One of the bigger NBA cards to start another work week finds a number of very good situations on the side or total of action. Take a gander at each one and find something to your liking and don’t worry about Denver not being in this group. The Nuggets and Thunder didn’t muster a mention for this article.
Indiana at Orlando (-12.5, 211)
The Magic return home from a mediocre road trip that produced 2-2 record and 1-2-1 ATS mark. It could have been viewed as a positive except they lost the last two games at Utah and Orlando. The Magic are big favorites over Indiana tonight and though the number appears cumbersome, they have a definite edge. - Home teams shooting 45.5-47.5 percent and are average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game), taking on an average defensive club like the Pacers (43.5-45.5%), who don’t rebound well (-3 to -5.5 reb/game), are 27-4 ATS the last five years.
Golden State at Philadelphia (-4, 209)
Here is some real top-notch handicapping information, if you have lost 13 straight games, you either have a really pathetic offense or you couldn’t cover a bed with a sheet. Philadelphia is 27th in field goal percentage defense; however they’ve met their match in Golden State, who is last in the same category. Look to play OVER in December on teams that have lost 10 or more contests. (30-10 since 1996)
Boston at Memphis (+7.5, 194.5)
The Celtics are a scintillating 11-1 on the road this season with seven covers, averaging 100.4 points per game overall. On Saturday, Boston crushed Chicago 106-80 and travel to Memphis, who has won four of five, yet ranks 25th in points allowed. Consider the total, as teams like Boston, scoring between 98-102 points a game, facing a crummy defensive team allowing 102 or more points a contest and conceded 85 points or less in last outing, are 29-6 OVER when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points. For good measure these two clubs are 10-3 OVER in Memphis.
New Orleans at Dallas (-8, 194.5)
It has not been much fun in New Orleans, at least on the NBA side, as the Hornets try to get back to .500. In their last game, they suffered unsettling home loss to New York 113-96 as 6.5-point favorites. New Orleans let the Knicks to shoot over 55 percent while converting just 40 percent themselves. Having last played Friday, look to Play On teams like the Hornets off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite, playing with two days rest. (37-12 ATS since 2005)
Minnesota at Utah (-13, 200.5)
The Timberwolves are disgraceful 3-21, however are better than the Celtics or Lakers against the spread at 12-12 ATS. In Utah this evening, road underdogs of 10 or more points, winning 25 percent or less of their games on the season, in December, are 38-10 ATS the last five years.
Washington at L.A. Clippers (-2, 195.5)
The Wizards embark on a four-game West swing starting in Los Angeles. Washington has lost four in a row, including a hard to swallow 114-113 contest to Indiana two days ago. The Wizards have some potential tonight as road teams being outscored by three or more points, off a loss by six or less, with the line at +3 to -3, are solid 19-7 since 2005.
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