2008-09 Bowl Handicapping Guide

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Here is a sample:

ACC
The Atlantic Coast Conference will have a record 10 teams playing in the postseason with five teams in the favorite slot. Two others, Maryland and North Carolina are in pick em’ spreads, and the three remaining teams are underdogs. League champion Virginia Tech plays in the highlight game vs. Cincinnati in the Orange Bowl. Be sure to note the trends below regarding the ACC’s success or lack thereof when favored or getting points. According to past records versus other conferences, North Carolina, Miami, NC State, and Virginia Tech would be “play on” teams while Boston College and Georgia Tech would be in fade spots.


Underdogs have been the flavor of choice in ACC bowl games recently, going just 10-15 SU but 18-7 ATS (72%) in the L25 games. Over the L2 seasons, that dog record is 12-4 ATS (75%).

ACC teams have made for lousy bowl game favorites, going just 6-7 SU & 3-10 ATS (23%) as chalk since 12/29/05.

Against non-BCS conferences, the ACC has stumbled to a 5-4 SU & 3-5-1 ATS (38%) record since ‘98, all as favorites. Versus other BCS conferences, the ACC has been overwhelmed to the tune of a 2-8 SU & 3-6-1 ATS (33%) record in its L10.

The ACC has enjoyed bowl game success vs. the Big East (9-4 SU & 10-3 ATS) and the Pac 10 (5-1 SU & ATS). However, against the SEC, the ACC has been awful, 4-16 SU & 5-13-2 ATS (28%).