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Texas Tech vs Oklahoma Wagering Outlook

Their may be encounters that will mean more this weekend to fans of particular teams, but no game will have greater importance on the national scope than this Big 12 battle. Texas Tech can end some the drama by taking down once-beaten Oklahoma and essentially winning the Big 12 South, with just Baylor at home and holding all the tie-breakers. Oklahoma can screw up the Big 12 big time by roughing up the unbeaten Red Raiders and if they win by 10 or more points at Oklahoma State next week, they would probably gather enough support to play in conference championship game, even though Texas had beaten the Sooners and they would have the same 11-1 record.

Senior signal caller Graham Harrell has had a special season and as opposed to other Texas Tech quarterbacks under coach Mike Leach, looks to have real NFL ability, needing to add a some weight. Being able to throw to receivers like Michael Crabtree makes his job easier, nonetheless a formerly underrated offensive line allows all the routes to develop and a trio of running backs with different skills makes them go. For the first time in Leach’s nine year tenure, he has a defense that makes stops and can prevent the other team from scoring. The Red Raiders are 5-4 ATS on the road versus ranked teams the last decade.

The Oklahoma offense has been boiling hot. In their last three games, they have averaged 47.3 points per game in the first half! Since losing to Texas, the Sooners offense has gone into another gear led by Sam Bradford and can control its own destiny of sorts. "Our team is in a great position," said Bradford. "We still have a lot of our goals out in front of us." The Oklahoma defense has been quite vulnerable to the pass (95th in the country), yet still ranks ahead of Texas Tech (99th) or Texas (112th) in quarterback controlled conference. The Sooners are 20-12 ATS in home finales at Norman.

Oklahoma is 7-3 ATS against ranked teams and the running game has been the difference for the increase in offensive production. Since netting 48 yards rushing against Texas, a very good Sooners offensive line has opened up holes that Oklahoma running backs have sauntered thru for 250 yards per game. Bob Stoops secondary may be lousy, but he will make sure to keep Harrell busy with a solid pass rush, something neither Oklahoma State nor Texas could do. Boomer Sooner is 7-0 ATS after gaining 6.25 or more yards play in three consecutive games and Texas Tech is 2-10 ATS on the road after out-gaining opposition by 100 or more total yards in three consecutive games.

Besides having to play at Norman, Texas Tech beat Oklahoma 34-27 at Lubbock last season, ending their BCS title hopes and will face a team looking for payback. Do you really think coach Leach is worried? He’s not, after watching Oklahoma surrender over 327 yards passing thru the air against a bunch of average Big 12 teams. A big reason why Oklahoma has look so formidable of late is they have forced 15 turnovers in last four contests, have Harrell be careful passing the pigskin and yards and points should be plentiful. The Red Raiders are well aware of the Sooners prowess in moving the ball on the ground; however Oklahoma is 8-22 ATS after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game.

Bookmaker.com has home-standing Sooners as 7-point favorites with total of 75.5. The total is certainly inviting with the two schools a combined 14-3 OVER this season.

The visiting team is 5-3 ATS, though these encounters have not necessarily been close with the victor having a margin of 10+ points seven of last nine. Set aside four hours of your time if you plan on watching this one on ABC at 8 Eastern.

College Football Game Day Write-Ups

It’s been forever it seems since the fourth Saturday in November wasn’t about the importance of a Michigan-Ohio State conflict, but like you money be safer in your pocket than in a bank, it is true. The Penn State and Michigan State contest has larger implications in the Big Ten to end this season. The “Holy War” is bigger than ever with Utah trying to close the door on perfect season and nab another BCS berth against hated rival BYU. Though Saturday’s meeting will not decide the Big East champion, both Pittsburgh and Cincinnati control their own destiny, with the winner having a huge leg up.

Nothing stirs the college football soul of a Midwesterner in late in November like an Ohio State and Michigan matchup. The long history, the true hatred of the two schools for one another arouses the passion of any true college football fan. This year will have an oddly different feel, like nothing in decades. This is Michigan’s bowl game, as they won’t be playing in the post-season for the first time since 1975, having their first eight-loss season in school history (129 years). Click here to continue.

College Football Saturday

A solid 2-1 Friday, which would have been better if I hadn’t picked Ole Miss, I digress. Today’s Top System is a two-fer, with two plays from 27-4 system, both against undefeated teams. We’ve had incredible luck in finding Top Trends that have not lost and we have another for college football wagering today. Normally on Saturday during college football, I give out the Top Pick from the hottest member of the LLC. Today’s very unusual circumstances has me changing directions and for good reason. Good Luck.

By the way, did anybody notice Red Wydley was correct on his 3-team parlay from Friday's blog?

Free Football System-1) PLAY AGAINST favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a road blowout win by 28 points or more, undefeated on the season. This isn’t too hard to figure seeing only a handful of teams remain without a loss. Play against Boise State and Utah, backed with this system that is 27-4 ATS, 87.1 percent the last 16 years.

Free Football Trend -2) The Rice Owls are 13-0 ATS in home games vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes per game.

Free Football Selection -3) An unprecedented 16 bettors from the Left Coast Connection are on Penn State, with five having it as their top play.

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Friday's Best Bets at 3Daily Winners

The Big 10 (11) broke a couple of bad trends for them, much to our dismay. We’ll come back with another perfect angle this time in the NHL. We did have one winner with our top system selection and let’s go for two in a row with a totals play in the NBA, sporting an 18-4 record. I’ll chime in with a personal Free CBB play. Good Luck.

Free Basketball System-1) PLAY OVER on all teams like Golden State, when the total is greater than or equal to 210, after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, in non-conference games. A very spiffy 18-4 ATS, 81.8 percent.

Free Hockey Trend -2) The Florida Panthers are 0-15 against the money line in road games against good teams outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals a game.

Free Basketball Selection -3) Even with a number of games today, nobody has started hot in college or the NBA and the best players from the Left Coast Connection in college football are divided on tonight’s three games. I’ll look to break the tie and take Ole Miss in CBB.

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Ready for 3-Team Parlay?

It’s Friday, many of you won’t be working a week from today unless you are in retail, on the day after Thanksgiving. While you’re either working today or going to class, maybe, just maybe it’s time to step out of character. Everybody preaches, don’t play parlays, you can’t win, only do straight bets, eat your vegetables and wash behind your ears, blah, blah, blah. Hey, we all need to get stupid every now and again and take a chance, feel the rush of the risk, because maybe, just maybe the results could be cool.

Tonight we have three lousy college football games, which any sane person wouldn’t touch. That’s where the fun begins. I’m throwing out the idea of three team parlay, but not the usual type, one that gives you the best chance to W I N.

Let’s start in Ohio, where the people are leaving certain cities in that state like a bad marriage. A Miami-Ohio and Toledo game used to mean something in the MAC, today is just means two rotten 2-8 teams are playing their next to last game of the season. The Redhawks defense in the last three games, how should I say this delicately, stinks, in allowing over 40 points an outing. Don’t get me wrong, it’s not like Toledo is a juggernaut, losing four in a row. This is not the time to be handing out points like its pumpkin pie, take Toledo on the money with this system that’s around, play against road underdogs on the money line, off 3 straight losses against conference rivals against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses. Miami is the former and the Rockets the latter and the system is 26-3.

In the other game in Ohio, I guess Bowling Green can still win the MAC East if they beat Buffalo who leads by a game. This division is as congested as L.A. traffic, and reminds of the old George Thorogood song “No Particular Place to Go”. What to do here is take the points, as Buffalo is hotter than a basket of fire sauce wings with four straight wins. What makes me excited about the Bulls (excited might be a little too much) is they have rushed at least 216 yards in last three games and B.G. has turned into ground chuck, being run over for 200 yards in four of last five games. Did you know Buffalo is 14-5 ATS as a road dog? Now that makes two of us. Take Buffalo with the points.

On ESPN2, a meaningless WAC game will be televised with Fresno State taking the ride to San Jose State. Pat (blowhard) Hill who talks tough and has a defense that allows 212.7 yards per game on the ground (110th), will be after a winning record for the season with a seventh win, because they are going to get their you know what handed to them at Boise State next week. San Jose State had a really promising start at 5-2 and they fell apart faster then a reunion tour of Right Said Fred (I’m too Sexy). Spartans blogs and websites report regular starting quarterback Kyle Reed will sit and his backups are stiffs. Don’t count me a Fresno State supporter, but I like at system that wins 81 percent of the time (34-8). Play against a home team vs. the money line after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after out-gaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. Play Fresno State on the money line.

With me still, Toledo and Fresno State on the money line and Buffalo with the points. Why do this as opposed to straight spread bets? Your average parlay payout on a 3-teamer is anywhere from 5 or 6 to one. Problem is hitting all three against the number. With relatively low money lines on favored teams and an underdog who is playing swell, we can still secure a 4 to 1 payout or slightly better and not give away points.

It’s your money; I’m not telling you what to do on a Friday other than have good time. But if you have a little fun money, you would just waste doing something else anyways, take a shot at this; it’s better than buying lottery tickets or trying to bet games on ESPN Classic.

Red Wydley drops in occasionally and shares is wisdom (?) with the masses.

Thursday Nov. 20 - Free Plays and Sobering Lesson

It’s an oddity to report, but all 13 members of the Left Coast Connection got a Push on Ball State’s win last night. Though I consider myself a good handicapper, I’m prone to the occasional lapses in wagering judgment. I liked Central Michigan last night and made the silly mistake of betting them at +6.5. Coming off a key number like seven is, well stupid, unless it works in my favor going to +7.5. Because I’ve done quite well in football overall, I got careless and took a loss that I never should. It’s best to learn from your mistakes, I just did.

We have a very good system working tonight in college basketball, involving in-state rivals which has been correct 81.6 percent since 1997. Our perfect trend was a winner last night and today we have TWO in college hoops, both Big 10 (11) teams. Good Luck.

Free Basketball System-1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Tulsa, in the first five games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4 or more of their last five contests, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season. That’s a lot to digest, what isn’t so hard to comprehend is 27-6 ATS record over the 11 seasons.

Free Basketball Trends -2) Take your pick, the Michigan Wolverines are 0-10 ATS after two consecutive non-conference games and Illinois is 0-9 ATS after a win by 10 points or more.

Free Basketball Selection -3) Most guys are passing on the football tonight and honestly, nobody is killing the NBA to start the year, but four LLC members like the Lakers to cover the spread.

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17 Great Reasons to Watch Miami at Georgia Tech

The ACC caught a ton of grief in early September for playing ugly football, as Clemson, Maryland, Virginia Tech and Florida State all lost games they were expected to win. Since that time, the conference has really come around, with 14-2 non-conference record, covering the spread 11 times. For pure enjoyment or agony (depending what side you’re on), Atlantic Coast Conference football as been as entertaining as, hmm, ACC basketball. With that said, here are 17 reasons to watch tonight’s ACC contest.

1) You can watch for free at home (as opposed to NFL Network), as Direct TV or an advanced cable package no longer makes sense in today’s economy, besides the beers cheaper at home too.
2) Even if going to local watering hole is not a problem, do you really want to spend money when it’s Cincinnati at Pittsburgh?

3) Miami-Florida is in first place in the ACC Coastal Division and can all but wrap up title under second year coach Randy Shannon.

4) You played the Hurricanes and just found out they are 0-6 ATS in road games after allowing 17 points or less in two straight games.

5) You Googled “The U” and found out they only have 15,000 students located in beautiful Coral Gables and wanted to watch the game thinking about be 19 again and attending a university with so many of perks.

6) Being a fan of option football, like many you wonder how Georgia Tech players could figure out how to run their offense, while Michigan still doesn’t have clue.

7) It’s a lot easier to be nervous holding a Georgia Tech -3.5 betting ticket, now backed with the knowledge of the Yellow Jackets being 4-14 against the spread in last home game.

8) Having not seen the Georgia Tech play this year, curiosity is piqued that a team ranked eighth in the country rushing the ball at 250.7 yards per game, turns the ball over more often than a fifth grade basketball team.

9) You are known for asking A LOT of questions and you want to know why they drive a gold and black car onto the field of Georgia Tech games, when they are known as the Yellow Jackets. (Answer- Its origins are in the late 19th century and it was used originally to refer to the makeshift motorized vehicles constructed by Georgia Tech engineers employed in projects in the jungles of South America. The Wrecks were constructed from whatever the engineers could find—mostly old tractor and automotive parts—and were kept running by the engineers' ingenuity and creativity. Other workers in the area began to refer to these vehicles and the men who drove them as "Rambling Wrecks from Georgia Tech.” Thanks Wikipedia)

10) Georgia Tech is 5-1 SU and ATS against Miami.

11) To see how close Chris Fowler comes to laughing when Craig James says or does something whacked.

12) Miami came into this season 3-8 ATS off a win, this year they are 3-1-1 against the number.

13) The public has pushed the total up to 40.5 at Bookmaker.com and other wagering outlets, yet you bought the Platinum Sheet and read the average score between these two schools is 36 points, including bowl matchups.(Know-it-alls will point to those games were not played by current players)

14) Georgia Tech is 9-21 ATS off a bye week.

15) The ‘Canes defense is ranked ninth in total defense, can they stop the Yellow Jackets running game?

16) Miami has won last 11 consecutive Thursday night games, yet is just 4-7 ATS.

17) This beats Thursday Thunder on TNT any time.

Double Digit NFL Dogs are Dastardly

Aside from the day of the week this game is being played, will anything be different from the first meeting between the Bengals and Steelers? Not unless Carson Palmer makes a miraculous recovery and suddenly starts at quarterback for Cincinnati having the same abilities as he possessed in 2005, the Bengals last trip to the postseason. He missed the Oct. 19 meeting when the Steelers crushed Cincinnati 38-10 at Paul Brown Stadium. On that day, the defense led by James Harrison, LaMarr Woodley and Lawrence Timmons met at Ryan Fitzpatrick’s helmet, sacking him seven times, along with numerous other “welcome” hits, as Palmer started nursing a sore right elbow.

Willie Parker Pittsburgh should be a go unless his shoulder and/or knee received a failing grade following last Sunday’s 11-10 victory over San Diego at Heinz Field. He chipped in with 115 yards on 25 carries, while Mewelde Moore remained involved in the offense with five catches for 33 yards. Even though Parker won’t practice full-tilt in the days leading up to this game, Cincinnati’s steadily improving defense still won’t be too pleased to see him. Prior to missing Week 6, Parker had 682 yards and six touchdowns in the previous six meetings between these teams. A year ago he totaled 213 yards and one score as the Steelers swept the annual series they now lead 47-30 all-time. Food for thought is the home team is 2-11 ATS in this division rivalry.

Besides failing to protect Fitzpatrick in the first meeting, the Bengals couldn’t sustain drives. They were 4-for-16 on third-down conversions and Fitzpatrick averaged only 7.8 yards per completion. His longest pass went for just 19 yards to wide receiver T.J. Houshmandzadeh, who has been his usual steady self with at least seven receptions in five straight games, including 12 in last week’s 13-13 tie with Philadelphia. Cincinnati is actually known in betting circles for playing well right now with 20-8 ATS record in road games in weeks 10 through 13.

Bookmaker.com has Pittsburgh as 11-point favorites, not a number you often seen on the board for football. It is interesting to note double digit favorites are 1-17 against the spread this year, with the Bengals having nabbed a pair of those wins. The total opened at 36.5 at many sportsbooks and has fallen to 34 during the week. Could it have anything to do with Cincy averaging 13.8 points a game and the Steelers being 90-17 ATS when they allow 14 or less points?

The Cincinnati defense has shown improvement of late, being more physical and aggressive, however that has been at home, on the road they have given up 27 points per game. The Bengals are 3-18 ATS away when facing a team with a .700 SU record or higher and that figure is sure to stay in the negative unless they can find a way to protect Fitzpatrick, since any life insurance company won’t touch him as many hits as he has been taking.

Pittsburgh needs to take the “park” out of Willie Parker and let him roam. After missing five games, Parker’s legs will be fresher than Charlize Theron on the red carpet, up against players that have 10 hard-hitting contests under their belts. The Steelers need to be mentally prepared on a short week against inferior opponent, even if they are in same division, as they are sporting 5-15 ATS mark as a favorite of 10 or more points, with average margin of victory under eight.

The always popular (?) NFL Network will have this Thursday night telecast starting at 8:15 Eastern and hopefully they have the sound mechanics solved, so it doesn’t sound like your listening to a local high school broadcast. Thursday road teams that were an underdog in last game are 5-19 ATS.

College Football Biggest Rivalries – Part 1

One of the many great aspects of college football is the end of the season when the most bitter of rivalries get together to renew those emotions from the past. This is the game that mostly involves in-state or neighboring state universities that stir the emotion of every player and alumni alike. Because of proximity, many fans either attended these schools or were cultured by their parents to develop an affiliation with the beloved institution of hirer learning. The passion runs deep in these situations and this becomes an emotional encounter that is a tipping point, often for one calendar year when the next game is played and the drama unfolds all over again.

ESPN in recent years did a study with fan participation about what is the greatest rivalry in sports. The winner was the Ohio State-Michigan game, which has tremendous importance on a national scale.

Virtually every year the Ohio State-Michigan game has an impact on the national landscape, the Big Ten Conference championship, which lead to who plays in the Rose Bowl, except for recent BCS history. Like most great rivalries, the hate for the other school and team is genuine. A Michigan hat or T-shirt in Columbus is as welcome as bubonic plague, with the same being true of Buckeye gear in Ann Arbor. Considering these two Big Ten teams meet the last game of the regular season, it is nothing short of remarkable that at least one team has been unbeaten an amazing 22 times.

The level of play has been as good as any series played in college football. Starting with the days of Woody Hayes and Bo Schembechler in 1969, at least one team has been ranked in every year but 1987, covering 41 years. The series had a few games of importance throughout the decades; however it heated up in earnest when former Ohio State assistant Schembechler became the Michigan coach. The games played between these two fiery and combative coaches are the stuff of legend in college football annals, each defining the man. There meetings were referred to as the “Ten Year War”. Each coach took his team to the Rose Bowl five times. Hayes went 1-4, Schembechler went 0-5, and neither record should come as a surprise. After coaching against each other, they and their teams were spent. Hayes to his dying day said the best team he ever coached was the 1969 squad. They were number one, 8-0 having allowed only 69 points. Ohio State hadn't scored fewer than 34 points in any game, and had scored more than 60 twice. But first year Michigan coach Bo Schembechler had played and coached under Woody and made it his obsession to defeat the man he respected. Ohio State players would say then and years later, it was as if Michigan had there playbook and were in the huddle for every call, because they were perfectly positioned for every offensive play and knew what plays to call against the best defense in the country. Michigan pulled the upset at home 24-12 and the war began.

When something is this big and important it shapes people’s lives. John Cooper had one of the most successful runs as coach in Ohio State history; unfortunately his legacy is he was 2-10-1 against the hated Wolverines. The man that was sought out to replace Cooper was Jim Tressel, who had built his reputation at Youngstown State, capturing four national champions and playing for two others. Upon being hired he endeared himself to the Columbus faithful by saying his first priority was beating Michigan. He has kept is word and is 6-1 against Michigan, covering the spread five times.

As sports wagering has come more into the mainstream existence over the years, this contest has annually drawn huge amounts of money on both sides. With two strong population bases, it easy to understand why this game would have a large following of bets placed. In years prior, before internet gambling was available as a consumer choice, except for Las Vegas, all the action was localized to bookies. Depending on the state or city it was not unusual for the actual line to be off 3-4 points in either direction, as the Buckeye and Wolverine faithful were loading up in support of their beloved team. Though this season has been nothing short of a disaster in Michigan with 3-8 record, a good chunk of the ill-will new coach Rich Rodriguez has brought upon himself can be erased by upsetting the Buckeyes.

In the past 15 seasons, the favorite is 11-4 and 10-5 ATS. The home team has enjoyed similar success in winning and is 9-6 against the oddsmakers.

In 1970 a local judge in Columbus dismissed a charge of obscenity against a defendant arrested for wearing a T-shirt that said, "F--- Michigan" because the message "accurately expressed" local feelings about the university and the state.

While this game will still draw oodles of attention, there are others that have great significance in regional pockets.

Of great significance is this year BYU and Utah conflict, known as the “Holy War”. The term Holy War, rather than denoting a war between religions, refers to the intensity of the competitors. A win by Utes might mean a return to the Holy Grail, a BCS bowl bid for completing a 12-0 season. Besides the fierceness of the battle, these conflicts are annually close. Only once in the last 11 years has a game been decided by more than a touchdown, which was Utah’s last unbeaten season in 2004. The underdog is an amazing 13-2 against the number.

Out West, Washington and Washington State have been meeting as cross-state rivals since 1900. Their have been a few interruptions over the years, however the 101st meeting might be marked in infamy for how dreadful each team actually is. It’s not every year two of the worst teams in college football matchup and it’s a rivalry game. Washington State is the only team to post a win, beating FCS Portland State. In 1962 this matchup became known as the “Apple Cup” game, with the state well known for producing those tasty treats. The visitor is 5-1 ATS in the last six contests, with Washington leading 64-30-6 all-time, in what can only be described as the Rotten Apple Cup in 2008.

The Stanford- Cal matchup is known as the “Big Game” in the Bay Area and in true fashion with these eccentric universities, the first meeting was held March 19, 1892 (not exactly football season) at San Francisco's Haight Street grounds with Stanford emerging victorious 14-10. They play for the Stanford Axe, with the Cardinal leading the series 55-44-11. With You Tube, this rivalry will live on for generations, being able to view “The Play”, in which four Cal players lateraled the ball five times on a kickoff return with four seconds left on the clock and Kevin Moen (who was the first and last ball carrier) ran through the Stanford band to the most improbable win ever. The Bears are the home team this season, with the visitor 12-4 ATS since 1992. One of the many great aspects of college football is the end of the season when the most bitter of rivalries get together to renew those emotions from the past. This is the game that mostly involves in-state or neighboring state universities that stir the emotion of every player and alumni alike. Because of proximity, many fans either attended these schools or were cultured by their parents to develop an affiliation with the beloved institution of hirer learning. The passion runs deep in these situations and this becomes an emotional encounter that is a tipping point, often for one calendar year when the next game is played and the drama unfolds all over again.

Wednesday Betting Information

A peculiar 1-1-1 day as Tennessee pushed at home with line moving up to -27. I was pleased to be on Florida State and escaped by a single point. The Washington Generals couldn’t beat the Harlem Globetrotters, sorry Miami Heat as expected. We have a perfect Trend loaded for reasoning in the NBA this evening. No great systems available today, thus will look to college football on Saturday with TWO plays out an 81.8 percent system. Also, the LCC checks in on tonight's important college football game.Good Luck.

Updating 3Daily Winners at monitors.

Free Sports Monitor #1 NFL
Free Sports Monitor #2 CBB
The Sports Eye #3 NFL
The Sports Eye #5 CFB
The Sports Eye #1 NHL (Free Plays)
Cappers Watchdog #7 NFL (Win percentage - Min.20 plays)
Cappers Watchdog #2 NHL (Win percentage)

Free Football System-1) Play Against road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points after having won three out of their last four games against opponent after having won six or seven out of their last eight games. This college football system is 27-6 ATS, 81.8 percent. There are two Play Against teams the fit, Air Force and Michigan State.

Free Basketball Trend -2) UTAH is 11-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover three of their last four against the spread over the last two seasons.

Free Football Selection -3) The Left Coast Connection has tonight's big MAC game this way - Central Michigan 10 members, Ball State minus the points 3 members.

Tuesday Wagering Options

Yesterday’s 2-1 record makes 3Daily Winners 7-2 the last three days, which is nice to see. We are not expecting these types of results all the time, especially with basketball coming more into focus, creating more volatility. All we ask is be patient, take it one day at a time and as we have shown the results will be there. The highly ranked Tennessee Vols are very difficult to beat at home as you can see in today’s Top Trend. Our Top System will summon strength from a lower region to play this NBA team, yet impossible to say a 95.2 percent play is a bad idea. Free Plays nothing special, with strong opinion offered. Good Luck.

Free Basketball System-1) PLAY ON any team like the Washington (Generals) Wizards after going under the total by more than six points in three consecutive games, who have a winning percentage of 25 percent or less on the season. This system is sumptuous 20-1 ATS. Holy _ _ _ _!

Free Basketball Trend -2) The Tennessee Vols are 16-2 ATS in home games after one or more consecutive wins over the last 2+ seasons.

Free Football Selection -3) Nobody is too crazy about tonight's card in any sports. Only six guys from the Left Coast Connection are betting NIU and Kent State, with the Huskies a 4-2 choice. A few like the Indiana Pacers in the NBA and the college basketball plays are all over the board. Myself, I like Florida State because they were favored by 17.5 at home to LaSalle last season and with both teams having similar players back, the Noles are just a three point play on the road, with typical swing about eight points.

Monday Nov. 17 Betting Info

Another solid winning day Sunday with 2-1 record (5-1 the last two days) and we turn out attention to college basketball wagering with a System that is 80 percent the last few seasons and is based on solid principles. Those with the Versus Network on your cable system can watch how tonight’s Top Trend play out. Good Luck.

Free Basketball System-1) PLAY ON favorites of 10 or more points like Boston College against a marginal losing team from last season like Loyola-MD, who won 40-49 percent of their games, with four starters returning from last season. This hoops system is 20-5 ATS, 80 percent since 2006.

Free Hockey Trend -2) The Toronto Maple Leafs are 1-7 against the money line off back to back road games.

Free Football Selection -3) The Left Coast Connection has 10 for Buffalo, 3 for Cleveland and 17 for the Under. One member called me today and said he has quality information that says Central Michigan is strong play in CBB tonight. Let's see what happens.

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MNF in Buffalo has Two Quarterbacks who can wing it

As far as Mr. Quinn’s long anticipated first game at quarterback in the NFL, Brady earned an ‘A’ for the Browns last Thursday night but the rest of the bunch got a failing grade as Cleveland (3-6, 5-4 ATS) slipped further out of playoff contention with a crippling 34-30 loss to visiting Denver.

The Browns second collapse in five days was no fault of Quinn, who completed 23 of 35 passes for 239 yards and two touchdowns and no turnovers. Both scoring tosses went to tight end Kellen Winslow, who had 11 catches for 111 yards. Cleveland also had a season-high 160 yards rushing; however, its defense was torched by Jay Cutler and allowed 564 total yards—the second-most produced in Broncos history. Cleveland is 10-2 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game over the last three seasons.

Barring injury, there’s no turning back for the Browns. Quinn’s the starter; Derek Anderson’s the backup and likely trade bait during the off-season. Sooner or later it had to happen, and the last straw came in Week 9 against Baltimore when Anderson threw an ill-advised, game-sealing interception that Terrell Suggs brought back for a touchdown.

In Buffalo, Quinn will face a defense that’s allowed only eight passing touchdowns in nine games. But the Bills, 5-4 (4-5 ATS) after last week’s 20-10 loss at New England and mired in a three-game funk, are having trouble getting to the quarterback (14 sacks) and forcing turnovers (12). The Bills are 14-2 ATS after playing the Patriots.

Buffalo has only one win and cover since September and they’ve cracked 20 points just once during the same span. Many fans in Buffalo are lobbying for more carries for running back Marshawn Lynch, who has yet to surpass 100 yards in a game in 2008 after doing so three times in 13 starts as a rookie. However, he does have six touchdowns for a team that 11-1 in November as home favorite versus a non-division team.

Last year’s meeting between these teams was a classic old school viewing. Played in a blizzard in Cleveland, the Browns won 8-0 on two Phil Dawson field goals and a safety. Winds gusted to 40 miles per hour, and Anderson and Trent Edwards combined to complete 22 of 57 passes (38.6 percent) but neither turned the ball over. The victory gave the Browns an 8-5 lead in the all-time regular-season series.

Bookmaker.com has Buffalo as five-point favorite with a total of 41.5. The Bills are 8-1 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record the last two years. A sharp contrast in totals trends is noted for this Monday night affair. Cleveland is 8-1 OVER after allowing 30 points or more last game and coach Dick Jauron’s squad is 6-0 UNDER after two or more consecutive losses against the spread since 2006.

Cleveland covers if they change up a little more this week, being more aggressive in setting up passing game with Quinn and letting Jamal Lewis pound away up the gut later in the game. The former Fighting Irish star showed good poise in throwing short and medium routes and should take shots deep to Braylon (concrete hands) Edwards. Defensive coordinator Mel Tucker has to be wiser to not expose his cornerbacks like last week, since they lack confidence and can be beaten. The Browns are 22-11 ATS after one or more consecutive spread losses.

Buffalo covers by playing the right opponent at the right time. The Bills have rushed for a sliver over 80 yards in losing four of five. The Browns surrender 145 yards on the ground, making this the right moment for Buffalo to get running game back in order. It’s becoming more obvious Trent Edwards, like most quarterbacks does better with good ground attack and is not nearly as comfortable having to play passer all game. Run the pigskin against weak Cleveland run defense and throw shorter passes to rebuild Edwards confidence. Can Quinn chuck the ball around the gridiron, find out be taking away the Browns running game. The Bills are 19-7 ATS in home games in weeks 10 through 13 at Ralph Wilson Stadium.

This week’s Monday night system is to Play Against any road underdog that has failed to cover the spread in last two games. This means voting against the Browns, with this system 20-8 ATS, 71.4 percent and racking up earlier win against Denver when they lost to New England 41-7.

WILD, WILD NFL

WildCat. WildHog. WildThing.

Call it anything you want, but some form of the WildWhatever offense has stampeded onto a playing field near you.

This latest NFL trend is confusing the defenses and entertaining the masses. The unorthodox offensive scheme, referred to by most as the WildCat offense or formation, is somewhat of a rarity to catch with only 10 to 15 of these plays being called in a given week.

I don't know the exact position terminology and it would probably get confusing so I'm just going to breakdown this formation with simplicity. A skill player such as a running back or wide receiver lines up in shotgun formation. A second skill player player is positioned to that player's right or left. Once the ball is snapped to the player directly behind center he has three options. Run the ball, hand the ball off to his teammate or throw the ball.

You may have seen a version of this offense in college football called the spread offense. The same principles are applied here except that the quarterback is taken out of the backfield. On some occasions the quarterback is positioned as a wideout and in others he's watching from the sidelines.

The primary advantage of utilizing this formation is that instead of playing with 10 offensive players versus 11 defensive players when the quarterback is on the field, the offense can operate on an even level with 11 on 11 in personnel terms. The element of surprise is also an edge as the defense has to be on its toes when this formation is presented.

The Miami Dolphins unleashed this ground-borne virus that is spreading throughout the league against New England in Week 3 of the season. They absolutely ran all over the Pats, combining backs Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams to create 216 yards of offense and parlaying that success into a 38-13 victory. In Week 5 they made mincemeat of the San Diego Chargers, shredding them for 167 yards on 12 WildCat carries.

Bill Parcell's freshest Frankenstein is logging the most attempts of the Wildcat offense. Miami is averaging about five per game since its introduction and it has proved to be prolific - yielding eight of their 23 offensive touchdowns. And they are showing no signs of slowing down the game plan either. The 'Phins ran it on eight instances last week versus Seattle and six times in Sunday's defensive bout against Oakland.

Speaking of the Raiders, even with their porous offense they are able to get in on the fun and roll out the WildCat offense. After all, super-talented back Darren McFadden is no stranger to the atypical run game having executed a version of it when playing at Arkansas under head coach Houston Nutt. He and current Dallas Cowboys player Felix Jones used to make opposing defenses look clueless as they racked up hundreds of yards on the ground.

The Arkansas Razorbacks called it the WildHog in honor of their mascot. Nutt has since moved on to Ole Miss where they run a variation of the offense and have given it the moniker WildRebel.

The naming origins of this unique offensive explosion have been interesting to say the least. It is rumored that the Dolphins' labeling of the formation came from the Wildcats of West Genesee High School where Miami assistant coach Steve Bush once worked.

Last Monday against the 49ers Anquan Boldin became the first wide receiver to take a direct snap. Ken Wisenhunt and the Arizona Cardinals call this the Pahokee formation which was Boldin's hometown and high school in Florida.

Tonight we may see the Cleveland Browns bust out the Flash formation with Josh Cribbs taking the ball from center like he did last Thursday against the Broncos. Cribbs' alma mater is the Kent State Golden Flashes.

While the WildCat offense has been very productive, there have to be some problems with it or every team would use it, right? Maybe the availability and reliability of a skill player who can handle a snap and read a defense quickly poses a hindrance for some teams.

Or in the case of a wide receiver taking the snap, maybe some teams don't want their franchise player getting blown up by guys like Ray Lewis. I realize that Anquan Boldin is a big, physical receiver but he is not invincible. And what about the quarterback being used downfield as a blocker? You can bet defenses will be licking their chops to take a shot.

But there is no doubt teams are taking notice and are doing some experimenting. I don't have the luxury of the Elias Sports Bureau at my fingertips to check the stats but from my count a total of nine teams (Buccaneers, Jaguars, Falcons, Cardinals, Raiders, Dolphins, Jets, Browns, 49ers) have run some form of the WildCat offense.

It seems that better defenses will prevail against it, but will some mastermind come up with a way to completely shut down the WildCat offense?

I sure hope not. I hope it sticks around forever. It makes the running game more exciting and improves the overall entertainment of the game.

Scott Cooley offers his perspective as freelance writer and friend of 3Daily Winners.

NFL Sunday Betting Options

An awesome 3-0 college football betting Saturday and 4-0 if you used Wednesday’s trend play on Alabama as an Under selection. Let’s try and follow this up with another great day, starting with a NFL System that is 12-1 the last few years and back that up with a perfect Trend. Slick Rick was 4-0 in college football yesterday and has it 13 in a row in amateur football, we’ll let him take a swing at the NFL today. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) PLAY ON road favorites who are good rushing team averaging 125-150 YPG against an average rushing defense who allows 95-125 YPG after the halfway point of the season. Since 2006, this system is 12-1 ATS, 92.3 percent; with the average margin of victory a whopping 12.1 points. Who would be this outstanding play today, none other than the Tennessee Titans.

Free Football Trend -2) The Denver Broncos are 0-12 ATS after gaining six or more yards a play in their previous game over the last two seasons.

Free Football Selection -3) Slick Rick is riding Tampa Bay as his best play.

Yesterday in this very spot it was mentioned about a system being followed in playing totals. For the week in college football ended up 3-1 and is 60.7 percent for the season. The same system is available in the NFL and is 9-2-1 on the year. Just one play, Cincinnati and Under today.

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Football Line Moves and Bonus Betting Info

For the Early Line Moves, we seek out the earliest lines and compare them on late Tuesday nights numbers to see what the so-called Line Movers do. Last week in college football these plays were solid 5-3-1 on the sides and 5-6 in college totals. This makes season record 50-33-1, 60.2 percent on sides and 37-29, 56 percent on Totals in CFB. In the NFL, it was not good with 0-1 mark on sides bringing the record to 12-10, 54.5 percent. On the Totals they were just as bad at 0-2. making the updated figure 17-13-1, 56.6 percent. Enjoy reading and closely follow these numbers for wagering portfolio.

College Sides
Ball State -15.5 to -18.5 Lost
Iowa -14 to -16
Colo. State +2.5 to Pick
S. Miss Pick to -2.5
Oregon -4 to -6
Ohio State -7.5 to -9.5
UTEP -9 to -12.5
LSU -18 to -16

College Totals
CMU/NIU 48 to 51 Winner
N.D./Navy 48.5 to 51
Tex.A&M/Baylor 64 to 62
AZ/Oreg. 64 to 61
S.J. St/Nevada 56.5 to 53
Neb/K-State 74 to 71
SMU/UTEP 75.5 to 71

NFL Sides
Atlanta -4.5 to 6

NFL Totals
Phil/Cin 43 to 45
NO/KC 47.5 to 49.5
Minn/TB 41.5 to 38.5
Dall/Wash 46 to 43

I’m not a big college football Totals player, but have been tracking a system this year that is 44-30, 59.4 percent. Here are today’s plays to follow or do as you wish. (Had the CMU/NIU game Over, not included in these numbers)

UNC/ Maryland OVER
UAB/Tulane OVER
Rutgers/USF OVER

College Football Game Writeups

The old Florida football coach returns for a second trip to many of his greatest triumphs. Steve Spurrier arrives in Gainesville with a ranked South Carolina club, trying to defeat what many consider the best team in the country today. Ohio State was thought to be that team by many in August; instead they are seeking revenge at Illinois. The ACC continues to try to solve convoluted mess with North Carolina and Maryland winner staying in contention. Texas still has hopes to win the Big 12 South and can’t slip up on the road against risky Kansas club. Oregon State still has the inside track to win the Pac-10 and go to Rose Bowl for the first since 1965 and has to defeat Cal at home to keep advancing.

To read the complete article, click here.

College Football Wagering Stuff

A 1-2 Friday, as San Antonio dug deep and pulled out a win over Houston. Started right for college basketball bettors with Penn State coming thru in the first official play of the season. We have an awfully good System Play for Saturday that is 87.1 percent. Today’s Top Trend is a continuation of what a certain Bulldog does, being quite overrated. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) – PLAY ON favorites of 21.5 to 31 points in conference games, after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival. The Florida Gators fit this mold for this system that is 27-4 ATS, 87.1 percent, including 4-0 this season.

Free Football Trend -2) Fresno State is 1-14 ATS after one or more consecutive straight up losses over the last three seasons.

Free Football Selection -3) Slick Rick has nailed his last nine college football plays including his HUGE play on Buffalo two nights ago. Though his wager won't be that big, his favorite play today is Texas.

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Get Your Friday Betting Groove On

An excellent bounce back Thursday with 3-1 record. We do feel bad for the Left Coast Connection member who had the Miami Hurricanes, but that’s gambling. With college basketball starting in earnest tonight, thought we’d throw out the best System available tonight, which has been 90 percent the last two years. We have a peculiar Top Trend to follow in the NBA and it’s never lost. Free Play ready. Good Luck.

Free Basketball System-1) - Play On favorites of 10 or more points like Penn State, who were marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49 percent of their games, with four starters returning from last season. This system is 30-8 ATS, 78.9 percent and 9-1 the last two years.

Free Basketball Trend -2) The Charlotte Bobcats are 0-13 ATS versus crummy 3-point shooting teams making 30 percent or less of their attempts.

Free Basketball Selection -3) Five members of the LLC are backing the Houston Rockets tonight.

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Lots of Thursday Wagering Action

We’ve stumbled the last few days collectively, including 0-2 yesterday. It’s time to pick ourselves up and dust off and find some winners. Today’s we have TWO Free Plays each coming from LLC members who are going deep. The Top Trend is from the Keystone State on the ice. The Best System going is in the NFL and is 22-4 84.6 percent. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) PLAY ON any team revenging a home loss against opponent, in a game involving two good teams (60 to 75 percent) in the second half of the season. This is easy to comprehend system is 22-4 ATS, 84.6 percent. The revenge-minded team has won by almost six points a game. Oh yea, the team is the Jets, Jets, Jets.

Free Hockey Trend -2) The Pittsburgh Penguins are 11-1 at home against Philadelphia in last dozen meetings.

Free Football Selections -3) Two members of the Left Coast Connection are making HUGE wagers tonight. One backing Buffalo with the points and the other Miami-FL. Hope it works out for them.

Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.

Jets and Patroits Thursday Night Struggle

First place in the AFC East is up for grabs Thursday night when the New York Jets and New England Patriots renew one of the emerging rivalries in the NFL. Both teams are 6-3 and fans and sports bettors have more storylines to follow than As the World Turns. New England would have what amounts to a two-game lead in the tiebreaker, giving them the edge with six games left. New York would have a lesser advantage, nevertheless, both teams have similar schedules the rest of the way and the Jets have one more home game than the Patriots.

The Jets(5-4 ATS) had a historic first half against St. Louis last week, scoring on each of their seven possessions to build a 40-point lead, en route to a 47-3 victory. Their defense forced four turnovers, returning one for a touchdown, and kicker Jay Feely hit field goals of 22, 49, 46 and 55 yards. Feely had 17 points a week after getting 14 in a win at Buffalo, and running back Thomas Jones totaled 149 yards and scored three times.

With most of their starters rested in the fourth quarter, the Jets shouldn’t have any issues dealing with the short work week. Perhaps it’ll help them snap a longstanding funk against New England, which has captured 11 of the last 12 meetings, including a 2006 playoff game and a 19-10 decision in Week 2 of this season. New York is 11-2 ATS as road underdog off a double digit cover against and opponent who is won and covered last week.

Coach Eric Mangini has become obsessed with wanting to beat his former mentor. Since signing with the Jets, Bill Belichick turned his back on Mangini, basically disregarding him as a person for going to division foe. Mangini was taken aback by most insiders and has made it his personal mission to win the AFC East and stick it to his former boss. Since beating the Patriots in New England 17-14 two seasons ago, Mangini and the Flyboys have lost four in a row, getting no closer than nine points. New York is 1-7 ATS after scoring 30 or more points in their previous game.

The Patriots (5-4 ATS) come off an impressive 20-10 victory over the free-falling Bills. Running back BenJarvus Green-Ellis, who began the season fourth on the depth chart, had 105 yards and one touchdown as head coach Belichick’s offense continues to find a suitable ball carrier. Quarterback Matt Cassel (23 of 34, 234 yards) ran an efficient offense that soaked up more than 37 minutes of clock, and the defense held Buffalo without a touchdown until inside of two minutes. That win raised the Pats record to 11-3 ATS after two or more consecutive wins against the spread.

The Cassel vs. Brett Favre matchup is good stuff. This is why the Jets acquired Favre for games just like this. They want his veteran leadership and savvy to make it through the rough spots. Favre however, has regressed in terms of playing under control this season with 12 interceptions. The New England coaching staff has learned Cassel is much more effective throwing the short ball and has adjusted their offense to match his talents, getting the ball to Wes Welker and Randy Moss more efficiently. The Patriots are 10-1 ATS off a win and cover, having gone Under the total two games in a row and playing division opponent.

Bookmaker.com has New England as three-point favorite with total of 41.5. The host team is just 2-16 ATS in these meetings.

New England is facing a much more confident Jones and Brett Favre than it did Sept. 14. Jones has seven touchdowns in the last five games, and Favre has hit on 33 of his last 47 pass attempts with only one interception. New York has the No. 5 rushing defense in the NFL (76.4 yards per game), thanks to Kris Jenkins being stout in the middle of the 3-4 defense and withstanding constant double-teams at the point of attack. The Patriots have won recently with massive time-of-possession advantages that won't be possible against the Jets if they can't run. The Jets have covered five of their last seven road games.

The Patriots are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 tilts following a win. They will need to confuse Favre into mistakes and have Cassel continue to manage the game and provide ball protection.

The NFL Network will once again broadcast this Thursday night showcase starting at 8:15 Eastern.

The Odds of Winning the BCS Championship

With just four weeks left in the college football regular season, it’s time to sit down and conclude who has the best chance to win the BCS trophy and more importantly for college football bettors, who is the best team to wager on. The question has come my way, why make a wager now on who could be national champions. Let me think, how many of you threw away futures tickets on say Georgia, Ohio State, LSU, Missouri and (clearing throat for comedic affect) Clemson.

Oh I’m sure some of you took long shots on Alabama or Texas before the season started, but what the heck, it’s much easier to win when the field is narrowed down. For all you that took Clemson and play 10-team parlays on a regular basis, the true idea behind sports betting is to win, not hope you win.

Penn State went from the odds-on favorite last week to essentially out of the picture with upset loss to Iowa. Check these teams out.

Florida Gators (9-5 odds)

Urban Meyer’s team is situated as the odds on favorite to be BCS champions again. They will be favored against South Carolina at home and have no reason to look ahead playing The Citadel next week (can anyone explain why). The usual end of the season battle with Florida State won’t be quite as easy as the last few years; however Tim Tebow should find a way to beat the Seminoles. The matchup with Alabama will be very interesting. The Crimson Tide has the athletic skills to play with Florida and is more physical. Meyer won’t have a coaching edge in this meeting, in fact might have somebody his superior. Alabama is more disciplined, especially in the big games. If the Gators survive, they would be a favorite against any other championship contender except USC. Consider the lower odds a fair bet.

Alabama Crimson Tide (5-2 odds)

The Crimson Tide has one the most important intangibles many recent champions have had. Since 2000, three different coaches have won a national championship in their second season coaching at that university. This means they walked into a good situation with talented players who needed direction and added more by their recruiting efforts. In fact, every coach except Mack Brown has won the title within the first four years with the school in the last eight years, which includes Nick Saban at LSU. Today, coaches have to get talented players on the field right away, to maximize their time, as the cream of the crop heads to the NFL draft board once eligible. Though Mississippi State and Auburn have been tussles in the past, playing at home should make winning a foregone conclusion for Bama. To beat Florida in SEC title game, Alabama will have to have same steely resolve they have had in every big game. They have the ability to make Florida one-dimensional and can control the clock. If they move past them, the Tide is three-point favorite or more against anybody not named USC.

Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-1 odds)

Texas Tech is in control of their own destiny ranked number two in the BCS standings after beating Texas and Oklahoma State in back to back games. The Red Raiders offense has proven to be all but unstoppable as quarterback Graham Harrell has the inside trck on standing at the podium at the New York Downtown Athletic Club in mid-December. The Texas Tech offense places so much pressure on opposing defenses figuring out best way to stop them. This ways heavy on the minds of the other team’s offense once the Red Raiders score, as they feel compelled to match scores and press, not playing with fluidity they normally would. Skeptics have to be impressed with what Mike Leach’s club has accomplished; however want to see them play the same way on the road, which they do on Nov. 22 at Oklahoma. If they survive the trip to Norman, they have Baylor at home, followed by Big 12 championship, in which they would be a double digit favorite. With the remaining contenders, Texas Tech would be an underdog against any SEC team or USC, though the number keeps shrinking with each victory.

Oklahoma Sooners (9-2 odds)

This has the appearance of a poor wager at this time, with Oklahoma needing a lot of help. Oklahoma can steer its path to a degree, still being able to play Texas Tech and Oklahoma State. If they win out and all the other Big 12 South contenders remain victorious, watch out. According to Big 12 rules, the first four tiebreakers will not be enough to declare a winner. The fifth rule becomes the most important; the team with the highest BCS ranking is declared the winner. Think about that for a second. (That’s a completely different article) Like all the teams in contention in the Big 12 South, the Sooners would be a double digit favorite against whoever comes out of the North Division.

If they managed to get all the way to the title game, Bob Stoops team would be an underdog to whoever came out of the SEC, in large part to a faulty defense that has given up a bundle of points against the better offenses in the Big 12.

USC Trojans (5-1 odds)

Head coach Pete Carroll is frustrated with the BCS and on point he is correct. He knows he very likely has one the best teams in college football that was asleep for a half at Oregon State and groggy for another 15 minutes in various parts. A playoff would settle any doubts, however that won’t happen this year or in the foreseeable future with too much money coming to easily. USC needs Florida State to beat Florida, the Gators to defeat Alabama, the Big 12 North champion to beat what would be a one or two loss team out of the Big South. If all that happened and the Trojans win out, they would meet somebody for the national championship game and would be at least a field goal if not more favorite.

Oddsmakers love USC and would make them a favorite against any team in the country, except maybe the Tennessee Titans and New York Giants.

Texas Longhorns (4-1 odds)

Like the rest of the teams, Texas needs help. Winning out the regular season won’t be problem with Kansas and Texas A&M, needing Texas Tech to slip up twice is. The loss at Lubbock has been discussed way out of context in the state of Texas considering whom the Horns had to play. Complaints of the Longhorns not being ready to play were foolish, having to play that many strong teams consecutively. Only Notre Dame in 1943 has been able to defeat a top-12 squad four weeks in a row. The Longhorns remain in the hunt, but have lost control of their destiny.

Utah (100-1 field bet) and Boise State (200-1)

The odds of either of these teams making it to the BCS championship are somewhat better than the Conference USA champion earning a BCS at-large berth, but not a lot better.

Betting Thoughts and Great Hockey System

Really thought we had a winner with Charlotte Bobcats last night with our system play, rats, (OK a little too old school but I have a reputation to keep up) which gave us a 1-2 day. We have another fantastic Hockey System running tonight that is 23-2 since 1997. Today’s Top Trend is not relevant to today, but keep in your back pocket for betting college football on Saturday. Jason gave out nice upset winner in the NBA and is invited back to do so again today. Good Luck.

I have the updated figures at the monitors we belong to. As stated Monday, we are #1 at Free Sports Monitor in the NFL. We are #3 in the NFL at The Sports Eye and #6 in college football. We would be higher ranked in both sports at Cappers Watchdog, but they use the 1-5 unit measure and these plays are placed the same way we would bet on them. Many others us max five all the time, we have chosen to be consistent with our values. However, we are #6 at Cappers Watchdog in the NHL with every play two units.

Very curious about tonight’s Central Michigan and Northern Illinois game and here’s why. The average score of an NIU game is 42.9 points and 38.7 PPG at home. In conference games the average is 42.5 PPG. CMU has averaged 56.2 PPG and 61.4 on the road. In MAC action they have averaged 52.4 PPG. Because of how good NIU plays defense, I believe the conference numbers are more useful for both teams. If my thinking is correct, is the oddsmaker telling us the 49.5 total favors the underdog Chippewas being a potentially higher scoring game? Think my logic is correct? Let me know your thoughts.

Free Hockey System-1) PLAY ON home Favorites of -200 or less like the Vancouver Canucks against the money line off a home win where they shut out their opponent against opponent off a close home win by one goal. This NHL system rocks with 23-2 mark, 92 percent the last 11 seasons.

Free Football Trend -2) The Central Michigan and Northern Illinois contest both have really good trends supporting both sides. The NBA angles are fairly pedestrian, thus will turn to college football this Saturday where the #1 Alabama Crimson Tide are 11-1 UNDER in home games after five or more consecutive straight up wins.

Free Selection -3) Jason of the Left Coast Connection is playing New Orleans Hornets as his Best Bet in the NBA.

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Looking in Rearview Mirror Betting College Football

One of the great things about being a college football sports bettor, you can live in the present and look towards the future. This week the BCS talk is running rampant, borderline Michael Douglas in “Falling Down”, with too many angry types speculating about everything that is wrong with the BCS system. It is far from a perfect system, but the drama is incredible.

Think about how watered-down the Texas Tech at Oklahoma upcoming game would be if both teams already new they were in an eight-team postseason. The Penn State loss at Iowa, no problem guys, shake it off, beat Michigan State and we’re still playing for the national championship. This is do-or-die drama, especially late in the season; it could hardly be more fun.

Those of us who wager on college football can join in on these borderline unhealthy discussions with more knowledge than your average fan, since we cover the entire scope of college football. We might have our favorite teams or know more about a certain conference depending on our proximity; however we are much more informed, even as our personal opinions differ. Just like the coach preaches, we play’em one week at a time and let somebody else worry about what might happen.

Texas Tech was extremely impressive against Oklahoma State. The Cowboys needed two more players on defense to either create a pass rush to stop quarterback Graham Harrell or more help in the secondary. After awhile it was like watching Gary Busey on Celebrity Rehab, you just felt sorry for Okie State. What is most impressive is the play the Red Raiders are getting on both sides of the line of scrimmage. Harrell could have worn a dress suit and gone out to eat after the game, with nary a wrinkle with the protection he received. Though the defense is unheralded, they make enough of a mess to spoil the other team’s offensive flow. In a league where the offense overflows more than Pamela Anderson, the best way to measure the Texas Tech defense is points allowed in their last three games.

Kansas averages 34.5 PPG – scored 21 vs Texas Tech
Texas averages 44.3 PPG – scored 33 vs Texas Tech
Oklahoma State averages 42.8 PPG – scored 20 vs. Texas Tech

The Red Raiders are the first team since Oklahoma in 1984 to defeat a number one team and beat a Top 10 club the following week.

You think the Rose Bowl and wagering outlets were worried about Ohio State- USC rematch; they might have a bigger conundrum on their hands. If Penn State and Oregon State win out, they are set for rematch in Pasadena from Sept.6, when the Nittany Lions pulverized the Beavers 45-14 in Happy Valley. You can bet the West Coast crowd is praying Oregon State loses, setting up JoPa against Pete Carroll. Have to hand it to coach Mike Riley and Oregon State as they are peeking again late in the season. As noted in the Platinum Sheet, they have won a won a minimum of three of last five games of the regular season all but once in the last nine seasons.

For the first time ever, the Mid-American Conference beat their Midwestern heavyweight neighbor four times. Not really sure if that points to the MAC being improved in 2008 or that the Big 10 (11) is brutal. Here’s one other little known fact this season about these two conferences, the MAC was 4-9 straight up, yet covered 10 of 13 meetings. HUMMMM

Nice to see Charley Weis of Notre Dame come to the rescue of suddenly inept offense after being shutout by Boston College 17-0. That’s the second posted zero in last 14 games for the offensive genius. He made it clear that he had nothing to do with being blanked directly and will try to resurrect the offense against defensive powerhouses Navy and Syracuse. His true genius will be shown when his team finishes the season at USC. I never bought into this 9-3 or 10-2 business Beano Cook or others were selling, thinking 7-5 seemed about right. Until Weis can start bringing in offensive and defensive linemen that have ability and bad intentions, there won’t be much fight in the Irish.

This past week was a bad week to be a big home favorite or a home team catching points. Double digit home chalk was 5-9-2 against the spread last week, making them 23-39-3 ATS the last month. After posting positive numbers a week ago, home underdogs returned to sorry ways with 5-11 ATS figure. They are 32-58-3 ATS the last five weeks.

Quick notes- Do you think the Oklahoma Sooners offense is peaking? In their last three games they have averaged 47.3 points per game, in the first half!

If you think the Big 12 South is a confusing mess, try the ACC. Every team in the conference has two losses, meaning tie-breakers deluxe are a possibility to determine who plays in the conference championship game. Not surprisingly with this kind of balance, ACC home teams are 18-13 and 15-16 ATS. Also, home underdogs at 5-2 against the spread should make perfect sense this season.

Most preseason magazines had Iowa in the bottom half of the Big 10 standings. Based on their schedule and defense, believed they would finish fourth in the conference. Coach Kirk Ferentz has his team positioned to finish strong after Penn State upset and their four losses have been by a total of 12 points. The Hawkeyes are younger, which could mean even better days ahead for the honest and glib Ferentz.

In the SEC, Florida is showing they just might be not only the best team in the conference, but in the country the way they are playing. On the other hard, Tennessee coaches are to blame, but the Volunteers players should embarrassed for how they played in losing to Wyoming 13-7 as 27-point home favorites. Departing Phil Fulmer deserves to be criticized for letting program slip, but the guys in the orange jerseys are culpable also for not beating a team that has been outscored by the top four teams in the Mountain West Conference 161-13.

The Texas A&M defense is slower than an express checkout lane as the grocery store.

West Virginia is stuck with Bill Stewart as coach and the program will sink. My guess is the Pittsburgh at Cincinnati Big East conflict on Nov.22 will decide who wins the BCS berth, other games not withstanding.

Tuesday November 11, Wagering Action

The Miami Heat was cooled off last night, winning but failing to cover and Orlando was defeated outright at home. We have a thought-provoking NBA System today that favors a home underdog on a couple of levels. The Utah Jazz have started the season in fine fashion, will it continue in Philadelphia, check out today’s Top Trend. Good Luck.

A salute to all Veterans on what has become a lost holiday.

Free Basketball System-1) PLAY ON home teams vs. the money line like Charlotte who are a weak offensive team (88-92 PPG) against a fair defensive team like Denver (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 175 points or less. This money line system is 28-7, 80 percent. What is really intriguing about this system is the home underdog and the current payout is +155 on the Bobcats if they win. Otherwise appears to be a pretty fair wager catching the points.

Free Basketball Trend -2) The Utah Jazz are 3-13 ATS in road games after playing five consecutive games as favorite over the last three seasons.

Free Basketball Selection -3) Jason of the LLC prefers the Atlanta Hawks to upset Chicago on the road.

A New Week of Wagering Action

3Daily Winners nailed all three winners yesterday in the NFL and are proud to be #1 at Free Sports Monitor in the NFL, with a couple of other monitors updating their stats later this week. Today’s Top Trend is in the NBA and takes a look-see on how Orlando has played this month over the last few years. Though not an official System Play by our standards, a pretty solid 77.8 percent system to consider also in the NBA. Good Luck.

Free Basketball System-1) PLAY ON home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Boston Celtics, who are making four or less 3-point shots a game on the season in November. This system is 35-10 ATS, 77.8 percent and is 1-0 to start the year.

Free Basketball Trend -2) The Orlando Magic are 17-4 ATS in November the last few seasons.

Free Selection -3) The Left Coast Connection consensus is close to even on tonight's Monday night game, but yesterday's winner Sal and three others like the Miami Heat in the NBA.

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The Cardinals are Big Chalk on Monday Night Football

If the Cardinals don’t find a way to win the NFC West this year, they never will. Since the move from St. Louis to Arizona in 1988, the franchise has suffered a losing record in 17 of 20 seasons, but not last year when the Cardinals closed with back-to-back wins to finish 8-8. Sun Devil Stadium didn’t offer much in terms of home-field advantage during the Cardinals’ first 18 years in the desert, but their new state-of-the-art venue in Glendale seems to have changed that parameter for the better with a 9-2 and 8-3 spread record since its opening.

Arizona has done some serious home cooking with five straight wins (4-1 ATS), beating Miami, Buffalo and Dallas so far this season by a combined 102-51.

Bookmaker.com has established the division leading Redbirds as 10-point home favorites (down from opening 11), with a total of 47.5. The Cards are flushed with new-found success and have to take the next step in overcoming the past with 0-7 ATS record as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points.

With San Francisco in town on Monday night, the Cardinals will take the University of Phoenix Stadium field for the first time in a month. The last time they were home they made NFL history, beating the Cowboys 30-24 in overtime on a recovered blocked punt in the end zone. Arizona had a bye the following week, lost 27-23 in Carolina in Week 8 and won 34-13 in St. Louis last Sunday.

A postseason berth is the goal for the Cardinals, who had to face only two returning playoff teams over their first nine games. They lead the NFC West by three games over each of their three rivals, none of which seems capable of a turnaround.

The 49ers are 2-6 SU and ATS, and making headlines for all the wrong reasons. San Francisco, which lost 23-13 at home to Arizona in Week 1 thanks to five turnovers, became a league spectacle two weeks ago when interim head coach Mike Singletary sent Vernon Davis to the locker room after the third quarter of a 34-13 loss to Seattle, blasted the third-year tight end in the post-game press conference and apologized to fans. The next day, Singletary benched quarterback J.T. O’Sullivan in favor of Shaun Hill. The Niners will come into this AFC West encounter only 5-14 ATS against conference opponents over the last two seasons.

Hill led the 49ers to a pair of victories late last season and had the benefit of a bye week to help get ready for Arizona, which has allowed 218.2 yards passing per game (18th overall) and 16 touchdowns—most in the NFL. Hill looked relatively sharp in relief of O’Sullivan against the Seahawks and completed 15 of 23 attempts for 173 yards and one touchdown with no interceptions. This will be his first career start on the road for a squad that is 6-15 ATS as an underdog over the last two years.

San Francisco covers if they do what they do best, run the ball. Frank Gore is still their best weapon; make him the top priority is establish a pace to the game, which should help Hill in the short passing game. Hill has shown the ability in his limited action to read and get rid of the ball, something O’Sullivan was getting worse at each week taking so many sacks. Defensively, San Fran needs an identity; pick one, 3-4 or 4-3 scheme. Lastly, get Vernon Davis the ball, otherwise he becomes a distraction by not touching the ball as the team and media views it as a rift. The 49ers must control the clock and score. Otherwise they fall to 0-8 ATS vs. good offensive teams scoring 24 or more points a game since 2006.

Arizona covers if they are focused. Being so far ahead in the division despite having a lack of organizational success for decades, this is the kind of game the Cardinals can prove before a national audience they should be taken seriously. The easiest way to beat a beleaguered opponent is to jump on them early, this should figure into Arizona’s game plan. This should also be a contest the Cards can get back to fundamentals by tackling better, something that been a problem all season. Kurt Warner and company averages 387 yards of offense, if they can do just a little better, they’ll take care of the Niners who are 3-16 ATS in road games when they allow 400 or more total yards.

This week’s Monday Night system is to play against any underdog who has allowed 24 or more points in two straight games. This system is 25-11-1 ATS, 69.4 percent.

NFL Sunday Best Wagering Options

A so-so 2-2 Saturday, but a profitable 4-3 week in college football overall. Today we have a NFL System that supports a super-sized underdog, which is 22-3, 88 percent. The Top Trend takes us to the Windy City, literally I hear, for Da Bears and Da Titans. Sal from the Left Coast Connection is back and doing well and has his Best Bet for Free. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) PLAY ON road teams after one or more consecutive wins against the spread, who are a terrible team, winning 25 percent or less of their games, in the second half of the season. This system is 22-3 ATS, 88 percent and it doesn’t take a genius to figure out this team is Kansas City.

Free Football Trend -2) The Chicago Bears are 2-14 ATS after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games.

Free Football Selection -3) We haven’t heard much from Sal of the LCC lately and he is one 12-5 run in the NFL and is playing Atlanta Falcons today as his personal best bet.

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NFL Quarterback Carousel

Round and round, up and down.

So goes the beloved amusement park pastime and so goes the quarterback carousel in the National Football League.

The scenario that has played out in 2008 could not have been predicted by anyone and has the signs of becoming even more complex. This is about as crazy of a game of musical quarterbacks as I've seen in my brief sportslife.

Through nine weeks of the season we’ve witnessed 46 different signal callers under center for 32 teams. There have been six permanent quarterback changes due to performance or injury and after this week, only half of the teams will still be playing with the same QB they started the season with.

You might be able to point the blame of this quarterback chaos to Kansas City Chiefs safety Bernard Pollard. He sparked this uncontrollable downward spiral after rolling into Tom Brady’s knee, effectively ending his year (and my fantasy football season) in the first quarter of Week 1.

And now Matt Cassel, who never started a game in college and was probably a better baseball prospect than football player, is attempting to lead the New England Patriots back to the Super Bowl where perfection narrowly escaped the dynasty a season ago.

The QB changes are many I have to use extreme brevity in this recap because you would grow tired of scrolling through the pages if I delved deep into the intricacies of each alteration.

I'm going to spare elaborating on teams like the Chiefs who have had 16 different quarterbacks (okay, maybe just three) and the Lions who also have a new QB, but still haven’t won a game even with the departure of the evil Matt Millen.

I won't even begin to mention how the Tennessee Titans made the right move by benching youngster Vince Young, whose commitment to football is questionable at this point, and opting for wily veteran Kerry Collins.

Vikings head man Brad Childress must have stolen a play from the Jeff Fisher quarterback school of thought as Minnesota also elected to resurrect a has-been from the brink of extinction in Gus Ferrotte, opposed to enduring another learning season from inexperienced gunslinger Tavaris Jackson.

And who could forget the Brian Griese experiment? He did throw for 407 yards after winging the ball 67 times in a win at Chicago but subsequently lost his starting job two games later to Jeff Garcia.

If I haven’t lost you already, strap into those saddles and stirrups because this ride is about to get rowdy.

The merry-go-round continues with the NFC West, which has experienced complete quarterback disarray. All four teams have encountered some form of QB controversy at one point this season. Trent “I Have A Concussion” Green got a sympathy start from the Rams former head coach Scott Linehan but current coach Jim Haslett has since reverted back to old ways with Marc Bulger at the helm.

The Seahawks went 1-3 with Matt “Bad Back” Hasselbeck to begin the season and are 1-3 without him since. That team has been decimated by injuries all over the field and you can’t expect Seneca Wallace to guide Seattle to a fifth consecutive division title. Hasselbeck is expected to return in Week 11.

How about the laughable San Francisco 49ers? They drop 24 million on a #1 overall pick in Alex Smith who has turned out to be about as good as Ryan Leaf. So they opt to go with offensive coordinator Martz’s man who came to the Bay from Detroit. But that guinea pig failed as J.T. O’Sullivan helped them to a 2-6 record and as soon as Mike Singletary replaced Nolan as the head coach, found himself standing on the sidelines. This week, Shaun Hill is preparing himself to be the most recent 49ers quarterback failure.

I have the perfect remedy for the Niners. They need to put Michael Robinson, former Penn State QB, and Frank Gore in the backfield and run the Wildcat formation every down. You even have Arnaz Battle, who was a thrower back in his days with the Irish, to set up the triple Wildcat backfield! What defense wouldn’t be confused with all the reverses, pitches, handoffs and an occasional toss to Vernon Davis?

The final portion of this NFC West shakedown involves the division leader in a pre-season QB change. Question remains, will Matt Leinhart ever live up to the expectations bestowed upon him?

Ken Wisenhunt surely isn’t sold on him as being the future of his Arizona Cardinals club. He has had three seasons to take the starting job that has essentially been shoved to him on a silver platter. But Arena Football League star turned Super Bowl MVP Kurt Warner has claimed the top spot season after season.

And Warner is ready to retire at the drop of a dime. He threw a bad pass to Anquan Boldin who got his jaw shattered and felt bad so he wanted to quit. How bad do you have to be to not snatch the starting job away from a guy who doesn’t even really want to play anymore?

I guess if you have Reggie Bush, LenDale White, Dwayne Jarrett and Steve Smith you really don’t have to be that good to win ballgames. And maybe he wasn’t, perhaps we should ask the 2005 National Champion Texas Longhorns.

Speaking of USC Heisman Trophy winners, this should have been the year that Carson Palmer was talked about in the same breath as Peyton Manning, Tom Brady and Brett Favre. But that may never happen.

Palmer put together a stellar season in 2005 and showed glimpses of greatness, but ever since that knee injury has been nothing but disappointing. Now he needs Tommy John surgery? Isn’t that a surgical procedure for baseball players? Regardless, Ryan Fitzpatrick is slinging it around in Cincy and that should hint to someone that the team needs a complete overhaul.

So the Houston Texans finally found their man huh? Snatched Matt Schaub away from the Falcons, just before the Vickster gets indicted on dog fighting charges, to replace David Carr. Who I have to say was the beneficiary of a good college team and system…ahem…Alex Smith.

But now Schaub is out 2-4 weeks with a sprained MCL and “Pinch of Sage” Rosenfels will get a second opportunity to prove his worth. He suited up against the Colts in Week 5 and nearly had a stranglehold on the starting gig but threw a pick-six and fumbled away two balls to allow Indy to overcome a 17-point fourth quarter deficit.

Our pinkie finger is probably the most expendable appendage we have. But to Tony Romo and the Cowboys it is worth its weight in gold. Seriously though, a pinkie? I pick my nose with my pinkie finger, and that’s about all it is good for. You should be able to throw a football with a bum pinkie.

No matter, the ‘Boys are 1-2 without their savior and his second coming may be too late. They sit at the bottom of the NFC East standings with a 5-4 record and have a brutal schedule left after their bye week, starting with a date in Washington against the ‘Skins.

The most recent changing of the guard happened in our first NFL Network Thursday night matchup. Four-year pro Derek Anderson might have splintered his booty squirming around on the bench having to watch pretty-boy Brady Quinn get the nod after starting 23 straight contests.

Anderson just hadn’t appeared to have been able to put up to the lofty numbers he did a season ago (29 TDs, 3700+ yards), but maybe if Braylon Edwards could catch a pass or Kellen Winslow actually tried to run a route he could have kept his job.

And I’m sure his uneasiness didn’t subside after the kid went 23-35 with 239 yards and a couple of touchies. Well, at least Kellen Winslow was still dropping passes and fumbling balls. That guy needs to take a seat in the corner and put on the dunce hat or he is about to REALLY start pissing some people off.

There looks to be another QB swap on the horizon as well, but most likely a temporary one. We never heard the end of “Rex is our quarterback” from Chicago coach Lovie Smith in 2007. And then Da Bears roll into 2008 with the “Kyle is our quarterback” campaign plastered all over the walls.

This worked out pretty well until Orton went down with a high ankle sprain last weekend. And now we will get to see how disgusting Grossman can look against the mighty Titans defense. He was able to mount a comeback in last week’s game, throwing for a score and running in another, but this test won’t be against the hapless Detroit Lions.

As long as quarterbacks in the NFL keep underachieving and getting injured, we’ll keep pumping tokens into this carousel.

Scott Cooley is a free-lance writer and chimes in from time to time at 3Daily Winners.