An uninspired 1-2 day leaves us yearning for more. This Saturday we believe we have it what is takes, as the Top Trend continues to deliver and comes in 14-0 today. Saturday’s Best System is fabulous 19-2 ATS. Sal from the Left Coast Connection is 11-2 this week, including 4-0 yesterday in all sports and has his best college play.Good Luck.
Soap box moment- I have to my detriment defended Dick Vitale more times than I care to remember. Dicky V used to holler and scream, but he actually knew what he was talking about when finding the finer points of a particular game. Now he is compelled to share his opinions on a variety of subjects, some basketball related, some not. This week he talked about no 6-6 team should be able to play in a bowl game. While in principle I agree with Vitale, having 34 bowl games and even number of games creates issues. Hey Dicky V, why no problem with teams having losing records that make the NCAA tournament because they played well for three or four days?
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON home teams like Texas Tech off one or more straight Overs, who score more than 34 points per game, against a poor defensive team like Baylor (28-34 PPG) after 7 or more games. Since 2004, this system is 19-2 ATS, 90.4 percent and has average winning margin of over 31 points.
Free Football Trend -2) The Rice Owls are 14-0 ATS in home games vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes a game.
Free Football Selection -3) Sal of the LLC has has heated up again and is on the Florida Gators today.
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College Football Game Day Writeups
Is it really possible that Oregon State will be playing in the Rose Bowl and not during the regular season for the first time in 44 years? For the Beavers, the most treacherous of opponents, an in-state rival with hated in their hearts is looking to spoil an improbable journey. Florida and Alabama each have rivalry game tune-ups before the big SEC title game showdown. So much for USC and Notre Dame being a big deal this season, the only stories here are Charley Weis’ continued employment in South Bend or to give or take the 30+ points. Something seems a little fishy about Oklahoma and Oklahoma State line, watch how this plays out Saturday night in Stillwater. All the lines shown are from Bookmaker.com.Florida (-16.5, 57.5) at Florida State 3:30E ABC
After igniting The Citadel 70-19, the Florida Gators travel north to Tallahassee for bragging rights between these universities. Florida is on everyone’s “don’t’ play” list, outscoring opponents by 41 points a game since losing to Mississippi in late September. Even coach Urban Meyer is impressed with what he is witnessing. "The chemistry (on this team) borders on phenomenal," Meyer said. "I love these guys. I trust them. I believe in them, and I like watching them work." The versatility of this Florida team is being shown more frequently, as they rushed for 346 yards against what was the SEC’s best defense in South Carolina. On defense, they don’t have the dominating front four like the national champs of two years ago; however they might be more complete. The Gators have forced SEC-best 27 turnovers this season. "We're playing as hard as we can, out of our minds right now," Florida sophomore cornerback Joe Haden said. Florida is 10-3-1 ATS in non-conference action under Meyer.
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How Real Sports Bettors Spend Black Friday
While watching television this week and starting Brooke Burke withdrawal on Dancing with the Stars, I saw some ridiculous store is opening at 4:00 am Friday morning to get my business. The only retail business I’m doing at that time of the day is at a 24-hour Denny’s or Micky D’s after carousing the night before. My only goal is to wake up in time to place a few bets on football and basketball before the first game starts.While the few remaining people that actually have a couple hundred dollars in their saving accounts and about the same left on credit card limits, goes out to spends the rest, with the knowledge the new year could bring unemployment, you like me don’t have a care in the world other than making sure the TV works, there’s beer in the fridge and three pounds of turkey your mom or relative sent home for the weekend is still cold.
Their might not be a more appropriately termed expression than playing in “the losers bracket”, on the day after Thanksgiving at 10:30 am Eastern in Orlando, in the Old Spice Basketball Classic. This follows from playing basketball ON Thanksgiving. (I wonder if you get the Old Spice gift pack swag for showing up) I’ll probably pass on that and get ready for West Virginia and Pitt in the backyard brawl and take West Virginia in big revenge game.
At 12:30 Eastern on Game Plan or if you live in the South somewhere, the Egg Bowl will be played. For those unfamiliar, this is Mississippi State vs Mississippi. In case you haven’t read or heard this, how they came up with the name Egg Bowl was from a trophy they came up that was egg-shaped to present after the game to stop fighting between the fans of each team, that’s nuts. Nothing nuts about Houston Nutt taking Ole Miss to first bowl game since some quarterback named Eli followed his old man there in Oxford. I like that the Rebels have won four in a row (3-1 ATS) and are 6-0 ATS in November the last few years.
At 2:30 Eastern, CBS turns on the way-back machine and has Don Criqui and Dan Fouts do the LSU at Arkansas contest. Both announcers are well past their prime, which this year is true of the Tigers and Hogs. Remember how were told all the speed the SEC has and this is the best conference known to mankind. If it’s so special, how come a team supposedly as powerful as LSU has only held Appalachian State, North Texas and Tulane to less than two touchdowns? I talked to a SEC scout about two weeks ago and he said Arkansas definitely doesn’t have the same talent as the last few years, but in his eyes, the Razorback players don’t play nearly as hard for Bobby (vagabond) Petrino. I know Sportsbook.com has LSU as 4.5-point favorites and I like the fact Miles minions are 12-3 ATS in road games off an upset loss as a favorite.
At about 3:30E on ABC, two Big 12 teams who used to sit at the big table for the holidays, will meet when Colorado travels Lincoln to take on Nebraska. Once the Big 12 was formulated, this became the marquee matchup in the Big 12 North, with these two schools having battled for Big 8 titles in the late 1980’s and early 90’s. Both are trying to make a comeback bigger than the Sex Pistols. Nebraska is 18-point favorite in this meaningless game and I’ll bite with the Children of the Corn 18-6 ATS in home games off two straight wins against conference rivals. I’ll also back the Huskers since the defense, though still bad by Blackshirt standards, had 65 painted on them in Boulder last year on this day.
Did you know they are playing they are playing the preseason NIT championship at 4 Eastern on Friday? Can’t figure that out, but will have to keep flipping channels while opening more adult beverages and stuffing face with leftovers. (Is it me or is turkey like chips the day after Thanksgiving)
I have to admit it, I can not stand Fresno State coach Pat Hill and I’m looking forward to Boise State blasting them into the next universe commencing at 6 Eastern on ESPN also (2). Seriously, have you ever heard or seen a coach who puts more emphasis on big non-conference games than winning a league title! This is his 12th year in Raisin Country and he tied for first in the WAC twice in his tenure and nothing since 1999. Yet he gets all these accolades for beating the occasional BCS team or coming oh so close. When Hill first took over at Fresno State, he said he wanted to build a program like Florida State’s. In the end he has, mediocre. The Wussdogs have been outscored by 87 total points in their last three trips into Boise. With the Broncos 9-1 and 8-2 against the spread in their last home game and gorgeous 20-4 ATS as conference home favorite of 28 or less, I’ll back Boise.
By 9:30E, I’ll be really bloated, looking more like Micky Rourke and catch a little of the UCLA and Arizona State game. I’ll probably be asleep before the first quarter is over, but I’ll rest comfortably knowing UCLA is 10-2 UNDER after playing three straight Pac-10 games.
This whole Black Friday thing is way overrated; I’ve got a great day planned.
Writer Red Wydley made this holiday contribution.
Black Friday Wagering Tips
I hope everybody had a great Thanksgiving and we hope to get our Top System plays back in order with 81.2 percent play that has been even hotter the last few years. Our lone winner was a Top Trend and we think we have another winner in the WAC on Friday. The LLC has a Free consensus play up on tap. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON a home team like Nebraska off one or more straight Overs, who are an excellent offensive team , averaging 34 or more PPG, against a poor defensive team (28-34 PPG) like Colorado after 7 or more games. This system is tantalizing is 26-6 ATS, 81.2 percent since 1999 and is 9-2 the last three years.
Free Football Trend -2) Boise State is 20-4 ATS as conference home favorite of 28 or less points.
Free Football Selection -3) Left Coast Connection has a consensus play on Toledo today, with eight backers and no dissenters.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON a home team like Nebraska off one or more straight Overs, who are an excellent offensive team , averaging 34 or more PPG, against a poor defensive team (28-34 PPG) like Colorado after 7 or more games. This system is tantalizing is 26-6 ATS, 81.2 percent since 1999 and is 9-2 the last three years.
Free Football Trend -2) Boise State is 20-4 ATS as conference home favorite of 28 or less points.
Free Football Selection -3) Left Coast Connection has a consensus play on Toledo today, with eight backers and no dissenters.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
HAPPY THANKSGIVING TO ALL
I and the rest of the Left Coast Connection members wish all of you a Wonderful Thanksgiving. Enjoy the company you keep today and have a lot of fun.
Purdue blew a 19-point lead in the last six minutes unfortunately and took others besides us in failing to cover and giving us 1-2 day. We have stupendous system in the NFL, but be warned, it will take courage to play. We have a spot trend involving Thursday’s and the Detroit Lions. Our Free Play will be a 100 percent Winner! Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON underdogs of 10.5 or more points, who are a pathetic team, being out-gained by their opponents by 100 or more yards a game, after being out-gained by 100 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This system is 25-4 ATS, 86.2 percent, including 3-0 this year. Seattle is the team that makes the grade here. Note the average spread margin for this play in 13.5 PPG and average margin of victory is 8.8 points.
Free Football Trend -2) Thursday home underdogs of 7.5 or more points are worse than overcooked sweet potatoes at 2-8-1 ATS, play against Detroit.
Free Football Selection -3) Everyone I’ve talked to agrees; take the OVER on eating and drinking today.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Purdue blew a 19-point lead in the last six minutes unfortunately and took others besides us in failing to cover and giving us 1-2 day. We have stupendous system in the NFL, but be warned, it will take courage to play. We have a spot trend involving Thursday’s and the Detroit Lions. Our Free Play will be a 100 percent Winner! Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON underdogs of 10.5 or more points, who are a pathetic team, being out-gained by their opponents by 100 or more yards a game, after being out-gained by 100 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This system is 25-4 ATS, 86.2 percent, including 3-0 this year. Seattle is the team that makes the grade here. Note the average spread margin for this play in 13.5 PPG and average margin of victory is 8.8 points.
Free Football Trend -2) Thursday home underdogs of 7.5 or more points are worse than overcooked sweet potatoes at 2-8-1 ATS, play against Detroit.
Free Football Selection -3) Everyone I’ve talked to agrees; take the OVER on eating and drinking today.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Thanksgiving NFL Football Feast
Many are clamoring to have the Detroit Lions not play on Thanksgiving. Why, because the Lions are terrible, have been and will be for the foreseeable future. But this country needs traditions, things that we can count on, not changing everything for the sake of change. If you don’t like the game, here is a thought, don’t watch it and talk to your family or relatives. Enjoy the company of another; just don’t whine about the Detroit Lions. In fact to make it more interesting, bet the game or have everybody at the house pick a side with the spread, it’s sure to add to the camaraderie of the day rooting for certain teams.Tennessee at Detroit (Lions +11, 44.5)
Dating back to 1934, the Lions have been a proud part of the American celebration of Thanksgiving Day. They’ve played 68 games on the national Holiday and take a 33-33-2 record into this year’s contest against Tennessee. Detroit (4-7 ATS) has dropped four straight on the fourth Thursday of November while being outscored by a lopsided 121-50 margin, yet even worse is the fact it has lost 12 in a row and 17 of 18 on Sundays.
Combine the Lions 0-11 start to 2008 with the Titans 10-1 (9-1-1 ATS) mark and the NFL nearly had the setting for the perfect storm at Ford Field. But even if Tennessee enters the stadium under a ladder, breaks a mirror in the locker room and spills the salt during its pre-game turkey meal with extra tryptophan, it should feast on a team that last celebrated a win before the holidays in ‘07. The Titans have won and covered their last seven games on the road.
After losing to the Jets, 34-13, the Titans need a few more wins to wrap up the No. 1 seed in the AFC and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. Now that veteran quarterback Kerry Collins has shown he can win games for Tennessee—like he did in Weeks 10 and 11 in Chicago and Jacksonville—it’s hard to find something to knock. The offense is balanced, the defense is smothering and the special teams are pretty special. The appearance of the Jets loss was New York just wanted it more and was set up to beat them literally at their own game. Tennessee is still a delectable 25-10-2 ATS versus the NFC.
Collins, whose been sacked six times in 310 pass attempts, has only nine touchdowns but five came in the last three games. It took him eight starts to throw for 200 yards in a game, but it’s rarely a necessity with a backfield tandem of LenDale White (11 touchdowns) and Chris Johnson (833 yards, five scores) and a defense allowing 15.0 points per game. Though when the Bears and Jaguars shut the running game down, Collins delivered.
While Tennessee is fully loaded, Detroit has a couple of budding stars capable of turning the franchise around a season or two down the road. Second-year wide receiver Calvin Johnson is developing a knack for big plays but can stand to be more consistent. He’s got six touchdowns in the last seven games and six receptions of at least 40 yards on the year. In addition, rookie running back Kevin Smith has 294 yards in the last three games after totaling 305 in the first eight. If you want an upside, The Lions are 7-0 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last three seasons.
Bookmaker.com has the Lions on the receiving end of 11.5-points with a total of 44. Detroit is on a run for four straight Over’s and is 7-0 OVER after five or more consecutive losses.
Thanksgiving Tasty Angle- Thursday home underdogs of 7.5 or more points are worse than overcooked sweet potatoes at 2-8-1 ATS.
To read about the other two games click here.
Betting College Hoops Non-Conference Action
The college basketball season has started with most teams already having played three or more games. For some sports bettors, the beginning of the college season presents as many challenges and unknowns as making heads or tails of who is going to win a match in the Czech Gambrinus Soccer League between FK Jablonec and AC Sparta Prague.In traditional handicapping of college hoops, you first have to determine the players who have graduated and what they meant to their team, how many points, rebounds, etc. were they good for? Were they a leader, perhaps a defensive stopper? Did the offense revolve around them or did they create the offense themselves? Then you have to take into account the many freshmen, transfers, any change of coaches, injuries, and academic casualties a team has. How difficult was the travel for the visiting team? Is it as easy to travel to and from Valparaiso (wherever that is!) as it is to get to Duke?
The point is the average Joe the Bettor, let alone even many a professional handicapper, just doesn’t have the time to invest the due diligence required to have a good fundamental background on many NCAA basketball teams or leagues. Instead of trying to let you know about the highly touted freshman point guard at SMU who is teaming up with a quality front line, let’s take a look at some basic stuff that doesn’t require tremendous research and hopefully will help you be on the right side of more wagers than not.
There always is the pervasive belief that betting on underdogs is a higher percentage wager than betting on favorites. Well, not in non-conference college hoops overall. Since the beginning of the 2005 season, in over 3600 lined games, the favorite has covered the spread 51.6% of the time. Single-point favs did better than double-digit favorites beating the number in 52.8% of the games. Small favorites from pick’em to -2.5 were best at 53.9%.
Another common belief is to bet on home dogs and you can’t lose. In that same time frame, home teams getting points in non-conference games only cashed a ticket 46.4% of the time. So now that you have the facts, you don’t have to listen to “bookie crusher Bob” or that know-it-all bartender tell you that dogs cover 55% of the time. You can also throw the fact to them that away favorites of 3 to 9.5 points in non-con games since 2005 have topped the point spread at a 55.1% clip.
Okay, is there a way we can improve upon these poor winning percentages? Let’s add a qualifier or two into the equation. How do teams that won their last game and also beat the point spread do in their next match against a non-conference opponent? It is human nature to believe that a team in this situation would be a good bet in their next game. After all, they beat the linesmakers’ expectations, surely they must be a better team than people thought they were, aren’t they?
I’ve stopped using the now-ubiquitous phrase coined by ESPN college football analyst, Lee Corso, ever since a four-year old at my son’s pre-school barked at me “not so fast my friend” when I asked him if it was okay for Jim Jr. to play with his Hot Wheels Turbo Cars. So, just take my word, you should take a closer look before betting on a team off of a win and point-spread cover when they are playing a non-conference game.
The reason for taking a closer look is over the past three years teams put as a home dog in that situation are only 62-92 ATS, 40.3%. And, to tighten the trend down further, if that win and point spread cover came at home, the home dogs are only beating the number 36.8% of the time, 35-60. As a side note, those games are going Under the total 55.9% of the time.
You don’t run across many spots where you can find a blind 62.5% winning record that takes as much brain power to follow as it does to name who is buried in Grant’s Tomb. Well, maybe that is a trick question. Grant is in a mausoleum, and no one is buried in a mausoleum, the bodies are above ground. So let’s just get to the answer: Teams that won and covered the point spread on the road in non-conference action only cover the spread in their next game 37.5% of the time if they are pick’em to a 2.5 point dog. Since the line is so low, regardless if they are home or on the road, the chances are they are playing an equally talented team.
As a general rule of thumb, I like to keep track of how individual conferences do in a gambling perspective during non-conference action. Certain biases exist amongst the public on what conferences are stronger and do well against other conferences. This in turn helps shape the linesmakers’ opinions on where to make the number and where the number actually moves to.
There are some conferences where the results just flatly state what the quality of the conference is. The Ohio Valley Conference is the perfect example. Overall, in non-conference action, the OVC is 92-141 ATS, 39.5%. As an underdog it is slightly worse, 60-100, 37.5%. The not-so-sweet spot for OVC teams is as a 10 to 20.5 dog, 20-45 ATS, 30.8%. The point being, you better have a very good reason to bet on an Ohio Valley Conference team in non-league play unless you don’t mind helping your bookie make his mortgage payment.
Everybody likes the Big 10. The news of the day is you shouldn’t like them as a non-conference away underdog, 33-45, 42.3%. And if the line is pick’em to +2.5, how does 3-14 ATS sound? It’s not much better in that upper-range single digit dog, 5-14, getting 7 to 9.5 points.
How about a conference that does well, as a favorite or a dog, when they are playing out of their own neighborhood? Try the Missouri Valley Conference, 145-108 all non-con games. They actually do better as a favorite, 67-47, 58.8%, than as a dog. The MVC’s sweet spot is at home at pick’em to laying up to 2.5 points, 10-1 ATS since 2005.
And you always have to look at the wacky WAC for something out of the ordinary. Over the past three seasons, the Western Athletic Conference is a sad 46-67 ATS when installed as a home favorite playing teams not from the WAC. It gets worse if they are favored by 3 to 13.5 points, 29-50, 36.7%.
Follow these guidelines listed above and you should improve your winning percentage in college hoops non-conference action. Oh, incidentally, Josef, my friend from the Czech Republic told me to put my money on AC Sparta Prague. However, I don’t know if they won their previous match or how they do out of conference.
Jim Kruger of Vegas Sports Authority fashioned this piece.
Pre-Thanksgiving Wagering Info and Insight
I guess a new coach is all the Washington Wizards needed in order to turn, of course the always stellar Golden State defense contributed, as our best system went down. The best trend baled us out for 1-1 day officially and we have another impressive Top Trend, this one on the ice. Our Top System play takes college basketball bettors to Hawaii, looking at the total and two teams playing one another both qualify for the same system that is 87.5 percent. Good Luck.
Patience can be a virtue if you can wait it out. I mentioned last week about not getting hooked by the hook on key numbers. Yesterday, Ball State was -10.5 and I liked them for a 2* play (see below how to get these plays), but was not going to put myself into position to lose by half point. Instead, I saw the a numbers of handicappers were giving out Western Michigan and waited until about an hour before kickoff to grab a -10. As it turns out I didn’t need it, but it was comforting knowing I had a push instead of loss on the right number.
Free Basketball System-1) PLAY UNDER on neutral court games, involving teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 after scoring 75 points or more two straight games. This system is 28-4, 87.5 percent, including 4-0 this season. As luck would have it, Maui finalists Notre Dame and North Carolina both fit this system.
Free Hockey Trend -2) The San Jose Sharks are 11-1 on the money line at home this season and have defeated Chicago Blackhawks nine in a row.
Free Basketball Selection -3) This play is official, eight LLC members are on Purdue tonight.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Patience can be a virtue if you can wait it out. I mentioned last week about not getting hooked by the hook on key numbers. Yesterday, Ball State was -10.5 and I liked them for a 2* play (see below how to get these plays), but was not going to put myself into position to lose by half point. Instead, I saw the a numbers of handicappers were giving out Western Michigan and waited until about an hour before kickoff to grab a -10. As it turns out I didn’t need it, but it was comforting knowing I had a push instead of loss on the right number.
Free Basketball System-1) PLAY UNDER on neutral court games, involving teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 after scoring 75 points or more two straight games. This system is 28-4, 87.5 percent, including 4-0 this season. As luck would have it, Maui finalists Notre Dame and North Carolina both fit this system.
Free Hockey Trend -2) The San Jose Sharks are 11-1 on the money line at home this season and have defeated Chicago Blackhawks nine in a row.
Free Basketball Selection -3) This play is official, eight LLC members are on Purdue tonight.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Great College Football Rivalries - Part 2
Last week we looked at many of the colorful rivalries that make college football such a rich sport steeped in tradition. This upcoming week will take a further look at several more historic matchups being played this holiday weekend starting Thanksgiving night.On Thursday night, Texas and Texas A&M will hookup for their annual battle. These archrivals have always had a “big brother, little brother” relationship, with the Aggies trying to outdo Texas. Years ago these two schools set up a program that awarded points to every athletic competition, be it men’s or women’s sports, which were totaled at the end of the year and a winner was announced. Texas has won this competition every year. The home team is 5-5, but 8-2 against the spread. Texas is still in the BCS hunt and will be looking to chew up the Aggies like a left over turkey leg.
On Friday, the Egg Bowl rivalry will be renewed as Mississippi State heads over to Oxford to get in on with the Rebels. This match-up is best described as a “family feud” as read in William Barner’s book on the history of the rivalry. Back in the old days, fans would break out into fights before, during and after the games. In 1926, the fighting got so ugly after the first Ole Miss victory in 13 years that officials came up with the concept of the Golden Egg Trophy, awarded to the winner in a formal ceremony each year. It was supposed to cut down on such ugliness, instead the fans just fought outside the stadium as opposed to in it. The Rebels have won four of last six and are 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine contests.
There is no game that has loyalties running deeper than Alabama and Auburn. This is a regionalized affair that is important to every Alabamian. In a state that has had a century-old love affair with college football, this one is about 60 minutes of football determining bragging rights in Alabama for the next 364 days. The losers have only "next year" to cling to because the scores of other games during the season really do not matter. The game is known as the Iron Bowl because its birthplace is in Birmingham, which was built around huge iron ore deposits in the Alabama hill country. What is truly unusual about this historic rivalry is it was not played for 41 years from 1907-1948. The universities had reached an impasse in 1907, with unfair officiating being one of the charges, and neither side could come to an agreement, thus no game was played in that time period. The 1950’s saw Auburn’s Shug Jordan dominate the Crimson Tide, until Paul “Bear” Bryant returned and eventually the series turned to Alabama’s favor. Bryant teams went on to crush the Tigers for years before losing in his final game in the series. Shortly thereafter, “The Bear” announced his retirement and two months later he passed away. The names like Joe Namath, Ken Stabler, Bo Jackson, Shaun Alexander are all part of the lore along with the infamous kicker Van Kiffen, who made what became known as “The Kick” in 1985. Kiffen drilled a 52-yard field goal with just seconds left to give Alabama a 25-23 win. No.1 Alabama hosts this year’s event trying to break a stranglehold Auburn has had with six straight wins (4-2 ATS) under coach Tommy Tuberville, as the Tigers are creeping ever closer to the Tide who own a 38-33-1 all-time edge. Auburn can shatter most of the dreams of #1 Alabama with a seventh triumph. The home team is just 4-9 ATS; with the Tide 5-5 ATS in last 10 and Tigers 9-6 ATS on the road against ranked teams.
A regionalized rivalry known as the “Border War” between Kansas and Missouri will once again have great meaning to the combatants. This will be the second year of two-year agreement to return to the roots of origination and play the game in somewhat neutral Kansas City (19 of the first 20 games were played in Kansas City). The all-time football series has Missouri leading 54-53, with 9 ties. The underdog is 8-5 ATS in the last 13 years. Surprisingly this is the second oldest rivalry in D-1 (FBS), with the winner getting The Indian War Drum.
The “Bedlam Game” will be played in Stillwater this season, when the Oklahoma Sooners arrive. It’s hard to almost call this a rivalry since Oklahoma leads with an all-time record of 78-16-7. Billionaire Boone Pickens is doing his best to change all that, upgrading the facilities in Stillwater to be better then any in the Big 12 and among the best in the country. Unfortunately he can’t buy the Cowboys a new defense that can stop the sizzling Sooners. The home team is 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 fracases.
The battle of Palmetto State is a heated rivalry with origins back to the 1880’s concerning historic tensions regarding their respective charters. The two institutions are separated by just over 125 miles, holding the longest uninterrupted series in the South and the third longest uninterrupted series overall, having been played every year since 1909. The meeting has a strange ritual dating back to early 1900’s and is carried on today. Without going into all the long details, South Carolina and Clemson University bring a made-up symbol about the other and burns it on Friday night before the big encounter. The 2004 game is the most recent contest etched in the minds of the schools and people across the country, when both teams started brawling at the conclusion of Clemson’s 29-7 victory. Each team had won a total of six games that year and were technically bowl eligible. However, both schools elected to forfeit their postseason because of the shameful nature of the fight. This series typifies maybe as much as any the frenzied excitement, with the visitor 15-4 ATS in the last 19 meetings.
Georgia and Georgia Tech can best be explained by book Bill Cromartie penned – Clean, Good Old Fashion Hate. These teams can’t even agree on the number of games they have competed on the gridiron. Georgia Tech’s records show two more then Georgia’s, as the Bulldogs do not acknowledge the games played in 1943-44 since many of there players were in World War II. Georgia has a 21-game edge in the series and under Mark Richt, the Bulldogs have ripped off seven straight. The visitor is 8-2 ATS.
Florida State and Florida is all about protecting the home turf as demonstrated by 15-5 ATS record in which some of the best athletes in college football have played in this battle. Florida has had the better of it in recent years with four consecutive wins and like most years, the outcome has national implications.
The Notre Dame-USC rivalry is regarded as the greatest intersectional series in college football and has been played annually since 1926, except for a brief repose during World War II. The winner of this rivalry game is awarded the coveted Jeweled Shillelagh, a war club adorned with emerald-emblazoned clovers signifying Irish victories and Ruby-emblazoned Trojan warrior heads for Trojan wins. Notre Dame is 3-9 ATS against cross-country rival USC since 1996 and has lost last three games at the L.A. Memorial Coliseum by 82 points.
The Notre Dame-USC rivalry is regarded as the greatest intersectional series in college football and has been played annually since 1926, except for a brief repose during World War II. The winner of this rivalry game is awarded the coveted Jeweled Shillelagh, a war club adorned with emerald-emblazoned clovers signifying Irish victories and Ruby-emblazoned Trojan warrior heads for Trojan wins. Notre Dame is 3-9 ATS against cross-country rival USC since 1996 and has lost last three games at the L.A. Memorial Coliseum by 82 points.
This Tuesday is about Betting Opportunity
A 1-2 Monday leaves a bad taste in the mouth, as Alabama showed a complete lack of courage in the face of adversity in being drubbed by Oregon. I would be real careful playing the Crimson Tide in hoops for the foreseeable future. We think we have the right elixir to cleanse ourselves from yesterday ,with a prefect trend in the NBA and 95.6 percent professional basketball system. The LLC has interesting look at tonight's big college football contest. Good Luck.
Free Basketball System-1) PLAY ON road teams like Golden State. Who are good offensive teams scoring 103 or more points a game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. This system is nearly airtight at 22-1 ATS the last three years.
Free Basketball Trend -2) The New Jersey Nets 0-9 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last two seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) We have a 50-50 split on tonight's Western Michigan-Ball State matchup. It is noted all the Left Coast Connection players with better CFB records are riding the Broncos with the +10.5.
Free Basketball System-1) PLAY ON road teams like Golden State. Who are good offensive teams scoring 103 or more points a game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. This system is nearly airtight at 22-1 ATS the last three years.
Free Basketball Trend -2) The New Jersey Nets 0-9 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last two seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) We have a 50-50 split on tonight's Western Michigan-Ball State matchup. It is noted all the Left Coast Connection players with better CFB records are riding the Broncos with the +10.5.
Monday's Top Wagering info
Never take anything for granted, especially 2-1 days in the NFL. In the NBA on Monday, a very good Top Trend is worth consideration based on shooting. Today’s Best System is 81.5 percent against the spread and this team has never lost outright. Jason from the LLC had a strong weekend in college hoops and has a Best Bet as a Free Play. Good Luck.
Free Basketball System-1) PLAY ON home favorites of 10 or more points like Davidson, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, who won 80 percent or more of their games last season, playing a team who had a losing record last year. This is 22-5 ATS, 81.5 percent and has never lost straight up (27-0), with the winning margin being 27.5 on average.
Free Basketball Trend -2) The Miami Heat are 2-11 ATS in home games after a game where they made 50% of their 3-point shots or better over the last three seasons.
Free Basketball Selection -3) Jason of the Left Coast Connection was 7-1 in college basketball wagering the last three days and is playing Alabama as his best bet.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Free Basketball System-1) PLAY ON home favorites of 10 or more points like Davidson, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, who won 80 percent or more of their games last season, playing a team who had a losing record last year. This is 22-5 ATS, 81.5 percent and has never lost straight up (27-0), with the winning margin being 27.5 on average.
Free Basketball Trend -2) The Miami Heat are 2-11 ATS in home games after a game where they made 50% of their 3-point shots or better over the last three seasons.
Free Basketball Selection -3) Jason of the Left Coast Connection was 7-1 in college basketball wagering the last three days and is playing Alabama as his best bet.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Green Bay Has Covered on the Road
After upending Minnesota in Week 1, Green Bay will try for another win on Monday night at the expense of New Orleans, which dropped a heartbreaker to those same Vikings on a Monday night four weeks later. With the NFC North still wide open, the Packers (5-5, 6-3-1 ATS) have hurt their chances by losing three games by three points or fewer. A classic example is head coach Mike McCarthy’s team dropping a tough overtime contest to Tennessee one week and following that by losing to Minnesota by a point when kicker Mason Crosby missed a long field goal late at the Metrodome.Despite the pressure of taking the reins from Brett Favre, Aaron Rodgers has settled in quite nicely with 2,351 yards, 15 touchdowns and six interceptions in his first season as a starter. Rodgers also has three rushing touchdowns and has thrown touchdown passes to seven different players, including five to receiver Greg Jennings.
Defensively, Green Bay lost a key cog in the linebacker corps when Nick Barnett went down with an ACL injury, leaving the middle linebacker spot to A.J. Hawk, who along with the secondary, have been stellar against the pass, ranking #3 in the NFL, allowing 176.5 yards a game, and shut down Chicago in last week’s 37-3 romp. Needless to say, the secondary will face a stern test from quarterback Drew Brees; however have a couple of angles in their favor. The Pack has covered seven straight in dome surroundings and is 15-5 ATS in road games over the last three seasons.
A 30-20 win over lowly Kansas City saved the season for the New Orleans (6-4 ATS), who improved to 5-5. Unfortunately, capturing the NFC South crown is a pipedream, but head coach Sean Payton’s team feels a red-hot Brees could propel them to a wild-card spot.
When he is not yelling at tight end Jeremy Shockey, Brees has been lighting it up with a league-leading 3,251 passing yards and 18 touchdowns and should easily surpass the 4,423 yards he threw for a year ago. Another reason Brees could accomplish that feat is the return of wideout Marques Colston, who showed encouraging signs by snagging seven balls for 140 yards in the loss to Atlanta in Week 10.
The possible return of Reggie Bush from knee surgery is an added boost to a New Orleans rushing attack that averages only 91 yards a game. Granted, the Saints have been trailing in most games and have resorted to passing more, but power runners like Deuce McAllister (299 yards) and Pierre Thomas (238) have struggled in Bush’s absence. At least this season, the Saints have been marching home to victory more often with 3-1 SU and ATS record.
Bookmaker.com has New Orleans as jovial one-point home favorite, finally playing at the Superdome for the first time since Oct.12. Considering both teams have the ability to score points and have suspect defenses with weak elements, the total of 51.5 seems like a natural to go over, especially with these teams a combined 22-6 OVER after one or more straight victories. Nonetheless, there is a Totals system to consider- Play Under on any team like the Saints where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5, after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games, in weeks 10 through 13. The system is a slick 19-3 since 2004.
Green Bay covers if they protect Rodgers like they did last week against Chicago, not like they did versus Minnesota. If the offensive line blocks well enough for RB Ryan Grant to have success again, this opens up the passing game against Saints secondary that ranks 26th. The pass rush hasn't been as good as it was last season, but the front four has done a good job of deflecting passes at the line of scrimmage, which is important against Brees, who though talented, is mildly vertically challenged. Bat down a few passes to make New Orleans adjust pocket. The Green and Gold is 7-1 ATS in November.
New Orleans covers if they get pressure up the middle, since Rodgers has shown a tendency to hang onto the ball a little too long. The defensive backs have to tackle well and limit the number of gains over 10 yards. Get the running game going, testing what has been a vulnerable front seven for Green Bay. If Reggie Bush is truly ready, see how the Packers linebackers handle him is open areas.
This week’s Monday night system is to play against any road team that plays outdoors versus a home team in a dome. This system is 29-14 ATS, 67.4 percent.
NFL Sunday Betting Material
The system was a let down for Saturday; however sharp Wednesday readers were able to balance those losses with two winners. For Saturday a 2-2 day became a 4-2 week overall in college football. Outstanding work by the Left Coast Connection who nailed Penn State correctly. The Top Trend was winner and goes after another following the G-Men, who return to the desert. The Top System is good stuff at 22-3. Kendall returns with one of the best NFL records you will find anywhere. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON road teams revenging a loss against opponent by 14 points or more, with a winning record on the season. This system is snappy 22-3 ATS, 88 percent and says back New England.
Free Football Trend -2) New York Giants are 12-1 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion percentage of 61 percent or better over the last two seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) We bring back Kendall who cooled from is unreal start in the NFL, he was 2-1 week, bringing his season to date record to 32-14 and he is using Tennessee as his Best Best.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON road teams revenging a loss against opponent by 14 points or more, with a winning record on the season. This system is snappy 22-3 ATS, 88 percent and says back New England.
Free Football Trend -2) New York Giants are 12-1 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion percentage of 61 percent or better over the last two seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) We bring back Kendall who cooled from is unreal start in the NFL, he was 2-1 week, bringing his season to date record to 32-14 and he is using Tennessee as his Best Best.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Sometimes Sports Betting Leaves a Mark
I only lost twenty of the 66 million dollars that went back to the sportsbooks in the officiating debacle that transpired last Sunday afternoon.So I am over it. I have accepted the bad beat and moved on. Besides, it was only twenty bucks.
But for the gentlemen (and women) who had a little more at stake on the outcome of the game - perhaps dinner that night, fuel for an empty gas tank or even next month's rent, I can understand if there is still some animosity lurking.
After all, the call that the officiating crew made at the closing of the Pittsburgh Steelers 11-10 victory over the Chargers shifted the universal balance of winners and losers.
In the waning seconds of the snowy showdown, San Diego desperately attempted to run a hook-and-ladder play but their plans were thwarted when superstar safety Troy Palamalu scooped up a toss and scampered into the endzone for a touchdown. Scoreboard flashes 17-10, teams run off the field. Game over.
Then the infamous referee huddle begins to form on the field. The studious bunch eventually came to the conclusion that there was an illegal forward pass that should have ended the play. The final score was changed back to 11-10 and the game was now officially over.
At this point millions of dollars exchanged hands and the donators felt like they were just robbed at gunpoint. Because they knew the touchdown should have counted, the people on the sidelines knew it should have counted and even the commentators in the booth knew it should have counted.
And eventually head referee Scott Green knew it should have counted. After a barrage of questions from reporters after the game he responded by saying, "We should have let the play go through in the end, yes."
The upheaval was of seismic proportions.
Changing the right call to a wrong one is bad enough. But then coming out and relaying the fact that the call was correct in the first place and it should have been left alone but it was changed anyway just makes it that much more unbearable.
You could hear people across the country screaming that this wasn't the National Football League, it was the National Fixed League!
And to their defense it was easy to trace back through the transpirations of that game and realize why these folks wanted an extensive investigation performed regarding the integrity of the game and the officials.
Before Jeff Reed booted the game-winning field goal, a Steelers touchdown run was called back for offensive holding on receiver Hines Ward. What was fishy about this is that this penalty is rarely called, replays showed it wasn't much of a hold and it was his third holding infraction of the day. Let me just repeat that...it was Hines Ward's THIRD holding penalty of the day. He is a wide receiver, not an offensive lineman.
The other peculiar happenstance, besides the botched called at the end of the game, was the total number of penalties doled out to each team. Pittsburgh witnessed the yellow flag on the field against their favor 13 times (115 yards) while the Chargers were called for an infraction only twice (5 yards). Steelers Head Coach Mike Tomlin was questioned in his postgame interview about the disparity and he replied by saying he had never seen anything like it.
Look, I am not saying the game was fixed. And I don't think anyone can claim without a doubt it was. The matter of fact is that someone has to win and someone has to lose in this wonderful world of gambling. Unfortunately the losers in this outcome suffered an excruciating misfortune.
I have been on the winning side, and I have been on the losing side of these "did that really just happen" types of games. And most of the people who were on the wrong side of this bad beat have probably been on the right side just as many times. It is just something you might have to chalk up to karma.
I have been on the winning side, and I have been on the losing side of these "did that really just happen" types of games. And most of the people who were on the wrong side of this bad beat have probably been on the right side just as many times. It is just something you might have to chalk up to karma.
But this anomaly should not discourage anyone from having a little fun on the weekends and making a few wagers. So get back on the saddle today, peruse the card and see if you can find a winner. May the gambling gods be with you.
I personally don't think the NFL is fixed. Now the NBA...I might need to sit down with Tim Donaghy before making any conclusions on that matter.
Scott Cooley is a free lance writer who drops in and shares his opinions.
Early Line Moves
For the Early Line Moves, we seek out the earliest lines and compare them on late Tuesday nights numbers to see what the so-called Line Movers do. Last week in college football these plays were exceptional 6-2 on the sides and 3-4 in college totals. This makes season record 56-35-1, 61.5 percent on sides and 40-33, 54.7 percent on Totals in CFB. In the NFL, it was not good with 0-1 mark on sides bringing the record to 12-11, 52-1 percent. On the Totals they came back sharp at 3-1, making the updated figure 20-14-1, 58.8 percent. Enjoy reading and closely follow these numbers for wagering portfolio.
College Sides
North Carolina -13 to -11
Rice -7.5 to -9.5
Washington -9.5 to -7
Houston -14 to -16
UNLV -12 to -10
Troy -7 to -9
College Totals
BS/CMU 55.5 to 61 Lost
Marsh/Rice 63.5 to 66
Wash/WSU 53 to 49
Clem/Virg 39 to 42
NFL Sides
Miami +1 to -1
NFL Totals
Cin/Pitt 36.5 to 34.5 Lost
GB/NO 53 to 31.5
College Sides
North Carolina -13 to -11
Rice -7.5 to -9.5
Washington -9.5 to -7
Houston -14 to -16
UNLV -12 to -10
Troy -7 to -9
College Totals
BS/CMU 55.5 to 61 Lost
Marsh/Rice 63.5 to 66
Wash/WSU 53 to 49
Clem/Virg 39 to 42
NFL Sides
Miami +1 to -1
NFL Totals
Cin/Pitt 36.5 to 34.5 Lost
GB/NO 53 to 31.5
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma Wagering Outlook
Their may be encounters that will mean more this weekend to fans of particular teams, but no game will have greater importance on the national scope than this Big 12 battle. Texas Tech can end some the drama by taking down once-beaten Oklahoma and essentially winning the Big 12 South, with just Baylor at home and holding all the tie-breakers. Oklahoma can screw up the Big 12 big time by roughing up the unbeaten Red Raiders and if they win by 10 or more points at Oklahoma State next week, they would probably gather enough support to play in conference championship game, even though Texas had beaten the Sooners and they would have the same 11-1 record.Senior signal caller Graham Harrell has had a special season and as opposed to other Texas Tech quarterbacks under coach Mike Leach, looks to have real NFL ability, needing to add a some weight. Being able to throw to receivers like Michael Crabtree makes his job easier, nonetheless a formerly underrated offensive line allows all the routes to develop and a trio of running backs with different skills makes them go. For the first time in Leach’s nine year tenure, he has a defense that makes stops and can prevent the other team from scoring. The Red Raiders are 5-4 ATS on the road versus ranked teams the last decade.
The Oklahoma offense has been boiling hot. In their last three games, they have averaged 47.3 points per game in the first half! Since losing to Texas, the Sooners offense has gone into another gear led by Sam Bradford and can control its own destiny of sorts. "Our team is in a great position," said Bradford. "We still have a lot of our goals out in front of us." The Oklahoma defense has been quite vulnerable to the pass (95th in the country), yet still ranks ahead of Texas Tech (99th) or Texas (112th) in quarterback controlled conference. The Sooners are 20-12 ATS in home finales at Norman.
Oklahoma is 7-3 ATS against ranked teams and the running game has been the difference for the increase in offensive production. Since netting 48 yards rushing against Texas, a very good Sooners offensive line has opened up holes that Oklahoma running backs have sauntered thru for 250 yards per game. Bob Stoops secondary may be lousy, but he will make sure to keep Harrell busy with a solid pass rush, something neither Oklahoma State nor Texas could do. Boomer Sooner is 7-0 ATS after gaining 6.25 or more yards play in three consecutive games and Texas Tech is 2-10 ATS on the road after out-gaining opposition by 100 or more total yards in three consecutive games.
Besides having to play at Norman, Texas Tech beat Oklahoma 34-27 at Lubbock last season, ending their BCS title hopes and will face a team looking for payback. Do you really think coach Leach is worried? He’s not, after watching Oklahoma surrender over 327 yards passing thru the air against a bunch of average Big 12 teams. A big reason why Oklahoma has look so formidable of late is they have forced 15 turnovers in last four contests, have Harrell be careful passing the pigskin and yards and points should be plentiful. The Red Raiders are well aware of the Sooners prowess in moving the ball on the ground; however Oklahoma is 8-22 ATS after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game.
Bookmaker.com has home-standing Sooners as 7-point favorites with total of 75.5. The total is certainly inviting with the two schools a combined 14-3 OVER this season.
The visiting team is 5-3 ATS, though these encounters have not necessarily been close with the victor having a margin of 10+ points seven of last nine. Set aside four hours of your time if you plan on watching this one on ABC at 8 Eastern.
College Football Game Day Write-Ups
It’s been forever it seems since the fourth Saturday in November wasn’t about the importance of a Michigan-Ohio State conflict, but like you money be safer in your pocket than in a bank, it is true. The Penn State and Michigan State contest has larger implications in the Big Ten to end this season. The “Holy War” is bigger than ever with Utah trying to close the door on perfect season and nab another BCS berth against hated rival BYU. Though Saturday’s meeting will not decide the Big East champion, both Pittsburgh and Cincinnati control their own destiny, with the winner having a huge leg up.Nothing stirs the college football soul of a Midwesterner in late in November like an Ohio State and Michigan matchup. The long history, the true hatred of the two schools for one another arouses the passion of any true college football fan. This year will have an oddly different feel, like nothing in decades. This is Michigan’s bowl game, as they won’t be playing in the post-season for the first time since 1975, having their first eight-loss season in school history (129 years). Click here to continue.
College Football Saturday
A solid 2-1 Friday, which would have been better if I hadn’t picked Ole Miss, I digress. Today’s Top System is a two-fer, with two plays from 27-4 system, both against undefeated teams. We’ve had incredible luck in finding Top Trends that have not lost and we have another for college football wagering today. Normally on Saturday during college football, I give out the Top Pick from the hottest member of the LLC. Today’s very unusual circumstances has me changing directions and for good reason. Good Luck.
By the way, did anybody notice Red Wydley was correct on his 3-team parlay from Friday's blog?
Free Football System-1) PLAY AGAINST favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a road blowout win by 28 points or more, undefeated on the season. This isn’t too hard to figure seeing only a handful of teams remain without a loss. Play against Boise State and Utah, backed with this system that is 27-4 ATS, 87.1 percent the last 16 years.
Free Football Trend -2) The Rice Owls are 13-0 ATS in home games vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes per game.
Free Football Selection -3) An unprecedented 16 bettors from the Left Coast Connection are on Penn State, with five having it as their top play.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
By the way, did anybody notice Red Wydley was correct on his 3-team parlay from Friday's blog?
Free Football System-1) PLAY AGAINST favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a road blowout win by 28 points or more, undefeated on the season. This isn’t too hard to figure seeing only a handful of teams remain without a loss. Play against Boise State and Utah, backed with this system that is 27-4 ATS, 87.1 percent the last 16 years.
Free Football Trend -2) The Rice Owls are 13-0 ATS in home games vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes per game.
Free Football Selection -3) An unprecedented 16 bettors from the Left Coast Connection are on Penn State, with five having it as their top play.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Friday's Best Bets at 3Daily Winners
The Big 10 (11) broke a couple of bad trends for them, much to our dismay. We’ll come back with another perfect angle this time in the NHL. We did have one winner with our top system selection and let’s go for two in a row with a totals play in the NBA, sporting an 18-4 record. I’ll chime in with a personal Free CBB play. Good Luck.
Free Basketball System-1) PLAY OVER on all teams like Golden State, when the total is greater than or equal to 210, after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, in non-conference games. A very spiffy 18-4 ATS, 81.8 percent.
Free Hockey Trend -2) The Florida Panthers are 0-15 against the money line in road games against good teams outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals a game.
Free Basketball Selection -3) Even with a number of games today, nobody has started hot in college or the NBA and the best players from the Left Coast Connection in college football are divided on tonight’s three games. I’ll look to break the tie and take Ole Miss in CBB.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Free Basketball System-1) PLAY OVER on all teams like Golden State, when the total is greater than or equal to 210, after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, in non-conference games. A very spiffy 18-4 ATS, 81.8 percent.
Free Hockey Trend -2) The Florida Panthers are 0-15 against the money line in road games against good teams outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals a game.
Free Basketball Selection -3) Even with a number of games today, nobody has started hot in college or the NBA and the best players from the Left Coast Connection in college football are divided on tonight’s three games. I’ll look to break the tie and take Ole Miss in CBB.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
Ready for 3-Team Parlay?
It’s Friday, many of you won’t be working a week from today unless you are in retail, on the day after Thanksgiving. While you’re either working today or going to class, maybe, just maybe it’s time to step out of character. Everybody preaches, don’t play parlays, you can’t win, only do straight bets, eat your vegetables and wash behind your ears, blah, blah, blah. Hey, we all need to get stupid every now and again and take a chance, feel the rush of the risk, because maybe, just maybe the results could be cool.Tonight we have three lousy college football games, which any sane person wouldn’t touch. That’s where the fun begins. I’m throwing out the idea of three team parlay, but not the usual type, one that gives you the best chance to W I N.
Let’s start in Ohio, where the people are leaving certain cities in that state like a bad marriage. A Miami-Ohio and Toledo game used to mean something in the MAC, today is just means two rotten 2-8 teams are playing their next to last game of the season. The Redhawks defense in the last three games, how should I say this delicately, stinks, in allowing over 40 points an outing. Don’t get me wrong, it’s not like Toledo is a juggernaut, losing four in a row. This is not the time to be handing out points like its pumpkin pie, take Toledo on the money with this system that’s around, play against road underdogs on the money line, off 3 straight losses against conference rivals against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses. Miami is the former and the Rockets the latter and the system is 26-3.
In the other game in Ohio, I guess Bowling Green can still win the MAC East if they beat Buffalo who leads by a game. This division is as congested as L.A. traffic, and reminds of the old George Thorogood song “No Particular Place to Go”. What to do here is take the points, as Buffalo is hotter than a basket of fire sauce wings with four straight wins. What makes me excited about the Bulls (excited might be a little too much) is they have rushed at least 216 yards in last three games and B.G. has turned into ground chuck, being run over for 200 yards in four of last five games. Did you know Buffalo is 14-5 ATS as a road dog? Now that makes two of us. Take Buffalo with the points.
On ESPN2, a meaningless WAC game will be televised with Fresno State taking the ride to San Jose State. Pat (blowhard) Hill who talks tough and has a defense that allows 212.7 yards per game on the ground (110th), will be after a winning record for the season with a seventh win, because they are going to get their you know what handed to them at Boise State next week. San Jose State had a really promising start at 5-2 and they fell apart faster then a reunion tour of Right Said Fred (I’m too Sexy). Spartans blogs and websites report regular starting quarterback Kyle Reed will sit and his backups are stiffs. Don’t count me a Fresno State supporter, but I like at system that wins 81 percent of the time (34-8). Play against a home team vs. the money line after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after out-gaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. Play Fresno State on the money line.
With me still, Toledo and Fresno State on the money line and Buffalo with the points. Why do this as opposed to straight spread bets? Your average parlay payout on a 3-teamer is anywhere from 5 or 6 to one. Problem is hitting all three against the number. With relatively low money lines on favored teams and an underdog who is playing swell, we can still secure a 4 to 1 payout or slightly better and not give away points.
It’s your money; I’m not telling you what to do on a Friday other than have good time. But if you have a little fun money, you would just waste doing something else anyways, take a shot at this; it’s better than buying lottery tickets or trying to bet games on ESPN Classic.
Red Wydley drops in occasionally and shares is wisdom (?) with the masses.
Thursday Nov. 20 - Free Plays and Sobering Lesson
It’s an oddity to report, but all 13 members of the Left Coast Connection got a Push on Ball State’s win last night. Though I consider myself a good handicapper, I’m prone to the occasional lapses in wagering judgment. I liked Central Michigan last night and made the silly mistake of betting them at +6.5. Coming off a key number like seven is, well stupid, unless it works in my favor going to +7.5. Because I’ve done quite well in football overall, I got careless and took a loss that I never should. It’s best to learn from your mistakes, I just did.
We have a very good system working tonight in college basketball, involving in-state rivals which has been correct 81.6 percent since 1997. Our perfect trend was a winner last night and today we have TWO in college hoops, both Big 10 (11) teams. Good Luck.
Free Basketball System-1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Tulsa, in the first five games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4 or more of their last five contests, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season. That’s a lot to digest, what isn’t so hard to comprehend is 27-6 ATS record over the 11 seasons.
Free Basketball Trends -2) Take your pick, the Michigan Wolverines are 0-10 ATS after two consecutive non-conference games and Illinois is 0-9 ATS after a win by 10 points or more.
Free Basketball Selection -3) Most guys are passing on the football tonight and honestly, nobody is killing the NBA to start the year, but four LLC members like the Lakers to cover the spread.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
We have a very good system working tonight in college basketball, involving in-state rivals which has been correct 81.6 percent since 1997. Our perfect trend was a winner last night and today we have TWO in college hoops, both Big 10 (11) teams. Good Luck.
Free Basketball System-1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Tulsa, in the first five games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4 or more of their last five contests, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season. That’s a lot to digest, what isn’t so hard to comprehend is 27-6 ATS record over the 11 seasons.
Free Basketball Trends -2) Take your pick, the Michigan Wolverines are 0-10 ATS after two consecutive non-conference games and Illinois is 0-9 ATS after a win by 10 points or more.
Free Basketball Selection -3) Most guys are passing on the football tonight and honestly, nobody is killing the NBA to start the year, but four LLC members like the Lakers to cover the spread.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
17 Great Reasons to Watch Miami at Georgia Tech
The ACC caught a ton of grief in early September for playing ugly football, as Clemson, Maryland, Virginia Tech and Florida State all lost games they were expected to win. Since that time, the conference has really come around, with 14-2 non-conference record, covering the spread 11 times. For pure enjoyment or agony (depending what side you’re on), Atlantic Coast Conference football as been as entertaining as, hmm, ACC basketball. With that said, here are 17 reasons to watch tonight’s ACC contest.1) You can watch for free at home (as opposed to NFL Network), as Direct TV or an advanced cable package no longer makes sense in today’s economy, besides the beers cheaper at home too.
2) Even if going to local watering hole is not a problem, do you really want to spend money when it’s Cincinnati at Pittsburgh?
3) Miami-Florida is in first place in the ACC Coastal Division and can all but wrap up title under second year coach Randy Shannon.
4) You played the Hurricanes and just found out they are 0-6 ATS in road games after allowing 17 points or less in two straight games.
5) You Googled “The U” and found out they only have 15,000 students located in beautiful Coral Gables and wanted to watch the game thinking about be 19 again and attending a university with so many of perks.
6) Being a fan of option football, like many you wonder how Georgia Tech players could figure out how to run their offense, while Michigan still doesn’t have clue.
7) It’s a lot easier to be nervous holding a Georgia Tech -3.5 betting ticket, now backed with the knowledge of the Yellow Jackets being 4-14 against the spread in last home game.
8) Having not seen the Georgia Tech play this year, curiosity is piqued that a team ranked eighth in the country rushing the ball at 250.7 yards per game, turns the ball over more often than a fifth grade basketball team.
9) You are known for asking A LOT of questions and you want to know why they drive a gold and black car onto the field of Georgia Tech games, when they are known as the Yellow Jackets. (Answer- Its origins are in the late 19th century and it was used originally to refer to the makeshift motorized vehicles constructed by Georgia Tech engineers employed in projects in the jungles of South America. The Wrecks were constructed from whatever the engineers could find—mostly old tractor and automotive parts—and were kept running by the engineers' ingenuity and creativity. Other workers in the area began to refer to these vehicles and the men who drove them as "Rambling Wrecks from Georgia Tech.” Thanks Wikipedia)
10) Georgia Tech is 5-1 SU and ATS against Miami.
11) To see how close Chris Fowler comes to laughing when Craig James says or does something whacked.
12) Miami came into this season 3-8 ATS off a win, this year they are 3-1-1 against the number.
13) The public has pushed the total up to 40.5 at Bookmaker.com and other wagering outlets, yet you bought the Platinum Sheet and read the average score between these two schools is 36 points, including bowl matchups.(Know-it-alls will point to those games were not played by current players)
14) Georgia Tech is 9-21 ATS off a bye week.
15) The ‘Canes defense is ranked ninth in total defense, can they stop the Yellow Jackets running game?
16) Miami has won last 11 consecutive Thursday night games, yet is just 4-7 ATS.
17) This beats Thursday Thunder on TNT any time.
11) To see how close Chris Fowler comes to laughing when Craig James says or does something whacked.
12) Miami came into this season 3-8 ATS off a win, this year they are 3-1-1 against the number.
13) The public has pushed the total up to 40.5 at Bookmaker.com and other wagering outlets, yet you bought the Platinum Sheet and read the average score between these two schools is 36 points, including bowl matchups.(Know-it-alls will point to those games were not played by current players)
14) Georgia Tech is 9-21 ATS off a bye week.
15) The ‘Canes defense is ranked ninth in total defense, can they stop the Yellow Jackets running game?
16) Miami has won last 11 consecutive Thursday night games, yet is just 4-7 ATS.
17) This beats Thursday Thunder on TNT any time.
Double Digit NFL Dogs are Dastardly
Aside from the day of the week this game is being played, will anything be different from the first meeting between the Bengals and Steelers? Not unless Carson Palmer makes a miraculous recovery and suddenly starts at quarterback for Cincinnati having the same abilities as he possessed in 2005, the Bengals last trip to the postseason. He missed the Oct. 19 meeting when the Steelers crushed Cincinnati 38-10 at Paul Brown Stadium. On that day, the defense led by James Harrison, LaMarr Woodley and Lawrence Timmons met at Ryan Fitzpatrick’s helmet, sacking him seven times, along with numerous other “welcome” hits, as Palmer started nursing a sore right elbow.Willie Parker Pittsburgh should be a go unless his shoulder and/or knee received a failing grade following last Sunday’s 11-10 victory over San Diego at Heinz Field. He chipped in with 115 yards on 25 carries, while Mewelde Moore remained involved in the offense with five catches for 33 yards. Even though Parker won’t practice full-tilt in the days leading up to this game, Cincinnati’s steadily improving defense still won’t be too pleased to see him. Prior to missing Week 6, Parker had 682 yards and six touchdowns in the previous six meetings between these teams. A year ago he totaled 213 yards and one score as the Steelers swept the annual series they now lead 47-30 all-time. Food for thought is the home team is 2-11 ATS in this division rivalry.
Besides failing to protect Fitzpatrick in the first meeting, the Bengals couldn’t sustain drives. They were 4-for-16 on third-down conversions and Fitzpatrick averaged only 7.8 yards per completion. His longest pass went for just 19 yards to wide receiver T.J. Houshmandzadeh, who has been his usual steady self with at least seven receptions in five straight games, including 12 in last week’s 13-13 tie with Philadelphia. Cincinnati is actually known in betting circles for playing well right now with 20-8 ATS record in road games in weeks 10 through 13.
Bookmaker.com has Pittsburgh as 11-point favorites, not a number you often seen on the board for football. It is interesting to note double digit favorites are 1-17 against the spread this year, with the Bengals having nabbed a pair of those wins. The total opened at 36.5 at many sportsbooks and has fallen to 34 during the week. Could it have anything to do with Cincy averaging 13.8 points a game and the Steelers being 90-17 ATS when they allow 14 or less points?
The Cincinnati defense has shown improvement of late, being more physical and aggressive, however that has been at home, on the road they have given up 27 points per game. The Bengals are 3-18 ATS away when facing a team with a .700 SU record or higher and that figure is sure to stay in the negative unless they can find a way to protect Fitzpatrick, since any life insurance company won’t touch him as many hits as he has been taking.
Pittsburgh needs to take the “park” out of Willie Parker and let him roam. After missing five games, Parker’s legs will be fresher than Charlize Theron on the red carpet, up against players that have 10 hard-hitting contests under their belts. The Steelers need to be mentally prepared on a short week against inferior opponent, even if they are in same division, as they are sporting 5-15 ATS mark as a favorite of 10 or more points, with average margin of victory under eight.
The always popular (?) NFL Network will have this Thursday night telecast starting at 8:15 Eastern and hopefully they have the sound mechanics solved, so it doesn’t sound like your listening to a local high school broadcast. Thursday road teams that were an underdog in last game are 5-19 ATS.
College Football Biggest Rivalries – Part 1
One of the many great aspects of college football is the end of the season when the most bitter of rivalries get together to renew those emotions from the past. This is the game that mostly involves in-state or neighboring state universities that stir the emotion of every player and alumni alike. Because of proximity, many fans either attended these schools or were cultured by their parents to develop an affiliation with the beloved institution of hirer learning. The passion runs deep in these situations and this becomes an emotional encounter that is a tipping point, often for one calendar year when the next game is played and the drama unfolds all over again.ESPN in recent years did a study with fan participation about what is the greatest rivalry in sports. The winner was the Ohio State-Michigan game, which has tremendous importance on a national scale.
Virtually every year the Ohio State-Michigan game has an impact on the national landscape, the Big Ten Conference championship, which lead to who plays in the Rose Bowl, except for recent BCS history. Like most great rivalries, the hate for the other school and team is genuine. A Michigan hat or T-shirt in Columbus is as welcome as bubonic plague, with the same being true of Buckeye gear in Ann Arbor. Considering these two Big Ten teams meet the last game of the regular season, it is nothing short of remarkable that at least one team has been unbeaten an amazing 22 times.
The level of play has been as good as any series played in college football. Starting with the days of Woody Hayes and Bo Schembechler in 1969, at least one team has been ranked in every year but 1987, covering 41 years. The series had a few games of importance throughout the decades; however it heated up in earnest when former Ohio State assistant Schembechler became the Michigan coach. The games played between these two fiery and combative coaches are the stuff of legend in college football annals, each defining the man. There meetings were referred to as the “Ten Year War”. Each coach took his team to the Rose Bowl five times. Hayes went 1-4, Schembechler went 0-5, and neither record should come as a surprise. After coaching against each other, they and their teams were spent. Hayes to his dying day said the best team he ever coached was the 1969 squad. They were number one, 8-0 having allowed only 69 points. Ohio State hadn't scored fewer than 34 points in any game, and had scored more than 60 twice. But first year Michigan coach Bo Schembechler had played and coached under Woody and made it his obsession to defeat the man he respected. Ohio State players would say then and years later, it was as if Michigan had there playbook and were in the huddle for every call, because they were perfectly positioned for every offensive play and knew what plays to call against the best defense in the country. Michigan pulled the upset at home 24-12 and the war began.
When something is this big and important it shapes people’s lives. John Cooper had one of the most successful runs as coach in Ohio State history; unfortunately his legacy is he was 2-10-1 against the hated Wolverines. The man that was sought out to replace Cooper was Jim Tressel, who had built his reputation at Youngstown State, capturing four national champions and playing for two others. Upon being hired he endeared himself to the Columbus faithful by saying his first priority was beating Michigan. He has kept is word and is 6-1 against Michigan, covering the spread five times.
As sports wagering has come more into the mainstream existence over the years, this contest has annually drawn huge amounts of money on both sides. With two strong population bases, it easy to understand why this game would have a large following of bets placed. In years prior, before internet gambling was available as a consumer choice, except for Las Vegas, all the action was localized to bookies. Depending on the state or city it was not unusual for the actual line to be off 3-4 points in either direction, as the Buckeye and Wolverine faithful were loading up in support of their beloved team. Though this season has been nothing short of a disaster in Michigan with 3-8 record, a good chunk of the ill-will new coach Rich Rodriguez has brought upon himself can be erased by upsetting the Buckeyes.
In the past 15 seasons, the favorite is 11-4 and 10-5 ATS. The home team has enjoyed similar success in winning and is 9-6 against the oddsmakers.
In 1970 a local judge in Columbus dismissed a charge of obscenity against a defendant arrested for wearing a T-shirt that said, "F--- Michigan" because the message "accurately expressed" local feelings about the university and the state.
While this game will still draw oodles of attention, there are others that have great significance in regional pockets.
Of great significance is this year BYU and Utah conflict, known as the “Holy War”. The term Holy War, rather than denoting a war between religions, refers to the intensity of the competitors. A win by Utes might mean a return to the Holy Grail, a BCS bowl bid for completing a 12-0 season. Besides the fierceness of the battle, these conflicts are annually close. Only once in the last 11 years has a game been decided by more than a touchdown, which was Utah’s last unbeaten season in 2004. The underdog is an amazing 13-2 against the number.
Out West, Washington and Washington State have been meeting as cross-state rivals since 1900. Their have been a few interruptions over the years, however the 101st meeting might be marked in infamy for how dreadful each team actually is. It’s not every year two of the worst teams in college football matchup and it’s a rivalry game. Washington State is the only team to post a win, beating FCS Portland State. In 1962 this matchup became known as the “Apple Cup” game, with the state well known for producing those tasty treats. The visitor is 5-1 ATS in the last six contests, with Washington leading 64-30-6 all-time, in what can only be described as the Rotten Apple Cup in 2008.
The Stanford- Cal matchup is known as the “Big Game” in the Bay Area and in true fashion with these eccentric universities, the first meeting was held March 19, 1892 (not exactly football season) at San Francisco's Haight Street grounds with Stanford emerging victorious 14-10. They play for the Stanford Axe, with the Cardinal leading the series 55-44-11. With You Tube, this rivalry will live on for generations, being able to view “The Play”, in which four Cal players lateraled the ball five times on a kickoff return with four seconds left on the clock and Kevin Moen (who was the first and last ball carrier) ran through the Stanford band to the most improbable win ever. The Bears are the home team this season, with the visitor 12-4 ATS since 1992. One of the many great aspects of college football is the end of the season when the most bitter of rivalries get together to renew those emotions from the past. This is the game that mostly involves in-state or neighboring state universities that stir the emotion of every player and alumni alike. Because of proximity, many fans either attended these schools or were cultured by their parents to develop an affiliation with the beloved institution of hirer learning. The passion runs deep in these situations and this becomes an emotional encounter that is a tipping point, often for one calendar year when the next game is played and the drama unfolds all over again.
While this game will still draw oodles of attention, there are others that have great significance in regional pockets.
Of great significance is this year BYU and Utah conflict, known as the “Holy War”. The term Holy War, rather than denoting a war between religions, refers to the intensity of the competitors. A win by Utes might mean a return to the Holy Grail, a BCS bowl bid for completing a 12-0 season. Besides the fierceness of the battle, these conflicts are annually close. Only once in the last 11 years has a game been decided by more than a touchdown, which was Utah’s last unbeaten season in 2004. The underdog is an amazing 13-2 against the number.
Out West, Washington and Washington State have been meeting as cross-state rivals since 1900. Their have been a few interruptions over the years, however the 101st meeting might be marked in infamy for how dreadful each team actually is. It’s not every year two of the worst teams in college football matchup and it’s a rivalry game. Washington State is the only team to post a win, beating FCS Portland State. In 1962 this matchup became known as the “Apple Cup” game, with the state well known for producing those tasty treats. The visitor is 5-1 ATS in the last six contests, with Washington leading 64-30-6 all-time, in what can only be described as the Rotten Apple Cup in 2008.
The Stanford- Cal matchup is known as the “Big Game” in the Bay Area and in true fashion with these eccentric universities, the first meeting was held March 19, 1892 (not exactly football season) at San Francisco's Haight Street grounds with Stanford emerging victorious 14-10. They play for the Stanford Axe, with the Cardinal leading the series 55-44-11. With You Tube, this rivalry will live on for generations, being able to view “The Play”, in which four Cal players lateraled the ball five times on a kickoff return with four seconds left on the clock and Kevin Moen (who was the first and last ball carrier) ran through the Stanford band to the most improbable win ever. The Bears are the home team this season, with the visitor 12-4 ATS since 1992. One of the many great aspects of college football is the end of the season when the most bitter of rivalries get together to renew those emotions from the past. This is the game that mostly involves in-state or neighboring state universities that stir the emotion of every player and alumni alike. Because of proximity, many fans either attended these schools or were cultured by their parents to develop an affiliation with the beloved institution of hirer learning. The passion runs deep in these situations and this becomes an emotional encounter that is a tipping point, often for one calendar year when the next game is played and the drama unfolds all over again.
Wednesday Betting Information
A peculiar 1-1-1 day as Tennessee pushed at home with line moving up to -27. I was pleased to be on Florida State and escaped by a single point. The Washington Generals couldn’t beat the Harlem Globetrotters, sorry Miami Heat as expected. We have a perfect Trend loaded for reasoning in the NBA this evening. No great systems available today, thus will look to college football on Saturday with TWO plays out an 81.8 percent system. Also, the LCC checks in on tonight's important college football game.Good Luck.
Updating 3Daily Winners at monitors.
Free Sports Monitor #1 NFL
Free Sports Monitor #2 CBB
The Sports Eye #3 NFL
The Sports Eye #5 CFB
The Sports Eye #1 NHL (Free Plays)
Cappers Watchdog #7 NFL (Win percentage - Min.20 plays)
Cappers Watchdog #2 NHL (Win percentage)
Free Football System-1) Play Against road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points after having won three out of their last four games against opponent after having won six or seven out of their last eight games. This college football system is 27-6 ATS, 81.8 percent. There are two Play Against teams the fit, Air Force and Michigan State.
Free Basketball Trend -2) UTAH is 11-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover three of their last four against the spread over the last two seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) The Left Coast Connection has tonight's big MAC game this way - Central Michigan 10 members, Ball State minus the points 3 members.
Updating 3Daily Winners at monitors.
Free Sports Monitor #1 NFL
Free Sports Monitor #2 CBB
The Sports Eye #3 NFL
The Sports Eye #5 CFB
The Sports Eye #1 NHL (Free Plays)
Cappers Watchdog #7 NFL (Win percentage - Min.20 plays)
Cappers Watchdog #2 NHL (Win percentage)
Free Football System-1) Play Against road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points after having won three out of their last four games against opponent after having won six or seven out of their last eight games. This college football system is 27-6 ATS, 81.8 percent. There are two Play Against teams the fit, Air Force and Michigan State.
Free Basketball Trend -2) UTAH is 11-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover three of their last four against the spread over the last two seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) The Left Coast Connection has tonight's big MAC game this way - Central Michigan 10 members, Ball State minus the points 3 members.
Tuesday Wagering Options
Yesterday’s 2-1 record makes 3Daily Winners 7-2 the last three days, which is nice to see. We are not expecting these types of results all the time, especially with basketball coming more into focus, creating more volatility. All we ask is be patient, take it one day at a time and as we have shown the results will be there. The highly ranked Tennessee Vols are very difficult to beat at home as you can see in today’s Top Trend. Our Top System will summon strength from a lower region to play this NBA team, yet impossible to say a 95.2 percent play is a bad idea. Free Plays nothing special, with strong opinion offered. Good Luck.
Free Basketball System-1) PLAY ON any team like the Washington (Generals) Wizards after going under the total by more than six points in three consecutive games, who have a winning percentage of 25 percent or less on the season. This system is sumptuous 20-1 ATS. Holy _ _ _ _!
Free Basketball Trend -2) The Tennessee Vols are 16-2 ATS in home games after one or more consecutive wins over the last 2+ seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) Nobody is too crazy about tonight's card in any sports. Only six guys from the Left Coast Connection are betting NIU and Kent State, with the Huskies a 4-2 choice. A few like the Indiana Pacers in the NBA and the college basketball plays are all over the board. Myself, I like Florida State because they were favored by 17.5 at home to LaSalle last season and with both teams having similar players back, the Noles are just a three point play on the road, with typical swing about eight points.
Free Basketball System-1) PLAY ON any team like the Washington (Generals) Wizards after going under the total by more than six points in three consecutive games, who have a winning percentage of 25 percent or less on the season. This system is sumptuous 20-1 ATS. Holy _ _ _ _!
Free Basketball Trend -2) The Tennessee Vols are 16-2 ATS in home games after one or more consecutive wins over the last 2+ seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) Nobody is too crazy about tonight's card in any sports. Only six guys from the Left Coast Connection are betting NIU and Kent State, with the Huskies a 4-2 choice. A few like the Indiana Pacers in the NBA and the college basketball plays are all over the board. Myself, I like Florida State because they were favored by 17.5 at home to LaSalle last season and with both teams having similar players back, the Noles are just a three point play on the road, with typical swing about eight points.
Monday Nov. 17 Betting Info
Another solid winning day Sunday with 2-1 record (5-1 the last two days) and we turn out attention to college basketball wagering with a System that is 80 percent the last few seasons and is based on solid principles. Those with the Versus Network on your cable system can watch how tonight’s Top Trend play out. Good Luck.
Free Basketball System-1) PLAY ON favorites of 10 or more points like Boston College against a marginal losing team from last season like Loyola-MD, who won 40-49 percent of their games, with four starters returning from last season. This hoops system is 20-5 ATS, 80 percent since 2006.
Free Hockey Trend -2) The Toronto Maple Leafs are 1-7 against the money line off back to back road games.
Free Football Selection -3) The Left Coast Connection has 10 for Buffalo, 3 for Cleveland and 17 for the Under. One member called me today and said he has quality information that says Central Michigan is strong play in CBB tonight. Let's see what happens.
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Free Basketball System-1) PLAY ON favorites of 10 or more points like Boston College against a marginal losing team from last season like Loyola-MD, who won 40-49 percent of their games, with four starters returning from last season. This hoops system is 20-5 ATS, 80 percent since 2006.
Free Hockey Trend -2) The Toronto Maple Leafs are 1-7 against the money line off back to back road games.
Free Football Selection -3) The Left Coast Connection has 10 for Buffalo, 3 for Cleveland and 17 for the Under. One member called me today and said he has quality information that says Central Michigan is strong play in CBB tonight. Let's see what happens.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
MNF in Buffalo has Two Quarterbacks who can wing it
As far as Mr. Quinn’s long anticipated first game at quarterback in the NFL, Brady earned an ‘A’ for the Browns last Thursday night but the rest of the bunch got a failing grade as Cleveland (3-6, 5-4 ATS) slipped further out of playoff contention with a crippling 34-30 loss to visiting Denver.The Browns second collapse in five days was no fault of Quinn, who completed 23 of 35 passes for 239 yards and two touchdowns and no turnovers. Both scoring tosses went to tight end Kellen Winslow, who had 11 catches for 111 yards. Cleveland also had a season-high 160 yards rushing; however, its defense was torched by Jay Cutler and allowed 564 total yards—the second-most produced in Broncos history. Cleveland is 10-2 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game over the last three seasons.
Barring injury, there’s no turning back for the Browns. Quinn’s the starter; Derek Anderson’s the backup and likely trade bait during the off-season. Sooner or later it had to happen, and the last straw came in Week 9 against Baltimore when Anderson threw an ill-advised, game-sealing interception that Terrell Suggs brought back for a touchdown.
In Buffalo, Quinn will face a defense that’s allowed only eight passing touchdowns in nine games. But the Bills, 5-4 (4-5 ATS) after last week’s 20-10 loss at New England and mired in a three-game funk, are having trouble getting to the quarterback (14 sacks) and forcing turnovers (12). The Bills are 14-2 ATS after playing the Patriots.
Buffalo has only one win and cover since September and they’ve cracked 20 points just once during the same span. Many fans in Buffalo are lobbying for more carries for running back Marshawn Lynch, who has yet to surpass 100 yards in a game in 2008 after doing so three times in 13 starts as a rookie. However, he does have six touchdowns for a team that 11-1 in November as home favorite versus a non-division team.
Last year’s meeting between these teams was a classic old school viewing. Played in a blizzard in Cleveland, the Browns won 8-0 on two Phil Dawson field goals and a safety. Winds gusted to 40 miles per hour, and Anderson and Trent Edwards combined to complete 22 of 57 passes (38.6 percent) but neither turned the ball over. The victory gave the Browns an 8-5 lead in the all-time regular-season series.
Bookmaker.com has Buffalo as five-point favorite with a total of 41.5. The Bills are 8-1 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record the last two years. A sharp contrast in totals trends is noted for this Monday night affair. Cleveland is 8-1 OVER after allowing 30 points or more last game and coach Dick Jauron’s squad is 6-0 UNDER after two or more consecutive losses against the spread since 2006.
Cleveland covers if they change up a little more this week, being more aggressive in setting up passing game with Quinn and letting Jamal Lewis pound away up the gut later in the game. The former Fighting Irish star showed good poise in throwing short and medium routes and should take shots deep to Braylon (concrete hands) Edwards. Defensive coordinator Mel Tucker has to be wiser to not expose his cornerbacks like last week, since they lack confidence and can be beaten. The Browns are 22-11 ATS after one or more consecutive spread losses.
Buffalo covers by playing the right opponent at the right time. The Bills have rushed for a sliver over 80 yards in losing four of five. The Browns surrender 145 yards on the ground, making this the right moment for Buffalo to get running game back in order. It’s becoming more obvious Trent Edwards, like most quarterbacks does better with good ground attack and is not nearly as comfortable having to play passer all game. Run the pigskin against weak Cleveland run defense and throw shorter passes to rebuild Edwards confidence. Can Quinn chuck the ball around the gridiron, find out be taking away the Browns running game. The Bills are 19-7 ATS in home games in weeks 10 through 13 at Ralph Wilson Stadium.
This week’s Monday night system is to Play Against any road underdog that has failed to cover the spread in last two games. This means voting against the Browns, with this system 20-8 ATS, 71.4 percent and racking up earlier win against Denver when they lost to New England 41-7.
WILD, WILD NFL
WildCat. WildHog. WildThing.Call it anything you want, but some form of the WildWhatever offense has stampeded onto a playing field near you.
This latest NFL trend is confusing the defenses and entertaining the masses. The unorthodox offensive scheme, referred to by most as the WildCat offense or formation, is somewhat of a rarity to catch with only 10 to 15 of these plays being called in a given week.
I don't know the exact position terminology and it would probably get confusing so I'm just going to breakdown this formation with simplicity. A skill player such as a running back or wide receiver lines up in shotgun formation. A second skill player player is positioned to that player's right or left. Once the ball is snapped to the player directly behind center he has three options. Run the ball, hand the ball off to his teammate or throw the ball.
You may have seen a version of this offense in college football called the spread offense. The same principles are applied here except that the quarterback is taken out of the backfield. On some occasions the quarterback is positioned as a wideout and in others he's watching from the sidelines.
The primary advantage of utilizing this formation is that instead of playing with 10 offensive players versus 11 defensive players when the quarterback is on the field, the offense can operate on an even level with 11 on 11 in personnel terms. The element of surprise is also an edge as the defense has to be on its toes when this formation is presented.
The Miami Dolphins unleashed this ground-borne virus that is spreading throughout the league against New England in Week 3 of the season. They absolutely ran all over the Pats, combining backs Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams to create 216 yards of offense and parlaying that success into a 38-13 victory. In Week 5 they made mincemeat of the San Diego Chargers, shredding them for 167 yards on 12 WildCat carries.
Bill Parcell's freshest Frankenstein is logging the most attempts of the Wildcat offense. Miami is averaging about five per game since its introduction and it has proved to be prolific - yielding eight of their 23 offensive touchdowns. And they are showing no signs of slowing down the game plan either. The 'Phins ran it on eight instances last week versus Seattle and six times in Sunday's defensive bout against Oakland.
Speaking of the Raiders, even with their porous offense they are able to get in on the fun and roll out the WildCat offense. After all, super-talented back Darren McFadden is no stranger to the atypical run game having executed a version of it when playing at Arkansas under head coach Houston Nutt. He and current Dallas Cowboys player Felix Jones used to make opposing defenses look clueless as they racked up hundreds of yards on the ground.
The Arkansas Razorbacks called it the WildHog in honor of their mascot. Nutt has since moved on to Ole Miss where they run a variation of the offense and have given it the moniker WildRebel.
The naming origins of this unique offensive explosion have been interesting to say the least. It is rumored that the Dolphins' labeling of the formation came from the Wildcats of West Genesee High School where Miami assistant coach Steve Bush once worked.
Last Monday against the 49ers Anquan Boldin became the first wide receiver to take a direct snap. Ken Wisenhunt and the Arizona Cardinals call this the Pahokee formation which was Boldin's hometown and high school in Florida.
Tonight we may see the Cleveland Browns bust out the Flash formation with Josh Cribbs taking the ball from center like he did last Thursday against the Broncos. Cribbs' alma mater is the Kent State Golden Flashes.
While the WildCat offense has been very productive, there have to be some problems with it or every team would use it, right? Maybe the availability and reliability of a skill player who can handle a snap and read a defense quickly poses a hindrance for some teams.
Or in the case of a wide receiver taking the snap, maybe some teams don't want their franchise player getting blown up by guys like Ray Lewis. I realize that Anquan Boldin is a big, physical receiver but he is not invincible. And what about the quarterback being used downfield as a blocker? You can bet defenses will be licking their chops to take a shot.
But there is no doubt teams are taking notice and are doing some experimenting. I don't have the luxury of the Elias Sports Bureau at my fingertips to check the stats but from my count a total of nine teams (Buccaneers, Jaguars, Falcons, Cardinals, Raiders, Dolphins, Jets, Browns, 49ers) have run some form of the WildCat offense.
It seems that better defenses will prevail against it, but will some mastermind come up with a way to completely shut down the WildCat offense?
I sure hope not. I hope it sticks around forever. It makes the running game more exciting and improves the overall entertainment of the game.
Scott Cooley offers his perspective as freelance writer and friend of 3Daily Winners.
NFL Sunday Betting Options
An awesome 3-0 college football betting Saturday and 4-0 if you used Wednesday’s trend play on Alabama as an Under selection. Let’s try and follow this up with another great day, starting with a NFL System that is 12-1 the last few years and back that up with a perfect Trend. Slick Rick was 4-0 in college football yesterday and has it 13 in a row in amateur football, we’ll let him take a swing at the NFL today. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON road favorites who are good rushing team averaging 125-150 YPG against an average rushing defense who allows 95-125 YPG after the halfway point of the season. Since 2006, this system is 12-1 ATS, 92.3 percent; with the average margin of victory a whopping 12.1 points. Who would be this outstanding play today, none other than the Tennessee Titans.
Free Football Trend -2) The Denver Broncos are 0-12 ATS after gaining six or more yards a play in their previous game over the last two seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) Slick Rick is riding Tampa Bay as his best play.
Yesterday in this very spot it was mentioned about a system being followed in playing totals. For the week in college football ended up 3-1 and is 60.7 percent for the season. The same system is available in the NFL and is 9-2-1 on the year. Just one play, Cincinnati and Under today.
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Free Football System-1) PLAY ON road favorites who are good rushing team averaging 125-150 YPG against an average rushing defense who allows 95-125 YPG after the halfway point of the season. Since 2006, this system is 12-1 ATS, 92.3 percent; with the average margin of victory a whopping 12.1 points. Who would be this outstanding play today, none other than the Tennessee Titans.
Free Football Trend -2) The Denver Broncos are 0-12 ATS after gaining six or more yards a play in their previous game over the last two seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) Slick Rick is riding Tampa Bay as his best play.
Yesterday in this very spot it was mentioned about a system being followed in playing totals. For the week in college football ended up 3-1 and is 60.7 percent for the season. The same system is available in the NFL and is 9-2-1 on the year. Just one play, Cincinnati and Under today.
Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.
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