
Before that question is answered directly, let’s take a brief look at each team. (Don’t worry, it won’t take long) The Los Angeles Clippers are easy fodder for Jay Leno on nightly basis. Their latest losing streak has reached seven games, losing by 20.2 points per game. This is game five of seven in what has to seem like a road trip that started last year. The Clippers are 5-19 as visitors and are 11-13 against the spread.
All these blowouts aren’t good for any team’s confidence and that shows up for the Clips who are 3-14 ATS after a loss by 15 points or more this season. This doesn’t mean it is all for naught, especially when Memphis is the opposition. The Grizzlies have actually won two games in a row (who said pigs don’t fly); with the latter two days ago against a good Houston club 104-93, as six-point home underdogs.
This could actually work to the Clippers advantage and here is why.
Play Against home teams off an upset win as an underdog, against opponent off three or more consecutive road losses.
Teams like Los Angeles have benefited in this position to the tune of 23-3 ATS, 88.5 percent.
In fairness, the league’s worst run franchise and possibly the worst in all of sports can’t have it come that easy. As an NBA writer said years ago, if the Clippers ever won the NBA championship, the champagne would probably be tainted and all the players would end up dying in the celebration.
Believe it or not, Memphis also fits an incredible system that is just a little less potent, but can place the sports bettor on the right side of the action. The Grizzlies on Monday ended a losing streak that reached a dozen (remarkably 0-12 ATS also), taking out the ugliest dog in the Eastern Conference, Washington 113-97. With the victory over the Rockets, that marked the first time Memphis has won back to back games by double digits since the final three games of the 2006-07 season. (Holy Cow!)
This in turn shines the light on the Grizzlies as system play on team too.
Play On home teams off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, against opponent off two consecutive road losses by 10 points or more.
This beautiful situation also is in the rarified air of 82.8 percent with 24-5 ATS mark since 1996.
Bookmaker.com has Memphis as 5.5-point favorites and not because they are 4-13 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog this season.
If you are confused about which system is the better to play, consider the matchup, which tells you everything you need to know.
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