Role Players are Betting Key in Game 4

The tape of Game Three of the NBA Finals between Boston and Los Angeles won’t be sent to the Basketball Hall of Fame, with a grand total of four players scoring in double figures and the total coming in 27.5-points below projected oddsmakers number. Nonetheless, the series picked up some juice with the Lakers winning, meaning everyone is able to stay the weekend in Los Angeles and maybe head down the coast and catch a little U.S. Open golf action. Kobe Bryant finally stepped up his game with 36 points and no way L.A. wins without the 20 from Sasha Vujacic. For Boston, this had to be mildly disheartening, Ray Allen is starting to place like the guy who wore a Seattle and Milwaukee uniform previously, but Paul Pierce managed to miss 14 of 16 shot attempts.

Before pressing on, this 2-3-2 format is proven how stupid it really is this season. ESPN’s John Barry was quoted after Game 3 (as was Phil Jackson) saying he thought it was a jet lag game. Neither team was sharp from flying cross country. Fair enough, then why will their be two games in this series played with two days of rest in the same city, with potentially another cross-country flight with just one day between the sports most important games?

Game Four of the series will be about who shows up to make a meaningful contribution. In the boxscore, Lamar Odom is listed as PF, commonly known as power forward and Vlad Radmanovic is shown as SF, a shooting forward. Odom has was once again a non-factor, shooting 2-9 and seldom in position to make positive plays, yet maybe in his case, the PF stands for personal fouls, since he picked up five again. Vlad Rad saw his minutes fall to 13, as his defensive deficiencies are visibly noticed and his lack of offense (3 points) can not overcome.

If the Lakers expect to improve upon 11-3-1 ATS record off a win, both of those players along with Pau Gasol and Derek Fisher have to play with more aplomb. Gasol has been as soft as a marshmallow in the middle, making his chest-thumping appear comical, when like an NFL cornerback burned six times in a row, jumps up to celebrate after he made a big hit on receiver 20 yards down the field. Coming into the Finals, it was thought Fisher’s experience would create an edge over the Celtics Rajon Rondo, it hasn’t. If the Lakers expect to make this a best two of three, the aforementioned four individuals have to bring their game and attitude to Staples Center for Los Angeles to win and move to 9-3 ATS as home favorites.

For all the good Rondo had done in Boston, he was discombobulated when Bryant started Game 3 guarding him. He was unable to get into the flow thereafter, before rolling is ankle, making him questionable for tonight. This becomes a real issue for the Celtics, since Rondo whole game is based on quickness and speed, without these traits, Sam Cassell and Eddie House are next options, suggesting these slow afoot, shoot-first point guards may see greater ball pressure from the Lakers, as well as double-teaming to force them to make snap judgments. Coach Doc Rivers will need to implore his back-ups to get the ball over half court quicker, since on average, the Celtics start their offensive sets just under three seconds slower when Rondo is not in the game in this series. How this trio plays tonight, will go a long way in determining what Boston’s 3-7 ATS road record will be after the game.

For the C’s to rebound in Game 4, Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett can not play the same again. Pierce played like was pushing too hard, trying to prove to posse; he was California cool, while showing street toughness being back home on the big stage. Look for him to be more relaxed, after practicing a few gang signs. Boston is 29-12 against the spread on the road after playing as an underdog and Garnett personally let a golden opportunity slip thru his fingers. Garnett was 6-21, totaling 13 points. When he set up shop in or near the lane, the less athletic Gasol is rendered useless to stop him. When he drifted out on the perimeter as he often prefers to, coach Phil Jackson could have gotten Radmanovic more minutes.

When asked after Game 3 why he didn’t demand the ball more in the post, since the Celtics offense is more fluid, Garnett responded, "...Hell, if I knew that, I would have done it ... Obviously in the course of a game you try to mix things up ... but for the most part, I watched this game ... But you're right. I probably do need to take the ball to the basket a little more." Just think about how good he would have been playing with Michael Jordan as second fiddle.

As expected, a win by the favorite means the number goes down and the Lakers are 7.5-point favorites with Total having dipped to 191 every sportsbook. The Celtics have covered each contest in this series and are 8-1 ATS when underdogs in the 5-10 point range. Los Angeles has yet to cover versus the C’s in five tries this season.

Even with the total dropping, coach Rivers club is 14-6 UNDER as a road underdog this season, while L.A. is 16-4 UNDER after a win by six points or less this season.

Expect the stars to shine with tipoff set for 9:05 Eastern, since they will ultimately decide Game 4, however it will be the other players for both teams that will put these individuals in position to be adored.

Betting Baseball Info, June 12 , at 3Daily Winners

Just missed a perfect day, as Tim Lincecum did his job, but his Giants teammates failed to scratch across a run and Colorado won in the bottom of the ninth 1-0. On to today, we have a fantastic system that supports playing against a cold road pitcher; this winning system is a 77.1 percent winner. We have had such great success with Perfect Trends, we have another today. With so much early MLB action, we’ll supply FREE matinee selection and check back by 5:30 Eastern to look for another play. Good Luck.

System -1) PLAY ON home teams like Cleveland, with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) , against opponent with a cold starting pitcher (Twins Livan Hernandez 10.12 ERA, 2.250 WHIP) with WHIP of 2.000 or higher over his last three starts. This system has generated a 37-11, 77.1 winning record the last five seasons.

Trend – 2) The Boston Red Sox are 13-0 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 this season.

FREE Selection -3) In afternoon action, the early LCC consensus is to take Detroit Tigers to sweep the White Sox.

Betting Baseball Info, June 11, at 3Daily Winners

Yesterday’s System was a Winner, but since when is playing against Seattle this year a bad idea. Today, we have pitcher throwing just awful, in a winning 74.5 percent system. We’re back with another Perfect Trend on the team with the best record in baseball and the Free Play comes from a bettor known as being modest with his plays and on a good roll presently. Good Luck.

System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Washington, with a money line of +100 or higher, allowing 4.8 or more runs a game (Nats at 4.9) on the season (NL), against opponent with a cold starting pitcher like Ian Snell (2-6, 5.65 ERA), who owns an ERA 7.00 of or his more in his last five starts. The logic here is a pitcher that has thrown this poorly is due an at least an average outing and his team should be able to support him with some runs. This situation is 38-13, 74.5 percent since the 2006 campaign.

Trend – 2) The Cubs are 12-0 against the money line in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season.

FREE Selection -3) Max from the Left Coast Connection has picked up +8.65 units of late with his conservative style and is on San Francisco with Tim Lincecum as starter for Free play.

Betting Baseball Info, June 10, at 3Daily Winners

Florida’s amazing trend of playing Over, was winner yesterday here at 3Daily Winners. Tonight we have an American League team in a bad spot against division foe for Top Trend. The System is likely to bounce back, with a. 84.5 percent situation and one of the guys from the Left Coast Connection has a two-team parlay on tap in MLB action. Good Luck.

System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Seattle, with a money line of +150 or more, a pathetic AL offensive team (4.2 runs or less runs a game), against a team like Toronto with a solid bullpen (3.33 or less ERA), while a bullpen like the Mariners has WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season. This system has generated serious cash with 49-9 record, good for +32.5 units.

Trend – 2) Detroit is 2-13 (-14.5 Units) against the money line off a loss to an AL Central rival as a favorite this season.

FREE Selection -3) One of the fellas from the LCC, prefers to play two-team parlays and has hit six of seven. He has a Windy City one to follow, taking the Cubs and White Sox. A hundred dollar wager pays out almost 2 to 1.

Are Lakers Really Good Bet in Game 3?

Remember being in pre-school or first grade or possibly with your children; playing games were you had to come up with answers to teachers questions? The idea was to you as a child or anyone, come up with a list of answers to individual questions. It could be a fascinating topic, often not thinking of the answers others would happen to think of. For example, if the question would be, what are things that are soft, thoughts like pillows, ice cream, and a rabbit come to mind or for more creative types, the sun setting on a placid lake. For this composite list of soft things, add the Los Angeles Lakers.

Bettors universally assumed the Lakers and Kobe Bryant in particular would be spitting venom in Game 2, and took Los Angeles from opening line of +2, all the way to -1.5 at tipoff. Instead, the Lakers were like a big dog asleep on his back. From the beginning of the second quarter, until the start of the last stanza, they were “out” every-thing(ed) by Boston. Out- shot, rebounded, passed, dunked, defended and most importantly out-hustled. The Celtics won the middle portion of the game 63-39, in dominating fashion.

Thou Paul Gasol’s numbers show 17 points and 10 rebounds, not one of those figures were critical and thus far it is obvious the Spaniard couldn’t box out a statue of John Quincy Adams. Evidently teams never ran a pick and roll, free throw line extended against the Memphis Grizzlies, since Gasol is alarming out of position, leaving the baseline wide open, explaining how Rajon Rando could have 16 assists in game two.

Boston has played like a team wanting a championship, bringing lunch pale and getting into defensive stance. They have double-teamed Bryant at every opportunity and not one other player in a purple uniform stepped up in first two contests. Lamar Odom has been out of position on both ends of the floor and is playing more confused than useful. If Los Angeles is not to fall to 8-19 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games, coach Phil Jackson has to find players who can match the C’s thirst for excellence.

After last contest, Jackson had to say something about free throw disparity (38-10) and though a more than a few calls were questionable, the referee’s are human and Boston was so much more aggressive, they earned the right to have the official’s benefit of the doubt. The Lakers made reserve Leon Powe look like the perfect replacement for Kevin Garnett in the future; as he scored 21 points, but did it with what L.A. lacked, hustle and heart. The Celtics are 28-12 ATS in road games after playing a game as an underdog.

In a somewhat curious twist, the oddsmakers are banking on bettors and Lakers backers to support Los Angeles as 9.5-point favorites, with total of 195.5. No doubt the Lakers 8-0 (6-2 ATS) playoff record at Staples Center is impressive; nonetheless, the Celtics have won and covered all four meetings between these long-time rivals and the first two games before Jan. 1, seems like a moot point at present.

For Los Angeles to get back into series, defense is number one prerequisite. They can’t be so easily out of position and must button down gaping holes and not run out to open shooters, leaving chasms to basket. L.A. is 9-3-1 ATS after allowing 100 points or more. The bench must have more production, especially by Luke Walton, who has been a no-show thus far in the Finals. The Lakers keep falling into Boston’s preferred tempo, and need to make them play more uncomfortably. Send four players to defensive glass and have perimeter player on opposite side of where shot was taken, be a mid-court first pass option to force tempo. Finally, show gumption, the feeling in viewing the body language of L.A. is they are surprised Boston is as physically and mentally tougher than San Antonio.

The two teams combined to make 19 three-point shots in last encounter and with the Celtics 9-14 beyond the arc; they are 13-2 ATS after a game where they made 50 percent of their three-point shots or better this season. Doc Rivers will ask for same energy and 48 minutes to take commanding 3-0. If they maintain poise, they’ll just have to do what guitar legend Eric Clapton wrote about from his Cream of Clapton CD, the song - Blues Power, where the lyrics say, “Keep on, keep on, keep on keeping on.”

Winning Wagers Requires Knowing Numbers

When betting on sports, relying on instinct will dry up your money almost as fast as a trip to the gas pump. In order win at these games, you MUST know your numbers, because rest assure, those setting the lines certainly do. If winning is really the goal, (for many, it’s just the action) proper understanding must be used to protect and enhance bankroll.

Having to deal with the ups and downs of sports betting can be an emotional challenge. When anyone is on a hot streak, most every wager makes sense, the lines look soft and the cash finds you, even when you sometimes don’t deserve it and are more lucky than good. Other times, we have felt like we’d miss the water falling out of boat, not being able to pick a winner for prolonged period. In these situations, we often place undo stress on ourselves trying to chase wins, instead of putting the numbers in our favor.

In sports like baseball, the opportunity is their everyday to wager. Frequently, a bettor could have a 0-5 day and felt the immediate need to make good the very next day with 5-0 record. With very rare exception, does this ever occur and typically, a gambler that is pressing for a win comes up a loser. Instead, try a practical approach. If you start 0-5, think of it as the start of a week, no matter what the actual day of the week is. Don’t chase, work harder to be back over .500 for a seven day period and in the black over the next six days. This alleviates the pressure of having to win now, and by the end of your “week”, you could have 10-8 record and up just a little, meaning you really accomplished something in the last six days, regaining the confidence to keep moving forward. Using this thought process can help you stay out of slumps, biding time until the next hot streak comes.

Another example of knowing numbers is what separates the good bettors from the ones who make the money. Every casual baseball bettor should know, Florida has been one of the best Totals plays most of the year. The sharp bettor is more in tune to the situation and has been riding the Marlins on their 14-0-2 OVER streak. This is useful information that builds wagering accounts swiftly.

Understanding the situation is key also. Despite being up over +15 units on betting baseball this season, I committed a fundamental mistake I wanted to share. Philadelphia has been really swinging the bats, scoring lots of runs and playing a number of games Over the total. On June 2, Phils starter Kyle Kendrick, despite a descent win/loss record, has an ERA of almost five and was facing Cincinnati’s Bronson Arroyo, who has an earned run average in the 5.50 range. The Reds, though less consistent on offense, had been scoring runs at a good rate and considering their bullpen is below average, believed the play was Over 10.5. When I later saw the final score totaled just nine runs, I realized I had left one very important piece of the puzzle out of my decision, which I actually knew about. Philadelphia has the best bullpen in baseball and after Kendrick had pitched about as expected in allowing four runs in 5 1/3 innings, the Phillies pen slammed the door the last 3 2/3 and never permitted a run. Knowing the numbers matters.

Even though it’s not until next Sunday, keep this figure in mind. Home teams playing on Sunday’s are 104-48, a 68.4 winning percentage and even more profitable and astounding 57-17, 77 percent, since the first Sunday in May. Being prepared to do battle with the books can give you a huge edge, if you know your numbers.

Betting Sports - Monday, June 9, 3Daily Winners

We get an early start on this Monday, on a System play that is sizzling 87.5 percent in afternoon action. Unfortunately, Mariano Rivera blew another tie game in the 9th inning against Kansas City and this time his Yankee teammates couldn't bail him out. The Trend play favors the hottest team on the Totals side and our Free Selection comes from a member of the Left Coast Connection who is on 10-3 run in all sports. Good Luck.

System -1) PLAY ON home favorites like the Yankees with a money line of -175 to -250, averaging an error or less every other game on the season, against opponent starting a pitcher like the Royals Luke Hochevar, who walked five or more hitters’ in last outing. This system is phenomenal 21-3, 87.5 percent the last three seasons.

Trend – 2) Florida is 10-1 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (win percentage of 46 to 49 percent) this season.

FREE Selection -3) One of the fellas who prefers not to be known by identity, is on 10-3 run in all sports and suggests to play the Angels tonight.

Betting Sports - Sunday, June 8 at 3Daily Winners

Talked yesterday about going back to work and we certainly did with 3-0 record on Saturday. Our System play takes us right back to the South Side of Chicago with an 81.4 percent play. Another perfect Trend is available for your perusal and I’ll supply hopefully two FREE Winners, one on the diamond and one on the hardwood. Good Luck.

System -1) PLAY ON home favorites, like the White Sox with a money line of -110 or higher, who are swinging the bats to a batting average of .315 or better over their last five games, against opponent with a hot starting pitcher like Kevin Slowey (2-5, 0.952 WHIP), who has a WHIP 1.000 or less over his last three starts. This system has won 44 of last 54 times by an average of 2.1 runs per game.

Trend – 2) Tampa Bay is 10-0 against the money line after two straight games with two or more stolen bases since the beginning of 2007 season.

FREE Selection -3) Nailed down a Free Winner last night and go for three straight backing Boston in baseball and the Lakers in hoops.

Line Movement Underscores Oddsmakers Habits

It is seemingly more automatic than gas prices going up daily, if the home team wins Game One to start the series, the next contest; the visiting team catches fewer points. Boston went off in the opener as three-point home favorite and has opened as two-point favorites for Game Two. The logical conclusion is made the road loser will be fired up and potentially provide a more inspired effort. After watching first matchup, you have to wonder will the Lakers do so. (It's a cheap attention getting photo, I know.)

For vast expanses of the first three quarters, Los Angeles was the better team in this reporter’s eyes, playing more effortlessly and being able to score when needed and able to play at Boston pace (not sure why). The Celtics defense was fixated on Kobe Bryant, doubling him on the perimeter, leaving Paul Gasol to roam free for easy, yet somehow awkward dunks and layups.

After a fast start, Kevin Garnett would missed the Boston Harbor throwing crates of tea off the British ship, badly aiming nine misguided shots. Ray Allen played both young and old in various trips down the court. Paul Pierce, what can you say about Paul Pierce? His Lazarus-like comeback in the same quarter, in which he was so badly (?) injured, could only have been fed by one thing. The ghost of Red Auerbach was making Pierce drink that Vitamin water that has helped Shaq become a jockey and LeBron a winner in the court of law.

Though clearly within striking distance, after Pierce’s near death experience and astonishing revival, the Lakers played like they had a leaky heart valve in the fourth quarter. The Los Angeles squad that was 31-15-2 ATS on the road coming into the game, left backers wanting more. Kobe wasn’t Kobe in the fourth quarter, off kilter by Boston’s alert double teams. He forced shots, missed open ones and probably felt he was being guarded by a nine-foot tall picket fence. Though he was dismissive about his 17 missed shots, "Nah, I just missed some bunnies. I just missed some really, really good looks." It was evident the Celtics defense was a conundrum for the league’s MVP.

A poignant moment in the fourth quarter, with the Celtics up six points about three and change left on the clock, was a mad scramble for the ball on the Lakers end off a missed shot. Two Boston players went diving for the ball; Vlad Radmanovic bent over and REACHED for the orange sphere. In the game’s most critical juncture, the guys in the white uniforms wanted it more their purple-clad counterparts. This was also shone on the glass as the more brutish Celtics out-rebounded the Lakers by 13.

The C’s showed why they are 20-9 ATS versus quality teams, outscoring their opponents by three or more points a game this season. KG, despite shooting issues, was a tiger on defense and helped will his team to victory. When Rome, or in this case Boston was crumbling, Pierce showed by he has the ‘C’ on his uniform, as he led his team when they needed it most. The Celtics are now 8-2 ATS when facing a team with a winning road record.

Phil Jackson is a zen master; he’ll test Bryant’s manhood in some manner in the time before the last whistle Thursday and Sunday night’s tipoff. Jackson will devise plays to free up Kobe closer to the basket, challenge Gasol to understand this is the NBA Finals, not another nice showing like he used to have in Memphis. He’ll explain to Lamar Odom, he’s far more valuable on the floor, than sitting on the bench with foul trouble.

Bettors believe the Lakers are hardly in trouble off one loss and wagering outlets now have L.A. as one-point favorites with total at 190.5. Los Angeles is 17-7 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season and comprehends they can not go down 0-2 to the best defensive team in the league. Boston roughed up the Lakers a bit and it obvious they enjoyed it. What bettors have to beware of is the Celtics have not covered three in a row since beating Atlanta in Game 2 of the playoffs first round, with carry over from the regular season.

What team will have the bigger heart, the story unfolds Sunday night at 9 Eastern.

(Photo credit goes to GABRIEL BOUYS/AFP/Getty Images.)

3Daily Winners Betting News, Saturday June 7

Tough day yesterday, however like all smart bettors, you get up, dust yourself off and look to work harder, which is what will happen. Today we have a rock solid system on an American League contest, winning 78.3 percent of the time. Though it lost yesterday, we have another 100 percent Trend today. We’ll look to take the Free pick to 7-1 in last eight later today. Good Luck.

System -1) PLAY ON home teams like the White Sox with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), against opponent with a cold starting pitcher like Livan Hernandez, with a WHIP of 2.000 or higher over his last three starts. (8.31 ERA, 2.250 WHIP) This system is 36-10, 78.3 percent over the L5Y.
Trend – 2) Boston is 14-0 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more this season.

FREE Selection -3) Our thanks to Slick Rick for a great run, going 6-1 on Free picks and we’re certain he will be back. I’ll take a turn and take the Cardinals tonight.

3Daily Winners Wagering Plays, Friday June 6

Slick Rick is a man on a mission with SIX winning Free picks in a row here and building a huge bankroll for himself. He goes after lucky seven tonight. The System play is one of the best we’ve had this season, at 87.5 percent in over 50 games. Another perfect Trend play is also in order. Good Luck.

System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Baltimore with a money line of +150 or more, who struggles to score runs (4.2 or less runs a game) against a team with a very good bullpen like Toronto (ERA 3.33 or less), with the Orioles having a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season. This system is money, at 49-7, 87.5 percent.

Trend – 2) Seattle is 0-13 against the money line after two or more consecutive Overs this year.

FREE Selection -3) Slick Rick from the Left Coast Connection has provided us with SIX straight winners, all for FREE. Over the last 11 days he is +22.25 units, betting baseball smartly. His play tonight is on Florida.

3Daily Winners Betting Info, Thursday June 5

When a smart sports bettor is on a roll, it is a thing of beauty, which is exactly what Slick Rick is on. He’s making money like he has a printing press and already gave us the Cardinals today from last night’s rainout. He’s out for six straight tonight on FREE selections. As has happened since we started this feature, the System play bounced back off a loss and tonight has one going that is 19-2 the last five years. The Trend play goes for two in a row, looking towards the American League. Good Luck.

System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Texas, with a money line of +100 to +150, with a starting pitcher like Kevin Millwood (3-3, 1.593 WHIP), whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for six or more runs. (Allowed nine last night) Since 2004, this system is a special 19-2, 90.4 percent.

Trend – 2) The Texas Rangers are 15-3 OVER against AL Central opponents this season.

FREE Selection -3) Slick Rick from the LCC is really on a great run here at 3Daily Winners and emailed me early today that he was staying with St. Louis in Game 1 after rainout. As expected he was correct raising his record to 5-0 in MLB selections and he’s now a silly +20.25 units the last 10 days betting baseball. He’s suggesting Boston to sweep the Rays tonight, are you going to bet against him?

Betting Info for Game 1 NBA Finals

If David Stern and the rest of the NBA minions are smiling ear to ear, hard to blame them, as they couldn’t have drawn up a more perfect match for the NBA Finals. We have enough NBA championship banners hung in the rafters to curtail the affects of global warming in this country (includes those from George Mikan era). For nostalgia buffs, names like Bill Russell, John Havlicek, Wilt Chamberlain, Jerry West and Elgin Baylor have been mentioned, along with Larry Bird, Kevin McHale, Magic Johnson and Kareem Abdul-Jabbar. This matchup brings back memories of the old, to go along with making new memories from the present.

Among the fascinating aspects of these Finals, is offense vs defense confrontation. The Boston Celtics were considered the best defensive team in the NBA this season, though Detroit ended up allowing the fewest points by .02. (90.1 vs 90.3) Boston was by far the best defensive team in the NBA according to John Hollinger of ESPN, using defensive efficiency ratings. In fact, according to his rating system, the Celtics are the third best defensive team in the last 35 years, which is how far back all the numbers relating to system go.

This style of basketball would never fly in Los Angeles on the professional level. It works fine at college campus’ like UCLA and USC, however this is Tinsel-Town and the patrons are expecting to be entertained. The Lakers finished fourth in the league in scoring at 108.6 points a game and was the only one among the four that paid homage to defense. Pau Gasol became the missing piece to a surprisingly potent L.A. team. In the 41 games of the Gasol era, the Lakers have been the best team in offensive efficiency in the NBA, which is quite remarkable considering 16 of those games have coming during more defensive-minded playoff basketball.

Another intriguing aspect of the Finals, is the lightly-regarded point differential of the regular season. In the last six years, the team that finished with either the first or second largest scoring margin has gone on to win the title four times. This season, Boston was first at +10.3 points and Los Angeles was third at +7.3 points.
Boston is 7-2 ATS against teams with winning road records (31-17, 31-15-2 ATS on the year) and will have to decide how to guard Kobe Bryant in the opener. In the prior two meetings, they didn’t go anything radical, seldom using double teams and changed on all screens. What they did do is go underneath on screens, trying to do two things. Take away driving lanes for Bryant to go to the basket for fouls and make him a jump shooter. Kobe piles up points methodically when he starts marching to the line. This is what the C’s want to prevent and it has worked, since they are 12-3 ATS in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams, making 76 percent of their attempts since the 42-game mark of the season. Bryant, however, can drain jumpers at an alarming rate when in the groove. Boston will have to take that chance early at home.

Questions emerge about Gasol being in the spotlight, especially with the physical frontcourt players the Celtics possess. Kendrick Perkins confidence has grown with each Boston win, yet is Rajon Rando ready for primetime against Derek Fisher and his bling of three championship rings. Rando has severe quickness edge over Fisher and Phil Jackson will not hesitate to bring Jordan Farmar off the bench to match quicks. The Lakers are 8-3-1 ATS on the road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
In seven games series, a third scorer is frequently a difference-maker along with bench play. Will Ray Allen continue improved shooting or does chasing Kobe leave him with dead legs? Will Lamar Odom be focused enough quarter to quarter and not disappear for long stretches trying to find his place in the offense?

Most sportsbooks have Boston as a 2.5-point home favorite with Total of 192. L.A. is 15-7 ATS as a road underdog this year, the Celtics 29-20 against the spread as home favorite. Though these are vastly different teams from the past, seven of last 11 contests have gone Over in downtown Boston.

Checked with a number experts and the side and the total seems to be divided pretty evenly. I'll pass tonight and look towards Game 2 for wagering opportunity. I did take the Lakers at -190 to win the series.

3Daily Winners Betting Info, Hump Day, June 4

Slick Rick is putting smiles and money into the pockets of 3DW readers and is confident he can make it 5-0 tonight on his Free pick. The System has a rare loser yesterday and visits the Total, in the City of Brotherly Love. Today’s top Trend has a perfect record in 2008. Good Luck.

System -1) PLAY UNDER any good offensive team like Philadelphia, against a good starting like the Reds Edinson Volquez (7-1, 1.46 ERA), who has an ERA under 3.70 in the NL, when the other teams pitcher, Brett Meyers (3-6, 1.582 WHIP) in this case, owns a WHIP between 1.550 to 1.650 on the season in the senior circuit. This respectable system is 36-9, 80 percent the last five years.

Trend – 2) Boston Red Sox are 13-0 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more this season.

FREE Selection -3) Slick Rick from the LCC is really on a great run here at 3Daily Winners with 4-0 record on his Free selections and he’s personally up outrageous +17.95 units the last nine days betting baseball. Tonight he’s on St. Louis, seeking another winner.

Good Luck figuring out 2008 Atlanta Braves

The Atlanta Braves bring to mind Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde or maybe Sally Fields Emmy-winning TV-movie “Sybil” (1976), about a woman with multiple personalities. Whatever it is, Atlanta is either the easiest baseball wager of all-time or the most confounding team in years. We’ll start with the basics; Atlanta is 30-28, tied with the Mets for third place in the NL East, having lost -3.5 units of profit for backers. The Braves have a +51 run differential, which is extreme, considering National League teams with similar aren’t even close. The Mets are +2, Houston -12, and Milwaukee is -13.

On to the crazy stuff. Atlanta is 23-7 at Turner Field this season, second best in NL, gathering +13.6 units, when wagered upon. They score 5.6 runs a game at home, which trails only the Cubs and Philadelphia as homies. They hit a robust .307 when wearing the white uniforms and outscore the opposition by 1.9 runs per game. The Braves are a rock solid 14-4 at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.
Contrast this with the same exact players that go on the road, with - Atlanta -stitched across their chest. After another lugubrious road trip that saw them post a 1-5 mark, Atlanta is league worst 7-21, burying those who might think they can turn it around, at revolting -17.1 units in just 28 games. "It's mind-boggling," Braves pitcher Tim Hudson said Sunday. "How good we can play at home, and how putrid we've been on the road."

Tom Glavine returned to the place of his greatest triumphs and has seen it all in his career and is adding another chapter. “It just seems like whatever can go wrong on the road has," Glavine said. "I've never been on a team like this -- money at home, and can't do anything on the road.” The veteran left-hander went on to say, “You have to figure that at some point we're going to start cooling off at home. But we'd better not, until we figure out how to win on the road."

In the numerical sense here is what Glavine understands. Philadelphia is on pace to win 92 games in the NL East. If the Braves were to play one game over .500 the rest of the year on the road (27-26), this would mean they would have to win 37 of last 55 home games, just to tie the Phillies. Granted, that would be below current home winning percentage, truth is nobody can reasonably expect to go 58-23 at home.

What is the problem for the Bravos on the road? Ranking 27th at 3.7 RPG on the road doesn’t help. After losing four one-run games on recent road excursion, manager Bobby Cox had a positive spin, "we've got a good club, because you're (we’re) right in everything." True enough, but another black cloud is hanging over this franchise. Atlanta has tied the Pittsburgh Pirates (1985 to 1986) for the most consecutive one run road losses at 20, dating back to August 10 of last season. The all-time record is within reach, with Kansas City at 21, covering the close of 2000 campaign, before ending in 2001. For the entire year, the Braves are 2-16 in games decided by a single run. The bullpen, in spite of Top 10 earned run average in baseball, is 0-8 in win/loss situations on the road, proving they are making the one critical mistake when team can least afford to do so.

Chipper Jones has said he felt the number of young players on the roster has contributed to strange anomaly, yet last year with essentially the same roster, they were 44-37 at “the Ted” and 40-41 as the visitor. Other quirky stats also make this situation hard to figure. Though the Atlanta hitters have scored far more runs at home than away, they strikeout more often at home (H 13th – R 5th). The Braves have shown more plate discipline as visitors, having the third most walks of any road team, compared to ninth versus other home squads. Though this statistic has proven not to as important as the radio and TV folks report, Cox’s club leaves the second most runners on base in home ballparks and is 18th on the road leaving runners on the base paths.

What can one conclude from the befuddling Braves? As opposed to football or basketball wagering, which frequently have the “due” factor, when it comes to betting baseball, ride the tide. Atlanta has a seven-game homestand against two of the teams ahead of them in the NL East, Florida and Philadelphia, suggesting keep playing on them in Hotlanta. When they go back on the road next Tuesday, to face the Cubs, back the home team decidedly.

3Daily Winners Betting Info, Tuesday June 3

Props to Slick Rick who has given out three Winners in a row here at 3Daily Winners and looks for #4 in the American League, Yawn, yawn, yawn, just another winning play from our MLB System yesterday. Tonight we have an 80 percent winner to pound. Good Luck.

System -1) PLAY ON home favorites like Minnesota with a money line of -125 to -175, with a starting pitcher like Kevin Slowey, who gives up one or more HR's a start (6 in 6), after two straight games where the bullpen gave up no runs. This stunning system is 56-14, 80 percent the last five years and 3-1 in 2008.

Trend – 2) Colorado is 6-21 against the money line against NL West opponents in 2008.

FREE Selection -3) Slick Rick from the Left Coast Connection looks to make it three days in a row (3-0 at 3DW) with Winners, he’s personally up +14.95 units the eight days. Tonight he’s on Toronto, with Halladay as posted starter.

3 Daily Winners Betting Info, Monday June 2

A perfect 4-0 Sunday for followers here at 3Daily Winners. We’ll settle for 3-0 today, following are amazing Systems, which have an underdog in a 78.8 percent winning situation. The Trend suggests the hockey season could be coming to a close and our hot bettor from the LCC has his Top Play of the Day for FREE. Good Luck.

System -1) PLAY ON home teams like San Francisco, when the money line is +125 to -125; with a starting pitcher like Jonathan Sanchez (3-3, 4.26) whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), against opponent with a starting pitcher like Oliver Perez (4-3, 4.83), who gives up 5.5 or less hits a start. In this case, Perez’s numbers are deceiving, as he averages less than six innings a start. This winning system is 41-11, 78.8 percent the last three years, including 4-0 in 2008.

Trend – 2) The Detroit Red Wings are 15-2 in last 17 Stanley Cup finals.

FREE Selection -3) Slick Rick from the Left Coast Connection is on a hot streak in MLB action, up +13.35 units the last week. He provided two winners yesterday and is on the Brewers with Jeff Suppan this evening.

Monday MLB Betting - Trends as your Friends

Whether it’s been a good or bad week for those betting on baseball, the beauty of the sport is it will start its 10th week of the season, meaning we’ve gone through a great deal already, with a whole lot more to go. As the week begins anew, here are a number of hot betting trends that will be less controversial than Rachael Ray wearing a scarf pushing Dunkin’ Donuts ice coffee.

The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim are in first place in the AL West, despite having a team batting average of only .255, which is ninth in the junior circuit. They are thankful not to be their opponent, Seattle, tonight in the series opener between these division rivals who were supposed to be duking it out. The Mariners are the worst wager in the American League at 21-36, -18.1 units. They are 9-25 (-18.4 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season, losing by two runs a game.

The defending World Series champion Boston Red Sox have had their problems on the road this season at 14-19 and have lost -7.5 units. After starting 10-game road trip on the West Coast with 1-5 record, the Red Sox returned east and went a place where they have often felt welcomed and enjoyed success. Boston completes a four-game series in Baltimore, having taken the first three at Camdem Yards, moving record to 16-7 at the Orioles ball park. Boston is 24-6 when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

This just in, the Colorado Rockies smell worse than a week old opened can of Coors Light at 20-37 (-18.8 units). The Rockies own the worst record in the majors; have the most negative run differential in baseball at -74 and are otiose 8-23 on the road. Without Troy Tulowitzki, Matt Holliday or Brad Hawpe, punch-less Colorado’s current 0-7 road trip continues in Los Angeles, being 6-23 vs. a good bullpen like the Dodgers, whose ERA is 3.75 or better in 2008.

If there is one team glad to be home today, it is the Atlanta Braves. The team has been one of the biggest mysteries in baseball this year, given their home/road dichotomy. After another sickly road trip that saw Atlanta go 1-5, they return to Turner Field to open up a seven game homestand against Florida and Philadelphia, who are both ahead of them in the NL East. The Braves confidence is boosted being 21-7 at home, winning by two runs a game.

The Chicago Cubs are starting to frighten fans of the lovable losers. With 100 years of failure in the books, the Cubs owned the best record in the major leagues on June 1, the last time that happened, 1908, which happens to be the year of last World Series championship season. Off a perfect 7-0 homestand, Chicago heads to the left coast to play San Diego and are 16-2 after four or more consecutive home games this season. The lovable Cubs are -165 money line favorites to open series and have won these games by better than three runs.

Sunday June 1, Three Daily Winners Betting Info

After our System play produced a comfortable 4-0 winner with Arizona yesterday, the numbers suggest to ride them again today, for far different reasons. Another extra inning loss on the Trend side suggests a little luck is needed more than anything and one of the best AL home teams is up today. The Free plays honestly have not been stellar of late, thus we turn Slick Rick to provide readers a couple of winners. Good Luck.

System -1) PLAY ON home favorites like Arizona with a money line of -175 to -250, who are a solid fielding team, averaging less than a error every other game on the season, against opponent starting a pitcher like Shawn Hill, who walked five or more hitters last outing. This system is an amazing 42-6, 87.5 percent the last 11 seasons, winning by an average of 3.2 runs per game.

Trend – 2) Tampa Bay has second best records in the American League for home record (23-10) and units won (+12) and has won 19 of last 22 at “The Trop” in Tampa.

FREE Selection -3) Slick Rick from the Left Coast Connection is on a hot streak in MLB action, up +9.95 units the last six days and is backing the Giants and the Mets today.

Saturday May 31, Three Daily Winners Betting Info

Went into extra innings to lose two of yesterday’s plays and the Toronto hot bats punished a bad Angels bullpen. Today’s System is a powerful 38-5, the Trend supports an 80.9 winning record and our newest introduction of Kendall, has him backing an American League club. Good Luck.

System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Washington with a money line of +150 or more, versus a starting pitcher like Brandon Webb (9-2, 1.098 WHIP) whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, with a hot starting pitcher like Jason Bergmann, whose ERA is less than 2.50 (0.00) over his last three starts. The rational for this system is oddsmakers have little faith that a pitcher like Bergmann can keep pitching this well and a top notch hurler like Webb will win. This system is 38-5, 88.4 percent the L5Y.

Trend – 2) Toronto is 17-4 against the money line with a hot bullpen who’s WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games this season.

FREE Selection -3) Kendall from the LCC is on 11-3 run in all sports and is taking Cleveland to keep Kansas City’s losing streak intact.

Friday May 30, Three Daily Winners Wagering Tips

As promised here at 3Daily Winners, we got right back on board with two winners and a fortunate push on the Lakers. Today we have a 15-3 System play on an underdog, offering excellent value. Our Trend selection is on another underdog, based on road team being favored with meager record. The FREE play is a consensus play from the LCC. Good Luck.

System -1) PLAY ON road underdogs like the White Sox with a money line of +100 or higher, with a starting pitcher, (J. Contreras 5-3, 1.049) whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL, and has pitched even better, with a WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games. In the past five years, this dog has delivered 15 winners in 18 games, 83.3 percent.

Trend – 2) Boston is 2-11 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or fewer runners on base per game this season.

FREE Selection -3) The consensus of players in the Left Coast Connection favors the Halos to beat Toronto.

Celtics and Pistons showing their age

If anyone wagered on Boston to win the Eastern Finals, chances are the feeling is becoming increasing more comfortable, given the fact Boston is 29-0 all-time in the playoffs when leading 3-2 in a series. While bettors under 30 years old will scream, they don’t care about Larry Bird, Kevin McHale, Bill Russell or Red Auerbach, the guys that built this streak, facts are facts and have yet to see anyone in the last three decades or so that has an A.D. after their name that wasn’t associated with a job.

In watching this series, you can’t help but notice the window of opportunity is probably closing for both teams after this season, if they don’t produce a NBA championship. General Manager Danny Ainge was looking very much like a man needing a new job after falling to fifth in the NBA draft, from top spot last season, being more immediately crestfallen than a 16-year old being told they could not take the family car by them selves after receiving drivers’ license the same day. After dusting himself off, Ainge and coach Doc Rivers, put together a plan which saw them acquire Kevin Garnett and Ray Allen, to go along with Paul Pierce and quicker than a cheesy magician can yell “Presto!” Boston was rebuilt. They went on to have the best regular season record in the league at 66-16, with 54-28 ATS record.

A review of the Big Three shows Garnett and Allen at 32 years old and Pierce coming in at 30. The grind of the postseason is tough on any player, but each of these players has shown the affects of a long season in the playoffs, far more often than one might expect and each will have a short turnaround leading to next season. This places additional urgency on each player, since they understand why they were brought together in the first place. The Big Three, along with Kendrick Perkins enabled the C’s to win Game Five. The three elder statesmen were 7 for 10 beyond the arc and Boston was 8 for 15 overall, leading Boston backers to really like the Celtics, who are 12-2 ATS after a game where they made 50 percent of their three-point shots or better this season.

In spite of a noble fourth quarter comeback, Detroit has not played with the passion associated with championship teams. A perusal of the Pistons roster shows Rasheed Wallace and Antono McDyess will both be 34 before the start of next season, Chauncey Billups will be 32 and Richard Hamilton is 30 years old. The youngest core player is Tayshaun Prince at 28. That is not to say Detroit or Boston is going to age years overnight, yet when players of this basketball life span have a hard time getting up for playoff games, what will the regular season for next year bring as far as emotions?

The Pistons return to The Palace, 14-5 ATS off a road loss this season, also knowing Boston is 0-7 ATS on the road when leading in a playoff series the last six weeks. All the key members of the Detroit roster disappeared for significant lengths of time in last outing, if this happens again, they’ll be leaving the locker room as well, headed for unwanted summer vacation.

Detroit 5.5-point home favorite at most reporting wagering outlets with Total having risen to 175. The Pistons have covered 14 of last 19 home games and will face a Boston outfit that is 2-8 against the spread in last 10. The Celtics have managed to crank up the effort after teams have broke the century mark against them, with 40-13 ATS record.

In Game Six on ESPN, Detroit tries to continue the dream, while Boston pushes to advance. The tip will be after 8:35 Eastern, with the road team up to 10-3 ATS when these two veteran teams collide.

Lakers Finish off San Antonio

Even though the Los Angeles Lakers won’t be singing Willie Nelson’s, “Turn out the lights the party’s over” song, they will be trying to turn out the dim hopes of San Antonio Spurs for this season. Much like somebody trying to get a drink after last call, the Spurs Brent Barry’s last ditch effort, came up empty. It’s back to La-La Land, where the stars will be brighter than ever, looking to bask in the glow of the Lakers advancing to the NBA Finals.

It was unbelievable to watch Brent Barry get fouled on the game’s last play, (he did) and San Antonio not make a huge stink about it. The Spurs players were maybe too stunned to react and coach Greg Popovich’s infamous stare would zero impact. The fact remains, San Antonio had no business stealing that game, since they did little over the course of 48 minutes to do so.

After a brilliant Game 3, Manu Ginobili played like he just saw the premiere episode of Denise Richards reality TV-show, “It’s Complicated”. The Lakers defenders did a significantly better job of making the Argentinean go to his right and he was held to just seven points, which affected his defense also.

Though constantly double-teamed from different angles, Duncan scored 29 and grabbed 17 boards, yet he’ll be haunted by missing more one-foot shots (7) than a 10-year old at basketball camp. This situation does not set up well for San Antonio, with 24-25 record this season on the road, with only 18 covers.

What has changed from last year to this season for the Spurs to be in this predicament? Start with being one year older across the board. San Antonio knew they could beat weak-minded Phoenix, owned more experience than New Orleans, but the Lakers are different. They are long to clog up the middle; they have fresher and younger legs and have the only coach that can truly match wits with Popovich in Phil Jackson. The last point might be the most important, as teams or players age, they lack the ability to take it to the rim and finish. San Antonio’s best three players in the paint are Duncan, Ginobili and Tony Parker, the latter two being guards. The rest of the roster is essentially jump-shooters, leaving the team at the mercy of how they shoot. When L.A. has clogged the paint to stop everyone but Mr. Fundamental, they’ve won.

The Lakers are 7-0 (5-2 ATS) at the Staples Center in the postseason and are the last team still playing not to lose on the home hardwood. Los Angeles is up to 10-2-1 ATS after a straight up win and coach Jackson has again adroitly used his roster to the team’s advantage. He knows his club has a speed and quickness edge in this series. Jackson makes great adjustments, but more importantly, he knows almost immediately what he will receive from his bench players. Vlade Radmanovic has played exceptional at times; Sasha Vujacic has played extended minutes when he shoots well and Jordan Farmar has been defensive dynamo in short spurts. Though his minutes will vary greatly depending on opposition, Luke Walton was a big contributor off the pine in Game 4.

The Lakers opened as 7.5-point favorites at most wagering outlets and were quickly bet up to eight, with bettors smelling the blood in the water. It would be foolish beyond comprehension to believe San Antonio will just show up and play like the Memphis Grizzlies. This team and whole organization is too proud and has the heart of a champion and is 14-5 against the spread in Conference Finals for a reason. They will have to be contrarian to what they have been all season, with 2-10 ATS mark in road games after playing two consecutive home games this season.

All four games in this series have gone Under to total and linemakers have established Game 5 at 193.5. Los Angeles is 8-2 UNDER after a win and San Antonio has played UNDER in last six games with a day’s rest.

My intial thought was L.A. motors past the Spurs. Don't like the trend that shows the Lakers are 9-23 ATS in home games off a road win by three points or less, with winning margin 3.6 points. Plus the aforementioned San Antonio pride. Lakers on the money line makes the most sense.

Thursday May 29, Three Daily Winners Wagering Info

Had rare losing day at 3Daily Winners and we’ll try to get on track immediately. The System play needed a total Royals ninth inning meltdown to falter, we’ll bring in an unreal situation that has a 94.1 percent record. The Trend play is in the NBA this evening, while I’ll try to stay en fuego with the balls and bats. Good Luck.

System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Colorado with a money line of +125 to +175, a below average NL hitting team (.255 or less BA) against a team with a good bullpen like the Cubs (3.75 or less ERA), with a starting pitcher like Jeff Francis (1-5, 6.19) whose ERA is 5.70 or worse on the season (NL). This fascinating system is 16-1 since 2004.

Trend – 2) The Lakers are 10-2-1 ATS after a straight up victory.

FREE Selection -3) Thanks to Frank, for providing us and you readers with a number of NBA Winners. I’ll take a stab at the MLB board, thanks to a few quality days, as seen at FSM and back the White Sox.

Hump Day May 28, Three Daily Winners Betting Info

Frank from the Left Coast Connection can’t be stopped in the NBA Playoffs, providing 3Daily Winners FOUR FREE WINNERS in a row. He has another going tonight, with Detroit and Boston contest. The System plays are nearly as good, with 14-2 amazing run. Another outstanding system is loaded for today. Good luck.

System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Minnesota with a money line of +125 to +175, after a win by two runs or less against opponent after scoring four runs or less five straight games. Take Kansas City with Zack Greinke to end the Royals nine game slide, with system that is 14-3, 82.3 percent the last three seasons.

Trend – 2) The D-Backs are 22-4against the money line revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last two seasons.

FREE Selection -3) Frank from the Left Coast Connection has hit seven straight NBA plays, including four in a row right here. Though he doesn’t like the side, he’s taking the UNDER in the first half, with a system he believes in, that has hit 93.7 percent in this situation. Hard to doubt him with as hot as he is.

Baseball Bettor’s Silent Killer

Have you noticed what’s been going on in major league baseball this season? Nobody knows if it will last or if it will just end up being one of those years, but whatever it is, either the “sharp” bettor is going down hard or the so-called “square” is enjoying great success. What are we talking about, the baseball road kill epidemic.

A look at the May 27 standings has road teams winning just a notch over 43 percent of the time, a very low figure. As of today, only five teams in the big leagues have a winning record.

Florida 12-8
L.A. Angels 16-11
Chicago W.S. 15-13
Philadelphia 15-13
St. Louis 13-12

That’s it, only a handful of teams have shown the capacity to win on the road, with just four others managing a small profit for bettors. In all, road teams have lost -80.8 units and if you add up the all the teams with losing road marks, they are -116.1 units.

Typically, smart bettors prefer underdogs, because of the value of the money line, making actual wins and losses less important. Long time handicapper Tony Stoffo has often been published about winning large sums of money betting baseball, despite a losing record. Seeing a high percentage of road teams are underdogs, to date this has been a costly way to wager on baseball.

Baseball road chase systems have taken a beating also, as the frequency of road teams being swept has been inordinately high. In all, 43 times visitors have been swept in a series with a minimum of three games, 23 in the American League and 20 in the National League. How important are these number to baseball bettors?
In the last three seasons, here is the winning percentage of home teams during the regular season.

2007 – 54.2 percent
2006 – 54.6 percent
2005 - 53.7 percent

If you extrapolate the current winning percent of 56.9 against the three-year average of 54.2 percent, this would be 75 more wins for the home teams over the course of an 81-game home schedule, a minimum +75 units of profit, a huge figure.
What has happened to have road teams perform so poorly? Major League baseball has seen a NFL-like change in the records of teams that made the playoffs from last season. The World Series champion Red Sox, are a downtrodden 11-17, dropping 7.7 units. San Diego has been dreadful all season, more so on the road at 8-19, -11.0 units. Colorado, who’s late season rush took them to the World Series, 8-17, -7.7 units on the road. Plus, Cleveland at 8-13 and the Cubs at 10-13, have combined to lose -10.2 units.

In addition, Detroit was supposed to be strong contender in the American League and they are 9-16 on the road, while the New York Mets, who won 47 games in the traveling grays in 2007, have started 11-16.

This is followed up with several hard to explain home/road dichotomies by major league teams.

Boston with their poor road record, is a baseball best 21-5 at Fenway Park. Atlanta may be 6-16 on the road, but is impressive 21-7 at Turner Field. Last season’s playoff combatants Arizona and the Cubs are below .500 on the road, nonetheless, love the home cookin’ with 19-8 and 20-8 records in respective home ballparks. Baltimore is 10-18 on the road, yet is .500 for the season, thanks to 15-7 mark at home. Even Tampa Bay has joined in, with incredible 20-8 (+11.5 units) record at Tropicana Field, including 14-4 versus AL East opponents, leading to being in first place in their division.

Don’t think for a second oddsmakers haven’t noticed. Your typical money line home favorite of the past, fit into -120 to -125 home favorite spot. With what has occurred thus far, -130 to -135 is a more fair number, before considering pitching matchups.

The bottom line to home teams winning this season is not unlike what happened to the New England Patriots in football last year. If you want to back baseball’s home teams, you are going to pay the price. This does add value to playing road teams, however if the bettor can not isolate which road teams will win, a loss is still a loss.

No question, this bares watching and following intently for serious baseball bettors.

Tuesday May 27, Three Daily Winners Betting Info

Frank from the Left Coast Connection is on a hot NBA run, having hit six in a row. He has another Free selection listed below. The System plays are now incredible 13-2 and have an American League contest that could be very solid. It took an extremely rare bad day by Brandon Webb to end a nice streak on the trend plays, which are still 6-3 of late. Good luck.

System -1) PLAY ON home favorites like the Angels with a money line of -110 or higher, averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game on the season, after scoring four runs or less five straight games. The premises is the home favorite is due to bust loose offensively and is 33-9, 78.5 percent the last three years, including 12-3 in 2008.

Trend – 2) The Red Sox despite poor road record thus far in 2008, just murder bad teams and are 22-4 facing clubs with losing records.

FREE Selection -3) Frank from the Left Coast Connection has been killing it in the NBA playoffs and will for seventh straight win and third in a row at 3Daily Winners by taking the Lakers and the points.

Memorial Day, Three Daily Winners Wagering Info

It took a foolish Cleveland extra inning error to possibly keep the System plays alive for another winner. Like all intelligent bettors, you understand what a 12-2 record over the last two weeks mean. The Trend plays are on 6-2 run and we’ll look for two in a row for Free picks today. Have a GREAT Memorial Day and Good luck.

System -1) PLAY ON All favorites like Tampa Bay, with a money line of -175 to -250, who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game on the season. This system is remarkable 50-5, 90.9 percent since the beginning of 2004.

Trend – 2) These are two top trends relating to same game. Arizona is 13-1 UNDER in road games after a win by six runs or more over the last three seasons and Atlanta is 13-1 UNDER after one or more consecutive Overs this year.

FREE Selection -3) Frank from the LCC has been smokin’ in the NBA Playoffs. Yesterday he had San Antonio for his sixth straight easy winner and believes Detroit Pistons will be the same tonight.

Sunday May 25, Three Daily Winners

Would have had a perfect day at 3DailyWinners yesterday, except for Kerry Wood of the Cubs blowing another save. The value of System plays is exhibited by almost perfect record with a 12-1 record. The Trend plays have hit five of last seven, making them valuable as well. Good luck.

System -1) PLAY ON home favorites like Cleveland with a money line of -175 to -250, with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing two runs or less. Over the last five years, this system is a piping hot 56-9, 86.2 percent.
Trend – 2) Seattle is 0-11 against the money line after two or more consecutive Overs this season.
FREE Selection -3) Frank from the LCC, has hit the correct side in NBA Playoffs five times in a row and has San Antonio in a big play.

Saturday May 24, Three Daily Winners

System plays are now up to 11-1 winning day’s record after yesterday. Today’s selection will take more intestinal fortitude, however hard to argue with results. The Mets bullpen prevented a winner on the Trend aspect, giving up run in the bottom of the ninth and losing in extra innings. Let’s see if another streak can be started. Good luck.

System -1) This may take a little courage considering the circumstances. PLAY ON home favorites like Cleveland with a money line of -175 to -250, stranding 6.9 or less runners on base per game on the season, in May games. This system is wallet stuffing 44-4, 91.7 percent the last five seasons.

Trend – 2) Atlanta is 9-0 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

FREE Selection -3) Nobody from the Left Coast Connection is burning it right now, thus I’ll give my favorite play of the day, which is on the Chicago Cubs.

For Boston, Character Check

Since Boston lost Game Four at Cleveland, to tie that series at 2-2, those wagering and writing about NBA basketball, started to wonder what the Celtics would do if they lost a home game in the playoffs. After a sixth straight defeat two games later and Boston dropping last outing, we will now look for the players have to be asking themselves. As of right now, over 70 percent of those betting are taking Detroit on the money line to win Game Three.

When asked about being down in a series for the first time, Ray Allen responded, “I’m excited about it,” offered Allen. “We just put ourselves in a position where we’ve put our backs up against the wall.” Those words may be true, but they ring more hallow then yelling at the top of your lungs in a deserted part of the Grand Canyon. Most sportsbooks have Boston as five-point underdogs, with total at 175 and those in the know are very weary of backing a club that has yet to cover six in a row in their green uniforms.

What was so apparent in Game two, were the same characteristics the Celtics had shown only on the road. When Detroit showed a more aggressive approach and was not going to bend, Boston cried “uncle” and did not rejoin like a team that won the most games during the regular season. What was especially disheartening, for a team that is 1-4 ATS after not covering, is the Big Three, Kevin Garnett, Ray Allen and Paul Pierce, all scored in the between 24-26 points and they still lost. That means the other eight players in the game scored 22 points in 124 minutes of combined action. Collectively they were 6-21 from the field. What the last game proved is six players, hustling with intensity, can beat three on the road.

Detroit comes home feeling shrived of opening contest and looking to improve on 39-8 and 30-17 ATS record at the Palace of Auburn Hills. The Pistons are San Antonio-light, without Tim Duncan. You may have more talent than them, but put Detroit in a corner, you better have soaked you face in saltwater, because they are going to dish out punishment. The Pistons will come in 5-1 ATS as playoff favorites.

What does Boston need to do to recapture series advantage, the following. Take the orange round sphere and take it as close as you can to the orange round cylinder that is 10 feet up from the ground. Kevin Garnett, despite scoring, is playing like he is trying to set the Guinness Book of Records for most seven-foot shots taken by a player seven feet tall. He and his teammates need to take it to rim, draw fouls and be more assertive. The Celtics were painfully slow in jumping out on pick and pops, leaving the Pistons with far too many looks. For those of us that wondered if Rajon Rondo was a capable enough point guard to lead his team to NBA championship, the answer is – it depends. When Rondo plays within his limitations, while still be productive, Boston is fine. When he starts making high risk-low reward plays on both sides of the court, he’s a negative. If Rondo plays like the latter, the Celtics fall 2-10 ATS as an underdog.

Detroit has to continue what they just did in last encounter. On offense, run motion offense, with Rip Hamilton a whirling dervish, coming off screens for great looks or in position to create easy hoops for teammates. Don’t rely on isolation plays; Boston is too good defensively, which will curtail offensive output. Let Boston have all the post-up plays they want, they have not shown the ability to take advantage of Pistons double teams and their pass have easily been defendable with simple rotations. At home, get into the Celtics psyche early, based on postseason road efforts, they are mentally vulnerable. Detroit hits the floor fresh with a day off, posting 30-12 ATS mark.

The most enthralling element of Game Three is heart. Does Boston overcome increasingly larger demons to play with desire and intelligence to regain control of the East Finals or does Detroit take step two and show killer instinct that makes other teams cower? The answer will play out on ABC starting at 8:30 Eastern.

Betting NHL Stanley Cup Finals

As frequently inept as the National Hockey League has been run, the suits have to be busting their buttons having this matchup. Detroit and Pittsburgh proved to be the two best hockey teams, each playing in U.S. markets, with recognizable stars. To make this all the more compelling, each is playing at the top of their game, leading anyone to believe this could be a special Stanley Cup Final. For the third year in a row, the finalists did not meet during the regular season, further enhancing the drama, because of the unknown. With NBC in reruns, this will be the best television viewing on the Peacock Network starting Saturday night.

Detroit Red Wings

The Detroit Red Wings are trying for fourth Stanley Cup since 1997 and the have the weapons to complete the task. Detroit had the best record during the regular season, earning home ice advantage, making this among the reasons why they are a -165 favorite to drink from Lord Stanley’s Cup. For the most part, the Red Wings controlled the action in the Western Conference playoffs, registering 12-4 record, with a couple of wobbles against Nashville and Dallas.

Detroit is led by Nicklas Lidstrom, whose resume is heading towards being one of the best defensemen ever in the NHL. Offensive stalwarts like Henrik Zetterburg, Pavel Datsyuk and Tomas Holmstrom make the Red Wings difficult to contain in their own end. One key individual that has been and could be missing is Johan “The Mule” Franzen, who did not play against Dallas with concussion-like symptoms and has not been cleared yet by doctors to play. Detroit’s offense has sputtered for periods without him, as Franzen is still their leading scorer even missing a complete series.

Goalie Chris Osgood took over for a shaky Dominik Hasek in round one and has been airtight in posting 10-2 record. Osgood has benefited from superior defensive play in front of him, facing less than 22 shots a game in the postseason, but has been right when called upon.

Pittsburgh Penguins

The thought of the Pittsburgh franchise being dismantled, moved or whatever the NHL was thinking about, is nothing but a distant memory for a team that might be making several more visits to playing hockey in late May. This is the Penguins first trip back to the Finals since 1992, as they were about to complete back-to-back Cup wins with the great Mario Lemieux, who is now part of the team’s ownership group. Just like those Pittsburgh teams that were offensive-minded and had young stars like Lemieux and Jaromir Jagr, the current collection has two of the brightest stars in the game in Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin.

These two have been the driving force, creating physical and mental pressure on defenses, with two scoring lines that are nearly equal, lending to Pittsburgh’s 12-2 postseason mark. To make matter worse for opponents, the third line led by Jordan Staal was virtually unstoppable against Philadelphia, as he scored four goals.

The weak links of the Penguins for several years has been the blue line and goaltending. The race of the cup has proved to be just the opposite. Netminder Marc-Andre Fleury has a 1.70 GAA and .938 save percentage after three rounds, the best in postseason. Defensemen Sergei Gonchar and Brooks Orpik will likely draw the assignment of containing Detroit’s big line and have met every challenge to date. Most of the other Pittsburgh defensemen are talented, yet inexperienced, especially playing on this stage. Fleury and the Pens defense have often been able to play with a lead.

Stanley Cup Prediction

The way to keep Pittsburgh from scoring is play keep away with the puck and Detroit is arguably the best in hockey in doing so. These young talented Pittsburgh skaters have flat out been more talented than the teams they have faced; this will not be the case in the Finals, facing a squad that also has a wealth of experience. Pittsburgh is 25-22 on the road this season and just 5-6 in last 11 in the visitor’s uniforms, taking on Detroit at “The Joe”, where the Red Wings are 36-13. When the series moves to Pittsburgh, the Pens are 34-15, with Detroit much better on the road at 30-19.

As mentioned, the Red Wings have misfired on offense occasionally, while Pittsburgh has shown they have a variety of options, meaning they can keep the pressure on. Though both have been exceptional, the Penguins have played with more of an edge throughout the NHL playoffs, showing more skill in precision in both ends of the rink.

Commissioner Gary Bettman’s alteration of the league is complete, with these two teams making the Stanley Cup Finals. What you will see is teams relying on speed, skill and intelligence, rather than brute force or intimidation, which is how hockey was meant to be played. Having posted a 12-2 record is series predictions, believe the Penguins have a little more of the aforementioned and win a classic series.

Pick- Pittsburgh +135 in six

Note- For Conn Smythe Winner (MVP), consider Malkin at 3-1 or Fleury at 6-1.

Friday May 23, Three Daily Winners

How good are the 3Daily Winners system plays, they have won 10 of last 11 days. The Trend plays have been burning them up as well, with four winners in the last five days. Our friends at the LCC have not been great of late, thus one of the 3DW partners, Paul Buck has his chance to shine. Good luck.

System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like San Antonio off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two teams that have won 60 to 75 percent of their games on the season. This scintillating system is 16-2, 88.8 percent the last five years.

Trend – 2) The Metropolitans of New York are 14-2 against the money line in road games when playing on Friday over the last two seasons.

FREE Selection -3) Paul Buck of 3Daily Winners is giving out the Detroit Tigers as his Free play.

Hot Hitting Teams a Harmful Wager

When a major league baseball team is hitting the ball and scoring runs, they look and act lively. When this same team goes into a slump, striking out and beating the ball into the ground for routine outs, they are more boring to watch than an episode of Fox’s “Back to You”. When a team can’t hit, they are often lifeless and just pain dull. However, when a lineup is sending missiles all over the diamond, it’s entertaining stuff, BUT are they a good wager?

In 2008, home runs are down; scoring is off previous years, as many teams have better bullpens, with managers smarter in how to use them. That doesn’t mean over the course of a 162-game season; nine guys in the batting order won’t rip the cover off the ball for periods of time.

In this study, hot hitting was determined as three games with 10 or more hits in a trio of outings. This could relate to a series when the lumber was en fuego or just a short period when most everybody was seeing the ball well. What we wanted to know was how a team performed in the fourth game from a wagering perspective. Were they a good wager at home or on the road when hitting the ball well? How did these teams do when in the role of favorite or underdog in the next contest, plus a few other secondary numbers, with intriguing results.

One aspect that jumped out, had nothing to do with wagering, it had to do with specific team. The Cleveland Indians have a reputation as free swinging, hard-hitting team, not only have they not make a contribution to this study, but they have not even had consecutive outings of double digit hits this year, which is astounding. Even light-hitting San Diego has managed to have a set of games where they had two or three games in a row with 10 or more hits.

Teams favored after producing three contests of double digit base-knocks, have been below average at 11-13, losing 5.3 units of profit. It stands to reason, any team is going to have a difficult time just beating the ball, since they are bound to run into a number one starter from opposing team or just run out of good fortune.

The vast majority of teams that were favored played at home. Of the 19 measured contests, 16 wore the role of favorite, with mixed results. These clubs were only 9-10 and dropped three units for those backing them. This record did come as a bit of a shock, considering these teams were at home and had the benefit of batting last.

Moving ahead to underdogs, this collective group has not performed well, with 6-14 mark, dropping 6.3 units. This result was not confounding from handicapping point of view, since when a team swinging the bats this well and is not favored, their has to be a reason. A bad pitching matchup, a team that struggles with a certain type of pitcher or opponent, or just playing on the road, are all factors in this number.

If a bettor is looking for an outstanding wager in 2008, try this one.

Play Against a road team off three games with 10 or more hits. These clubs are lamentable 8-21, -12.75 units.

What this has shown is teams can win for a short duration swinging the bats well on the road, but more often than not, pitching will be the most important element to stringing together road wins.
Interestingly enough, though the sample is small, all three teams that fit this criterion that were listed as a “pick” lost next outing.

Mentioned earlier, took a peak at two other areas that have proven to be profitable for baseball bettors. One was when a team was in the midst of a series, when striking the ball with authority. In this case, say a team had one or two games within a series totaling 10 hits or more, giving them three games in a row, as has been discussed. In the next contest against the same opponent, they are a mere 8-17, -10.95 units.

The last bit of winning wagering information has to do with teams that have extended hitting streaks, say four or more. While there is no way to determine when such a streak might end, when any major league teams falls back to single digit numbers, having put four or more consecutive games of 10+ hits, they are 6-11 -6.55 units. In this scenario, when a team is facing one of the top two pitchers from opposing club, this might be the right opportunity to bet against these teams slowing down and getting beat.

Utilizing the individual team pages at StatFox, can keep you right up to speed towards building baseball bankroll on a daily basis, Playing Against clubs that have swung the bats proficiently.

Thursday May 22, Three Daily Winners

The beat goes on for System plays, producing one winner after another. The Trends plays have not been far behind, showing a highly commendable profit. Good luck.

System -1) PLAY UNDER all teams against the total, when they are a bad offensive team like Cleveland (4.5 runs a game or less), against an average starting pitcher like Mark Buehrle (ERA=4.70 to 5.70) in the AL, after scoring four runs or less six straight games. This will be just the 14th time this system has arisen in the last five years and it has been on the nose 12 times, for a 92.3 winning percent.

Trend – 2) Detroit Pistons are 12-3 ATS after allowing 90 points or less three straight games this season.

FREE Selection -3) Sal was 1-1 in MLB yesterday and asked for another opportunity. We agreed and he’s on the Astros tonight.

Wednesday May 21, Three Daily Winners

The post-interleague May system plays were 8-4, bringing in +4.8 units, not too shabby for a couple days of FREE winning information. The Trends just keep piling up winners and have a perfect one to follow tonight. Off yesterday’s loss, Sal from the LCC has a pair of Free plays he has bet himself. Good luck.

System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Cleveland, with a money line of +125 to +175, since they are below average hitting team (.265 batting average or less) against a good starting pitcher like Javier Vazquez (4-3, 3.91). in the American League with ERA below 4.20, with their starting pitcher, Paul Byrd in this instance, who gives up one or more home runs a start (10 dingers – 8 starts). This amazing system is 37-3, 92.5 percent the last five years, including 3-0 to start 2008.

Trend - 2) Boston is 12-0 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

FREE Selection -3) Sal from the Left Coast Connection, has two MLB plays and opinion in NBA. His baseball plays are on the Braves and the Padres, while suggesting to take the Lakers with the points.

San Antonio vs L.A. Lakers Betting Preview

(3) San Antonio vs (1) L.A. Lakers Lakers -220 to win series

The two most success franchises in the last decade in the NBA will be reacquainted in the West Conference Finals. Starting with 2000, the Lakers ran off three straight NBA championships. San Antonio has been an odd champion, like winning all four titles in odd number years (1999, 2003, 2005, and 2007). These once combative playoff rivals will renew what at the front end of this decade, was the best playoff series in professional basketball.

“We’ve had our battles. We’ve had some great matchups,” Lakers star Kobe Bryant said. “It feels great to be back at that level, matching up with San Antonio.” Los Angeles, to the surprise of many, was playing outstanding basketball earlier in the season, but were believed to have taken a step backward when developing center Andruw Bynum went down. The Lakers front office, never afraid to make the right deal, saw the window of opportunity was opening now and likely for the next few seasons and swung a deal for Pau Gasol, which led to them earning the top seed in the West.

Los Angeles has been the most impressive team of the four remaining conference finalists, having played just 10 games in the postseason and are 7-2-1 against the spread. Having played last Friday, the Lakers are rested, with 8-1 ATS in home games when playing only their second game in seven days this season.

San Antonio showed their championship mettle at New Orleans in crucial game seven, winning 91-82 as four-point road underdogs, in a contest they frequently led by double digits. The Spurs got Tim Duncan started early and reigned three’s on the Hornets to secure victory. Because their plane had mechanical problems and a large convention in New Orleans, the Spurs were delayed in leaving for Los Angeles and didn’t have a practice on Tuesday. “We didn’t think practice was going to glean a whole lot of improvement, considering everything,” coach Greg Popovich said.

This means the Spurs are opening on the road again, where winning has not come as easy as in the past. San Antonio is 24-23, with paltry 17-30 ATS record including 2-4 SU and ATS in the playoffs. It would be reckless journalism to not point out the two most important games the Spurs have played as visitors in the postseason (Game 3 at Phoenix, Game 7 at New Orleans) were both wins. The Spurs Big Three will of course look to carry San Antonio. Tim Duncan will try to work Gasol over, with physical play. The real key for the Spurs is Tony Parker. He should have no problem breaking down Derek Fisher off the dribble and be able to get to the basket. The Lakers have plenty of tall timber in the paint, yet Parker has made his living scoring in the lane or will be able to dish the ball to open shooters. San Antonio is +180 underdog to win the series.

What made the Lakers this season was balance. Kobe Bryant had his lowest number of shots per points scored, which earned him his first MVP. Though Bynum had a more physical post presence, Gasol has a more varied game, with jump hooks and mid-range jump shots, to take defenders away from the lane. What the Lakers need Fisher to do is make jump shots, to offset what he’ll likely surrender on defense to Parker. Lamar Odom has to mentally involved from the opening tap of Game One, he is the wild card that could give Phil Jackson’s team a decided edge with his scoring ability, along with length and power. The Lakers fantastic four is draining 52.2 percent of shots in the postseason.

On last element to watch is the bench play. For the most part each team is dependent on its three-point shooters coming off the pine. A couple of games could swing one way of the other depending on which club has hotter shooters off the bench.

These teams split four games this season, each winning and covering at home, with margin of victory a decisive 13.3 PPG. Look for the Lakers to be able to match San Antonio in critical junctures where New Orleans could not with experience.

Doug's Take – Lakers -220 in seven

Tuesday May 20, Three Daily Winners

The System play was 5-2 yesterday, bringing in +3.6 units to those who played each game. One of our pals from the Left Coast Connection had another winner and is confident he will do so again. Good luck.

System -1) PLAY AGAINST road teams after three consecutive games versus an interleague opponent, in May games. This is the completion of this system this is 39-8, 83 percent since the beginning of 2005 season. Look to play against, Seattle, Baltimore, L.A. Angels, N.Y. Mets (Game 1) and Arizona.

Trend - 2) Dustin McGowan and the Toronto Blue Jays are 12-0 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last two seasons.

FREE Selection -3) Our baseball bettor from the Left Coast Connection is on a hot streak, going for a third straight winner at 3Daily Winners. Over the last five days he is +15.6 units and is riding the Blue Jays as his top selection.

Celtics versus Pistons Betting Preview

(2) Detroit vs (1) Boston Celtics -155 to win series

Everybody raise your hand if you are surprised Detroit and Boston are in the Eastern Conference Finals. This was about as likely as the CSI crime team solving the murder before the top of the hour. Of course, that is not to say how each team got to this point didn’t have a few twists and turns, just like the CBS hit series. The Pistons lost first game of the entire playoffs at home to Philadelphia and actually had to win a game four on the road to square up series with the Sixers. Boston is chasing history, trying to become the first team ever to win only home games and no road games on the way to title, solidifying the argument for having the best record in the league.

Fans of up and down, high-flying basketball, might want to mix in a WNBA game during the East Finals, because the last thing that will happen is a high scoring confrontation when these two get together. These teams have played three games this season, with Boston winning two and the losing team never made it 86 points and these were regular season games. Both teams prefer knock-'em-down, drag-'em-out battles, which is what we will see. Oddsmakers are aware these two have played UNDER ten of last 12 encounters.

Boston is 43-6 and 30-18-1 ATS at TD Banknorth Garden, with eight postseason wins and five covers, though none in the last three victories. Taking away the opening two blowouts against Atlanta and the Celtics are unsavory 3-9 ATS in last dozen. Boston could have used the rest Detroit had in polishing off Orlando much sooner. You can’t help but wonder where the scoring is going to come from for Boston. Ray Allen looks all used up. No legs for jump shots, confidence missing in his eyes and facing another defensive-minded club. Rajon Rondo needs to be a great defensive player along with a scoring threat every game, in some manner. Yes, he has limited skill as a jump shooter, but he has to be disruptor, making steals, getting transition baskets for easy points. Two factors are imperative for Celtics to win series. Boston is 23-8 ATS in games where they attempt 77 to 83 shots this season, meaning they must play to their tempo. Secondly, they have to continue to rule at home and be aggressive. They are 12-3 ATS in home games when they attempt 23 to 28 free throws in a game this season.

Detroit will have healthy Chauncey Billups, which creates greater offensive efficiency. The Pistons, being in sixth consecutive Conference Final, must win the matchups. Billups must govern Rondo, meaning playing time for Sam Cassell, who looks ready to retire playing at this intensity level. Rip Hamilton has been a pleasure to watch with Billups out and should drive Allen crazy on both ends the floor, having him expend a great deal of energy. If the Pistons can rule the backcourt, Rasheed Wallace and Tayshaun Prince just have to play Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce even. Pierce will be stoked with confidence after performance he gave in Cavs finale. Prince’s long arms and often suffocating defense will have to affect Pierce. Otherwise, Pierce will have the chance to get Prince in foul trouble gaining a significant edge.

The other element in the series will be bench play. Doc Rivers has often looked down the bench in the playoffs, yearning for somebody, anybody to help, especially on the postseason road. Boston will need the unlikely scorer off the bench in at least two different games to win, just like P.J. Brown in game seven against Cleveland. The same goes for the Pistons, whether it is Jason Maxiell in the paint or Jarvis Hayes or Rodney Stuckey dropping jump shots, someone will have to come thru.

Detroit has enjoyed great success against teams who attempt 18 or more three point shots a game like the Celtics with 30-12 ATS record. For the Pistons, it becomes overcoming the stigma of not covering 11 of last 12 Conference Finals games and making the NBA Finals twice in five tries.

Both times Detroit won the Conference Finals; they did so without the home court advantage (2004 and 2005). Overall, the Pistons have looked like the better team and with 28 road wins in 46 games, are capable of knocking off Boston on the road.

Doug's Best Bet – Detroit +125 in six

Racing Thoughts and Betting Numbers Update

Though not always the positive individual was flabbergasted to read the horse, Big Brown is being slighted for supposedly running against mediocre competition. The horse has run two spectacular races, is primed to be the first Triple Crown champion in 30 years and the fourth in the last 60 years and some morons still aren’t happy. Of course these are the same idiots who said Tiger Woods really isn’t that good because he’s never had a true competitor to challenge him. Is it the horse’s fault nobody has run with him? Some complain about ordinary speed ratings. How’s his speed been coming around the corner and down the stretch? Secretariat is the greatest racehorse I’ve ever seen and Seattle Slew, and Affirmed were something special. I hope Big Brown joins them.

Haven’t talked much about personal wagering of late, thought I’d update. In baseball, record is at 62-52, 54.4 percent on the season, good for +9.59 units. Like everybody, have had a few rough spots and a few hot streaks. As a whole satisfied with season to date record. The baseball line accuracy method I use has really helped me become far more proficient in the last few years and results like this bare it out. Still 100 percent convinced, betting sports is about finding winners, not playing favorites or underdogs. Find the right edge; improve your chances of winning.

After a crummy NBA regular season (48.5 percent), thought I was primed for NBA Playoffs. To this point, a little disappointed at 12-9-1 (57.1 percent), as so many favorites have won and covered in the second round. Still have the conference finals and league finals, thus a great deal of time to improve.

Monday May 19, Three Daily Winners

The System play lost for the first time in a week yesterday; nonetheless, the Trend and the Free selection were easy winners. Really interesting System play that comes around for just a day or two. Good luck.

System -1) PLAY AGAINST all road teams after three consecutive games versus an interleague opponent, in May games. The theory here is road teams have not quickly gotten back focus heading back to division or league play and are vulnerable. In the last four years, these teams are 6-34, 15 percent winners. Consider playing against Royals, Giants, Reds, Rangers, Rays and Cardinals, with a few more tomorrow.

Trend - 2) The New Orleans Hornets are 11-0 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.

FREE Selection -3) Yesterday’s winner was an easy one on the Halos (10-2) and our volume baseball bettor from LCC is now up to + 12.2 units the last four days. His best play on the board tonight is the Cardinals.

Sunday May 18, Three Daily Winners

Had computer issues today which prevented me from posting 3Daily Winners. I'm sorry it didn't work, however everything is working properly again. Here is what was going to be posted earlier.

Was lucky Adam Dunn hit a walk-off three run homer for Cincinnati, to take System streak to 6-0 this week, let’s see if we can make 7 for 7 today. Good luck.

System -1) Play Against all underdogs like Toronto when the money line is +100 or higher, that have been weak offensive teams (4.2 runs or less runs a game) against a team with a very good bullpen like Philadelphia’s (ERA of 3.33 or less), with a starting pitcher like Shaun Marcum who gives up 5.5 or less hits a start. Marcum has been awesome with 4-2 record and 2.22 ERA, but with his team’s inability to score, the Jays are vulnerable. This system is 32-6, 84.2 percent the last five seasons, including 2-0 in 2008.

Trend - 2) The Arizona Diamondbacks are 21-4 against the money line revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last two seasons.

FREE Selection -3) Move to a new member of the Left Coast Connection, who plays a large volume of MLB games daily and is + 8.6 units the last three days. His favorite play on the board is to take the Angels to win the I-5 series.