Let's gitter done this Sunday

Bad luck more than anything caused us to go 2-1 yesterday, as the Phillies melted like the cheese on a Philly cheese steak. Our record now stands at 81-42 last 123 plays. Today we have Top Trend that is flat dead perfect with imposing score differential. The Best System is highly profitable 82.4 percent and Mark of the LCC has a Best Bet going today. Good Luck

What I saw yesterday – I don’t know about you, but it was fun to see Tiger Woods back on the prowl (on the golf course that is) playing with confidence and being a factor. That Dustin Johnson dude is long, just like Tiger used to be.

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Free Baseball System -1) Play Against road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 like the Orioles, an AL team with a low on-base percentage of .320 or less, against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP of 1.350 or lower), with a poor bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse on the season. Betting against teams like the Birds is profitable 82.4 percent of the time. (42-9)

Free Baseball Trend -2) The Halos are 9-0 vs. an NL team with an on-base percentage .325 or worse over the last two years clubbing them by 4.8 runs per game.

Free Baseball Pick -3) Ron suffered a tough loss with the Phillies and Mark’s recent 7-2 run has him on the Padres.

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Friday Forecast

Will take a 2-1 record any day of the week and have bettor’s delight with sharp underdog as Top Trend. Slick Rick continues to mow down winners and releases another in the AL tonight as Free Play. Have a killer MLB system at an arousing 85.1 percent. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST home underdogs like Seattle with a money line of +125 to +175, who are below average AL hitting team (BA .265 or less) against a team with a superior bullpen (ERA of 3.75 or less), playing on Friday. This is a real kick-butt system at 40-7, 85.1 percent and is coming up for the first time this year.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Joe Saunders and the Halos are 10-1 (+10.7 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last two seasons.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Slick Rick continues to roll with 19-4-1 record and like the Tigers to hunt down Oakland.

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Putting on Sunday Best

Suffered our first losing day in over a week, however still respectable 13-9-1 over eight days. Our Best System won on Saturday and we come right back with another that an outstanding 87.2 percent. Jason had a splendid day in the NBA and offers his top play of the weekend. Does 18-3 angle in MLB work for you? Good Luck.

What I learned yesterday – It looks like it’s just a matter of time before Derrick Rose is the best point guard in the NBA. Also, it doesn’t pay to not pull the trigger; I talked myself out of taking Portland yesterday. To borrow from Yogi Berra, when your teams don’t score in baseball (Seattle, Texas), it’s not easy to win games.

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 like the Halos, allowing 5.2 or more runs a game on the season (AL) against a team being outscored by opponents by one or more runs per game on the season. This system is rather easy to understand since if a team is being outscored by that much and is still favored, the oddsmakers are telling us something. A record of 34-5, 87.2 percent also tell its own story.

Free Baseball Trend -2) John Lester and the Red Sox are 18-3 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last three seasons.

Free Basketball Selection -3) Jason of the Left Coast Connection hit all four NBA games yesterday, but his biggest play of the weekend is on Orlando.

Having to pitch with purpose

It is way too early for Major League baseball teams to hit the panic button; however it is not too early to start turning season around if your team is off to a slow start. Then there is a team like the Los Angeles Angels who play on the road for the first time and the starting pitcher is someone very different from who was expected to be taking the mound a week ago.

Its opening day in Seattle (5-2, +3.9 units), who has played fantastic baseball on the road. The Mariners have a four-game winning streak after sweeping Oakland and have managed to start fast even without Ichiro Suzuki who will join the team tomorrow from the DL, after suffering a bleeding ulcer.

Seattle is abuzz because “The Kid’ is back, as Ken Griffey Jr. returns in a Seattle uniform. The Mariners will face division rival Los Angeles (3-3, +0.2) and they will be starting Shane Loux. The 29-year right-hander hasn’t taken the ball to start a game in six years and has the added pressure of taking the spot of departed Nick Adenhart. The Angels are -110 money line favorites at Bookmaker.com, with total Ov9.5. The Halos are 26-10 after five or more consecutive home games and will face Carlos Silva (0-1, 10.80 ERA), who is 6-19 after giving up two or more home runs in last outing. (Team's Record) Seattle has lost 13 of 19 to Angels at Safeco Field.

After four miserable years in New York, Carl Pavano was seeking a new lease on life and a baseball pay check and hooked up with Cleveland (1-6, -5.8). To call Pavano’s first start rough would be an understatement since his ERA is one number higher (81) than what former Cleveland Brown Kellen Winslow wore last season (80). Pavano needed only 39 pitches to allow nine runs, six hits and walk three, last Thursday in Texas in loss. The Indians lumbering start makes them 13-21 in April the last two years and the pitching staff has been battered for 7.9 runs per game. They will look to avoid a second straight loss to Kansas City (4-3, +1.6) as +140 ML underdogs, facing a Royals club that is 17-5 in home games vs. teams outscored by a half a run or more a game on the season.

Right-hander Daisuke Matsuzaka (0-1, 6.75 ERA) suffered just three losses in 29 starts in 2008 and his team needs for him to not take another defeat early in the season. The Red Sox (2-5, -5.2) haven’t done much right to begin the season, as pitchers have been slapped around for 5.3 runs per game and offense is checking in at paltry 3.4 runs per game. Last year’s AL MVP Dustin Pedroia is well below the Mendoza line, hitting .179 and power source David Ortiz has yet to lace an extra base hit. Boston was busted up by Oakland 8-2 last evening and is 20-8 in road games after a loss by four runs or more and hopes Matsuzaka can duplicate prior efforts, with the Red Sox 12-2 in road tilts in which he started. The BoSox are -150 money line favs at Oakland to even series.

Arizona was set up to capitalize on the early season, playing 18 of first 21 games at Chase Field. A 2-5 (-4.7) beginning means the Diamondbacks will need a quick turnaround and turn to Max Scherzer to spin year around. Scherzer throws heat and if he commands his slider, he can be every bit as dominant as his major league debut in which he retired all 13 batters with seven strikeouts. Arizona isn’t doing much on offense scoring 3.4 run per game and takes on St. Louis (6-2, +2.8), being 23-38 against a team with a winning record. The Cardinals have Cris Carpenter (1-0, 0.00 ERA) back, who only pitched just over 21 innings in last two years, before throwing seven in 2-1 victory over Pittsburgh last week. The Cardinals are -140 ML favorites with total Un9, which is worth watching as Carpenter and the Cards are 10-0 UNDER vs. NL teams scoring 3.8 or less runs a game on the season.

MLB Series Wagering- Red Sox at Angels

Under normal circumstances the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim would be really fired up, having been eliminated from the playoffs three times by this weekend’s opponent in the last five years, including the last two. However, the tragic event that occurred Thursday morning changes everything.

Nick Adenhart was the Angels best minor league pitching prospect and due to injuries to other starting pitchers, was forced into action to start 2009 season. Adenhart gave a very good opening performance against Oakland, with six shutout innings and at 22-years old, the world was all ahead of him. A senseless tragedy took the life of Adenhart and how the Angels will react is anyone’s guess.

The Angels will turn to Jered Weaver to stem the tide of consecutive losses suffered against Oakland. This is an important season for the 26-year right-hander. Believed at one time to have No.1 starter ability, the last two years have not shown such progression and his stuff is now considered just above average. This spring after shoulder stiffness, his velocity returned according to scouts, throwing in frequently in the mid-90’s. When he’s on, he throws sinking off-speed pitches. At 6’7, his mechanics are prone to be unreliable and can walk two batters at the drop of a hat. Manager Mike Scioscia needs a stellar effort, as the early returns of bullpen have been disastrous, with 9.72 ERA.

Boston will understand the somber tone of the opener at the Big A, and starts Tim Wakefield, now in his 15th year. The knuckle-baller will try to end the Red Sox own two-game losing streak as Boston plays first road game. Wakefield is second in the major leagues in continuous service with one team (Mariano Rivera first) and lifetime is 9-12 against the Halos.

Betjamaica.com has the Angels -108 money line favorites with the total at nine. Weaver and L.A. won five of his last six home starts in 2008; however he has not been a great opening starter with team just 4-9 in Game One’s. Including the season opener, Boston is 14-3 in series openers, but just 3-9 in Wakefield’s road starts. Going to lean with Los Angeles, having 18-4 record after two or more consecutive losses. Watch the total as well, with Weaver and L.A. 21-8 UNDER after a loss over the last two-plus seasons.

Game 1 Edge: Angels

Saturday’s contest will be afternoon affair, with Brad Penny making his Boston debut. Penny hopes to find the form that made him an All-Star in 2006-07 and not the injury-plagued year that left him at 6-9, with an ERA over six. Penny would appreciate if Kevin Youkilis brought his hot bat to La-La Land, with eight base-knocks in first dozen at bats. Because of turmoil with starting staff, Shane Loux will start in Game 2. Loux was one-time prospect in Detroit organization, who throws strikes and depend on ground-ball outs. After being out of baseball in 2007, the 29-year old was the Pacific Coast League Pitcher of the Year with Salt Lake last season. The BoSox will be the favorite and best choice, even though the Angels have won seven of last eight as underdog.

Game 2 Edge: Boston

The series finale should be a fine pitching matchup with Josh Beckett (1-0, 1.29 ERA) facing Joe Saunders (1-0, 0.00). Beckett was in top form on Opening Day, chucking seven strong innings, with 10 strike-outs and one run and two hits allowed. Last season, Beckett was very solid on the road with 7-5 and 2.85 ERA, though he is being watched closely after velocity dip late in the season. If Hall of Famer Reggie Jackson is known as Mr. October, than Saunders is emerging as Mr. April, based on his early season efforts the last few years. He limited Oakland to just three hits this past Monday, raising his record to 8-0 in April starts. He’s kept the Boston batting order in check with 4-0 record in six starts, with 2.89 ERA. The Halos are 25-8 against the money line when the lefty starts since the beginning of last season.

Game 3 Edge: Angels

A lot of this series depends on the mental state of the Angels. Skipper Scioscia not only has to be manager, but father figure as well, since each player will react differently about what happened. Because of the unknown, have to stick strictly with facts. Seeing the Angels do have revenge motive and have won nine of last 10 regular season meetings, and five of last six at Angel Stadium, have to play the underdog for this series wager.

Series odds: Boston -145, L.A. Angels +115

3Daily Winners Pick: L.A. Angels