The great debate whether the acquisition of Shaquille O’Neal was the right move for the Phoenix Suns was correct or not, probably won’t be answered until the world sees how they perform in the postseason; nevertheless it is as clear as a pristine lake in Utah, it hasn’t worked out for the regular season. Phoenix is only 15-11 (15-10-1 ATS) since O’Neal first donned a Sun uniform, starting with the first game after the All-Star break and they have fallen from second in the West to sixth overall.
Granted, the Western Conference has been an unrelenting beast the entire second half of the season, with all the top teams knocking off one another, yet the fact remains New Orleans had the best record at the break and is still tied for the best record in the loss column with the Lakers. In the proverbial media speak “If the playoffs were to start today”, Phoenix would have to defeat San Antonio, Utah and Kobe and company, without the benefit of home court advantage once, just to make it to NBA finals.
All of this kind of talk can wait until the weekend when the NBA Playoffs commence; instead the attention will be focused on tonight. The Suns finish the regular season at home after winning two of three on the road. The only loss they suffered was at the hands of Houston 101-90. That contest was a perfect example of the public overvaluing a team based on last game played. The Suns had horsewhipped San Antonio two nights before and opened as one point underdogs at Houston. The wagering public jumped on the Phoenix bandwagon and bet them all the way up to 3.5-point road favorites. Steve Nash and his merry mates rocketed to double digit lead, before succumbing to Houston’s defense.
This leads directly into tonight’s meeting with Golden State. The Warriors only chance to make playoffs is to win last two games and have Denver lose at home to miserable Memphis. Most sportsbooks has the Suns favored by five points, all leading a sweet Super System.
Play On home favorites like Phoenix, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, playing with two days rest.
In this case, Coach Mike D’Antoni’s team is a bit peeved about losing and has had two days to prepare. This late in the season, this can be especially valuable for all NBA teams. The club has time to refocus and historically given very solid effort. How good, in the last five years the home team is 43-4 straight up, with 36-9 against the spread record, good for 80 percent winners. This system has been even more helpful to bettors with 24-4, 85.7 percent record the last three seasons.
Since 2004, this has been one of the more gratifying systems to wager on, with winning margin almost 13 points per game.
With the weather heating up in the desert, Phoenix has the appearance of a hot play tonight.
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