Showing posts with label Derrick Lee. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Derrick Lee. Show all posts

Don’t bet on the Cubs coming back

The National League baseball franchise residing in the Windy City is looking all too familiar for its long suffering fans. Picked to finish second in the extremely weak NL Central, the Cubs have the look of a team North Siders are accustomed to, with its usual refrain “Wait till next year”.

Chicago stands at 31-38, in third place in their dreadful division, stocked with the likes of Milwaukee, Pittsburgh and Houston. The Cubs are worst wager in the senior circuit at -17 units for a number of reasons.

Coming out of spring training, it was clear the Cubs bats were going to have to carry this club, as the starting pitching was somewhat suspect and the relief pitching uncertain.

The Chicago pitching is rated middle of the road with 3.92 ERA; however that has been helped a great deal by an unexpected source in Carlos Silva, who is 8-2 with 3.01 ERA. Silva’s reincarnation has been about pitching coach Larry Rothchild showing him tapes of his best Minnesota Twins days, when he was more aggressive in throwing strikes and to his credit, has embraced this approach.

Carlos Zambrano (3-5, 5.10 ERA), despite yesterday’s 12-1 rocking chair performance over the Los Angeles Angels, and Randy Wells (3-5, 4.92) have been significant disappointments. Zambrano has lost three and more miles per hour on his fastball and his breaking stuff lacks the bite of younger days. Wells fast start a season ago was considered a mirage by scouts, since his stuff is mostly generic.

Ted Lilly (2-6, 3.42) and Ryan Dempster (5-5, 3.67) have been inconsistent and invariably, their best games have been when the Cubbies other largest problem has arisen.

Chicago is 11th in the NL in runs scored, with a faulty, aging lineup.

For years the Cubs ownership was more interested in making money than putting out a quality product at 1060 W. Addison Street. They sold the sunshine, Harry Carry, Sammy Sosa and benefitted from the neighborhood setting that has just a “few” watering hole establishments.

However, today’s world demands a good product and to sell 40,000 seats daily, winning has to be part of the equation. The Cubs front office went to the other end of the spectrum and has been like Notre Dame with Charley Weis, where a little success meant they were willing to spend a lot of money.

Alfonso Soriano (34 years old) is at 19M this season, being a mediocre fielder, no longer a factor to steal bases and declining hitting skills. Derrick Lee (34) is hitting .234 with 10 home runs in the No. 3 slot in the lineup, while cashing checks for 13.25 M in 2010. Aramis Ramirez (31) should still be in the prime of his career, but again is injured, which probably is a blessing for a supposed slugger with .168 BA. Kosuke Fukudome (33) makes 14M, becoming increasingly a platoon player and according to FOX Sports, is on the trading block.

After a big splash, Geovanny Soto is settling in a decent catcher, but not the star the organization had hoped for after being 2008 Rookie of the Year.

Chicago is 11th in on-base percentage and takes the fifth fewest walks in the NL and has almost no capability to manufacture runs, ranked next to last in stolen bases and lacking speed.
The Cubs are a squad sorely lacking in leadership. Players like Lee and Ramirez are “lead by example guys” and it is clear this group has followed in there inept ways.

Other specimens of poor offense are 15th ranked BA (.233) with no runners on base and 14th ranking with runners in scoring position (.253) among the sixteen clubs in their league.

These supposed “lovable losers” are just as bad or worse in the field. Check these numbers out.

Errors – 14th in fielding percentage
Assists – 14th
Putouts – 14th
Total Chances – 14th

The Cubs have permitted the most unearned runs in the NL.

Even venerable manager Lou Piniella looks tired. He’s picking on White Sox announcer Steve Stone (former Cubs analyst) for the oldest and lamest reasons for voicing opinion about his club.

"And Steve Stone? He's got enough problems doing what he does with the White Sox. What job has he had in baseball besides talking on television or radio? What has he done?"

It sure looks like Sweet Lou is more ready to hang them up then Atlanta’s Bobby Cox.

Can the Cubs return from the dead? Sure they could, however there is little to support a reason as to why. They are .500 at Wrigley and 13-20 on the road.

Against right-handed opposing starters they are 18-28 and in their own division, a floundering 13-20. If the Cubs are favored, the best advice is to run and hide with 22-29 record (-19.4) and they are 1-6 in last seven series.

The future isn’t bright either, beyond unproven youngsters Starlin Castro and Tyler Colvin. As we head towards the All-Star break, playing against these Chicago Cubs is your best bet.

Can the Chicago Cubs turn season around?

Many a heart has been broken by Chicago Cubs franchise over the years. The list of failures would make even the Big Three automakers blush. Everyone knows about last year’s playoff bust and a century of nonfulfillment and every Cub supporter has their version of the 1984 playoff series against San Diego or the unforgettable collapse of 1969.

Losing and the Chicago Cubs fit together like two people meeting on EHarmony.com. The Cubs haven’t been complete failures of late putting together back-to-back winning seasons twice since 2003, which were the first since 1971-72. Juxtaposed those figures against there biggest rival, the St. Louis Cardinals, who have suffered consecutive losing seasons twice in the last 49 years.
Since being one of the best teams in baseball from 1929 to 1945 (they lost in the World Series five times in the span), Chicago fans have suffered mightily, once going 16 years without a winning season (1947-1962) playing at a .425 clip.

Last year’s puzzling ending to the Los Angeles led to “wait till next year” for the North Siders and oddsmakers believed the Cubbies were indeed ready to make another run at winning a World Series for the 101st time since last being champions in 1908.

If 2009 was to be “the year”, thus far for the Cubs it’s been like those trying to stop Johnny Depp as John Dillinger in “Public Enemies”. The vaunted Chicago offense has looked like Rex Grossman leading the Bears the last few seasons, averaging 4.1 runs per game, 14th in the National League.

The list of underachievers is remarkable, Kosuke Fukudome batting .251, Milton Bradley .243, Alfonso Soriano .233 and Geovany Soto .230. The Cubs front office decided they would clear cash to sign Bradley and move Mark DeRosa, this season the combined average of the second basemen is .224 with on-base percentage of .280. True, having Bradley hurt was a setback as was Aramis Ramirez being out of the lineup for an extended period.

The fact is manager Lou Pinella’s use of the full roster can’t work if players don’t produce. The Cubs are next to last in doubles, 11th in walks and 13th in on-base percentage. If not for Derrick Lee’s hot spell the last month, no telling how much lower they would be.

The Cubs pitching is better, but not when it counts. They allow 4.1 runs per game, which is third in the National League. There starting pitching has been somewhat erratic beyond Ted Lilly (9-6, 3.18 ERA) and Carlos Zambrano (5-4, 3.53), as the Cubs are 22-12 when those two start. Rich Harden’s mechanical problems have him getting hit hard and Ryan Dempster is a lost cause on the road with Cubs sporting 1-9 record in his 10 starts.

The bullpen’s .500 record is in sync with the team record and the save percentage is lowly .625 for a team presumed to be running away with division. Kevin Gregg has stabilized as the closer after abject start, but Carlos Marmol is a half a pack of Marlboro’s with 43 walks in 43 innings of work.

Even being baseball’s biggest underachievers based on preseason prognostications, the Cubs are only one game behind division leading St. Louis in the loss column, though backers are paying for it at -8 units. For Chicago to live up to expectations, they are going to have to average about five runs the rest of the way and hope the pitching holds up.

Blogger hearsay has rumblings in the clubhouse with not everyone pulling on the same rope. Reports have stubborn players unwilling to change to help the team, pitchers becoming testy with the lack of offense and too many lapses of concentration on the field.

Can the Cubs take control of wide open division, undoubtedly if the talent plays to potential. However, after this many games, the Cubs seem wholly capable of finishing just ahead of Pittsburgh in the Central, which means, wait till next year.