Boise State tries to impress voters

This is the first of three games Boise State has on prime time Friday’s to convince BCS voters they deserve to move back up in the standings and keep fingers crossed those ahead of them falter in the coming weeks. This might be the last chance for the Broncos to be beaten during the regular season, down in Ruston, LA at Joe Aillet Stadium.

Boise State (8-0, 6-1 ATS) still has Idaho and Nevada, both of whom are having good seasons, however those games are at Bronco Stadium. Though Boise State was never specifically challenged in road games at Fresno State and Tulsa, they had to play the full 60 minutes in each case to secure victory. If quarterback Kellen Moore continues to play at such a high rate of efficiency (24 TD’s-to-2 picks ratio), the Broncos will be nearly impossible to stop, especially with its Top 10 defense. The Broncos’ backers could almost be accused of peculation with Boise’s 35-18 ATS record as WAC favorites of 10 or more.

This is Louisiana Tech’s only home game in five week period and what an opponent to match up with. At least incentive should not be an issue, especially before the home fans. The Bulldogs are 3-0 at home this season and 9-1 (6-2 ATS) since last facing Boise State on their own turf.

To have chance for the upset, Louisiana Tech (3-5, 3-4 ATS) has to have quarterback Ross Jenkins play at an extremely high level. His backup, redshirt freshman Colby Cameron, is also expected to see playing time, as he has impressed the coaches in recent weeks. Running back Daniel Porter and receiver Phillip Livas were both injured last week against Idaho and are game time decisions. The defense needs to force stops and create chaos against normally composed Broncos. Having Boise State being unmotivated wouldn’t hurt.

DiamondSportsbook.com has Louisiana Tech as 21-point underdogs with total of 50. The Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS as home underdogs under coach Derek Dooley and 4-1 ATS hosting Boise State. However, since 2002, Louisiana Tech 4-15 ATS vs ranked squads.

Boise State has more good numbers than George Clooney’s cell phone for dating purposes. The Broncos are 14-3-1 ATS the last two seasons and are 8-1 ATS on the road. When everything is clicking, Boise State is 14-3 ATS after outgaining opponents by 100 or more total yards in three consecutive games, with winning margin of 28.5 points per game.

Look for this WAC dispute on ESPN2 at 8 Eastern, with Boise State 11-2 UNDER in November road games.