.C. is 1-6 in Greinke’s outings and he’s placed them in position to win two other games, but the bullpen blew those opportunities.
The Royals will look to avoid being swept by Cleveland at home. The Indians are on a three-game winning streak and have three consecutive double digit hit games in a row for the first time this season. This is certainly a rarity for club with a .248 team batting average.
David Huff (1-4, 4.60, 1.500) will toe the rubber for the Tribe, looking to avoid a fourth straight loss. Huff has really struggled of late with 7.16 ERA in three previous trips to the mound, allowing 34 hits + walks combined in 16.1 innings. Of the 25 base hits conceded, six were home runs which takes his total to seven dingers in only five starts.
Sportsbooks have the Indians as +170 money line underdogs and they fall into a negative super system.
Play Against road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175, who are below average AL hitting team at .265 or less, against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20), with a starting pitcher who gives up one or more home runs a start.
Kansas City has lost seven in a row and won’t run into many better opportunities than this for a much needed victory. Since 1997, this system is 87-24, 78.4 percent with the favorite winning by two runs on average. Greinke is 5-7 lifetime against Cleveland but is 3-0, with 2.52 ERA in his last six starts against the Indians.
If Greinke pitches his usual game and Huff continues to be ineffective, every reason to believe the Tribe falls to 13-37 vs. a starting pitcher who strikes out five or more batters.
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