Showing posts with label Fresno State. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fresno State. Show all posts

Back in the saddle again

After a very long and unexpected break, time to regroup and move ahead.

We start with a NBA system that is outstanding 24-3 ATS, only question I have is quick turnaround revenge for the home team. A strong play against Top Trend in college hoops in the WAC and Sal has Free NBA play. Good Luck

What I learned yesterday- The NFL Wild Card round produced three outright underdog winners along with all four games going Over the total. As Steve Makinen of StatFox uncovered, teams that won the regular season matchup in Week 17 are 6-5 and 5-5-1 ATS in the Wild Card round. Most compelling was the fact the OVER is now 10-1 in return games.

On Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Basketball System -1) PLAY ON road teams like Atlanta scoring 103 or more points game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half. This NBA system is scintillating 24-3 ATS, 88.9 percent.

Free Basketball Trend-2) Fresno State is 2-11 ATS in home games off a home win over the last three seasons.

Free Basketball Pick -3) Sal has been burning up the nets in the NBA and has the Hornets to win in Philly.

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OMG It's Bowl Time! Hurray!!!!!!

Do we really need 34 bowl games, not really. But do we need a bunch of worthless apps on our cell phones or what about all the waste on Direct TV, how many of those channels go unused? The bowl season is blast because you can watch whatever you want, whenever you want. And for the sports bettor its Christmas every day, with games packed into watchable segments. These 20 days of college football reminds me of the Travel Channel’s Man vs. Food and if you stomach all 34 games, man wins!

New Mexico Bowl
Wyoming vs. Fresno State
University Stadium – Albuquerque, NM
4:30E ESPN

The best aspect of playing the very first game of the college football bowl season is you don’t have a long layoff from the end of your last game and you can be home for the holidays. The first contest also ends up being the center of attention for the crazy people that watch every bowl game (guilty as charged) and those that feel compelled to not be very selective and wager on all 34 games because of how they are spread out.

By extremely subjective means, this bowl rates the 27th best to watch. It starts with Fresno State (8-4, 7-4-1 ATS) who has strong characteristics to take in this bowl game. They have a star player in junior running back Ryan Mathews, who led the nation in rushing at 151.3.
The Bulldogs ranked 19th in total offense at 435.9 yards per game and 15th in scoring at 34.3 points per game. Though some might question Fresno State’s resolve with repeat appearance in Albuquerque, coach Pat Hill will have none of that talk. “This game and this experience will be good for the development of our team and program as we build toward the future,” Hill told the Fresno Bee.

Since Hill has been at FSU, he’s always been an “us against them” coach and losing last year to another Mountain West team (40-35 to Colorado State) just adds incentive. The Bulldogs are notorious bad bets and after nipping Illinois at the wire 53-52 in Champaign, they are 2-11 ATS after allowing 50 points or more in last game. On the season they are 1-4 SU against fellow bowlers with three covers.

Wyoming (6-6, 8-3 ATS) isn’t a very good team, however they dressed up rather nicely for bettors with superior spread record. First year coach Dave Christensen made a lot of changes, but the most important was the turnover margin. Last season’s 4-8 team was -22, this year a complete alternation to +7. On the year Wyoming is 5-0 and 4-0 ATS when they scored 29 or more points and were 0-5 and 2-3 ATS when they totaled 10 or few points. (Shutout three times)

The Cowboys are 2-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last three seasons and will have to match points to stay in the game with Fresno State who allows 27.2 PPG. Wyoming is 1-5 and 4-2 ATS against bowl teams this season.

These teams used to meet annually when they played in the WAC together until 1997. Fresno State is 10-8 SU and 6-6 ATS in bowls and is 0-5 ATS as a favorite. Wyoming is 5-6 and 3-3 ATS in bowl assignments and has not been favored in last six. The underdog has won and covered two of three New Mexico Bowls.

Bookmaker.com has Fresno State 10.5-point favorite with total of 55.

3DW Line – Fresno State by 12

St. Petersburg Bowl
Central Florida vs. Rutgers
Tropicana Field – St. Petersburg, FL
8:00E ESPN

Later on the first night of bowling, this bowl matchup comes in at 28th which might sound a little low; given both teams have pretty solid records. What this matchup lacks is sex appeal, kind of like looking for Elin Nordegren and winding up with Mindy Lawton. (Cheap Tiger shot, but fitting) Both Central Florida and Rutgers were 8-4 on the season and each is known for above average defenses and inconsistent offenses.

UCF (9-2 ATS) has to make the relatively short journey down I-4 from Orlando and coach George O’Leary relishes the opportunity. “We are thrilled to have this opportunity to play so close to our fans in St. Petersburg,” O’Leary said. “It will be great to have a large fan base behind us as we go for our ninth victory against a quality team from the Big East Conference. It is a great opportunity and one that I know our players wanted.”

The Knights strength is defense. Central Florida is fifth nationally in sacks, averaging 3.1 per game and registered 7.6 tackles for loss (11th overall). Of the 120 teams in the FBS, they were fourth in stopping the run at 82.5 yards per game against teams that averaged 146 YPG. UCF is 6-0 ATS after one or more consecutive SU wins and since last year.

Rutgers (5-7 ATS) probably ended up where they belonged, yet the season had a tinge of disappointment. The offense and defense dismantled weaker competition save Syracuse, but the Scarlet Knights were 0-3 SU and ATS against the best three teams from the Big East, being outscored 95-53. The offensive line was supposed to be the strong suit of Rutgers, however they have been irresolute, which comprised quarterback Tom Savage’s freshman campaign. With Central Florida’s ability to make plays up the field, the O-Line will have to step. The Scarlet Knights lost their last game to West Virginia and is 26-12 ATS off a loss against a conference rival.

The Knights from Florida are 2-4 and 4-2 ATS against bowl squads in 2009. The Knights from New Jersey are 2-3 SU and ATS vs. teams playing in the postseason. This is Central Florida’s third bowl contest and they have yet to post a victory (1-1 ATS). This is Rutgers fifth consecutive bowl and they are 3-2 SU and ATS all-time.

Bookmaker.com has Rutgers favored by 2.5 with total of 44.

3DW Line – Rutgers by 6

A Big Saturday and Commentary

Today we have four instead of the usual three plays, as our tremendous 90 percent system yields two plays. The Top Trend is a reverse 100 percent selection and Slick Rick is on fire this week and offers his Free Top Play. Good Luck

What I thought this week- Whatever your opinion of Bill Belichick’s decision, did you notice that all the people that agreed with it in the media had the same smugness as Bill himself? Like it was some foregone conclusion that Peyton Manning could go 70 yards just as easily as going 29. I wondered if now departed Dick Jauron had made the same exact call, if he would have as many devoted followers.

Oh look, Brady Quinn just threw another long pass out of bounds by 15 yards. Speaking of Cleveland, great read about John Gruden by Mike Silver in Yahoo Sports. (Click here)

Because I switched off the game last week, I wasn’t aware Stanford coach Jim Harbaugh went for two points with his team ahead 48-21 over USC. It’s fine if Harbaugh wants to rub USC’s nose in it, that’s his choice, but please save me the next coach-speak about “winning with dignity” or “act like we’ve been here before”. Just remember Jimbo payback can be a B****. Now go sit on your throne in your 70G customized private bathroom, you’ve earned it.

On Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Football System-1) PLAY ON favorites of 3.5 to 10 points, who are average passing team (175-230 PY/game), facing an average passing defense (175-230 PY/game), after allowing 4.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game. This system is remarkable 27-3 ATS, 90 percent, which includes 4-0 this season. Two teams rise to the surface for this one, Oregon and Fresno State.

Free Football Trend-2) BYU is 0-11 ATS as home favorite of less than 14 points off back to back road games.

Free Football Pick -3) Slick Rick is 20-3 in all his side and totals wagers this week rides a hot Stanford team today.

3Daily Winners Guaranteed C-USA Football Game of the Year

The Platinum Sheet has two experts hitting 60 percent on Best Bets.

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Time for a Real Super Saturday

On Thursday we generated a 1-1 day and really like our chances of 3-0 today. We start with 90.3 percent system in the Big Ten. Follow that up with a perfect Top Trend in the Mountain West and Greg offers his Best Bet, from the WAC. Good Luck

What I read yesterday- Though I avoid political chatter, I thought this was rather humorous. “The real reason Rush Limbaugh was dropped as potential Rams investor was not for political correctness, instead what I heard was Rush was so inspired by Miami’s single wing “Wildcat” formation, he was going to unveil a “Right Wing” in St. Louis. All the offensive linemen would be to the right of the center, except for the tight end. After the snap, every play would be either a QB sweep to the right or an occasional nod to the crowd and something up the middle. No plays would ever run to the left.” - Christopherm

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Free Football System-1) Play On road favorites like Ohio State after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game, with five or more offensive starters returning. In the last 17 years this system is 28-3 ATS, 90.3 percent.

Free Football Trend-2) The Air Force is 13-0 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last three seasons.

Free Football Pick -3) Greg is back and has loaded up on Fresno State to steamroll San Jose State.

Exceptional Guaranteed College Football Plays today.

The Platinum Sheet is a terrific resource for the sports bettor.

Boise State travels to Raisin Country

Boise State opens defense of its WAC title and goes for its seventh crown in eight years with even higher ambitions. The Broncos have started in scintillating fashion with consecutive wins over Oregon and Miami-O and have their eyes pointed to another BCS berth if they can go undefeated and be impressive in its televised tilts. They will take to the road for their first conference game against a team noted for playing the good teams tough.

The Broncos are 54-2 and 35-21 ATS in WAC play since joining in 2001, with one of those straight up losses coming in 2005 at Bulldog Stadium 27-7. Fresno State coach Pat Hill has always placed great importance on certain games and evidently not others, as Fresno State has never won a WAC title in his 12 years. However, this one matchup the Bulldogs would love to have and get Fresno State on the home page of sports websites.

The Bulldogs almost knocked off the Big Ten’s Wisconsin Badgers on the road last Saturday. Fresno State held 21-7 lead as 7.5-point underdogs, but three Ryan Colburn second half interceptions kept Wisconsin in the game and the Bulldogs eventually lost 34-31 in double overtime. Coach Hill has expressed confidence his team will respond to bitterly disappointing loss, there is evidence to suggest otherwise with Fresno State 5-11-1 and plaintive 1-16-1 ATS of defeat.

Sports bettors are passing on various sorts of this kind of information.

DiamondSportsbook.com opened the Bulldogs as 12-point underdogs and has moved them downward to +7.5 according to the action, with total of 53.5. Fresno State has lost seven of last eight SU and ATS, including last three by almost 30 points per game.

Boise State is 11-3 ATS after one or more consecutive wins against the spread and 6-0 UNDER in road games off a home blowout win by 28 points or more over the last three seasons.

Fresno State is 0-7 ATS after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored and 13-4 UNDER at after covering one or more wins spreads.

This is one of what is believed to be three road tests for Boise State, which will be played before a boisterous Bulldogs crowd. The Broncos are expected to win the game, yet are only 10-11 ATS as away favorites since 2005.

ESPN has the kickoff at 9 Eastern and in last eight WAC meetings; the winner has covered the spread by 14 points per game.

Super Saturday of College Football

Can you feel it? A full weekend of college and professional football, yea baby. We have two plays lined up in our Best System that is 26-4, not straight up, against the spread. We have a two for one price on the Top Trend, same game coming out a winner both ways. Slick Rick has his Free Play up. Good Luck

What I thought yesterday- Did you have the same impression I did about Pittsburgh and Tennessee? The difference between the two teams at least in that game was at quarterback. Time to start looking for the next coach in Colorado, Dan Hawkins has not and will not succeed in Boulder. The first mistake, if you want to call it that, was having his son Cody as QB. He’s supposed to be 5’11, which is debatable. The younger Hawkins has fairly strong arm, but unlike a Chase Daniel, Drew Brees or even Doug Flutie from years ago, he’s not especially accurate. It’s also clear Cody’s not real comfortable rolling out, he’s more a “plant and chuck” quarterback as opposed to being able to run around or be particularly good with touch passes. As guys like to say, at the end of the day, how many BCS schools could Cody Hawkins play for that would be successful?

On Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Football System-1) PLAY ON underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with two or more straight losses, team that had a winning record last season. This system is 26-4 ATS. 86.4 percent and says to play South Carolina and Fresno State. Two for two last week.

Free Football Trend -2) We have double angle that counts as one. Boston College is 11-1 ATS after gaining 7.25 or more yards a play in their previous game and Kent State is 2-14 ATS playing on a Saturday over the last three seasons.

Free Football Pick -3) Slick Rick is taking the points with UNLV.

Guaranteed Plays here at 3Daily Winners.

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How Real Sports Bettors Spend Black Friday

While watching television this week and starting Brooke Burke withdrawal on Dancing with the Stars, I saw some ridiculous store is opening at 4:00 am Friday morning to get my business. The only retail business I’m doing at that time of the day is at a 24-hour Denny’s or Micky D’s after carousing the night before. My only goal is to wake up in time to place a few bets on football and basketball before the first game starts.

While the few remaining people that actually have a couple hundred dollars in their saving accounts and about the same left on credit card limits, goes out to spends the rest, with the knowledge the new year could bring unemployment, you like me don’t have a care in the world other than making sure the TV works, there’s beer in the fridge and three pounds of turkey your mom or relative sent home for the weekend is still cold.

Their might not be a more appropriately termed expression than playing in “the losers bracket”, on the day after Thanksgiving at 10:30 am Eastern in Orlando, in the Old Spice Basketball Classic. This follows from playing basketball ON Thanksgiving. (I wonder if you get the Old Spice gift pack swag for showing up) I’ll probably pass on that and get ready for West Virginia and Pitt in the backyard brawl and take West Virginia in big revenge game.

At 12:30 Eastern on Game Plan or if you live in the South somewhere, the Egg Bowl will be played. For those unfamiliar, this is Mississippi State vs Mississippi. In case you haven’t read or heard this, how they came up with the name Egg Bowl was from a trophy they came up that was egg-shaped to present after the game to stop fighting between the fans of each team, that’s nuts. Nothing nuts about Houston Nutt taking Ole Miss to first bowl game since some quarterback named Eli followed his old man there in Oxford. I like that the Rebels have won four in a row (3-1 ATS) and are 6-0 ATS in November the last few years.

At 2:30 Eastern, CBS turns on the way-back machine and has Don Criqui and Dan Fouts do the LSU at Arkansas contest. Both announcers are well past their prime, which this year is true of the Tigers and Hogs. Remember how were told all the speed the SEC has and this is the best conference known to mankind. If it’s so special, how come a team supposedly as powerful as LSU has only held Appalachian State, North Texas and Tulane to less than two touchdowns? I talked to a SEC scout about two weeks ago and he said Arkansas definitely doesn’t have the same talent as the last few years, but in his eyes, the Razorback players don’t play nearly as hard for Bobby (vagabond) Petrino. I know Sportsbook.com has LSU as 4.5-point favorites and I like the fact Miles minions are 12-3 ATS in road games off an upset loss as a favorite.

At about 3:30E on ABC, two Big 12 teams who used to sit at the big table for the holidays, will meet when Colorado travels Lincoln to take on Nebraska. Once the Big 12 was formulated, this became the marquee matchup in the Big 12 North, with these two schools having battled for Big 8 titles in the late 1980’s and early 90’s. Both are trying to make a comeback bigger than the Sex Pistols. Nebraska is 18-point favorite in this meaningless game and I’ll bite with the Children of the Corn 18-6 ATS in home games off two straight wins against conference rivals. I’ll also back the Huskers since the defense, though still bad by Blackshirt standards, had 65 painted on them in Boulder last year on this day.

Did you know they are playing they are playing the preseason NIT championship at 4 Eastern on Friday? Can’t figure that out, but will have to keep flipping channels while opening more adult beverages and stuffing face with leftovers. (Is it me or is turkey like chips the day after Thanksgiving)

I have to admit it, I can not stand Fresno State coach Pat Hill and I’m looking forward to Boise State blasting them into the next universe commencing at 6 Eastern on ESPN also (2). Seriously, have you ever heard or seen a coach who puts more emphasis on big non-conference games than winning a league title! This is his 12th year in Raisin Country and he tied for first in the WAC twice in his tenure and nothing since 1999. Yet he gets all these accolades for beating the occasional BCS team or coming oh so close. When Hill first took over at Fresno State, he said he wanted to build a program like Florida State’s. In the end he has, mediocre. The Wussdogs have been outscored by 87 total points in their last three trips into Boise. With the Broncos 9-1 and 8-2 against the spread in their last home game and gorgeous 20-4 ATS as conference home favorite of 28 or less, I’ll back Boise.

By 9:30E, I’ll be really bloated, looking more like Micky Rourke and catch a little of the UCLA and Arizona State game. I’ll probably be asleep before the first quarter is over, but I’ll rest comfortably knowing UCLA is 10-2 UNDER after playing three straight Pac-10 games.

This whole Black Friday thing is way overrated; I’ve got a great day planned.


Writer Red Wydley made this holiday contribution.

Ready for 3-Team Parlay?

It’s Friday, many of you won’t be working a week from today unless you are in retail, on the day after Thanksgiving. While you’re either working today or going to class, maybe, just maybe it’s time to step out of character. Everybody preaches, don’t play parlays, you can’t win, only do straight bets, eat your vegetables and wash behind your ears, blah, blah, blah. Hey, we all need to get stupid every now and again and take a chance, feel the rush of the risk, because maybe, just maybe the results could be cool.

Tonight we have three lousy college football games, which any sane person wouldn’t touch. That’s where the fun begins. I’m throwing out the idea of three team parlay, but not the usual type, one that gives you the best chance to W I N.

Let’s start in Ohio, where the people are leaving certain cities in that state like a bad marriage. A Miami-Ohio and Toledo game used to mean something in the MAC, today is just means two rotten 2-8 teams are playing their next to last game of the season. The Redhawks defense in the last three games, how should I say this delicately, stinks, in allowing over 40 points an outing. Don’t get me wrong, it’s not like Toledo is a juggernaut, losing four in a row. This is not the time to be handing out points like its pumpkin pie, take Toledo on the money with this system that’s around, play against road underdogs on the money line, off 3 straight losses against conference rivals against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses. Miami is the former and the Rockets the latter and the system is 26-3.

In the other game in Ohio, I guess Bowling Green can still win the MAC East if they beat Buffalo who leads by a game. This division is as congested as L.A. traffic, and reminds of the old George Thorogood song “No Particular Place to Go”. What to do here is take the points, as Buffalo is hotter than a basket of fire sauce wings with four straight wins. What makes me excited about the Bulls (excited might be a little too much) is they have rushed at least 216 yards in last three games and B.G. has turned into ground chuck, being run over for 200 yards in four of last five games. Did you know Buffalo is 14-5 ATS as a road dog? Now that makes two of us. Take Buffalo with the points.

On ESPN2, a meaningless WAC game will be televised with Fresno State taking the ride to San Jose State. Pat (blowhard) Hill who talks tough and has a defense that allows 212.7 yards per game on the ground (110th), will be after a winning record for the season with a seventh win, because they are going to get their you know what handed to them at Boise State next week. San Jose State had a really promising start at 5-2 and they fell apart faster then a reunion tour of Right Said Fred (I’m too Sexy). Spartans blogs and websites report regular starting quarterback Kyle Reed will sit and his backups are stiffs. Don’t count me a Fresno State supporter, but I like at system that wins 81 percent of the time (34-8). Play against a home team vs. the money line after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after out-gaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. Play Fresno State on the money line.

With me still, Toledo and Fresno State on the money line and Buffalo with the points. Why do this as opposed to straight spread bets? Your average parlay payout on a 3-teamer is anywhere from 5 or 6 to one. Problem is hitting all three against the number. With relatively low money lines on favored teams and an underdog who is playing swell, we can still secure a 4 to 1 payout or slightly better and not give away points.

It’s your money; I’m not telling you what to do on a Friday other than have good time. But if you have a little fun money, you would just waste doing something else anyways, take a shot at this; it’s better than buying lottery tickets or trying to bet games on ESPN Classic.


Red Wydley drops in occasionally and shares is wisdom (?) with the masses.

College Football Wagering Stuff

A 1-2 Friday, as San Antonio dug deep and pulled out a win over Houston. Started right for college basketball bettors with Penn State coming thru in the first official play of the season. We have an awfully good System Play for Saturday that is 87.1 percent. Today’s Top Trend is a continuation of what a certain Bulldog does, being quite overrated. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) – PLAY ON favorites of 21.5 to 31 points in conference games, after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival. The Florida Gators fit this mold for this system that is 27-4 ATS, 87.1 percent, including 4-0 this season.

Free Football Trend -2) Fresno State is 1-14 ATS after one or more consecutive straight up losses over the last three seasons.

Free Football Selection -3) Slick Rick has nailed his last nine college football plays including his HUGE play on Buffalo two nights ago. Though his wager won't be that big, his favorite play today is Texas.

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Looking Ahead in Rearview Mirror Betting CFB

Seeing the latest craze in college football by some teams is to change the tempo of the offense and run more plays to keep the defense from changing players to fit situations, I’ll do the same thing this week.

Oklahoma State was expected to be better in 2008, but Oklahoma, Texas and Texas Tech were all presumed to finish ahead of them in the Big 12 South back in August. Thus far the Cowboys are the only team in college football not to suffer a spread loss at 7-0. You have to wonder if T. Boone Pickens is a betting man (sports’ betting that is), since if he bet his alma mater each game and had “let it ride”, he would be overcoming some of the big financial hits he has taken. It’s becoming more evident coach Mike Gundy can coach and recruit a little. Just asking- If you watched Oklahoma State and USC play on the road last week, whom do you think looked like the better team?

Tulsa is unbeaten and 6-1 ATS and had great second half in covering the spread against Central Florida. They have very good receivers and fascinating way of attacking both on offense and defense. Yet could not help but wonder if they wouldn’t be 6-10 point underdogs to Boise State and TCU on neutral fields, let alone against a top level BCS squad. Big test at Arkansas this week and at Houston on Nov.15.

Minnesota is 7-1 and 6-1 ATS and plays three of final four games at home. The Golden Gophers after a 1-11 campaign caught a scheduling break this season in avoiding Michigan State and Penn State. No doubt Minnesota is much improved, but here is a scary thought. If the Nittany Lions remain unbeaten and Texas or Alabama loses, and Ohio State slips up again, that could mean Minny goes to the Rose Bowl to face possibly face USC. A talented Illinois team was catching 13.5 last year, would the Gophers be on the receiving end of 20?

Though not official yet, Michigan will have 33-year bowl streak broken, still having to play three of last four on the road, including at Ohio State. At 2-6 and 1-7 ATS, the most disconcerting aspect of this Rich Rodriquez coached team is they have not gotten better. Though media-types have continued to say Rodriquez will win in Ann Arbor, watching him and his team on the sidelines is very uncomforting. This isn’t supposed to happen at Michigan. The last Michigan team not to go bowling was the 1974 squad who lost at Ohio State 12-10, ending their perfect 10-0 season, with far fewer bowls back in those days. This won’t have quite the same feel.

Fresno State was supposed to finally win the WAC, but once again the always bold talking Bulldogs are nothing special and causing backer’s lots of cash with 1-6 ATS record. Fresno State’s wins at Rutgers and UCLA are far less impressive today as is the narrow loss at home to Wisconsin. Losing at home to Hawaii is ridiculous and they could hardly have been any luckier in winning at Utah State 30-28 last Saturday as 15-point favorites. Coach Pat Hill has this tough guy persona, but how tough is it to bet against the 105th ranked run defense? Hill reminds me of a golfer who shoots one over par at the hardest course in town and is a 12-handicap at easiest course in the area. Of course all he talks about is his one great round.

Quick notes- What did I say about Pittsburgh last week, NEVER trust a Dave Wannstedt coached-team that is supposed to win.

Just a few of weeks ago it was fun to see the “smart” schools like Vanderbilt and Northwestern doing so well. The Commodores looked like MSNBC poll showing Barack Obama leading the presidential race, with 5-0 record. Three losses later and confronted with Florida and Tennessee at home and at Kentucky and at Wake Forest, the first bowl possibility in 26 years is slipping again. Northwestern not only lost at insipid Indiana, they lost all everything running back Tyrell Sutton.

Florida State is not only 6-1 and 3-2 ATS, they are returning to physical, smarter football.

At the end of September, talked about what a mess the Big East was based on how down the league is this year, it made sense to look at road teams in conference game. Thus far road teams are 6-4 ATS with four outright wins. One aspect not considered was road favorites and they are 1-2 SU and ATS.

After a 5-8-1 start, college football teams off a three exact spread covers are 10-3 ATS the last three weeks. That would mean Arkansas, Florida, Iowa and Louisville are possible play on teams. The opposite would be true for those failing to cover in a trio of tilts. On the season this group is 9-18-1 ATS and Clemson, Iowa State and Kentucky all make this week’s play against watch list.