Thursday Plays and thoughts

Sometimes you have to take the good with the bad and yesterday we got whacked but good, though we are still 131-73, 64.2 percent in over 200 selections given out. The Best System involves two sorry teams, but which one should win? Sal is back and his Best Play and the Top Trend are from the same contest. Good Luck

What I letting you know today – I’m as puzzled as anyone why Philadelphia just didn’t sign Cliff Lee last season instead of having to pay Roy Oswalt now. Yes the Phillies lack overall starting pitching depth but who doesn’t. Does Halladay, Oswalt and Hamels sound any different than adding Lee and subtracting Oswalt? On top of that the Phillies signed Joe Blanton in the off-season to roughly 8M a year for three to now be No.4 starter!? Your thoughts welcome.

The GUARANTEED Plays are 4-0 the last two days with Winner on the Chicago White Sox last night and we’ll look to follow that up with an underdog in the right situation. This dog fits a 76.9 percent winning spot and the favorite only has won 33 percent of the time when in today’s exact situation.

On Twitter at: http://twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System -1) Play Against road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 like Baltimore, with a sickly bullpen that blows 38 percent or more of their save opportunities, with a ice-cold starting pitcher with WHIP of 2.250 or higher over his last three starts. This system is very profitable 36-7, 83.7 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Seattle is 11-29 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on-base percentage .330 or worse this season.

Free Baseball Pick -3) Sal has hit a good stretch with 7-2 record and has the Chicago White Sox in the driver’s seat tonight.

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Cubs and Phillies converge as hot teams

For many people, a trip to Washington, D.C. is a wonderful and historic adventure. The city has many great things to see and do and a short drive in several directions can further enhance the experience. For the Chicago Cubs, the four day excursion to out nation’s capitol turned out to be just the right kind of stimulus package needed to start the second half of the year.

The Cubs (47-43, -4.9 units) marched into woeful Washington and swept the Nationals in four games and have taken over second place in the NL Central, trailing St. Louis by two games, though are tied with them in the loss column. If Washington was the right team for manager Lou Pinella’s squad to play at the moment, Monday’s opponent, Philadelphia is just the exact opposite.

The Phillies (51-38, +6.5 units) are fresh off a weekend in Miami and swept their then nearest competitor in the NL East, Florida, building a 6.5 game lead in the division. The defending World Series champions are on eight-game winning streak and have been the conqueror in 12 of last 13 contests. The Phils have won every way imaginable; from a 2-0 shutout to a 22-1 blowout and Sunday’s victory improves them to incomparable 29-15 (+16.8 units) record on the road.

Philadelphia returns home to Citizens Bank Park, where they have turned around, after a half a season of dismal play. The Phils have won nine of last 10 at home to raise record to 22-23 (-10.3 units) and they are 21-8 vs. teams like Chicago whose hitters strike out seven or more times a game this year.

Rodrigo Lopez (1-0, 3.18 ERA) is the No.5 starter at present; however this job is in serious jeopardy with the signing of Pedro Martinez. Lopez will have likely a total of three starts before Martinez comes off the DL, meaning he will have to have a few inspired efforts. Lopez is pitching on 11 days rest and in his career, is 10-1 in home games when working on seven or more days rest. (Team's Record)

The Cubs will counter with their only All-Star, Ted Lilly (9-6, 3.18), who is pitching with two additional off days, since developing inflammation in his left knee. The Cubs lefthander has been extra sharp in last three outings with 2.11 ERA, striking out 20 and walking only three in 21 1/3 innings. Here is a little known fact on Lilly. In the last three years, including this season, only Roy Halladay (47) and Josh Beckett (44) have more wins than Lilly’s total of 41.

DiamondSportsbook.com has established Philadelphia as a -115 money line favorite, with a total of Un9.5. The Phillies are 51-23 off a win and 22-8 UNDER with an on-base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games. The Cubs have played like they are in hibernation as underdogs with 2-15 mark in 2009. Chicago is 30-12 UNDER vs. an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 this season.

This is the ESPN Monday night telecast which will start at 7:05 Eastern, with Philly having taken four of the last six on home turf over the Cubs.