When Shaquille O’Neal joined the Phoenix, he and those within the organization said they would need 10 games to get things ironed out and would be ready from that point. Fans who attend games at Planet Orange (US Airways Arena) and others who regularly follow the club hope that assessment is accurate, since Phoenix is 4-6 straight up and against the spread over the last 12.2 percent of the NBA schedule. Phoenix has fallen from second in the Western Conference to sixth and could make run for best of the West or fall out of the playoff picture all together, depending on what occurs the next 19 games.
Arriving in the desert is one of the worst teams in the West in the Memphis Grizzlies, who gave up essentially when they traded Pau Gasol to the Lakers. Memphis has won two games since January 26 (2-16, 5-13 ATS) as they try and build team around youngsters like Rudy Gay and Mile Conley Jr. The Grizzlies have one road win 2008, which took place 15 games ago against Indiana on January 2, 90-72 as six point underdogs. For basketball bettors looking for the glass half full, Memphis is 7-7 ATS in last 14 road losses.
Bookmaker.com opened Phoenix as 14-point home favorites and bettors trampled the line, betting up Suns to present 15.5-points. Based on this about to be announced system, has this been a wise wagering method?
Play Against favorites like Phoenix of 10 or more points after having lost four or five of their last six games against opponent after having lost five or six of their last seven games.
What this system is suggesting is two teams are not playing very well at present. Though the double digit favorite is without a doubt the better squad, they have been off-kilter and would figure not to be motivated and play best basketball against inferior opponent.
In the last five years, this system has won 76.2 percent of the time with 32-10 record. The average spread margin has seen the favorite at 11.2 points, with the final score differential coming in well below, at 7.7 points over the 42 contests.
The results over the last few of seasons have been even better at 18-4, 81.8 percent.
Backing bad teams is often hard to do with hard earned cash, however having a strong system for support takes out a large portion of the risk.
This is article I wrote for StatFox.com.
What was learned from College Hoops weekend
North Carolina passed the acid test in beating Duke in Durham 76-68. What was especially impressive was the Tar Heels defense, which has caused coach Roy Williams hair to go from gray to white this season. All year he has pleaded with his team to quit playing like the Phoenix Suns and get in a defensive stance and guard somebody, they did in holding Duke to 32.9 percent shooting. They are certainly capable of winning six straight once the bids come out.
Duke is 4-3 in last seven games and is looking like a team that has peaked. This is becoming disturbing trend in Durham, as Coach K's squads play hard and seem to overachieve and peter out late in the year. Without knowing brackets, I'll have Dukies exit in Sweet 16. One weird aspect of UNC/Duke was the number of bad shots both teams took. Sure the defense was good, both were out of character, throwing up shots that had about as much chance as Ralph Nadar for prez.
Stanford was flatter than the reviews for "Fools Gold" movie against USC, losing by 13. For the first time all season, was really impressed with O.J. Mayo. He would be a fool to turn pro, because his game is not NBA ready. As current coach Arizona coach Kevin O'Neil said about the NBA lifestyle, "Everyone thinks its exciting and glamorous, but there are no team meals and it is lonely existence for players, especially the younger ones."
If Kansas played all season like they have the last three games, forget Memphis, the Jayhawks would be unbeaten. When this teams brings the 40-minute intensity, Final Four is the minimum. Of course having Bill Self as coach is not a positive come tournament time based on his resume.
In watching Texas A&M, I've been under the impression new coach Mark Turgeon has screwed up, because of the number of inside players the Aggies have, yet they don't score enough in the paint. I'll retract part of that thought, as it was apparent these guys just don't know what to do and lack moves that should have, like Joseph Jones being more effective. In retrospect, it seems like they have not worked hard enough to get better. I do wonder where Turgeon was in the process however.
Drake is the most fun team in the country to watch. They are unflappable and execute so well on offense and defense, they are remarkable. They'll probably end up five or six seed and will be in Sweet 16. They space the floor so well and play smart, they can beat superior athletes with basketball IQ. When on offense, if they don't have quick three available, they'll run shot clock down to five or less and score. Teams having to guard for 30 seconds and have no payoff, will not do so for very long. Their defense is also underrated, using matchup zone. While they are not tall on the perimeter, each defender has longer arms, meaning they tip away more balls in passing lanes then you might believe.
Watched Kent State and Akron and every capper I saw had Zips. In the last couple of weeks, Kent State has won at St. Mary's and Akron, meaning this is a very good basketball team not getting props. Two players to watch for Golden Flashes are junior guard Al Fisher and F Haminn Quaintance.
It's a shame when officials have a direct impact on any game, but the stripes gave UCLA a dose of home cooking in come from behind wins against Stanford and Cal. Granted, the Bruins had feverish rally's in both games and made the most important shots to pull off wins, yet the two calls, one in each game, undoubtedly put Ben Howland's squad in position to win. UCLA is hard enough to beat already without additional help.
Any discussion about what is the best conference is closed. The Pac-10's 9th place team is Cal, who split with USC, won at Washington, at Washington State, at Arizona State and should have won at Westwood. They have two players that will be drafted in the NBA in DeVon Hardin and Ryan Anderson, meaning they are load on any night.
Duke is 4-3 in last seven games and is looking like a team that has peaked. This is becoming disturbing trend in Durham, as Coach K's squads play hard and seem to overachieve and peter out late in the year. Without knowing brackets, I'll have Dukies exit in Sweet 16. One weird aspect of UNC/Duke was the number of bad shots both teams took. Sure the defense was good, both were out of character, throwing up shots that had about as much chance as Ralph Nadar for prez.
Stanford was flatter than the reviews for "Fools Gold" movie against USC, losing by 13. For the first time all season, was really impressed with O.J. Mayo. He would be a fool to turn pro, because his game is not NBA ready. As current coach Arizona coach Kevin O'Neil said about the NBA lifestyle, "Everyone thinks its exciting and glamorous, but there are no team meals and it is lonely existence for players, especially the younger ones."
If Kansas played all season like they have the last three games, forget Memphis, the Jayhawks would be unbeaten. When this teams brings the 40-minute intensity, Final Four is the minimum. Of course having Bill Self as coach is not a positive come tournament time based on his resume.
In watching Texas A&M, I've been under the impression new coach Mark Turgeon has screwed up, because of the number of inside players the Aggies have, yet they don't score enough in the paint. I'll retract part of that thought, as it was apparent these guys just don't know what to do and lack moves that should have, like Joseph Jones being more effective. In retrospect, it seems like they have not worked hard enough to get better. I do wonder where Turgeon was in the process however.
Drake is the most fun team in the country to watch. They are unflappable and execute so well on offense and defense, they are remarkable. They'll probably end up five or six seed and will be in Sweet 16. They space the floor so well and play smart, they can beat superior athletes with basketball IQ. When on offense, if they don't have quick three available, they'll run shot clock down to five or less and score. Teams having to guard for 30 seconds and have no payoff, will not do so for very long. Their defense is also underrated, using matchup zone. While they are not tall on the perimeter, each defender has longer arms, meaning they tip away more balls in passing lanes then you might believe.
Watched Kent State and Akron and every capper I saw had Zips. In the last couple of weeks, Kent State has won at St. Mary's and Akron, meaning this is a very good basketball team not getting props. Two players to watch for Golden Flashes are junior guard Al Fisher and F Haminn Quaintance.
It's a shame when officials have a direct impact on any game, but the stripes gave UCLA a dose of home cooking in come from behind wins against Stanford and Cal. Granted, the Bruins had feverish rally's in both games and made the most important shots to pull off wins, yet the two calls, one in each game, undoubtedly put Ben Howland's squad in position to win. UCLA is hard enough to beat already without additional help.
Any discussion about what is the best conference is closed. The Pac-10's 9th place team is Cal, who split with USC, won at Washington, at Washington State, at Arizona State and should have won at Westwood. They have two players that will be drafted in the NBA in DeVon Hardin and Ryan Anderson, meaning they are load on any night.
Deep Card of Selections
Have a ton of selections on the last big regular season Saturday.
CBB
3* Austin Peay - UNC-Wilmington
2* Wake Forest- UAB- Texas Tech- Dayton- UNLV-Wofford-Rider-George Mason-N.M. State- Santa Clara
Still wondering about Northern Iowa and Valpo, will decide later.
NBA
3* New Orleans
2* Orlando-Indiana-Utah
It seems crazy to go against Houston with there current astonishing winning streak, yet like the Hornets road record as well.
NHL
Montreal -126
NJ/Tor U5.5
The Left Coast Connection has five CBB plays and one NBA. In college hoops they have Wake Forest, UNLV, Texas A&M, Texas Tech and UNC-Wilmington. The Jazz is there pick in the pros. Hopefully many of you can profit from these. Good Luck
CBB
3* Austin Peay - UNC-Wilmington
2* Wake Forest- UAB- Texas Tech- Dayton- UNLV-Wofford-Rider-George Mason-N.M. State- Santa Clara
Still wondering about Northern Iowa and Valpo, will decide later.
NBA
3* New Orleans
2* Orlando-Indiana-Utah
It seems crazy to go against Houston with there current astonishing winning streak, yet like the Hornets road record as well.
NHL
Montreal -126
NJ/Tor U5.5
The Left Coast Connection has five CBB plays and one NBA. In college hoops they have Wake Forest, UNLV, Texas A&M, Texas Tech and UNC-Wilmington. The Jazz is there pick in the pros. Hopefully many of you can profit from these. Good Luck
College Hoops Rocks
How can person say they like college basketball and just not be glued to the TV or computer screen the next month. Upsets, great finishes and exciting games, a great time of year.
Yesterday I was 1-1 in CBB, 1-0 in the NBA and took another shot to the gut on the NHL as Columbus lost 2-1 to Edmonton. On to better days.
Yesterday I was 1-1 in CBB, 1-0 in the NBA and took another shot to the gut on the NHL as Columbus lost 2-1 to Edmonton. On to better days.
March 6 Picks
Got whacked pretty good yesterday, however is always case, there is another day.
NBA
2* Dallas -1
CBB
2* Clemson -3, Boise State -2
NHL
Nashville +133, Carolina +110, Pittsburgh -116
I promised up to date records, here they are:
CBB 174-161-7 +9.1 units
NBA 77-77-1 -12.5 units
NHL 63-71 -23.1 units
In truth, not pleased about either basketball numbers. In college basketball, it has been an up and down ride. Started smokin' hot and went colder than the Midwest winter in January. Rebounded in February with consistent winning, but have been fading of late. I have extreme confidence for the conference tournaments, which I have always done.
The NBA has been this all season, win three, lose three. Trying to find a way like last year to get hot at the end of the season and have it continue into playoffs.
I make the picks, however been out-sourcing the hockey picks, clearly with pretty sad results. I'll finish out the season and might skip next year based on these numbers.
Good Luck tonight.
NBA
2* Dallas -1
CBB
2* Clemson -3, Boise State -2
NHL
Nashville +133, Carolina +110, Pittsburgh -116
I promised up to date records, here they are:
CBB 174-161-7 +9.1 units
NBA 77-77-1 -12.5 units
NHL 63-71 -23.1 units
In truth, not pleased about either basketball numbers. In college basketball, it has been an up and down ride. Started smokin' hot and went colder than the Midwest winter in January. Rebounded in February with consistent winning, but have been fading of late. I have extreme confidence for the conference tournaments, which I have always done.
The NBA has been this all season, win three, lose three. Trying to find a way like last year to get hot at the end of the season and have it continue into playoffs.
I make the picks, however been out-sourcing the hockey picks, clearly with pretty sad results. I'll finish out the season and might skip next year based on these numbers.
Good Luck tonight.
Today's Plays
In college basketball my plays are (rated 1 to 5 stars)
CBB
3* LSU -2.5, Okla. State -4.5
2* LaSalle +9.5, Midd. Tenn. State -8.5, Vandy -3.5
NBA
3* Indiana +10
2* Cleveland -4, New Orleans -9.5, Phoenix +7
NHL (Money line is always 1 star)
Anaheim -150
Buffalo -113
Tomorrow I'll post my true records in these sports.
The guys from the Left Coast Connection had the following:
NBA - Indiana -Charlotte
CBB - Vandy -Florida - Okla. State
Good Luck tonight.
CBB
3* LSU -2.5, Okla. State -4.5
2* LaSalle +9.5, Midd. Tenn. State -8.5, Vandy -3.5
NBA
3* Indiana +10
2* Cleveland -4, New Orleans -9.5, Phoenix +7
NHL (Money line is always 1 star)
Anaheim -150
Buffalo -113
Tomorrow I'll post my true records in these sports.
The guys from the Left Coast Connection had the following:
NBA - Indiana -Charlotte
CBB - Vandy -Florida - Okla. State
Good Luck tonight.
Let's Get Started
A little background would seem necessary to get things rolling. First, this blog will be about what the title says, sports imformation and wagering on sports. I became really interested in sports betting when I picked up a copy of Gameplan magazine many years ago. It was the first magazine that I'd seen seen that had power ratings, which could lead to predicting the outcomes of games, which I thought was pretty cool. I started working with power ratings and later found a college and pro football annual that has trends. That seemed to feed a sports gambling desire and I was interested in becoming an expert on my own terms about. It amazed me, just proaching the subject, the number of people you could talk to, or be introduced to. Over the years I worked to get better and with a partner, opened up a websize at the height of popularity in 2004.
After reading about how this was going to change my life with all the money I was going to make, I went for it. Well, as most naive people believing untold riches lie just around the corner, I was fooled, even after seeking the help of some of the biggest names in the industry. Don't get me wrong, it was a nice part-time income that allowed me to do a few extra things, but not a lifestyle change. Our track record was pretty good at monitored sites, which helped a great deal.
2004 The Sports Eye 2nd Preseason NFL
2004 Wagertracker 1st Preseason NFL
2004 Gurutracker 8th NFL
2004-05 Wagertacker 1st NBA Best Bets
2004-05 The Sports Eye 1st College Hoops
2004 The Sports Eye 1st Baseball
Things didn't work out with partner so we went our merry way. I continued to handicap games, just on a different level. No longer desiring to sell my own picks, started 3dailywinners. Signed up for a couple of different monitors to see how I would do. Here are the most recent results.
2006 Free Sports Monitor 1st College Football
2007 Free Sports Monitor 4th Baseball
When I was approached about this blog, I told the suitors, I won't be selling my picks, period. Mine will always be FREE. Eventually somebody's picks will be sold here, but only after I'm ready to do so. The picks will be as good or better as any you find, because I know what to look for. No funny business, no garbage and certainly no lies.
This blog will improve it's look in time, but like any worthwhile venture, it will be a work in progress. The additions will be worth visiting as often as you can, that I can promise. So enjoy and hopefully I can make you smarter about sports and the betting game, it not, hey I tried.
After reading about how this was going to change my life with all the money I was going to make, I went for it. Well, as most naive people believing untold riches lie just around the corner, I was fooled, even after seeking the help of some of the biggest names in the industry. Don't get me wrong, it was a nice part-time income that allowed me to do a few extra things, but not a lifestyle change. Our track record was pretty good at monitored sites, which helped a great deal.
2004 The Sports Eye 2nd Preseason NFL
2004 Wagertracker 1st Preseason NFL
2004 Gurutracker 8th NFL
2004-05 Wagertacker 1st NBA Best Bets
2004-05 The Sports Eye 1st College Hoops
2004 The Sports Eye 1st Baseball
Things didn't work out with partner so we went our merry way. I continued to handicap games, just on a different level. No longer desiring to sell my own picks, started 3dailywinners. Signed up for a couple of different monitors to see how I would do. Here are the most recent results.
2006 Free Sports Monitor 1st College Football
2007 Free Sports Monitor 4th Baseball
When I was approached about this blog, I told the suitors, I won't be selling my picks, period. Mine will always be FREE. Eventually somebody's picks will be sold here, but only after I'm ready to do so. The picks will be as good or better as any you find, because I know what to look for. No funny business, no garbage and certainly no lies.
This blog will improve it's look in time, but like any worthwhile venture, it will be a work in progress. The additions will be worth visiting as often as you can, that I can promise. So enjoy and hopefully I can make you smarter about sports and the betting game, it not, hey I tried.
Guaranteed Picks
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