Looking in Rearview Mirror in Betting Football

For college football bettors who prefer to play favorites, this past week should have been a very good week for you, as the chalk had its best week since the opening of the season with 32-20 ATS mark. This led to another dismal week for home underdogs who were 8-12 ATS, making the three week total a stock market-like 19-37-3 against the spread. If you’re looking for value, some of the very best is in the SEC. Southeastern Conference road teams are fairly decent 13-12, but shine like a bright red Mustang convertible with 17-5-2 ATS record.

After a fantastic start, Bret Bielema has a half-barrel size problem on his hands at Wisconsin. After being given they keys to the Badgers program by his predecessor and boss Barry Alvarez, Bielema started 17-1 and 10-5-1 ATS. Since losing at Illinois last season, Wisconsin is 7-8 and 5-10 against the spread. Two things worth noting about this, since Bielema was hand-picked all but the senior class are his recruits, leaving one to ponder about the direction of this program. After the Badgers fell behind 28-9 to Iowa, it was evident the players had quit, realizing a fourth straight loss was coming. That might be the largest indictment against Bielema and they are on play against list until further notice.

The exact opposite situation is on the UCLA campus. Coach Rick Neuheisel inherited a team lacking talent and had been stripped dramatically by injuries. The Tennessee win was an exciting way to start, however being blasted by BYU 59-0 and Arizona 31-10 at home, brought home the harsh realities about the true talent of this squad. The former Bruin quarterback was not going to let this team feel sorry for itself. He’s pushed, prodded, scolded and praised this team and they hung with more talented Fresno State and Oregon teams and somehow pulled out a last seconds win against Stanford. The win versus Stanford was the 19th time in Slick Rick’s coaching career, his team had come from behind to win in the fourth quarter. Including the Washington State victory, this Wizard of Westwood has his team on a four-game cover streak.

Few people have a lower opinion of Dave Wannstedt as a coach than I do. It has amazed me how often this guy lands on his feet, in spite of being nothing but a very good defensive coordinator. Now in his fourth season at his alma mater Pittsburgh, he had done nothing to endure himself with the alumni with a 16-19 and 16-16 ATS record coming into the season. A 27-17 home opening loss to Bowling Green as 13.5-point favorites left many wondering if a buyout of Wanny’s contract was in order. Yet like a Robert Downey Jr. career resurrection, coach Wannstedt’s Panthers have won five in a row, the last two on the road at South Florida and Navy. Pitt is playing much like the coach himself, tough and physical. In an extremely weak Big East Conference, Pittsburgh is the favorite, as long as they don’t stumble. I know as soon as I pull out a dime to wager on Pitt they will lose; however it might make more sense for others to consider this team.

Really looking forward to Oklahoma State – Texas matchup. Colt McCoy and the Longhorns are playing with incredible confidence and the defense is really coming along. Oklahoma State went through the pastry section in the first part of their season, yet the win at Missouri was over-powering and many handicappers had Baylor with the points expecting Cowboys letdown. Okie State gave a workman-like effort in beating the Bears 34-6, covering the spread handily. Kudos to coach Mike Gundy and his defensive coordinator, moving DE Derek Burton inside and setting up his other defensive ends and blitzing linebackers to create more pressure on the quarterback. This week at Austin will show how far they have come, having lost 10 in a row at Austin, with last win coming in 1944.

Quick notes- Arizona could be the last team to challenge USC and are home in Tucson this week. Not saying this will happen, but if Oregon State wins out, they are Pac-10 champs.

If you can get a halftime wager on Alabama you might want to. The Crimson Tide has outscored the last three opponents by 69-3 in the first 30 minutes. In the second half, Bama has been outscored 61-13, signs of a talented, but young team.

Of the four unbeaten non-BCS teams, Utah, Boise State, Ball State and Tulsa, the Golden Hurricane have the best shot, in my opinion, with non-conference tilt at Arkansas likely deciding their fate.

NFL Betting Thoughts

Watch the New England Patriots this week when they host St. Louis, as the Monday night winners are on a tear. Thus far in 2008 they are 7-0 with a 5-2 ATS record. Have you heard about West Coast teams going East and having to play games with their body clock starting at 10:00 am Pacific, if you haven’t, its time to pay attention. The three hour time difference has left these teams 0-8 and 1-7 ATS. Will Oakland and Arizona be the next victim’s this week? All teams traveling two time zones are 7-14 against the spread this season.

Teams that have scored 40 or more points are 4-1 ATS in last five. We’ll have to wait a week on how Minnesota and Chicago perform, however the Patriots are up this week. Last week it was mentioned here about Yards Per Point and how well the teams in the bottom five positions are performing this season, contrary to the last three years. Last week they were 3-2 and raised season record to 12-5 ATS. This week Miami, Kansas City and Washington all fit, with Baltimore and Oakland canceling themselves out by playing one another.

I’ve talked about coaches here this year and two currently are impacting their teams. It’s rather apparent the St. Louis Rams players had seen the handwriting on Scott Linehan and were not responding. Reports were Linehan lost control of the situation and was expecting to be fired after 0-3 start. In comes assistant Jim Haslett, who no doubt wants to be a head coach in the NFL again and immediately presents a different attitude (more positive) and expects his players to play with more passion. All the Rams do is pick off two NFC East teams and if they could pull another upset in New England and Arizona losses in Carolina, St. Louis would be just a game behind in the NFC West, Wow.

Wade Phillips by all accounts is a nice man, hard-working and a great assistant coach. Last season he was breath of fresh air to a roster of extremely talented players who felt they didn’t need the whip cracked all the time like Bill Parcells did. Phillips expects the players to practice diligently and play hard on Sunday’s. It worked last year for three quarters of the season. But since beating Green Bay on a Thursday night in late November, the Cowboys are 6-6 and 2-10 ATS, including the Giants playoff loss. The atmosphere surrounding Jerry Jones team keeps them in the headlines; however it is a case of too many chiefs and not even indians. Phillips is no longer the right man to turn Dallas around, unless the players take complete ownership.

The Cleveland Browns have a decision to make in the next few weeks. Quarterback Derek Anderson has returned to being the same player he was at Oregon State and the one who couldn’t beat out Charley Frye in training camp last season. Anderson is like many of the rides at the relatively close Cedar Point Amusement Park, up and down, thrilling and will make you sick to you stomach. GM Phil Savage will have to make a decision soon, which will determine the fate of the franchise for the next several years, hook up the train with Anderson or Brady Quinn?

Is their a better example in the NFL of the old phrase “run the ball, stop the run” than the Indianapolis Colts? New Orleans could be play against team, since they survived without their top receivers, being able to utilize a much improved Reggie Bush. Carolina showed the world, how to stop Drew Brees by playing more press coverage on Saints receivers and New Orleans had no quick fix alternatives after Bush went down, which could keep him out a month.

Ticket Prices and Wagering Material

Not sure if you saw this, “The official price of Super Bowl tickets will reach $1,000 for the first time this season. The NFL confirmed Thursday that 25 percent of the tickets for the Feb. 1 game in Tampa will be priced at $1,000. It also announced it will drop the price of 1,000 tickets at Raymond James Stadium by $200 to $500, the first time the league has cut prices for a Super Bowl.” Are you kidding me, what arrogance! In these times of economic strife, the NFL is acting just like a greedy Wall Street firm. It’s obvious the price cut on a 1,000 tickets is to deflect their real intentions are. The NFL may be king, and this is their way to remind everyone they are so. No talk of socialism in Roger’s world.

We have a great Totals System for college football bettors that is 22-3 and yields four plays. The #1 Longhorns are a Top Trend to think about this upcoming weekend. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) PLAY UNDER on teams against the Total after going over the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, in October contests. This peerless system is 22-3, 88 percent. The qualifying teams are Texas A&M, Rice, Oregon and UNLV.

Free Football Trend -2) The Texas Longhorns are 15-1 OVER after out-rushing opponent by 100 or more yards in three straight games.

Free Football Selection -3) No Plays today.

World Series Preview

For all the whining people have done about baseball being geared towards the money clubs, Philadelphia and Tampa Bay will be the 11th and 12th different teams to play in the World Series in the last seven years. These same complainers will no doubt point to the TV rating which will likely be quite low, however who cares what they think, since this Fall Classic has more storylines than a Gray’s Anatomy episode.

Start with the skippers Joe Maddon and Charlie Manuel. Both are long-time baseball men, entrenched in playing baseball the right way. All aspects of the game are used and instead of playing it by the book, each has shown the desire to take calculated risks (used to be called hunches), unafraid to change up the lineup or move starting pitchers around.

Maddon understood he had a young team and even grew a Mohawk to fit in with his players. Manuel is laid-back soft spoken sort, but is perfect fit for this Philadelphia club, as anyone has watched the Phillies all year or in the playoffs, the number of players that continually put their arms around or are slapping the back of Manual during games when things are going well. You don’t see that happening to Lou Piniella or Joe Torre during games.

These two teams are remarkably similar in many areas. The Rays led the Major Leagues in steals with 142, with the Phils six behind at 136. Philadelphia was 9th in runs scored at 799 and Tampa Bay was four spots lower at 774 runs. Both teams have a first basemen that the offense runs thru in Ryan Howard and Carlos Pena.

Tampa Bay has edge in starting pitching in the series, with all their starters having pitched well in the postseason. Scott Kazmir (13-9, 3.54 ERA) and James Shields (15-10, 3.57) will be the opening starters for Games 1 and 2 at Tropicana Field, where the Rays were 29-7 when this duo threw the opening pitch. Matt Garza (13-10, 3.67) won two games in the ALCS proving his skill and Andy Sonnanstine (8-5 on the road) has accounted himself well in two postseason outings.

Philadelphia has to piece things together more than Tampa Bay. Phillies ace Cole Hamels (17-10, 2.92) can be dominating pitcher and is on top of his game right now allowing just 13 hits and three runs in 22 innings in the postseason. Brett Myers (12-13, 4.59) is hot and cold and Jamie Moyer has been dreadful in two post-season appearances, allowing eight runs in 5 1/3 innings, being the only pitcher to suffer a loss for Philadelphia. Joe Blanton has been pretty decent and the Phils have won his last six starts.

The bullpens are similar, yet very different. Maddon does have a closer in Dan Wheeler, but has shown he will ride a hot pitcher in the right situation like David Price in Game 7 against Boston. If Price can stay as dominant, he would help immeasurably against lefty bats Howard and Chase Utley.

The Phillies have excellent set-up men, all leading to closer Brad Lidge who can slam the door late in games. If Philly can get to the late innings with a lead, they should be able to win each contest.

Nuts and Bolts- Tampa Bay had the best home record in baseball and Philadelphia the second best road in the big leagues. The Rays were better in games decided by three runs or less with 66-42 record compared to the Phillies 64-49 mark. Philadelphia is the hotter team, having won 20 of 25, though Tampa Bay is hardly chilly at 21-12. The Rays were 12-6 against the National League, while Philadelphia was sorry 4-11 versus the junior circuit. For what it’s worth, the former Devil Rays hold a 10-5 all-time lead over the Phils having last played in 2006.

3DW Take: Philadelphia has an intangible the last several National League teams have not, power. The Phillies hit 214 home runs during the regular season, proving they can score runs in bunches. In the last 25 World Series games, the American league has out-homered the National 25-10. For Philadelphia to win, Hamels has to win two games and one starter and the Phillies bullpen will have to pick up another.

Tampa Bay has enthusiasm and talented young players. The Rays are unencumbered by expectations, thus should not feel pressure to have to succeed. Tampa has better starting pitching and has won three of five games on the road in October. If the home run hitting keeps up, this will be a tough club to beat four times.

Recently, most Fall Classic’s have been far from it, this one could go seven. With Tampa Bay being so strong at home, we’ll give them the nod, ironically earning that edge with Scott Kazmir being the winning pitcher at the All-Star Game.

Series odds from Bookmaker.com: Philadelphia +125, Tampa Bay -145

Wednesday October 22
Philadelphia (Hamels) at Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 8:35 EDT

Thursday October 23
Philadelphia (Myers) at Tampa Bay (Shields) 8:29 EDT

Saturday October 25
Tampa Bay (Garza) at Philadelphia (Moyer) 8:35 EDT

Sunday October 26
Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) at Philadelphia (Blanton) 8:28 EDT

Monday October 27
Tampa Bay at Philadelphia if necessary

Wednesday October 29
Philadelphia at Tampa Bay if necessary

Thursday October 30
Philadelphia at Tampa Bay if necessary


Offensive – Playoffs
Runs scored -Philadelphia 4.4 Tampa Bay 5.8
Home Runs -Philadelphia 10 Tampa Bay 22
Slugging Ptc. -Philadelphia .431 Tampa Bay .508
Walks -Philadelphia 34 Tampa Bay 37
On base Ptc. -Philadelphia .335 Tampa Bay .335

Pitching & Defense
ERA -Philadelphia 3.19 Tampa Bay 3.52
Strikeouts -Philadelphia 74 Tampa Bay 85
Walks -Philadelphia 35 Tampa Bay 45
WHIP -Philadelphia 1.32 Tampa Bay 1.32
Errors -Philadelphia 4 Tampa Bay 6

Note- Tampa Bay has played 11 postseason games and Philadelphia nine.

SEC versus Big 12 – Who’s the Best?

The SEC is the acknowledged best conference in college football this decade. In fact the discussion has changed from the first part of the millennium from what is the best league, to who is second behind the Southeastern Conference? The Big Ten resembles some of its states, Ohio and Michigan are losing population base, and college players are not as interested in attending most of these schools as in decades ago. The Big East will rise up now and again, but never be a year after year power. The ACC is a basketball conference, adding Boston College and Miami-Fl. has brought zilch to the league’s prestige or the overall results, though Virginia Tech is a big plus, but only as long as Frank Beamer is there is my guess. Pac-10 is down this year, but they’ll be back as soon as they restock the quarterback positions.

That leaves the Big 12 as the only true contender. Though the final results won’t be in until after the bowl games, these conferences are not as far apart as one might think.

Since 2000, Florida and LSU have combined to be the kings of college football three times. The Big 12 has had its stalwarts in Oklahoma and Texas, winning the BCS trophy twice and the Sooners played in the title game two other times, losing both.

I went back and looked at each teams and league’s non-conference record since 2003 and the results were mildly surprising. (Bowl games excluded)

SEC 191-59 76.4 percent
Big 12 197-67 74.3 percent

The SEC will have a chance to widen this margin since they schedule so many non-league games late in the season or have regional rivalries (Florida- Florida State, Georgia –Georgia Tech), still leaving 15 non-conference games to be played, while the Big 12 has the more traditional approach and has completed their schedule.

For the most part, both leagues schedule beatable teams out of conference and generally are medium to extra-large favorites in most instances. The SEC is well-known for digging up what is now referred to today as FCS schools, to beat the daylights out of, but the Big 12 has actually played more of these guaranteed winners, (49-43) over the last six seasons. Against the spread in non-conference action the two leagues are extremely close.

Big 12 118-106 52.5 percent
SEC 107-101 51.4 percent

One of the beauties of college football is the contrast of how conferences play the same game. The Big 10 has been known for big strong players who are not particularly fast across the board. The Pac-10 has been noted for quarterbacks and skill position players.

The Big 12 has only been around since 1996, with its roots in the Southwest Conference, which was a known as running league. The fundamentals have been altered in recent years to be more offensive-minded. How this occurred was at the lower levels of the conference, schools like Missouri, Kansas, Oklahoma State and Texas Tech were likely to never get the quality of athlete a Texas or Oklahoma would year in, year out. Thus the coaches that have been hired were all offensive by trade, taking the approach of competing by scoring, as compared to defending. This method has seen the Big 12 attract far better talent at quarterback and skill positions then in the past, in terms of league depth.

The SEC is like a video game on fast forward. The amount of speed is astonishing on both sides of the line of scrimmage. In this conference, with so much speed on offense, coaches have to have defensive players that can be disrupters and halt the speed they are facing. This has changed the Southeastern Conference into more of a defensive-first league. To illustrate this point, review the year to year figures of the Top 20 teams in total offense and total defense from these leagues.

2004-Top 20 Offenses
Big 12 (4) Texas Tech- Texas- Oklahoma-Texas A&M
SEC – none

2004 Top 20 Defenses
Big 12 (2) Oklahoma – Missouri
SEC (5) Alabama –LSU- Auburn-Georgia- So. Carolina

2005-Top 20 Offenses
Big 12 (2) Texas-Texas Tech
SEC – none

2005 Top 20 Defenses
Big 12 (3) Kansas- Texas- Oklahoma-
SEC (5) Alabama – LSU- Tennessee- Florida- Georgia

2006-Top 20 Offenses
Big 12 (5) Texas Tech- Missouri- Nebraska- Okla. State- Texas A&M
SEC (2) LSU- Florida

2006 Top 20 Defenses
Big 12 (1) Oklahoma
SEC (4) LSU- Florida- Georgia- Auburn

2007-Top 20 Offenses
Big 12 (7) Texas Tech- Missouri- Okla. State- Kansas- Nebraska-Texas-Oklahoma
SEC (2) Florida- Arkansas

2007 Top 20 Defenses
Big 12 (1) Kansas
SEC (4) LSU- Auburn- Georgia-Vanderbilt

2008-Top 20 Offenses (year-to-date)
Big 12 (7) Texas Tech- Missouri-Oklahoma- Okla. State-Texas- Kansas- Nebraska
SEC -none

2008 Top 20 Defenses (year-to-date)
Big 12 -none
SEC (7) South Carolina- Alabama-Auburn-Georgia-Florida-Kentucky-Tennessee

It’s abundantly clear the difference in the two leagues this season, the quarterback position. In 2008, the Big 12 returned 11 of 12 starting quarterbacks from a season ago, setting the table of success in this conference. Names like Sam Bradford, Chase Daniel, Colt McCoy, Todd Reesing and Graham Harrell and others all returned, it stood to reason this would be a more offensive league, especially when it came to throwing the ball. A check of the top 50 quarterbacks in passing yards shows the Big 12 having seven in the top 20 and nine overall. The first visible signal caller throwing the ball from the SEC is Mathew Stafford of Georgia at #25, with a total of three overall. (Heisman winner Tim Tebow is 69th)

Anytime you have a good quarterback in the college game you have a chance to win. Much like the professional football, the quarterback position is taking on greater importance. He’s has to read multiple defenses, run the option well enough to be a threat and throw with accuracy. A top notch thrower on a team with any sort of defense can be a threat to cover the spread. He can lead his team to victory as an upset winner, or provide that backdoor cover late in the game. This is why I believe this year the Big 12 is on par with the SEC.

In the last five years, the Big 12 has held their own against the SEC in regular season matchups. Overall they are 6-4 straight up and 6-3-1 ATS, including 4-2-1 against the spread on the road.

Bowl games have been a different story and this year more than ever might be most telling. In the last five seasons, the SEC has a decided edge at 7-3 SU and ATS record in the post-season.

Don’t assume the SEC is the best just because of history, since if we assumed everything, the price of gas should be less than half of what it was in May, because the price of a barrel of oil is today, right?

Your thoughts welcome.

Tuesday's Top Betting Info at 3Daily Winners

Our NHL expert just missed going to 3-0, with Boston losing in a shootout last night. Our Top System looks at the money line in the NFL on a short number and is fabulous 92.8 percent. The Carolina Panthers play one way off a division victory, can you guess which way. Nobody is to enthusiastic about tonight’s action, however a few members like the Total in college football. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) PLAY ON Home favorites vs. the money line with an average offensive team (4.9 to 5.4 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.9 to 5.4 YPP), after allowing 250 or less total yards in two consecutive games. This money line system is sensational 26-2 over the last 25 years and points to Pittsburgh Steelers as the right side.

Free Football Trend -2) Carolina is 18-4 UNDER off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival.

Free Football Selection -3) No real strong plays in CFB or the NHL, thus we’ll offer the Under in Ohio/Temple game with 3 Left Coast Connection members favoring that side compared to 2 on the Over.

Note- If you prefer to have this sent to you daily instead of having to visit the site, sign up for our FREE mailing list on the right. You will also receive all my personal plays for Free and your name will NEVER be given to anyone.

You have to see this......

I just heard about this, tell me what you think.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=V3Z-kAmbZCc

Bragging Rights and Other Notes

If you have been following this blog for any time, you know we try and present top notch information. Along with this we try to give out as many winners as possible and always tell the truth, good or bad about our the record. Right today a number of people and our trio of plays are doing incredibly well, thus I going to brag on on us for a moment, because I'm damn proud of how we're doing and the information and people we have assembled.

Our last 11 official Systems, Trends and Free plays have won, that right 11-0. You can look it up yourself right here. Paul Buck has hit his last nine football wagers and myself, the 96-yard touchdown pass by Detroit ended a 13-game winning streak for me. Kendall gave out Baltimore winner on Sunday and had two more winners in the NFL raising his record on the season to 26-5 and another individual from the LCC was on Northern Illinois Saturday and picked up three other winners putting him on 18-2 college football roll.

When myself and few others started this blog, this is what we wanted, useful information to help you win. Eveyone associated with this venture knows all us can start losing almost immediately, which is why the information is so important, because facts don't lie. Traffic is up 43 percent from a month ago, I personally thank you.

Concerning today, Paul likes New England and so do I, yet not enough to make it an official play on his part. Kendall bought the Monday night game at Over 46, but is not making it an official play either. One Trend is in the article below about how Denver does in this totals range. Our Hockey guy is 2-0 thus far and likes Boston in their home opener being 17-6 against Pittsburgh. Good Luck.

Monday Night Betting Matchup

In terms of coaching matchups, it hardly gets any better than this in the NFL with Mike Shanahan versus Bill Belichick. The sideline chess game may be just as good as the one on the field. Both head coaches could be poster boys for “No Guts, No Glory,” especially Shanahan, who went for two points and the win against San Diego in Week 2.

Belichick’s probably the only other coach with enough confidence in his team, and desire to drop the hammer on an opponent. And you can bet he’ll be ready to go for broke given Shanahan’s current three-game winning streak in the series and Denver 4-1 and 5-0 ATS in New England.

The Pats return home after splitting a West Coast trip to San Francisco and San Diego. Despite the loss of Tom Brady, New England is 3-2 (2-3 ATS) after a 30-10 loss against the Chargers last Sunday night. New England wasn’t going to beat San Diego last week; however that game illustrated Matt Cassel’s issues.

Besides taking far too many sacks (19), Cassel’s is slow to react to what is placed in front of him on the football field. Speaking to a person who watches tape on every NFL game, Cassel’s lacks presence in the pocket and finding open receivers at this level of football. He expressed it was clear, despite physical talent, his not starting a football game since high school limits the scope of what he is capable of, thus the vertical passing game of the Patriots is strictly hit or miss. He will be helped playing at Gillette Stadium where New England is 37-21 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record.

He takes aim at a Denver defense that continues to sputter, being ranked 30th no matter where it plays. The Broncos fell for the second time in three weeks, losing at home to Jacksonville, 24-17, and the defense was gored for 416 yards, including 276 yards through the air by David Garrard.

The Pats can still score in bunches and from anywhere—just ask the 49ers, who watched Randy Moss burn the secondary for a 66-yard touchdown. What New England desperately needs to improve is a running game split amongst three players (Sammy Morris, LaMont Jordan and Laurence Maroney), none of whom have distinguished themselves. For the bruising—and often bruised—Maroney and shifty Morris at least Denver’s defense, which allows an average of 137.5 yards per game, offers an opportunity to get on the right track. They will seek to get back to normal off of loss at San Diego, which was first spread loss in October in three seasons.

Jay Cutler looked like the second coming of John Elway as the Broncos averaged 38 points in their first three games. Since then an inexplicable loss to Kansas City, a defensive squeaker against the Bucs and a dull effort against Jacksonville. The Broncos have serious problems on defense against the run and pass and scoring 17.3 points a game like they have in the last three outings won’t mask them.

Bookmaker.com has seen New England hold steady as a three-point favorite, with the total having rose to 48 points. What’s intriguing about the upward movement of the total is Denver is 4-12 ATS when both teams score 20 or more points and New England is 43-18 ATS when they score 22 to 28 points.

Denver covers if they confuse Cassel and make him uncomfortable. Stop the run on the early downs against the Patriots and force Cassel to make plays down the field. Cutler needs to be smarter with the football, as they have seven turnovers in two losses. Cutler needs to be patient, since the New England defense is beatable. If the Broncos maximize efficiency, they move to 15-4 ATS after scoring 17 points or less in two straight games

New England covers by finding Randy Moss. Last week Moss started to revert to Oakland day’s, looking disinterested, get him the ball. Belichick has to change up defense to get more pressure, as defensive backs are below average and can be beaten on middle to deep patterns when the quarterback has time to throw. The offensive line has to block well and control the game. With the total at present figure, it favors the Pats, with Denver disastrous 0-11 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last two seasons.

Our Monday night system looks to play against any away underdog that has failed to cover its last two games. This system is 19-8 ATS, 70.3 percent.

NFL Wagering Info for Week 7

What a superb day at 3Daily Winners with 4-0 record in college football and we have been lucky enough to hit seven in a row. Today you get two systems for the same game, with the latter 15-1 ATS. The Top Trend takes a look at an important divisional contest and Kendall, who is 23-5 in the NFL, serves up what we hope is another Winner. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) Tennessee and Kansas City are off a bye and when two teams meet off a bye week, if the home team is off a loss and the visitor is off a win, the visitor is 15-6 ATS. For the clincher, it is best to Play On any unbeaten favorite with an extra week's rest, since they are 15-1 ATS, 93.7 percent.

Free Football Trend -2) Carolina is 10-2 ATS after scoring 6 points or less in last game.

Free Football Selection -3) We’ll give Kendall one more tour of duty here, seeing he is 23-5 in the NFL and he is playing Baltimore as his Best Bet.

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Early Line Moves in Football

For the Early Line Moves, we seek out the earliest lines and compare them on late Tuesday nights numbers to see what the so-called Line Movers do. By and large their track record is solid and dependable. Last week in college football was not good at 2-5-1 on the sides and 3-3 in college totals. This makes season record 30-22-2, 57.6 percent on sides and 25-15, 62.5 percent on Totals in CFB. In the NFL, they were 0-3 on sides bringing the record to 9-7, 56.2 percent. On the Totals a 3-1 week makes the updated figure 9-9, 50 percent. I wouldn’t be surprised if these did well this week. Enjoy reading and closely follow these numbers for wagering portfolio.

College Sides
TCU +1.5 to -1.5 Winner
Conn. +3.5 to -1
Wake Forest Pick to -2.5
W. Mich +3.5 to -1
Nevada -18.5 to -21
Kentucky -10 to -7.5
Louis. Tech 17.5 to 20.5
Stanford +2.5 to -1
Flor. Atl +1 to -2

College Totals
BYU/TCU 47 to 44 Winner
Miami/Duke 46 to 43
Pur/Northw 42 to 45.5
Oreg.St./Wash 62.5 to 59.5
Ark.St/ULL 68.5 to 62

NFL Sides
Buffalo +2 to Pick
N.Y. Giants -13 to -11

NFL Totals
SD/Buff 46.5 to 44.5
Sea/TB 41.5 to 39
Den/NE 46 to 48

College Football Select Game Writeups

The Missouri and Texas matchup was close to being 1 vs 2, unfortunately the Tigers did not hold up their end of the deal. Vanderbilt and Oklahoma both suffered first loss of the season, each as favorites and will look to rebound in very different roles this Saturday. Michigan State and Arizona are both home underdogs this week and can make national noise with upset victories of which they are both capable. Defensive dogs like the Wildcats holding teams to under 275 yards of offense are dangerous. All the lines shown are from Bookmaker.com. To read the Game write-up click here.

Off the Red River Rivalry battle, Oklahoma looks to rebound with a tricky foe. The Sooners (5-1, 4-1 ATS) flunked their first true challenge against Texas. What has been seen is the purpose of which the Oklahoma offense has played with this season, borrowing from 70’s rock group Bachman-Turner Overdrive and later Office Depot; the Sooners have been taking care of business. Sam Bradford continues his amazing season, with more poise in 2008 and trio of running backs, led by DeMarco Murray run behind a nasty offensive line, averaging over a 157 yards per game.

College Football Betting for Saturday

Officially 3Daily Winners ended up 2-0 for Thursday, nonetheless it was good to have all readers hopefully take advantage of all four winning plays. Our top NHL guy was right on Buffalo Friday night. One small thought, what would be the outcry if Tom Brady had the same knee problem Peyton Manning has had and it had been kept equally as quiet as the Colts have done it.

Saturday’s Best System has two plays with a 90 percent spread record. The Top Trend ventures into the ACC to take a peek at the Turtles. A piping hot sports bettor ways in again with his Best Bet on Saturday’s card. Good Luck.

A thought to ponder, if the price of a barrel of oil is half of what it was in May, how come gas prices are not? Of that’s right, the oil companies are reinvesting in alternative fuels, forgot about that.

Free Football System-1) PLAY ON road favorites after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game, with five or more offensive starters back. How this works is enough offensive talent is available for this team to put up a better performance than what they had in last game. Seeing the oddsmakers still have enough faith in them to make road chalk, they should be good. This succulent system is 27-3 ATS, 90 percent. The teams to consider are the U at Miami and Georgia Tech.

Free Football Trend -2) Maryland is 10-1 ATS at home after a loss of 28 or more points.

Free Football Selection -3) Last Saturday we gave you a member of the Left Coast Connection’s best bet on South Carolina, which was part of his picks that went 3-0 to raise his college football record to 14-2 the last month. This week his Top Play is Northern Illinois.

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Free College Football Plays at 3Daily Winners

We’ll go a little more football intensive today, with all three plays covering various aspects. The system play is “a don’t make sense” one, but who cares if it goes to 31-8 record. We are giving out two trends today, with both being more obscure, yet potentially quite useful. The Left Coast Connection members chime in on the big BYU-TCU contest. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) PLAY AGAINST road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points with a good rushing defense allowing 125 or less rushing yards a game, after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game. Not really sure why this system works, since the two aspects seem to have nothing in common, but who are we to argue with 30-8 ATS record. Florida State is the play against team.

Free Football Trends -2) Thou neither will be counted officially, here are two trends to consider tonight. TCU is 5-0 ATS the last decade when Top 25 teams visit Fort Worth and Florida State is 0-6 ATS after scoring 40 or more points.

Free Football Selection -3) The Left Coast Connection has 10 betting on TCU and two favoring BYU tonight.

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Betting on tonight's ACC Game

While this Atlantic Coast Conference contest is not even the most important game on Thursday night, there is more than enough intrigue for those surfing channels and college football bettors alike. Let’s start with the TMZ-like stuff first. Long time Florida State assistant coach Chuck Amato left Tallahassee to coach is alma mater N.C. State in 2000 and his teams were known for undisciplined play, winning when they shouldn’t and losing when they should. His most notable accomplishment (besides the weird sunglasses) was beating the Seminoles three times, twice in North Florida. After being fired in 2006 for a 3-9 season in Raleigh, Bobby Bowden brought him back as linebacker coach and the Chuckster returns to the Carter-Finley Stadium for the first time since.

The first really big question is how does the Wolfpack extend spread cover record to 7-1 against Florida State? For practical purposes let’s assume it won’t be from running the ball, with N.C. State 117th in the country toting the pigskin and the Seminoles fifth stopping opposing ball carriers. Maybe the Wolfpack players will all excited to play on Thursday night before the home crowd and unknowingly raise their record to 8-0 ATS after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in two straight games. Yea, that’s gonna happen, let’s get out the lipstick for the pig.

Passing the ball is not a great option, as Wolfpack quarterbacks complete less than 50 percent of their attempts. No wonder Bookmaker.com has N.C. State as a 10.5-point home underdog, their offense is downright offensive.

Moving on, can the Wolfpack defense help pull the upset? Looking at the numbers at face value, the answer would be unequivocal, NO. They give up 430 yards a game compared to the teams they’ve played that have averaged 359 yards a game. That’s a difference of 71 yards (those high school math classes paying off again) which makes this as likely to happen as Linda and Hulk Hogan getting back together.

Does this mean N.C. State has no shot? No, no, no, of course not. Were talking a hulking young men interested in women, video games, UFC and women (not necessarily in that order). The Florida State offensive line is WAY better than what they have had in the last five years, yet is won’t be mentioned among the best 20 in the country. Stoic coach Tom O’Brien defense has to jam up the middle and take away Florida State run game. The idea is to force frosh QB Christian Ponder to be a playmaker as passer. Ponder is completing 40 percent of his passes for 165 yards a game in last three outings. Bobby Bowden’s team is starting to look more like the Navy offense than the Noles. Make Ponder ponder about passing and maybe N.C. State can improve to 7-2 in ACC games.

Let’s not forget, Florida State has beaten two FCS teams, Colorado and the U (Miami), with the latter two both .500. Offensive prosperity has not officially returned just yet with head-coach-in-waiting Jimbo Fisher running the offense. The Seminoles are 0-6 ATS in next game if oddsmakers have a line on it after cracking the 40 point barrier. Bowden’s bunch is 4-10 against the spread after holding a team to under the century mark rushing the ball.

I’ll give very shaky support to the cranked up home team to cover. What I really prefer is the total which is at 47.5. Turnovers could turn this into a loser for this guest writer, but what the heck, I found out Florida State is 12-3 Under as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points, with average score coming in at just a hair over 42 points. N.C. State is 12-3 Under playing on Thursday’s with average score a trifle beyond 44 total points.

In conclusion, I’m betting the Under and still thinking about a parlay with the total and Wolfpack and you can do whatever you like. Thanks for reading.

Red Wydley

Looking in the Rearview Mirror in Betting Football

Week 6 of the NFL saw a return of low scoring football, with 10 of the 14 games played going Under the number. That was the first time since week 1 the majority of games had followed that path. For the season, the record stands at 47-40-1 Over. On the topic of totals, one aspect bookmakers are getting crushed in is the Monday night total. After the Giants and Browns affair, the number is 7-0 Over to start a new work week.

Over the last four years betting against the bottom five teams in the Yards Per Point category has netted a winning percentage of 55 to 62 percent after week 3 of the season. In 2008, it has been completely the opposite, with these bottom feeders astonishing 9-1 ATS, the first three weeks. Based on the past, can’t say this trend will continue, however if Kansas City, St. Louis, Baltimore, Oakland or Minnesota make sense as potential plays this week, this might be one more reason to back them. Coincidently, all five are underdogs.

One of the most overlooked aspects of wagering on football is coaching. It’s not technical handicapping and not exactly like situational handicapping per se, since you can’t be sure when the light goes on for a coach and his staff. Two great examples were on prime time this past week. San Diego got off to another tough 0-2 start this season. No doubt injuries played a part. The Chargers flew by the Jets on a Monday night and beat Oakland with a sharp second half 28-18 to square record at 2-2.

San Diego traveled to Miami and Norv Turner and his offensive staff prepared a game plan of trying to run the ball down the throats of Miami, having determined they had a physical advantage to do so. On defense, the loss of Shawne Merriman had seen the Chargers return to a softer bend-but-don’t break approach. The Dolphins came into the game feeling spry after whipping New England and off a bye. Miami was the aggressor from the start and carried the game to San Diego, who quickly found out they were not going to have success running the ball and coach Turner was slow to react. The Chargers ended up losing 17-10 and were undermined by a poorly conceived game plan on both sides of the ball.

This past Sunday, Turner and his staff finally assembled a game plan that matched the situation, and better utilized the talents of the players on the team. New England might not have Tom Brady; however I don’t recall him taking a snap playing in the secondary. CB Delta O’Neal has played for a number of NFL teams for a reason, he’s adequate at best. The Chargers have big athletic receivers who can go get the ball. They attacked the Patriots from the opening play with the long pass and never relented. As John Madden pointed out, L.T. is not 100 percent and thus passing first, forced New England to not commit as many players to hang around the line of scrimmage, which gave the Bolts a better opportunity to run the ball.

Defensively, DC Ted Cottrell is known for playing tendencies of opponents, rather than attacking. In this game he understood the limitations of the Matt Cassel and attacked him. While Cottrell is obviously a smart man to stay employed in the NFL, he doesn’t always play to the players he has on hand. With or without Merriman, the Chargers players are more emotional lot and play their best when on the attack. He set up such a plan last week; watch to see if he does so in the coming weeks.

The Cleveland Browns were in the words of Tony Kornheiser, “A sexy pick to win the AFC North” and instead started 0-3. They limped past a skuzzy Cincinnati squad 20-12 and nearly benched quarterback Derek Anderson for being terrible. With two weeks to prepare for the Giants, Romeo Crennel and has coaching staff must have had an epiphany. The strength of the team is the offensive line and its receivers. Braylon Edwards had played dreadful, which undermined success, but like most prima-donna receivers in the NFL, he needs to be a focal point and has to have that confidence early in the game. Cleveland got the ball in his hands quickly and the offensive line took the challenge of going up against one of the best defensive fronts in football and ran for 144 yards along with providing superior pass blocking in what turned into a 35-14 rout.

The point is intelligent NFL coaches will devise aggressive game plans that utilize the strengths of their teams and attack the weaknesses of their opponents. It sounds like this is something they should do every week, yet as any football bettor or interested fan knows this is not the case. The players still have to play; nonetheless coaches have to place players in the best position for success.

Some might wonder about the other team making adjustments based on what they see on tape to counteract what an opponent had success at. That is a logical conclusion, which is exactly why the elite coaches come up with the right answers most of the time in a 16-game season and are paid handsomely to do so.

College Football Betting Thoughts

We are at the unofficial half way point of the college football season and this past week was a killer for two areas of college football teams from wagering perspective. Home teams that were favored by 10 or more points were abysmal 4-15-1 ATS, including five outright losses and Texas Tech holding on to win in overtime. On the season, home underdogs had been hovering around .500 against the spread. This past week they were sickly 6-14 ATS for a two week total of 11-25-3 against the spread. On the season home underdogs that have won outright, are 5-11 ATS in next game.

As opposed to what normally happens in the pro game, spread losses tend to snow ball in the college game. What we look for is teams off of exactly three spread losses. After another crummy 1-3-1 week, the season record on these squads in next game is 5-10-1 ATS, offering play against possibilities this week on Wisconsin, Florida Atlantic, North Texas, Washington State, Washington, Southern Miss, Mid. Tenn. State and Colorado.

Though the timing was somewhat curious, Tommy Bowden being fired at Clemson does not come as a shock. Much like the cat with nine lives, Bowden had time and time again managed to survive disappointment from the Clemson faithful, with the Tigers rallying down the stretch. This year was different, as Clemson was the clear choice to conquer a winnable ACC. Their first game against Alabama taught us two things, how good the Crimson Tide really was and this Clemson team was not ready for prime time.

For most of Bowden’s tenure at Clemson, bettors rode the wave with the Tigers, play them when they’re hot and going the other way when they are not. The last straw was the Wake Forest loss, after a disappointing defeat to Maryland. A quality football team that believes in the coach and the staff comes out focused and wins that game. Instead, these Tigers yawned, with the message very clear the team wasn’t buying what Bowden was selling.

Remember when Oklahoma won the national championship in 2000? Those early years for Bob Stoops were defensive teams that popped opponents and let them know more was coming. Watching the Sooners against Texas, it was obvious in the first half, this team didn’t have that “pop” most top teams in the country have. Oklahoma made tackles just fine, but no gusto behind them. The best way to describe it is when you watch a minor bowl game between evenly matched teams and you end up thinking, these are two competent teams, you wonder how they ended up 7-5. Then on New Year’s Day, a matchup of two BCS teams takes place and you suddenly see the real difference. With how competitive the Big 12 is going to be the rest of the way, the Sooners are still very much in the hunt; nonetheless they will need a more physical presence to give themselves a chance.

On the topic of the Big 12, all those SEC snobs can stick your nose up to the rest of college football about your superiority, but I’m not backing you up this time. The Big 12 has better quarterbacks, enough speed and can play the power game. A few SEC know-it-alls who arrive at games to start tailgating on Thursday (actually I’m a little jealous about that idea) will point to the Texas and Oklahoma game as no defense being played, like they do in the South. Correct me if I’m wrong, but didn’t Florida hang on 51 on LSU? The overall quarterback play of the Big 12 is just better this season and I’ll rate the leagues as even.

Depending on when a bettor purchased Georgia against Tennessee, all three outcomes were possible. (Win, lose or push) If you are a Bulldogs fan or betting Georgia games with regularity, isn’t it shocking the number of bad (dumb) plays Mathew Stafford continues to make? Stafford had career day throwing for 310 yards against Tennessee, however made what looked liked two bad passes in the red zone costing the ‘Dogs a chance to bury Tennessee by 21 or more points. If this was the first time it had happened all year, I might have different opinion, yet watching him, he makes a couple of these decisions a game. Backing Georgia right now as favorite has risky feel.

Take this spread and shove it! That’s what Tommy Tuberville did at Auburn, sending offensive coordinator Tony Franklin away and about 110,000 and more Michigan football fans would like to do the same to Rich Rodriquez. Auburn is a mess and the timing could hardly be any worse for Tigers fans with Alabama a rising tide. With games still at Penn State and Ohio State, plus home to improving Michigan State, Rodriquez might become more famous for being the coach that engineered the Wolverines 33-year bowl streak coming to an end. Betting against these two offensive misfits is the only way to go today.

Hump Day Action at 3Daily Winners

We received a nice Free Winner on Minnesota in the NHL last night, if our guy from the Left Coast Connection has another we’ll post it later today. Yesterday’s trend was a loser, as it looks like Tampa Bay; (think about that for a second) is one game away from going to the World Series. Fox Sports worst nightmare is about to happen if it’s the Phillies and Rays. Speaking of the City of Brotherly Love, our Top Trend involves their team tonight. The System play looks at the total of an AFC North division encounter with a 32-8 track record. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) PLAY OVER on any team where the total is 35 or less after failing to cover the spread in four or five out of their last six games. This total system is 32-8, 80 percent since 2004 and Cincinnati is the team the matches this system as they get ready to host Pittsburgh.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Philadelphia and Los Angeles have played Over 11 of 12 times at Dodger Stadium the last three years.

Free Selection -3) Pass today

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Understanding Valuable Football Betting Aspects

With most teams at the mid-point of the college football campaign, conference races are taking shape and meaningful data is being accumulated. Those wagering on college football should be gearing up for a successful second half of the season, no matter what the earlier results were.

In order to be successful you have to be extremely savvy. Too many bettors in any sport focus on too few aspects that can help them win. Some focus on statistical data, which is great way to understand how teams play. Here you can view how teams run the ball and pass the pigskin. At the same time you can see how they do defensively in the same areas. As the season continues, searching for similar opponents can be a big advantage, pitting one team against another in head to head comparison. This can show the strengths and weaknesses of teams against a given foe.

The negative to this type of comparison is placing absolute value on the predictive nature of the next game. How does a team like Michigan State that had averaged 234 yards rushing in its four previous games, run for just 91 yards at home against Iowa on Oct.4, in a game the Spartans should have lost (Iowa in the end zone –awful) and barely managed to cover at six-point favorites 16-13? This is where the sports bettor has to be armed with more then on the surface knowledge and be ready to take the next step.

Situational handicapping is needed to be blended with technical material. Michigan State was off four satisfying wins and could have covered the spread in all four games, except for inclement weather at home against Florida Atlantic. Iowa was off a pair of losses, mostly due to inferior quarterback play that prevented them from scoring more points. The Hawkeyes had the motivational edge in desire, wanting to break losing skid and Michigan State might be a little satisfied after playing quite well.

In studying statistics, Iowa had held its earlier opponents to about three yards per carry. A look at the numbers saw the Spartans had only rushed for 91 yards at California in their only loss. A quick check of the stats shows the Bears are allowing 2.5 yards per carry.

The final piece to this puzzle is the play of guarterback Brian Hoyer. The numbers suggest Hoyer is having a decent season; however Michigan State is built around the running game. Hoyer has the ability to throw the ball, but is not a great playmaker. He’s more suited to lead a team into scoring position and then the running game takes over. Despite a 4-1 record (at the time), Hoyer had three touchdown passes and three interceptions coming into first Spartans Big 10 home game.

Let’s review why Iowa was great underdog play. They needed to win after a pair of losses and Michigan State was at home hearing about how well they are playing. The Hawkeyes run defense is quite good and the Spartans had shown they could be stopped rushing the ball. In spite of a quarterback edge for Michigan State, their signal caller had not made “difference” plays most of the season.

This type of analysis might seem overwhelming or very time consuming. The fact is once the proper routine is setup, a schedule of 40-50 games can be knocked off in an evening. Studying your stats lays down a solid foundation of understanding teams, yet I have never seen a number that tells me when a team might be more or less motivated for a specific game. Winning isn’t supposed to be easy, that’s why most bettors lose.

In today’s world, where everything is seemingly going wrong, people are looking to those who have substantive answers (not those seeking to be elected officials) that can get the world back on track. Betting football changes every year, as home underdogs are super one year and not the next. This is where it pays to look beyond the curtain and see what else is available.

One of my colleagues at the Platinum Sheet is a big supporter in Yards Per Play. Most of our discussions have centered on the NFL, however this statistic can work in the college game as well.

Yards Per Play can work for a number of reasons, starting with a team like Missouri for example. The Tigers are led by Heisman contender Chase Daniel. With his skill and weaponry in the Missouri offense, they average 7.9 YPP. In is simplest form, the Tigers have shown the ability to create a first down every other play. Of course a number of teams would have that same ability by using that scale. But why it works for Missouri and other teams of its ilk, they have good first down gain, typically have short third down conversions to be made and make big plays that lead to points.

Here are the Top 10 teams in Yards Per Play (Regular and Spread Records)

Tulsa 6-0 4-1
Missouri 5-1 3-2
Texas Tech 6-0 2-1-1
UL-Louisiana 3-3 5-1
Oklahoma State 6-0 5-0
Arkansas State 4-2 2-3
Penn State 7-0 4-1-1
Ball State 7-0 5-0-1
Houston 3-3 2-3
Oklahoma 5-1 4-1

Total 52-10, 36-13-3 ATS

Rest assured these numbers will change since the Big 12 has four teams in the Top 10 in this category and many will face off against one another before the end of the regular season.

A question that comes to mind is will all these teams continue to be good wagers? Obviously defense, special teams and the schedule will all impact how these teams perform, however looking purely offensively, relative balance would seem to be imperative. Texas Tech is fine example. The Red Raiders passing game has been unsurpassed since Mike Leach has been the coach. For Texas Tech, 74.2 percent of their offense is generated thru the air. Now having to face stiffer competition in the Big 12, stronger defenses will try to take away the Red Raiders running game and limit the pass, making them even more one-dimensional and beatable.

Penn State seems well-suited for success, gaining able yardage per play and rushing accounting for 48.5 percent of their total yards gained and passing the rest.

What we are shown is pays well (sometimes very well) to be a multi-talented handicapper understanding several points to make you a winner. Plus, being able to do research to find hidden treasure can be worth its weight in gold.

Wagering info for Tuesday October 14

Our only official play yesterday was a winner on the trend with Cleveland. We’d like to thank Bill from Indiana for supplying us that fantastic angle. Today’s Top Trend is from the world of baseball and applies to tonight’s Game 4 contest. Our Best System is a first half play on one of Thursday night’s college football games and comes from Statfox.com. A few of the guys from the Left Coast Connection wager on the NHL and we’ll post their plays from time to time on slow days like today. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) PLAY UNDER on road teams where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 and the school is an excellent offensive team scoring 35 or more points a game, after a win by 17 or more points. BYU fits this profile for Thursday night on a system that is 25-4, 86.2 percent. This makes the play UNDER for the first half.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Tampa Bay is 1-13 against the money line in road games after scoring seven runs or more two straight games.

Free Selections -3) Eddie from the LCC bets football and hockey period. We'll give him a try with Minnesota tonight on the money line against Atlanta.

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Free Football Betting info for Columbus Day

Another good day with 2-1 record here, as Kendall missed on Oakland and was “only” 3-2 yesterday dropping him to 23-5 on the season. (Don’t we all wish we were doing this poorly) The only official play will be today’s Top Trend and it is a good one. Our system play doesn’t meet our standards, but is thought provoking on its own merit. On a personal note, I was 4-0 yesterday, hopefully I’ll get moving on all plays with momentum. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) Our Monday night system states its best to play on a team that rushed for 200 or more yards last week and won by more than seven points. This system is 16-7 ATS, 69.5 percent and is saying the Giants are the play.

Free Football Trend -2) Teams off a bye, playing at home and on the receiving end of six or more points are 24-3 ATS in this situation. That would be Cleveland tonight.

Free Selections -3) We are all over the place from our members of the Left Coast Connection, but here is what the majority of these guys are doing today. On the basepaths the Dodgers and Red Sox are the choices and Cleveland in the NFL. None of these plays will be rated by our standards.

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NFL Wagering Info from 3Daily Winners

It was one heck a day at 3Daily Winners and in fact a great college football week. Yesterday, all three of our selections were correct and if you review Friday’s system and trend we ended up 5-0, love to see those kind of numbers. Let’s try and do it again. Our Top System is an oldie but goodie at 85.7 percent dating back to 1983. Today’s Top Trend involves where numbers fall concerning Denver. Kendall from the Left Coast Connection is blistering bookies with a remarkable 20-3 record and has his Best Bet here today. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) PLAY AGAINST all teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing six points or less last game against opponent after a loss by three or less points. In the last 25 years, this system is 24-4 ATS, 85.7 percent and suggests playing against Carolina today.

Free Football Trend -2) Denver is 0-10 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last two seasons.

Free Football Selection -3) The hottest handicapper in the NFL world we know of is Kendall at 20-3 and today his best play is on Oakland plus the points.

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