This Sunday starts the bye weeks in the NFL, which means fewer offerings to choose from; however there are a few real beauties to tug at the heart of any sports bettor. Baltimore has looked as strong as any team in the league and will have chance to prove their worth in New England. Surprising unbeatens New Orleans and the Jets will try and stay that way in Bayou country. Denver was one of the top play against teams for season wins, but they are making a mockery of those tickets with 3-0 start and invite Dallas to town. Last year’s AFC division champions Tennessee and Miami will against try to scratch in the win column for first time in 2009.Baltimore at New England 1:00E CBS
Baltimore (3-0 SU&ATS) has been one the AFC’s best teams in the first three weeks, picking up right where they left off a year ago. The Ravens continue to be an extremely reliable bet under coach John Harbaugh, going 17-5 against the spread. So far Baltimore is dominating, outscoring opponents by 16.7 points per game. Here they will take on a 2-1 New England (1-2 ATS) club that comes off its best performance of the year, a 26-10 win over previously unbeaten Atlanta. The Patriots have been solid in the month of October under head coach Bill Belichick with a 24-12 ATS record. They have also won each of the last four meetings with the Ravens, going 3-1 ATS in that span, but will be looking to snap a stretch of five straight losses at home when coming off another home game.
Keys to the Game-
Most experts are wondering how New England is sixth in total defense. Baltimore will want to find out themselves, lining up in I-formation and ramming it down the Patriots throat and see how they react. QB Joe Flacco is taking more shots down the field and New England’s secondary isn’t alarming anyone. The Ravens are ravenous 9-2 ATS after a win by 10 or more points and if Tom Brady thought he’s seen pressure thus far, wait until he sees all the black helmets coming his way this week.
The Patriots ran the ball 39 times last week and need to have that same type of commit against Baltimore. The yards won’t come freely against Ray Lewis and company, but it will slow down pass rush and establish New England can play just as physical. This helps the passing game if safety Ed Reed is forced to be involved against the run. New England is 41-17-2 ATS as non-division home favorite and Tom Brady needs pass protection and receivers to get open against sticky Ravens secondary. The Pats will not only need big game from Randy Moss, but other pass catchers must come thru also.
3DW Line – New England 2.5
DiamondSportsbook.com Line – New England -1.5, 45
N.Y. Jets at New Orleans 4:05E CBS
Two unbeaten teams square off in a non-conference showdown in New Orleans, as the Saints host the Jets. The Saints (3-0 SU&ATS) came into 2009 with high expectations; the Jets did not, making this meeting all the more intriguing. In fact, two of New York’s first three wins came as an underdog. The Jets (3-0 SU&ATS) will be looking to extend a five-game SU & ATS winning streak by road teams in this head-to-head series. They have a 4-1 SU & ATS edge over the Saints in those five games; however have lost four in a row SU & ATS on the road vs. NFC foes. New Orleans has scored 40.0 points per game in its sensational start and has now gone 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games overall. Head coach Sean Payton’s team is on a 6-1-1 ATS stretch at home and has scored 23 points or more in 13 straight contests as hosts.
Keys to the Game-
The wheels will be spinning as Rex Ryan matches defensive prowess with Sean Payton’s offense. This is a different sort of game for the New York defense, as they have brought pressure incessantly. Drew Brees has the smarts and personnel to beat New York defenders, thus, look for Ryan to have game plan to make the Saints work for every first down. The Jets are 7-2 ATS off a win and understand the best way to prevent New Orleans from scoring is running the ball effectively and keeping Brees as spectator. New York is ninth in rushing yards but must do better than on 3.7 yards per carry.
New Orleans film study has shown nobody has gotten the Jets out of comfort zone early. Look for coach Payton and Brees to attack New York like a native with a fresh plate of jambalaya. Move the ball around, score early and see if Mark Sanchez can play from behind. The Flyboys are allowing 3.9 yards per carry, keep feeding the running game that averages five YPC. New Orleans is 9-1 ATS as a favorite and has forced three turnovers per game. Force the Jets to play perfect football on the road.
3DW Line – New Orleans by 6.5
DiamondSportsbook.com Line – New Orleans -7.5, 45.5
Tennessee at Jacksonville 1:00E CBS
The AFC South was believed to be premier division again in 2009, but only Indianapolis boasts a winning record after three weeks. The most disappointing team is Tennessee (1-2 ATS), who comes into this divisional affair at Jacksonville with a 0-3 mark. The Titans have now lost their last five games overall and are 1-4 ATS in that span. That represents their longest losing skid since the opening of the 2006 campaign. They have also lost their last three vs. AFC South rivals, both SU & ATS. Tennessee has played well in Jacksonville though, going 8-4 SU & ATS the last dozen trips. The Jaguars (1-2, 2-1 ATS) broke in the win column last week at Houston and are 2-0 ATS in divisional games thus far. However, they are on a brutal 2-7 SU & 1-8 ATS run as hosts in what could be again a far less than capacity crowd. Nine of the last 13 games between these teams in Jacksonville have gone UNDER.
Keys to the Game-
Coach Jeff Fisher has dismissed all playoff talk; he just wants his team to win a game. Kerry Collins is catching heat in Nashville, but he wishes his receivers would catch more of his passes, with double digits drops on the season. The running game is sixth in the league and could be even more effective with improved passing. The Titans special teams have been tumultuous; costing them much needed win in New Jersey last Sunday. Just being averaging this week would be severe upgrade. Tennessee is 7-2 ATS as road favorite and must contain Maurice Jones-Drew; otherwise 29th rated pass defense could really be exploited.
Jacksonville feels much better after road win in Houston and thinks they are figuring things out. Defensively, they continue to tweak the pass-rushing elements of its 3-4 defense. The idea is to cause uncertainty and Kerry Collins isn’t a bowl of confidence at the moment. In order to raise havoc, the Jaguars have to limit RB Chris Johnson, who presents problems in the open field. The Jags may be lousy at home, but they are 17-6 ATS off a road win against a division rival. Give David Garrard time in the pocket and he takes advantage of Titans secondary and suddenly Jacksonville is .500.
3DW Line – Jacksonville by 2
The AFC South was believed to be premier division again in 2009, but only Indianapolis boasts a winning record after three weeks. The most disappointing team is Tennessee (1-2 ATS), who comes into this divisional affair at Jacksonville with a 0-3 mark. The Titans have now lost their last five games overall and are 1-4 ATS in that span. That represents their longest losing skid since the opening of the 2006 campaign. They have also lost their last three vs. AFC South rivals, both SU & ATS. Tennessee has played well in Jacksonville though, going 8-4 SU & ATS the last dozen trips. The Jaguars (1-2, 2-1 ATS) broke in the win column last week at Houston and are 2-0 ATS in divisional games thus far. However, they are on a brutal 2-7 SU & 1-8 ATS run as hosts in what could be again a far less than capacity crowd. Nine of the last 13 games between these teams in Jacksonville have gone UNDER.
Keys to the Game-
Coach Jeff Fisher has dismissed all playoff talk; he just wants his team to win a game. Kerry Collins is catching heat in Nashville, but he wishes his receivers would catch more of his passes, with double digits drops on the season. The running game is sixth in the league and could be even more effective with improved passing. The Titans special teams have been tumultuous; costing them much needed win in New Jersey last Sunday. Just being averaging this week would be severe upgrade. Tennessee is 7-2 ATS as road favorite and must contain Maurice Jones-Drew; otherwise 29th rated pass defense could really be exploited.
Jacksonville feels much better after road win in Houston and thinks they are figuring things out. Defensively, they continue to tweak the pass-rushing elements of its 3-4 defense. The idea is to cause uncertainty and Kerry Collins isn’t a bowl of confidence at the moment. In order to raise havoc, the Jaguars have to limit RB Chris Johnson, who presents problems in the open field. The Jags may be lousy at home, but they are 17-6 ATS off a road win against a division rival. Give David Garrard time in the pocket and he takes advantage of Titans secondary and suddenly Jacksonville is .500.
3DW Line – Jacksonville by 2
DiamondSportsbook.com Line – Tennessee -3, 41.5
Buffalo at Miami 4:05E CBS
Buffalo and Miami are already in trouble in the AFC East race, and each has a difficult opening three games to thank for it. Miami (0-3 SU&ATS) has yet to win after finishing 11-5 a year ago. All three of their opponents have a winning record this season, thanks in part to playing the Dolphins. Buffalo (1-2, 2-1 ATS) has a win over Tampa Bay to its credit but sandwiched that with unimaginable loss at New England and being beaten by better New Orleans club. For the Dolphins, this will be the first divisional test of 2009, and they swept the Bills a year ago as part of a 4-2 SU & ATS mark vs. AFC East rivals. They are just 3-14 ATS as divisional hosts the last six seasons. The Bills are 7-3 ATS on the road in divisional games under coach Dick Jauron, and 7-3 SU & 8-2 ATS against Miami since 2004. Favorites have accumulated an 18-7 SU & 16-9 ATS record in the last 25 series meetings.
Keys to the Game –
Buffalo didn’t blitz as much against Drew Brees, respecting his knowledge and big play talent. That won’t be the case this week, as it will be the kitchen sink and whatever else they can round up as Chad Henne makes first NFL start. If Henne is rattled, the Bills should unleash passing game. It’s a travesty Terrell Owens 185-game streak of pass catches came to an end. Buffalo didn’t bring T.O. in to be decoy, yet he and Lee Evans have 13 total receptions, that is ridiculous offensive concept. Buffalo is 3-10-1 ATS as AFC East road favorites, they will have to avoid being run on like last week (222 yards) if they want to side-step another defeat.
Chad Henne is going to have WTF moments after misreading Buffalo blitzes, which means he better know where tight end Anthony Fasono is at all times, similar to Linus. (Security blanket, work with me) Miami will have to establish running game to take pressure off Henne and the Dolphins O-line should draw confidence from Bills performance last week. The Fins D is third against the run at 66 yards per game and would like to make Buffalo as one-dimensional as possible. Miami desperately needs a W and to reestablish home field edge where they are only 3-14 ATS over the last three seasons.
3DWLine –Miami by 3.5
DiamondSportsbook.com Line – Buffalo -1, 37
Buffalo and Miami are already in trouble in the AFC East race, and each has a difficult opening three games to thank for it. Miami (0-3 SU&ATS) has yet to win after finishing 11-5 a year ago. All three of their opponents have a winning record this season, thanks in part to playing the Dolphins. Buffalo (1-2, 2-1 ATS) has a win over Tampa Bay to its credit but sandwiched that with unimaginable loss at New England and being beaten by better New Orleans club. For the Dolphins, this will be the first divisional test of 2009, and they swept the Bills a year ago as part of a 4-2 SU & ATS mark vs. AFC East rivals. They are just 3-14 ATS as divisional hosts the last six seasons. The Bills are 7-3 ATS on the road in divisional games under coach Dick Jauron, and 7-3 SU & 8-2 ATS against Miami since 2004. Favorites have accumulated an 18-7 SU & 16-9 ATS record in the last 25 series meetings.
Keys to the Game –
Buffalo didn’t blitz as much against Drew Brees, respecting his knowledge and big play talent. That won’t be the case this week, as it will be the kitchen sink and whatever else they can round up as Chad Henne makes first NFL start. If Henne is rattled, the Bills should unleash passing game. It’s a travesty Terrell Owens 185-game streak of pass catches came to an end. Buffalo didn’t bring T.O. in to be decoy, yet he and Lee Evans have 13 total receptions, that is ridiculous offensive concept. Buffalo is 3-10-1 ATS as AFC East road favorites, they will have to avoid being run on like last week (222 yards) if they want to side-step another defeat.
Chad Henne is going to have WTF moments after misreading Buffalo blitzes, which means he better know where tight end Anthony Fasono is at all times, similar to Linus. (Security blanket, work with me) Miami will have to establish running game to take pressure off Henne and the Dolphins O-line should draw confidence from Bills performance last week. The Fins D is third against the run at 66 yards per game and would like to make Buffalo as one-dimensional as possible. Miami desperately needs a W and to reestablish home field edge where they are only 3-14 ATS over the last three seasons.
3DWLine –Miami by 3.5
DiamondSportsbook.com Line – Buffalo -1, 37
Dallas at Denver 4:15E FOX
The Broncos (3-0 ATS) have been the biggest surprise in the NFL in the early going, winning their first three games in the face of an expected rebuilding campaign. Since the miracle at Cincinnati, the Broncos have outscored their next two opponents by a 50-9 margin. If you consider what the Bengals have done since, Denver’s resume looks even stronger. Head coach Josh McDaniels’ team will return home for a showdown with Dallas in Week 4, trying to improve a record of 1-5 ATS when hosting the NFC since 2006. The Cowboys (2-1 SU&ATS) are back on the road after a two-game homestand, making their first trip to the Mile High City since Jay-Z rapped “Hard Knock Life”. Dallas is 7-1 ATS as road favorites of seven-points or less. The last five meetings between these teams have gone OVER the total.
Keys to the Game-
How did Denver find the NFL’s top defense after finishing 29th last season? It’s helped playing the Browns and Raiders the last two weeks, nevertheless only one opponent has scored a touchdown on the Broncos this season. This will be truer litmus test, as the last two foes had not capacity to throw the ball down the field, which Tony Romo does. The Dallas QB isn’t always the sharpest knife in Ginzu collection and will take the bait throwing into bad coverage situations. The Broncos are 7-3-1 ATS off a 14-point or more victory and will have to be stout in defensive line and open up offense for Kyle Orton.
As it turns out, Romo has a little Jessica Simpson in him, he likes being the star. Coach Wade Phillips and OC Jason Garrett would just as soon continue to run for 200 yards a game and have Romo make enough plays for Dallas to score 28 points per game. Romo has flair (good and bad), but the coaches would rather see 2nd and 4, compared to 2nd and 10. On defense, Dallas wants to win first down in the trenches, forcing Orton to be playmaker from the pocket. The Boys like their chances in that matchup. The Cowboys are 7-1-1 ATS as small change faves (three or less) and can be expected to use similar coverage tactics on enigmatic Brandon Marshall which worked so well on Steve Smith last Monday.
3DWLine – Denver 1.5
DiamondSportsbook.com Line – Dallas -3, 42.5
The Broncos (3-0 ATS) have been the biggest surprise in the NFL in the early going, winning their first three games in the face of an expected rebuilding campaign. Since the miracle at Cincinnati, the Broncos have outscored their next two opponents by a 50-9 margin. If you consider what the Bengals have done since, Denver’s resume looks even stronger. Head coach Josh McDaniels’ team will return home for a showdown with Dallas in Week 4, trying to improve a record of 1-5 ATS when hosting the NFC since 2006. The Cowboys (2-1 SU&ATS) are back on the road after a two-game homestand, making their first trip to the Mile High City since Jay-Z rapped “Hard Knock Life”. Dallas is 7-1 ATS as road favorites of seven-points or less. The last five meetings between these teams have gone OVER the total.
Keys to the Game-
How did Denver find the NFL’s top defense after finishing 29th last season? It’s helped playing the Browns and Raiders the last two weeks, nevertheless only one opponent has scored a touchdown on the Broncos this season. This will be truer litmus test, as the last two foes had not capacity to throw the ball down the field, which Tony Romo does. The Dallas QB isn’t always the sharpest knife in Ginzu collection and will take the bait throwing into bad coverage situations. The Broncos are 7-3-1 ATS off a 14-point or more victory and will have to be stout in defensive line and open up offense for Kyle Orton.
As it turns out, Romo has a little Jessica Simpson in him, he likes being the star. Coach Wade Phillips and OC Jason Garrett would just as soon continue to run for 200 yards a game and have Romo make enough plays for Dallas to score 28 points per game. Romo has flair (good and bad), but the coaches would rather see 2nd and 4, compared to 2nd and 10. On defense, Dallas wants to win first down in the trenches, forcing Orton to be playmaker from the pocket. The Boys like their chances in that matchup. The Cowboys are 7-1-1 ATS as small change faves (three or less) and can be expected to use similar coverage tactics on enigmatic Brandon Marshall which worked so well on Steve Smith last Monday.
3DWLine – Denver 1.5
DiamondSportsbook.com Line – Dallas -3, 42.5
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