
Tonight we have three lousy college football games, which any sane person wouldn’t touch. That’s where the fun begins. I’m throwing out the idea of three team parlay, but not the usual type, one that gives you the best chance to W I N.
Let’s start in Ohio, where the people are leaving certain cities in that state like a bad marriage. A Miami-Ohio and Toledo game used to mean something in the MAC, today is just means two rotten 2-8 teams are playing their next to last game of the season. The Redhawks defense in the last three games, how should I say this delicately, stinks, in allowing over 40 points an outing. Don’t get me wrong, it’s not like Toledo is a juggernaut, losing four in a row. This is not the time to be handing out points like its pumpkin pie, take Toledo on the money with this system that’s around, play against road underdogs on the money line, off 3 straight losses against conference rivals against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses. Miami is the former and the Rockets the latter and the system is 26-3.
In the other game in Ohio, I guess Bowling Green can still win the MAC East if they beat Buffalo who leads by a game. This division is as congested as L.A. traffic, and reminds of the old George Thorogood song “No Particular Place to Go”. What to do here is take the points, as Buffalo is hotter than a basket of fire sauce wings with four straight wins. What makes me excited about the Bulls (excited might be a little too much) is they have rushed at least 216 yards in last three games and B.G. has turned into ground chuck, being run over for 200 yards in four of last five games. Did you know Buffalo is 14-5 ATS as a road dog? Now that makes two of us. Take Buffalo with the points.
On ESPN2, a meaningless WAC game will be televised with Fresno State taking the ride to San Jose State. Pat (blowhard) Hill who talks tough and has a defense that allows 212.7 yards per game on the ground (110th), will be after a winning record for the season with a seventh win, because they are going to get their you know what handed to them at Boise State next week. San Jose State had a really promising start at 5-2 and they fell apart faster then a reunion tour of Right Said Fred (I’m too Sexy). Spartans blogs and websites report regular starting quarterback Kyle Reed will sit and his backups are stiffs. Don’t count me a Fresno State supporter, but I like at system that wins 81 percent of the time (34-8). Play against a home team vs. the money line after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after out-gaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. Play Fresno State on the money line.
With me still, Toledo and Fresno State on the money line and Buffalo with the points. Why do this as opposed to straight spread bets? Your average parlay payout on a 3-teamer is anywhere from 5 or 6 to one. Problem is hitting all three against the number. With relatively low money lines on favored teams and an underdog who is playing swell, we can still secure a 4 to 1 payout or slightly better and not give away points.
It’s your money; I’m not telling you what to do on a Friday other than have good time. But if you have a little fun money, you would just waste doing something else anyways, take a shot at this; it’s better than buying lottery tickets or trying to bet games on ESPN Classic.
Red Wydley drops in occasionally and shares is wisdom (?) with the masses.
No comments:
Post a Comment