As the baseball season approaches the halfway point, here is a look at who are the good and bad teams to wager on and some so ugly, they make onions cry. Take a gander at what numbers are important and what has been happening to these major league clubs.
GOOD
Chicago Cubs 49-29 +14.6 units
The Chicago Cubs continue to be the best and safest bet in major league baseball, thanks to a powerful every day lineup manager Lou Pinella has to work with and versatility to rest players. The Cubs have bludgeoned visiting teams, scoring a baseball best, 6.5 runs per game at what are truly the Friendly Confines for the North Siders. Run line players should note jaw-dropping 2.6 runs per game edge. The Cubs are 33-9 at home for sick +19.5 units of profit. Keep an eye on their fortunes, with 16 of next 22 games on the road.
Tampa Bay 46-31 +13.4 units
Some people believe the world is more amiss than anytime in history, with home foreclosures, rising inflation and the job market upside down. Yet as crazy as all these things are, for fans and bettors of baseball, Tampa Bay having one less loss than the defending World Series champion Boston Red Sox in late June, well in today’s world, this might make sense. Like most of the top teams in baseball in 2008, the Rays have superior home field edge at 30-13, +14 units. It’s all about the pitching for Tampa Bay, being third in ERA and batting average allowed. What might be the most difficult aspect to comprehend; the Rays are 32-17 when favored. Raydiculous!
St. Louis 45-34 +11.5 units
The overused term “thinking out of the box” is on its way to infamy; however it may be the only way to describe what St. Louis has done in 2008 and continues to do. Ask anyone outside of St. Louis to name starting lineup for the Cards and most are stuck after Albert Pujols. But players like Ryan Ludwick and Skip Shumaker are making a name for themselves and former Angels retreads Troy Glaus and Adam Kennedy are drinking from manager Tony LaRussa fountain of youth. The Cardinals are above average offensively in scoring 4.7 RPG, yet the real secret is inside the numbers. The Redbirds are 2nd in walks, 3rd in on-base percentage and 25th in strikeouts. Also, pitching coach Dave Duncan is working miracles with this pitching staff.
BAD
Philadelphia 43-36 -0.7
The Philadelphia franchise is still on track to win the NL East division; nevertheless recent ugly play has cut lead down to next to nothing. The Phils have lost 8 of 10, thanks to of all reasons, the offense. In the losses, they have averaged 2.3 runs per game, far below normal for a team that was ringing up 5.5 RPG before slump. Over the next week, Philly still has trips to Texas and Atlanta. They must avoid close contests, since they are 30-11 in games decided by two or more runs.
Atlanta 39-41 -8.4 units
Remember when Atlanta was whippin’ up on all-comers at Turner Field not that long ago? The Braves are still a highly respectable 28-14 (+9.7 units) at home, yet are only 3-6 in last nine for Bobby Cox in the white uniforms. With 11-27 record as visitors, road warriors hardly apply to these Braves. Maybe a quick trip to Canada (Toronto) will help Atlanta over the weekend before returning home. The Bravos must find a way to avoid or conquer one run games, since they are beastly 4-20.
New York Mets 38-39 -10.6 units
You fire your manager in the middle of the night and the owner of the team wants no part of the blame, despite known meddling. Somehow the club wins four of six contests on road, in spite of forlorn prior record, only to come home and lose a series to a Seattle team in shambles, go figure. The Mets are like a ship lost at sea, as interim manager Jerry Manuel has called out players, gotten kicked out of game in short tenure and had extremely rare fielding practice during the season. By all appearances this is a team without a heart or soul.
UGLY
San Diego 32-47 -18.6 units
Building a ballpark downtown, where the night air is thicker than a three-pound porterhouse, in retrospect might not have been ideal for team looking to upgrade offense. Additionally, it only seems like the outfielders need binoculars to see one another from their positions. With this information, how does one account for 11-25 road (-13.1 units), when San Diego players should be thrilled to play in parks where could actually score runs? GM Kevin Towers huffed and puffed earlier in the season about taking this team apart, but one question, who assembled the lineup that is in the bottom 20 percent of virtually every offensive category? With the starting pitchers feeling like they have to throw a shutout each time out, the pressure gets to them. Maybe the Padres should schedule more day games since they are 20-37 at night.
Cleveland 35-43 -19.9 units
Let’s give Cleveland credit; they might be better than they look. The Indians are 18th in runs scored and 11th in runs allowed. They are 20-20 at home (-11 units, ouch) and 27-27 when favored (-13.3 units, double ouch). Under the lights the Tribe is also .500 (27-27), but in Chris Farley-speak, the -8.4 units does leave a mark. Digging just at the surface, this Cleveland club is a fraud by checking other more important numbers. They are 29th in batting average and 26th in total bases, meaning they are prone to occasional offense outbursts, which artificially inflate on the field day-to-day production. If not for Cliff Lee at 10-1 (Indians 11-3 in all starts), the starting rotation would be further exposed and bullpen has 4.81 ERA, with 8-14 record and sad-sack 52 percent save percentage.
Seattle 28-50 -24.8 units
After winning 88 games in 2007, Seattle believed they were on their way to seriously competing with the Angels again. Instead, what happened is reality set in. The Mariners have six everyday players in the lineup who were born in the 1970’s. Most or all are past their prime and last season could have been one last hurrah. There is a laundry list of negative numbers hanging over Seattle and nothing suggests today, the M’s will be better soon. Thanks Bill Bavasi.
Doug Upstone is also feature writer for StatFox.com
Sports Betting Info, June 26, at 3Daily Winners
Our guy Sal has hit amazing TEN straight here and has a play in afternoon action. I’ve never seen a guy this hot in baseball for sustained period. Our Trend play was a Winner yesterday and we have a perfect one this afternoon. The System plays are rather meager and the one listed below is the best of the bunch at 73.5 percent, still very solid, just not up to our standards and will not be counted as official play. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST any team like Texas who allows 5.2 or more runs a game on the season (AL), after allowing four runs or less in four straight games. The logic speaks for itself in this system. Over the course of a 162-game schedule, every team will do something out of character for periods of time. Boston has had hitting slumps, San Diego actually scored five or more runs a few games in a row, elements contrary to normal patterns. The facts are the Rangers pitching staff is perfidious across the board, including the bullpen with a 5.04 ERA. This system has won 73.5 percent of the time in the last five seasons with 50-18 record.
Free Baseball Trend -2) The Chicago Cubs are 10-0 against the money line in home games with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last five games this season.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Sal was 4-0 in personal plays, including 10th straight Winner here. This raises his record to 34-7, 82.9 percent in own action and is on the Cubs again this afternoon. He did email saying he believes another play might be coming in tonight’s action. Stay tuned.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST any team like Texas who allows 5.2 or more runs a game on the season (AL), after allowing four runs or less in four straight games. The logic speaks for itself in this system. Over the course of a 162-game schedule, every team will do something out of character for periods of time. Boston has had hitting slumps, San Diego actually scored five or more runs a few games in a row, elements contrary to normal patterns. The facts are the Rangers pitching staff is perfidious across the board, including the bullpen with a 5.04 ERA. This system has won 73.5 percent of the time in the last five seasons with 50-18 record.
Free Baseball Trend -2) The Chicago Cubs are 10-0 against the money line in home games with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last five games this season.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Sal was 4-0 in personal plays, including 10th straight Winner here. This raises his record to 34-7, 82.9 percent in own action and is on the Cubs again this afternoon. He did email saying he believes another play might be coming in tonight’s action. Stay tuned.
Having a little fun Betting NBA Draft
With the first pick in the NBA Draft, the Chicago Bulls take ____________? There are only two choices for GM John Paxson to make, Derrick Rose of Memphis or Michael Beasley. Whatever decision he makes, it will explain the confidence he has in his own job with the Bulls. Purely from ability and ready to go talent, Beasley is the choice and would provide new coach Vinny Del Negro immediate help. Rose on the other hand would play one of the most important positions on the floor. As talented as Rose is, nobody has mentioned him being as good as Chris Paul a couple of seasons ago and would not come into the NBA as top-10 point guard from the get-go. He’s not known as exceptional passer at this juncture, thus would need to develop, does Paxson have the time to wait?A few sportsbooks have Rose at 1-8 odds and Beasley at 4-1 to be the top pick and would have to agree the former Memphis star is headed back to his home town.
Beasley at number two is not a given for Miami. After being listed at 6’10 coming out of high school, the former K-State star was recalibrated and is couple of centimeters either way of 6’8, depending who you listen to. Miami’s Pat Riley holds the second pick and speculation is rising he has serious reservations about Beasley’s character, with the most common word used to describe him being “goofy”. In a league that goes after disgraced a NBA referee to get shoe money back for opprobrious behavior, selecting a Disney character might be a reach.
Sources around the NBA have stated the Heat had secret workouts with Pac-10 guard stars Jerryd Bayless and O.J. Mayo. Riley would prefer to have a running mate with Dwayne Wade in the backcourt and are shopping Beasley or willing to trade pick to move down and draft one of the two aforementioned players.
At this time, what the Heat will do is not known, thus we can only deal with the present possibilities. Other wagers at various sportsbooks include draft positions to wager on. According to front office leaks, if Mayo is still available at #3, Minnesota will select him, proving why this wager is 4/15 odds. At four, Seattle wants to start building a solid backcourt and anyone other than Bayless is a reach, though Russell Westbrook and Eric Gordon have been thrown around on Sonics blogs. Bayless is 4/5, with Westbrook interesting play at 9/4.
Kevin Love is his own prop wager, trying to guess where he might go in slots five-ten. He’s at 2-3 odds to be taken by Memphis; however they are not enamored with him and will likely be drafting him for somebody else. If that does happen, numbers eight or nine are the most logical slots, being Milwaukee and Charlotte. Though Love makes sense in either location depending on front office thoughts, despot owners have other ideas, making 6-1 odds seem like a long shot.
Here are a few other head-to-head prop bets to consider, in who is drafted higher.
Joe Alexander -130
Danillo Gallinari +100
Joe Alexander speaks fluent Mandarin and could converse with Yi Jianlian; this should not be enough of a reason for Milwaukee to draft him. Gallinari goes to New Jersey at 10 and Alexander likely to Sacramento at 12th slot.
Brook Lopez +135
Kevin Love -170
The Oregon native and UCLA star is destined to be picked earlier, though unlike Lopez, might not be with the team that chooses him for long.
Eric Gordon -210
Danillo Gallinari +165
Gordon’s stock has improved the last three weeks and will be chosen in 6-9 range, ahead of the top European prospect.
Other prop wagers are also available and here is a look at some of those.
Courtney Lee will be taken in first or second round?
A modest -140 is reasonable for a player with scoring skills, who undoubtedly will be chosen in the later stages of the first round.
Brandon Rush will be a lottery pick? (1-14)
With most draft boards having Rush at 15 or higher, this is worth a small wager that Rush is picked by Portland at 13. Blazers GM Kevin Pritchard has his frontcourt of the future with Greg Oden and LaMarcus Aldridge and will need to start adding players in the backcourt. Rush can play defense, is superior athlete and shooting range has improved dramatically in years at Kansas. Take the +140 and keep fingers crossed.
Joe Alexander will be 8th pick in the draft
As noted previously, unless a multitude of trades occur, the Bucks would be foolish to take a player who really only produced in his junior year at West Virginia. Is this a sign of continued improvement or a player reaching his potential? His workout numbers were very good, but most NBA teams draft on need and potential, does he fit either for the Bucks? The +200 not to be 8th pick seems like a gift, however we are talking about the Milwaukee front office, where logic does not dictate success.
Roy Hibbert Over/Under 19.5 draft position
No team with needs in the top 19 spots has a need for a limited athlete like Hibbert. He deserves credit for working hard and improving every year at Georgetown, he seems destined to be a career backup. Take the -130 on the Over.
Brook Lopez +135
Kevin Love -170
The Oregon native and UCLA star is destined to be picked earlier, though unlike Lopez, might not be with the team that chooses him for long.
Eric Gordon -210
Danillo Gallinari +165
Gordon’s stock has improved the last three weeks and will be chosen in 6-9 range, ahead of the top European prospect.
Other prop wagers are also available and here is a look at some of those.
Courtney Lee will be taken in first or second round?
A modest -140 is reasonable for a player with scoring skills, who undoubtedly will be chosen in the later stages of the first round.
Brandon Rush will be a lottery pick? (1-14)
With most draft boards having Rush at 15 or higher, this is worth a small wager that Rush is picked by Portland at 13. Blazers GM Kevin Pritchard has his frontcourt of the future with Greg Oden and LaMarcus Aldridge and will need to start adding players in the backcourt. Rush can play defense, is superior athlete and shooting range has improved dramatically in years at Kansas. Take the +140 and keep fingers crossed.
Joe Alexander will be 8th pick in the draft
As noted previously, unless a multitude of trades occur, the Bucks would be foolish to take a player who really only produced in his junior year at West Virginia. Is this a sign of continued improvement or a player reaching his potential? His workout numbers were very good, but most NBA teams draft on need and potential, does he fit either for the Bucks? The +200 not to be 8th pick seems like a gift, however we are talking about the Milwaukee front office, where logic does not dictate success.
Roy Hibbert Over/Under 19.5 draft position
No team with needs in the top 19 spots has a need for a limited athlete like Hibbert. He deserves credit for working hard and improving every year at Georgetown, he seems destined to be a career backup. Take the -130 on the Over.
Sports Betting Info, June 25, at 3Daily Winners
Sal is the man, no doubt about. Readers are having fun just coming to this blog to pick up easy winners and Sal is goes for TEN in a row with tonight’s selection. Our System play returns with high quality return, winning 85.1 percent of the time. This evening’s Top Trend takes us to beautiful San Diego. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like the Reds with a money line of +125 to +175, as a poor NL hitting team (.250 or less BA) against a team with a good bullpen like Toronto (3.75 ERA or lower), who is frigid hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games. This system has been a winner 85.1 percent of the time with 40-7 record. Facing the Jays Roy Halladay won’t make matters easier.
Free Baseball Trend -2) MINNESOTA is 13-2 against the money line vs. an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 this season.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Were running out of superlatives for Sal from the left Coast Connection, posting his NINTH straight Free Winner here at 3DW. Tonight he’s on the Chicago Cubs seeking to improve his record to at least 30-7 on personal plays.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like the Reds with a money line of +125 to +175, as a poor NL hitting team (.250 or less BA) against a team with a good bullpen like Toronto (3.75 ERA or lower), who is frigid hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games. This system has been a winner 85.1 percent of the time with 40-7 record. Facing the Jays Roy Halladay won’t make matters easier.
Free Baseball Trend -2) MINNESOTA is 13-2 against the money line vs. an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 this season.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Were running out of superlatives for Sal from the left Coast Connection, posting his NINTH straight Free Winner here at 3DW. Tonight he’s on the Chicago Cubs seeking to improve his record to at least 30-7 on personal plays.
Bet these five starting pitchers to go Over the total
For most casual baseball fans, the game is too slow, not enough action and more runs needed to be scored, similar to a slow-pitch softball game. While major league baseball has added the thrilling aspect of players and fans to be impaled by exploding maple bats, most prefer to see runs being scored either going to the ballpark or on television. Many lukewarm bettors of baseball tend to bet Over the total, since that is their preferred interest in the sport as a whole. Since pitching is such an important aspect of baseball, here is a current roster of the best pitchers to wager on for games exceeding the total.What fits our criterion is a starting hurler still in the rotation, despite surrendering a ton of runs and his team playing Over continually when he takes the horsehide. A perfect example is Tom Gorzelanny (5-6, 6.59 ERA) of Pittsburgh. The 25-year left-hander made serious progress in 2007, with 14-10 record and respectable 3.88 ERA. With above average fastball and slider, this was supposed to be his breakout season. Instead, he has been less effective than SPF30 in Death Valley, CA. His 6.59 earned run average is easily determined by allowing more walks than strikeouts (50-39) on the season, while already seeing 12 balls going over the fence. On the year, Gorzelanny is 11-3 OVER with the Bucs, including perfection on the road with 7-0 OVER mark. Of course when you have 8.63 road ERA, Over’s come much easier.
It’s hard to believe Livan Hernandez (8-4, 5.23) is only 33 years old, since it seems he’s been around longer than Jamie Moyer. Packing a robust 245 pounds on a 6’2 frame, Hernandez no longer has overpowering stuff and pitches out of the stretch more than most relievers. He’s allowed 150 base hits in just over 103 innings of work, as opposing teams are hitting almost .350 against him. It doesn’t matter right or left-handed batters either, as the former hits .345 and the latter .351 versus Hernandez. Miraculously, Minnesota has won 12 of his 17 starts, thanks in part to scoring five or more runs in a dozen of his trips up the hill. Livan and the Twins are 12-5 OVER, as they have favorites just once when manager Ron Gardenhire handed him the ball, yet have won 11 of 16 times. Presently, playing a Twins and Over parlay with Hernandez pitching has solid winning potential.
Another hurler who has produced great results for those preferring to wager Over the number is Texas’ Vincente Padilla (10-3, 3.74). The Nicaragua native has had a career easier to read than Cat in the Hat. If Padilla pitches 200 or more innings in a season, injures will follow. After chucking 200 in 2006, he managed just 120 innings last season with sore arm. Rejuvenated, he’s exceptional in notorious hitters’ park in Arlington. Texas is 11-5 OVER when Padilla is starting pitcher and has won 13 of his 16 trips. In fact, the Rangers have won 10 of his 11 last starts, but scoring almost 7.5 runs per game will help the cause. Texas is 7-3 OVER as underdog, winning eight times with 30-year old on the mound.
Neither Philadelphia’s Kyle Kendrick (6-3, 5.06) nor the White Sox Javier Vazquez (7-6, 4.50) is at the top of respective team rotation, yet both are good Over bets with 10-5 mark. Kendrick is still a young pitcher at 23, however needs to start missing more bats if he desires lengthy professional career. This season he’s given up 93 hits in just over 78 innings and averages only a touch over two strikeouts per start. He’s backed up with potent Phillies offense and is 7-3 OVER when favored.
After beginning the season well, the Sox Vazquez has struggled mightily in June. He is 2-2, yet has surrendered 19 runs in four starts covering 23.1 innings. Included have been 29 hits, 12 walks and six long balls. Vazquez is 5-1, 4.78 ERA at U.S. Cellular Field and the Pale Hose are 6-0 OVER in those encounters. Like all the pitchers mentioned, he receives tremendous run support, with the Sox scoring 9.1 RPG when Vazquez is the man on the mound on the south side of Chicago.
Sports Betting Info, June 24, at 3Daily Winners
Sal from the Left Coast Connection did it again and is 8-0 here at 3Daily Winners with his Free Picks. His latest is up for review right now. As expected our System play bounced back, unfortunately, nothing of value is on the board today, thus we’ll pass. Even though the Trend was not official, it was still a winner and we have 92.3 percent angle going tonight. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) No Exceptional System plays today.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Kenny Rogers of Detroit is 12-1 against the money line as home favorite of -105 - -150.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Sal has been everybody’s pal with EIGHT straight winners here and is on 28-6 personal tidal wave of wins. His top play today is Kansas City.
Free Baseball System -1) No Exceptional System plays today.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Kenny Rogers of Detroit is 12-1 against the money line as home favorite of -105 - -150.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Sal has been everybody’s pal with EIGHT straight winners here and is on 28-6 personal tidal wave of wins. His top play today is Kansas City.
Sports Wagering Info, June 23, at 3Daily Winners
Sal from the Left Coast Connection is on blistering run in baseball betting, with 27-6 record. His is on of the hotter streaks we have seen by anyone for sustained period and we’re thrilled he’s providing readers with SEVEN straight winners. Sal has hopefully #8 listed below. Though our system plays have hit a brief slump, tonight we are confident this improves to 29-12. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY ON All favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 like the Angels, who are stranding 6.9 or less runners on base per game on the season, in the first half of the season. This consistent winning system is 124-31, 80 percent the last five years.
Free Baseball Trend -2) No exceptional trend stands out, thus we’ll pass here. Of interest however is Felix Hernandez and Seattle are 9-2 when he pitches as underdog.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Sal has now gone a solid week without losing at 3Daily Winners and has made a bundle betting on his own with 27-6 record in last 33 wagers. Tonight’s he’s making a small wager on the Angels because of the high money line.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY ON All favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 like the Angels, who are stranding 6.9 or less runners on base per game on the season, in the first half of the season. This consistent winning system is 124-31, 80 percent the last five years.
Free Baseball Trend -2) No exceptional trend stands out, thus we’ll pass here. Of interest however is Felix Hernandez and Seattle are 9-2 when he pitches as underdog.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Sal has now gone a solid week without losing at 3Daily Winners and has made a bundle betting on his own with 27-6 record in last 33 wagers. Tonight’s he’s making a small wager on the Angels because of the high money line.
For heavens sake, don’t wager against Halos on the road
The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim might be about the least imposing team to have the best record in the American League in years. Their 46-30 record in certainly impressive, yet their run differential on the season is only +13, which is seventh in the AL, or 50 behind Oakland, who is in second place in the AL West. The Angels are a paltry 11th in runs scored in the junior circuit, yet put this club in the traveling grays and good luck trying to hang a loss on this group.After a less than impressive showing at home against Atlanta and the Mets in which they lost four of six, L.A. of Ana. flew cross-country to face Philadelphia, who was playing exceptional baseball. The Phillies have been one of the top scoring teams in baseball and seemed destined to at the very least take the series against the Angels. Instead, manager Mike Scioscia’s club grabbed the lead early in all three games and completed an unlikely sweep in the City of Brotherly Love.
Los Angeles is one of only five teams in major league baseball to possess a winning record on the road at 24-12 (+13-4 units), which happens to be more games over .500 (12) than the other four teams combined (10). How do they do it? It starts quality starting pitching. John Lackey (Monday’s starter), Joe Saunders, and Ervin Santana (Wednesday’s starter) are a combined 24-7, with Santana having the worst ERA among the three at a superb 3.17. John Garland (6-4) has had is moments and Jered Weaver (7-7), after a brutal beginning has won five of last seven starts to square up record at .500. The Angels middle relievers have been spotty, accounting for poor run differential, as they have lost nine games by five or more runs. Despite an ordinary 4.11 ERA, collectively this troop has really buckled down on the road with 2.93 ERA, with baseball’s best closer Francisco Rodriguez. The whirling dervish has a baseball best 30 saves and though he’s had less command at different points (19 walks- 34 innings), K-Rod has settled down when needed. Los Angeles only allows 3.5 runs per game on the road.
The offense is far from spectacular, despite a payroll that should suggest otherwise. Gary Mathews Jr parlayed one big year into excessive contract and is batting meager .243. Torii Hunter has only been average with .276 BA and nine home runs, and Garrett Anderson will be 36 years old next week and looks it. The most important bat in the lineup is Vladimir Guerrero, who after an extremely slow start is on the rise, and was a one man wrecking crew against the Phillies. Vlad’s recent surge has him hitting .289, still well below .323 career batting average. If any of the other outfielders start to come around, they’ll blend nicely with Chone Figgins, Casey Kotchman and Howie Kendrick, who are all above or near .300 batting average.
Los Angeles figures to be favored in all three games against Washington in our nation’s capital, as the Nationals have the worst record in the National League at 30-47. In one aspect this is too bad for a team like the Halos who are 13-7 as road underdogs this season. Certainly this club is capable of offensive explosions, but has too many free swingers, which holds them back from being consistent and is among the reasons why they are the second best Under team in baseball at 45-25-6. To date, Scioscia’s club appears more comfortable in lower scoring games with 35-18 record in contests decided by three or less runs.
Now is not the time to start betting against this heavenly bunch. Los Angeles is a -220 series favorite at most wagering locations to continue winning ways.
Sports Wagering Info, June 22, at 3Daily Winners
We caught a lucky break to finish 2-1 yesterday, as Atlanta scored four runs in last two innings to defeat Seattle. Sal, what can you say, this guy in Dan Patrick en fuego, with Six Straight FREE Winners here at 3Daily Winners, looking for number seven. Our perfect Trend returns and it is amazing. The System play will try to get back in the groove backing a hot hurler. This system is 33-4 run. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Houston with a money line of +175 to +250, where a team's hitters draw three walks or less a game (2.74) on the season, against opponent with a hot starting pitcher like the Rays Scott Kazmir (6-2, 1.76), who has a WHIP under 1.000 over his last five starts. The thought process for this system is an impatient lineup is unlikely to do well against a starter who is on top of his game. In the last three seasons, this beauty is 33-4, 89.1 percent.
Free Baseball Trend – 2) When Tim Hudson pitches at home on a Sunday, the teams he has played for are 19-0.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Sal from the Left Coast Connection has hit his last SIX FREE plays here at 3DW and is 24-6 on his most recent successful hot stretch on the bases. He tells us he expects to continue winning playing Milwaukee today.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Houston with a money line of +175 to +250, where a team's hitters draw three walks or less a game (2.74) on the season, against opponent with a hot starting pitcher like the Rays Scott Kazmir (6-2, 1.76), who has a WHIP under 1.000 over his last five starts. The thought process for this system is an impatient lineup is unlikely to do well against a starter who is on top of his game. In the last three seasons, this beauty is 33-4, 89.1 percent.
Free Baseball Trend – 2) When Tim Hudson pitches at home on a Sunday, the teams he has played for are 19-0.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Sal from the Left Coast Connection has hit his last SIX FREE plays here at 3DW and is 24-6 on his most recent successful hot stretch on the bases. He tells us he expects to continue winning playing Milwaukee today.
Sports Betting Info, June 21 , at 3Daily Winners
Sal from the LCC is on fire, with sensational personal record, as he goes for six in a row on his Free picks here. We dug up another perfect Trend from a contest down south and on Fox Saturday baseball; we have a System that has won 79.8 percent of the time since 2004. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like St. Louis with a money line of +150 or more, who are a NL team with an on-base percentage of .340 or higher, facing at quality AL starting pitcher Daisuke Matsuzaka (8-0, 2.53, 1.297 WHIP) with a WHIP of 1.300 or less, in the first half of the season. This system is scintillating 71-18, 79.8 percent the last five seasons.
Free Baseball Trend – 2) The Braves and Jair Jurrjens are 12-0 at home when he is starting pitcher for Atlanta.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Sal from the Left Coast Connection has hit his last FIVE FREE plays here at 3DW and is 22-6 on his most recent successful hot stretch on the bases. Tonight he is backing Minnesota in middle game of the series against Arizona.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like St. Louis with a money line of +150 or more, who are a NL team with an on-base percentage of .340 or higher, facing at quality AL starting pitcher Daisuke Matsuzaka (8-0, 2.53, 1.297 WHIP) with a WHIP of 1.300 or less, in the first half of the season. This system is scintillating 71-18, 79.8 percent the last five seasons.
Free Baseball Trend – 2) The Braves and Jair Jurrjens are 12-0 at home when he is starting pitcher for Atlanta.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Sal from the Left Coast Connection has hit his last FIVE FREE plays here at 3DW and is 22-6 on his most recent successful hot stretch on the bases. Tonight he is backing Minnesota in middle game of the series against Arizona.
Baseball Betting Numbers and Sharp Angle
Here is an update to my record in selecting baseball winners this season. As you read this, the record is 114-88-1, 56.4 percent, good for +19.7 units. My preferred place to show record is at FreeSportsMonitor.com, but they have a new format and have essentially dropped the old one. For those that want proof of this record, click here and you’ll its pretty close, with deviation coming from lines different, having me not always listing every play I wager. This year I’ve played more favorites than usual, based mostly on how well home teams have performed thus far. My whole method is based on who is going to win, not playing favorites or underdogs. I seldom play anything over -150; however will when all my figures point that way. Thus far I’ve made only 11 such plays, with 8-3 record, for +4.32 units. My good friend and professional gambler Paul Buck has a sharp angle for tonight he uncovered this season.
Baseball Betting Angle- In 2008, when a team has registered 10 or more hits in exactly three games and next contest is on the road, they are 8-34, -26.05 units. Today, consider playing against the Angels and the Orioles who are perfect fit.
Baseball Betting Angle- In 2008, when a team has registered 10 or more hits in exactly three games and next contest is on the road, they are 8-34, -26.05 units. Today, consider playing against the Angels and the Orioles who are perfect fit.
Sports Betting Info, June 20 , at 3Daily Winners
Another 3-0 day yesterday has us torching the sportsbooks at 3Daily Winners. We have received emails inquiring about our record with these plays. Since we started this format on May 12 the records are:
System Plays – 28-9, 75.6 percent
Free Selections – 30-21, 58.8 percent
Trend Plays – 20-18, 52.6 percent
Clearly something good is going on here. Today our System play is a fantastic 16-2 the last three seasons. The Trend play has won 95 percent of the time and Sal will look to make FIVE Free baseball winners in a row. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like the Mariners with a money line of +100 or higher, who are sad AL offensive team (28th), scoring 4.2 or less runs a game, against a team like Atlanta with a good bullpen -3.34 ERA- (3.75 or less), with a starting pitcher like Erik Bedard (1-2, 7.14 road record) whose gives up 5.5 or less hits a start. This system is gi-normous 16-2, 88.8 percent the since 2006.
Free Baseball Trend – 2) Boston and Tim Wakefield are 19-1 when a -125 to -175 Fenway favorite.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Sal from the Left Coast Connection has hit his last FOUR FREE plays here at 3DW and is 19-4 on his most recent current hot stretch on the bases. Today's freebie is on the Cubs in the Windy City matchup.
System Plays – 28-9, 75.6 percent
Free Selections – 30-21, 58.8 percent
Trend Plays – 20-18, 52.6 percent
Clearly something good is going on here. Today our System play is a fantastic 16-2 the last three seasons. The Trend play has won 95 percent of the time and Sal will look to make FIVE Free baseball winners in a row. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like the Mariners with a money line of +100 or higher, who are sad AL offensive team (28th), scoring 4.2 or less runs a game, against a team like Atlanta with a good bullpen -3.34 ERA- (3.75 or less), with a starting pitcher like Erik Bedard (1-2, 7.14 road record) whose gives up 5.5 or less hits a start. This system is gi-normous 16-2, 88.8 percent the since 2006.
Free Baseball Trend – 2) Boston and Tim Wakefield are 19-1 when a -125 to -175 Fenway favorite.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Sal from the Left Coast Connection has hit his last FOUR FREE plays here at 3DW and is 19-4 on his most recent current hot stretch on the bases. Today's freebie is on the Cubs in the Windy City matchup.
Baseball and Basketball Thoughts
The Seattle Mariners canned GM Bill Bavasi on Monday and manager John McLaren was shown the door on Thursday. It’s really no surprise, when your team has the worst record in baseball, are unlucky 13th in batting average, runs scored and earned run average. McLaren was thought to be a rah-rah sis-boom-bah guy for a veteran team that swung and missed far too often. This style is thought to be like ordering black coffee at Starbucks for this club. Why Seattle ever hired Bavasi was a mystery to begin with, since his career has mostly been a failure with his running the show. At least McLaren will have history to forever be remembered. If you were a manager and had Richie Sexson and Jose Lopez on the right side of the infield, you would be pissed too.A few final thoughts on the Lakers and Celtics series. I’d written about how Boston could not be NBA champions, based on how they were playing at the time. I believe that assessment was accurate when I wrote it, just didn’t turn out to be true. In Game 6, the ABC announcers were talking about how the Celtics came together after beating Detroit on the road in Game 3, 94-80, which gave them the confidence needed to move on. What I believe was more true was losing Game 2 at home to the Pistons. After winning nine straight playoff games in Beantown, their air of invincibility was broken at TD Banknorth Garden, leading them collectively to play with far greater sense of urgency. Nice job by the C’s who actually ended up covering the spread in all eight games this season against the Lakers. WOW!
Went to A’s and D-Backs Wednesday night and Oakland’s Joe Blanton should be a dart thrower, since he never missed an Arizona bat in allowing eight runs in three innings. He was throwing in the low 90’s, but sitting behind the plate, his pitches were straight as a string, lacking ANY movement. His 3-10 record is well-deserved.
Sports Betting Info, June 19 , at 3Daily Winners
Lots of early action, so let’s get to it. Sal from the LCC is 3-0 here and is backing a team with outstanding record in interleague action. The System play was a winner yesterday and is a 88 percent winner the last 11 seasons. You’ll have to dig deep to back today’s top Trend, however it should be worth it. Good Luck.
System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like the Chicago Cubs, with a money line of +100 or higher, who are a good NL offensive team scoring five or more runs a game, against a good AL starting pitcher like James Shields (3-1, 1.72 at home) who has a 4.20 ERA or lower (3.91), when his team is on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors. This system is stellar is 44-6, 88 percent.
Trend – 2) San Diego is 6-22 against the money line after two or more consecutive road games this season.
FREE Selection -3) Sal from the Left Coast Connection has hit his last three Free plays here at 3DW and is 16-4 on his most recent current hot stretch on the bases. Today, he’s throwing his support toward Minnesota, who as he reminds us is 32-12 in last 44 interleague contests.
System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like the Chicago Cubs, with a money line of +100 or higher, who are a good NL offensive team scoring five or more runs a game, against a good AL starting pitcher like James Shields (3-1, 1.72 at home) who has a 4.20 ERA or lower (3.91), when his team is on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors. This system is stellar is 44-6, 88 percent.
Trend – 2) San Diego is 6-22 against the money line after two or more consecutive road games this season.
FREE Selection -3) Sal from the Left Coast Connection has hit his last three Free plays here at 3DW and is 16-4 on his most recent current hot stretch on the bases. Today, he’s throwing his support toward Minnesota, who as he reminds us is 32-12 in last 44 interleague contests.
Sports Betting Info, June 18 , at 3Daily Winners
Congrats to the Boston Celtics for a well-deserved NBA title. On the subject of good going, 3DW was 4-0 on all plays yesterday, as Sal was 2-0 on Free Picks and has another presumed winner in afternoon action. Our outstanding system plays keep winning and we have an 88.1 percent coxcomb that is very capable of adding to bankroll. Once again we have uncovered a perfect Trend, found this time on the west coast of Florida. Good Luck.
System -1) PLAY AGAINST any team which is a bad AL offensive team like Toronto, scoring 4.5 or less a game, facing a pitcher like Ben Sheets (7-1, 2.72 ERA) of the Brewers, who has an ERA of 3.70 or less in the NL, taking on a cold hitting team, batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games. This system is an exquisite 37-5, 88.1 percent since the beginning of 1997 season.
Trend – 2) The Cubs and Carlos Zambrano are 12-0 as a road favorite of -125 to -150.
FREE Selection -3) Sal from the Left Coast Connection was a perfect 2-0 on Free plays, which were his own personal selections, raising record to 13-3 in MLB games. Today he’s on Detroit and might have another play up, which would be by 6 Eastern if he does. Note- After studying, nothing else made sense was the email he sent us.
System -1) PLAY AGAINST any team which is a bad AL offensive team like Toronto, scoring 4.5 or less a game, facing a pitcher like Ben Sheets (7-1, 2.72 ERA) of the Brewers, who has an ERA of 3.70 or less in the NL, taking on a cold hitting team, batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games. This system is an exquisite 37-5, 88.1 percent since the beginning of 1997 season.
Trend – 2) The Cubs and Carlos Zambrano are 12-0 as a road favorite of -125 to -150.
FREE Selection -3) Sal from the Left Coast Connection was a perfect 2-0 on Free plays, which were his own personal selections, raising record to 13-3 in MLB games. Today he’s on Detroit and might have another play up, which would be by 6 Eastern if he does. Note- After studying, nothing else made sense was the email he sent us.
Sports Betting Info, June 17 , at 3Daily Winners
We have one beauty of a System, which is 88.9 percent the last five years. Tonight’s Trend play is in Game 6 in the NBA Finals and has 100 percent record this season and a pair of Free Plays is available in MLB action. Good Luck.
System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like San Diego with a money line of +150 or more - with a starting pitcher like Randy Wolf (5-4, 1.228 WHIP) whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL and who has been a hot starting pitcher- with ERA less than 2.50 (1.35) over his last three starts. Logic dictates Wolf will continue success, but is due for back to normal outing. With Padres dreadful bullpen and the Yankees 24-5 against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more, this system’s 40-5 record the last five years look delectable.
Trend – 2) The Lakers are 0-9 ATS versus good defensive teams with shooting percentage defense of 43 percent or less this season.
FREE Selection -3) Sal from the Left Coast Connection is back and has Baltimore and Milwaukee as plays, trying to build on 11-3 record in recent MLB games.
System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like San Diego with a money line of +150 or more - with a starting pitcher like Randy Wolf (5-4, 1.228 WHIP) whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL and who has been a hot starting pitcher- with ERA less than 2.50 (1.35) over his last three starts. Logic dictates Wolf will continue success, but is due for back to normal outing. With Padres dreadful bullpen and the Yankees 24-5 against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more, this system’s 40-5 record the last five years look delectable.
Trend – 2) The Lakers are 0-9 ATS versus good defensive teams with shooting percentage defense of 43 percent or less this season.
FREE Selection -3) Sal from the Left Coast Connection is back and has Baltimore and Milwaukee as plays, trying to build on 11-3 record in recent MLB games.
Arena Football thoughts and other stuff
I went to my third ever Arena Football last night, seeing Colorado and Arizona play. Previously I’d seen the Milwaukee Mustangs (1994- 2001) on the 50-yard carpet, but couldn’t begin to guess what year, not that this matters. My previous memories were from an entertainment perspective about a five, on a scale of 1-10. Sort of like a TV show that your wife or girlfriend is watching, not bad, just not anything you would invest time on regularly. Arizona has already wrapped up playoff spot and needed to, since new ownership group “guaranteed” the Rattlers would make the postseason on a money back promise for season ticket holders. Colorado used to be a AFL power, but is 5-10 after beating Arizona and is still in contention for playoff spot (don’t ask how, please) heading into the final week of the season.
I’ve watched snippets on TV over the years, but here are general observations. I can see why veteran quarterbacks have so much more success in this league. It’s about making one or two reads and getting rid of the ball. They more flick the ball than throw it, which coming out of college would be a problem for any quarterback trained to play differently. Many throws are off-balance, thus the Kurt Warner’s are few and extremely far between.
Because it is eight on eight, three defensive linemen and a roving linebacker rush the passer. Granted Arizona and Colorado are not the crème of Arena Football, but I was perplexed why defensive linemen just bull-rushed each time and never got their hands up. With the ball being thrown so quickly, chances for a sack are few, thus a batted or tipped pass seems nearly as valuable as sack.
If any AFL team has one really good DB, they have a real chance to limit opposition and make the field smaller, because of cover skills. The motion receiver is used to run clear-outs (at least by these two teams) and was surprised neither team ran more post patterns especially on early downs. Not that an NFL general manager would do this for many reasons, however if my team ran West Coast offense, and had a receiver I wanted to develop in the slot, or a pass-catcher that was non-starter who needed work on how to get open in passing game under 10 yards, playing Arena ball could develop those skills.
The funniest thing I’ve seen in years at a sporting event was a sponsored event by Buffalo Wild Wings. Six guys had 90 seconds to eat as many wings as possible to earn a year’s supply from BWW. They were introduced, all smiley faced and seemingly anxious to chow down. Though the number eaten by the winner was never announced, the looks on these guys faces was hilarious, trying to choke down these wings and I’m sure this one dude yakked once he got off the field. Great stuff. Last time I saw something that funny was at a Chicago Bulls game and they had probably 20 babies on the floor for a race to crawl from free throw line to midcourt for some sort of prize. At one point every kid was crying, as parents were prodding them to keep crawling, hysterical.
As NFL Hall of Famer and CBS analyst Dan Dierdorf would say, “Gutsy” move by the New York Mets to fire Willie Randolph and a couple of coaches in the middle of the night Eastern time in L.A. While the Mets and Randolph were blamed for no heart in September collapse last year, which evidently had carry-over affect, it’s clear the front office has many of those same qualities.
This Javon Walker story in Vegas is bounded to have more juicy details.
Bill Walker from Kansas State decides to stay in the NBA despite injuring knee in work out at Golden State camp. Just what the NBA needs, another 6’6 power forward with limited offensive skills, with bad knees, who lacks mentally maturity. (Check K-State websites and blogs)
Sports Wagering Info, June 16 , at 3Daily Winners
In yesterday’s action, our System play and Free selection were both winners and for the first time a perfect trend was a loser this season. Today is a perfect example of what 3Daily Winners is all about, if we don’t something truly of value for our readers we’ll pass. There are a few decent systems, but nothing we would want our readers to wager on. Since we started this format, our System plays are 26-9, 74.2 percent for a reason, they are high quality. Today we have 85 percent winning trend and we go for two straight free winning selections. Good Luck.
System -1) No high quality systems available for today.
Trend – 2) The Angels are 17-3 against the money line after having lost two of their last three games this season and have won these games by an average of 1.8 runs per game.
FREE Selection -3) Our Free Pick was a Winner on Detroit yesterday and the same sports bettor is on the L.A. Angels on Monday night.
System -1) No high quality systems available for today.
Trend – 2) The Angels are 17-3 against the money line after having lost two of their last three games this season and have won these games by an average of 1.8 runs per game.
FREE Selection -3) Our Free Pick was a Winner on Detroit yesterday and the same sports bettor is on the L.A. Angels on Monday night.
A little wagering action on Father's Day
HAPPY FATHER’S DAY to you or your Dad. My father used to bring home parlay cards when I was a kid, which started my interest in numbers and trying to figure out how and what to play. Yesterday was great day to be a bookie, cleaning up in most areas. However, this is just one day and we have an outstanding System that has won 75.8 percent since beginning of 2006 MLB season. Our perfect Trend returns, let’s hope it stays that way. Our Free Play is from a professional bettor on a roll lately, cleaning up in all sports. Good Luck.
System -1) PLAY ON home teams ( Milwaukee in this case) when the money line is +125 to -125 with a starting pitcher like Seth McClung ( 3-3, 4.57 ERA as starter),whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher (Sam Baker) whose gives up 5.5 or less hits a start. This system is a delightful 44-14, 75.8 percent the last three seasons.
Trend – 2) TAMPA BAY is 16-0 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last two seasons.
FREE Selection -3) One of the fellows from the LCC, has won +15.65 units in the last three days wagering on a variety of sports and today has the Detroit Tigers as his play. Sunday home teams are amazing 103-48 this season.
System -1) PLAY ON home teams ( Milwaukee in this case) when the money line is +125 to -125 with a starting pitcher like Seth McClung ( 3-3, 4.57 ERA as starter),whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher (Sam Baker) whose gives up 5.5 or less hits a start. This system is a delightful 44-14, 75.8 percent the last three seasons.
Trend – 2) TAMPA BAY is 16-0 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last two seasons.
FREE Selection -3) One of the fellows from the LCC, has won +15.65 units in the last three days wagering on a variety of sports and today has the Detroit Tigers as his play. Sunday home teams are amazing 103-48 this season.
NBA Finals – Now Betting for Grins and Giggles
It isn’t very often one historic event takes place in a sporting event and Thursday night, two such things occurred in the absolutely most unlikely of circumstances. The Los Angeles Lakers played what was essentially a perfect first quarter, building a 35-14 lead after the first 12 minutes of Game Four. This was the largest point differential ever after one quarter of basketball in the NBA Finals. For Lakers fans, and those having wagered the -7.5-points, if only you could have seen what was ahead.Approximately two hours later in real time (as opposed to surreal time for L.A. and Boston fans) the Celtics pulled off the greatest comeback in Finals history, coming back from 24 points to defeat, deflate and harpoon the Lakers 97-92. This for-the-ages comeback will be what defines these Boston Celtics and shows what the Lakers 2007-08 lacked, heart and character.
As the years pass, people either hang on to the past or embrace what is happening today, conveniently forgetting what they already knew. Many people have recently talked about Kobe Bryant as being as good as or better than Michael Jordan, because he played spectacular all season long, has been coldly efficient in the playoffs and become more of a team player. However, in three of four games in this series, Bryant has not been up to M.J.’s standards. It should be noted, nobody on this Lakers roster looks anything like Scottie Pippen, which certainly plays a factor, but Bryant has been defended incredibly well, being contested like a pork chop to a group of hungry dogs.
Let’s not kid ourselves, this series is OVER. Whether the Lakers muster enough gumption to show any heart is unknown, but they are not going to beat a Boston team, that plays better defense, has greater desire and like a shark, smells the blood in the water now.
What’s fascinating is the Lakers have only themselves to blame. Starting in the second quarter, after moving the ball deftly for cuts to the basket and easy scores, they started getting full of themselves, as Kobe and others drove down the lane and kicked out to open shooters for three point attempts. While they made a number of these shots in the first 18 minutes, the Lakers started settling for them. This style of offense is fine if you are Steve Nash and Phoenix playing the Clippers; however the Celtics are the best defensive team in the league and started forcing turnovers on sloppy passes and made a few shots of their own.
Suddenly, the Lakers were putting up shots like Russian weightlifters, clanging everything and losing confidence faster than Barry Zito. Paul Pierce was dud in Game 3, but he was the man on both ends of the floor in Game Four. Pierce was Boston’s leading scorer, shutdown Bryant and was emotional leader. Ray Allen only sat during timeouts, playing all 48 minutes and Kevin Garnett ruled the 10 feet under both baskets in all directions the last 24 minutes.
Boston is a seven-point road underdog at most wagering, yet after covering the first four games of this series and having 9-1 ATS record as dog of 5-10 points, would it be wise to go against them? The C’s are up to 28-6 against the supposedly superior Western Conference this entire season, covering last 13 of 16 games played.
The Lakers have already talked about just focusing on Game Five and not worrying about the rest of the series. Those purple and gold backers will even point to the L.A. being 19-8 ATS revenging a home loss. Yet in MSNBC Keith Olberman mad guy commentary style, there is no debating the Lakers are now 0-8 ATS versus defensive teams with a defense percentage of 43 percent or less this season. Nor can one argue Phil Jackson’s team is down to 2-6 ATS in last eight as favorites.
Somewhere, Red Auerbach is getting ready to light another victory cigar.
Sports Wagering Info, June 14 , at 3Daily Winners
The winning continues at 3DW, with the System play and Free Pick delivering winners. In today’s action, the System play is an absolute dandy, with an 87 percent winning percentage and almost always a blowout. Check for THREE Free selections for those betting baseball and we’ll step out to Arena Football and submit a piping hot Trend. Good Luck.
System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Kansas City, with a money line of +150 or more, which are poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs a game) against a team like Arizona with a good bullpen (ERA of 3.75 or less), with the Royals pen (1.380 WHIP) falling within 1.350 to 1.450 range on the season. This has been a real beauty of a system, with 47-7 record, 87 percent winning percentage the last 11 years. Still not convinced, the average winning margin in these games has been gi-normous 3.3 runs per game.
Trend – 2) In Arena Football action, San Jose is 16-3 ATS vs. weak defenses giving up 52 or more points a game over the last two seasons.
FREE Selection -3) The Left Coast Connection consensus has had winners two days in a row and actually has three games all rated the same in MLB today. Those Free Plays are Milwaukee, Houston and Oakland.
System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Kansas City, with a money line of +150 or more, which are poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs a game) against a team like Arizona with a good bullpen (ERA of 3.75 or less), with the Royals pen (1.380 WHIP) falling within 1.350 to 1.450 range on the season. This has been a real beauty of a system, with 47-7 record, 87 percent winning percentage the last 11 years. Still not convinced, the average winning margin in these games has been gi-normous 3.3 runs per game.
Trend – 2) In Arena Football action, San Jose is 16-3 ATS vs. weak defenses giving up 52 or more points a game over the last two seasons.
FREE Selection -3) The Left Coast Connection consensus has had winners two days in a row and actually has three games all rated the same in MLB today. Those Free Plays are Milwaukee, Houston and Oakland.
Wagering on MLB teams facing Left-Handed Pitchers
Call them what you will, left-handed, lefty’s, port-siders, they disrupt the normal perspective of how a batter views a pitch being thrown at them. Every team in baseball has them, some as starters, likely a reliever or two and for whatever reason, they have a delivery that can give a hitter an uncomfortable 0 for 4. The word “crafty” is often associated with left-handed pitchers, who lack the burning fastball to retire batters and have to use guile and intelligence to get hitters out. You never hear this mentioned about a right-hander pitcher with the same skill set, like they are missing a certain gene their counterparts have been blessed with. Though these pitchers from the left side are sometimes shrouded in mystery, it’s not like they can’t be beaten. In fact, a number like Jesse Orosco or Dan Plesac received paychecks way passed their prime, simply because they could retire a left-handed batter. Here is a look at the best and worst major league team against LH hurlers.
The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim may not crush left-handed starters; however they get the best of them. On the year, the Angels are 13-3, totaling +9.6 units of profit. Truthfully, they don’t do anything special, scoring 3.9 runs per game (compared to season average of 4.2). They do hit for higher average at .271 (.256 vs all pitchers), yet somehow the Halos own pitchers throw better, allowing 2.8 RPG. It’s also intriguing to uncover, the Angels are the top Under team facing lefties at 12-3-1.
It would make sense a potent offensive club like the Boston Red Sox might touch home plate a few extra times versus southpaws. With the likes of Manny Ramirez, Kevin Youkilis, J.D. Drew and David Ortiz when healthy, they can lay the lumber to any lefty. Thus far in 2008, the Red Sox have been nearly perfect with 10-2 record, winning by better than three runs a game.
The Philadelphia Phillies are a more curious case battling left-handed hurlers. They have a 17-8 record, up +7.4 units, and the Philly lineup in not affected seeing these types of pitchers. What’s interesting is their top two everyday players, as far as batting average is concerned, hit from the left side of the box. Chase Utley and 3B Greg Dobbs bat lefty and though he’s scuffling, Ryan Howard is another big bat that does damage. The Phillies are second in the big leagues scoring runs (6.4) against Corrie Pawed (Scottish term) pitchers.
This is primarily a function of being a bad baseball team, but the Seattle Mariners are sickening 4-12 vs. port-siders, dropping -10 units. Already owning the worst record in the bigs, they haven’t helped themselves at all against lefties, being outscored by 1.7 runs per outing. The Mariners are 27th in runs scored overall and with players like Richie Sexson, Jose Vidro and Adrian Beltre, all in season long slumps, the future is hardly bright no matter who they are facing.
Another punchless bunch is the Toronto Blue Jays. Against left-handed pitchers, the Blue Jays manufacture a baseball worst 3.3 runs per game. The 6-11 record has costed backers in these situations -7.7 units. The Toronto team batting average is fair, ranking seventh in the American League, it’s just they don’t string hits together explaining 12th position in runs scored in the junior circuit.
If by some chance you are headed to England, the northern part in particular, if you drop the term, Cuddy Wifter or Kack Handed, the locals will know exactly what you mean.
Betting Baseball Info, June 13 , at 3Daily Winners
Though we missed 3-0 on Wednesday just barely, 3Daily Winners got it yesterday and will go for backto-back days, starting with Free selection on the south side of Chicago. The Trend backs a team punishing lefty’s this season and the System play goes against the best team in the big leagues. Good Luck.
System -1) PLAY ON all favorites, like Toronto, with a money line of -110 or higher, with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing three runs or less three straight games. This tantalizing system is 55-16, 77.4 percent and is coupled with another 2008 system that is 74 percent thus far.
Trend – 2) The L.A. Angles are 13-2 against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
FREE Selection -3) The Left Coast Connection has another consensus play, backing the Chicago White Sox.
System -1) PLAY ON all favorites, like Toronto, with a money line of -110 or higher, with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing three runs or less three straight games. This tantalizing system is 55-16, 77.4 percent and is coupled with another 2008 system that is 74 percent thus far.
Trend – 2) The L.A. Angles are 13-2 against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
FREE Selection -3) The Left Coast Connection has another consensus play, backing the Chicago White Sox.
Role Players are Betting Key in Game 4
The tape of Game Three of the NBA Finals between Boston and Los Angeles won’t be sent to the Basketball Hall of Fame, with a grand total of four players scoring in double figures and the total coming in 27.5-points below projected oddsmakers number. Nonetheless, the series picked up some juice with the Lakers winning, meaning everyone is able to stay the weekend in Los Angeles and maybe head down the coast and catch a little U.S. Open golf action. Kobe Bryant finally stepped up his game with 36 points and no way L.A. wins without the 20 from Sasha Vujacic. For Boston, this had to be mildly disheartening, Ray Allen is starting to place like the guy who wore a Seattle and Milwaukee uniform previously, but Paul Pierce managed to miss 14 of 16 shot attempts.Before pressing on, this 2-3-2 format is proven how stupid it really is this season. ESPN’s John Barry was quoted after Game 3 (as was Phil Jackson) saying he thought it was a jet lag game. Neither team was sharp from flying cross country. Fair enough, then why will their be two games in this series played with two days of rest in the same city, with potentially another cross-country flight with just one day between the sports most important games?
Game Four of the series will be about who shows up to make a meaningful contribution. In the boxscore, Lamar Odom is listed as PF, commonly known as power forward and Vlad Radmanovic is shown as SF, a shooting forward. Odom has was once again a non-factor, shooting 2-9 and seldom in position to make positive plays, yet maybe in his case, the PF stands for personal fouls, since he picked up five again. Vlad Rad saw his minutes fall to 13, as his defensive deficiencies are visibly noticed and his lack of offense (3 points) can not overcome.
If the Lakers expect to improve upon 11-3-1 ATS record off a win, both of those players along with Pau Gasol and Derek Fisher have to play with more aplomb. Gasol has been as soft as a marshmallow in the middle, making his chest-thumping appear comical, when like an NFL cornerback burned six times in a row, jumps up to celebrate after he made a big hit on receiver 20 yards down the field. Coming into the Finals, it was thought Fisher’s experience would create an edge over the Celtics Rajon Rondo, it hasn’t. If the Lakers expect to make this a best two of three, the aforementioned four individuals have to bring their game and attitude to Staples Center for Los Angeles to win and move to 9-3 ATS as home favorites.
For all the good Rondo had done in Boston, he was discombobulated when Bryant started Game 3 guarding him. He was unable to get into the flow thereafter, before rolling is ankle, making him questionable for tonight. This becomes a real issue for the Celtics, since Rondo whole game is based on quickness and speed, without these traits, Sam Cassell and Eddie House are next options, suggesting these slow afoot, shoot-first point guards may see greater ball pressure from the Lakers, as well as double-teaming to force them to make snap judgments. Coach Doc Rivers will need to implore his back-ups to get the ball over half court quicker, since on average, the Celtics start their offensive sets just under three seconds slower when Rondo is not in the game in this series. How this trio plays tonight, will go a long way in determining what Boston’s 3-7 ATS road record will be after the game.
For the C’s to rebound in Game 4, Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett can not play the same again. Pierce played like was pushing too hard, trying to prove to posse; he was California cool, while showing street toughness being back home on the big stage. Look for him to be more relaxed, after practicing a few gang signs. Boston is 29-12 against the spread on the road after playing as an underdog and Garnett personally let a golden opportunity slip thru his fingers. Garnett was 6-21, totaling 13 points. When he set up shop in or near the lane, the less athletic Gasol is rendered useless to stop him. When he drifted out on the perimeter as he often prefers to, coach Phil Jackson could have gotten Radmanovic more minutes.
When asked after Game 3 why he didn’t demand the ball more in the post, since the Celtics offense is more fluid, Garnett responded, "...Hell, if I knew that, I would have done it ... Obviously in the course of a game you try to mix things up ... but for the most part, I watched this game ... But you're right. I probably do need to take the ball to the basket a little more." Just think about how good he would have been playing with Michael Jordan as second fiddle.
As expected, a win by the favorite means the number goes down and the Lakers are 7.5-point favorites with Total having dipped to 191 every sportsbook. The Celtics have covered each contest in this series and are 8-1 ATS when underdogs in the 5-10 point range. Los Angeles has yet to cover versus the C’s in five tries this season.
Even with the total dropping, coach Rivers club is 14-6 UNDER as a road underdog this season, while L.A. is 16-4 UNDER after a win by six points or less this season.
Expect the stars to shine with tipoff set for 9:05 Eastern, since they will ultimately decide Game 4, however it will be the other players for both teams that will put these individuals in position to be adored.
Betting Baseball Info, June 12 , at 3Daily Winners
Just missed a perfect day, as Tim Lincecum did his job, but his Giants teammates failed to scratch across a run and Colorado won in the bottom of the ninth 1-0. On to today, we have a fantastic system that supports playing against a cold road pitcher; this winning system is a 77.1 percent winner. We have had such great success with Perfect Trends, we have another today. With so much early MLB action, we’ll supply FREE matinee selection and check back by 5:30 Eastern to look for another play. Good Luck.
System -1) PLAY ON home teams like Cleveland, with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) , against opponent with a cold starting pitcher (Twins Livan Hernandez 10.12 ERA, 2.250 WHIP) with WHIP of 2.000 or higher over his last three starts. This system has generated a 37-11, 77.1 winning record the last five seasons.
Trend – 2) The Boston Red Sox are 13-0 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 this season.
FREE Selection -3) In afternoon action, the early LCC consensus is to take Detroit Tigers to sweep the White Sox.
System -1) PLAY ON home teams like Cleveland, with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) , against opponent with a cold starting pitcher (Twins Livan Hernandez 10.12 ERA, 2.250 WHIP) with WHIP of 2.000 or higher over his last three starts. This system has generated a 37-11, 77.1 winning record the last five seasons.
Trend – 2) The Boston Red Sox are 13-0 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 this season.
FREE Selection -3) In afternoon action, the early LCC consensus is to take Detroit Tigers to sweep the White Sox.
Betting Baseball Info, June 11, at 3Daily Winners
Yesterday’s System was a Winner, but since when is playing against Seattle this year a bad idea. Today, we have pitcher throwing just awful, in a winning 74.5 percent system. We’re back with another Perfect Trend on the team with the best record in baseball and the Free Play comes from a bettor known as being modest with his plays and on a good roll presently. Good Luck.
System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Washington, with a money line of +100 or higher, allowing 4.8 or more runs a game (Nats at 4.9) on the season (NL), against opponent with a cold starting pitcher like Ian Snell (2-6, 5.65 ERA), who owns an ERA 7.00 of or his more in his last five starts. The logic here is a pitcher that has thrown this poorly is due an at least an average outing and his team should be able to support him with some runs. This situation is 38-13, 74.5 percent since the 2006 campaign.
Trend – 2) The Cubs are 12-0 against the money line in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season.
FREE Selection -3) Max from the Left Coast Connection has picked up +8.65 units of late with his conservative style and is on San Francisco with Tim Lincecum as starter for Free play.
System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Washington, with a money line of +100 or higher, allowing 4.8 or more runs a game (Nats at 4.9) on the season (NL), against opponent with a cold starting pitcher like Ian Snell (2-6, 5.65 ERA), who owns an ERA 7.00 of or his more in his last five starts. The logic here is a pitcher that has thrown this poorly is due an at least an average outing and his team should be able to support him with some runs. This situation is 38-13, 74.5 percent since the 2006 campaign.
Trend – 2) The Cubs are 12-0 against the money line in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season.
FREE Selection -3) Max from the Left Coast Connection has picked up +8.65 units of late with his conservative style and is on San Francisco with Tim Lincecum as starter for Free play.
Betting Baseball Info, June 10, at 3Daily Winners
Florida’s amazing trend of playing Over, was winner yesterday here at 3Daily Winners. Tonight we have an American League team in a bad spot against division foe for Top Trend. The System is likely to bounce back, with a. 84.5 percent situation and one of the guys from the Left Coast Connection has a two-team parlay on tap in MLB action. Good Luck.
System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Seattle, with a money line of +150 or more, a pathetic AL offensive team (4.2 runs or less runs a game), against a team like Toronto with a solid bullpen (3.33 or less ERA), while a bullpen like the Mariners has WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season. This system has generated serious cash with 49-9 record, good for +32.5 units.
Trend – 2) Detroit is 2-13 (-14.5 Units) against the money line off a loss to an AL Central rival as a favorite this season.
FREE Selection -3) One of the fellas from the LCC, prefers to play two-team parlays and has hit six of seven. He has a Windy City one to follow, taking the Cubs and White Sox. A hundred dollar wager pays out almost 2 to 1.
System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Seattle, with a money line of +150 or more, a pathetic AL offensive team (4.2 runs or less runs a game), against a team like Toronto with a solid bullpen (3.33 or less ERA), while a bullpen like the Mariners has WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season. This system has generated serious cash with 49-9 record, good for +32.5 units.
Trend – 2) Detroit is 2-13 (-14.5 Units) against the money line off a loss to an AL Central rival as a favorite this season.
FREE Selection -3) One of the fellas from the LCC, prefers to play two-team parlays and has hit six of seven. He has a Windy City one to follow, taking the Cubs and White Sox. A hundred dollar wager pays out almost 2 to 1.
Are Lakers Really Good Bet in Game 3?
Remember being in pre-school or first grade or possibly with your children; playing games were you had to come up with answers to teachers questions? The idea was to you as a child or anyone, come up with a list of answers to individual questions. It could be a fascinating topic, often not thinking of the answers others would happen to think of. For example, if the question would be, what are things that are soft, thoughts like pillows, ice cream, and a rabbit come to mind or for more creative types, the sun setting on a placid lake. For this composite list of soft things, add the Los Angeles Lakers.Bettors universally assumed the Lakers and Kobe Bryant in particular would be spitting venom in Game 2, and took Los Angeles from opening line of +2, all the way to -1.5 at tipoff. Instead, the Lakers were like a big dog asleep on his back. From the beginning of the second quarter, until the start of the last stanza, they were “out” every-thing(ed) by Boston. Out- shot, rebounded, passed, dunked, defended and most importantly out-hustled. The Celtics won the middle portion of the game 63-39, in dominating fashion.
Thou Paul Gasol’s numbers show 17 points and 10 rebounds, not one of those figures were critical and thus far it is obvious the Spaniard couldn’t box out a statue of John Quincy Adams. Evidently teams never ran a pick and roll, free throw line extended against the Memphis Grizzlies, since Gasol is alarming out of position, leaving the baseline wide open, explaining how Rajon Rando could have 16 assists in game two.
Boston has played like a team wanting a championship, bringing lunch pale and getting into defensive stance. They have double-teamed Bryant at every opportunity and not one other player in a purple uniform stepped up in first two contests. Lamar Odom has been out of position on both ends of the floor and is playing more confused than useful. If Los Angeles is not to fall to 8-19 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games, coach Phil Jackson has to find players who can match the C’s thirst for excellence.
After last contest, Jackson had to say something about free throw disparity (38-10) and though a more than a few calls were questionable, the referee’s are human and Boston was so much more aggressive, they earned the right to have the official’s benefit of the doubt. The Lakers made reserve Leon Powe look like the perfect replacement for Kevin Garnett in the future; as he scored 21 points, but did it with what L.A. lacked, hustle and heart. The Celtics are 28-12 ATS in road games after playing a game as an underdog.
In a somewhat curious twist, the oddsmakers are banking on bettors and Lakers backers to support Los Angeles as 9.5-point favorites, with total of 195.5. No doubt the Lakers 8-0 (6-2 ATS) playoff record at Staples Center is impressive; nonetheless, the Celtics have won and covered all four meetings between these long-time rivals and the first two games before Jan. 1, seems like a moot point at present.
For Los Angeles to get back into series, defense is number one prerequisite. They can’t be so easily out of position and must button down gaping holes and not run out to open shooters, leaving chasms to basket. L.A. is 9-3-1 ATS after allowing 100 points or more. The bench must have more production, especially by Luke Walton, who has been a no-show thus far in the Finals. The Lakers keep falling into Boston’s preferred tempo, and need to make them play more uncomfortably. Send four players to defensive glass and have perimeter player on opposite side of where shot was taken, be a mid-court first pass option to force tempo. Finally, show gumption, the feeling in viewing the body language of L.A. is they are surprised Boston is as physically and mentally tougher than San Antonio.
The two teams combined to make 19 three-point shots in last encounter and with the Celtics 9-14 beyond the arc; they are 13-2 ATS after a game where they made 50 percent of their three-point shots or better this season. Doc Rivers will ask for same energy and 48 minutes to take commanding 3-0. If they maintain poise, they’ll just have to do what guitar legend Eric Clapton wrote about from his Cream of Clapton CD, the song - Blues Power, where the lyrics say, “Keep on, keep on, keep on keeping on.”
Winning Wagers Requires Knowing Numbers
When betting on sports, relying on instinct will dry up your money almost as fast as a trip to the gas pump. In order win at these games, you MUST know your numbers, because rest assure, those setting the lines certainly do. If winning is really the goal, (for many, it’s just the action) proper understanding must be used to protect and enhance bankroll.Having to deal with the ups and downs of sports betting can be an emotional challenge. When anyone is on a hot streak, most every wager makes sense, the lines look soft and the cash finds you, even when you sometimes don’t deserve it and are more lucky than good. Other times, we have felt like we’d miss the water falling out of boat, not being able to pick a winner for prolonged period. In these situations, we often place undo stress on ourselves trying to chase wins, instead of putting the numbers in our favor.
In sports like baseball, the opportunity is their everyday to wager. Frequently, a bettor could have a 0-5 day and felt the immediate need to make good the very next day with 5-0 record. With very rare exception, does this ever occur and typically, a gambler that is pressing for a win comes up a loser. Instead, try a practical approach. If you start 0-5, think of it as the start of a week, no matter what the actual day of the week is. Don’t chase, work harder to be back over .500 for a seven day period and in the black over the next six days. This alleviates the pressure of having to win now, and by the end of your “week”, you could have 10-8 record and up just a little, meaning you really accomplished something in the last six days, regaining the confidence to keep moving forward. Using this thought process can help you stay out of slumps, biding time until the next hot streak comes.
Another example of knowing numbers is what separates the good bettors from the ones who make the money. Every casual baseball bettor should know, Florida has been one of the best Totals plays most of the year. The sharp bettor is more in tune to the situation and has been riding the Marlins on their 14-0-2 OVER streak. This is useful information that builds wagering accounts swiftly.
Understanding the situation is key also. Despite being up over +15 units on betting baseball this season, I committed a fundamental mistake I wanted to share. Philadelphia has been really swinging the bats, scoring lots of runs and playing a number of games Over the total. On June 2, Phils starter Kyle Kendrick, despite a descent win/loss record, has an ERA of almost five and was facing Cincinnati’s Bronson Arroyo, who has an earned run average in the 5.50 range. The Reds, though less consistent on offense, had been scoring runs at a good rate and considering their bullpen is below average, believed the play was Over 10.5. When I later saw the final score totaled just nine runs, I realized I had left one very important piece of the puzzle out of my decision, which I actually knew about. Philadelphia has the best bullpen in baseball and after Kendrick had pitched about as expected in allowing four runs in 5 1/3 innings, the Phillies pen slammed the door the last 3 2/3 and never permitted a run. Knowing the numbers matters.
Even though it’s not until next Sunday, keep this figure in mind. Home teams playing on Sunday’s are 104-48, a 68.4 winning percentage and even more profitable and astounding 57-17, 77 percent, since the first Sunday in May. Being prepared to do battle with the books can give you a huge edge, if you know your numbers.
Betting Sports - Monday, June 9, 3Daily Winners
We get an early start on this Monday, on a System play that is sizzling 87.5 percent in afternoon action. Unfortunately, Mariano Rivera blew another tie game in the 9th inning against Kansas City and this time his Yankee teammates couldn't bail him out. The Trend play favors the hottest team on the Totals side and our Free Selection comes from a member of the Left Coast Connection who is on 10-3 run in all sports. Good Luck.
System -1) PLAY ON home favorites like the Yankees with a money line of -175 to -250, averaging an error or less every other game on the season, against opponent starting a pitcher like the Royals Luke Hochevar, who walked five or more hitters’ in last outing. This system is phenomenal 21-3, 87.5 percent the last three seasons.
Trend – 2) Florida is 10-1 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (win percentage of 46 to 49 percent) this season.
FREE Selection -3) One of the fellas who prefers not to be known by identity, is on 10-3 run in all sports and suggests to play the Angels tonight.
System -1) PLAY ON home favorites like the Yankees with a money line of -175 to -250, averaging an error or less every other game on the season, against opponent starting a pitcher like the Royals Luke Hochevar, who walked five or more hitters’ in last outing. This system is phenomenal 21-3, 87.5 percent the last three seasons.
Trend – 2) Florida is 10-1 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (win percentage of 46 to 49 percent) this season.
FREE Selection -3) One of the fellas who prefers not to be known by identity, is on 10-3 run in all sports and suggests to play the Angels tonight.
Betting Sports - Sunday, June 8 at 3Daily Winners
Talked yesterday about going back to work and we certainly did with 3-0 record on Saturday. Our System play takes us right back to the South Side of Chicago with an 81.4 percent play. Another perfect Trend is available for your perusal and I’ll supply hopefully two FREE Winners, one on the diamond and one on the hardwood. Good Luck.
System -1) PLAY ON home favorites, like the White Sox with a money line of -110 or higher, who are swinging the bats to a batting average of .315 or better over their last five games, against opponent with a hot starting pitcher like Kevin Slowey (2-5, 0.952 WHIP), who has a WHIP 1.000 or less over his last three starts. This system has won 44 of last 54 times by an average of 2.1 runs per game.
Trend – 2) Tampa Bay is 10-0 against the money line after two straight games with two or more stolen bases since the beginning of 2007 season.
FREE Selection -3) Nailed down a Free Winner last night and go for three straight backing Boston in baseball and the Lakers in hoops.
System -1) PLAY ON home favorites, like the White Sox with a money line of -110 or higher, who are swinging the bats to a batting average of .315 or better over their last five games, against opponent with a hot starting pitcher like Kevin Slowey (2-5, 0.952 WHIP), who has a WHIP 1.000 or less over his last three starts. This system has won 44 of last 54 times by an average of 2.1 runs per game.
Trend – 2) Tampa Bay is 10-0 against the money line after two straight games with two or more stolen bases since the beginning of 2007 season.
FREE Selection -3) Nailed down a Free Winner last night and go for three straight backing Boston in baseball and the Lakers in hoops.
Line Movement Underscores Oddsmakers Habits
It is seemingly more automatic than gas prices going up daily, if the home team wins Game One to start the series, the next contest; the visiting team catches fewer points. Boston went off in the opener as three-point home favorite and has opened as two-point favorites for Game Two. The logical conclusion is made the road loser will be fired up and potentially provide a more inspired effort. After watching first matchup, you have to wonder will the Lakers do so. (It's a cheap attention getting photo, I know.)
For vast expanses of the first three quarters, Los Angeles was the better team in this reporter’s eyes, playing more effortlessly and being able to score when needed and able to play at Boston pace (not sure why). The Celtics defense was fixated on Kobe Bryant, doubling him on the perimeter, leaving Paul Gasol to roam free for easy, yet somehow awkward dunks and layups.
After a fast start, Kevin Garnett would missed the Boston Harbor throwing crates of tea off the British ship, badly aiming nine misguided shots. Ray Allen played both young and old in various trips down the court. Paul Pierce, what can you say about Paul Pierce? His Lazarus-like comeback in the same quarter, in which he was so badly (?) injured, could only have been fed by one thing. The ghost of Red Auerbach was making Pierce drink that Vitamin water that has helped Shaq become a jockey and LeBron a winner in the court of law.
Though clearly within striking distance, after Pierce’s near death experience and astonishing revival, the Lakers played like they had a leaky heart valve in the fourth quarter. The Los Angeles squad that was 31-15-2 ATS on the road coming into the game, left backers wanting more. Kobe wasn’t Kobe in the fourth quarter, off kilter by Boston’s alert double teams. He forced shots, missed open ones and probably felt he was being guarded by a nine-foot tall picket fence. Though he was dismissive about his 17 missed shots, "Nah, I just missed some bunnies. I just missed some really, really good looks." It was evident the Celtics defense was a conundrum for the league’s MVP.
A poignant moment in the fourth quarter, with the Celtics up six points about three and change left on the clock, was a mad scramble for the ball on the Lakers end off a missed shot. Two Boston players went diving for the ball; Vlad Radmanovic bent over and REACHED for the orange sphere. In the game’s most critical juncture, the guys in the white uniforms wanted it more their purple-clad counterparts. This was also shone on the glass as the more brutish Celtics out-rebounded the Lakers by 13.
The C’s showed why they are 20-9 ATS versus quality teams, outscoring their opponents by three or more points a game this season. KG, despite shooting issues, was a tiger on defense and helped will his team to victory. When Rome, or in this case Boston was crumbling, Pierce showed by he has the ‘C’ on his uniform, as he led his team when they needed it most. The Celtics are now 8-2 ATS when facing a team with a winning road record.
Phil Jackson is a zen master; he’ll test Bryant’s manhood in some manner in the time before the last whistle Thursday and Sunday night’s tipoff. Jackson will devise plays to free up Kobe closer to the basket, challenge Gasol to understand this is the NBA Finals, not another nice showing like he used to have in Memphis. He’ll explain to Lamar Odom, he’s far more valuable on the floor, than sitting on the bench with foul trouble.
Bettors believe the Lakers are hardly in trouble off one loss and wagering outlets now have L.A. as one-point favorites with total at 190.5. Los Angeles is 17-7 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season and comprehends they can not go down 0-2 to the best defensive team in the league. Boston roughed up the Lakers a bit and it obvious they enjoyed it. What bettors have to beware of is the Celtics have not covered three in a row since beating Atlanta in Game 2 of the playoffs first round, with carry over from the regular season.
What team will have the bigger heart, the story unfolds Sunday night at 9 Eastern.
(Photo credit goes to GABRIEL BOUYS/AFP/Getty Images.)
3Daily Winners Betting News, Saturday June 7
Tough day yesterday, however like all smart bettors, you get up, dust yourself off and look to work harder, which is what will happen. Today we have a rock solid system on an American League contest, winning 78.3 percent of the time. Though it lost yesterday, we have another 100 percent Trend today. We’ll look to take the Free pick to 7-1 in last eight later today. Good Luck.
System -1) PLAY ON home teams like the White Sox with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), against opponent with a cold starting pitcher like Livan Hernandez, with a WHIP of 2.000 or higher over his last three starts. (8.31 ERA, 2.250 WHIP) This system is 36-10, 78.3 percent over the L5Y.
Trend – 2) Boston is 14-0 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more this season.
FREE Selection -3) Our thanks to Slick Rick for a great run, going 6-1 on Free picks and we’re certain he will be back. I’ll take a turn and take the Cardinals tonight.
System -1) PLAY ON home teams like the White Sox with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), against opponent with a cold starting pitcher like Livan Hernandez, with a WHIP of 2.000 or higher over his last three starts. (8.31 ERA, 2.250 WHIP) This system is 36-10, 78.3 percent over the L5Y.
Trend – 2) Boston is 14-0 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more this season.
FREE Selection -3) Our thanks to Slick Rick for a great run, going 6-1 on Free picks and we’re certain he will be back. I’ll take a turn and take the Cardinals tonight.
3Daily Winners Wagering Plays, Friday June 6
Slick Rick is a man on a mission with SIX winning Free picks in a row here and building a huge bankroll for himself. He goes after lucky seven tonight. The System play is one of the best we’ve had this season, at 87.5 percent in over 50 games. Another perfect Trend play is also in order. Good Luck.
System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Baltimore with a money line of +150 or more, who struggles to score runs (4.2 or less runs a game) against a team with a very good bullpen like Toronto (ERA 3.33 or less), with the Orioles having a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season. This system is money, at 49-7, 87.5 percent.
Trend – 2) Seattle is 0-13 against the money line after two or more consecutive Overs this year.
FREE Selection -3) Slick Rick from the Left Coast Connection has provided us with SIX straight winners, all for FREE. Over the last 11 days he is +22.25 units, betting baseball smartly. His play tonight is on Florida.
System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Baltimore with a money line of +150 or more, who struggles to score runs (4.2 or less runs a game) against a team with a very good bullpen like Toronto (ERA 3.33 or less), with the Orioles having a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season. This system is money, at 49-7, 87.5 percent.
Trend – 2) Seattle is 0-13 against the money line after two or more consecutive Overs this year.
FREE Selection -3) Slick Rick from the Left Coast Connection has provided us with SIX straight winners, all for FREE. Over the last 11 days he is +22.25 units, betting baseball smartly. His play tonight is on Florida.
3Daily Winners Betting Info, Thursday June 5
When a smart sports bettor is on a roll, it is a thing of beauty, which is exactly what Slick Rick is on. He’s making money like he has a printing press and already gave us the Cardinals today from last night’s rainout. He’s out for six straight tonight on FREE selections. As has happened since we started this feature, the System play bounced back off a loss and tonight has one going that is 19-2 the last five years. The Trend play goes for two in a row, looking towards the American League. Good Luck.
System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Texas, with a money line of +100 to +150, with a starting pitcher like Kevin Millwood (3-3, 1.593 WHIP), whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for six or more runs. (Allowed nine last night) Since 2004, this system is a special 19-2, 90.4 percent.
Trend – 2) The Texas Rangers are 15-3 OVER against AL Central opponents this season.
FREE Selection -3) Slick Rick from the LCC is really on a great run here at 3Daily Winners and emailed me early today that he was staying with St. Louis in Game 1 after rainout. As expected he was correct raising his record to 5-0 in MLB selections and he’s now a silly +20.25 units the last 10 days betting baseball. He’s suggesting Boston to sweep the Rays tonight, are you going to bet against him?
System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Texas, with a money line of +100 to +150, with a starting pitcher like Kevin Millwood (3-3, 1.593 WHIP), whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for six or more runs. (Allowed nine last night) Since 2004, this system is a special 19-2, 90.4 percent.
Trend – 2) The Texas Rangers are 15-3 OVER against AL Central opponents this season.
FREE Selection -3) Slick Rick from the LCC is really on a great run here at 3Daily Winners and emailed me early today that he was staying with St. Louis in Game 1 after rainout. As expected he was correct raising his record to 5-0 in MLB selections and he’s now a silly +20.25 units the last 10 days betting baseball. He’s suggesting Boston to sweep the Rays tonight, are you going to bet against him?
Betting Info for Game 1 NBA Finals
If David Stern and the rest of the NBA minions are smiling ear to ear, hard to blame them, as they couldn’t have drawn up a more perfect match for the NBA Finals. We have enough NBA championship banners hung in the rafters to curtail the affects of global warming in this country (includes those from George Mikan era). For nostalgia buffs, names like Bill Russell, John Havlicek, Wilt Chamberlain, Jerry West and Elgin Baylor have been mentioned, along with Larry Bird, Kevin McHale, Magic Johnson and Kareem Abdul-Jabbar. This matchup brings back memories of the old, to go along with making new memories from the present.Among the fascinating aspects of these Finals, is offense vs defense confrontation. The Boston Celtics were considered the best defensive team in the NBA this season, though Detroit ended up allowing the fewest points by .02. (90.1 vs 90.3) Boston was by far the best defensive team in the NBA according to John Hollinger of ESPN, using defensive efficiency ratings. In fact, according to his rating system, the Celtics are the third best defensive team in the last 35 years, which is how far back all the numbers relating to system go.
This style of basketball would never fly in Los Angeles on the professional level. It works fine at college campus’ like UCLA and USC, however this is Tinsel-Town and the patrons are expecting to be entertained. The Lakers finished fourth in the league in scoring at 108.6 points a game and was the only one among the four that paid homage to defense. Pau Gasol became the missing piece to a surprisingly potent L.A. team. In the 41 games of the Gasol era, the Lakers have been the best team in offensive efficiency in the NBA, which is quite remarkable considering 16 of those games have coming during more defensive-minded playoff basketball.
Another intriguing aspect of the Finals, is the lightly-regarded point differential of the regular season. In the last six years, the team that finished with either the first or second largest scoring margin has gone on to win the title four times. This season, Boston was first at +10.3 points and Los Angeles was third at +7.3 points.
Boston is 7-2 ATS against teams with winning road records (31-17, 31-15-2 ATS on the year) and will have to decide how to guard Kobe Bryant in the opener. In the prior two meetings, they didn’t go anything radical, seldom using double teams and changed on all screens. What they did do is go underneath on screens, trying to do two things. Take away driving lanes for Bryant to go to the basket for fouls and make him a jump shooter. Kobe piles up points methodically when he starts marching to the line. This is what the C’s want to prevent and it has worked, since they are 12-3 ATS in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams, making 76 percent of their attempts since the 42-game mark of the season. Bryant, however, can drain jumpers at an alarming rate when in the groove. Boston will have to take that chance early at home.
Questions emerge about Gasol being in the spotlight, especially with the physical frontcourt players the Celtics possess. Kendrick Perkins confidence has grown with each Boston win, yet is Rajon Rando ready for primetime against Derek Fisher and his bling of three championship rings. Rando has severe quickness edge over Fisher and Phil Jackson will not hesitate to bring Jordan Farmar off the bench to match quicks. The Lakers are 8-3-1 ATS on the road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
In seven games series, a third scorer is frequently a difference-maker along with bench play. Will Ray Allen continue improved shooting or does chasing Kobe leave him with dead legs? Will Lamar Odom be focused enough quarter to quarter and not disappear for long stretches trying to find his place in the offense?
Most sportsbooks have Boston as a 2.5-point home favorite with Total of 192. L.A. is 15-7 ATS as a road underdog this year, the Celtics 29-20 against the spread as home favorite. Though these are vastly different teams from the past, seven of last 11 contests have gone Over in downtown Boston.
Checked with a number experts and the side and the total seems to be divided pretty evenly. I'll pass tonight and look towards Game 2 for wagering opportunity. I did take the Lakers at -190 to win the series.
3Daily Winners Betting Info, Hump Day, June 4
Slick Rick is putting smiles and money into the pockets of 3DW readers and is confident he can make it 5-0 tonight on his Free pick. The System has a rare loser yesterday and visits the Total, in the City of Brotherly Love. Today’s top Trend has a perfect record in 2008. Good Luck.
System -1) PLAY UNDER any good offensive team like Philadelphia, against a good starting like the Reds Edinson Volquez (7-1, 1.46 ERA), who has an ERA under 3.70 in the NL, when the other teams pitcher, Brett Meyers (3-6, 1.582 WHIP) in this case, owns a WHIP between 1.550 to 1.650 on the season in the senior circuit. This respectable system is 36-9, 80 percent the last five years.
Trend – 2) Boston Red Sox are 13-0 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more this season.
FREE Selection -3) Slick Rick from the LCC is really on a great run here at 3Daily Winners with 4-0 record on his Free selections and he’s personally up outrageous +17.95 units the last nine days betting baseball. Tonight he’s on St. Louis, seeking another winner.
System -1) PLAY UNDER any good offensive team like Philadelphia, against a good starting like the Reds Edinson Volquez (7-1, 1.46 ERA), who has an ERA under 3.70 in the NL, when the other teams pitcher, Brett Meyers (3-6, 1.582 WHIP) in this case, owns a WHIP between 1.550 to 1.650 on the season in the senior circuit. This respectable system is 36-9, 80 percent the last five years.
Trend – 2) Boston Red Sox are 13-0 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more this season.
FREE Selection -3) Slick Rick from the LCC is really on a great run here at 3Daily Winners with 4-0 record on his Free selections and he’s personally up outrageous +17.95 units the last nine days betting baseball. Tonight he’s on St. Louis, seeking another winner.
Good Luck figuring out 2008 Atlanta Braves
The Atlanta Braves bring to mind Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde or maybe Sally Fields Emmy-winning TV-movie “Sybil” (1976), about a woman with multiple personalities. Whatever it is, Atlanta is either the easiest baseball wager of all-time or the most confounding team in years. We’ll start with the basics; Atlanta is 30-28, tied with the Mets for third place in the NL East, having lost -3.5 units of profit for backers. The Braves have a +51 run differential, which is extreme, considering National League teams with similar aren’t even close. The Mets are +2, Houston -12, and Milwaukee is -13.On to the crazy stuff. Atlanta is 23-7 at Turner Field this season, second best in NL, gathering +13.6 units, when wagered upon. They score 5.6 runs a game at home, which trails only the Cubs and Philadelphia as homies. They hit a robust .307 when wearing the white uniforms and outscore the opposition by 1.9 runs per game. The Braves are a rock solid 14-4 at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.
Contrast this with the same exact players that go on the road, with - Atlanta -stitched across their chest. After another lugubrious road trip that saw them post a 1-5 mark, Atlanta is league worst 7-21, burying those who might think they can turn it around, at revolting -17.1 units in just 28 games. "It's mind-boggling," Braves pitcher Tim Hudson said Sunday. "How good we can play at home, and how putrid we've been on the road."
Tom Glavine returned to the place of his greatest triumphs and has seen it all in his career and is adding another chapter. “It just seems like whatever can go wrong on the road has," Glavine said. "I've never been on a team like this -- money at home, and can't do anything on the road.” The veteran left-hander went on to say, “You have to figure that at some point we're going to start cooling off at home. But we'd better not, until we figure out how to win on the road."
In the numerical sense here is what Glavine understands. Philadelphia is on pace to win 92 games in the NL East. If the Braves were to play one game over .500 the rest of the year on the road (27-26), this would mean they would have to win 37 of last 55 home games, just to tie the Phillies. Granted, that would be below current home winning percentage, truth is nobody can reasonably expect to go 58-23 at home.
What is the problem for the Bravos on the road? Ranking 27th at 3.7 RPG on the road doesn’t help. After losing four one-run games on recent road excursion, manager Bobby Cox had a positive spin, "we've got a good club, because you're (we’re) right in everything." True enough, but another black cloud is hanging over this franchise. Atlanta has tied the Pittsburgh Pirates (1985 to 1986) for the most consecutive one run road losses at 20, dating back to August 10 of last season. The all-time record is within reach, with Kansas City at 21, covering the close of 2000 campaign, before ending in 2001. For the entire year, the Braves are 2-16 in games decided by a single run. The bullpen, in spite of Top 10 earned run average in baseball, is 0-8 in win/loss situations on the road, proving they are making the one critical mistake when team can least afford to do so.
Chipper Jones has said he felt the number of young players on the roster has contributed to strange anomaly, yet last year with essentially the same roster, they were 44-37 at “the Ted” and 40-41 as the visitor. Other quirky stats also make this situation hard to figure. Though the Atlanta hitters have scored far more runs at home than away, they strikeout more often at home (H 13th – R 5th). The Braves have shown more plate discipline as visitors, having the third most walks of any road team, compared to ninth versus other home squads. Though this statistic has proven not to as important as the radio and TV folks report, Cox’s club leaves the second most runners on base in home ballparks and is 18th on the road leaving runners on the base paths.
What can one conclude from the befuddling Braves? As opposed to football or basketball wagering, which frequently have the “due” factor, when it comes to betting baseball, ride the tide. Atlanta has a seven-game homestand against two of the teams ahead of them in the NL East, Florida and Philadelphia, suggesting keep playing on them in Hotlanta. When they go back on the road next Tuesday, to face the Cubs, back the home team decidedly.
3Daily Winners Betting Info, Tuesday June 3
Props to Slick Rick who has given out three Winners in a row here at 3Daily Winners and looks for #4 in the American League, Yawn, yawn, yawn, just another winning play from our MLB System yesterday. Tonight we have an 80 percent winner to pound. Good Luck.
System -1) PLAY ON home favorites like Minnesota with a money line of -125 to -175, with a starting pitcher like Kevin Slowey, who gives up one or more HR's a start (6 in 6), after two straight games where the bullpen gave up no runs. This stunning system is 56-14, 80 percent the last five years and 3-1 in 2008.
Trend – 2) Colorado is 6-21 against the money line against NL West opponents in 2008.
FREE Selection -3) Slick Rick from the Left Coast Connection looks to make it three days in a row (3-0 at 3DW) with Winners, he’s personally up +14.95 units the eight days. Tonight he’s on Toronto, with Halladay as posted starter.
System -1) PLAY ON home favorites like Minnesota with a money line of -125 to -175, with a starting pitcher like Kevin Slowey, who gives up one or more HR's a start (6 in 6), after two straight games where the bullpen gave up no runs. This stunning system is 56-14, 80 percent the last five years and 3-1 in 2008.
Trend – 2) Colorado is 6-21 against the money line against NL West opponents in 2008.
FREE Selection -3) Slick Rick from the Left Coast Connection looks to make it three days in a row (3-0 at 3DW) with Winners, he’s personally up +14.95 units the eight days. Tonight he’s on Toronto, with Halladay as posted starter.
3 Daily Winners Betting Info, Monday June 2
A perfect 4-0 Sunday for followers here at 3Daily Winners. We’ll settle for 3-0 today, following are amazing Systems, which have an underdog in a 78.8 percent winning situation. The Trend suggests the hockey season could be coming to a close and our hot bettor from the LCC has his Top Play of the Day for FREE. Good Luck.
System -1) PLAY ON home teams like San Francisco, when the money line is +125 to -125; with a starting pitcher like Jonathan Sanchez (3-3, 4.26) whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), against opponent with a starting pitcher like Oliver Perez (4-3, 4.83), who gives up 5.5 or less hits a start. In this case, Perez’s numbers are deceiving, as he averages less than six innings a start. This winning system is 41-11, 78.8 percent the last three years, including 4-0 in 2008.
Trend – 2) The Detroit Red Wings are 15-2 in last 17 Stanley Cup finals.
FREE Selection -3) Slick Rick from the Left Coast Connection is on a hot streak in MLB action, up +13.35 units the last week. He provided two winners yesterday and is on the Brewers with Jeff Suppan this evening.
System -1) PLAY ON home teams like San Francisco, when the money line is +125 to -125; with a starting pitcher like Jonathan Sanchez (3-3, 4.26) whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), against opponent with a starting pitcher like Oliver Perez (4-3, 4.83), who gives up 5.5 or less hits a start. In this case, Perez’s numbers are deceiving, as he averages less than six innings a start. This winning system is 41-11, 78.8 percent the last three years, including 4-0 in 2008.
Trend – 2) The Detroit Red Wings are 15-2 in last 17 Stanley Cup finals.
FREE Selection -3) Slick Rick from the Left Coast Connection is on a hot streak in MLB action, up +13.35 units the last week. He provided two winners yesterday and is on the Brewers with Jeff Suppan this evening.
Monday MLB Betting - Trends as your Friends
Whether it’s been a good or bad week for those betting on baseball, the beauty of the sport is it will start its 10th week of the season, meaning we’ve gone through a great deal already, with a whole lot more to go. As the week begins anew, here are a number of hot betting trends that will be less controversial than Rachael Ray wearing a scarf pushing Dunkin’ Donuts ice coffee.The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim are in first place in the AL West, despite having a team batting average of only .255, which is ninth in the junior circuit. They are thankful not to be their opponent, Seattle, tonight in the series opener between these division rivals who were supposed to be duking it out. The Mariners are the worst wager in the American League at 21-36, -18.1 units. They are 9-25 (-18.4 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season, losing by two runs a game.
The defending World Series champion Boston Red Sox have had their problems on the road this season at 14-19 and have lost -7.5 units. After starting 10-game road trip on the West Coast with 1-5 record, the Red Sox returned east and went a place where they have often felt welcomed and enjoyed success. Boston completes a four-game series in Baltimore, having taken the first three at Camdem Yards, moving record to 16-7 at the Orioles ball park. Boston is 24-6 when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
This just in, the Colorado Rockies smell worse than a week old opened can of Coors Light at 20-37 (-18.8 units). The Rockies own the worst record in the majors; have the most negative run differential in baseball at -74 and are otiose 8-23 on the road. Without Troy Tulowitzki, Matt Holliday or Brad Hawpe, punch-less Colorado’s current 0-7 road trip continues in Los Angeles, being 6-23 vs. a good bullpen like the Dodgers, whose ERA is 3.75 or better in 2008.
If there is one team glad to be home today, it is the Atlanta Braves. The team has been one of the biggest mysteries in baseball this year, given their home/road dichotomy. After another sickly road trip that saw Atlanta go 1-5, they return to Turner Field to open up a seven game homestand against Florida and Philadelphia, who are both ahead of them in the NL East. The Braves confidence is boosted being 21-7 at home, winning by two runs a game.
The Chicago Cubs are starting to frighten fans of the lovable losers. With 100 years of failure in the books, the Cubs owned the best record in the major leagues on June 1, the last time that happened, 1908, which happens to be the year of last World Series championship season. Off a perfect 7-0 homestand, Chicago heads to the left coast to play San Diego and are 16-2 after four or more consecutive home games this season. The lovable Cubs are -165 money line favorites to open series and have won these games by better than three runs.
Sunday June 1, Three Daily Winners Betting Info
After our System play produced a comfortable 4-0 winner with Arizona yesterday, the numbers suggest to ride them again today, for far different reasons. Another extra inning loss on the Trend side suggests a little luck is needed more than anything and one of the best AL home teams is up today. The Free plays honestly have not been stellar of late, thus we turn Slick Rick to provide readers a couple of winners. Good Luck.
System -1) PLAY ON home favorites like Arizona with a money line of -175 to -250, who are a solid fielding team, averaging less than a error every other game on the season, against opponent starting a pitcher like Shawn Hill, who walked five or more hitters last outing. This system is an amazing 42-6, 87.5 percent the last 11 seasons, winning by an average of 3.2 runs per game.
Trend – 2) Tampa Bay has second best records in the American League for home record (23-10) and units won (+12) and has won 19 of last 22 at “The Trop” in Tampa.
FREE Selection -3) Slick Rick from the Left Coast Connection is on a hot streak in MLB action, up +9.95 units the last six days and is backing the Giants and the Mets today.
System -1) PLAY ON home favorites like Arizona with a money line of -175 to -250, who are a solid fielding team, averaging less than a error every other game on the season, against opponent starting a pitcher like Shawn Hill, who walked five or more hitters last outing. This system is an amazing 42-6, 87.5 percent the last 11 seasons, winning by an average of 3.2 runs per game.
Trend – 2) Tampa Bay has second best records in the American League for home record (23-10) and units won (+12) and has won 19 of last 22 at “The Trop” in Tampa.
FREE Selection -3) Slick Rick from the Left Coast Connection is on a hot streak in MLB action, up +9.95 units the last six days and is backing the Giants and the Mets today.
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