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2004 The Sports Eye 2nd Preseason NFL
2004 Wagertracker 1st Preseason NFL
2004 Gurutracker 8th NFL
2004-05 Wagertacker 1st NBA Best Bets
2004-05 The Sports Eye 1st College Hoops
2004 The Sports Eye 1st Baseball
After hooking up with handicapper Paul Buck we accomplished this:
2006 Free Sports Monitor 1st College Football
2007 Free Sports Monitor 4th Baseball
This season in baseball I'm 183-145, good for +19.57 units. Paul has his own paid picks that will show up here shortly. It's your choice, but as we all know, free is great price.
Early Line Moves in Foootball
Last week we introduced Early Line Moves. We seek out the earliest lines and compare them on late Tuesday nights to see what the so-called Line Movers do. By and large their track record is solid and dependable. As the season wears on, our results have shown these numbers to get better. Last week in college football, they were 8-4 and thou we will not officially count the college totals, 10-5 is awfully damn good. Enjoy reading and closely follow these numbers for wagering portfolio.
College Sides
Michigan State -24 to -21
Auburn -20- to -17.5
Ohio State -37 to -33
Penn State -13 to -16.5
Florida -24 to -21.5
Oklahoma State -12.5 to -16.5
Wake Forest -10 to -7.5
California -11 to -13.5
Tulsa -18 to -21.5
College Totals
GT/BC 41.5 to 38.5
WV/ ECU 53 to 50
Minn/BG 58 to 55
SJ State/Neb 61 to 57.5
Miami/FL 58 to 51
SD St/ ND 46 to 43
Missi/WF 50 to 47
NIU/WM 56 to 53
So. Flor/UCF 58 to 51.5
Stan/ASU 55.5 to 52.5
NFL Sides
Baltimore -1 to +1.5
Detroit -1 to -3
Dallas -3 to -5.5
Denver -1 to -3
NFL Totals
Cinc/Balt 42 to 38.5
KC/NE 48 to 44
Det/Atl 44 to 41
College Sides
Michigan State -24 to -21
Auburn -20- to -17.5
Ohio State -37 to -33
Penn State -13 to -16.5
Florida -24 to -21.5
Oklahoma State -12.5 to -16.5
Wake Forest -10 to -7.5
California -11 to -13.5
Tulsa -18 to -21.5
College Totals
GT/BC 41.5 to 38.5
WV/ ECU 53 to 50
Minn/BG 58 to 55
SJ State/Neb 61 to 57.5
Miami/FL 58 to 51
SD St/ ND 46 to 43
Missi/WF 50 to 47
NIU/WM 56 to 53
So. Flor/UCF 58 to 51.5
Stan/ASU 55.5 to 52.5
NFL Sides
Baltimore -1 to +1.5
Detroit -1 to -3
Dallas -3 to -5.5
Denver -1 to -3
NFL Totals
Cinc/Balt 42 to 38.5
KC/NE 48 to 44
Det/Atl 44 to 41
Free Plays for September 4 from 3Daily Winners
A second straight 2-1 day works as Milwaukee coughed up home series to the Mets. (So did the Cubs) If you’ve noticed, San Diego has been a frequent target of play against teams in our Top Baseball System. Will they be marked again today? We’ll jump over to a little college football and football in general as the weeks pass by and baseball doesn’t offer quite as many Top Trends. Free Play up for review. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST any poor team like San Diego with BA .250 or less, against an average starting pitcher like Jeff Suppan (10-7, 4.49 ERA) who has ERA in 4.20 to 5.20 range in the NL, with a starting pitcher Shawn (Oh my arm hurts) Estes, whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL. This sweet system is 19-3, 86.3 percent since 2004.
Free Football Trend -2) With today a slow baseball day and many more to come, we’ll start throwing in upcoming football trends and keep track as the games are played. For example, Wyoming is 0-6 ATS when favored at home recently.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Jason is the newest member of the Left Coast Connection and has been one of the bet NFL players according to the members that know him. Tonight he's backing the New York football Giants.(Editor's note: This was at -4)
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST any poor team like San Diego with BA .250 or less, against an average starting pitcher like Jeff Suppan (10-7, 4.49 ERA) who has ERA in 4.20 to 5.20 range in the NL, with a starting pitcher Shawn (Oh my arm hurts) Estes, whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL. This sweet system is 19-3, 86.3 percent since 2004.
Free Football Trend -2) With today a slow baseball day and many more to come, we’ll start throwing in upcoming football trends and keep track as the games are played. For example, Wyoming is 0-6 ATS when favored at home recently.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Jason is the newest member of the Left Coast Connection and has been one of the bet NFL players according to the members that know him. Tonight he's backing the New York football Giants.(Editor's note: This was at -4)
New York Giants Betting Favorite
The New York Giants will start the 2008 campaign, essentially where they left the 2007 regular season. They are believed to be a pretty good football team, with enough weapons to be dangerous, however with shortcomings in enough areas. Along the way, in between the end of one season and before the next, they picked up a little hardware and some gaudy rings, having something to do with that Super Bowl thing. Giants’ fans and football bettors are still relishing the money they made on New York’s improbable run to NFL title, especially those on the money line against the then unbeaten New England Patriots.Its opening night of a new season and Roger the Commish and his minions give us an old-fashioned NFC East rivalry to kick-off a new 17-week regular season. The Giants start under the leadership of Eli Manning, no longer challenged if he can be The Man in New York.
The Giants do have problems coming into the season with injuries, free agency and retirement taking away many of the aspects that contributed to spectacular late season run. This is not to say the cupboard is bare on defense for the G-Men, rather signals defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo will have to meet the challenge with new personnel. Last year the Giants were 6-0 ATS when they held teams between 15 and 21 points.
Washington has given unproven Jim Zorn the keys to the Redskins present and future, with plenty of doubt surrounding the environment. While quarterback Jason Campbell strives to learn yet another offensive system, how the running game works will determine early season success or failure of Washington. The offensive line brought back a couple of old faces that were injured last season, but essentially the group is the same, meaning Clinton Portis will have to use his vision and shiftiness to find holes. The Giants will try to clog running lanes; to stifle Skins attack and make Campbell hit many of his new receivers. Washington arrives in New Jersey 13-5-1 ATS against NFC East opponents.
Sportsbooks have moved New York up to 4.5-point favorite with total of 41. The Giants are 10-6 and 9-7 ATS hosting Washington since 1992, with the visitor having covered three in a row.
Serious football bettors will want to watch how Redskins T Stephen Heyer handles DE Justin Tuck. Heyer is descent player who gives good effort. Tuck has high motor and quickness off the ball. Whoever wins this battle will help team immeasurably.
Another battle is Plaxico Burress vs. Shawn Springs. When Plax plays like he did in the postseason, he is unstoppable in all the various pass routes. Springs is intelligent defender, and will try to jam Burress to throw off timing routes of which Manning is extremely comfortable throwing.
Lastly, will Manning be able to have TE Kevin Boss as reliable bailout? Boss looked uncertain in preseason. This could cause teams to double Burress if they don’t fear Boss or any other Giants tight ends.
Washington is 5-5 and 2-6-2 ATS in first game of the season and 6-10 ATS on the road the last two seasons. New York is also .500 in first tilt, with exact same spread record at 5-5.
NBC has the NFL season opener with Al and John and presumably new artist singing song to start the year. Keep in mind the Super Bowl champs are 6-0-1 ATS in first game the next season.
A look ahead in Rearview Mirror in Betting Football
Bettors across the country either benefited or were hung by what has become an annual right of college football the first few weeks of the season. Because of the limited amount of practice time coaches have with players and scholarship limitations, special teams are often neglected aspect of preseason practice. It’s not like the NFL where kinks can be worked out ahead of time. No matter what coaches’ hope, game speed is warp speed compared to what happens in practice. They worry a lot about this element of football to start the year.Some coaches want to use best athletes or starters on special teams, but too often the players might not be focused, thinking about normal assignments. Hustling players with lesser ability might get caught up in wedge or lack lane responsibilities, allowing for kickoff or punt returns. UCLA had blocked punt to give them early momentum in upset of Tennessee. Missouri’s electric Jeremy Maclin had 99-yard kickoff return and 45-yard punt return before leaving with sprained ankle to help keep Illinois at bay. East Carolina was rewarded for out-playing Virginia Tech, with late blocked punt for the win. Colorado and Colorado State even had the rare back-to-back kickoff returns. This is one aspect that is difficult to account for from handicapping perspective early in the year, which has enormous impact on the outcome of games and wagers.
Do’s
It seems safe to say Mark Sanchez is very good quarterback and USC will continue to be a good wager as long as Pete Carroll is head coach (55-36 ATS, 60.4 percent). They gave scary good effort against Virginia, showing imagination, skill and domination. At one point in the second quarter, quarterback Pete Lalich threw a pass for completion and looked at teammate with raised eyebrow and half smile as if to say, “I did that against those guys, Wow.”
The only thing Clemson lacked in the preseason was a good enough offensive line with just one starter back. Turned out to be a WAY bigger deal than what most believed. The Tigers again showed they were the cowardly lion from the Wizard of Oz. If Nick Saban is a top 10 college coach (which he is), than Tommy Bowden is in the 90’s among his 120 FBS peers. Clemson might still end up being the best team in the ACC, but will anyone care? Those who had Clemson minus points are unlikely to return any time soon. Either playing against or passing on these toothless Tigers is the best bet.
Watching Virginia Tech, the thought crossed my mind, when was the last time I saw a team from Blacksburg that had less talent. East Carolina out-gained the Hokies 369-243 and held Frank Beamer’s team to 12 first downs. Skip Holtz’s team flying under the radar days are quickly coming to an end, especially if they can pull another upset this time at home against West Virginia. ECU is now special 27-11 ATS with Holtz as coach.
Missouri has Nevada and Buffalo in coming weeks, giving ample time to sort out defensive shortcomings. Chase Daniel makes every play and you’re almost surprised when he doesn’t complete pass. This offense is dynamic and will light up scoreboards all season. Covering spreads is doable for Missouri, if defense doesn’t play as soft as they did in the second half against Illinois.
Don’ts
Unless Illinois finds a running game against reasonable competition (Eastern Illinois does not quality as such this week), it could disappointment city for the Illini. Yes, Juice Williams did look better as passer, while still fair on touch routes. The Zookers are not going to be good bet if they become passing team. A 7-5 record appears to be fate, with .500 or less spread record unless running backs and defensive front seven improves.
The ACC caught plenty of deserved flak, but what about the Big East? Favored Pittsburgh, Louisville and Rutgers all lost at home on consecutive days and they were considered middle to upper tier of the conference. Dave (I’ve never coached a game I couldn’t lose) Wannstedt’s Pitt club again crumbled at the first sign of adversity at home to Bowling Green, after building 14-0 lead. Three fumbles doomed the Panthers, being outscored 27-3 the rest of the way by the Falcons. Don’t assume the Wanny’s bounce back either, being 5-10 ATS off a loss. Did Bobby Petrino stop recruiting before he left Louisville or is replacement Steve Kragthorpe over his head coaching in BCS league? Not convinced Kentucky’s defense is as good as they looked, as Louisville looked clueless against the Cats. Rutgers had chances to grab lead from Fresno State at home, but miscues and misplays cost them dearly. What could once again be foreshadowing, the Scarlet Knights were punished for 206 yards rushing by the Bulldogs (allowed 200+ yards rushing five times in 2007). Rutgers has 10 days to prepare for North Carolina, nevertheless are only 8-10 ATS as home favorites of late.
Another assumption not to make is South Carolina is really coming on after white-washing nauseating N.C. State squad 34-0. After making junior Tommy Beecher his quarterback back in April, Coach Steve Spurrier was more patience than TLC’s “Jon and Kate Plus 8”, watching Beecher toss four picks. Former starter Chris Smelley came in and led three touchdown drives, earning a start this week. Unless Smelley turns into Tim Tebow the rest of the year, this game of musical chairs under center limits what bettors can expect from what should be very good defensive team.
Media- I continue to be amazed Bob Greise still has a job broadcasting football. He seldom offers any real insight and makes more mistakes than almost any announcer you listen to. This past Saturday, ABC called Keith Jackson to see what the retired legendary announcer was doing on the opening week of college football. Greise was involved in the conversation and asked Jackson, his former long time partner, how many times he said “Oh Nellie!” I almost spilled my beverage in shock. The entire world knows Jackson bellowed for decades, “Whoa Nellie!” and this ignoramus who sat next to him for years couldn’t get it right.
Todd Christensen used to be a very good tight end for the Oakland Raiders and was a top TV analyst for NBC and ESPN. Reports of his demise were often centered on his lack of preparedness and he is doing The Mountain West conference games on The Mountain Network. It was a pleasure to here his voice again, since he is eloquent speaker and has a command of the English language. Though still not always prepared, “#44 made a nice play on the ball” at least he doesn’t butcher the language of the United States. (It still is English right?)
Did anybody see the ESPN post-game wrapup Saturday night with Rece, Lou and Mark? They had this new feature called The Verdict. Honestly, it looked like a bad Saturday Night Live skit.
Free Baseball Plays for Wednesday
A pleasant 2-1 day actually included three winners (see below), unfortunately my parlay was bust. Today we bring back blistering System that is 33-1 the last three years. The Top Trend follows the exploits of a Japanese fellow who has been big winner all year and Mark from the LCC is coming to a simmer with 6-1 record and has his Top Play available for viewing. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like San Diego with a money line of +175 to +250, batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher like Hiroki Kuroda, with a WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last five starts. We have used this system in the past and it is 33-1 since 2006 and 8-0 this season.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Boston is 20-4 when Daisuke Matsuzaka starts this season.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Mark from the Left Coast Connection is 6-1 since Sunday in all sports wagering and is playing Milwaukee this afternoon.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like San Diego with a money line of +175 to +250, batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher like Hiroki Kuroda, with a WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last five starts. We have used this system in the past and it is 33-1 since 2006 and 8-0 this season.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Boston is 20-4 when Daisuke Matsuzaka starts this season.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Mark from the Left Coast Connection is 6-1 since Sunday in all sports wagering and is playing Milwaukee this afternoon.
NFL Predictions and Player Talent Codes
I've have decided to present the best of both worlds, reviewing a number of NFL annuals on bookstore shelves and determining how these magazines feel about the upcoming football season. In addition, I've performed homework and went through NFL scouting material to see how each starting player was graded was based on 2007 performance. In the NFL, the more talent you have the better chances of winning, plain and simple. The trusted coding system is “Blue” for elite players per position, “Red” for quality players and “Purple” for above average, just not game changers. The projected records are an average of what the preseason magazines predicted and we’ll give the breakdown of talent on offense and defense of each team by color system, indicating talent levels of 22 starters for all 32 teams.AFC East (Projected record)
1)New England 13-3 – (Offense – 2-Blue, 7- Red / Defense – 1-B, 4-R, 2-P)
2)Buffalo 8-8 – (Off.- 1-B, 4-R / Def.-3-R, 2-P)
3)New York Jets 8-8 (Off.-1-B, 7-R / Def.-5-R, 1-P)
4)Miami 3-13 (Off.- 2-R, 1-P / Def.- 2-R, 2-P)
Analysis- The New England Patriots have a sizable talent difference over their division competitors. The prognostications were placed well before the Brett Favre deal was even thought about, meaning the New York Jets would likely now have better record, as the “blue” player they picked up was number 4. The scouts in general were already impressed with the talent on hand for the Flyboys and this is further enhanced with Favre under center. Buffalo previously had more calls for second place finish, as they utilize the team concept without exceptional ability on both sides of the ball. It should be noted the Bills return players like LB Paul Posluszny and FS Ko Simpson, who were not rated due to early season injuries in 2007. Look for Miami to play tougher with Bill Parcells crafting team in his image, nevertheless, talent lacking on roster.
AFC North
1)Pittsburgh 11-5 -(Off.-1-B, 5-R, 1-P / Def.- 6-R, 2-P)
2)Cleveland 10-6 – (Off.- 2-B, 4-R, 2-P / Def- 4-R, 2-P)
3)Cincinnati 9-7 -(Off.-2-B, 4-R, 2-P / Def.- 2-R, 3-P)
4)Baltimore 6-10 -(Off.- 3-R, 2-P / Def.-2-B, 6-R, 2-P)
Analysis –This was one of the more intriguing divisions to study for many reasons. Pittsburgh had the most number one votes, in spite of what looks to be an absolutely killer schedule for 2008. This is often underrated aspect of professional football and definitely plays a factor into the outcome of the season. The Steelers have the best balance of talent in the division on both sides of the ball and deserve to be ranked first for this reason. Cleveland and Cincinnati appear to have the weapons to compete at least offensively with Pittsburgh, with each coming up short on the defensive side of the ball. The Browns situation is something to watch, as they were picked first in the AFC North as often as they were picked to finish third. Only Baltimore has the defensive players to get after all three of these teams, but they come woefully short in competing offensively, whether Kyle Boller or Troy Smith is the starter at quarterback.
AFC South
1)Indianapolis 12-4 -(Off.-3-B, 5-R, 1-P / Def.-2-B, 5-R, 1-P)
2)Jacksonville 11-5- (Off.- 6-R, 1-P / Def.-5-R, 2-P)
3)Tennessee 6-10- (Off.-4-R, 1-P / Def.-1-B, 3-R, 1-P)
4)Houston 6-10 - (Off.-1-B, 3-R, 2-P / Def.-2-B,1-R, 2-P)
Analysis- The only mystery in this division before the season starts is who finishes last. Tennessee head coach Jeff Fisher earns high marks in working a team that seemingly overachieves every year, manufacturing wins. Despite Vince Young’s regression in second season, the Titans still made the playoffs, with most feeling the talent level is too thin to keep living on the edge. Houston is rising in esteem by most experts, unfortunately they are in the NFL’s toughest division from last year and need to make their own breaks to crawl over .500 for the first time and possibly learn from Tennessee about sneaking into postseason. Indianapolis and Jacksonville are among the best teams in the AFC and in the scouts eyes and are separated by the fact the Colts have more top level performers than Jacksonville does.
AFC West
1)San Diego13-3-(Off.-2-B, 7-R / Def.-2-B, 5-R, 1-P)
2)Denver 9-7 -(Off.-5-R, 1-P / Def.-4-R, 1-P)
3)Oakland 6-10 -(Off.-3-R, 2-P / Def.-1-B, 6-R, 1-P)
4)Kansas City 4-12 -(Off.-2-B, 1-R, 2-P / Def.-3-R, 2-P)
Analysis- San Diego is believed to have a stroll through the AFC West, with two teams in rebuilding mode and the other trying to reload on the run. The Chargers and Colts each have 17 players that grade out above average or better among starters, which helps makes them favorites in division races. Comparing the talents of Denver and Oakland, without knowing the recent history of these two teams, it would seem they should be fairly competitive. What doesn’t show up is organizational structure, with the Broncos fiscally sound and well run and the Raiders still thinking leisure suits are hip. Kansas City gave in to the inevitable; realizing treading water will only prevent you from drowning for so long. Instead, they made commitment to the future and will take their lumps in 2008, looking towards tomorrow.
NFC East
1)Dallas 13-3 -(Off.-5-B, 3-R, 2-P / Def.-2-B, 4-R, 1-P)
2)New York Giants 12-4 -(Off.-6-R, 1-P/ Def.-1-B, 4-R, 3-P)
3)Philadelphia 7-9 -(Off.-2-B, 4-R, 1-P / Def.-1-B, 4-R, 1-P)
4)Washington 4-12- (Off.-7-R, 1-P / Def.-1-B, 4-R, 1-P)
Analysis- No team in football is believed to have more top level talent than the Dallas Cowboys, with seven “blue” players among its 22 starters. Dallas has also added Adam (formerly Pacman) Jones and he should bring another top level performer to the Cowboys stable of talent. Owner Jerry Jones thinks his squad has what it needs to land in Tampa in early February. The defending Super Bowl champion New York Giants did not do it with mirrors as some would have you believe. This is a solid football team, not receiving much respect (2006 St. Louis Cardinals come to mind), who can still play under the radar in certain situations. Now they need to show if they can play as well all season as they did at the end of last year. Prognosticators feel this is about the last hurrah for Philadelphia to show they can compete with the NFC elite and most experts are not convinced they will. Though excitement abounds in Washington with Jim Zorn as coach, this is a rugged division and this marginally talented squad is starting over with new coach and has enough veterans on the back side of careers.
NFC North
1)Green Bay 10-6 -(Off.-6-R, 2-P / Def.-1-B, 6-R, 3-P)
2)Minnesota 10-6-(Off.-1-B, 4-R, 1-P / Def.-3-B, 3-R, 1-P)
3)Chicago 7-9 -(Off.-3-R, 2-P / Def.-2-B, 3-R, 2-P)
4)Detroit 5-11-(Off.-2-R, 3-P / Def.-4-R, 1-P)
Analysis- What team were scouts most impressed with from an overall talent perspective in 2007? None other than the Green Bay Packers, who registered the most players to have above average talent at 18, even with number 4 no longer in the picture. With the NFL so heavily predicated on quarterback play, experts see the Packers and Minnesota duking it out to be division champs. The Vikings do have more star power and arguably have the best offensive and defensive lines in the NFL. Kyle Orton was named the Bears starting quarterback and the City of Broad Shoulders yawned. No breathtaking offensive talent means the defense has to return to 2006 form for Da Bears to compete. Detroit has rolled out new more new models during the Matt Millen era than General Motors, with each ending up looking like a Ford Pinto. To understand what a terrible job Millen has done, look at the talent level through the scout’s eyes for a team that has consistently picked players at the front end of the draft this decade.
NFC South
1)New Orleans 11-5-(Off.-1-B, 6-R, 1-P / Def.-5-R, 1-P)
2)Carolina 9-7-(Off.-1-B, 2-R, 2-P / Def.-5-R, 1-P)
3)Tampa Bay 7-9-(Off.-4-R, 2-P / Def.- 6-R, 3-P)
4)Atlanta 2-14-(Off.-1B, 3-R, 1-P / Def.-3-R, 2-P)
Analysis- New Orleans found out how challenging it is to maintain excellence when rising from the ashes to division champs. In 2007, the entire organization appeared to believe they just had to play and everything else would come together. Most believe the Saints learned their lesson and should rebound to be back atop the NFC South. Carolina has been through back-to-back injury plagued years and wants to believe they are ready to set sail for division crown again. This is a divided roster of talent, a grouping of underachievers and a large contingent of just average players. Tampa Bay can make a solid case of repeating as South champions, with most not believing they can not win with an oft-injured 38-year-old quarterback Jeff Garcia, despite a quickly rebuilt defense, loaded with ability. Atlanta can only go up, even if record and talent could say otherwise after the year they were Vick-ed.
NFL West
1)Seattle 11-5 -(Off.-2-B, 5-R, 1-P / Def.- 3-B, 3-R, 1-P)
2)Arizona 8-8-(Off.- 4-R, 1-P / Def.-2-R, 1-P)
3)St. Louis 5-11-(Off.-1-B, 3-R, 1-P / Def.- 4-R, 2-P)
4)San Francisco 5-11-(Off.-3-R, 1-P / Def.- 1B, 3-R, 1-P)
Analysis- Is Seattle really still a NFC Super Bowl contender or are they a by-product of playing in what might be the worst division in the NFL? Talent evaluators like them basically as much as the Giants, with five notable “blue” chippers. Arizona is the best of a bad lot, with offensive weapons and questionable defense. St. Louis and San Francisco have weak front offices in terms of evaluating college and pro talent and both head coaches Scott Linehan and Mike Nolan, might be joining lame duck coach Mike Holmgren after the season as former NFL generals who used to run teams.
Free Baseball Plays at 3Daily Winners
Only one play against San Diego yesterday and it was a winner. With a short week of work unfolding, we found an exceptional System that has really delivered of late with 9-1 mark. Back to perfect Top Trend, following the Red Sox tonight. Today's Free Play is courtesy of yours truly and a parlay. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) Philadelphia was asleep on Labor Day and bounces back against Washington team who is playing over their heads. In this spot; Play Against home teams like the Nationals allowing 4.8 or more runs a game on the season (NL), after scoring six runs or more five straight games. The Phillies Cole Hamels cools of Washington, having 2.25 ERA lifetime against the Nats. This system is 34-10, 77.3 percent, including being on 9-1 run.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Pitcher John Lester and Boston are 10-0 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season the last two years.
Free Baseball Selection -3) You won't find forced action here and with nobody really piping hot from the LCC, I'll share my play tonight. I'm taking Boston on the run line (-1.5) and Minnesota in a two-team MLB parlay. A $50 wager pays out $124 and change if this correct.
Free Baseball System -1) Philadelphia was asleep on Labor Day and bounces back against Washington team who is playing over their heads. In this spot; Play Against home teams like the Nationals allowing 4.8 or more runs a game on the season (NL), after scoring six runs or more five straight games. The Phillies Cole Hamels cools of Washington, having 2.25 ERA lifetime against the Nats. This system is 34-10, 77.3 percent, including being on 9-1 run.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Pitcher John Lester and Boston are 10-0 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season the last two years.
Free Baseball Selection -3) You won't find forced action here and with nobody really piping hot from the LCC, I'll share my play tonight. I'm taking Boston on the run line (-1.5) and Minnesota in a two-team MLB parlay. A $50 wager pays out $124 and change if this correct.
Labor Day Sports Information
Streak of winning days ended with 1-2 day on Sunday, as surprisingly both Cleveland and the Angels lost. Maybe because it’s Labor Day or I don’t know what, but everything seems pretty laid back today. Thus we won’t force anything today and just provide information that doesn’t mean a call to action. Have a great Labor Day and think about all the people that worked before us to make this an enjoyable day. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) No dominate systems in play for today, thus we’ll pass.
Free Baseball Trend -2) San Diego is 2-16 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 this season.
Free Selections -3) Nobody is really on a hot streak at the moment, thus I’ll substitute a few consensus plays from the Left Coast Connection. Today 75 percent are on Tennessee, 61.5 percent are on Rutgers and 72.7 percent are on Milwaukee in baseball. None of these are official plays, just a little FYI for you today.
Free Baseball System -1) No dominate systems in play for today, thus we’ll pass.
Free Baseball Trend -2) San Diego is 2-16 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 this season.
Free Selections -3) Nobody is really on a hot streak at the moment, thus I’ll substitute a few consensus plays from the Left Coast Connection. Today 75 percent are on Tennessee, 61.5 percent are on Rutgers and 72.7 percent are on Milwaukee in baseball. None of these are official plays, just a little FYI for you today.
Football Betting on Labor Day, why not?
Many of us will meet with friends, do something with family or start preparing for autumn this Labor Day weekend. After four days of college football, many of us wackos will do something else, wager on more college football games and spend the day watching a doubleheader of action. It’s like come on; won’t the grass or bushes grow even if you cut them? The thing with the friends is great, as long as they have the games on. It’s wonderful to do stuff with the family, just start a little sooner, to be home by the kickoff of Fresno State and Rutgers. Labor Day is supposed to be a day of honoring those working citizens, by giving them a day off. ESPN will have coverage starting at 4:00 Eastern.Fresno State at Rutgers
College football bettors and interested spectators have been eyeing this little game for awhile. Coach Pat Hill of Fresno State has built his reputation on taking on BCS schools in non-conference games, often with delightful results for Bulldog backers and fans. FSU is 30-18 ATS versus non-conference teams under Hill, though being outright conference champion has eluded him in 11 seasons. Fresno State is the betting favorite to finally breaking thru and be WAC champs. Even with 17 returning starters back, a rugged non-conference slate could once again wear out the Bulldogs before WAC schedule commences.
One has to wonder if Rutgers coach Greg Schiano has just a hint of regret about not taking bigger job after 2006 season. Of sure, 8-5 season was fine last year and three consecutive bowl appearances is fantastic for a university that had 27 years between postseason dates, nevertheless, Rutgers is thought to be no more than average in the Big East, which is far from a dominating league in 2008. This will be quarterback Mike Teel’s team, with Ray Rice departed and he has receivers Tiquan Underwood and Kenny Britt to throw to, after they were in top three in Big East in receiving yards in 2007. Rutgers is 8-2 ATS in last 10 non-conference home openers.
Most sports had Rutgers as five-point home favorite now down to 3.5 with total of 59.5. As of this morning 74 percent of the wagers were following Fresno State, who is 5-2 ATS in last seven road openers. This has the feel of last possession winner, thus taking the points could hold value.
Tennessee at UCLA
This intersectional matchup might need explaining, as Tennessee starts on the Left Coast for a second consecutive season. The Volunteers believe they can compete in the SEC East with Georgia and Florida, with the coaches having made the proper adjustments. Junior Jonathan Crompton has the size and arm strength to be a stud at quarterback and has talented receivers to throw to like Lucas Taylor. Tennessee is 9-4 against the spread in season openers. The Vols are a 7.5-point road favorite and are 18-9 ATS in this role over the last 10 seasons.
UCLA comes into the first game of the Rick Neuheisel era, with a laundry list of injuries, including having to go with junior transfer Kevin Craft as signal caller. At least Craft can throw to speedsters like Dominique Johnson on the perimeter. The offensive line has been reworked and no true stud has emerged as running back. Last year’s frustrating squad had to lean on defense and only five starters return from that group. With all that has gone wrong, credit goes to the former Bruins quarterback Neuheisel, attempting to resurrect head coaching career, by saying this about everything that has gone wrong, “This creates opportunity for other young men to step up.”
When looking at the two teams and the present situation, why is Tennessee not at least a nine-point favorite? For starters, the UCLA players will be jazzed for new coach and national cable television exposure, before the home fans. The Bruins are 12-2 SU and ATS in home openers (1-1 with Vols) and 17-4 ATS as home underdogs. Also, UCLA is 9-2 against the number versus ranked teams as a home team catching points. The Blue and Yellow clad Bruins have a shot if they can control the five returning offensive linemen from Tennessee from opening up holes as large as the nearby I-210 freeway, being 8-0 ATS in home games, when they allow 3.5 to 4 rushing yards per attempt. If not, Phillup Fullmer’s club cruises to 10 or more point triumph in SoCal.
Sunday August 31, Free Plays from 3Daily Winners
Another rock solid 2-1 Saturday, with winners on our Top System and Free play. Our Top System play today showcases Baltimore and is 84.3 percent since 2006. The hot streak one of the guys from the LCC is on is remarkable and he has another Free Play. Sunday’s Top Trend is in unbeaten situation, featuring Cleveland. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Baltimore with a money line of +175 to +250, after allowing eight runs or more against opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more. This piping hot system is 43-8, 84.3 percent the last three years,including 10-2 in 2008.
Free Baseball Trend -2) The Cleveland Indians are 8-0 against the money line with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games this season.
Free Baseball Selection -3) A professional bettor from the Left Coast Connection who prefers to stay unassuming is anything but with 15-1 run over the last week. Yesterday his unbeaten string was broken, but a 3-1 day could hardly be considered a failure. He’s betting on the Halos to continue streak at 3DW.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Baltimore with a money line of +175 to +250, after allowing eight runs or more against opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more. This piping hot system is 43-8, 84.3 percent the last three years,including 10-2 in 2008.
Free Baseball Trend -2) The Cleveland Indians are 8-0 against the money line with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games this season.
Free Baseball Selection -3) A professional bettor from the Left Coast Connection who prefers to stay unassuming is anything but with 15-1 run over the last week. Yesterday his unbeaten string was broken, but a 3-1 day could hardly be considered a failure. He’s betting on the Halos to continue streak at 3DW.
College Football Must Read Info
Over the last several years I have tracked what are so-called “wise guys” plays. What do I mean by that? Bettors who are movers and shakers are the most feared people by any oddsmakers. They are usually the first to attack lines with veracity and alter perceptions early in the week. I’ll be the first to tell you they are not always right and our numbers have become somewhat more muddled as more people want to pretend they are as smart as those that have and do this for a living for an extended period of time.
South Carolina -11.5 to -14 Win
Troy -4.5 to -6.5 Win
Michigan -5.5 to -3
Mississippi -11.5 to -7.5
Oklahoma State -5 to -7
Wyoming -9 to -11
Florida -28 to -34.5
USC -17 to -19
Auburn -28.5 to -26
So. Miss. -13.5 to -10.5
Clemson -7 to -4.5
Kansas -41 to -35.5
I also follow the totals yet will not show them, since these lines have been picked apart far too long. I’ll report them, next week. I will also do this for the NFL. Enjoy.
South Carolina -11.5 to -14 Win
Troy -4.5 to -6.5 Win
Michigan -5.5 to -3
Mississippi -11.5 to -7.5
Oklahoma State -5 to -7
Wyoming -9 to -11
Florida -28 to -34.5
USC -17 to -19
Auburn -28.5 to -26
So. Miss. -13.5 to -10.5
Clemson -7 to -4.5
Kansas -41 to -35.5
I also follow the totals yet will not show them, since these lines have been picked apart far too long. I’ll report them, next week. I will also do this for the NFL. Enjoy.
College Football Free Plays for Saturday
A 2-1 day sets the table for the opening of college football weekend. We have a unique System play from StatFox, which has been 36-11 in past. Our guy from the LCC has slam-dunked the books, hitting an incredible dozen straight winners and has another ready to fire today in college football. Our Top Trends looks at road favorite with poor history. Good Luck.
Free Football System -1) PLAY AGAINST home teams like Virginia, who were poor passing defensive from last season, allowing a completion percentage of 58% or worse, in a non-conference game between two teams from FBS conferences. This system is 36-11, 76.6 percent.
Free Football Trend -2) Tulsa is breaking in a new quarterback and is two touchdown road favorite. The Golden Hurricane is 2-10-1 ATS in road openers the last 13 years.
Free Football Selection -3) A professional bettor from the Left Coast Connection who demands his privacy is on 12-0 run in all sports. Yesterday he gave us Temple, which won handily and was also on Rice. Today he’s riding the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points.
Free Football System -1) PLAY AGAINST home teams like Virginia, who were poor passing defensive from last season, allowing a completion percentage of 58% or worse, in a non-conference game between two teams from FBS conferences. This system is 36-11, 76.6 percent.
Free Football Trend -2) Tulsa is breaking in a new quarterback and is two touchdown road favorite. The Golden Hurricane is 2-10-1 ATS in road openers the last 13 years.
Free Football Selection -3) A professional bettor from the Left Coast Connection who demands his privacy is on 12-0 run in all sports. Yesterday he gave us Temple, which won handily and was also on Rice. Today he’s riding the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points.
Friday August 29, Free Plays from 3Daily Winners
Quiet, we have a professional bettor on a sizzling streak; see his Top Play of the Day below. Our System play was poised for 2-0 day, however the Cleveland Browns had three separate chances to put the Bears away and cover and failed each time. They deserve to be 0-4. It’s back to baseball for today’s best System, which is Totals play that is nailing winners 85 percent of the time. The first place Tampa Rays are in terrific MLB Trend. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY OVER on road teams like Chicago White Sox, when the total is 9 to 9.5, with a hot starting pitcher like Javier Vazquez, with WHIP of 0.800 or less over his last three starts and the team has an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 10 games. This system is sick 34-6, 85 percent since 2004, with average score being 12 total runs.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Tampa Bay is 22-1 as a money line favorite of -150 to -200.
Free Football Selection -3) A professional bettor from the Left Coast Connection who prefers his privacy is on 10-0 run in all sports with conservative style. Yesterday he gave us the Cubs and played Vanderbilt, tonight he’s playing Temple -7.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY OVER on road teams like Chicago White Sox, when the total is 9 to 9.5, with a hot starting pitcher like Javier Vazquez, with WHIP of 0.800 or less over his last three starts and the team has an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 10 games. This system is sick 34-6, 85 percent since 2004, with average score being 12 total runs.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Tampa Bay is 22-1 as a money line favorite of -150 to -200.
Free Football Selection -3) A professional bettor from the Left Coast Connection who prefers his privacy is on 10-0 run in all sports with conservative style. Yesterday he gave us the Cubs and played Vanderbilt, tonight he’s playing Temple -7.
Strong Points for Betting College Football Early
Most everybody wagering on college football has done a fair amount of studying college football in preparation for the beginning of the season. Yet until any of us can see teams play or study boxscores, a certain amount of uncertainty still is in the air. College coaches believe they have prepared their teams well, yet unlike the NFL, you don’t get to hit against another team in a relatively competitive situation. This is a cause for consternation for coaches and bettors alike wondering what is best method to approach beginning of college football betting season.Two simple elements to look for are returning offensive and defensive linemen, plus quarterbacks. A team loaded with experience up front has been through spring and summer practices and knows what the expectations of the coaches are and what it will take to win in their respective conferences. Teams that return four or five offensive linemen have the continuity aspect down cold and barring coaching changes, just have to go out and execute game plan. Defensively, a veteran cast up front can cover up deficiencies in other areas for the short term.
Every year, we hear about a team being better than expected in November, having upperclassmen leadership on the offensive line with experience. Coincidently, a team may have all key skill position players back, yet struggles, as newcomers on either side of the pigskin were neither good enough nor cohesive for the team to meet expectations, causing bettors to squander money.
An experienced signal caller can be a huge plus, especially for an underdog team. If he has enough weapons around him, he places his team in position to pull upset or at least cover the backdoor late in a game, if he has ability to throw the ball well.
We contacted Ed from RightAngleSports to share his thoughts about this topic. Ed is one of the most respected handicappers in college sports and he provided these insights. “One area I look at is teams with new coaches. Some people believe these coaches might have edge since the opponent doesn’t know what’s coming. Though I haven’t completed all my research, teams with new head coach, against lined opponent, are 14-29 against the spread since 2003 in opening games. I like to play against these teams especially if they are changing offensive systems. This can be especially true if a new quarterback is taking over.”
Ed also had opinion on the Totals of these early encounters. “A lot of the totals are not adjusted enough when a coach brings in new system. If a coach brings in a new system (offense) that is pass-oriented, which is different than the year before, oddsmakers will be slow to adjust until they see what happens, wanting to be cautious before making adjustments. They will move the number to a degree, just not a great deal.”
“As a general philosophy, if you like an underdog early in the season, consider the money line as a value play, with better payouts if they pull the upset, which happens every year.”
If you like to follow trends, don’t get caught up leaning on them, since many non-conference teams don’t play one another often enough for these angles to matter, unless they are traditional rivalries like Notre Dame and Michigan. It’s always tempting to add validity to team this 11-1 ATS against an opponent, the problem here could be they have played those dozen games over 40-year period, rendering trend useless.
Steve Makinen from StatFox had this to offer,” Be sure to utilize the returning starter information but don't assume that a wealth of experience returning or lack thereof automatically means a lot. For instance, a team that won two games a year ago might not be better off with a lot of starting players back. Meanwhile, a program on the rise or one that has been solid for a number of years will probably maintain its success even if it isn't returning a lot of core players. Be careful when making these assumptions. Many pointspreads are predicated upon this information and can often be misleading.”
Follow these tips to help you start on the winning side for this big opening weekend of five days of college football betting.
Free Sports Selections for Thursday
A fine string of winners on System plays was broken, contributing to 1-2 day. Today we tackle the NFL with a hard to fathom preseason system. The Top Trend was a winner yesterday and will go for two straight, peeking in on Atlanta and Florida contest. A silent member from the LCC is on unbeaten streak and sends in his Top Play for Thursday. Good Luck.
Free Football System -1) PLAY AGAINST road teams in the NFL after three or more consecutive losses against the spread, in August games. This week that would be Chicago and New England. This system is disquieting 24-1, spanning a period from when the Buffalo Bills became the first team to lose three straight Super Bowls.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Atlanta is 4-15 against the money line in home games with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games.
Free Baseball Selection -3) A professional bettor from the Left Coast Connection who prefers his privacy is on 8-0 run in all sports with conservative style. Tonight he’s riding the Chicago Cubs on the money line.
Free Football System -1) PLAY AGAINST road teams in the NFL after three or more consecutive losses against the spread, in August games. This week that would be Chicago and New England. This system is disquieting 24-1, spanning a period from when the Buffalo Bills became the first team to lose three straight Super Bowls.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Atlanta is 4-15 against the money line in home games with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games.
Free Baseball Selection -3) A professional bettor from the Left Coast Connection who prefers his privacy is on 8-0 run in all sports with conservative style. Tonight he’s riding the Chicago Cubs on the money line.
College Football – Paying Attention Matters
I said yesterday I would have my biggest surprise and disappointing teams. I wasn’t thinking clearly that I could do this since yesterday was my wedding anniversary, so that was a bad idea to think I could do this.Surprises
Mississippi – Most folks have Ole Miss pegged for last in the SEC West, not me. I have their top end talent better than either Mississippi State or Arkansas. Tackles Michael Oher and Jerry Jones are NFL quality. Keys games at home are South Carolina and in-state rival MSU. If they win at Arkansas, no reason they shouldn’t go to minor bowl. Texas transfer QB Jevon Snead must be above average.
Iowa-Talent-wise the Hawkeyes still aren’t great, however are improving. The reason why I see 8-4 season ahead is schedule that sets up nicely. Iowa has to take Iowa State seriously and bury them. No Ohio State or Michigan certainly makes goals more attainable. One upset against Wisconsin or Penn State at Iowa City would be significant and other than Illinois, they should have a chance to win other Big Ten road games.
TCU- I don’t know if this a big surprise necessarily, but I’m crowning TCU Mountain West Conference champs. They are in the mix with BYU and Utah, just not as highly thought of. After two 11-win seasons, injuries and inconsistent play doomed the Horned Frogs last year. With 16 starters and a rededication by all members of the squad, this alphabet school is ready to jump. I’ve got them at 10-2, with only losses at Oklahoma and at Utah.
Others in the mix- Northern Illinois –Wyoming-Louisville
Disappointments
West Virginia- Pat White is one of the most electrifying athletes playing quarterback in the country. This year with Bill Stewart as the coach, differences will appear, though West Virginia will still be a good team. Defensive replacements are needed and November features games at UConn, Louisville and Pittsburgh before hosting South Florida. We’ve seen what happens when White is hurt, just not sold the ‘Teers get in done in 2008.
Illinois- Illini backers were thrilled by going to Pasadena earlier this year, even if they were out-classed by USC. Key losses in personnel from real playmakers mean others have to step up, are they ready? Games away from home include Missouri, Penn State, Michigan, and Wisconsin. On November 15, that team they beat last year, what’s their name, of yea, Ohio State comes to Champaign seeking serious revenge. An 8-4 record is apex, with 7-5 more likely, with improvement coming again next year.
Central Florida-Coach George O’Leary has done a splendid job in turning this sleepy campus dominated by Mickey into C-USA contender annually. O’Leary is a tough Irishman who likes to have his teams play top notch non-conference teams to prepare for conference play. The losses of quarterback Kyle Israel and RB Kevin Smith will slowdown offense. The defense is still among the best in the league, but too many rough roads tilts spells 6-6 campaign.
Others in the mix- Kansas – Connecticut –Kansas State
Baseball Betting Answers for Hump Day
Kendall from the LCC is smokin’ on personal plays and offers a familiar Free Play that looks like a winner. The System plays are hotter than an Arizona car handle sitting outside in August and goes right back to yesterday’s combatants with a different twist. The Top Trend will look like something you have seen before, but has it ever delivered. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY ON home favorites like the Angels, with a money line of -175 to -250, with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after a win by four runs or more. This system is fascinating 22-3, 88 percent the last three seasons.
Free Baseball Trend -2) We’ve used this before, yet it worth bringing out again. Roy Oswalt is 20-1 against Cincinnati lifetime and for good measure, he and Astros teammates are 9-1 the last two August’s.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Kendall is nobody’s fool, he’s on the White Sox again tonight for Free selection. He’s 11-3 on the bases of late, gathering +9.15 units of profit.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY ON home favorites like the Angels, with a money line of -175 to -250, with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after a win by four runs or more. This system is fascinating 22-3, 88 percent the last three seasons.
Free Baseball Trend -2) We’ve used this before, yet it worth bringing out again. Roy Oswalt is 20-1 against Cincinnati lifetime and for good measure, he and Astros teammates are 9-1 the last two August’s.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Kendall is nobody’s fool, he’s on the White Sox again tonight for Free selection. He’s 11-3 on the bases of late, gathering +9.15 units of profit.
Baseball Betting Answers for Tuesday
We know our MLB baseball systems have meant risking heavy chalk, but hard to argue when the odds are so stacked in your favor and they win. Does a 43-4 System grab your attention? Top Trend shows what Arizona has done on the road when a certain pitcher is on the mound. Professional bettor Kendall has been doing a nice job and has Free Play ready to win. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY ON all favorites like the Angels with a money line of -175 to -250, who are below average hitting team (BA .265 or less), against a good starting pitcher like Greg Smith (6-12, 3.75 ERA) with ERA below 4.20 in the AL, in the second half of the season. This system is jaw-dropping 43-4, 91.5 percent.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Brandon Webb and Arizona is 12-2 when he pitches in road division games.
Free Baseball Selection -3) The Chicago White Sox have caught the attention of Kendall from the Left Coast Connection in MLB action tonight. He’s 9-3 on the bases of late, gathering +7.15 units of profit.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY ON all favorites like the Angels with a money line of -175 to -250, who are below average hitting team (BA .265 or less), against a good starting pitcher like Greg Smith (6-12, 3.75 ERA) with ERA below 4.20 in the AL, in the second half of the season. This system is jaw-dropping 43-4, 91.5 percent.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Brandon Webb and Arizona is 12-2 when he pitches in road division games.
Free Baseball Selection -3) The Chicago White Sox have caught the attention of Kendall from the Left Coast Connection in MLB action tonight. He’s 9-3 on the bases of late, gathering +7.15 units of profit.
College Football Quick Primer
With college football ready to fire this week, thought I’d share how I see upcoming season playing out. Actually before I start, I’d like to inform everyone I was going to start a paid newsletter for college and pro football, unfortunately everything didn’t come together for a variety of reasons. This should be good news to all of you who visit this blog, since many of the elements I was going to talk about will instead be written about right here at 3Daily Winners.For example, I have special information I’ve gathered for years and written about from time to time on other websites, this information will now be seen and talked about here.
I’ll share my game insights, from watching everything all weekend and discuss what I see or hear. I’ll provide key numbers about players and teams and tell the truth, not sugar coat what I see or find.
I’ll have various types of other information, that honestly I haven’t seen thought about yet, just will react to the marketplace. My goal is to make this a fun and entertaining place to stop everyday for people that want quality football information. Enough talking let’s get started.
Over the last six weeks, I’ve studied the returning players and losses from the various college football teams. Looked at the schedules inside-out and taken into consideration many other factors too numerous to mention.
Here is my Top 25.
1) Ohio State 2) Oklahoma 3) Florida 4) Georgia 5) USC
6) Missouri 7) Clemson 8) LSU 9) Texas Tech 10) Auburn
11) Wisconsin 12) West Virginia 13) So. Florida 14) Virg. Tech 15) Texas
16) Tennessee 17) Oregon 18) Penn State 19) Kansas 20) Wake Forest
21) Flor. State 22) Ariz. State 23) Alabama 24) Illinois 25) Iowa
Do I think this is the exact order of the best 25 teams in the country, No. Based on factors like scheduling and motivational situations, along with certain coaches in need of big years, this is what I see today.
Next is list of conference champions. By now you either have or should have picked up preseason magazine. I’m not going to compete with those, thus I’ll keep it brief.
ACC – Clemson
Finally Clemson meets expectations in what is a pretty mediocre league.
Big 12- Oklahoma
Big 12- Oklahoma
Second best conference this season, thanks to 11 returning quarterbacks. Highly competitive year, with underdogs covering more often than expected with so many good signal callers.
SEC- Florida
Georgia has better talent, however better schedule for Gators and more balance than last year.
Big Ten- Ohio State
SEC- Florida
Georgia has better talent, however better schedule for Gators and more balance than last year.
Big Ten- Ohio State
Everyone is playing for second place.
Pac-10 – USC
Pac-10 – USC
Down year for this league, even USC isn’t USC to start the season.
Mountain West- TCU
Mountain West- TCU
Offense comes back for the Horned Frogs, with always steady defense in place.
WAC- Fresno State
My least secure pick, as Bulldogs are too often preoccupied with non-conference games, instead of focusing on winning league. Did you know Fresno State turned down 10,000 Benjamin Franklin’s to play Wisconsin at Lambeau Field, to keep home game with Badgers?
MAC- Central Michigan
They go for third straight title, but watch out for Ball State.
C-USA - Tulsa
They battle East Carolina for conference title.
Sun Belt – Florida Atlantic
In my study of outstanding players within conferences, FAU has the most players back within any league in the country.
Tomorrow, surprise and disappointing teams. Please share your thoughts in comment sections.
WAC- Fresno State
My least secure pick, as Bulldogs are too often preoccupied with non-conference games, instead of focusing on winning league. Did you know Fresno State turned down 10,000 Benjamin Franklin’s to play Wisconsin at Lambeau Field, to keep home game with Badgers?
MAC- Central Michigan
They go for third straight title, but watch out for Ball State.
C-USA - Tulsa
They battle East Carolina for conference title.
Sun Belt – Florida Atlantic
In my study of outstanding players within conferences, FAU has the most players back within any league in the country.
Tomorrow, surprise and disappointing teams. Please share your thoughts in comment sections.
Free Baseball Plays from 3DW
The Toronto bullpen was surprisingly ineffective and cost us 3-0 day in extra innings in losing game and series to Boston. The baseball Systems are cleaning up with recent hot streak and we have an 80 percent system involving Cubs. Another Prefect Trend returns and Slick Rick from the LCC has a West Coast Free play. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY ON all favorites with money line of -150 or more like the Cubs, with a starting pitcher like Ted Lilly (12-7, 4.25) whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL, with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL). This to be reckoned with system is 48-12, 80 percent, since 2004.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Seattle is 0-11against the money line revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs this season, losing by an average of 2.8 RPG.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Slick Rick has been just that with 10-2 run in all sports and is on the Giants to roast the Rockies.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY ON all favorites with money line of -150 or more like the Cubs, with a starting pitcher like Ted Lilly (12-7, 4.25) whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL, with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL). This to be reckoned with system is 48-12, 80 percent, since 2004.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Seattle is 0-11against the money line revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs this season, losing by an average of 2.8 RPG.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Slick Rick has been just that with 10-2 run in all sports and is on the Giants to roast the Rockies.
Free Plays from 3Daily Winners
An unproductive 1-2-1 day broke our string of three winning days at 3Daily Winners, thus we look to start another streak today. The System plays are back to being on fire and we have a 90 percent one on tap. The always popular perfect Trend returns and Kendall gets one more chance to earn our trust with his Free Top MLB play. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Pittsburgh with a money line of +150 or more, with a starter like Paul Maholm (8-7, 3.64, 1.232 WHIP) whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, going against a hot starting pitcher like C.C. Sabathia (3-0, 1.08 ERA L3 outings) with ERA less than 2.50 over his last three starts. While we could never suggest playing a -300 or higher game, hard to argue with results of this system being 18-2 the last three seasons.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Kevin Correia of San Francisco is perfect 10-0 when he and teammates are in the role of favorite in his career.
Free Baseball Selection -3) We are going to cut Kendall some slack as his main play was a push with the Jets yesterday and he is taking Toronto as his best play today.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Pittsburgh with a money line of +150 or more, with a starter like Paul Maholm (8-7, 3.64, 1.232 WHIP) whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, going against a hot starting pitcher like C.C. Sabathia (3-0, 1.08 ERA L3 outings) with ERA less than 2.50 over his last three starts. While we could never suggest playing a -300 or higher game, hard to argue with results of this system being 18-2 the last three seasons.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Kevin Correia of San Francisco is perfect 10-0 when he and teammates are in the role of favorite in his career.
Free Baseball Selection -3) We are going to cut Kendall some slack as his main play was a push with the Jets yesterday and he is taking Toronto as his best play today.
NFL Preseason Games that Flip-Flop
Often in the NFL preseason, a number of spreads end up far different from original number. For example, a home team starts out as a three-point favorite and gets flipped over to the role of underdog by two points. Why would there be such a huge turnaround of money moving lines for a meaningless exhibition contest?The most obvious reason is the amount of money being wagered on one side. More of your hardcore bettors take part in preseason action, since they want to start making wagers and test the waters. Generally speaking, these bettors tend to be somewhat more astute and are less inclined to bet just favorites. At the same time, sharps come fully prepared with information, using the internet to follow the daily progress of training camps. Coaches are much more open during this time and useful, true insights are just a few mouse clicks away.
Another factor is figuring determination. As opposed to the regular season, where confusing signals and patterns arise, August football can be pretty cut and dry. If a team is off a dreadful performance, the coaching staff will undoubtedly be unmerciful in riding a team hard in practice. By this time of training camp, the players are tired of the long and often physical workouts, beating their heads against the same players day after day. A bad loss is magnified right now, because with no real games up next, the coaches can micro-manage the smallest details. At this point, the players can sense what the coaches want and will bring full-focused effort into next game, beating opponent and covering the spread. This type of information is easy to read between the lines when a coach will talk about “a good week of practice” after losing the week prior.
It will also go the other way for teams. Take a team that has had a very good camp, the coaches have generally been pleased with effort and progress and have intentionally rode squad hard during the hot summer period. As a quiet reward, the head coach backs of the pedal a touch, going 80 percent instead of full throttle. Possibly the coach wants to use this time to determine final roster cuts and have the club refocus for the start of the regular season. In this scenario, word has leaked out about softer practices and this team might be ripe for the taking after satisfying win, especially if opponent is off a loss.
Injuries of course play a role, as coaches don’t want to risk a dinged up player in a meaningless affair. This is often an area of overreaction, as regulars see little playing time until this week anyway. What can be exposed is lack of depth as various positions, with deeper squads mounting fourth quarter comebacks to amazingly cover spreads of seemingly lost contests.
An old school method that still holds value among bettors is teams off a win by 10 or more points or a loss by double digits. This plays into the motivational aspect of teams, desiring to play better immediately or satisfied with previous effort. Since this way of thinking has been around for years, the results have been steady and bettors will often hone in on these types of contests.
On Saturday, four games fit the criteria of football games that flipped.
The New York Giants went from -1 to +3 at most sportbooks, as they prepare to face cross-locker room rival the Jets. Cincinnati with their wide receiver injuries opened at -2.5 and has been switched to +2.5. In yet another battle in the Sunshine State, those betting football have taken a shine to Jacksonville on the road, moving them from one-point underdogs to three-point favorites. Finally, in a CBS televised contest, Minnesota started at -1.5 and fell to +3 against Pittsburgh with uncertain status of Tarvais Jackson, who suffered a sprained right MCL in last week's 23-15 win over the Baltimore Ravens.
These flip-flops have meant little to bettors overall. Since the beginning of the decade, home favorites turned around to underdogs are 16-15-2 ATS and home dogs spun around to favorites are 11-9-1 ATS. Nothing of consequence shows up this week to play, however keep next week in mind, as home teams flipped from either the favorite or underdog roles are 8-3 ATS the last week of the preseason the last eight years.
Sports Betting Info for Saturday
Yesterday makes it three straight days of 2-1, which is a pretty good average in life when you think about it. Our Top Systems are running hot and have one that is 87.2 percent since the spacecraft Pathfinder landed on Mars (the answer to what year is below). Kendall is killing the oddsmakers in the NFL and has another Free play, along with his best baseball selection. Today’s Top Trend has us visiting the Gateway to the West. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like the Reds, with a money line of +125 to +175, who are a poor hitting team with BA of .250 or less, against a decent starting pitcher like Aaron Cook (15-8, 3.86) in ERA range of 3.70 to 4.20 in the NL, who are batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games. This sweet system is 41-6, 87.2 percent the last 11 seasons.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Atlanta is 2-13 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win percentage of 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season in 2008.
Free Football and Baseball Selections -3) Kendall of the Left Coat Connection nailed the Packers last night as upset winner and also won with Atlanta to raise record to 9-1 in NFL Preseason. Tonight he’s backing the Jets in cross-locker room rivalry. As an added bonus he’s taking the White Sox in baseball as his top play.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like the Reds, with a money line of +125 to +175, who are a poor hitting team with BA of .250 or less, against a decent starting pitcher like Aaron Cook (15-8, 3.86) in ERA range of 3.70 to 4.20 in the NL, who are batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games. This sweet system is 41-6, 87.2 percent the last 11 seasons.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Atlanta is 2-13 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win percentage of 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season in 2008.
Free Football and Baseball Selections -3) Kendall of the Left Coat Connection nailed the Packers last night as upset winner and also won with Atlanta to raise record to 9-1 in NFL Preseason. Tonight he’s backing the Jets in cross-locker room rivalry. As an added bonus he’s taking the White Sox in baseball as his top play.
Sports Betting Info for Friday
Almost another 3-0 day, with the Angels falling in extra innings for only loss. We are revisiting an unbelievable System that won recently and is now 31-1. Our Top Trend got off the snide and heads north of the border to follow the exploits of the Red Sox. Kendall from the Left Coast Connection is tearing up NFL and has his top Play. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 like San Diego, who are awful hitting club, batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games, against opponent with a hot starting pitcher like the Giants Tim Lincecum, who has WHIP under 1.000 over his last five starts. This system is ludicrous also at 31-1 since 2006.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Boston is 1-12 against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
Free Football Selection -3) Kendall from the LCC is 7-1 in the NFL Preseason and is unloading on Green Bay catching the points.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 like San Diego, who are awful hitting club, batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games, against opponent with a hot starting pitcher like the Giants Tim Lincecum, who has WHIP under 1.000 over his last five starts. This system is ludicrous also at 31-1 since 2006.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Boston is 1-12 against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
Free Football Selection -3) Kendall from the LCC is 7-1 in the NFL Preseason and is unloading on Green Bay catching the points.
Georgia Bulldogs # 1 - No Chance
The college football writer’s poll was released last week with the Georgia Bulldogs ranked the number one team in the land for 2008. There are a plethora of reasons to back the Bulldogs to win the national championship. Head coach Mark Richt’s club returns 17 starters from what was arguably the best team in the country at the end of last season and brings seven game winning streak into this season. Talent wise, the Bulldogs can easily lineup with any team in the country and the case can rather easily be made they are truly better man for man across the board. Then why not enough love for being the top team in the FBS, this is one only Tim Meadows, The Ladies Man from Saturday Night Live might understand.The Georgia schedule stands out like a shiny new Lexus about to compete at the local demolition derby and others are paying attention also. At many sportbooks, USC is the top betting choice to be national champs (West Coast betting bias) at +350, with Ohio State second at +400 and the Bulldogs and Oklahoma next at +500.
Las Vegas Sports Consultants even chimed in with LVSC Chief Operating Officer Ken White offering up the Bulldogs as number seven, instead of number one. “I can remember in 2005 that everyone thought Tennessee was going to be one of the best teams in the country (#3 AP), they were coming off a 10-3 season and returned 17 starters. The Vols had a monster schedule, playing four ranked opponents on the road and wound up struggling to a 5-6 record,” White said. One difference that should be noted, AP writers thoughts are based on where they believe they believe the teams should start the season, with LVSC rationale being where they should end up to conclude the season.
There is a series of obstacles that await Richt’s bunch and most have to do with the 2008 schedule that has more potential troubles than season four of MTV’s “The Hills”. The listed road games are at South Carolina, Arizona State, LSU, Kentucky and Auburn. Three of these teams are in the preseason Top 25, with the ol’ ball coach Steve Spurrier’s Gamecocks lurking a spot or two just out of range.
South Carolina handed Georgia one of its two losses last season in Athens 16-12, as three-point underdogs. The Gamecocks have their best team since Spurrier arrived in Columbia and he welcomes back 10 starters on defense. Five of the last seven meetings have been decided by six or less points. Georgia is used to playing in the heat and humidity of the South, nonetheless the desert features all kinds of critters and assuredly Dennis Erickson will have his Arizona State team primed for the Dawgs on national television. This affair ends up being sandwiched between South Carolina and Alabama.
After a bye week, the SEC gauntlet begins in earnest. On October 11, Tennessee arrives to play between the hedges. The Vols hammered the Bulldogs 35-14, which ended up being Georgia’s last defeat. Certainly revenge will be on players minds, especially with a week off and they are 12-6-1 ATS with extra week of preparation in the regular season. Vanderbilt is listed as sacrificial lamb for homecoming. Next up, a sojourn to Baton Rouge.
Georgia figures to be favored in Columbia, SC and Tempe, AZ, however based on what we know today, the Dawgs will be dogs at LSU. This is not a bad thing, as smart bettors are attuned to Richt’s teams being expertly prepared on the road, as they are 22-3 SU in true visitor’s role. The Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS as road underdogs and this should be quite a battle. The following week is in Jacksonville, where the world largest bourbon convention convenes this side of Jack Daniels. A dog is a feast for an alligator and Georgia has been just that for Florida with 3-15 (6-11-1 ATS) record the last 18 seasons. Coach Richt went against personality type in this contest a year ago, setting the table for late season run with 42-30 victory. Florida has as much pure talent as Georgia and has revenge in mind after last season.
A natural letdown has to be expected at Kentucky, after two such emotion filled games meaning the possibility exists of having to work harder than expected in Lexington. The last SEC game is on the plains of Alabama in Auburn. The Tigers are always tough at home and will have witnessed in the film room the second half lambasting they received last year at Athens, losing 45-20, as the Bulldogs wore black jersey’s for the first time in what is considered the modern era of the football program.
After another week of richly deserved rest, the final conflict is annual battle with Georgia Tech. Though the Dawgs have had no problems with the Yellow Jackets in winning seven straight (5-1-1 ATS), this will mark first home game in six very strenuous weeks.
Don’t think for a second scheduling doesn’t matter, Tennessee was mentioned from a few seasons ago and a similar thing happened to USC last year, coming up flat and mistake prone in losing at home to Stanford and latter succumbing to Oregon on the road in a loaded Pac-10 in 2007.
The make-up of the roster is different than anticipated already before the first game. Sophomore offensive tackle Trinton Sturdivant is out for the season with a severe injury to his left knee after earning All-SEC raves as a freshman. Senior FB Brannan Southerland is expected to miss up to five games recovering from foot surgery in June. His loss matters, since he was often the lead blocker for talented running back Knowshon Moreno. A few other off-the-field irregularities have led to suspensions that will impact depth and cohesion early in the year.
Despite a wonderfully talented squad with a distinguished head coach, look for Georgia to fall short of projections and drop a couple of contests. The possibility exists they might not even win division if one of the losses is to Florida. Expecting another two-loss team from the SEC to be national champs is just too much to ask. Find another team to wager on, since this one could be dog-gone disappointing to the locals.
Baseball Betting Numbers Change Dramatically
Just like the woman in the infomercial putting her hands together for “The Clapper”, oddsmakers have turned the switch in making dramatic changes in the baseball money lines they are now distributing. These are deep sweeping changes compared to last season, which can have a dramatic impact on how one wagers on baseball. What has happened and why?Many bettors prefer to stay away from favorites at -150 or higher and will succumb to having to make alterations after the All-Star break as the money lines steadily increase on those in pennant races. Most bettors in the circles I travel will to up to -170 limit, before passing altogether or start wagering on run lines.
Through the first 21 days of August, the source used for opening lines, has seen a gargantuan total of 59 baseball games at -200 or higher. Compare that figure with 29 for the entire month of August in 2007 and you can understand what this year has brought us. Why the big change this season?
Gave professional gambler Sal from the Left Coast Connection a call to see if he could explain what is going on. “Douglas my friend, a number of factors, go into this vexing issue”, Sal said. “One of the biggest factors leading up to this is how general managers shifted their thinking this year. Players like C.C. Sabathia and Rich Harden were moved long before the trade deadline, as were a number of other players. This helped oddsmakers learn sooner about how a player or players would fit into teams and what chemistry issues might arise. For the most part, every acquisition any contending team has made has turned out to be a positive and squares have been betting these teams with regularity. This accounts for the rise in money line numbers so quickly.”
Along Sal’s thought process, teams that would normally fight to stay in pennant races until Labor Day, have hit the eject button on the season extremely early and have made call-ups already this month. Cleveland, after being one game away from World Series last year, bailed faster than a poker player holding a 2 and 4 hole cards in differing suits. Detroit threw in the towel early, not feeling they had a 2007 Colorado Rockies September run in them. Even a Steinbrenner named Hank, all but gave Hillary Clinton concession speech in the last 10 days, in talking about 2009, while the Yankees are still in wild card chase.
How does a baseball bettor combat this onslaught of mammoth numbers? We first talked to Mark Borchgard, chief handicapper at Basewinner.com. “When the numbers get this high (-200 or higher), I like to parlay them, but would only do so if I really liked the game. Just this past Sunday, I matched the Yankees and Minnesota together for an easy parlay winner. It is understood you have to win both games, which has a certain amount of risk, but better to make a one unit play on parlay number than accept the risk of losing at -200 or higher money line, with light payout on a winner.”
Veteran handicapper Mark Lawrence of Playbook.com has a different take to help bettors bust big numbers. “We’re seeing more of the -300 favorites this year than in the past. My philosophy is to make a case for the underdog or don’t chase the large favorites. The same pitcher that is a -300 pitcher today was -200 a month ago. The oddsmakers are compensating for this change in position, by the condition of team the pitcher plays for, by standing in the pennant race.” Mark went on to add, “In playing large underdogs, check the current form of pitchers, the condition of the team they’re playing and if they are not in losing streak and there is nothing wrong with this team (the underdog), consider fading these large favorites and if you do this until season’s end, you should have a chance to show a net profit.”
After talking to Steve Makinen from StatFox about this article, he happened to be talking to Bookmaker.com CEO Mickey Richardson afterwards and asked him about what is occurring this season in this regard to baseball betting lines. Mickey had this to say, ".....no parity this year, it will get worse as the season moves forward, you will start to see games at -400. Books are getting destroyed, as the public is jumping on the bandwagon and riding these favorites."
Sage advise from those who make their living betting and following baseball’s ever changing landscape, as we head down the stretch of the pennant races.
Thursday NFL Notes
In the NFL exhibition season, I’m 3-1 and backing the Bears tonight at minus 3. This is contrary to what has occurred thus far in commish Roger Goodell’s pretend world of letting owner charge full price for these contests. (It’s not Jolly Roger’s fault, many before him let the precedent take hold) Home favorites are 7-23-3 against the spread, with the Over the best Totals play at 20-13.
The unfortunate death of Gene Upshaw is not good news for small market teams like Green Bay, Buffalo and Jacksonville, as rich, greedy owners make take this opportunity to really create labor unrest and abolish salary cap, leaving franchises like this in the dust instead of the larger viewpoint of what is best for the sport.
The unfortunate death of Gene Upshaw is not good news for small market teams like Green Bay, Buffalo and Jacksonville, as rich, greedy owners make take this opportunity to really create labor unrest and abolish salary cap, leaving franchises like this in the dust instead of the larger viewpoint of what is best for the sport.
Baseball Betting Info for Thursday
We got back on the winning track at 3Daily Winners with 2-1 day. We have unearthed another System that is almost inconceivable at 93.1 percent. The perfect Trend returns, following the exploits of Seattle this time. Free Play is from the left Coast Connection in American league action. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY ON all favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 like Cleveland, who are below average hitting team (BA .265 or less) against a good starting pitcher like Zack Greinke (9-8, 3.92), who owns ERA of 4.20 or less in the AL, in the second half of the season. This money making system is conspicuous 41-3, 93.1 percent since 1997. How does this system work so effectively, maybe having pitchers like Cy Young winner to be Cliff Lee (17-2, 2.43) backing it up.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Seattle is 0-16 after allowing nine or more runs in next encounter.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Though not a one-sided consensus, the Left Coast Connection has seven bettors on the Angels and three on Minnesota. Free Play is officially on the Halos.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY ON all favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 like Cleveland, who are below average hitting team (BA .265 or less) against a good starting pitcher like Zack Greinke (9-8, 3.92), who owns ERA of 4.20 or less in the AL, in the second half of the season. This money making system is conspicuous 41-3, 93.1 percent since 1997. How does this system work so effectively, maybe having pitchers like Cy Young winner to be Cliff Lee (17-2, 2.43) backing it up.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Seattle is 0-16 after allowing nine or more runs in next encounter.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Though not a one-sided consensus, the Left Coast Connection has seven bettors on the Angels and three on Minnesota. Free Play is officially on the Halos.
Baseball Betting Info for Wednesday
Hope you enjoyed yesterday’s incredible System play and we have one nearly as good today, with an 89.4 winning percentage. Today’s Top trend takes us to the Windy City and we need to break brief losing streak in this area. Also we look to get back on track with our Free selections and have consensus play loaded. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Oakland, with a money line of +175 to +250, after allowing 10 runs or more against opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more. This system is sizzling 34-4, 89.4 percent the last three years.
Free Baseball Trend -2) The Chicago Cubs have won 18 of last 22 night games at Wrigley Field.
Free Baseball Selection -3) The Left Coast Connection actually had two games where everybody was on one side. The first one won't count with six guys on Milwaukee in afternoon action, tonight seven players will be on Matt Cain and the Giants as official Free selection at 3Daily Winners.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Oakland, with a money line of +175 to +250, after allowing 10 runs or more against opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more. This system is sizzling 34-4, 89.4 percent the last three years.
Free Baseball Trend -2) The Chicago Cubs have won 18 of last 22 night games at Wrigley Field.
Free Baseball Selection -3) The Left Coast Connection actually had two games where everybody was on one side. The first one won't count with six guys on Milwaukee in afternoon action, tonight seven players will be on Matt Cain and the Giants as official Free selection at 3Daily Winners.
Free Tuesday Baseball Selections at 3DW
Honestly disappointed with 1-2 day and have uncovered a superb System that will take your breath away with its phenomenal record. Milwaukee is in outstanding spot for today’s Top Trend and Free Play has one of the Left Coast Connection bettors playing a money line parlay. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Oakland, with a money line of +175 to +250, who are batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher like the Twins Kevin Slowey, who has WHIP 1.000 or less over his last five starts. Drum roll please, this system is 30-1 since 2006. WOW!
Free Baseball Trend -2) Milwaukee is 15-1 against the money line in home games with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 15 games over the last two seasons.
Free Baseball Selection -3) With so many huge numbers today, one member from the LCC makes sense in playing the Brewers and Cardinals in money line parlay.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Oakland, with a money line of +175 to +250, who are batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher like the Twins Kevin Slowey, who has WHIP 1.000 or less over his last five starts. Drum roll please, this system is 30-1 since 2006. WOW!
Free Baseball Trend -2) Milwaukee is 15-1 against the money line in home games with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 15 games over the last two seasons.
Free Baseball Selection -3) With so many huge numbers today, one member from the LCC makes sense in playing the Brewers and Cardinals in money line parlay.
CFB Pre-Season Magazines- Part Dos
In part two of our article about college football pre-season magazines, we’ll take a gander at the other five conferences, the Big Ten, Pac-10, SEC, MAC and Sun Belt. Three of the five leagues have unanimous choices, with a couple up for grabs. Read on to learn more.Big Ten
1)Ohio State
2)Wisconsin
3)Illinois
4)Penn State
5)Michigan
6)Michigan State
7)Iowa
8)Purdue
9)Northwestern
10)Indiana
11)Minnesota
Analysis- In this beleaguered conference, everyone loves Ohio State, predicts Wisconsin for second (except for one magazine) and the rest of the league is somewhat up for grabs. The Buckeyes have three road encounters of note, at USC, at Wisconsin and at Illinois. If they come away unscathed and are undefeated, they likely will be in Miami for another championship try. The Badgers have the most talent coming back of the next tier of teams, with Illinois and Penn State right behind. Michigan is in the unlikely group of ordinary, of which only Indiana and Minnesota are not listed. The Big Ten is rated third in the nation in conferences, quite a ways behind the SEC and the Big 12.
Pac-10
1)USC
2)Arizona State
3)Oregon
4)California
5)UCLA
6)Arizona
7)Oregon State
8)Washington
9)Stanford
10)Washington State
Analysis – For the most part, the Pac-10 has always been about talented signal callers. With USC again the only squad thought to rule the roost in this 10-team league, even they have doubters if Mark Sanchez is the man for the job. The Trojans have superior talent on defense, compared to almost anyone in the Pac-10. Quarterback Rudy Carpenter of Arizona State is preseason first team choice in the conference and is among the reasons they were picked second in all but periodical. Oregon, California and UCLA round out the next grouping, all with question marks at quarterback and holes in various spots. Arizona is given a chance to crack into the upper division by a few; however must fill defensive voids or coach Bob Stoops might be on the stoop looking for next employment. The rest of the league doesn’t receive much respect, nor does it deserve it.
SEC East
1)Georgia
2)Florida
3)Tennessee
4)So. Carolina
5)Kentucky
6)Vanderbilt
SEC West
1)LSU
2)Auburn
3)Alabama
4)Mississippi State
5)Arkansas
6)Mississippi
Analysis –The SEC could be in for another wild ride in 2008, based on how the experts see things. Georgia and Florida took all the first place votes, with the Bulldogs earning the most at 66.7 percent. The Gators could surpass Georgia, as toughest road game is at Tennessee, while Mark Richt’s team is at South Carolina, at LSU and at Auburn. The rest of East saw teams fitting into particular slots. LSU and Auburn split being the top choice in the SEC West, with LSU finishing higher because StatFox Edge gave Tommy Tuberville’s squad a third place finish. Even though it’s in September, the winner of LSU at Auburn grabs the upper hand. Alabama is expected to make noise with improving talent and General, whoops, coach Nick Saban will be cracking the whip. The rest of the West hopes to find way to minor bowl bids.
MAC-East
1)Miami-O
2)Bowling Green
3)Buffalo
4)Temple
5)Kent State
6)Ohio U
7)Akron
MAC –West
1)Central Michigan
2)Ball State
3)Western Michigan
4)Toledo
5)Northern Illinois
6)Eastern Michigan
Analysis- Opinions almost always vary in the MAC, which tends to have wild swings. One aspect not expected to change is Miami-O and Central Michigan to meet again for MAC championship. The Redhawks will have to rely on a very good defense, as coach Steve Montgomery tries to add facets of offense together. Others give Bowling Green a chance, picked twice to be MAC East champs, with 17 returning starters. The Falcons fate could be determined even before playing a MAC encounter, with strenuous non-conference slate. Thoughts on Kent State and Buffalo were all over the place. The Golden Flashes were picked from second to last and improving Buffalo, third to last. Central Michigan can score, having all-everything Dan LeFevour at quarterback. If the Chippewas find any defense this season, they are prohibitive favorites. If CMU slips even a little, Ball State lead by quarterback Nate Davis will displace Central Mich. as champs. All 11 starters are back on offense for the Cardinals, with defense the conundrum. With Ball State at CMU in later November, oddsmakers start at 76 points for total and work upward.
Sun Belt
1)Florida Atlantic
2)Troy
3)UL-Monroe
4)Louisiana-Lafayette
5)Arkansas State
6)Middle Tennessee State
7)North Texas
8)Florida International
Analysis- In Sun Belt country, this race is thought to be like a 1-3 favorite for a horse race, as defending champs Florida Atlantic is far ahead of the competition with 19 starters back. No less than eight players for the Owls are considered to be first team all-Sun Belt. Troy is the clear second choice; however must replace QB Omar Haugabook. UL-Monroe is curious choice for third with potential to move up. They won five of last six (beat Alabama 21-14 on the road) and has tremendous speed at skill positions and other areas. With less murderous schedule to start the year and aforementioned teams at home in back-to-back weeks, just maybe the Warhawks could surprise. Everyone agrees North Texas and Florida International are in for long seasons.
Free Baseball Selections at 3DW
It seems very odd; twice our top trend has been to play against Baltimore on Sunday’s and they have won both times, accounting for three of their wins all season. We’re not silly, no more playing against the O’s on this day. After yesterday’s easy win, today’s Top System is 86 percent in over a decade of plays. Monday’s Top Trend takes us to the finale of San Fran and Atlanta series and the Free Play takes a look at hot-hitting underdog. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Seattle, with a money line of +150 or more, who are meager AL offensive team, scoring 4.2 runs or less runs a game, against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less) like the White Sox, with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season. This system is a salivating 49-8, 86 percent the last 11 years.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Barry Zito and San Francisco are 3-16 when he is starting pitcher in day games.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Sort of a mixed bag from our experts, thus I'll step up go out on a limb and call for a hot-hitting Baltimore bunch to win as underdog. They have averaging 8.5 runs per game in last 10 outings and better than 13 hits a contest during this stretch. Let's see what happens.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Seattle, with a money line of +150 or more, who are meager AL offensive team, scoring 4.2 runs or less runs a game, against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less) like the White Sox, with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season. This system is a salivating 49-8, 86 percent the last 11 years.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Barry Zito and San Francisco are 3-16 when he is starting pitcher in day games.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Sort of a mixed bag from our experts, thus I'll step up go out on a limb and call for a hot-hitting Baltimore bunch to win as underdog. They have averaging 8.5 runs per game in last 10 outings and better than 13 hits a contest during this stretch. Let's see what happens.
CFB Pre-Season Magazines Add Intrigue
One of the joys of most anything in life is the anticipation of an event. You can take the time to be excited, prepare and look forward to what will be taking place. An annual right of summer is to gather the various college football magazines and go over the predictions from each conference. As a writer and handicapper, I have been pouring over data for months now and have strong feelings and opinions about how the various conferences races could play out. Part of winning in the fall in college football is having the information necessary to place yourself into a position to win. This is why I annually make pilgrimages to the various book stores to purchase all the magazines containing college football material.The reason for doing has three distinct purposes. The first is I’m seeking information on the coaches and teams I may have missed in my own personal research. No matter how hard or far you dig, you will always find other useful nuggets. Next is learning about all the players, particularly the difference makers on each team, which is a powerful tool to understand if a team may be over or under-rated before the season starts. Lastly, just to see what other so-called experts think in making predictions. For example, why would a couple of magazines pick Memphis first in the Conference USA West Division, when three different ones have them finishing fourth? This is worth reading to understand why they would have such a difference of opinion and if points are valid or just baloney. Plus this allows one to find strong situations to place futures wagers at places like Sportsbook.com on particular teams.
Listed below is the accumulation of all the conferences and the teams ranked in order taking all the pre-season publications that were acquired, along with further analysis. Today we will at the ACC, Big East, MWC, Big 12, WAC, C-USA and Independents.
ACC -Atlantic
1)Clemson
2)Wake Forest
3)Florida State
4)Boston College
5)Maryland
6)NC State
ACC – Coastal
1)Virginia Tech
2)North Carolina
3)Miami-Fl
4)Georgia Tech
5)Virginia
6)Duke
Analysis- The perception of this league has taken a major hit, having last won a BCS bowl game in 1999, when Florida State won national championship. Clemson and Virginia Tech are unanimous choices to win respective divisions, though both have question marks coming into the season. The Hokies should have the easier time as only North Carolina is thought to be a team on the rise, with the others either unchanged of falling. Tommy Bowden’s Clemson club has the most talent, which has been the case in other years also, when they failed to meet expectations. Wake Forest has nine starters back on defense and QB Riley Skinner and will host Clemson in early October. With the improvement the Demon Deacons continue to make, they are becoming more of a play against team because of ill-suited favorite roles. Florida State and the rest of the teams in the Atlantic Division are treading water at best.
Big East
1)West Virginia
2)South Florida
3)Pittsburgh
4)Connecticut
5)Rutgers
6)Cincinnati
7)Louisville
8)Syracuse
Analysis- West Virginia is the accordant choice by everyone to be the BCS representative again in 2008. The Mountaineers lost talent on offense at skill positions, however, maintain in the areas that count most, with quarterback Pat White and four offensive linemen back. The defense will need some work with seven new starters, with program still carrying enough depth moving ahead. South Florida received every second place vote except one and is believed to be the only real competition for West Virginia, with outside chance to steal Big East crown if the ‘Teers don’t adjust to new coach Bill Stewart. Pittsburgh doesn’t gather a lot of support, since all they have done in the Dave Wannstedt era is underachieve. Connecticut brings back 17 starters, yet most don’t believe vanilla offense can offset a solid defense again. Louisville has fallen this far this quick, Yikes!
Mountain West
1)BYU
1)Utah
3)TCU
4)New Mexico
5)Wyoming
6)Air Force
7)San Diego State
8)Colorado State
9)UNLV
Analysis –BYU is prohibitive choice; yet not unanimous favorite to execute three-peat, being Mountain West champions. The Cougars have 10 starters back on offense, from one of the best in the country and are thinking BCS bowl as well. Games at Washington and home to UCLA will provide early answer about BCS prospects and conference road trips to TCU and rival Utah will provide the rest of the equation. Utah picked up a few first place and third place votes. The Utes receiving first place votes is somewhat predicated on hosting both BYU and TCU. The Horned Frogs should be just fine on offense, but have holes to fill in 4-2-5 base defense. Coach Rocky Long usually finds a way to earn a bowl berth and many feel this is Wyoming’s best chance for bowl in four years.
Big 12 North
1)Missouri
2)Kansas
3)Colorado
4)Nebraska
5)Kansas State
6)Iowa State
Big 12 South
1)Oklahoma
2)Texas
3)Texas Tech
4)Oklahoma State
5)Texas A&M
6)Baylor
Analysis – With apologies to Iowa State, the Big 12 should go down as the Year of the Quarterback in 2008. Pundits see a return engagement of Chase Daniel of Missouri and Sam Bradford of Oklahoma dueling for the conference title as division champions. Missouri has 10 starters returning on defense and almost every void filled on offense except running back. Kansas should be right behind the Tigers, in the North Division, yet doesn’t figure to pass them, receiving conference schedule upgrade, which includes Oklahoma, Texas and Texas Tech from the South. Colorado and Nebraska should be improved; it just won’t show up in the standings. The Texas offense will score points, nevertheless are on fourth straight new defensive coordinator in Will Muschamp, from a defense that allowed 35 points per game in last five outings. Texas Tech is slated for third, and has 36 players back from two-deep roster. Oklahoma State and Texas A&M are very close, with whatever defense plays better moving up.
WAC
1)Fresno State
2)Boise State
3)Nevada
4)Hawaii
5)Louisiana Tech
6)New Mexico St.
7)San Jose State
8)Idaho
9)Utah State
Analysis- Fresno State deserves credit for helping establish the WAC as legitimate league, playing excellent non-conference opponents tough and beating enough of them to be noticed. One missing piece for the Bulldogs has been winning WAC crown, since last sharing in 1999. They receive 70 percent of the votes this season and will have 16 talents starters returning for coach Pat Hill. To win, Bulldogs must avoid the game(s) they always mange to lose in conference. If Fresno State does slip, Boise State is expected to take their place, though recruiting efforts seem to have suffered. The Broncos do have most of the league contenders on the blue turf, however. Nevada is set to score points like usual and the fortunes of Hawaii will take a tumble.
Conference USA East Division
1)Central Florida
2)East Carolina
3)Memphis
4)So. Mississippi
5)Marshall
6)UAB
Conference USA West Division
1)Tulsa
2)Houston
3)UTEP
4)SMU
5)Tulane
6)Rice
Analysis- This conference has become largely irrelevant in the national scope, with its biggest showcase being its C-USA title game. This league has replaced the old WAC conference from 1962-1998, known for little defense and high scoring affairs. Tulsa was on every ballot to win the Western Division and Houston was on all but one to finish right behind the Hurricane. The Eastern side of the league is more convoluted. Memphis gathered the most first place votes and also the most fourth place votes, suggesting anything is possible for the Tigers team. Central Florida more or less won by default, having the same number of first place tallies as East Carolina, just more second place votes. Besides Tulsa, the only thing magazine writers agreed on was UAB will finish last in division.
Independents
1)Notre Dame
2)Navy
3)Army
4)Western Kentucky
Analysis- Depending on who is serving the kool-aid, Notre Dame will finish anywhere from 6-6 to 10-2. Ken Nuimatalolo wears the main head set after a decade under Paul Johnson guidance and will try to extend five consecutive Commander-in-Chief trophies and bowl game streak. Army’s going back to wishbone, essentially wasting the first year under coach Stan Brock. Western Kentucky has one warm-up season as independent before heading off to Sun Belt.
Tommorrow - Part 2
Free Baseball Plays on Sunday
The L.A. Dodgers bullpen cost us a 3-1 record on Saturday, but as we all know, things (fill in your own word) happen. Today we have awesome System that is sensational 87.1 percent since 2006. We actually revisit a Top Trend and it will look familiar. Mark from the Left Coast Connection has been on fire and is unloading with a monster baseball selection. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like the Pirates, with a money line of +175 to +250, where team's hitters draw three walks or less a game on the season, against opponent with a hot starting pitcher like Johan Santana, with a WHIP under 1.000 over his last five starts. This galvanic system is 34-5, 87.1 percent the last three years.
Free Baseball Trend -2) The Baltimore Orioles actually won a few weeks ago on this day; however are still 2-17 playing on Sunday’s.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Mark of the LCC has heated up like the Las Vegas August sun and is on 13-2 run in all sports. Today he has huge play on the Angels.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like the Pirates, with a money line of +175 to +250, where team's hitters draw three walks or less a game on the season, against opponent with a hot starting pitcher like Johan Santana, with a WHIP under 1.000 over his last five starts. This galvanic system is 34-5, 87.1 percent the last three years.
Free Baseball Trend -2) The Baltimore Orioles actually won a few weeks ago on this day; however are still 2-17 playing on Sunday’s.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Mark of the LCC has heated up like the Las Vegas August sun and is on 13-2 run in all sports. Today he has huge play on the Angels.
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