Saturday Selections

Finally got taken down with 1-2 day, but still 15-5 over last 20. Everything is in CBB today starting with 81.1 percent system against No. 1. The Top Trend is reverse perfect and Kyle has his top selection loaded. Good Luck

What I thought today – I Love Bracket Buster Saturday.

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Free Basketball System -1) Play Against favorites of 10 or more points like Kansas, after nine or more consecutive with a win percentage of 80% or higher, playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%). This system checks in at 43-10, 81.1 percent, including 6-1 this season.

Free Basketball Trend - 2) Tenn-Martin is 0-12 ATS after two or more consecutive losses this season.

Free Basketball Pick -3) Kyle has a number of plays today but his largest wager is on South Florida.

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Super Bowl Sunday

Iowa State made three 3’s in the final 80 seconds I believe it was, preventing 3-0 day. The Best System follows one of the hottest teams in the Big East and it’s not Syracuse, in a system that is 81 percent. Sal has his top Super Bowl bet and today’s trends are more informational than anything. Plus, I share my SB pick and top prop wagers. Good Luck and enjoy the game and day.

What I’m doing today- I like the Colts to win the game, 34-23, but have decided to have a little fun and bets the Saints with the points and have wagered equal value on Indy on the money line, thus hoping for them to win and not cover.

Here are my favorite prop bets today.

First Quarter –Under 13 points
Largest lead of the game (16.5) Under
Colts rushing yards (95.5) Under
Manning completions (25.5) Over
Reggie Wayne – completions (5.5) Over
Dallas Clark receiving yards (69.5) Over

On Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Basketball System -1) Play On road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like South Florida off an upset win as an underdog of 10 or more, in February games. The Bulls also get back their second leading scorer for a system that is 34-8 ATS, 81 percent.

Free Football Trends - 2) Not really trends per se, but interesting. When Dallas Clark catches a touchdown pass Indianapolis is 19-1 SU the last three years. The last three quarterbacks to complete 70 or more percent of their passes during the regular season went on to win a Super Bowl, can you say Drew Brees.

Free Football Pick -3) Sal of the Left Coast Connection bet the Colts on the money line.

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South Florida Flipped as Favorite

This Thursday evening Big East battle is about bowl placement as much as anything. Earlier conference defeats have relegated these clubs to more minor bowls; however either is capable of finishing 10-2, if they win this contest. Both programs have to feel good about the future, at least from the quarterback position, with freshmen B.J. Daniels for South Florida and Tom Savage at Rutgers at the helm.

South Florida (6-2, 4-3 ATS) showed fire in the belly, upsetting West Virginia at home 30-19 as 2.5-point underdogs, after losing to front-running Cincinnati and Pittsburgh in consecutive weeks. Daniels played his most complete game in that win and has the ability to make plays with his feet and shown a good touch on deep passes that has led to several big plays by the Bulls offense. Rutgers is 0-11 ATS when they allow 8.5 to 9 net passing yards per attempt.

On defense, linemen George Selvie and Jason Pierre-Paul mess with their opponents passing game, able to apply steady pressure and safety Nate Allen makes big plays all over the field. The weakness of this group is when an opposing team lines up and runs right at them, like the Bearcats and Panthers did for combined 403 yards on the ground. South Florida is 1-8 ATS as favorites against team with over .600 record.

The Scarlet Knights (6-2, 3-5 ATS) defense matches up numbers wise against South Florida (322.9 vs. 315.6 yards allowed), however much of that came against inferior competition. What Greg Schiano’s defense has to do is take away the Bulls rushing attack (3.3 YPG allowed) and play Cover 2 defensive principles, forcing Daniels to be accurate thrower underneath, which has not been his strength to date. They lead the Big East in takeaways with 25.

On offense, have RB Joe Martinek use his big body to run downhill at the USF defense, which sets up Savage in the play-action passing game. Rutgers is 9-1 ATS since last season after a SU victory.

South Florida has gone as one-point road favorite to two-point underdog with total at 45 at Bookmaker.com. Both universities come in with negative trends, with the Bulls 5-8 ATS in last 13 Big East road games and the Scarlet Knights 10-21-1 ATS with extra time off. Rutgers is also a train wreck with 3-16 ATS mark in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better, however, almost two weeks have passed since that occurred.

The underdog has had plenty of bite; with perfect 4-0 spread record the last four years. The average score in that time span is surprising 60 points per game.

The Big East and ESPN get a head start on the NFL, with his matchup commencing at 7:45 Eastern, with USF on 0-4 ATS Thursday slide.

Backing West Virginia Takes Courage

Before the season, the Big East Conference figured to be one of the most competitive in the country and that is holding true heading into the last weekend of October. West Virginia, as expected has held up well with 6-1 record (2-4 ATS). Like all teams, the Mountaineers have had to deal with adversity. Six turnovers cost them a win at Auburn and quarterback Jarrett Brown suffered a mild concussion on West Virginia’s fourth offensive play and left the game against in-state rival Marshall, which meant true freshman backup Geno Smith had to step in and guide team to 24-7 win.

As the Mountaineers have distanced themselves from the option offense, receivers like Jock Sanders have seen more throws. Running back Noel Devine might not be seeing as many chances to get wide; however the running lanes are still there for the speedy back, as the Mountaineers are second in the conference in total offense at 420.9 yards per game. West Virginia’s run defense is one of the best (10th overall) in allowing 2.8 yards per carry. The ‘Teers are 12-3 and 11-4 ATS on the Big East road the last five years.

Under coach Bill Stewart wins are likely, however spread covers not so much. The always smiling Stewart is 16-5 SU with 7-12 ATS record.

This is the last of brutish three-game stretch for South Florida (5-2, 2-3 ATS), after taking on conference partner’s Cincinnati and Pittsburgh and losing to each of them. The Bulls have been running the ball effectively (177.7 yards per game) on a couple of fronts, with quarterback B.J. Daniels scampering on predetermined and not so predetermined runs. The normal aspect of the running game has worked with a trio of running backs all displaying different skills.

One conundrum South Florida has to change if they want to really be a true Big East contender, quit taking all the penalties (over nine per game). Against lesser competition they have the talent to overcome them. But when looking in the mirror talent-wise, this is real shortcoming for team that is 3-11 ATS vs. teams with winning records.

South Florida is known for having talented defensive linemen like George Selvie, yet has allowed over 175 yards rushing in four of seven games, suggesting a lack of discipline up front and linebackers not able to stay free and make tackles. After Pittsburgh pasted them for 214 yards on the ground in 41-14 thumping, the Bulls are 1-4 ATS after permitting 200 or more yards rushing.

DiamondSportsbook.com has West Virginia as three-point road favorite, with total of 48. South Florida is 3-1 ATS vs. West Virginia with outright upsets in 2006-07. To forecast the Mountaineers performance, a Magic 8 ball comes in handy. Does the West Virginia team with 19-7 ATS record in October road games show up or the one that is 1-8 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better make appearance.

ESPN2 will have this Big East battle and watch the total, with average score 35 combined points in the four meetings.

Cincy Favored in Big East Bash

It won’t be long before some big-time college football program is going to be ready to cough up the cash to have the services coach Brian Kelly. Since taking over at Cincinnati, Kelly is 27-6 (5-0 in 2009) and 17-12-1 against the spread. Last year’s Big East title and appearance in the Orange Bowl has the Queen City fired up about something besides college hoops.

A few nay-sayers will complain that the Bearcats (3-2 ATS) have not played a Miami Hurricanes schedule to this point, however how many teams would be undefeated today if they had ONE returning defensive starter? Quarterback Tony Pike is leading a sensational offense averaging 329.8 yards passing, often looking towards playmaker Mardy Gilyard. If teams try to double Gilyard, that has opened up chances for running back Jacob Ramsey to slice and dice the opposition. Cincy is 6-0 ATS when playing against a team with a win percentage of 75 percent or higher over the last three seasons.

South Florida (5-0, 2-1 ATS) was on the edges of Big East title conversations coming into the season, after not meeting expectations a year ago. When senior quarterback Matt Grothe went down to injury, what supporters they had bailed faster than General Motors did on Saturn.

However, redshirt freshman B.J. Daniels has stepped in under center and delivered big plays and wins against Florida State and Syracuse and all the sudden, more seats are being added to the Bulls bandwagon. They are 5-1 ATS in last six lined games.

On defense, watch for defensive tackle George Selvie and safety Nate Allen, two outstanding talents. This gruesome twosome will have to get after Pike and their defense ranks fifth in scoring defense (9.4) and 10th in total yards allowed (263.0) nationally. They have forced 16 turnovers on the season.

“We'd be concerned if our defense was out there struggling, but as you can see the last two weeks, they've bowed up when they needed to and they're continuing to make plays," said Pike. "On offense, we're going to come out when we get the possessions and make the most out of it."

Cincy opened as 1.5-point favorites and were swiftly moved to -2.5 by the wagering public , bot retreated since back to two points at Bookmaker.com, with total of 48.5. Cincinnati ranks third in the country in scoring with 43.2 points per game, with Pike throwing a TD pass in 15 consecutive games. The Bearcats are 15-6-1 ATS against teams with winnings records. South Florida has to contain the Cincinnati offense and hope to hit a few big plays to grab the momentum. The Bulls are only 3-9 ATS against winning teams in last dozen tries.

This could be head-buster and a lower scoring than it appears. USF is 6-0 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record and the Bearcats are 12-3 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3.

These are two programs that will showcase their considerable talents to a national cable audience and South Florida is 8-3 ATS at home against Big East competition the last three years. One of those losses has been against Cincinnati, whom they are 1-4 and 0-5 against the spread.

ESPN has this Big East showcase at 7:45 Eastern.