Showing posts with label Arizona Diamondbacks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Arizona Diamondbacks. Show all posts

Here comes the weekend plays

After one bad day, 3Daily Winners comes right back with 2-1 mark, lifting record to 133-74. This Friday we are on the hunt for more winners and begin with Sal’s Free Play. The Top Trend is a National Leaguer and the Best System is remarkable 87.7 percent! Good Luck

What I letting you know today – I believe ESPN is stretching its street cred by burying the LeBron James story. If you read the article, it doesn’t paint LBJ as some super hero, rather a guy in his mid-20’s, single, with his boys and having fun. Oh sure some words could be construed as crude, but put four or more guys in Vegas with a few drinks under their belt and what do you think would be said?

ESPN has chosen to make a non-interesting article a piece about their culture.

The GUARANTEED Plays are 4-2 the last three days and today we have a False Favorite in a 100 percent losing situation and National League road team that is up against a 20-4 situation. Grab one or both Guaranteed Winners today!

On Twitter at: http://twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System -1) Play On all favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 like Toronto with a rested bullpen, having thrown two or less innings in each of the last two games, against opponent after a game where the bullpen threw six or more innings. Holy Snikes, this system is 50-7, 87.7 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Arizona is 2-14 in road games after batting .250 or worse over a 20-game span this season.

Free Baseball Pick -3) Sal has hit a good stretch with 9-2 record and backs the Twinkies as his top selection.

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Sunday's Starting Lineup

A little late inning luck gave us a 2-1 day, raising our record to 125-67, 65.1 percent. We start with a solid MLB system that is 48-11 in a NL encounter. The Top Trend offers two awesome situations from the same contest. Good Luck

What I letting you know today – I heard the Dodgers left-handed reliever Hong-Chih Kuo is perfect 34-0 against lefty swingers this season. That right, they are betting .000 against him.

Going to go watch Tim Lincecum pitch today which should be great fun and before the game going to Alice Cooper’s restaurant to try the “Big Unit” hot dog that is 22 inches long, as seen on Man vs. Food. Of course I'm sharing with a pal.

If you wonder what is wrong with Ubaldo Jimenez, he is getting his elbow under and out ahead of his wrist, which is causing him to throw wild and high with his pitches.

The GUARANTEED Play finds one team playing into 6-34 situation, making them a 85 percent Play Against team. Come join me today and let's grab this EASY Winner.

On Twitter at: http://twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System -1) Play Against all underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 like the Snakes, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season, against opponent with a NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season. Betting against Arizona today gives you 81.4 percent chance of winning. (48-11)

Free Baseball Trend -2) The N.Y. Mets are 1-10 in road games vs. a NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better and the L.A. Dodgers are 13-1 after five straight games where they had less than 10 hits.

Free Baseball Pick -3) Kendall has four straight winners and has Cincinnati to ground Houston.


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Some like it Hot

Another winning day at 3Daily Winners takes us to 112-58, as we strive to get back to two/thirds winners. There are hot streaks and there is Ron. This dude is just dialed in on the base paths and is having a Barry Bonds season (steroids not included, but Ron does look a little bigger and I just thought about the acne thing, hmmm). He gives us another Free play worth seriously considering. We have a Top Trend in a West Coast conflict and today’s Best System is 48-10, in other words, damn good. Good Luck

What I thought today – Unfortunately the summer is more than half over, the good news is the first college football Saturday is seven weeks away.

On Twitter at: http://twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System -1) Play Against home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like Baltimore, who lack power (0.9 or less home runs per game), against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season. Playing against these passive pooches’ yields 48-10, 82.8 percent record.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Arizona is 6-23 vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better this season, losing by 3.3 runs per game.

Free Baseball Pick -3) Ron pushed his streak to 61-16 and believes he has yet another winner at 3DW and prefers Atlanta to maul Milwaukee.

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Happy 4th of July!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

A spirited 3-1 Saturday, raises our record to 94-54. We start today with Ron of the LCC just on fire and he offers his top selection for Free. The Top Trend is flat out perfect the Best System is amazing 48-8! Good Luck

3Daily Winners is No.5 in units won at Cappers Monitor the last 10 days.

What I saw yesterday – The Arizona Diamondbacks put on as bad a performance as a team can, committing six errors, a franchise record. The final score was 14-1 Dodgers and it should have been worse except for two base-running blunders by L.A. that led to unnecessary outs.

Kirk Gibson was just in his second game as manager but he is finding things out quickly about his team and himself. His starting lineup featured more than half the team made up of backups. The logic was lost on me and everyone else.

The Snakes can never, I repeat never again start Rusty Ryal at first base, his footwork and lack of experience led to directly to one and possibly two of the errors (Adam LaRoche would have saved two errors for certain) the D-Backs had.

Part of being a manager is to understand circumstances. Yes, Gibson was just on his second day on the job, but he had to know or should at least checked that this moribund team was going to have a large crowd on hand. It’s the manager’s job to win games first, however with over 44,000 on hand to watch fireworks as much or if not more than then to watch the Arizona, this was a great opportunity to go all out to impress the fans that maybe they should come back and see another game, since this club has nothing but pride and paychecks to play for the rest of the way.

The only reason anyone who was in attendance would bother to come back in 2010 is to see another team.

On Twitter at: http://twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System -1) Play On all favorites with a money line of -150 or more like the Halos, with a team batting average of .260 or less, against a good AL starting pitcher with ERA of 4.20 or less, in the second half of the season. Hitting the way back machine to 1997, this system is 48-8, 85.7 percent.

Free Baseball Trends -2) The Atlanta Braves are 9-0 vs. teams with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 this season.

Free Baseball Pick -3) Ron continues to crush the books with a 31-9 record on the diamond and is riding the Redbirds to split series with Milwaukee.

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Saturday Specials

The Rockies scored two runs in the bottom of the eighth to blow our system play and give us a 1-2 Friday, as we look to rebound. A number of top line pitchers are scheduled to throw today and two of them have unreal records as favorites and are listed as Top Trends. Our Best System is a winner 84.1 percent of the time and Ron thinks he has another Free Winner on tap. Good Luck

3Daily Winners is No.7 in units won in MLB at Cappers Watchdog the last week.


What I saw yesterday – Kuroda of the Dodgers had nothing last night against the D-Backs, throwing 66 pitches in less than two innings. The rest of the bullpen was not much better. I just tire of watching Matt Kemp, he just doesn’t play hard. For a guy who should be approaching the prime of his career, getting benched by your manager doesn’t show a willingness to help your team.

It was just one game, but Arizona went the other way with pitches (instead of trying to pull everything like usual) and was aggressive on the base paths. I have no idea if Kirk Gibson is a good manager, but I expect he will push the Snakes to be more assertive and sit those who are not.

On Twitter at: http://twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System -1) Play On home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 like Detroit, averaging 0.9 or less long balls per game on the season, after a win by six runs or more. Dating back to when the movie “Good Will Hunting” was hit, this system is 53-10.

Free Baseball Trends -2) Ubaldo Jimenez and the Rockies are 14-0 as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last two seasons and Jon Lester and Boston are 17-0 as a home favorite of -200 or more in his career.

Free Baseball Pick -3) Ron of the LLC continues to shine with 28-8 MLB record and is taking the Red Sox to pulverize the O’s on the run line.

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Sunday Stuff

Another 2-1 Saturday takes us to 69-34 and we have a MLB system similar to yesterday with a slightly different twist that is 87.3 percent. The Top Trend yields two from the same game and is 25-1. Mr. Buck has hit a nice stretch and hopes to sail along with another winner today. Good Luck

What I thought today – As soon as Kendry Morales broke the bone in his leg jumping on home plate in freak accident, everyone assumed the Angles would fly away and not be contender. Instead they have won six of seven as other players are stepping up offensively. I acknowledge playing the M’s and Royals helps.

On Twitter at: http://twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System -1) Play Against underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 like Arizona, with an on-base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games, against opponent with a ridiculous starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.000 or less over his last five starts. In the last 63 times this system has come up in the last five years, 55 have been winners.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Boston is 12-0 after four or more consecutive Over’s and Baltimore is 1-13 after scoring two runs or less two straight games this season.

Free Baseball Pick -3) Though I continue to do well with 2-1 day, I missed my play here yesterday and in moves Paul Buck who is on steaming 10-2 run. He’s on the Mariners to salvage one game in their series.

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Time for baseball trendy talk

Because the sport of baseball is played on daily basis all teams have streaks, some are good and others are not. For this Hump Day, we’ll focus on four teams that couldn’t knockout their own shadow, let alone defeat the team in the other dugout the way they are playing. Is today the day these derided derelicts of the diamond stand up and fight over adversity, probably not.

Arizona at L.A. Dodgers 3:10 E

Anytime you are 0 for anything, chances are life isn’t going so well. The Arizona Diamondbacks (20-33, -12.9 units) left the unfriendly borders of home on May 24 and haven’t won a game since, losing the first eight encounters of the road trip and a total of nine overall. The D-Backs offense tends to run like a microwave, or or off, unfortunately manager A.J. Hench just can’t press a button for start. The Snakes have averaged 2.1 runs per game in this stretch which places them in tough spots and they have lost last three contests in opponents final at bat.

Arizona is 3-12 after three or more consecutive losses this season and 8-22 with an on-base percentage of .285 or worse over their last five games and today’s get-away game in Los Angeles (30-22, +2.2) has added meaning for D-Backs players. Arizona is a +134 underdog at most sportsbooks against the Dodgers, who have taken the first two games of the series and are 13-32 in road tilts with double revenge. It will be Edwin Jackson (3-6, 6.03 ERA) for the Snakes against rookie Carlos Monasterios (2-0, 2.20) and L.A. is only 15-1 off three straight wins vs. division rivals over the last two seasons.

Chic. Cubs at Pittsburgh 7:05 E

In Chicago there has been a lot of talk about how lifeless the Cubs (24-29, -13 units) have played all season. This is a stunning development to Cubs fans who figured that Lou Piniella would throwing players out of the clubhouse and turning over tables and chewing on umpires’ ears on a daily basis with his team’s nonchalant attitude on the field. Instead, Piniella has acted like an older employee taken over by new ownership and just wants to keep quiet until his full pension kicks in.

It doesn’t help the middle of the Cubs lineup resembles the recent Guatemalan sinkhole, with Derek Lee batting .232 and Aramis Ramirez (.167) needs a three week hitting streak just to climb to Mendoza Line.

Forget all that and somebody explain why the Cubs 1-7 against Pittsburgh (22-31, +4.0) in 2010 and have lost 10 of 11 to the Pirates. With Pittsburgh a National League worst -128 in run differential, it would seem logical the Bucs are going to win a few one run games and get clobbered the rest of the time, however for the Cubs, it seems the worse a team is, the more awful they play. Chicago has these dubious angles riding, they are 2-11 vs. NL teams scoring 3.8 or less runs a game on the season and 2-8 in road contests if teams in their own league allows 5.3 or more runs per outing.

The Cubs turn to Carlos Zambrano of all people for the start and they are -135 favorites and oh by the way, are 1-7 revenging a loss vs. opponent as a road favorite this season. One other note, Pittsburgh is 10-2 at home after a one run victory.

Baltimore at N.Y. Yankees 7:05 E

It cannot be very fun to go to work every day as a Baltimore Orioles player. Your teams stinks with 15-37 record (-17.4) and the division you play in has four of the five teams with the best record in the American League as June starts moving forward.

Baltimore actually held the New York Yankees (32-20, +2.8) to three runs last night, but tallied just one themselves. The O’s are 3-19 after scoring two runs or less this year and alarming 1-17 in road games after scoring one or fewer runs in a loss to an AL East rival since 2008. Even when the Birds get a good pitched game, they are 6-27 as visitors after scoring and allowing three runs or less.

Its little wonder why Baltimore is a +260 underdog in the Bronx having to face Phil Hughes (6-1, 2.70), whose been New York’s best and most consistent pitcher this season. The Yankees are scoring 6.6 runs per game in the pinstripes and are 16-1 in home conflicts after allowing one run or less.

Cleveland at Detroit 7:05 E

The Tigers (26-25, +0.4) have lost eight of 10 with a balky offense not firing regularly. In Detroit’s previous defeats, they have scored 2.3 runs per game, compared to 4.4 in the season. Manager Jim Leyland has considered having the public address system at Comerica Park play Motley Crue’s “Kick start my heart” every time his team comes to bat (this might be a Twitter rumor) since all aspects of the pitching have been solid and fielding on good ground, yet they are only 12-19 after four straight games where they committed no errors.

Detroit managed only two runs against Jake Westbrook and Cleveland in 3-2 loss on Tuesday and gives the ball to Armando Galarraga (1-1, 4.50), who makes his third start of the season and first since May 22.

Though it’s nice to see Galarraga has worked hard to return to the big leagues after beginning the season in the minors, he still has a poor track record with 4-14 record in night games since last year. (Tigers Record) With Cleveland in the throes of a terrible season at 19-31, Detroit at -142 money line wager at online sports betting outlets sounds like a descent wager, yet they are 8-15 vs. teams outscored by one or more runs a contest on the season.

Will the Tigers be able to overcome 4-12 record with Galarraga as starting pitcher against losing team and instead move to 13-1 at Comerica off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite? Stay tuned.



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Looking to stay hot this Saturday

Our record has been special of late with 30-15 mark after 3-0 Thursday. For openers we have a 37-8 run line system in the AL. The Top Trend is reverse perfect and Kendall goes right back for the kill in the NBA with FREE NBA winner. Good Luck

What I thought today- Went and saw the Brewers and D-Backs last night. Both teams have obvious shortcomings. The Brew Crew won 3-2 and a big reason in my opinion was to why the game was low scoring was all pitchers threw first pitch strikes 46 of 66 batters.

On Twitter at: http://twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System -1) Play On home underdogs (Oakland) with the +1.5 run line after four straight games where they stranded seven or less runners on base, with a cold starting pitcher whose ERA is 7.50 or higher over his last three starts. This RL system is 37-8, 82.2 percent, which includes 2-0 this season.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Felipe Paulino of Houston is 0-12 vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last two seasons.

Free Basketball Pick -3) Kendall knows a good thing when he sees it and is betting Orlando at -2 at Atlanta today.


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The baseball train keeps chuggin'

The schedule might appear lighter in baseball action with just eight games on the board; however that doesn’t mean opportunity doesn’t exist. We went thru and isolated four specific MLB systems that are thought provoking and should have a well above average chance of being profitable to start another week of baseball betting. Sides and totals from DiamondSportsbook.com.

St. Louis at Arizona 9:40E

The Cardinals are already in first place in the NL Central, where they are expected to end up at the end of the season. You can’t blame St. Louis if they a trifle fatigued off 20-inning game Saturday and a tense come from behind effort 5-3 win over the New York Mets last evening.

St. Louis has left 32 men on base the last two contests (22 in the marathon) and are a -129 money line favorite in the desert against angry Arizona club that was swept by San Diego and has lost four in a row.

Here we look to Play Against road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 after two straight games where they stranded 10 or more runners on base, in the first half of the season. These teams are unsightly 12-33, 27.7 percent.

San Francisco at San Diego 10:05E

Even after losing series to the Dodgers, San Francisco maintained lead in the NL West with 8-4 record. The Giants continue their road trip further south down the California coast to San Diego.

The oddsmaker looked at the Matt Cain vs Clayton Richard matchup and studied two good bullpens and hung out an Un7 on this confrontation. With this setup, we found a 52-19 system that suggests to Play Over on road teams when the total is 7 to 8.5, after a loss, on a club with a winning percentage of 62% or better on the season.

Detroit at L.A. Angels 10:05E

Last week was not a good for Detroit, dropping two series and losing four of six games. Like many teams this time of year, the Tigers are attempting to put together a consistent bullpen and though the ERA of 3.21 appears more than adequate, too many runners are scoring in hold situations and they have surrendered 64 hits and walks (44-H, 20-W) in 42 innings, for WHIP of 1.524.

In the last three seasons, road clubs with bullpen WHIP between 1.450 to 1.550 on the year, who are a good fielding team, turning 1.1 or more double plays per game are 33-74.

Baltimore at Seattle 10:10E

There had to be a general sense of relief in Baltimore dugout as they ended their nine-game losing streak in being victorious for the just the second time this season yesterday in 8-3 triumph over Oakland.

Even with the offensive outburst, the Orioles are batting puny .234 as a team, with on-base percentage of .292, while scoring 3.2 runs per game.

Seattle’s return to the state of Washington has boosted their play, with two series victories. The pitching has been the difference and the bullpen has sharp with 3.29 ERA on the year (1.17 ERA at Safeco Park). The Mariners are a -148 money line favorite with total Ov8. Keep in mind, American League teams hitting less than .260, facing a bullpen with ERA under 3.33, on Monday’s, are 39-14 UNDER the last 13 years.

It's Friday Let it Rip!

Took a right cross to the chin with 1-2 day, but can hardly complain about 9-2 mark the last four days. That takes up to 201-137-3, almost back to 60 percent (59.4) since early April. Yesterday’s Best System was lone winner and has an 83.5 percent play in action. Want to know how the Dodgers might do tonight, check out the perfect Trend. Trent of the LCC is crazy NFL player and is already 7-1 in the preseason and offers his best play for Friday. Good Luck

What I learned yesterday – I really liked Philadelphia after they lost to New England last week, but as the week progressed and I saw them as field goal road favorites, I pulled the plug and let the game slide, halfway thinking the Colts might be sharp after scoring three points. I was correct and like I’ve said before, sometimes it’s what you don’t do that saves you money.

Now on Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Arizona with a money line of +175 to +250 after allowing 10 runs or more. This bulging system is 101-20, 83.5 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Randy Wolf and the Dodgers are 10-0 in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse since last season, winning by 3.1 runs per game.

Free Football Pick -3) Trent of the Left Coast Connection loves preseason NFL action and likes Kansas City to manipulate Minnesota and win outright.

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Trying to stay hot (even in Phoenix) on a Wednesday

A sweet 3-0 day helps building our momentum. Today’s Best System is 88.8 percent, but could be nerve-racking with pitching matchup. Top Trend looks like blowout, will it be? Sal is on another sensational role; check his Best Bet for Wednesday. Good Luck

What I found todayhttp://msn.foxsports.com/nfl/story/9956006/The-world-according-to-Favre

Now on Twitter at: twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs with a money line of +150 or more who are hitting .200 or worse over their last three games, against opponent with a torrid starting pitcher with WHIP of 1.000 or less the last five times he toed the slap. This will be intriguing with Lee and Haren, but system shows 40-5 record since 2005 and suggests play against the Snakes.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Tampa Bay is 12-1 in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20, winning by 2.8 runs per game.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Sal was 3-1 yesterday including another winner here. Today he expects the Angels to be heavenly, even in Cleveland.

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Taken down The Man this Wednesday

Got blistered pretty good with 1-3 day. Hopefully we can climb back on the winning bandwagon, with a quality system that is 80.7 percent. This hopefully will lead to Top Trend being a winner from a top-line hurler. A new member of the LCC offers his first ever Free Play, hope it’s a winner. Good Luck and a lot of hope I’m asking for.

What I though yesterday – I’m glad Brett Favre decided to retire. I had the pleasure of watching him twice a year or more in person for much of his career and he gave me plenty of thrills. Though as adults, we don’t have many sports heroes like when we were kids, he’s probably the closest thing to one for me in my adult life. The last several years of shanigans (my opinion) have placed a foul taste in my mouth and others about No. 4 and I’ve had no trouble ripping him for what he’s done, in spite of having several publicly painful things happen to him. I now applaud him for stepping aside and instead selling for Sears and other opportunities that will come his way.

Now on Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST home underdogs like Arizona, with a money line of +125 to +175, who are typical NL offensive team scoring 4.3 to 4.8 runs a game, against a capable starter (ERA of 3.70 or less), after a loss by two runs or less. This system is 21-5 since 2005, 80.7 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) There are trends today with higher win percentages, but this one caught my eye. Roy Halladay and Toronto are 41-4 vs. AL teams scoring 4.2 or less runs a game on the season, winning by 2.9 runs per game.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Kyle of the LCC is 8-3 the last three days and believes the Mets with will keep playing well, and clip Colorado.

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Trying to Bury the Book on a Friday

The winning just keeps on coming with another 2-1 day, making us 11-3 in this most recent positive streak. I’ve hit a very good personal patch and offer my Free Play seeking seven straight winner. Found a rare perfect Totals Trend, where they played the All-Star game. Top System is out West, following the best team in baseball and is 38-6. Good Luck.

What I learned yesterday: Jamie Moyer is 8-0 with a 1.37 earned run average in eight career starts in what is now known as Land Shark Stadium. Moyer is the fifth pitcher since earned runs became an official statistic (1912 in the N.L., 1913 in the A.L.) to win each of his first eight starts with an earned-run average that low in a particular stadium. The four others are: Lefty Tyler at Weeghman Park (8-0, 1.18 ERA in his first eight starts), Lon Warneke at Shibe Park (8-0. 1.24), Jack Sanford at Connie Mack Stadium (8-0, 1.22) and Jim Bunning at Shea Stadium (8-0, 0.38). Thanks Elias

Now on Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System-1) Play Against all underdogs like Houston, with a money line of +150 or more, a NL team with a low on-base percentage of .350 or less, against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP of 1.350 or less), with a hot starting pitcher whose ERA less than 2.00 over his last three starts. This hotter than a day in Death Valley system is 38-6, 86.4 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) The Arizona D-backs are 13-0 UNDER in road games after seven or more consecutive home games over the last three seasons.

Free Baseball Pick -3) Too borrow from Harry Carry, Holy Cow, six straight winners by yours truly and we’ll go to the South Side where Harry used to work and play the White Sox.

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3DW Baseball Betting Beat

The three things you can count on in life are death, taxes and change. In each case, how we react to them helps sculpt our lives. In baseball, one aspect that has changed dramatically is pitchers willingness to throw inside. There are reasons this has occurred. Starting when a pitcher tries to throw inside and misses, he could either hit a batter hanging over the inside part of the plate or throw room-service pitch that is launched over the fence. Pitching away plays to the batters weakness, making him chase and swing unnaturally at outside pitches.

The problem with this style or mentality of pitching is batters have no fear. Take the Los Angeles Angels pitching staff. Only the Toronto Blue Jays have been even close to suffering as much bad luck to the staff as the Angels. To start the season, John Lackey, Ervin Santana and Kelvim Escobar started on the disabled list. Lackey and Santana have returned, with neither pitching like they have in the past. Escobar gave it try, but whispers out of Anaheim have many wondering if his career is threatened. Dustin Moseley was supposed to step in and he too ended up on the DL and Nick Adenhart was tragically killed.

The Angels were forced to look anywhere for healthy bodies to pitch, which has contributed to them being 26th in runs allowed at five per game.

The departure of Francisco Rodriguez set off a change of events to the bullpen. Brian Fuentes was brought in to be the closer and looked like a batting practice pitcher for almost eight weeks, with an ERA of almost eight at his lowest point. Scott Shields was always Mr. Durability, until his plant leg and knee gave out, requiring season-ending knee surgery. Supposed closer in the making Jose Arredondo is now in Triple-A trying to get back in groove, while fighting elbow issues.

This has left manager Mike Scioscia and pitching coach Mike Butcher with a huge dilemma almost every night. The Los Angeles bullpen is 28th in ERA, with opposing batters hitting a blistering .278 against them.

Part of the problem besides command, is lack of knowledge or ability to own the inside part of the plate. Texas Ranger and nearly washed up Andruw Jones hit four home runs in last two games against the Angels and was never threatened with inside pitch. The Rangers hit five home runs in Game 3 to take the series. Wouldn’t you think one Angels’ pitcher would have been peeved and drilled somebody? Nope. They just took it and start Friday’s action in second place, behind Texas.

The easy excuse is “that’s not how the game is played anymore” Really? Do you think Roy Halladay, Josh Beckett, Zack Greinke, Tim Lincecum, Johan Santana and Justin Verlander to name a few, just work the outside black of the plate? Of course not. Each pitcher effectively works both sides of the plate and is unafraid to come-up-and-in to move a batter who looks a little too comfortable in the box.

Unless the Angels suddenly turn into the 1927 Yankees, it’s very difficult to place a wager on them on a consistent basis, since no lead is safe and even when they do lose, the pitchers are only too happy to just accept it and move on to next game.

Don’t know if you saw this the other day, but it is EXTREMELY simple to determine what is wrong with the Cleveland Indians this season. On average, they have allowed almost 14 opposing players per game to reach bases (13.6) when combining hits and walks. This is the highest number in baseball (Yes, even Washington is better), no wonder they have lost -22.7 units, despite scoring over five runs per game.

Dan Haren of Arizona is going to the All-Star; however he hasn’t received near the notoriety he deserves for his season’s work. His record is respectable 8-5, with the Diamondbacks 10-7 for -0.2 units in his 17 starts. Consider Haren has allowed more than three earned runs just once this season. (May 23 against his former team Oakland) A total of 14 times he has pitched a minimum of six innings and surrendered two or fewer runs for a record of 8-5, which is nondescript, considering the production. His ERA is flabbergasting 2.16 and in his five defeats, the Snakes have scored THREE total runs. Consider if the Arizona scored below their average and totaled just four runs per game in Haren’s losses (He allowed eight total runs in defeats), he would have 13-0 record, at +10.85 units and the most celebrated pitcher in the game.

The Florida Marlins are hanging around in contention in the NL East, even though their supposed strength coming into the season has not materialized. The Marlins staff of fine young hurlers is 12th in ERA in the National League and they are ordinary eighth in quality starts. How has Florida succeeded? The Fish are granulating left-handed pitchers, posting 20-11 record, picking up +10.1 units. Florida averages 0.5 more runs per game against southpaws (4.9 vs. 4.4) compared to right-handers. It’s the way the rotation works out; nonetheless, the Marlins are tied for third in facing the most lefties, which seems peculiar at this juncture given there results. What is even more outlandish is the fact Florida pitchers have conceded one less run per game (4.1 vs 5.1) when a left-hander starts for the opposition.


Rack'em for a Thursday

Well hello all, had great time away, didn’t look at one baseball score or almost anything related to sports, nice mental break. When we were last here Saturday, posted 3-0 record and will look to build on that starting up again today. We return today with an 81.8 percent system. The Top Trend is flat perfect at 10-0 and the Free Pick as arrived. Good Luck.

What I learned yesterday – The Arizona D-Backs are now 1-15 in next contest after Dan Haren pitches, after losing again last night.

Took the world’s long tram to the top of Sandia Mountains, almost 11,000 feet up. It states you can see 11,000 square miles and I would believe it, very cool. Came back on Craps table and won a little money playing roulette.

Now on Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Arizona with a money line of +125 to +175, who are have .250 or less team batting average, against a decent NL starting pitcher with 3.70 to 4.20, who are hitting even worse, with .240 or less BA over their last 10 games. Since 1997, this system checks in at 45-10, 81.8 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Barry Zito and the San Francisco Giants are 0-10 against the money line against NL Central opponents over the last two seasons.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Slick Rick’s has cooled since we last were here and is still 16-10 since last week. He likes the Phillies in underdog role tonight.

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Texas batters have Rangers up against Rough System

Over the years, the best baseball played in the state of Texas has in been in Austin at the University of Texas, who plays in tonight’s College World Series championship game. The Texas Rangers have long been known for something also, hitting the ball and not winning many games. The Rangers organization has never been able to develop pitchers, thus having everyday hitters has been their best road to what success they have enjoyed.

This season, with a better bullpen and change in pitching philosophy, Texas has spent the vast majority of the time in first place in the American League West by themselves, until know. Having lost five in a row and nine of last 14, the Rangers have been caught by favored Los Angeles. To the casual baseball observer, one would expect another collapse of Texas pitching to be the culprit; however this is not the case at the present time, as the Rangers bats have gone uncommonly quiet.

In their current batting slump, Texas is hitting below .250 as a team, scoring as many as six runs only twice and averaging 2.64 runs per game. Though management is saying they are not concerned per se, there are troubling signs.

“Obviously we’ve hit a speed bump and the players know that,” general manager Jon Daniels told the Rangers’ official Web site. “But I’d much rather talk about an offensive slump than the pitching issues we’ve had to deal with in the past.”

In looking at Lone Star Ball blog, we find a series of Rangers woes when it comes to hitting.
In the American League, Texas has the highest percentage of swings and misses at 20 percent. The Rangers are last in pitches taken for strikes at 24 percent. Texas batters swing at 48 percent of the pitches they see, which is the highest in the AL, with first place Boston taking hacks the fewest amount of times at 41 percent. The Rangers only make contact 74 percent of the time, which is again dead last.

The pitching axiom of throwing first pitch strike is much easier against Texas, since they swing at one-third of these pitches. Consider Tampa Bay is the second most impatient team to swing the bat on the first pitch at 28 percent and doing the math you have a difference of almost 18 percent between first and second positions, which is an enormous gap.

Last night pitcher Max Scherzer of Arizona was able to strikeout seven Texas hitters in six innings, by pitching up the ladder to Rangers hitters. (With each strike pitching higher in the zone) With how undisciplined Texas hitters are right now, six of the seven pitches that resulted in K’s would have been balls with more patience.

There task becomes a lot whole more difficult this evening facing Dan Haren (6-4, 2.23 ERA, 0.822 WHIP). Haren would have much better record be it for more run support and is 11-2 with a 2.90 ERA in his career in interleague play, including 8-0 with a 2.57 ERA in his last nine outings. Haren has been close to un-hittable in last five starts, with a 3-0 record and silly 1.66 ERA.

This places Texas in a conundrum, going up against a system that reads this way:

Play Against road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more, who are batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games, against opponent with a hot starting pitcher, with WHIP or 1.000 or less over his last five starts.

With Haren posting 96 strikeouts in 101 innings, the free-swinging Rangers might cool off the surroundings of the 100+ degrees heat in downtown Phoenix, providing natural wind flow. This system is 76-13, 85.4 percent since 2004. Haren is 22-7 in June starts (Teams Record) in his career and is 22-8 UNDER in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game.

DiamondSportsbook.com has Arizona as -175 money line favorites with the total Ov8. Sure the Rangers miss Josh Hamilton’s bat in the lineup, but what they miss more is plate discipline, after leading the AL in contact on percentage of swings in 2008.

Yankees favored in Cleveland Monday

The New York Yankees go for the series win in game number four against Cleveland, trying to maintain lead over Boston for first place in the American League East. New York came back from a four run deficit Sunday, thanks to Mark Teixeira’s four runs batted in. Teixeira now has a 13-game hitting streak, off a bad start and is hitting .400 (22 for 55) with eight homers and 20 RBIs during his streak.

However, a lead off walk by reliever Phil Coke ended up setting the table for Cleveland’s Jhonny Peralta, who drove in the winning run with his third hit of the day giving the Indians a 5-4 walk-off win.

The Yankees (29-21, -0.5 units) will turn to Joba Chamberlain (2-1, 3.97 ERA) looking for the series win, after winning first two contests. The young right-hander had another shaky start in his last outing Tuesday at Texas, allowing three runs over four innings with four walks. Chamberlain has ERA of 10.00 in the first inning this season in his nine starts. “Plain and simple, I was terrible,” he said. “I’ve got to do a better job of keeping the team in the game.”

New York has won the last six times they have played in Game 4 of a series and they have captured 14 of last 18 tilts during this run. With Chamberlain on the mound, the Yanks are 8-2 against teams with losing records and 13-4 when favored.

Cleveland (22-30, -8.8) will counter Jeremy Sowers (1-2, 7.71) who returns to the starting rotation. Sowers was dreadful with 0-2 record and 12.00 ERA, in two spot starts in May. He redeemed himself in part last Monday, tossing five scoreless innings in relief, in unfathomable 11-10 win against Tampa Bay. That was the left-hander’s first career stint out of the bullpen.

Sowers and the Tribe are 1-6 when he starts the game versus a team with winning record.
The early line from DiamondSportsbook.com has New York as -160 money line favorites with the total Un10. The Bronx Bombers are 7-1 against lefty starters, with matching record on the road if total is between 9 and 10.5 runs. Cleveland, despite their troubles this campaign, is 10-4 as home underdogs, though 6-15 in that role if Sowers is pitcher.

The Yankees are 7-3-1 OVER when Chamberlain toes the rubber and the Indians are 20-7 OVER as underdogs. It should be noted, nine of last dozen at Progressive Field between these teams have gone UNDER.

This is ESPN contest, which starts at 7:05 Eastern and if you follow baseball on the days of the week, New York is 5-13 in last 18 Monday affairs and the Tribe are 11-4 on the first day of the work week.

Streaking MLB teams look to continue streaks

The Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angels Dodgers are working conspicuous streaks, each in different manners. As each team wraps up brief two game series against opponent, they continue the pursuit of the record books, which would place them among the all-time leaders in what they have been able to accomplish.

You have heard the expression “We own these guys”, which is often an overstated boast, having come from confidence real or imagined, In the case of Milwaukee (14-12, +2 units), any sentiment felt by players or fans would be absolutely 100 percent accurate. The Brewers have beaten Pittsburgh 16 consecutive times, the last team to do that was Arizona over Cincinnati from 2001-03.

Milwaukee is edging ever closer to Baltimore’s dominance over Kansas City in 1969-70, when the Orioles won 23 straight over the Royals. This has not been an easy streak to ride by sports bettors either, unless you started near the beginning. The Brewers have picked up +16 units during this streak, but have been a -180 or higher money line favorites 10 times, meaning to come in various points, would have been a costly loss.

The Brew Crew will start Jeff Suppan (1-2, 5.88 ERA, 1.462 WHIP), who has enjoyed great success against the Bucs (12-13, +1.2). The veteran right-hander is rounding back into form, with 2.95 ERA in last three starts, which Milwaukee won each time. Suppan is super 12-3 with a 4.20 ERA versus the Pirates, including 5-0 in his last seven starts against them.

He will face Ian Snell (1-3, 3.72, 1.621) who has been throwing well with 1.89 ERA in last trio of trips to the mound, though has more walks than strikeouts (12 vs 11), which problematic against a team that was won this many in a row.

Maybe Pittsburgh’s luck will change as the game is a Pick at DiamondSportsbook.com with total Un8.5. The Pirates haven’t been hitting, however are 18-11 (+11.2 Units) against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a five-game span over the last two seasons. Milwaukee is sharp 25-8 vs. a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550.

Later tonight, the Dodgers look to a tie a record, which Chicago Cubs fans can appreciate, in terms of time. Los Angeles (19-8, +10.1) broke the National League record for most home wins to start the season with 11 last night in downing Arizona 7-2. That broke the league record shared by the 1918 New York Giants, 1970 Chicago Cubs, and 1983 Atlanta Braves who started 10-0. Ironically, Dodgers manager Joe Torre was the skipper of that Braves team.

Next is the record that is almost a century old (Cubs’ fans are you paying attention), as the Detroit Tigers of 1911 started the year with a dozen victories at Bennett Park, which was destroyed after the season, because of the threat of fire, being made entirely of wood.

The Dodgers haven’t been squeaking by opponents either, outscoring them by 4.3 runs per game at Dodger Stadium, being the top scoring team in the National League in home ball park. Los Angeles is batting .332 with 15 homers at home and has 2.52 ERA, having held opponents to a .190 batting average there. “It’s sweet. We just have to keep adding on now,” catcher Russell Martin said.

All of these figures don’t bode well for Arizona (11-15, -5.7), who have lost six straight at Dodger Stadium and 10 of 12 to L.A. The Dodgers are 11-1 at home after allowing four runs or less in four straight games and will start Jeff Weaver. The ordinary right-hander will make first start since Sept. of 2007, after he pitched four scoreless innings of relief against San Diego in his season debut Thursday.

Arizona’s Max Scherzer (0-2, 3.48, 1.306) is still seeking elusive first major league victory, despite pitching above average. The hard throwing right-hander is 0-6 with a 3.17 ERA in 20 career games. In his 11 starts, the Diamondbacks have managed one victory.
As the Dodgers chase history, they are -125 money line favorites, with total Un9. The D-Backs lack of hitting (.226 BA and 3.8 RPG) has them at 5-15 in road games after three or more consecutive Unders since last year.

Milwaukee and L.A. can add to the coffers of loyal followers tonight.

Having to pitch with purpose

It is way too early for Major League baseball teams to hit the panic button; however it is not too early to start turning season around if your team is off to a slow start. Then there is a team like the Los Angeles Angels who play on the road for the first time and the starting pitcher is someone very different from who was expected to be taking the mound a week ago.

Its opening day in Seattle (5-2, +3.9 units), who has played fantastic baseball on the road. The Mariners have a four-game winning streak after sweeping Oakland and have managed to start fast even without Ichiro Suzuki who will join the team tomorrow from the DL, after suffering a bleeding ulcer.

Seattle is abuzz because “The Kid’ is back, as Ken Griffey Jr. returns in a Seattle uniform. The Mariners will face division rival Los Angeles (3-3, +0.2) and they will be starting Shane Loux. The 29-year right-hander hasn’t taken the ball to start a game in six years and has the added pressure of taking the spot of departed Nick Adenhart. The Angels are -110 money line favorites at Bookmaker.com, with total Ov9.5. The Halos are 26-10 after five or more consecutive home games and will face Carlos Silva (0-1, 10.80 ERA), who is 6-19 after giving up two or more home runs in last outing. (Team's Record) Seattle has lost 13 of 19 to Angels at Safeco Field.

After four miserable years in New York, Carl Pavano was seeking a new lease on life and a baseball pay check and hooked up with Cleveland (1-6, -5.8). To call Pavano’s first start rough would be an understatement since his ERA is one number higher (81) than what former Cleveland Brown Kellen Winslow wore last season (80). Pavano needed only 39 pitches to allow nine runs, six hits and walk three, last Thursday in Texas in loss. The Indians lumbering start makes them 13-21 in April the last two years and the pitching staff has been battered for 7.9 runs per game. They will look to avoid a second straight loss to Kansas City (4-3, +1.6) as +140 ML underdogs, facing a Royals club that is 17-5 in home games vs. teams outscored by a half a run or more a game on the season.

Right-hander Daisuke Matsuzaka (0-1, 6.75 ERA) suffered just three losses in 29 starts in 2008 and his team needs for him to not take another defeat early in the season. The Red Sox (2-5, -5.2) haven’t done much right to begin the season, as pitchers have been slapped around for 5.3 runs per game and offense is checking in at paltry 3.4 runs per game. Last year’s AL MVP Dustin Pedroia is well below the Mendoza line, hitting .179 and power source David Ortiz has yet to lace an extra base hit. Boston was busted up by Oakland 8-2 last evening and is 20-8 in road games after a loss by four runs or more and hopes Matsuzaka can duplicate prior efforts, with the Red Sox 12-2 in road tilts in which he started. The BoSox are -150 money line favs at Oakland to even series.

Arizona was set up to capitalize on the early season, playing 18 of first 21 games at Chase Field. A 2-5 (-4.7) beginning means the Diamondbacks will need a quick turnaround and turn to Max Scherzer to spin year around. Scherzer throws heat and if he commands his slider, he can be every bit as dominant as his major league debut in which he retired all 13 batters with seven strikeouts. Arizona isn’t doing much on offense scoring 3.4 run per game and takes on St. Louis (6-2, +2.8), being 23-38 against a team with a winning record. The Cardinals have Cris Carpenter (1-0, 0.00 ERA) back, who only pitched just over 21 innings in last two years, before throwing seven in 2-1 victory over Pittsburgh last week. The Cardinals are -140 ML favorites with total Un9, which is worth watching as Carpenter and the Cards are 10-0 UNDER vs. NL teams scoring 3.8 or less runs a game on the season.