Showing posts with label PGA Tour. Show all posts
Showing posts with label PGA Tour. Show all posts

Back to Business Sunday

Sorry I missed everyone yesterday; to make a long story short, my daughter lives in Hawaii, which caused a few anxious moments early in the day and ended up going to the Phoenix Open. I decided it was better to do nothing than a poor job.

Speaking of poor, that’s what we were Friday at just 1-3, so let’s make this a bounce back day. Have a terrific system play that is 87.5 percent in the ACC and found a strong Top Trend in the NBA. Good Luck

What I noticed yesterday – The Phoenix Open is easily the craziest golf tournament on the PGA Tour. 30,000+ people at the 16th hole cheering all the time, while downing a few(?) adult beverages. Large groups of people dressed in similar fashion (about 30 people were all dressed in various forms of yellow and white) moving around as group. In all, fun to watch, even the golf.

On Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Basketball System -1) Play Against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Virginia, who are average three-point shooting team (32-36.5 percent) against a good three-point defense (32 percent or less), after two straight games making 37 percent of their shots or worse. This is really a superb system at 28-4 ATS, 87.5 percent the last 13 years.

Free Basketball Trend - 2) The L.A. Clippers are 2-13 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more this season.

Free Basketball Pick -3) Steve from the LCC really is good with Western Region teams in all sports and tells me UC-Davis is the play.

Time for Lift off on Monday

Brought the truck back around to the winning side with 2-1 day and I warned Paul Buck Pitt might be in trouble. Today we have a super NHL trend that will bring a smile to hockey bettors face. The Best System is in the MAC at 28-6 and I have several weekend observations. Good Luck

What I thought today- It was quite a weekend in basketball for the sports bettor to take in the action and learn a great deal about the teams they were wagering on. You could make a case Georgetown has as good a three main players in guards Chris Wright, Austin Freeman and center Greg Monroe, as there is in college basketball. No question a number of others teams are more complete than the Hoyas, however when all three of these players are on, as Duke found out, G-Town is very good. The Blue Devils looked very tired and did an unusually poor job in transition defense. When Duke is getting beat, they are not receiving any contributions in the paint.

Louisville outscored West Virginia 71-46 in the middle 32+ minutes of their game against West Virginia and covered. However, they trailed 13-0 after the first three minutes of the contest and the Mountaineers used an 18-4 closing salvo to win 77-74. Credit coach Bob Huggins for using 1-3-1 zone defense in last four minutes plus to prevent the Cardinals from scoring. Louisville also got “homered” on brutal call with seconds remaining, which should have given them the ball back under their own basket.

In watching Baylor and Texas, it really appeared the Bears were the better team in upsetting the Longhorns in Austin. The Texas guards just don’t offer enough offensively unless you count turnovers and excessive dribbling as positives. One positive for coach Rick Barnes, Texas played with defensive intensity in the second half of this contest, something not witnessed in a couple of weeks. For the oddity of the weekend, Baylor’s Ekpe Udoh was 0-10 shooting in regulation play with no points and he scored the Bears first seven points in OT.

Kentucky went from seven point favorites all the way to 9.5 early Saturday afternoon before the marketplace settled on 8.5. It didn’t matter as the Wildcats were awesome on defense against Vanderbilt and DeMarcus Cousins showed he is going to be a tremendous NBA talent, probably after this his freshman season.

The Kansas and Kansas State’s contest lived up to all the billing with overtime thriller. The Jayhawks can turn to several different players in the context of a game and find a way to win. K-State is so aggressive, especially on the offensive glass. Coach Frank Martin might have played the final minute differently given more time to think about, taking what seemed to be an unnecessary calculated risk. Glad I was off that game, as the last second heave by the Wildcats was either a heart-breaking spread loss or cause for lucky celebration with Kansas State catching four points.

Illinois is not mentally strong and are a bad favorite play. Watched Pacific for about 25 minutes, they look like a good bet the rest of the way in the Big West as single digit favorites, which won’t be often. Couldn’t help but be impressed with Cornell. The Big Red wasn’t on TV, however the humiliated Harvard 86-50 on their own home floor. Cornell is 18-3 and 13-3 ATS and their only losses have come to Seton Hall, Syracuse and they realistically could have been then and now No. 1 Kansas in Lawrence, losing by five.

Go figure, North Carolina is 13-8, as is Connecticut, after both were upset this weekend. There is still time to improve record, but right now neither looks like they belong in NCAA Tournament and they are a combined 14-23-1 ATS.

It was lost on me why PGA Tour players were outraged Phil Mickelson used an old Ping wedge that technically could be deemed illegal, but was “grandfathered” in under the rules of golf and thus is 100 percent legal. Having worked in the golf business for a long time, I’m well aware that many professional golfers are not that much different than those that setup NASCAR rigs. In other words, you make the rules and I’ll take them as possibly as close as I can without “breaking the law”. Mickelson was playing by the rules and if he could get a slight edge on his competitors don’t blame him, blame the golfers that didn’t keep an old wedge around that was over 20 years old. Trust me, though these golfers are as honorable as any athletes in sports, if their golf balls went one foot past the number of feet per second rule on compression, very few would not use golf balls deemed “illegal”.

On Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Basketball System -1) Play On home favorites of 10 or more points like Bowling Green after scoring 55 points or less, against opponent after scoring 60 points or less three straight games. The Falcons are in 28-6 ATS winning situation at 82.4 percent.

Free Hockey Trend - 2) The most humorous NHL game tonight is Edmonton and Carolina, as each team has combined angles of 0-22 going against each other. Instead we’ll say to watch Anaheim, who is 9-1 against the money line in road games after two consecutive non-conference games over the last three seasons.

Free Basketball Pick -3) Ron is the newest member of the Left Coast Connection and he sees a tired and flat Lakers club in Memphis tonight and is backing the Grizz.

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World Golf Championship Betting Info

If their was ever a golf event made for sports bettors to wager on, it is the WGC match play event in Marana, Ariz, about 30 minutes north of Tucson at the Ritz-Carlton GC at Dove Mountain. This brings the best 64 players together according to the world rankings and puts them in a format similar to the NCAA basketball tournament, with four brackets and every player seeded. What is different about this event is the match play format, head to head. As opposed college basketball, the number one seeds have lost in the first round. The difference between the best player in the world and No. 64 is not as great as the average person may think.

The lowest rated player might get the putter going and birdie a number of holes, putting pressure on the favorite. Or the underdog could just plod along making pars and hit a stretch and win three holes in a row, essentially winning the match. Among the intriguing aspects of betting this five day tournament, there is no M.O. of a particular type of player that separates them. Tiger Woods has the best mental makeup to win six matches, but he’s also the most talented player in the world.

Match play brings out different aspects of golfers personalities compared to stroke play and certain events can really change the course of a match. The legendary Bobby Jones lamented facing a player scraping by. "When a man misses his drive, and misses his second shot and wins the hole with a birdie, it gets my goat," Jones said.

Tiger Woods return couldn’t be any more welcome to the PGA Tour, as nobody really took over the tour in Tiger’s absence. His return means better attendance at the events he plays and increased television viewership. Woods is a +475 favorite at Bookmaker.com to win, which he has to be in theory because of who he is. However, to ask anyone who has not played a competitive round of golf since June of last year, play 90 holes of golf (give or take depending on how the matches go) just to get to the 36-hole final, well even that seems like a challenge for Mr. Woods.

Phil Mickelson and Henrik Stenson are +1500, followed by Sergio Garcia at +1600 and Anthony Kim at +2000. My personal choice is Geoff Ogilvy at +2000, who won this event in 2006 and lost to Tiger last year. Even this selection comes with trepidation, since this is the first year they are playing at the new 7,849-yard Jack Nicklaus-designed layout, after playing across the street at the Gallery. The layout has four par fives, wide fairways and rambunctious greens with more undulation and turns than the local rattlesnakes.

Here are my first round wagers for Wednesday.

Retief Goosen -120 over Tim Clark

Rory Sabbatini -150 over Miguel Angel Jimenez

Soren Hanson +130 over Ernie Els

Dustin Johnson +110 over Steve Stricker

Mathew Googin +140 over Kenny Perry

Stuart Appleby -105 over Martin Kaymer