Thanks to everyone for commenting about keeping hockey plays here at 3Daily Winners. I would encourage everyone to comment as often as you like, seeing this is a blog and your voice should be heard. (in good taste of course)
Paul Buck had a great call on Dallas last night in our only play and the Left Coast Connection feels very strongly about a play in college football tonight. The San Antonio Spurs might have been losers last night, will in continue, read the Top Trend. Found a very good System in the NBA concerning Oklahoma City which is 25-4, 86.2 percent. Does Okie City feel like an expansion team to you too? Has that same weird feeling like when Charlotte moved to New Orleans.
Good Luck.
Free Basketball System-1) PLAY AGAINST home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points Oklahoma City in non-conference games, off a close home win by three points or less. This system is 25-4, 86.2 percent the last five years.
Free Basketball Trend -2) The San Antonio Spurs are 22-6 ATS after three straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers the last 12 years.
Free Football Selection 3) – The Left Coast Connection has 14 bettors on Northern Illinois and one on Ball State.
Need Your Opinion and other Stuff
We need your opinion. For those reading this do you want to see any hockey systems, trends or free plays? The NHL is not widely bet and even though there is often some really good material, if you don’t care, no point in having it here. Click on the "comment" below to respond.
The Top Trend Winner was the only official play for Monday, as the Clippers played as expected. I’m not a big parlay player but have had pretty good success this year blending money line plays with spread bets I really like. I limit it to three or four teams and though the payout isn’t as good as straight parlay (using spread bets) the odds are more in your favor and last I heard winning isn’t bad. I should note this is mostly in college football. Here are is an exceptional system for this upcoming weekend, yielding two plays. With nothing that great in the NBA tonight, the Top Trend looks at the Rice Owls total for this next Saturday. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY AGAINST road teams vs. the money line, having lost 6 or 7 out of their last eight games against opponent after having won 6 or 7 out of their last eight games. The qualifying play against teams would be Purdue and Michigan for a system that is, drum-roll, 38-1. Holy, you know, crap.
Free Football Trend -2) Rice is 17-3 OVER in all lined games over the last two years and 9-0 OVER after allowing 42 or more points.
Free Hoops Selection 3) – Paul Buck is playing Dallas tonight in the NBA. Among the reasons are the underdog is 14-2 ATS when the Mavs meet San Antonio.
The Top Trend Winner was the only official play for Monday, as the Clippers played as expected. I’m not a big parlay player but have had pretty good success this year blending money line plays with spread bets I really like. I limit it to three or four teams and though the payout isn’t as good as straight parlay (using spread bets) the odds are more in your favor and last I heard winning isn’t bad. I should note this is mostly in college football. Here are is an exceptional system for this upcoming weekend, yielding two plays. With nothing that great in the NBA tonight, the Top Trend looks at the Rice Owls total for this next Saturday. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY AGAINST road teams vs. the money line, having lost 6 or 7 out of their last eight games against opponent after having won 6 or 7 out of their last eight games. The qualifying play against teams would be Purdue and Michigan for a system that is, drum-roll, 38-1. Holy, you know, crap.
Free Football Trend -2) Rice is 17-3 OVER in all lined games over the last two years and 9-0 OVER after allowing 42 or more points.
Free Hoops Selection 3) – Paul Buck is playing Dallas tonight in the NBA. Among the reasons are the underdog is 14-2 ATS when the Mavs meet San Antonio.
Betting Material for Monday
It was a mixed bag of sorts for 3Daily Winners with a 1-2 day in the NFL Sunday and 2-3 record on the week. We ended up with four of five Winners in college football and a good week overall totaling everything up. Spoke to Kendall last night, he’s lost his best play two weeks in a row here, but keeps on winning in the NFL. He ended up 3-1, with winners on Green Bay, Cincinnati and New England, losing with the Browns. He’s still hard to comprehend 31-7. Though not an official play, we offer up a 78 percent system for Monday night. Our Top Trend is pure perfection in the NBA. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON teams like Washington that have gone five consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers against opponent like Pittsburgh after a game where they committed three or more turnovers are 32-9 ATS, 78 percent.
Free Basketball Trend -2) The L.A. (they’ll cut themselves with their own) Clippers are 0-11 ATS revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last three seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) Very interesting dynamic going tonight. The Left Coast Connection has 21 members playing tonight's Monday Night game, 13 on Washington and 8 on Pittsburgh. What makes this thought provoking is 10 of the 13 are making money betting in the NFL this season. Six of the 8 who are on the Steelers are losing money at present wagering in the NFL. Like I said, interesting.
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Free Football System-1) PLAY ON teams like Washington that have gone five consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers against opponent like Pittsburgh after a game where they committed three or more turnovers are 32-9 ATS, 78 percent.
Free Basketball Trend -2) The L.A. (they’ll cut themselves with their own) Clippers are 0-11 ATS revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last three seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) Very interesting dynamic going tonight. The Left Coast Connection has 21 members playing tonight's Monday Night game, 13 on Washington and 8 on Pittsburgh. What makes this thought provoking is 10 of the 13 are making money betting in the NFL this season. Six of the 8 who are on the Steelers are losing money at present wagering in the NFL. Like I said, interesting.
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Monday Night Matchup - Steelers at Redskins
Washington has passed most of their previous tests, save for a final-second loss at home to the Rams in Week 6. But looking at St. Louis these days maybe that defeat isn't as bad as it originally looked. The Redskins steamrolled hapless-and still winless-Detroit, 25-17, and remains just behind the Giants in the NFC East.Maybe owner Daniel Snyder was onto something when he hired head coach Jim Zorn despite no prior experience as a front man. It helps having the NFL's leading rusher, Clinton Portis, who added 126 yards to his total (944) against the Lions, in the same huddle. Rather than the wide-open spaces he's become accustomed to in Zorn's West Coast offense, Portis may have to take more of a bullish approach against Pittsburgh who is 33-18 ATS versus offensive teams averaging 5.65 or more yards a play.
The Steelers, ranked No. 2 in the NFL against the run (71.6 yards per game, three touchdowns), have allowed just three runners in the past 73 games to crack 100 yards. Portis has rushed for more than 120 yards in five-straight games and averages 5.0 yards per carry; opposing backs are rushing for 2.9 YPC vs. Pittsburgh. Washington is 28-12 ATS versus good rushing defenses allowing 90 or less rushing yards a game, including 2-0 against the spread this season.
Jason Campbell did complete 23 of 28 attempts for 328 yards against the Lions but can expect plenty more pressure in Pittsburgh. Much like the Giants did in Week 1, the Steelers are expected to bring the heat from all angles, and may be better at it than even the defending champs. Campbell has just three turnovers (all fumbles), but all have come within the last three games. Washington is 6-15-2 ATS after passing for more than 250 yards.
Campbell's counterpart, Ben Roethlisberger, hasn't yet clicked in offensive coordinator Bruce Arian's system and may have turned in his worst performance yet in a 21-14 loss to the Giants. He threw just one touchdown and four interceptions and absorbed five sacks. At least two of the sacks were because Roethlisberger held the ball too long, something the coaches are trying to get him to change. The Steelers 7-3 ATS off a loss.
Running back Willie Parker missed a fourth consecutive game with a knee injury, but Mewelde Moore, at one point the third-stringer, continues to prove his value and the running hasn’t fallen off as much as expected. Parker might be ready for this encounter.
Bookmaker.com has Washington as a 2.5-point choice with a total of 36.5. Pittsburgh is 17-6 UNDER in road games off an upset loss as a favorite and the Skins are 21-9 UNDER after out-gaining opposition by 150 or more total yards in their previous game.
Pittsburgh covers if they stop Portis, which they well could do since they held the Giants to just over half their average last week. The Steelers have to get after Campbell and force him to make bad choices and create turnovers. Pittsburgh’s special teams have been solid all, year, contain Washington and they improve to 28-10 ATS playing against teams with 75 win percentage or higher.
Washington covers if they can prevent the Pittsburgh linebackers from blitzing Campbell silly. The Redskins defense has only forced eight turnovers on the year, Big Ben will present opportunities, and they must cash in and create shorter fields for the offense. Attack the Steelers guards on defense, since this is the area where they have has the most problems in pass protection. Start trouble in the middle and safeties could have free shots at Roethlisberger. Pitt is 3-7 ATS on the road at teams with winning records.
No pertinent system for Monday night, however teams like Washington that have gone five consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers against opponent like Pittsburgh after a game where they committed three or more turnovers are 32-9 ATS, 78 percent.
Free Sunday Selections at 3Daily Winners
A nice 2-1 day here for Saturday, with winners on Colorado State and Texas A&M. For NFL action, we have some excellent numbers today like today’s Top System this is scintillating 94.1 percent. If you are impressed with that number try perfect 8-0 for the Top Trend. Kendall from the Left Coast Connection is 28-6, 82.6 percent in the NFL and is the best investment anywhere these days and offers his top play for Free. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON any home team that scored 24 or more points before going on its bye week and lost the game. This system is incredible 16-1, 94.1 percent and has Minnesota today, as they lost 48-41 to Chicago two weeks ago.
Free Football Trend -2) The Indianapolis Colts are 8-0 ATS after two or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last three seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) Kendall did lose last week in this space however will get a free pass here this week seeing he is eye-popping 28-6 in the NFL this season. He’s backing Cleveland to cover today.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON any home team that scored 24 or more points before going on its bye week and lost the game. This system is incredible 16-1, 94.1 percent and has Minnesota today, as they lost 48-41 to Chicago two weeks ago.
Free Football Trend -2) The Indianapolis Colts are 8-0 ATS after two or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last three seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) Kendall did lose last week in this space however will get a free pass here this week seeing he is eye-popping 28-6 in the NFL this season. He’s backing Cleveland to cover today.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Early Football Line Moves
For the Early Line Moves, we seek out the earliest lines and compare them on late Tuesday nights numbers to see what the so-called Line Movers do. Last week in college football these plays were dandy 6-1 on the sides and 1-1 in college totals. This makes season record 42-27-2, 60.8 percent on sides and 29-18, 61.7 percent on Totals in CFB. In the NFL, they were 1-1 on sides bringing the record to 11-9, 55 percent. On the Totals they were excellent 4-1 (9-2-1 L3 weeks) making the updated figure 15-10-1, 60 percent. As you notice, every one of these is making money this season. Enjoy reading and closely follow these numbers for wagering portfolio.
College Sides
Bowling Green -9.5 to -7
Virginia +1.5 to -2.5
Stanford -27 to -30
Miss. State Pick to -2.5
Georgia Tech +1.5 to -2
Oregon State -9 to -14
College Totals
Buff/Ohio 51 to 48 Lost
Hou/Marsh 63 to 60.5 Winner
Duke/WF 37.5 to 40
Aub/Miss 40 to 42
Tulsa/Ark 74 to 77
Colo/Tex A&M 56 to 53
Oreg/Cal 67 to 62
UAB/USM 57 to 61
NFL Sides
N.Y. Giants -7 to -9
NFL Totals
AZ/STL 50.5 to 48
GB/Tenn 42.5 to 40.5
Miami/Den 47.5 to 49
College Sides
Bowling Green -9.5 to -7
Virginia +1.5 to -2.5
Stanford -27 to -30
Miss. State Pick to -2.5
Georgia Tech +1.5 to -2
Oregon State -9 to -14
College Totals
Buff/Ohio 51 to 48 Lost
Hou/Marsh 63 to 60.5 Winner
Duke/WF 37.5 to 40
Aub/Miss 40 to 42
Tulsa/Ark 74 to 77
Colo/Tex A&M 56 to 53
Oreg/Cal 67 to 62
UAB/USM 57 to 61
NFL Sides
N.Y. Giants -7 to -9
NFL Totals
AZ/STL 50.5 to 48
GB/Tenn 42.5 to 40.5
Miami/Den 47.5 to 49
West Texas Shootout in Lubbock
For knowledgeable college football fans, this matchup is only unexpected to the degree that both have failed to lose in 2008. Every preseason magazine had these two Big 12 teams either second or third in the South Division. Texas Tech coach Mike Leach has his most complete team during nine seasons, being able to not only pass, but run with effectiveness and a decent defense. Texas has taken the college football world by storm, with coach Mack Brown assembling a team hungry to get better weekly and unafraid of a daunting four week schedule as challenging as any team would find in college football.From a situational standpoint, not much more Texas Tech could ask for. The Red Raiders are undefeated at 8-0 (3-2-1 ATS) after Kansas conflict, coming home to take on hated rival and #1 Texas. Passing guru Leach catches the Longhorns on the final stop of what seemed a nearly impossible four-game stretch, with this the only true road game. In a league stuffed with potent offenses, this could be the one that could case Texas the most difficulties. Quarterback Graham Harrell makes quick decisions and unleashes the ball with more velocity than typical Lubbock chucker. Having Michael Crabtree and other talented wideouts doesn’t hurt, all being able to take the pigskin long distances on the various crossing routes. The biggest change has been on the other side of the ball, where the defense can actually stop opponents, however is vulnerable to the pass ranking 98th position nationally. Texas Tech is 8-4 ATS as home underdog, but just .500 under Leach.
The legend of Colt McCoy continues to grow, with one superb performance after another. "We need to continue for him to be who he is," said Texas coach Mack Brown. "I don't know if we need him to be any better." His uncanny accuracy and decision-making is setting him apart from the pack and the newcomers that are emerging off coach Brown’s bench only add to the weaponry. The Texas defense will not be haled among the elite ranked at 44th nationally in total defense; nonetheless they make plays when they count the most in such as offensive-minded league like the Big 12. Think back how they shutdown Oklahoma in the second half and stopped high-powered Missouri until they had built a 35-0 lead.
Bookmaker.com has Texas as 3.5-point favorites, with a total of 74.5. In looking at the Total both teams have a commonality. The Horns are 21-5 OVER vs. excellent passing teams with a completion percentage of 62 percent or better and the Red Raiders are 13-3 OVER vs. good passing teams with a completion percentage of 58 percent or higher.
If anyone is looking for a defensive struggle, better find a MMA match, as this Big 12 confrontation will be about as they say in the South, Aw-fense. The Red Raiders have given up just three sacks, which Texas defense is capable of in a half. Harrell is going to have to be on target and steady. Texas Tech will have to run enough to balance the offense, and they are 15-5 ATS versus excellent rushing defenses allowing 90 or less rushing yards a game.
The Longhorns have already faced a slew of outstanding quarterbacks and won’t be overwhelmed. Their biggest advantage is they have had the best field general in each contest in McCoy and Texas Tech will have to stop him. The Texas running game has been gaining confidence and churning out more yardage with regularity. Texas has covered four of their last five road games against teams with winning records.
Texas leaves the comforts of Austin and is 4-8-1 ATS on the Big 12 road. This Texas tussle originated 80 years ago and the home team is 7-3 ATS the last decade. The favorite is 6-9 ATS in the last 15; however November is when the Horns do their best work with 19-9-2 ATS record.
Saturday Wagering Options and a slice of humble pie
3Daily Winners hoped you took advantage of Thursday’s System in the NHL which was a Winner, we told you it would be. Overall a solid 2-1 day and we look forward to Saturday college football where we have one of the best college football systems we have had all season at 25-2 against the spread. The Top Trend of the Day takes us to South Bend and taking a peek at one of my favorite coaches (not) Dave (he’s got a knee) Wannstedt. Good Luck.
I was unhappy to miss an opportunity Thursday on Cincinnati. The normal sites I check still had QB Tony Pike as doubtful for game against South Florida. 3Daily Winners gave out Cincinnati as a Free Pick at FreeSportsMonitor.com, yet was hesitant to make it an official play. I saw Pike played pretty well and Cincy won. Hate lost opportunities.
I have to give out a public apology to Paul Buck. For those that bought his play in our Waging Options page on New Orleans, no harm, no foul. At Free Sports Monitor, those buyers also got the right pick, but I messed up and hit Phoenix, when New Orleans was the play. No customers werehurt, just our record at that monitor. Sorry Paul, my bad.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points off a road win, when playing on a Saturday. This incredible system is 25-2 ATS, a whopping 92.5 percent and points to backing Colorado State.
Free Football Trend -2) Pittsburgh is 2-17 ATS off a home loss by 14 or more points the last 16 years.
Free Football Selection -3) Mark from the Left Coast Connection is on 10-2 run in college football and has Texas A&M as his best play today.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
I was unhappy to miss an opportunity Thursday on Cincinnati. The normal sites I check still had QB Tony Pike as doubtful for game against South Florida. 3Daily Winners gave out Cincinnati as a Free Pick at FreeSportsMonitor.com, yet was hesitant to make it an official play. I saw Pike played pretty well and Cincy won. Hate lost opportunities.
I have to give out a public apology to Paul Buck. For those that bought his play in our Waging Options page on New Orleans, no harm, no foul. At Free Sports Monitor, those buyers also got the right pick, but I messed up and hit Phoenix, when New Orleans was the play. No customers werehurt, just our record at that monitor. Sorry Paul, my bad.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points off a road win, when playing on a Saturday. This incredible system is 25-2 ATS, a whopping 92.5 percent and points to backing Colorado State.
Free Football Trend -2) Pittsburgh is 2-17 ATS off a home loss by 14 or more points the last 16 years.
Free Football Selection -3) Mark from the Left Coast Connection is on 10-2 run in college football and has Texas A&M as his best play today.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
As the Cold Winds of November blow, Know your Football Numbers
The month of November for much of the country sees thick dark low clouds become a more regular occurrence; a foreshadowing what lies ahead in the coming months. In the South and West, the days are often still sunny, but the thermometer takes a much slower climb to reach the daytime highs as the cooler nights linger much longer. Betting college football is also in transition in November. All the conference races head down the final stretch to figure out the winners. Bowl slots are determined by how teams finish in the standings, some pleased, and others not so much. The rhetoric about what teams deserve to play in the national championship game and fill the BCS bowls hits a fever pitch and upsets happen in the most unlikely places, like Pittsburgh upsetting West Virginia, spoiling their chance at the title last year.November is not for the faint of heart, since just because a team needs to win, doesn’t mean they do. Inevitably the cream rises to the top. The very best teams hit their stride, reaching the next plateau in accomplishments. These teams are identifiable by the physical nature of which they play. The stronger teams become stronger and beat teams that are wearing down having been wearing the pads since August. Typically these squads have a solid running game and pass the ball with greater efficiency. The defense has the ability to make the opponent one-dimensional and expose their weaknesses.
The pretenders are exposed, having gotten by with an easier schedule to this point or maybe a pass defense has not been fully exploited and now faces teams that have studied the tape on them and have the ability to take advantage of their shortcomings. Another scenario that happens every November is injuries mount and no matter how well you have played and survived to this point, the reserves are just not as good and these teams lose.
For the 11th month on the calendar, trends can be very useful source since they paint a picture about the recent history of a team. That’s not to say you should trust these trends unequivocally, rather a good starting point to help formulate good a quality wager.
Certain teams have a home/ road dichotomy, playing well at home and not on the road. Two teams that fit this profile perfectly are highly ranked Oklahoma State and fellow Big 12 partner Texas A&M. The Cowboys are having a remarkable campaign under coach Mike Gundy with one of the most powerful offenses in the country. The defense continues to improve and they are set to have a great finish, especially when playing at home where Oklahoma State is 11-3-2 against the spread at Boone Pickens Stadium. What bettors have to watch out for is Okie State on the road, being 5-11-1 ATS as November visitors.
Mike Sherman was brought in to Texas A&M to turnaround the football program and the changes he has made have been sweeping, probably to the detriment of this year’s club. The offense has at least started scoring points, but the defense is slower than my uncle reaching to grab the check for dinner. With this conundrum, the Aggies are sure to add to 4-13 ATS record on the road. However, with the offense improving and with the help of the famous 12th man at College Station, backing A&M at home with 10-3-2 spread record isn’t all bad.
It always helps to accentuate the positive and large group of universities have stellar November records. You will find teams that do well at home, others on the road or they just know how to finish the regular season. A couple of MAC teams are not up to previous standards, nevertheless are worth a look this month based on the past. Miami-Ohio is 28-12 and 24-14-2 ATS since Tom Hanks won second straight Oscar for Forrest Gump. (1995). Toledo has also been a strong closer with 14-6 mark and 13-6-1 ATS record.
One team on nobody’s radar is UL-Monroe, maybe it’s time to play attention with 6-1 and 7-0 ATS record the last two years. Michigan State is another good club this month, playing the power game and they are 18-10-2 ATS in November. Let’s not forget the best team in the country, as Texas is 19-9-2 ATS to finish the regular season.
Missouri has delivered for college football bettors with 18-9 ATS road record since 1999 and Miami-Fl. have the same winning percentage with 14-7 spread mark. Mississippi State seldom attains notoriety, but delivers well on the road with 17-10-1 ATS record this month.
Though this season has been bumpy, East Carolina flourishes at home with recent 6-1 number against the linemakers. Fresno State is 7-3 ATS in raisin country and Virginia Tech before its always wildly enthusiastic fans is 17-7-1 in November contests in Blacksburg.
It can be difficult to comprehend why seemingly top notch programs don’t deliver better wagering results late in the year, especially at home. The most reliable theory is teams are comfortable playing before the home fans, lacking that edginess necessary to put away conference rivals. With the stakes usually high, the opposing teams are also fighting for conference honors or seeking to pull that last upset which could make their season. If these battles are close in the fourth quarter, the coach of the more skilled home team becomes more conservative and looks more to survive to play another day, than risk peddle to the mettle.
Unbeaten Alabama has been such a team with unsightly 4-16-2 ATS figure at home in November and fellow SEC member LSU, is right with the Crimson Tide as a home play against team with 5-16 ATS record. Despite Boston College’s continued growth and playing in the colder Northeast, they have failed to cover seven of the last nine tilts on Chestnut Hill late in the year.
Earlier, teams being exposed for playing poor defense were mentioned and UTEP fits the bill, with 5-13 record, covering the number a measly three times.
There is no shortage of road teams who fail miserably in November, take a gander.
Army 6-15 ATS
Baylor 4-13-1 ATS
Bowling Green 10-17 ATS
Kansas 4-20 ATS
Marshall 4-12 ATS
Nebraska 5-9-1 ATS
TCU 3-8-1 ATS
Wake Forest 5-15 ATS
There are other schools that flounder in November, with losing wagers go hand in hand. Tulane is 3-9 straight up and against the spread in the month where Thanksgiving resides. Florida Atlantic from the Sun Belt Conference is 4-10 ATS and New Mexico State from the WAC is whacked posting 10-19 ATS numbers. Kent State is 4-22 this month and 8-18 ATS, hardly a cause for thanksgiving, unless you are on the other side.
When it comes to the understanding college football in the last major month of the regular season, be knee-deep in knowledge supporting the right teams that will make you a winner.
3Daily Winners for Thursday
Our Free Picks were 2-0 yesterday with a couple of nice winners. We don’t want to overload you with football systems and we were going to pass on a play all together, but our friends at StatFox.com passed this hockey system along and it is awfully tempting at 23-4. We know a lot of you don’t play the NHL, but at current price, backed with this System, at the very least deserves your attention to follow. Our Top Trend involves a televised TNT game tonight and Slick Rick will try to give us another Free Winner. Good Luck.
Free Hockey System-1) PLAY ON road favorites against the money line like Ottawa, after failing to cover four of their last five against opponent who has won two of their last three contests. This system is 23-4, 85.2 percent and is also backed with Ottawa being 16-6 at Florida.
Free Basketball Trend -2) The Phoenix Suns are 0-6 ATS against New Orleans.
Free Basketball Selection -3) Slick Rick of the LCC has won his first two NBA plays and goes for three in a row with Dallas tonight.
Free Hockey System-1) PLAY ON road favorites against the money line like Ottawa, after failing to cover four of their last five against opponent who has won two of their last three contests. This system is 23-4, 85.2 percent and is also backed with Ottawa being 16-6 at Florida.
Free Basketball Trend -2) The Phoenix Suns are 0-6 ATS against New Orleans.
Free Basketball Selection -3) Slick Rick of the LCC has won his first two NBA plays and goes for three in a row with Dallas tonight.
Tennessee Titans are Winning Approval
Raise your hand if you expected the Tennessee Titans to be 7-0 halfway through the 2008 NFL season.Any takers? No? I didn’t think so.After a nationally televised handling of the almighty Indianapolis Colts on Monday Night Football, the Titans deservedly sit atop the power rankings on every prominent sports website.
Make no mistake; I knew this team would be a contender and most likely end the season with a Wild Card playoff berth. But that was with a much-improved Vince Young at the helm, scampering around making plays with his feet and being smart with his arm. If you told me journeyman Kerry Collins was going to take over this team in the second week of the season and resurrect it from the depths of mediocrity, I might have checked you into an insane asylum.
But this guy has proven to be a veteran signal caller who limits mistakes. And the way the Titans roll with the football and play defense that is all you need. Collins completes on average just over 16 passes an outing and has yet to throw for more than 200 yards in a game this season.
But again, if you’ve bought into Jeff Fisher’s ideology that is all the guy taking snaps has to do to be successful. Remember Steve McNair? Take care of the football and play smash-mouth defense. The Titans are holding opponents to a league-best 12.4 points per game and are +8 in turnover margin which also ranks tops in the NFL.
Speaking of Jeff Fisher, I am going to go ahead and slap the “mastermind” label on his forehead, right above those sunglasses he never seems to pull off. I would put him up against that grandma-headband wearing, hooded guru that stalks the sidelines of Foxboro.
Beginning his career when the Titans were the Houston Oilers back in 1994, Fisher is the longest tenured coach in the NFL with 14 consecutive seasons under his belt. He and his squad made a Super Bowl appearance in 1999 after the infamous Music City Miracle. And then who can forget receiver Kevin Dyson reaching out for the goal line just to be tackled inches short of the game-tying score against the Rams?
But this pigskin genius is only 50 years old. If you are speaking in Joe Paterno years Fisher could be coaching for 30 more seasons! And there is not an inkling of doubt in my mind that he will capture an elusive Super Bowl ring. How many is anyone’s guess.
Earlier this week Collins was quoted saying, “Players love to play for this guy.” And if they don’t or fail to buy into his philosophy then he kindly shows them the door…ahem…Adam Jones! (Side Note: How good would that defense be with Pacman locking down opposing receivers?)
But I compare Fisher to a baseball manager I have the utmost respect for - Tony LaRussa. These two leaders are able to create winners out of nobodies. They find a way to make their team successful without the bazillion dollar contracts and superstars on the field.
Think about it, the biggest name on the Titans team is Vince Young and he’s watching from the sidelines. Let me think who else we have…LenDale White…the guy who was lost in Reggie Bush’s starlight at Southern Cal. And he isn’t even the starting back with rookie speedster Chris Johnson. You are probably saying Chris…who? Albert Haynesworth may be the biggest name they have and he’s a defensive lineman!
I would like to point out a pair of cover corners that deserve to be mentioned while we’re talking Tennessee personnel - Cortland Finnegan and Nick Harper. These guys were just begging to be thrown at on Monday evening and when their number was challenged, they responded. Pass breakups, incompletions and dropped passes were the only numbers Reggie Wayne and Marvin Harrison saw on the stat sheet.
I’ve watched this team closely on defense and it seems like every single man knows his role and how to execute it. And defense wins championships. The offense is beginning to come around, but does it really need to? They’ve mustered 34 and 31 points in the last couple of games but don’t expect that scoring surge to continue. But it is apparent that if the Titans need to open up the passing game because teams are stacking against the run they can. Receiving space over the middle to a couple of great tight ends in Bo Scaife and Alge Crumpler is parting open like Moses through the Red Sea.
Now don’t go expecting a 16-0 regular season from this squad like we did with the Pats last year. They just don’t have the offensive firepower to do that. When they play teams that are like-minded, love to slow the game down and run the ball, Tennessee will find themselves in the losing column for the first time.
And the Titans haven't just been pleasing their fans this season either. A collection of followers scattered across the country have taken notice to not only their wins on Sunday but the team's winning margins.
Tennessee has not failed to cover a single spread this year, going 7-0 against the number. They are putting lots of cash in the pockets of those fortunate enough to bet on them week in and week out. But eventually the odds will stack high enough and the oddsmakers will adjust high enough to make the cash cow sour.
Regardless of who they are pleasing in Sin City, the Titans are in complete control of the AFC South with a four-game lead over the Colts, Jaguars and Texans who all sit at 3-4. Remember however, Fisher and the boys went 6-2 to jumpstart last season and then went on to lose four of their next five.
This was penned by Scott Cooley, a freelance writer.
Hump Day Betting Info from 3Daily Winners
Our Free Play was a Winner with Cleveland yesterday and we have a NBA play and our NHL guru who is 4-0 at Cappers Watchdog, has his strongest play of the early season today. Our Top Totals System in college football takes a gander at (turn your eyes away if you are into political correctness) the World’s Largest Cocktail Party between Florida and Georgia in Jacksonville. The Top Trend will follow the exploits of a Big 12 team hitting the road off a win. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY UNDER on all teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 after scoring and allowing 30 points or more last game against opponent after scoring 37 points or more in last game. The team that fits this profile is Georgia and this Totals system in incredible 29-3, 90.6 percent, including 4-0 record in 2008.
Free Football Trend -2) Nebraska is 2-10 ATS off a straight up home triumph.
Free Selection -3) Our hockey is 4-0 and says Dallas is the best play this month. Five different guys from the Left Coast Connection are playing Toronto +5.5.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Free Football System-1) PLAY UNDER on all teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 after scoring and allowing 30 points or more last game against opponent after scoring 37 points or more in last game. The team that fits this profile is Georgia and this Totals system in incredible 29-3, 90.6 percent, including 4-0 record in 2008.
Free Football Trend -2) Nebraska is 2-10 ATS off a straight up home triumph.
Free Selection -3) Our hockey is 4-0 and says Dallas is the best play this month. Five different guys from the Left Coast Connection are playing Toronto +5.5.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Phoenix still Underdog to San Antonio
It’s a new era of basketball in Phoenix, gone are days taking a shot every seven seconds from literally anywhere on the floor, to a bunch of old men (in basketball age) playing a more traditional style because the general manager believes this is how you win championships no matter the age of the team. Steve Kerr is a down to earth guy and had a long-standing relationship with majority owner Robert Sarver. Kerr evidently sounded so smart on TV as a broadcaster; Sarver decided he was the best man to run his franchise.The biggest problem the Suns have is playing four quarters a night against Father Time. New coach Terry Porter has talked about how this team will stress defense. As the season starts, Shaquille O’Neal is 36-years old and Steve Nash is 34. Having never memorized the NBA’s all-defensive team over the last 12-years or more, pretty sure these were not two names that appeared when they were in their prime, let alone as setting-Suns. Raja Bell was a terrific defender for most of his career, however last season showed a significant decline or he was just fed up with being the only player in an orange uniform attempting to play any defense.
Though Amare Stoudemire’s game really shined free of the duties of playing center, don’t think he has a free pass to play power forward all season. Suns insiders have quietly spoken internally about the Big Cactus (Shaq) playing around 60 games if he can stay healthy (unlikely), suggesting Stoudemire will seen plenty of time in the paint.
At least the Suns will have a legitimate back-up point guard in first-year guard Goran Dragic to back up Nash, allowing Leandro Barbosa (Beep-Beep) to run around like he’s crazy, effective one night and not the next.
For years Phoenix has had this obsession about San Antonio, since they always believed they were nearly as good and just needed a few breaks. The fact is the Suns have never been as good, as the playoffs have proven and it has been true in the regular season also. Since the beginning of the 2002-03 season, the Spurs have whipped Phoenix like Indiana Jones carrying around his favorite apparatus, winning nine of 12-games at home (5-6-1 ATS).
Though there is no truth to the rumors about San Antonio players getting BOTOX treatments, they are still the oldest team in the league. They will start the season without one of their star players in Manu Ginobili, who had surgery on his left ankle in September and could be sidelined until December.
Still the Spurs players are comfortable in their normal routines and like being grumpy old men. “We have a proven system. We have a proven bunch of guys,” said Tim Duncan, who begins his 12th season. “And we like our chances.”
Bookmaker.com has the Spurs as two-point favorites with a total of 187.5. This is not an area San Antonio has thrived; being 6-16 ATS last season when the line is +3 to -3.
ESPN will have initial NBA telecast starting at 8 Eastern, with the NBA season only being slightly less time then a presidential campaign.
Thoughts courtesy of Red Wydley.
Looking Ahead in Rearview Mirror Betting CFB
Seeing the latest craze in college football by some teams is to change the tempo of the offense and run more plays to keep the defense from changing players to fit situations, I’ll do the same thing this week.Oklahoma State was expected to be better in 2008, but Oklahoma, Texas and Texas Tech were all presumed to finish ahead of them in the Big 12 South back in August. Thus far the Cowboys are the only team in college football not to suffer a spread loss at 7-0. You have to wonder if T. Boone Pickens is a betting man (sports’ betting that is), since if he bet his alma mater each game and had “let it ride”, he would be overcoming some of the big financial hits he has taken. It’s becoming more evident coach Mike Gundy can coach and recruit a little. Just asking- If you watched Oklahoma State and USC play on the road last week, whom do you think looked like the better team?
Tulsa is unbeaten and 6-1 ATS and had great second half in covering the spread against Central Florida. They have very good receivers and fascinating way of attacking both on offense and defense. Yet could not help but wonder if they wouldn’t be 6-10 point underdogs to Boise State and TCU on neutral fields, let alone against a top level BCS squad. Big test at Arkansas this week and at Houston on Nov.15.
Minnesota is 7-1 and 6-1 ATS and plays three of final four games at home. The Golden Gophers after a 1-11 campaign caught a scheduling break this season in avoiding Michigan State and Penn State. No doubt Minnesota is much improved, but here is a scary thought. If the Nittany Lions remain unbeaten and Texas or Alabama loses, and Ohio State slips up again, that could mean Minny goes to the Rose Bowl to face possibly face USC. A talented Illinois team was catching 13.5 last year, would the Gophers be on the receiving end of 20?
Though not official yet, Michigan will have 33-year bowl streak broken, still having to play three of last four on the road, including at Ohio State. At 2-6 and 1-7 ATS, the most disconcerting aspect of this Rich Rodriquez coached team is they have not gotten better. Though media-types have continued to say Rodriquez will win in Ann Arbor, watching him and his team on the sidelines is very uncomforting. This isn’t supposed to happen at Michigan. The last Michigan team not to go bowling was the 1974 squad who lost at Ohio State 12-10, ending their perfect 10-0 season, with far fewer bowls back in those days. This won’t have quite the same feel.
Fresno State was supposed to finally win the WAC, but once again the always bold talking Bulldogs are nothing special and causing backer’s lots of cash with 1-6 ATS record. Fresno State’s wins at Rutgers and UCLA are far less impressive today as is the narrow loss at home to Wisconsin. Losing at home to Hawaii is ridiculous and they could hardly have been any luckier in winning at Utah State 30-28 last Saturday as 15-point favorites. Coach Pat Hill has this tough guy persona, but how tough is it to bet against the 105th ranked run defense? Hill reminds me of a golfer who shoots one over par at the hardest course in town and is a 12-handicap at easiest course in the area. Of course all he talks about is his one great round.
Quick notes- What did I say about Pittsburgh last week, NEVER trust a Dave Wannstedt coached-team that is supposed to win.
Just a few of weeks ago it was fun to see the “smart” schools like Vanderbilt and Northwestern doing so well. The Commodores looked like MSNBC poll showing Barack Obama leading the presidential race, with 5-0 record. Three losses later and confronted with Florida and Tennessee at home and at Kentucky and at Wake Forest, the first bowl possibility in 26 years is slipping again. Northwestern not only lost at insipid Indiana, they lost all everything running back Tyrell Sutton.
Florida State is not only 6-1 and 3-2 ATS, they are returning to physical, smarter football.
At the end of September, talked about what a mess the Big East was based on how down the league is this year, it made sense to look at road teams in conference game. Thus far road teams are 6-4 ATS with four outright wins. One aspect not considered was road favorites and they are 1-2 SU and ATS.
After a 5-8-1 start, college football teams off a three exact spread covers are 10-3 ATS the last three weeks. That would mean Arkansas, Florida, Iowa and Louisville are possible play on teams. The opposite would be true for those failing to cover in a trio of tilts. On the season this group is 9-18-1 ATS and Clemson, Iowa State and Kentucky all make this week’s play against watch list.
Terrific Tuesday Wagering Lookahead
The Indianapolis Colts prevented us from having a 2-0 day; however the Top Trend was a NHL winner. For this upcoming NFL Sunday, we have an 84.6 percent first half system and an incredible trend on the money line concerning the odorous Oakland Raiders. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON home favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line after a game where they committed four or more turnovers against opponent after three consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This first betting system is 22-4, 84.6 percent and suggests to back Buffalo.
Free Football Trend -2) The Oakland Raiders are is 1-17 against the money line after scoring 17 points or less in three straight games the last 16 years.
Free Hoops Selection -3) Professional basketball starts tonight and Randy from the Left Coast Connection has been the best NBA bettor among the group to my understanding and he is making a small wager on Cleveland at +6.5 tonight.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON home favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line after a game where they committed four or more turnovers against opponent after three consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This first betting system is 22-4, 84.6 percent and suggests to back Buffalo.
Free Football Trend -2) The Oakland Raiders are is 1-17 against the money line after scoring 17 points or less in three straight games the last 16 years.
Free Hoops Selection -3) Professional basketball starts tonight and Randy from the Left Coast Connection has been the best NBA bettor among the group to my understanding and he is making a small wager on Cleveland at +6.5 tonight.
Checking out NBA Season Win Totals
Living in Las Vegas for many years and being a season ticket holder for UNLV basketball and football and thus a long-time observer of Mountain West Conference sports, the only thing that surprised me more than Utah center Andrew Bogut being the first player drafted in the 2005 NBA draft by the Milwaukee Bucks was quarterback Alex Smith from Utah being the first player drafted in that year’s NFL draft.Now mind you, I don’t have anything against the University of Utah nor even the Beehive State in general. But I watched these guys first hand perform in college and I just couldn’t see either one of them being worthy of the title of “America’s Most Wanted Draft Choice”.
Well, maybe Alex Smith will change positions and turn out like former All-American Kansas QB Nolan Cromwell, who was drafted in the second round by the LA Rams as a defensive back. Cromwell went on to play in four straight Pro Bowls.
While Andrew Bogut isn’t wearing a cape and performing in All-Star dunk contests, he is quietly turning out to be an upper quality post man in the NBA. Which leads us to our first season-win wager for the 2008-09 NBA season.
Take Milwaukee OVER 30.5 wins
I have had the good fortune of having traveled around the country, and even the world (if Arkansas counts), in my short lifetime (I plan on living to be 105. I want to see the Kansas City Royals in another World Series). However, I have never been to Milwaukee. My wife is dying to go so she can experience the “Laverne and Shirley Tour” and a first hand visit to the Shotz Brewery.
The Milwaukee Bucks made it to the Eastern Conference Finals in 2001. That was their zenith this century. Milwaukee won 26 games last year, down from 28 the year before. That was one of only three instances out of twelve possibilities over the past four seasons where an NBA team fell below 30 wins for the season and did not improve by at least eight games the following season.
The Bucks have a new General Manager, John Hammond. He was VP of Operations for the Detroit Pistons for a number of years, a very successful franchise. Hammonds had turned down other offers in the past, perhaps he just liked working down the street from the Shotz plant.
The Bucks have a new coach, fiery Scott Skiles. Skiles won’t win any personality awards with players, but he will improve a team immediately. Defense will be the focus along with a new sense of discipline.
The Bucks have a new coach, fiery Scott Skiles. Skiles won’t win any personality awards with players, but he will improve a team immediately. Defense will be the focus along with a new sense of discipline.
The Bucks decided to play for the now and not the future in trading away young Chinese seven-footer Yi Jianlian to the Nets. They lost potential in exchange for a sure thing. Jefferson will remove a lot of pressure from Michael Redd to be the main scorer every night.
Center Bogut has turned into a legit scoring option with 38 double-doubles & is a good shot blocker and should improve again this year. The X-factor is PF Charlie Villanueva. He just doesn’t always show up. (which will give him an immediate reservation to Coach Skiles doghouse). In games last year that Charlie V. played at least 35 minutes, he averaged 25.4 points and 10.8 rebounds. Maybe he just needs to be in the game and not waiting on the bench.
The weak spot is at point guard where former Sonic (remember them?) Luke Ridnour resides. However, we aren’t asking the Bucks to win the division title, just get into the 30’s in total wins. Something I feel very comfortable in putting my money on.
The weak spot is at point guard where former Sonic (remember them?) Luke Ridnour resides. However, we aren’t asking the Bucks to win the division title, just get into the 30’s in total wins. Something I feel very comfortable in putting my money on.
Take the Portland OVER 43.5 Wins
Okay, I have to admit a bias for the GM of Portland, former point guard for the 1988 national champions of my alma mater, the University of Kansas, Kevin Pritchard. Besides Pritchard’s talent of making shots off-balance, in my eyes his most remarkable talent was being able to have a grizzly five-o’clock shadow beard every single day of his college career. He is the only guy I have ever seen at that age look older than Greg Oden!
Pritchard has done a remarkable job in building the Blazers through a myriad of moves in the past few years. I watched Brandon Roy in the Vegas Summer League a few years ago and proclaimed him the future rookie of the year. The man was unbelievable.
Portland now has possibly the best rookie with last-year’s injured center Greg Oden. Oden has been impressive in pre-season and gives the team an aspect many teams only wish to have.
An acquisition that many people are excited about is Spaniard 6-5 Rudy Fernandez who helped Spain to the Silver Medal in the Olympics. He attacks the rim and will get to the line.
PF LaMarcus Adridge made a quantum leap in his second year and could give the Blazers effective high-low action with Oden. The Blazers have very good front court depth with Channing Frye, Ike Diogu, and Joel Przybilla.
An acquisition that many people are excited about is Spaniard 6-5 Rudy Fernandez who helped Spain to the Silver Medal in the Olympics. He attacks the rim and will get to the line.
PF LaMarcus Adridge made a quantum leap in his second year and could give the Blazers effective high-low action with Oden. The Blazers have very good front court depth with Channing Frye, Ike Diogu, and Joel Przybilla.
The biggest preseason surprise has been French draftee SF 6-8 Nicolas Batum, mostly known for his defense. The team also plays defense finishing in the top ten in most categories. Getting G Martell Webster back from injury into the season will be a plus. PG is the weak spot but Steve Blake is steady.
Portland won 41 games last year. They need to improve defensively but having Oden in the lane will help. They are a better team this year and should eclipse the OVER in season wins.
Other plays that I have made and recommend:
Other plays that I have made and recommend:
Memphis OVER 22.5 wins
Charlotte UNDER 36.5 wins
Charlotte UNDER 36.5 wins
Good luck, it should be a fun season!
Note: Jim Kruger is a friend of 3Daily Winners and owns Vegas Sports Authority.
Not just another Manic Money
Good bounce back effort on Sunday. The System and the Trend plays were easy Winners and we are going to give Kendall some slack on his Carolina pick, since it officially lost, he emailed copy of betting ticket proving he had a push. One the day he was 2-1-1, raising his record to 28-6-1 betting the NFL. Guessing the recession hasn’t hurt him to bad. On a personal note, consider myself very lucky yesterday. Not a big parlay player and wouldn’t recommend very often. I actually like New England and Baltimore yesterday, but when the lines shot up to -9, got off them. Instead took them on the money line with Dallas and Tulsa against the spread. Thanks to unbelievable 35-0 second half by Tulsa, hit the four-teamer. Sometimes you just get lucky.
Today we have System pertaining to the presumably good Monday night matchup, which is 81.2 percent. We turn to the world of hockey for today’s Top Trend. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON road teams like the Indianapolis Colts who are off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite, in weeks 5 through 9. This sharp system is 26-6 ATS, 81.2 percent, including picking up a winner earlier this season.
Free Hockey Trend -2) The Minnesota Wild has taken 11 of last 14 games against Chicago.
Free Football Selection -3) Somewhat surprisingly, nearly every member of the Left Coast Connection is on tonight's NFL game. What is equally surprising, the action is nearly split right down the middle, which has seldom happens on almost any game. Everyone is on the Phillies and about 25 percent are taking Philly on the run line to increase payout if correct.
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Today we have System pertaining to the presumably good Monday night matchup, which is 81.2 percent. We turn to the world of hockey for today’s Top Trend. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON road teams like the Indianapolis Colts who are off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite, in weeks 5 through 9. This sharp system is 26-6 ATS, 81.2 percent, including picking up a winner earlier this season.
Free Hockey Trend -2) The Minnesota Wild has taken 11 of last 14 games against Chicago.
Free Football Selection -3) Somewhat surprisingly, nearly every member of the Left Coast Connection is on tonight's NFL game. What is equally surprising, the action is nearly split right down the middle, which has seldom happens on almost any game. Everyone is on the Phillies and about 25 percent are taking Philly on the run line to increase payout if correct.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Can Tennessee Start 7-0 ATS in 2008?
Though the Tennessee Titans are off to their best start in franchise history at 6-0, the competition has not been as difficult as say Pittsburgh has faced. This week Tennessee can make a statement about the order of power in the AFC South when they play host to Indianapolis. Jeff Fisher’s club follows his lead, plays with tremendous enthusiasm and tough-mindedness. NFL bettors everywhere have taken notice, with Tennessee having covered all six contests.Indianapolis knows a thing or two about fast starts, having started 7-0 last season, 9-0 in 2006 and 13-0 in ’05, yet are off to their slowest start in four years with a 3-3 mark through six games. But a win on the road against the undefeated Titans would not only allow to get back in the division race, it would let everyone know the five-time defending AFC South champions aren’t about to give up their perch without a fight.
Tennessee is the only other team to win the AFC South since its inception in 2002, and though the Titans managed a wild-card berth as runners-up to Indianapolis in ’03 and a third-place finish a year ago they have their sights set on the top spot.
In what was thought to be a trap game last Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium, the Titans kept their focus and rolled to a 34-10 victory over the rebuilding Chiefs. Rookie running back Chris Johnson (168 yards) and LenDale White (149) ripped Kansas City for 317 yards on the ground. Tennessee is 12-2 ATS after gaining 200 or more rushing yards last game.
Injuries have been a factor in the Colts uncharacteristic start. Two-time, 1,000-yard rusher Joseph Addai sat out last week’s 34-14 defeat in Green Bay with a knee injury suffered in the first quarter in Week 6. Though Addai scored four times in the first four games, he averaged only 53.5 yards per outing and 3.5 yards per carry. The Colts need him back healthy, albeit he doesn’t have the greatest track record against the Titans with 199 yards in three full games. Indianapolis was off-kilter the whole game at Lambeau Field and should have no trouble refocusing for this conflict. The Colts are 16-5 ATS vs. teams outscoring opponents by 10 or more points a game on the season.
The all-time regular-season series, including seven meetings between the Baltimore Colts and Houston Oilers, stands at 15-11 in favor of Indy. The Colts are 8-2 and 6-4 ATS in last 10 games with the Under 6-0 since 2006.
Bookmaker.com has Tennessee as a four-point favorite with a total 40. Throw out last year’s season finale in which Indianapolis was resting their starters and this will be the first time since 2003 the Titans have been favored against the Colts in meaningful game.
Indianapolis covers if they contain the Titans fourth ranked rushing offense that averages 153.8 yards per game. The Colts run defense ranks 29th, which means the Indy linebackers have to do a much better job getting off blocks and making plays. They are 6-0 ATS versus good rushing teams averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards a carry. Tony Dungy’s club has to limit mistakes, like 23 penalties in last two games. Though the running game has not been productive, OC Tom Moore must show more patience and have more rushing attempts. Indy is 8-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning percentage of .750 percent or higher over the last three seasons.
Tennessee covers if they do one of the things Green Bay did last week, get physical with the Colts receivers. Titans’ cornerbacks Cortland Finnegan and Nick Harper would appear to be well equipped to slow down Indianapolis receivers by how they like to play. Coach Fisher is big on taking on challenges, find out early how bad the Colts defense really wants to stop the run, bludgeon them in the A and B gaps. The Tennessee defense leads the NFL in fewest points allowed and is 18-6 ATS after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games.
Our Monday night system looks to play on a division favorite of a touchdown or less that has won two straight games. This system is 25-8 ATS, 75.8 percent.
Week 8 of the NFL Season - Free Plays
It was bound to happen and boy did it ever! After almost two weeks of winners, we were 0-3 yesterday and 1-7 for the week in college football. Paul Buck and many other members from the Left Coast Connection took a hit yesterday as well. We can brag on ourselves when things are going great, but have to tell the truth when they don’t go so well. Today’s Top System is on an underdog, with an 85.7 winning percentage. We have a 100 percent sharp angle today and Kendall who has been a beast, has his top NFL game for today. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON underdogs of 10.5 or more points who are pathetic team, being out-gained by their opponents by 100 or more yards a game, after being out-gained by 100 or more total yards in two consecutive games. That is would be clumsy Kansas City Chiefs today, with this system 24-4 ATS, 85.7 percent.
Free Football Trend -2) The Cleveland Browns are 10-0 ATS after playing their last game on the road over the last two seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) Kendall from the LCC is scintillating 26-5 ATS in the NFL and is on Carolina today.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON underdogs of 10.5 or more points who are pathetic team, being out-gained by their opponents by 100 or more yards a game, after being out-gained by 100 or more total yards in two consecutive games. That is would be clumsy Kansas City Chiefs today, with this system 24-4 ATS, 85.7 percent.
Free Football Trend -2) The Cleveland Browns are 10-0 ATS after playing their last game on the road over the last two seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) Kendall from the LCC is scintillating 26-5 ATS in the NFL and is on Carolina today.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Early Line Moves in Football
For the Early Line Moves, we seek out the earliest lines and compare them on late Tuesday nights numbers to see what the so-called Line Movers do. Last week in college football these plays were solid 6-4 on the sides and 3-2 in college totals. This makes season record 36-26-2, 58 percent on sides and 28-17, 62.2 percent on Totals in CFB. In the NFL, they were 1-1 on sides bringing the record to 10-8, 55.5 percent. On the Totals they were sharp 2-0-1 making the updated figure 11-9-1, 55 percent. As you notice, every one of these is making money this season. Enjoy reading and closely follow these numbers for wagering portfolio.
College Sides
Florida -23 to -26
Fresno State -18.5 to -15.5
Miami-O -8 to -5
N. Mex. State -15 to -12.5
Kansas +1.5 to -1
Miss. State -13 to -10.5
Tulsa -21 to -23
College Totals
Ohio/ Temple 43 to 40 Winner
Northw/Ind 48 to 51.5
NFL Sides
N.Y. Jets -10.5 to -13
Philly -7.5 to -9
NFL Totals
SD/NO 48 to 44.5
STL/NE 44 to 42.5
Wash/Det 44 to 42
NYG/Pitt 44 to 42
College Sides
Florida -23 to -26
Fresno State -18.5 to -15.5
Miami-O -8 to -5
N. Mex. State -15 to -12.5
Kansas +1.5 to -1
Miss. State -13 to -10.5
Tulsa -21 to -23
College Totals
Ohio/ Temple 43 to 40 Winner
Northw/Ind 48 to 51.5
NFL Sides
N.Y. Jets -10.5 to -13
Philly -7.5 to -9
NFL Totals
SD/NO 48 to 44.5
STL/NE 44 to 42.5
Wash/Det 44 to 42
NYG/Pitt 44 to 42
College Football Game Day Writeups
One more unbeaten will certainly fall when Oklahoma State travels to Austin to do battle with the top-ranked Longhorns, in an afternoon stuffed with great college football wagering action. In the SEC, the Georgia and LSU winner stays in the BCS title race and Florida State can make a statement about how the revitalization of their program is coming along with a win over average Virginia Tech club. Alabama and Tennessee renew un-pleasantries in late October like usual, with as strong angle in place. Out West, USC has what should be their last road hurdle in the Pac-10, traveling to the southern desert, where Lute Olson used to coach basketball. Click here to read more.
College Football Betting Saturday
We’ll take a 2-0 record everyday of the week and Paul Buck won his Thursday Thunder play on West Virginia at our Picks and Waging Options page. For Saturday we have an 85.7 percent college football system in the Big 10 (11). Our Top Trend looks at how Kent State has faired lately. One perdon from the LLC is 18-2 in last 20 CFB plays, see what he picked below. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY AGAINST road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more. This system is 24-4 ATS, 85.7 percent and makes Minnesota the play against team.
Free Football Trend -2) Kent State has failed to cover the spread on a Saturday in 13 of last 14 games.
Free Football Selection -3) Our guy from the Left Coast Connection is on incredible 18-2 run in college football and is on Ohio State to upset the Nittany Lions.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Free Football System-1) PLAY AGAINST road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more. This system is 24-4 ATS, 85.7 percent and makes Minnesota the play against team.
Free Football Trend -2) Kent State has failed to cover the spread on a Saturday in 13 of last 14 games.
Free Football Selection -3) Our guy from the Left Coast Connection is on incredible 18-2 run in college football and is on Ohio State to upset the Nittany Lions.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Thursday October 23 Wagering Stuff
Here is a quick update were we stand in monitored football rankings.
The Sports Eye -5th CFB
The Sports Eye -7th NFL
Cappers Watchdog -6th CFB
Free Sports Monitor -5th NFL
All three of these are along the right side of this blog to click on and confirm for yourself. Let’s keep the winning coming. On the subject of winning, we have a Super System play for today that is 83.9 percent involving one of tonight’s college football games. The Left Coast Connection is nearly unanimous about who wins Game 2 of the World Series and today’s Top Trend looks at the NFL and is 10-0 ATS, that’s good you know. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Auburn off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival against opponent off two straight wins against conference rivals. This system is 26-5, 83.9 percent.
Free Football Trend -2) The Cleveland Browns are a perfect 10-0 ATS after playing a road game.
Free Baseball Selection -3) All but one of the 10 Left Coast Connection players are on Tampa Bay tonight.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
The Sports Eye -5th CFB
The Sports Eye -7th NFL
Cappers Watchdog -6th CFB
Free Sports Monitor -5th NFL
All three of these are along the right side of this blog to click on and confirm for yourself. Let’s keep the winning coming. On the subject of winning, we have a Super System play for today that is 83.9 percent involving one of tonight’s college football games. The Left Coast Connection is nearly unanimous about who wins Game 2 of the World Series and today’s Top Trend looks at the NFL and is 10-0 ATS, that’s good you know. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Auburn off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival against opponent off two straight wins against conference rivals. This system is 26-5, 83.9 percent.
Free Football Trend -2) The Cleveland Browns are a perfect 10-0 ATS after playing a road game.
Free Baseball Selection -3) All but one of the 10 Left Coast Connection players are on Tampa Bay tonight.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Looking in Rearview Mirror in Betting Football
For college football bettors who prefer to play favorites, this past week should have been a very good week for you, as the chalk had its best week since the opening of the season with 32-20 ATS mark. This led to another dismal week for home underdogs who were 8-12 ATS, making the three week total a stock market-like 19-37-3 against the spread. If you’re looking for value, some of the very best is in the SEC. Southeastern Conference road teams are fairly decent 13-12, but shine like a bright red Mustang convertible with 17-5-2 ATS record.After a fantastic start, Bret Bielema has a half-barrel size problem on his hands at Wisconsin. After being given they keys to the Badgers program by his predecessor and boss Barry Alvarez, Bielema started 17-1 and 10-5-1 ATS. Since losing at Illinois last season, Wisconsin is 7-8 and 5-10 against the spread. Two things worth noting about this, since Bielema was hand-picked all but the senior class are his recruits, leaving one to ponder about the direction of this program. After the Badgers fell behind 28-9 to Iowa, it was evident the players had quit, realizing a fourth straight loss was coming. That might be the largest indictment against Bielema and they are on play against list until further notice.
The exact opposite situation is on the UCLA campus. Coach Rick Neuheisel inherited a team lacking talent and had been stripped dramatically by injuries. The Tennessee win was an exciting way to start, however being blasted by BYU 59-0 and Arizona 31-10 at home, brought home the harsh realities about the true talent of this squad. The former Bruin quarterback was not going to let this team feel sorry for itself. He’s pushed, prodded, scolded and praised this team and they hung with more talented Fresno State and Oregon teams and somehow pulled out a last seconds win against Stanford. The win versus Stanford was the 19th time in Slick Rick’s coaching career, his team had come from behind to win in the fourth quarter. Including the Washington State victory, this Wizard of Westwood has his team on a four-game cover streak.
Few people have a lower opinion of Dave Wannstedt as a coach than I do. It has amazed me how often this guy lands on his feet, in spite of being nothing but a very good defensive coordinator. Now in his fourth season at his alma mater Pittsburgh, he had done nothing to endure himself with the alumni with a 16-19 and 16-16 ATS record coming into the season. A 27-17 home opening loss to Bowling Green as 13.5-point favorites left many wondering if a buyout of Wanny’s contract was in order. Yet like a Robert Downey Jr. career resurrection, coach Wannstedt’s Panthers have won five in a row, the last two on the road at South Florida and Navy. Pitt is playing much like the coach himself, tough and physical. In an extremely weak Big East Conference, Pittsburgh is the favorite, as long as they don’t stumble. I know as soon as I pull out a dime to wager on Pitt they will lose; however it might make more sense for others to consider this team.
Really looking forward to Oklahoma State – Texas matchup. Colt McCoy and the Longhorns are playing with incredible confidence and the defense is really coming along. Oklahoma State went through the pastry section in the first part of their season, yet the win at Missouri was over-powering and many handicappers had Baylor with the points expecting Cowboys letdown. Okie State gave a workman-like effort in beating the Bears 34-6, covering the spread handily. Kudos to coach Mike Gundy and his defensive coordinator, moving DE Derek Burton inside and setting up his other defensive ends and blitzing linebackers to create more pressure on the quarterback. This week at Austin will show how far they have come, having lost 10 in a row at Austin, with last win coming in 1944.
Quick notes- Arizona could be the last team to challenge USC and are home in Tucson this week. Not saying this will happen, but if Oregon State wins out, they are Pac-10 champs.
If you can get a halftime wager on Alabama you might want to. The Crimson Tide has outscored the last three opponents by 69-3 in the first 30 minutes. In the second half, Bama has been outscored 61-13, signs of a talented, but young team.
Of the four unbeaten non-BCS teams, Utah, Boise State, Ball State and Tulsa, the Golden Hurricane have the best shot, in my opinion, with non-conference tilt at Arkansas likely deciding their fate.
NFL Betting Thoughts
Watch the New England Patriots this week when they host St. Louis, as the Monday night winners are on a tear. Thus far in 2008 they are 7-0 with a 5-2 ATS record. Have you heard about West Coast teams going East and having to play games with their body clock starting at 10:00 am Pacific, if you haven’t, its time to pay attention. The three hour time difference has left these teams 0-8 and 1-7 ATS. Will Oakland and Arizona be the next victim’s this week? All teams traveling two time zones are 7-14 against the spread this season.
Teams that have scored 40 or more points are 4-1 ATS in last five. We’ll have to wait a week on how Minnesota and Chicago perform, however the Patriots are up this week. Last week it was mentioned here about Yards Per Point and how well the teams in the bottom five positions are performing this season, contrary to the last three years. Last week they were 3-2 and raised season record to 12-5 ATS. This week Miami, Kansas City and Washington all fit, with Baltimore and Oakland canceling themselves out by playing one another.
I’ve talked about coaches here this year and two currently are impacting their teams. It’s rather apparent the St. Louis Rams players had seen the handwriting on Scott Linehan and were not responding. Reports were Linehan lost control of the situation and was expecting to be fired after 0-3 start. In comes assistant Jim Haslett, who no doubt wants to be a head coach in the NFL again and immediately presents a different attitude (more positive) and expects his players to play with more passion. All the Rams do is pick off two NFC East teams and if they could pull another upset in New England and Arizona losses in Carolina, St. Louis would be just a game behind in the NFC West, Wow.
Wade Phillips by all accounts is a nice man, hard-working and a great assistant coach. Last season he was breath of fresh air to a roster of extremely talented players who felt they didn’t need the whip cracked all the time like Bill Parcells did. Phillips expects the players to practice diligently and play hard on Sunday’s. It worked last year for three quarters of the season. But since beating Green Bay on a Thursday night in late November, the Cowboys are 6-6 and 2-10 ATS, including the Giants playoff loss. The atmosphere surrounding Jerry Jones team keeps them in the headlines; however it is a case of too many chiefs and not even indians. Phillips is no longer the right man to turn Dallas around, unless the players take complete ownership.
The Cleveland Browns have a decision to make in the next few weeks. Quarterback Derek Anderson has returned to being the same player he was at Oregon State and the one who couldn’t beat out Charley Frye in training camp last season. Anderson is like many of the rides at the relatively close Cedar Point Amusement Park, up and down, thrilling and will make you sick to you stomach. GM Phil Savage will have to make a decision soon, which will determine the fate of the franchise for the next several years, hook up the train with Anderson or Brady Quinn?
Is their a better example in the NFL of the old phrase “run the ball, stop the run” than the Indianapolis Colts? New Orleans could be play against team, since they survived without their top receivers, being able to utilize a much improved Reggie Bush. Carolina showed the world, how to stop Drew Brees by playing more press coverage on Saints receivers and New Orleans had no quick fix alternatives after Bush went down, which could keep him out a month.
Ticket Prices and Wagering Material
Not sure if you saw this, “The official price of Super Bowl tickets will reach $1,000 for the first time this season. The NFL confirmed Thursday that 25 percent of the tickets for the Feb. 1 game in Tampa will be priced at $1,000. It also announced it will drop the price of 1,000 tickets at Raymond James Stadium by $200 to $500, the first time the league has cut prices for a Super Bowl.” Are you kidding me, what arrogance! In these times of economic strife, the NFL is acting just like a greedy Wall Street firm. It’s obvious the price cut on a 1,000 tickets is to deflect their real intentions are. The NFL may be king, and this is their way to remind everyone they are so. No talk of socialism in Roger’s world.
We have a great Totals System for college football bettors that is 22-3 and yields four plays. The #1 Longhorns are a Top Trend to think about this upcoming weekend. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY UNDER on teams against the Total after going over the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, in October contests. This peerless system is 22-3, 88 percent. The qualifying teams are Texas A&M, Rice, Oregon and UNLV.
Free Football Trend -2) The Texas Longhorns are 15-1 OVER after out-rushing opponent by 100 or more yards in three straight games.
Free Football Selection -3) No Plays today.
We have a great Totals System for college football bettors that is 22-3 and yields four plays. The #1 Longhorns are a Top Trend to think about this upcoming weekend. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY UNDER on teams against the Total after going over the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, in October contests. This peerless system is 22-3, 88 percent. The qualifying teams are Texas A&M, Rice, Oregon and UNLV.
Free Football Trend -2) The Texas Longhorns are 15-1 OVER after out-rushing opponent by 100 or more yards in three straight games.
Free Football Selection -3) No Plays today.
World Series Preview
For all the whining people have done about baseball being geared towards the money clubs, Philadelphia and Tampa Bay will be the 11th and 12th different teams to play in the World Series in the last seven years. These same complainers will no doubt point to the TV rating which will likely be quite low, however who cares what they think, since this Fall Classic has more storylines than a Gray’s Anatomy episode.Start with the skippers Joe Maddon and Charlie Manuel. Both are long-time baseball men, entrenched in playing baseball the right way. All aspects of the game are used and instead of playing it by the book, each has shown the desire to take calculated risks (used to be called hunches), unafraid to change up the lineup or move starting pitchers around.
Maddon understood he had a young team and even grew a Mohawk to fit in with his players. Manuel is laid-back soft spoken sort, but is perfect fit for this Philadelphia club, as anyone has watched the Phillies all year or in the playoffs, the number of players that continually put their arms around or are slapping the back of Manual during games when things are going well. You don’t see that happening to Lou Piniella or Joe Torre during games.
These two teams are remarkably similar in many areas. The Rays led the Major Leagues in steals with 142, with the Phils six behind at 136. Philadelphia was 9th in runs scored at 799 and Tampa Bay was four spots lower at 774 runs. Both teams have a first basemen that the offense runs thru in Ryan Howard and Carlos Pena.
Tampa Bay has edge in starting pitching in the series, with all their starters having pitched well in the postseason. Scott Kazmir (13-9, 3.54 ERA) and James Shields (15-10, 3.57) will be the opening starters for Games 1 and 2 at Tropicana Field, where the Rays were 29-7 when this duo threw the opening pitch. Matt Garza (13-10, 3.67) won two games in the ALCS proving his skill and Andy Sonnanstine (8-5 on the road) has accounted himself well in two postseason outings.
Philadelphia has to piece things together more than Tampa Bay. Phillies ace Cole Hamels (17-10, 2.92) can be dominating pitcher and is on top of his game right now allowing just 13 hits and three runs in 22 innings in the postseason. Brett Myers (12-13, 4.59) is hot and cold and Jamie Moyer has been dreadful in two post-season appearances, allowing eight runs in 5 1/3 innings, being the only pitcher to suffer a loss for Philadelphia. Joe Blanton has been pretty decent and the Phils have won his last six starts.
The bullpens are similar, yet very different. Maddon does have a closer in Dan Wheeler, but has shown he will ride a hot pitcher in the right situation like David Price in Game 7 against Boston. If Price can stay as dominant, he would help immeasurably against lefty bats Howard and Chase Utley.
The Phillies have excellent set-up men, all leading to closer Brad Lidge who can slam the door late in games. If Philly can get to the late innings with a lead, they should be able to win each contest.
Nuts and Bolts- Tampa Bay had the best home record in baseball and Philadelphia the second best road in the big leagues. The Rays were better in games decided by three runs or less with 66-42 record compared to the Phillies 64-49 mark. Philadelphia is the hotter team, having won 20 of 25, though Tampa Bay is hardly chilly at 21-12. The Rays were 12-6 against the National League, while Philadelphia was sorry 4-11 versus the junior circuit. For what it’s worth, the former Devil Rays hold a 10-5 all-time lead over the Phils having last played in 2006.
3DW Take: Philadelphia has an intangible the last several National League teams have not, power. The Phillies hit 214 home runs during the regular season, proving they can score runs in bunches. In the last 25 World Series games, the American league has out-homered the National 25-10. For Philadelphia to win, Hamels has to win two games and one starter and the Phillies bullpen will have to pick up another.
Tampa Bay has enthusiasm and talented young players. The Rays are unencumbered by expectations, thus should not feel pressure to have to succeed. Tampa has better starting pitching and has won three of five games on the road in October. If the home run hitting keeps up, this will be a tough club to beat four times.
Recently, most Fall Classic’s have been far from it, this one could go seven. With Tampa Bay being so strong at home, we’ll give them the nod, ironically earning that edge with Scott Kazmir being the winning pitcher at the All-Star Game.
Series odds from Bookmaker.com: Philadelphia +125, Tampa Bay -145
Wednesday October 22
Philadelphia (Hamels) at Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 8:35 EDT
Thursday October 23
Philadelphia (Myers) at Tampa Bay (Shields) 8:29 EDT
Saturday October 25
Tampa Bay (Garza) at Philadelphia (Moyer) 8:35 EDT
Sunday October 26
Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) at Philadelphia (Blanton) 8:28 EDT
Monday October 27
Tampa Bay at Philadelphia if necessary
Wednesday October 29
Philadelphia at Tampa Bay if necessary
Thursday October 30
Philadelphia at Tampa Bay if necessary
Offensive – Playoffs
Runs scored -Philadelphia 4.4 Tampa Bay 5.8
Home Runs -Philadelphia 10 Tampa Bay 22
Slugging Ptc. -Philadelphia .431 Tampa Bay .508
Walks -Philadelphia 34 Tampa Bay 37
On base Ptc. -Philadelphia .335 Tampa Bay .335
Pitching & Defense
ERA -Philadelphia 3.19 Tampa Bay 3.52
Strikeouts -Philadelphia 74 Tampa Bay 85
Walks -Philadelphia 35 Tampa Bay 45
WHIP -Philadelphia 1.32 Tampa Bay 1.32
Errors -Philadelphia 4 Tampa Bay 6
Note- Tampa Bay has played 11 postseason games and Philadelphia nine.
SEC versus Big 12 – Who’s the Best?
The SEC is the acknowledged best conference in college football this decade. In fact the discussion has changed from the first part of the millennium from what is the best league, to who is second behind the Southeastern Conference? The Big Ten resembles some of its states, Ohio and Michigan are losing population base, and college players are not as interested in attending most of these schools as in decades ago. The Big East will rise up now and again, but never be a year after year power. The ACC is a basketball conference, adding Boston College and Miami-Fl. has brought zilch to the league’s prestige or the overall results, though Virginia Tech is a big plus, but only as long as Frank Beamer is there is my guess. Pac-10 is down this year, but they’ll be back as soon as they restock the quarterback positions.That leaves the Big 12 as the only true contender. Though the final results won’t be in until after the bowl games, these conferences are not as far apart as one might think.
Since 2000, Florida and LSU have combined to be the kings of college football three times. The Big 12 has had its stalwarts in Oklahoma and Texas, winning the BCS trophy twice and the Sooners played in the title game two other times, losing both.
I went back and looked at each teams and league’s non-conference record since 2003 and the results were mildly surprising. (Bowl games excluded)
SEC 191-59 76.4 percent
Big 12 197-67 74.3 percent
The SEC will have a chance to widen this margin since they schedule so many non-league games late in the season or have regional rivalries (Florida- Florida State, Georgia –Georgia Tech), still leaving 15 non-conference games to be played, while the Big 12 has the more traditional approach and has completed their schedule.
For the most part, both leagues schedule beatable teams out of conference and generally are medium to extra-large favorites in most instances. The SEC is well-known for digging up what is now referred to today as FCS schools, to beat the daylights out of, but the Big 12 has actually played more of these guaranteed winners, (49-43) over the last six seasons. Against the spread in non-conference action the two leagues are extremely close.
Big 12 118-106 52.5 percent
SEC 107-101 51.4 percent
One of the beauties of college football is the contrast of how conferences play the same game. The Big 10 has been known for big strong players who are not particularly fast across the board. The Pac-10 has been noted for quarterbacks and skill position players.
The Big 12 has only been around since 1996, with its roots in the Southwest Conference, which was a known as running league. The fundamentals have been altered in recent years to be more offensive-minded. How this occurred was at the lower levels of the conference, schools like Missouri, Kansas, Oklahoma State and Texas Tech were likely to never get the quality of athlete a Texas or Oklahoma would year in, year out. Thus the coaches that have been hired were all offensive by trade, taking the approach of competing by scoring, as compared to defending. This method has seen the Big 12 attract far better talent at quarterback and skill positions then in the past, in terms of league depth.
The SEC is like a video game on fast forward. The amount of speed is astonishing on both sides of the line of scrimmage. In this conference, with so much speed on offense, coaches have to have defensive players that can be disrupters and halt the speed they are facing. This has changed the Southeastern Conference into more of a defensive-first league. To illustrate this point, review the year to year figures of the Top 20 teams in total offense and total defense from these leagues.
2004-Top 20 Offenses
Big 12 (4) Texas Tech- Texas- Oklahoma-Texas A&M
SEC – none
2004 Top 20 Defenses
Big 12 (2) Oklahoma – Missouri
SEC (5) Alabama –LSU- Auburn-Georgia- So. Carolina
2005-Top 20 Offenses
Big 12 (2) Texas-Texas Tech
SEC – none
2005 Top 20 Defenses
Big 12 (3) Kansas- Texas- Oklahoma-
SEC (5) Alabama – LSU- Tennessee- Florida- Georgia
2006-Top 20 Offenses
Big 12 (5) Texas Tech- Missouri- Nebraska- Okla. State- Texas A&M
SEC (2) LSU- Florida
2006 Top 20 Defenses
Big 12 (1) Oklahoma
SEC (4) LSU- Florida- Georgia- Auburn
2007-Top 20 Offenses
Big 12 (7) Texas Tech- Missouri- Okla. State- Kansas- Nebraska-Texas-Oklahoma
SEC (2) Florida- Arkansas
2007 Top 20 Defenses
Big 12 (1) Kansas
SEC (4) LSU- Auburn- Georgia-Vanderbilt
2008-Top 20 Offenses (year-to-date)
Big 12 (7) Texas Tech- Missouri-Oklahoma- Okla. State-Texas- Kansas- Nebraska
SEC -none
2008 Top 20 Defenses (year-to-date)
Big 12 -none
SEC (7) South Carolina- Alabama-Auburn-Georgia-Florida-Kentucky-Tennessee
It’s abundantly clear the difference in the two leagues this season, the quarterback position. In 2008, the Big 12 returned 11 of 12 starting quarterbacks from a season ago, setting the table of success in this conference. Names like Sam Bradford, Chase Daniel, Colt McCoy, Todd Reesing and Graham Harrell and others all returned, it stood to reason this would be a more offensive league, especially when it came to throwing the ball. A check of the top 50 quarterbacks in passing yards shows the Big 12 having seven in the top 20 and nine overall. The first visible signal caller throwing the ball from the SEC is Mathew Stafford of Georgia at #25, with a total of three overall. (Heisman winner Tim Tebow is 69th)
Anytime you have a good quarterback in the college game you have a chance to win. Much like the professional football, the quarterback position is taking on greater importance. He’s has to read multiple defenses, run the option well enough to be a threat and throw with accuracy. A top notch thrower on a team with any sort of defense can be a threat to cover the spread. He can lead his team to victory as an upset winner, or provide that backdoor cover late in the game. This is why I believe this year the Big 12 is on par with the SEC.
In the last five years, the Big 12 has held their own against the SEC in regular season matchups. Overall they are 6-4 straight up and 6-3-1 ATS, including 4-2-1 against the spread on the road.
Bowl games have been a different story and this year more than ever might be most telling. In the last five seasons, the SEC has a decided edge at 7-3 SU and ATS record in the post-season.
Don’t assume the SEC is the best just because of history, since if we assumed everything, the price of gas should be less than half of what it was in May, because the price of a barrel of oil is today, right?
Your thoughts welcome.
Tuesday's Top Betting Info at 3Daily Winners
Our NHL expert just missed going to 3-0, with Boston losing in a shootout last night. Our Top System looks at the money line in the NFL on a short number and is fabulous 92.8 percent. The Carolina Panthers play one way off a division victory, can you guess which way. Nobody is to enthusiastic about tonight’s action, however a few members like the Total in college football. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON Home favorites vs. the money line with an average offensive team (4.9 to 5.4 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.9 to 5.4 YPP), after allowing 250 or less total yards in two consecutive games. This money line system is sensational 26-2 over the last 25 years and points to Pittsburgh Steelers as the right side.
Free Football Trend -2) Carolina is 18-4 UNDER off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival.
Free Football Selection -3) No real strong plays in CFB or the NHL, thus we’ll offer the Under in Ohio/Temple game with 3 Left Coast Connection members favoring that side compared to 2 on the Over.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON Home favorites vs. the money line with an average offensive team (4.9 to 5.4 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.9 to 5.4 YPP), after allowing 250 or less total yards in two consecutive games. This money line system is sensational 26-2 over the last 25 years and points to Pittsburgh Steelers as the right side.
Free Football Trend -2) Carolina is 18-4 UNDER off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival.
Free Football Selection -3) No real strong plays in CFB or the NHL, thus we’ll offer the Under in Ohio/Temple game with 3 Left Coast Connection members favoring that side compared to 2 on the Over.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
You have to see this......
I just heard about this, tell me what you think.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=V3Z-kAmbZCc
www.youtube.com/watch?v=V3Z-kAmbZCc
Bragging Rights and Other Notes
If you have been following this blog for any time, you know we try and present top notch information. Along with this we try to give out as many winners as possible and always tell the truth, good or bad about our the record. Right today a number of people and our trio of plays are doing incredibly well, thus I going to brag on on us for a moment, because I'm damn proud of how we're doing and the information and people we have assembled.
Our last 11 official Systems, Trends and Free plays have won, that right 11-0. You can look it up yourself right here. Paul Buck has hit his last nine football wagers and myself, the 96-yard touchdown pass by Detroit ended a 13-game winning streak for me. Kendall gave out Baltimore winner on Sunday and had two more winners in the NFL raising his record on the season to 26-5 and another individual from the LCC was on Northern Illinois Saturday and picked up three other winners putting him on 18-2 college football roll.
When myself and few others started this blog, this is what we wanted, useful information to help you win. Eveyone associated with this venture knows all us can start losing almost immediately, which is why the information is so important, because facts don't lie. Traffic is up 43 percent from a month ago, I personally thank you.
Concerning today, Paul likes New England and so do I, yet not enough to make it an official play on his part. Kendall bought the Monday night game at Over 46, but is not making it an official play either. One Trend is in the article below about how Denver does in this totals range. Our Hockey guy is 2-0 thus far and likes Boston in their home opener being 17-6 against Pittsburgh. Good Luck.
Our last 11 official Systems, Trends and Free plays have won, that right 11-0. You can look it up yourself right here. Paul Buck has hit his last nine football wagers and myself, the 96-yard touchdown pass by Detroit ended a 13-game winning streak for me. Kendall gave out Baltimore winner on Sunday and had two more winners in the NFL raising his record on the season to 26-5 and another individual from the LCC was on Northern Illinois Saturday and picked up three other winners putting him on 18-2 college football roll.
When myself and few others started this blog, this is what we wanted, useful information to help you win. Eveyone associated with this venture knows all us can start losing almost immediately, which is why the information is so important, because facts don't lie. Traffic is up 43 percent from a month ago, I personally thank you.
Concerning today, Paul likes New England and so do I, yet not enough to make it an official play on his part. Kendall bought the Monday night game at Over 46, but is not making it an official play either. One Trend is in the article below about how Denver does in this totals range. Our Hockey guy is 2-0 thus far and likes Boston in their home opener being 17-6 against Pittsburgh. Good Luck.
Monday Night Betting Matchup
In terms of coaching matchups, it hardly gets any better than this in the NFL with Mike Shanahan versus Bill Belichick. The sideline chess game may be just as good as the one on the field. Both head coaches could be poster boys for “No Guts, No Glory,” especially Shanahan, who went for two points and the win against San Diego in Week 2.Belichick’s probably the only other coach with enough confidence in his team, and desire to drop the hammer on an opponent. And you can bet he’ll be ready to go for broke given Shanahan’s current three-game winning streak in the series and Denver 4-1 and 5-0 ATS in New England.
The Pats return home after splitting a West Coast trip to San Francisco and San Diego. Despite the loss of Tom Brady, New England is 3-2 (2-3 ATS) after a 30-10 loss against the Chargers last Sunday night. New England wasn’t going to beat San Diego last week; however that game illustrated Matt Cassel’s issues.
Besides taking far too many sacks (19), Cassel’s is slow to react to what is placed in front of him on the football field. Speaking to a person who watches tape on every NFL game, Cassel’s lacks presence in the pocket and finding open receivers at this level of football. He expressed it was clear, despite physical talent, his not starting a football game since high school limits the scope of what he is capable of, thus the vertical passing game of the Patriots is strictly hit or miss. He will be helped playing at Gillette Stadium where New England is 37-21 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record.
He takes aim at a Denver defense that continues to sputter, being ranked 30th no matter where it plays. The Broncos fell for the second time in three weeks, losing at home to Jacksonville, 24-17, and the defense was gored for 416 yards, including 276 yards through the air by David Garrard.
The Pats can still score in bunches and from anywhere—just ask the 49ers, who watched Randy Moss burn the secondary for a 66-yard touchdown. What New England desperately needs to improve is a running game split amongst three players (Sammy Morris, LaMont Jordan and Laurence Maroney), none of whom have distinguished themselves. For the bruising—and often bruised—Maroney and shifty Morris at least Denver’s defense, which allows an average of 137.5 yards per game, offers an opportunity to get on the right track. They will seek to get back to normal off of loss at San Diego, which was first spread loss in October in three seasons.
Jay Cutler looked like the second coming of John Elway as the Broncos averaged 38 points in their first three games. Since then an inexplicable loss to Kansas City, a defensive squeaker against the Bucs and a dull effort against Jacksonville. The Broncos have serious problems on defense against the run and pass and scoring 17.3 points a game like they have in the last three outings won’t mask them.
Bookmaker.com has seen New England hold steady as a three-point favorite, with the total having rose to 48 points. What’s intriguing about the upward movement of the total is Denver is 4-12 ATS when both teams score 20 or more points and New England is 43-18 ATS when they score 22 to 28 points.
Denver covers if they confuse Cassel and make him uncomfortable. Stop the run on the early downs against the Patriots and force Cassel to make plays down the field. Cutler needs to be smarter with the football, as they have seven turnovers in two losses. Cutler needs to be patient, since the New England defense is beatable. If the Broncos maximize efficiency, they move to 15-4 ATS after scoring 17 points or less in two straight games
New England covers by finding Randy Moss. Last week Moss started to revert to Oakland day’s, looking disinterested, get him the ball. Belichick has to change up defense to get more pressure, as defensive backs are below average and can be beaten on middle to deep patterns when the quarterback has time to throw. The offensive line has to block well and control the game. With the total at present figure, it favors the Pats, with Denver disastrous 0-11 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last two seasons.
Our Monday night system looks to play against any away underdog that has failed to cover its last two games. This system is 19-8 ATS, 70.3 percent.
NFL Wagering Info for Week 7
What a superb day at 3Daily Winners with 4-0 record in college football and we have been lucky enough to hit seven in a row. Today you get two systems for the same game, with the latter 15-1 ATS. The Top Trend takes a look at an important divisional contest and Kendall, who is 23-5 in the NFL, serves up what we hope is another Winner. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) Tennessee and Kansas City are off a bye and when two teams meet off a bye week, if the home team is off a loss and the visitor is off a win, the visitor is 15-6 ATS. For the clincher, it is best to Play On any unbeaten favorite with an extra week's rest, since they are 15-1 ATS, 93.7 percent.
Free Football Trend -2) Carolina is 10-2 ATS after scoring 6 points or less in last game.
Free Football Selection -3) We’ll give Kendall one more tour of duty here, seeing he is 23-5 in the NFL and he is playing Baltimore as his Best Bet.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Free Football System-1) Tennessee and Kansas City are off a bye and when two teams meet off a bye week, if the home team is off a loss and the visitor is off a win, the visitor is 15-6 ATS. For the clincher, it is best to Play On any unbeaten favorite with an extra week's rest, since they are 15-1 ATS, 93.7 percent.
Free Football Trend -2) Carolina is 10-2 ATS after scoring 6 points or less in last game.
Free Football Selection -3) We’ll give Kendall one more tour of duty here, seeing he is 23-5 in the NFL and he is playing Baltimore as his Best Bet.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
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