A story that rings the bell

Most nights I end up listening to MLB.tv for various games in different markets for a period of time. Often these are games involving wagers I made or I just like to hear how different announcers sound in different markets, listening for possibly something I can write about.

Last night in Oakland, Pittsburgh and the A’s were wearing their late 1970’s uniforms, which are quite a sight if you haven’t seen them.

http://mlb.mlb.com/video/play.jsp?tcid=mm_mlb_vid

(Find the Oakland dominates behind Cahill and Barton video 6-26)

Anyways, they bring back announcer Monte Moore who started with A’s in Kansas City back in 1962 and was with them in the glory days of the 1970’s and was with the Athletics more or less until 1992.

Back in the 70’s, he would do pregame interviews and did one with reliever Darryl Knowles. He had asked Knowles about pitching the night before and Knowles had said he was throwing the ball fine until he gave up a “dinger”. Moore asked what he meant by that word and Knowles said “Dinger, you know a home run.”

This led to Moore coming up with a very popular call to Oakland fans, "There She Goes..." and "Ringer Dinger" home run call and he had a copper bell he would ring from someone who had given it to him.

Moore as to turns out brought back the very same bell he had retired 18 years ago and was doing an inning Saturday night calling the game and talking about yesteryear.

As luck would certainly have it, Moore was talking about the bell when the A’s Kurt Suzuki took a Pirate pitcher deep and if you listen and watch the video, you can here Moore talking about and ringing the bell.

After that they were all laughing and having a great time in the broadcast booth talking about what just happened. Very entertaining and pretty cool moment.

Baseball Systems that circle the bases

Winning at baseball betting comes in many shapes and sizes. One method to consider is baseball systems, since you don’t have a point spread involved and just have to win the game to win the money. For Thursday uncovered four strong MLB systems that could well provide delectable results.

Chicago Cubs at Seattle 3:40E

Two crummy teams presently headed in opposite directions are the Cubs and Mariners. Chicago (31-40) has dropped four of five to AL West teams and has fallen into third place tie with Milwaukee in the NL Central. Seattle (30-41) on the other hand has strung together six straight wins and moved to within 2.5 games of vacating the basement of their division.

The Mariners go after their longest win streak since they won eight straight from June 23-July 1, 2007, giving the ball to Felix Hernandez (5-5, 3.39 ERA), who is back to pitching like King Felix in his last couple of outings (17 2/3 innings, three runs allowed). Seattle is a -156 money line favorite and the M’s and Hernandez are 19-4 in June when he is the starter. You have to like the Mariners chances since home teams having won six or more consecutive contests in June are 112-44 the last 13 years including 7-1 this season.

Florida at Baltimore 7:05E

This isn’t exactly news like a United States general has been removed from his duty, as the Baltimore Orioles (19-52) pitching staff continues to give up hits at an alarming rate. O’s pitchers have been touched for 69 base hits in their last six outings, permitting 6.5 runs per game in losing five of six. The past three contests have been especially egregious, as 26 opposing runners have touched home plate.

It’s not like Baltimore has a tremendous offense to offset their pitching woes, ranked 12th in on-base percentage in the American League at .310, averaging a league low 3.3 RPG. Oddsmakers have this contest set for 9.5 total and in this spot look to go below the number as AL teams with on-base percentage .310 or worse on the season, having allowed seven runs or more three straight games are 38-12 UNDER.

St. Louis at Toronto 7:07E

The Blue Jays are like basketball team that lives and dies with the three-point shot. When it goes in the basket, the club looks awesome, when it does not, they definitely come up short. Toronto (38-34) leads all of baseball with 108 home runs; however they are dead last in the AL in batting average (.239) and on-base percentage (.307).

As good as the Jays starting pitching has been, St. Louis (40-31) is the type of team that can match or surpass Toronto’s pitchers and keep their bats under control like they have the first two games of the series. With the Blue Jays a +116 home underdog against Adam Wainwright (10-4, 2.23) and Redbirds, consider playing against underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher, with below average AL hitting team (BA .265 or less), against a good NL starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or lower, who are batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games. The favorite in this situation is 97-28 since 1997.

Pittsburgh at Texas 8:05E

The Texas Rangers (43-38) are hotter than the midday Dallas summer sun with 10 consecutive victories. The same cannot be said about Pittsburgh (25-46), who has been a victim on the road 13 games in a row. The Texas bats are afire, scoring 6.4 RPG in this streak and will face ground-ball pitcher Jeff Karstens (2-2, 4.72).

Rangers’ hitters battered the first two Pirates pitchers for 13 runs last night, forcing them to use five relievers over the last eight innings. Karstens has to pinpoint the ball to be effective and only has walked 11 batters in seven starts; however he can’t overpower opponents either, as his total of 19 strikeouts proves.

The Rangers are a Texas-sized -250 ML favorite to sweep the series and underdogs of +150 or more, with a starting pitcher who strikes out three or less batters per start, after a game where the bullpen threw six or more innings are dreadful 10-58.

All systems from the Foxsheets.

Tuesday's Top Info

I’ll put down a 0-2 record, though the system play winner could have qualified based on recent years being over 80 percent. We’re still 83-45 and Ken looks to continue his simmering ways with M and M matchup in the Midwest sponsored by Sesame Street. The Top Trend follows what the Pirates do after a low scoring affair and the Best System is of the run line variety, but a non-qualifier, at 78.3 percent. Good Luck

Going to Yankees and Snakes game tonight, should be fun with full house.

What I saw yesterday – I played Oakland last night and the Cincinnati Reds hit a trio of home runs in the tenth inning Monday night to give me a loser. The last time any major league team hit three home runs in one extra inning was the Royals, who hit three in the 11th inning against Detroit on September 29, 2006. (Thanks Elias Sports Bureau)

On Twitter at: http://twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System -1) Play Against all teams like Toronto against a run line (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160), batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games, with a with a hot starting pitcher with a WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games. This run line system is 36-10, 78.3 percent since 2006.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Pittsburgh is 1-15 in road games after one or more consecutive Unders this season, losing by gargantuan 3.4 runs per game.

Free Baseball Pick -3) Ken of the LCC is +10.7 units since last week and backs the Twins in Brew Town.

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Thursday Material

Our last get together produced a 2-1-1 outcome on Tuesday and we move ahead to today with 74-38 record here at 3DW. The Top Trend is an afternoon affair in the AL West. The Best System is 80.3 percent and is in our nation’s capital. Good Luck

What I thought today – Congrats to the Chicago Blackhawks ending their long Stanley Cup drought. Having spent more than one evening done on Rush Street in Chi-Town, I can only imagine how much fun it was last night. That leaves St. Louis and Los Angeles as the teams with the longest time without a title, as both came into the NHL in 1967.

On Twitter at: http://twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System -1) Play Against road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like Pittsburgh, with a weak on-base percentage of .310 or worse, against a sharp NL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game. In the last five years this system is 57-14, 80.3 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) The Halos are 15-2 in road games after six consecutive games versus division rivals over the last three seasons.

Free Basketball Pick -3) Nobody really hot at the moment, thus I'll share this. LLC members back the Celtics 11-5 tonight.

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Saturday's Line up

I wish I could keep up with this daily with how we are going but doing a lot of football writing recently which cuts into time. Anyway we are on 59-26 run and have an outstanding 85.4 percent system ready to ignite. The Top Trend is reverse perfect and not surprising involves the Pirates. The guys from the Left Coast Connection have been awesome when they think like-minded and have another Free consensus play. Good Luck

What I’ll thought today – I love conspiracy theorists, if Orlando would have won last night they would say the NBA is fixed and they wanted a seventh game, but since that didn’t happen they move on to “well David Stern wanted Boston in the finals”. Amazing!!!!

On Twitter at: http://twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System -1) Play Against all underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Astros, being outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs a game on the season, after allowing 15 runs or more. Since 2006 this system is 41-7, 85.4 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Brian Burres of Pittsburgh is 0-11 on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 in his career. (Team record)

Free Baseball Pick -3) The LCC consensus plays have been amazing and they are 10-0 on the Red Sox tonight.

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3DW Baseball Betting Beat

The Houston Astros are not the worst team in baseball or the poorest wager, however do not worry, they have time to still get there. Houston is 14-26, -7.6 units, both good (and bad enough) to rank in the bottom six of Major League baseball.

The Astros could likely be the best play against team at the moment, but somehow they swept the Cardinals near The Arch in St. Louis starting back on May 11 and picked up +6.35 units.

Why is Houston so bad? This is a franchise full of neglect with owner Drayton McLane calling the shots. McLane would not have his millions if he ran his other businesses in the same manner as his baseball franchise.

McLane has always liked to overpay for his own stars, with B to C level talent he thought would help fill seats and maybe help his team win. Free agents like Carlos Lee, Jeff Kent, Andy Pettitte and Roger Clemens (he of the part-time duty in his days in southeast Texas) all received big contracts, but never produced the type of numbers over the expanse of their deals.

Lance Berkman might be 34, but his deterioration has been in full view for a couple of years for those betting baseball.

The numbers tell the story about the ‘Stros. In the National League they are last in runs scored (3.0), batting average (.231), doubles (53), home runs (21), total bases (436) and on-base percentage (.277).

To understand their ineptitude, compare those numbers to league averages, please understand not the best, just what the average NL team profile looks like. (Thru May 19)

Runs scored (4.5)
Batting average (.257)
Doubles (77)
Home runs (37)
Total bases (552)
On-base percentage (.330)

These are mind-boggling numbers for sports betting aficionados. At the aforementioned date with these number compiled, Houston did not have above average player at ONE field position (excluding pitcher) when it came to adding up these shown figures in the senior circuit, not one.

The Astros play the old-school way like a Kirby Puckett, who went to the dish hacking. One problem they don’t have a player of his talent on the roster and rank 15th in pitches taken and dead last in walks with 77. (The Giants are 15th at 121 base on balls by comparison, a 36.4 percent differential)

About the only thing Houston batters don’t do a lot of is strikeout (lowest in the NL), but they have so little patience at the plate, they don’t give opposing pitchers a chance to send them back to the bench and instead flail away at whatever is pitched.

With the poorest farm system in the big leagues according to Baseball America, one top notch pitcher in Roy Oswalt and two average to slightly above hurlers in Wandy Rodriguez and Brett Myers, prospects are not good this season will improve. Take away a 9-6 record at present against NL Central partners and the 2010 Astros are 5-20 (-15.5) against the record of the league.

The best way to sum up Houston is compare them to baseball’s best team, Tampa Bay, in one category. The Rays are 16-3 in games determined by four or more runs and the Astros are 3-13. You would think Rachel Phelps was running the team. (The Cleveland Indians owner in the movie - Major League)

I wouldn’t read too much into the Pittsburgh Pirates hovering just below .500 thus far in 2010. The Bucs have been good underdog wager at 17-21, +7.8 units; however their run differential is -100. That number is higher than last place teams Kansas City and Baltimore combined (-96) and even if Pittsburgh was like a bank and could write off it’s bad debt, they would still be the worst in baseball tossing away 20-0 meltdown to Milwaukee.

I just love the so-called experts who have fallen in love with saying starting pitching doesn’t mean what it used to. They site pitch counts, the lack of complete games and greater dependence on bullpens.

While those points are mildly valid, their reference point is like that of politician selectively choosing quasi-numbers and facts to make a point.

The Los Angeles Dodgers started the year with one of the best offenses in the National League, yet on the morning of May 9 were 13-17 and being written off for their lack of pitching.

Joe Torre’s starting pitchers finally found a groove and in harmony with those in the bullpen, put together a streak in which they conceded 2.0 runs per game and the Dodgers won nine in a row, while a bit over average in runs scored at 5.5 compared to 5.2 for the season.

What changed was the starters began throwing strikes, which led to more innings of success with lower pitch counts. This helped setup the pen with pitchers in their normal roles of coming in the game in the seventh, eighth or ninth innings, which is their comfort zone and once success was achieved, the confidence swelled among the entire staff.

The days of complete games and high pitch counts are gone; nevertheless if the starting pitcher can take a tie game or lead into the final three innings, most baseball bettors are positioned to earn a victory.

Sunday May 2 - Are you ready?

Suffered a rare losing day on Saturday, taking us to 22-9 the last 10 posts. Today we go after another Best System winner that is 56-11 since 2006. Hope to get back in the winner’s circle with Top Trend. Thanks to Steve for his great work with our free picks which moves us on to Ron who has hit a good streak in progress. Good Luck

What I'm thinking today- As much as I like to bet horse racing, I don’t really believe there is any way to beat it on a continual basis unless you have the time to study a track or two in session and know everything about it. That said when I have an outstanding day like yesterday at the Derby; it makes you appreciate it that much more.

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Free Baseball System -1) Play Against road teams like Pittsburgh with a meager OBP of .310 or worse, against a sharp NL starting pitcher with a WHIP under 1.250, with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game. Over the past five seasons this superlative system is 56-11, 83.6 percent.

Free Hockey Trend -2) Montreal is 3-17 in the second round of the playoffs since 1996.

Free Baseball Pick -3) Ron is 7-1 in MLB action the last three days and doesn’t believe Baltimore can sweep Boston on Sunday.

Wagering on Desperate NFL Teams

This week starts the second half of the season and already certain teams have games that could send their year one way or another. Currently, .500 teams Jacksonville and the Jets have seven teams ahead of them in the AFC, which means the loser of this contest could have dicey situation making the playoffs. Cincinnati is tied with Pittsburgh, but key injuries are mounting, an upset effort keeps mojo moving forward. Carolina played well at New Orleans, but a loss to Atlanta makes them 3-6, looking at 6-1 finish for playoff redemption. Both Philadelphia and San Diego are chasing division leaders and will want to keep pace, however somebody loses. Green Bay’s season starting to go the way of Richard Heene (Balloon Dad) and needs upset of Dallas to turn year around.

Jacksonville at New York Jets 1:00E CBS

The Jets last played two weeks ago and held the Dolphins to just 104 yards of total offense. That incredible defensive performance is little consolation to head coach Rex Ryan however, as his team lost 30-25, to fall back to 4-4. During the bye week, Ryan described his feeling as “sick” about the first half, figuring his team was better suited for 6-2. As a result, he gave his players six days off to rest up for this contest with Jacksonville. New York (4-4 ATS) has done well coming out of the bye, going 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in their last seven post-bye week games. They are also 12-1 UNDER the total in post-bye week games since 1997. However, the Jaguars (3-5 ATS) have the edge in the recent matchups, going 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS. Coach Jack Del Rio’s team is also 4-4 after beating Kansas City.

Keys to the Game-

Jacksonville went back to 4-3 defense after Tennessee racked up 305 yards on the ground against 3-4 scheme. This becomes important now, since the Jets lead the NFL in rushing at 177.6 yards per game. This is huge key on the road, since that means Mark Sanchez would have to beat them with the pass. Sanchez has coughed up eight fumbles, thus applying pressure and getting him rattled is tantamount. The Jaguars are 6-0 ATS as underdog vs. opponent off a favorite loss and David Garrard has to make wise choices against talented New York secondary and cannot become incogitant.

Coach Ryan hopes the extra week helped clear Sanchez’s boggled brain and he returns as sharp as he started the year. The former USC star should benefit of not seeing extreme pressure, as the Jags are dead last in the NFL in sacks with eight. The defense’s top priority is containing Maurice Jones-Drew, who has more moves than a street dancer. Keep Mr. Hyphen in check and attack Garrard, who like Sanchez will leave the pigskin on the field. The Flyboys are 13-2 ATS at the Meadowlands off a home loss.

3DWLine – Jets by 10
DiamondSportsbook.com Line – Jets -7, 41

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh 1:00E CBS

The AFC North race figures to be a slugfest the rest of the way, with all three top teams within striking distance of one another. The winners of the head-to-head battles figure to gain the upper hand. Prior to the first meeting of 2009 between these teams, the winner in this series was usually Pittsburgh (6-2, 5-3 ATS), who had gone 26-9 SU and 22-12 ATS vs. Cincy since 1992. The Bengals turned the tables though in Week 3, pulling out a 23-20 upset at home in the final minute as a three-point underdog. The Steelers will look to avenge that defeat and extend a 10-game home winning streak on Sunday. They are 7-3 ATS in that span, allowing just 14.1 points per game. The Bengals (6-2, 5-3 ATS) are off the home win over Baltimore, and boast 12-2 ATS record after leading in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half under Marvin Lewis.

Keys to the Game-

Cincinnati lost receiver Chris Henry who was important cog in Bengals passing game. This places greater emphasis in RB Cedric Benson who is quickly becoming a complete back with ability to do everything. The Bengals are tied for seventh is sacks at 21 and the D-Line has to disrupt Ben Roethlisberger, while maintaining lane control so he doesn’t leave the pocket. It’s a misconception at the moment that the Steelers are punishing offense. Their passing game ranks 5th, with the running game a pedestrian 15th. Cincy should play Cover 3 defense and have secondary break on balls instead of outside man-up coverage. An upset allows Bengals time to find replacements for injured and gains what amounts to two-game lead in division. Cincy is on 7-0 ATS run as dog.

Pittsburgh has not allowed a 100-yard rusher in 30 straight games including the playoffs, no reason to figure they’ll concede one in this spot. Lock up Benson and don’t let him matter in the passing game. The Steelers defense was not clicking in Week 3 defeat to Bengals, it is now. Attack Carson Palmer, who just lost short-crossing route companion Henry, make him look elsewhere, with potential miscues to follow. Pitt is 30-11 ATS playing against teams with .750 or higher win percentage and will want to establish Rashard Mendenhall, whose 5.7 yards per carry in last five games is second only to Titans Chris Johnson (6.7).

3DW Line – Pittsburgh by 8.5
Bookmaker.com Line – Pittsburgh -7, 41.5

Atlanta at Carolina 1:00E FOX

With New Orleans running away from the rest of the NFC South, Atlanta and Carolina have had to readjust their goals for 2009. The Falcons (6-2 ATS) are still in the wild card picture at 5-3, but face a difficult two-game road swing starting with this matchup. Carolina is 3-5 after losing to the Saints, but has a second half schedule loaded with five home games. That may or may not be of benefit, as the Panthers (3-5 ATS) have yet to cover a spread at home, with 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS record. This will be Carolina’s first divisional home game of 2009, after going 3-0 ATS in that scenario a year ago. This will be a revenge spot for the Panthers and they are 20-8 ATS avenging a same season loss. Including 28-20 win in Week 2, Atlanta holds a 16-7 SU and 14-8-1 ATS edge vs. Carolina since 1998.

Keys to the Game-

This division conflict also matters to Atlanta a great deal, as with a win they are no worse than top NFC wild card team moving forward. Matt Ryan is in the first slump of his young career. He’s had two games passing under 175 yards in last three and the other one he completed less than 50 percent of attempts. His team needs him particularly on the division road. The Carolina running has found its stride the last several weeks and the Birds are 26th against the run. The defensive line has to create penetration, with linebackers staying clean to make tackles. RB Michael Turner has regained his form with 317 yards rushing in last two games. Keep him busy and the turf-playing Falcons fly to 15-6 ATS on real grass.

Coach John Fox, time to geek it up. It mattered when Jake Delhomme threw four picks against Philadelphia in opener. This team is in serious need of attitude adjustment. Playing conservative and losing is worse than going all out to get the ball to Steve Smith 10 or more times. The running game will be even more dangerous if Atlanta understands you will throw the ball down the field to Smith and others. On defense, run more games up front; force your players to give more (they can) and go after Falcons with passion, something missing all season. The Panthers 20-7 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 or more points, make it happen.

3DW Line – Atlanta by 3
DiamondSportsbook.com Line – Atlanta -1.5, 43.5

Philadelphia at San Diego 4:15E FOX

One week after getting help from San Diego, the Eagles face the Chargers, some 3000 miles across the country. Philadelphia (5-3 ATS) wasn’t able to fully capitalize on the Giants falling, losing to Dallas and surrendering the NFC East lead. Now, at 5-3, the schedule really turns on HC Andy Reid’s team, with four road games in the next five weeks, all against playoff contending teams. Fortunately, Philly is 33-15 ATS as a road underdog under Reid, and 30-17 ATS vs. good offensive teams gaining 350 yards per game or more. This will be Reid’s first ever trip to San Diego with the Eagles. The Chargers (3-5 ATS) are also 5-3 after last week’s one-point win in New York, and face another date with Denver following this tilt. Under Norv Turner, they are 3-6 ATS vs. the NFC, 2-2 SU and ATS at home.

Keys to the Game –

For coach Reid’s presumed genius on offense, he’s had a couple stinky showings this season. Last week, he earned F’s in trying to get the ball to his most threatening weapon DeSean Jackson, who had two catches for 29 yards. Run receiver screens, put him motion, just finds ways for Jackson to touch the ball, he’s a quick six waiting to happen. The San Diego run defense has improved the last month, however is still 26th overall. Test the middle with running game. The Eagles are 8-1 ATS as a road underdog over the last three seasons, in part due to fast starts. This is a team with deficiencies in tight games (1-8-1 SU in their past 10 games decided by seven points or less, 1-9 ATS) and has to score early and keep adding.

It is not a coincidence that the improved health of Shawne Merriman has helped the defense. In their last four games, the San Diego defense has surrendered 144.5 yards per game via the pass (Oakland helped a great deal), best in the NFL, jumping them to fourth overall. That matter against Philadelphia since the Chargers are stellar at the corners and improving at safety and they have benefitted with increased pressure on opposing QB’s. This game is worth viewing just because the Eagles bring continual blitzes and Philip Rivers throws the deepest routes in the league. Who wins this battle could decide winner. Bolts feed on emotion and are 12-3 ATS after two or more consecutive wins since 2007.

3DWLine – Philadelphia by 1.5
Bookmaker.com Line – San Diego -1, 47

Dallas at Green Bay 4:15E FOX

When Brett Favre was with the Packers, they struggled vs. the Cowboys in Dallas. At home though, it was a much different story. In fact, in the overall series, home teams owned a 9-0 SU and ATS edge from 1994 to 2007. Still, the home opportunities were few and far between for Green Bay. Now, with Aaron Rodgers at the helm, the 4-4 SU and ATS Packers will be looking to avenge a loss when they host Dallas for the second straight year. The Cowboys (5-3 ATS) won the 2008 game, 27-16, manhandling the Packers defensive front for 217 yards rushing. They are atop the NFC East at 6-2 after winning at Philly. Green Bay is 2-4 vs. NFC East foes under Mike McCarthy, while the Cowboys are 3-19 ATS in road games after covering the spread in three out of their last four games. Ten of the last 12 overall meetings between these teams went OVER the total.

Keys to the Game-

If Dallas can win first down on defense, they are on their way to seventh win of the season. The Green Bay offensive line can’t protect Rodgers and second year starter hangs on to the ball like it’s a good luck charm. The Green Bay run defense is ninth (91.1 YPG), but it is better when teams try to run wide. Pound away at the middle with Marion Barber, than work him and others outside. The Cowboys are 9-4 ATS as favorites and they will improve that record if they do better than .500 on possessions inside the red zone that leads to touchdowns and not field goals.

Barber is still recovering from quad injury and has lacked burst. Green Bay’s defense has to make him take a step east or west to reduce his effectiveness. Rodgers has to use his University of California education and start being smarter in releasing the ball quicker. The Dallas defense doesn’t like being on the field, throw underneath stuff to move the chains and utilize Ryan Grant in the one-cut and drive running game. The Pack is 10-1 ATS in home games vs. teams outscoring opponents by six or more points per game in the second half of the season. They have two winnable games after this and will have extended rest before Monday home game against Baltimore. A win vs. Dallas could start three-game winning and who knows.

3DW Line – Dallas by 5
DiamondSportsbook.com Line – Dallas -3, 47.5

Steve Makinen of StatFox contributed to this article.

Bring on the Wednesday Action

Ended up with a not so great 0-2 record yesterday and look to turn this puppy around. Thanks to Sal for yet another great run. The Top Trend is a doubleheader, just like the team involved. The Best System is in the National League at 80.4 percent. The Free Play will be from a guy hitting 75 percent of his MLB plays. Good Luck

What I learned today – Tuesday's day/night twinbill between the Tigers and Twins was the first doubleheader of any kind since 1916 that was played this late in the calendar year between first- and second-place teams from the same league/division with first place on the line - that is, with teams separated by a margin of two games or less. Thanks Elias

On Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST NL road underdogs like Milwaukee with a money line of +150 or more, allowing 4.8 or more runs a game on the season, against opponent with a quality starting pitcher who owns WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last five starts. This system cashes 80.4 percent of the time with 86-21 record.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Two chances for this angle to be correct with Pittsburgh 4-21 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season.

Free Baseball Pick -3) Gary of the Left Coast Connection is 24-8 in last 32 MLB plays and he likes Colorado to move a step closer to the playoffs.

Guaranteed CFB Play for Wednesday.

The Platinum Sheet was 69 percent in all CFB selections last week.

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The Day after Monday Action

Even though I thought the Top Trend was lame based on the spreads. the outcomes were certainly a surprise. I’m not actually going to count that in the record, just call the best I could find yesterday. I will count today’s Trend which has a winning margin of three runs! Today’s Best System is special and 12-0 this season. The Free Pick was a loser Monday, thus we turn to Ken who’s doing quite well the last few days. Good Luck

What I learned today: The Patriots' win over the Bills on Monday was the first in team history in which New England trailed by 11 or more points with less than 2 1/2 minutes to play. Ben Watson became the first player since 1999 to catch two touchdown passes in the final 2:06 of a game which his team won, after his team was trailing by at least 10 points at the time of the first TD catch. Shane Matthews and Curtis Conway combined on two TD passes in the final 1:48 of a Bears' comeback win over the Saints on October 3, 1999.

On Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 like Pittsburgh, who can’t hit a lick batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games, against a hot starting pitcher with WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last five starts. This isn’t your everyday system at 70-5, 93.3 percent the last five years.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Roy Oswalt and the Astros are 44-7 vs. teams whose hitters strike out seven or more times a game in the second half of the season, winning by THREE runs per game.

Free Baseball Pick -3) Ken of the LCC is 14-4 in all sports since Saturday (6-0 in MLB) and views Tampa Bay trumping Baltimore.

Check out Guaranteed Football Picks for this next week. We were 3-0 in the NFL and Paul Buck was 7-4 for the entire week.

The Platinum Sheet doing big numbers in New York area with satisfied customers.

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Holiday Weekend Commences- Enjoy

We got beat up good with 0-3 day and will attempt to make a solid comeback immediately. Our focus is going to start to move more towards football with much of the information will go heading that direct. Providing this information on Friday’s is going to be hit and miss just like last year, because of what I do. I will make better effort to have Saturday material up Friday night as a make good. I have a top notch MLB system that 68-5, 93.2 percent today. The Top Trend is in college football action Saturday,on a well disciplined team. Good Luck

Yesterday was a record day in number of visitors here, thanks to all, I hope you liked it.

Announcement- On Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Starting this Saturday and on Sunday once the NFL begins, I will have a running analysis of all the college football action on those days. I’ll have all my TV’s lined up, working the remote as well as the computer. Sign up at Twitter and let’s have some fun and all learn something.

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250, who aren’t hitting a lick like Pittsburgh, batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games, against opponent with a roasting starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last five starts. Over the last five years, this MLB system is blistering 68-5, 93.2 percent, including perfect 10-0 this year.

Free Football Trend -2) The Navy is 15-3 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points.

Free Baseball Pick -3) Mike of the LCC has turned up the heat with 10-1 week and is on the Halos tonight with the younger Weaver brother.

Paul Buck hit Boise State yesterday and has another Guaranteed Play tonight

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Trying to build on 3-0 conquest

If you look at the first post of the day, that was 1,000th made since I started this blog, kinda cool. What was also cool was 3-0 Wednesday and maybe we can start a hot streak. In baseball, found a system that rocks at 86.4 percent. The Top Trend is in the matchup of the teams from the Keystone State and the Free Pick has arrived. Good Luck

What I learned today – Vladimir Guerrero recorded his 1000th hit for the Angels Wednesday, making him the second player in major-league history to have at least 1000 hits for a team in both the American and National Leagues. Dave Winfield was the first to do that, with the Padres and Yankees. The only other active player with 1000 or more hits for two teams is Manny Ramirez (Indians and Red Sox).Thanks Elias

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Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Houston with a money line of +175 to +250, with an on-base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a blistering hot starting pitcher who has WHIP 1.000 or less over his last five starts. This money-making system is 70-11, 86.4 percent since 2005.

Free Baseball Trend -2) The Pittsburgh Pirates are 3-19 as a home underdog of +150 to +200 over the last three seasons, losing by massive 3.7 runs per game.

Free Baseball Pick -3) Slick Rick is backing the Angels with Ervin Santana who has dominated the A's.

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August 16 at 3Daily Winners

An extra inning defeat kept us from perfection again, however two out three isn’t shabby. Today have a sparkling system that is 93 percent and perfect in 2009. Top Trend follows one of the Bay Area teams. Free Play now available. Good Luck

What I saw yesterday – Jonathan Broxton is one of the hardest throwers in baseball, however his fastball tends to straighten out the harder he throws. My daughter and I were getting ready to leave with the Dodgers ahead 3-1 in the bottom of the ninth with one out and Mark Reynolds up. I told her I would challenge Reynolds mano-a-mano and let the best man win, but on the first pitch throw him curve ball to change his viewpoint. Instead, Reynolds is sitting dead red and Broxton throws into his comfort zone and crushes it to straight away center, now 3-2. I told her Miguel Montero is a threat for home run (11 on the year) but only if your him pitch middle in and low. What does Broxton do, game tied 3-3 and Arizona goes on to win in 10 innings. If I understand this, why doesn’t Broxton or catcher Brad Asmus?

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Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250, who are batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games, against opponent with a molten starting pitcher, who has WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last five starts. This system is 66-5, 93 percent, including perfect 8-0 this season. Play against Pittsburgh.

Free Baseball Trend -2) The Oakland A’s are 2-13 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season losing by 2.2 runs per game.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Mark of the LCC, smells a Yankees sweep in Seattle.

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On Sunday Exploration for Winners

Another disappointing 1-2 day, with Justin Verlander being vulcanized. Let’s try and find three winners starting with Alan’s Free Play our West. The Top Trend follows the Pirates exploits as larger underdogs and the Best System is 42-6! Good Luck

What I realized today- Since starting the year 13-0, the Los Angeles Dodgers are 23-21 at home. The LLC has seven members on Buffalo and two on Tennessee in the HOF preseason game. (I'll pass thank you) Jay Culter is showing his continued immaturity saying Bears fans are better than Broncos fans and then running away from comment with all kinds of spin control.

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Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like the Cincinnati Reds with a money line of +150 or more, who are cold hitting team, batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games, against opponent with a scorching starting pitcher with WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last five starts. This sizzling system is 42-6, 87.5 percent since 2007.

Free Baseball Trend -2) The Pittsburgh Pirates are 1-14 as a home underdog of +150 to +200 over the last two seasons, losing by enormous four runs per game.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Alan of the LCC nailed his top play yesterday and likes the Angels to round up the Rangers.

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Suitable for Framing Friday (I hope)

Not exactly inspiring 1-1 Thursday, but at least didn’t have losing day. The Top Trend will yield two plays from the same game, but will only count as one. The Best System is about as straightforward as they come and 62-12. Jason looks for another winner as a high volume player with Free Pick. Good Luck

What I’m learning – I’ve received a couple of emails from people regarding buying picks from the Google ads. As many of you might know, I have no control of what Goggle places on this blog other than to create matches. I’ve received one email today and saw one on a forum Killer Sports (From Google ads) is doing something fishy. When I learn more details will pass along, but like everything in life, Buyer Beware.

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Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Pittsburgh with a money line of +175 to +250 after allowing 10 runs or more. This system is an 83.7 percent winner at 62-12 since 2007.

Free Baseball Trend -2) I’m a little embarrassed to use this as trend because of the money line, thus I’ll give you both sides of it. Homer Bailey and Cincinnati are 0-10 when playing against a team with a winning record and Tim “Cy” Lincecum and the Giants are 15-1 vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game. (There I fell better)

Free Baseball Selection -3) Jason had the correct side yesterday raising his record to 23-9 in August and his best bet is Kansas City to oust Oakland.

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Looking to start the week right

We’ve been a little ordinary lately with our plays, time to pick up the pace. We’ll start with 40-3 System, which is awfully good. The Top Trends checks in how the O’s might do in Motown. I’ll dole out another Free Play chasing success. Good Luck

What I learned yesterday – Melky Cabrera's ninth-inning triple completed the first cycle by a Yankee since Tony Fernandez in 1995. The only American League team with a longer current cycle drought than the one the Yankees just ended is Kansas City. No player has cycled for the Royals since George Brett in 1990. Cabrera's cycle was the fifth in the major leagues this season and the fourth that was completed with the toughest of the four elements, a triple. Michael Cuddyer, Ian Kinsler and Orlando Hudson each finished a 2009 cycle with a three-base hit; Jason Kubel capped his with a home run.

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Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Milwaukee, with a money line of +150 or more, who are batting chilly .200 or worse over their last three games, against opponent with starting pitcher who has WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last five starts. Give me a high five if you like 40-3 record, 93 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) The Baltimore Orioles are 2-15 in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 or better this season, losing by 3.3 runs per game.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Nailed my play here and like Pittsburgh to keep it going for me.

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Thursday July 23 Betting Buzz

A clean sweep yesterday raised our record to 158-100-3, a super 61.2 percent. Have a ridiculous system today this 54-4, yea, that’s right. The Top Trend is a keeper at 12-0 and Sal has hopefully another Free Winner. Good Luck.

Thoughts on Today – There is a number of big favorites today. It is often tempting to parlay a group like this (I have in the past), however something tells me one is going down. I wish I could identify which one.

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Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Pittsburgh with a money line of +175 to +250, with a team batting average .250 or worse over their last 20 games, against opponent with sizzling starting pitcher, who has WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last five starts. Good gravy, this system is 54-4, 93.1 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) The New York Yankees are 12-0 in home games after allowing four runs or less four straight games over the last two seasons, winning by and average of 4.2 runs per game in next contest.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Sal was 2-2 yesterday, which included his winner here. That makes him 20-5 in baseball of late. I had conference call I had to take, so missed his White Sox play, but I checked and he says he likes the Phillies on the run line equally as well.

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Last Day of Baseball Betting for now

It wasn’t perfection, thanks to the Nats rapping out 21 hits, but 2-1 will do. Today we have an 89.4 percent system in the Keystone State. Though I was personally 1-2, had a winner here and look to make in five straight. Top Trend is perfect 10-0. Good Luck.

What I learned yesterday: The victory over the Yankees on Saturday marked the fourth time in nine games on its current homestand that Mike Scioscia's Angels team has won a game in which it had trailed by four-or-more runs. Think that's no big deal? It's only the fifth time since 1900 that a major league team has done so, and the first time since the St. Louis Browns earned four such wins during a 20-game homestand back in June 1940! This is also the first time in the team's 49-year history that the Angels have won four such games in the same month - single homestand or no. (Thanks, Elias)

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Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Pittsburgh with a money line of +150 or more, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for five or more earned runs, against opponent with a hot bullpen who’s WHIP is under 1.200 the last 10 games. The last three years this is wondrous system at 34-3.

Free Baseball Trend -2) The Tampa Bay Rays are 10-0 in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 over the last two seasons. The average wining margin has been 3.4 runs per game.

Free Baseball Selection -3) I’ve hit four in a row; let’s make it five with the battling Birds of Baltimore with starting pitcher Brad Bergesen. (Say that fast five times)

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Minnesota Twins feasting in interleague action

Based on history, maybe the upper Midwest franchise, whose state borders Canada, should put in for moving to the National League and cause a reshuffling of the teams in Major League Baseball. Minnesota has won the World Series twice, in 1987 and again in 1991, before free agency removed the age of innocence. The Twins are and always will a small market team, but it has never stopped them from competing and they continue to be in the thick of the race in the AL Central, virtually every year.

Another characteristic of Minnesota baseball is their dominance in interleague play. The Twins have the second-best record in baseball since this began in 1997, trailing only the New York Yankees. With last’s night’s 8-2 win over Pittsburgh, Minnesota is 6-1 in interleague play in 2009, which follows the pattern they has established over the last 5+ years.

Since 2004, the Twinkies are tasty 66-31 (68 percent) against their National League counterparts and in the last three years, they are Richardo Montalban “Marvelous” 31-12, 72 percent. This season they are crushing those from the senior circuit by 3.6 runs per game (6 to 2.4).

It’s really no mystery that leads to Minnesota’s success against the National League, the teams from the other league can’t hit Twins pitching. On the season, all teams score 4.6 runs per game against manager Ron Gardenhire’s club; however the NL lineups have scored only 2.4 per game, which is noted by them allowing nine runs in last four interleague contests, all victories.

With catcher Joe Mauer’s four base-knocks leading the16-hit parade, the Twins won handily last night and Mauer’s sick .429 batting average will start to make people take notice, even if it’s only the middle of June.

DiamondSportsbook.com has the Twins as -183 money line favorites against Pittsburgh and why not, as they fall into one of the best super situations that has occurred all year.

Play On all favorites with money line of -175 to -250, after allowing four runs or less, four straight games, against opponent after a loss by four runs or more.

That is a simple and straight forward system with astonishing results. Over the last five seasons, there have been 51 winners out of 57 situations (89.5 percent). The winning margin has been almost as good as Minnesota’s in interleague action at 2.9 per game.

Let’s not also forget about how Minnesota plays when they receive exceptional pitching, with 7-0 record after allowing four runs or less six straight games. They will start Francisco Liriano (2-7, 5.99 ERA), who is finally showing signs of turning season around, allowing four total runs in last two starts, which is more than he can say for his mound opponent Ian Snell. The Pirates right-hander is 1-7 with 5.25 ERA and hasn’t won since April 18. In fact, Snell and the Bucs are 2-14 in road games in the first half of the season over the last two seasons.

No doubt the price is a trifle high on Minnesota; nevertheless, the results suggest another Twins killing.

Trying to stay HOT on Sunday afternoon

Extra sweet 3-0 day, being very lucky here and personally, winning by half-point on total of Cavs and Magic. Only one system climbed to 80 percent and it is listed at 3Daily Winners. Have a double trend for the same division matchup this afternoon. Sal will look to add to his bulging bankroll with Free play. Good Luck. By the way, added new feature to bottom of page.

What I learned yesterday- Dwight Howard scored 40 points and collected 14 rebounds in the Magic's 103-90 victory over the Cavaliers in Game 6, propelling Orlando into the NBA Finals. Only one other player in NBA history had 40 points and 14 rebounds in a victory that put his team into the Finals; that was Charles Barkley, who had 44 points and 24 rebounds in the Suns Game 7 win over the Seattle in the 1993 Western Conference Finals.

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST road teams like Washington who are average NL offensive team scoring 4.3 to 4.8 runs game, against a awful starting pitcher with ERA of 5.70 or worse, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season. This system has clocked in at 32-8, 80 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Kevin Millwood and Texas are 9-0 in home games when playing against a team with win percentage of 38 to 46 percent since 2007 and Oakland is 3-17 in road games after a loss by 10 runs or more. (If it’s wrong, I will not be counting as two losses)

Free Baseball Selection -3) Sal has knocked down quite a few winners here and is 18-7 since Tuesday and likes Pittsburgh Pirates.

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