Tight Contests to Test Bettors Survival Instincts

Most upsets occur in the games that are in the lower price ranges. Often times these are not dramatic upsets, unless the higher seed is blown out. These types of matchups usually offer contrasting styles and make for entertaining games. Six games make the list for Friday and here is the rundown.

Can somebody please tell me why Wisconsin has chance against Florida State? Its common knowledge the Badgers turns the ball over about as often as its 80 degrees in March in Madison and coach Bo Ryan is a demanding perfectionist, but seriously, beat an athletically gifted team like Florida State? Wisconsin looks like plow-horses compared to the Seminoles who are 7-1 ATS after one or more losses this season. Toney Douglas can, as Marv Albert would say, “Score from way downtown”. I’ll bend a little that Wisconsin can make opposing teams look like they are stuck in mud and forward Marcus Landry is pretty good. FSU is favored by 2.5-points at Betjamica.com and they are 10-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. All over garnet and gold.

Staying in the same red/burgundy color tones, Boston College and USC is a descent ballgame. That DeMar DeRozan is a sick talent for a freshman for the Trojans and he better come back to L.A. since he’s about as ready for the pros as I am to by Phil Jackson’s newest assistant coach. Taj Gibson is real consistent, yet I wonder if coach Tim Floyd is playing to the skills of the talent on hand? USC looks a whole lot better running, than in half court sets. They are 2.5-point favorite and are 9-1 ATS after a win by six points or less over the last two seasons. Boston College starts four sophomores and would not be in the tournament except for senior Tyrese Rice. This matchup would look to favor USC, but the Eagles run plays just outside the lane, with multiple screens, which is really frustrating to guard. Coach Al Skinner has had pretty good luck in games after the regular season is up, I’ll back the birds who have covered all six tournament games this year.

Normally I prefer defensive teams in close games, not this time however, in backing Siena. The only thing these players know about defense is using Right Guard, giving up 70 points a game. Offensively, its go time when the Saints have the ball and Kenny Hasbrouck is explosive scorer for a team that 16-7 ATS as an underdog. Ohio State has special player in Evan Turner on what is a young team. Backing the more veteran club catching the three points, who has been here before in Siena.

All week it’s been, “Arizona has NBA talent and got a new lease on life, look for them to beat Utah”. My question is why? All this NBA talent lost 13 games, including 10 of 15 in road uniforms (7-8 ATS). I’ve seen Chase Budinger and Jordan Hill play enough times to understand their abilities and Nic Wise is solid, even at 5’11 (maybe), but the other two starters have names Kyle and Zane, and neither can score. Utah won the Mountain West and is 12-5 ATS after two or more consecutive wins this season, with Lawrence Borha leading an unwavering trio of guards. Luka Drca may not be easy to say, but he’s a good passer and Carlon Brown is a versatile performer. The big fella in the middle is Luke Nevill and though he’s closer to Shawn Bradley than Dwight Howard athletically, he’s effective in his own way. The Utes are now favored by 1.5-points and have covered last four when the chosen team by bettors in that role. Book it.

I wish I had a clue on Tennessee. They are the hardest team to figure in my opinion of the 65 that started out. Center Wayne Chism thinks he Stephen Curry, chucking up three’s like he’s a guard at 6’9, 245. The Vols backcourt causes as many problems as it does positive things. Thank goodness for Tyler Smith or Bruce Pearl’s orange sportcoat might be considered gaudy. They are matched against Oklahoma State and many top D-1 women’s team has as much height as the Cowboys. They play four guards and have to run and shoot to average 81.1 points a game and try like heck on defense. Though Tennessee is 19-37 ATS when playing on a neutral court, experience makes the difference against Okie State who hasn’t been here since 2005.

What did Marquette and Utah State do wrong to have to start at 10:30 AM Boise time? At least the winner still has the rest of the day to enjoy the Boise landscape. Marquette isn’t the same team without Dominic James. I really like Jerel McNeal, and Lazar Hayward gets the most out of being a 6’6 power forward. The Golden Eagles are 4.5-point favorite and 16-5 ATS as favorites of 6.5 or less points. Utah State is coached by Stew Morrill, who has more set plays than Mike Martz has passing formations. The Aggies ALWAYS work for good shots and are incredibly patient on offense. Forward Jimmy Wilkinson is their best player and they shoot 49.8 percent from the field. Utah State is 22-10 ATS versus offensive teams scoring 77 or more points per game, because they make teams play at there more comfortable pace. Hard game to call, lean with Utah State.

This article was written by Red Wydley.

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