Free Baseball and NFL plays for Saturday

Our run line expert from the LCC has another Free play and we are offering a consensus selection in the NFL. The perfect Trend is back and has been nearly perfect all year hitting 12 of last 13. Though the top System lost yesterday, we uncovered an 80 percent play to consider today. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like the A’s with a money line of +100 or higher, who are bad AL offensive team scoring 4.2 or less runs a game, against a team with a good bullpen like Chicago (ERA of 3.75 or less), with a starting pitcher like John Danks who gives up 5.5 or less hits a start. This system is a tantalizing 20-5 since 2004.

Free Baseball Trend -2) The L.A. Dodgers are 11-0 against the money line in home games after two straight wins by two runs or less since 2006.

Free Selections -3) Our LCC run line expert goes for two straight here at 3Daily Winners, taking the Phillies -1.5 (+110). The consensus on the NFL tonight from the Left Coast Connection is to take Denver minus the points.

Betting on College Football Coaches Records

Slowly but surely college football is creeping up, with the games about to start in less than two weeks. All are armed with hopes of a successful football campaign, based on whatever standards have been set at each university. Coaches after a long off season, are fired up to put together teams, access talent and see what players worked hard to improve for upcoming season. For those that love to wager on college football, it comes in handy to know what particular coaches do when placed in certain circumstances. Most bettors might know how the head coach does where they live, or even the coaches within the nearby conference. Only a very select few would be able to recall all the different variables from all the head coaches at the Football Bowl Subdivision.

Here is a breakdown of the top coaches in several areas based on latest runs. (Smart idea to save this article for future use)

Coaches with best home ATS records-

Frank Solich – Ohio U -10-4
Tom Amstutz-Toledo – 25-11
Al Groh – Virginia - 28-14
Kirk Ferentz – Iowa – 36-19
Randy Edsall -UConn- 23-13

Percentage wise, Frank Beamer doesn’t rank as high, nevertheless he made a number of bettors big money, even overcoming large favorite roles at 62-46 ATS. A few other big name coaches standout, more for mediocrity. Phil Fuller is 47-49 ATS at Knoxville and Jeff Tedford is mere 17-18 ATS with the tree-huggers at Berkeley. Charlie Weis of Notre Dame is a lousy 7-13 ATS at South Bend.

Coaches with best road ATS records-

Skip Holtz – ECU- 15-5
Steve Spurrier – So. Carolina – 11-5
Mark Richt –Georgia – 28-16
Charlie Weatherbie – UL-Monroe – 22-13
Pete Carroll –USC – 28-19

Mike Belotti of Oregon deserves mention at 43-32 ATS, as does Jim Grobe at Wake Forest, as his squads have made life miserable for home teams with 25-16 ATS mark. UNLV is going nowhere unless they start winning real soon and coach Mike Sanford’s clubs are 3-14 ATS on the road. Marshall’s Mark Snyder team has not been a Thundering Herd as a visitor, with 4-12 ATS record. While Toledo’s Amstutz may have great spread home marks, they are pushovers on the road at 16-29 against the spread.

Coaches with best favorite ATS records-

Dick Tomey –S.J. State - 8-1
Mark Mangini – Kansas – 20-7
Chris Ault- Nevada – 18-8
Randy Edsall – UConn- 19-11
Bronco Mendenhall – BYU- 17-9

Half the reason Tommy Bowden is under fire so much is 29-39 ATS record when listed as favorite, as backers lose money with great regularity. Mike Price was loved when he arrived at UTEP; however the price has not been right when backing the Miners as faves with 9-16 ATS record. Cal’s Tedford has covered just 26 of 54 of these roles and Grobe of the Demon Deacons is poor chalk coach at 13-22 ATS.

Coaches with best underdog ATS records-

Skip Holtz – ECU- 17-5
Mike Price – UTEP -13-6
Bob Stoops – Oklahoma- 12-6
Jim Grobe – Wake Forest – 30-15
Tommy Tuberville –Auburn- 22-14

Why so many that wager prefer underdogs are how certain teams play in these situations. Clemson with Bowden at the helm is 23-15 ATS and Pat Hill of Fresno State (34-22 ATS) made his reputation as being an underdog coach, winning numerous times outright against bigger name schools. The Ducks under Bellotti have taken flight with 33-21 spread mark as dogs. Mr. Mike “I’m a man!” Gundy has had Oklahoma State take on girlie-man appearances with 7-12 ATS record as underdogs.

With college football adding a 12th game to the schedule, the number of weeks with rest has been cut. Even so, some coaches know how to manipulate rest to teams advantage, while others don’t have a clue.

Best coaches with rest ATS records-

Mike Riley - Oregon State – 11-3
Pete Carroll- USC -17-5
Mark Mangino- Kansas – 7-2
Rich Brooks – Kentucky – 7-3
Mark Richt – Georgia – 13-5

Worst coaches with rest ATS records-

Gregg Brandon – Bowling Green -1-8
Jim Grobe – WF- 3-8
Larry Blakeney –Troy- 3-8
Mike Leach – Texas Tech – 5-9
Tommy Bowden – Clemson 6-13

Coaches on notable ATS streaks-

Les Miles of LSU is 11-1 ATS versus non-conference opponents.
Turner Gill of Buffalo is 10-2 ATS when matched against team with below .500.
Rocky Long of New Mexico is 11-0 ATS with rest against Mountain West Conference foes.
Tommy West of Memphis is 2-10 ATS as home favorite facing non-conference opponents.
Urban Meyer of Florida is 0-7 ATS on the road after winning two games straight up.
Al Groh of Virginia is 0-15 ATS on the road off a win and cover.

Record Update at 3DW

With so many new viewers, thought I’d update records for all to see and let everyone understand the value of this blog since we started.

System Plays -48-24, 66.7 percent
Top Trends -43-31, 58.1 percent
Free Plays – 52-38, 57.7 percent

We are 8th at Cappers Watchdog (see banner add for details) in MLB since joining and 7th in NFL Preseason. We are 4th at Free Sports Monitor in NFLX and 7th in Free baseball picks at The Sports Eye.

Behind the scenes the Left Coast Connection consensus plays are amazing 86-40, 68.2 percent and have occasionally been on this blog during baseball season. You will be able to purchase them here once college and pro football start for real, at very low price.

Free Plays Back at 3Daily Winners

One last apology on not being able to supply plays, thus we pick up from here. Today we have system that is 86 percent winner over last 11 years and involves the Yankees. Top Trend is a beauty and talks about how Boston fairs in unique spot. Today Free Play is from LCC run line specialist and can be a way to reduce juice and still win. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System -1) PLAY ON home favorites like the Yankees with a money line of -175 to -250, who are excellent fielding team, averaging an error every other game on the season, against opponent with a starting pitcher like Gil Meche, who walked five or more hitter’s last outing. This fairly complex system is rewarding 43-7, 86 percent since 1997. (Thanks StatFox)

Free Baseball Trend -2) The Boston Red Sox are 15-2 against the money line in home games vs. terrible power-hitting teams - averaging three or less home runs every four games this season.

Free Baseball Selection -3) One of the Left Coast Connection members is a run line player exclusively and is on Minnesota at -1.5 (-130)

Bonus System – Talked all year about teams with 10 or more hits in three straight games and playing against them on the road in next contest. Record to date of these teams is 31-52, -18.55 units and the Cubs, Arizona and Baltimore all fit this system tonight.

Like Aerosmith - Back in the Saddle Again

Hello again everyone, sorry for the undistinguished message above. I have an older laptop I use when I’m one the road and thought I could use no problem to keep up with writing this blog and other things. This turned out not to be true as the laptop or WiFi at the hotels were not a good match and I was powerless to do anything about. If I had known this would have occurred, would have informed everybody about what I was doing. Again sorry, it won’t happen again. Besides vacation time is officially all used up.

Myself and a friend ventured to SoCal to take a baseball vacation. This fine fellow, like me is sports nut and enjoys traveling around seeking new adventures, like visiting baseball stadiums. Here is what we saw.

Day One and Two

Arrived in Los Angeles and stayed not far from Universal Studios. They have this City Walk area that is a lot of fun and we sauntered around there for awhile soaking up the ambience and a few other things. Took him to the dark side, where there is a Raiders football store. That’s right, nothing but Raiders merchandise, black and silver everything, including Al Davis pictures wearing the same warm-up suit through the decades.(Not actually true)

Went down Sunset Strip and saw famous places like the Laugh Factory and Whiskey-A-GoGo and all the people sitting outside eating dinner at 10:00 PM. For Midwesterners, this is a REAL different lifestyle.

Next day went to world famous Santa Monica Pier and drove north to Malibu, eventually stopping at Duke’s, a great spot, literally right on the ocean for eats and drinks. (Overheard this was the place Mel Gibson last was before DUI arrest)

Went to Phillies at Dodgers game. Maybe is was the travel, but Philadelphia was flatter than the rolled out Santa Monica beach, with horrible body language throughout the game, players walking around acting like they didn’t care. Shortstop Jimmy Rollins waved at more than one ground ball and covered second base on steal attempts like am eight-grader, instead of an All-Star. The Dodgers white uniforms are even more striking in person, equally as white as any Hollywood starlet having teeth whiten for that full mouth smile.

Dodger Stadium is big, with multiple decks and very good sight lines. The parking lots are gi-normous (biggest in baseball) and yes they are a late arriving crowd. A good experience, but we both agreed not great, as first-times to Chavez Ravine.

Day Three

Traveled south to Venice Beach and walked by all the shops and sites this area had to offer. This is a must stop for any visitor to the area. My friend Chip (not real name) and I both agreed if anyone would want to drop out of sight and likely never be seen again, you don’t have to leave the country, just blend in to the counter-culture of Venice Beach and you will NEVER be heard from again. There is a number of INTERESTING characters masquerading as retailers and performance artists. One fellow caught our eye with this catching tune, “Have a Merry Happy Christmas, since I’ll be drunk all day.” Surprised he doesn’t have record deal yet being in L.A. area. Long Beach area is must see, having plenty of cool areas to visit along the waterfront.

Having been to the Big A in Anaheim previously, I knew it was pretty sharp ball yard, though older. Chip (once again not real name) was immediately struck how the fans are dressed like going to football game. We guesstimated 75 percent of the people walking into the Stadium were wearing Angels gear. Of course, we saw the source of this affection, as the Angels gift shop, which might be 1000 square feet, had eight checkouts humming with people buying Halos merchandise. No recession here. Granted having the best baseball team in 2008 certainly helps, but this place was rockin’ as fans really get into the game. The Angels took three over the wall and beat sorry Seattle.

Note to owner Artie Moreno- Artie we loved what you have done to make this a beacon of baseball, but please paint the Big A structure outside the stadium, the paint is so faded it looks like a 1960 Chevy El Camino. Went to Hooters after the game, the food, drinks and women, not good.

Day Four

Headed south, with San Diego next destination. Drove along Pacific Coast Highway, seeing all the surfer dudes in the water waiting for waves. Went to La Jolla to view The Cove and ended up walking about the equivalent of 15 miles, (bad parking spot on my part and modest exaggeration) and had lunch downtown. Went to Coronado Island to take in Hotel Del and sit by the ocean again, in incredibly relaxing area.

Left there to take in Petco Park and what a unique place. Built in the downtown waterfront district, the Padres home is a wonderful and unique modern park. Children’s sand play area and benches for fans in right-centerfield, this place is loaded with features we both have never seen. Perfectly blending the local landscape with modern touches, this place is awesome. If you are in the San Diego area in the summer time, definitely a must see facility. The Padres stink, lacking talent at most positions on the field.

This explains what I did and where I was. One more thing to cover, never ask somebody what their favorite college uniform is, it’s often conversation killer. I asked my friend and he responded with Penn State. The only comeback for that response is to change the subject. Next I asked him what his favorite kind of vanilla ice cream was.

Back in the saddle for the rest of baseball and football.

Sorry wish I could make it work.

I am sorry. There won't be any free selection until Friday. My laptop is not able to get a strong internet connection.

Strong MLB System and Trend for Sunday

Yesterday was one of those days, had a weird feeling while placing this information that it might not be a great day. This turned out to be true with 0-2 record. Today feel much better, starting with a MLB System that is a high quality 84.7 percent winner. The Top Trend heads to the Brew City with useful tip about Milwaukee and Paul Buck has been on good run, winning 13 of his last 17 selections. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more like Atlanta, who average less than a home run a game, against a starting pitcher like Brandon Webb, who gives up less than a home run every other start, after five straight games where they stranded seven or less runners on base. This system is a sultry 50-9 since O.J. Simpson was found liable in civil court for the death of Ron Goldman and for the battery of Nicole Brown Simpson.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Milwaukee is 22-3 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last two seasons.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Paul Buck has been on a nice streak of 13-4 and is backing Cincinnati to finally wake up and nab a win against Houston.

Sports Selections on August 9 from 3Daily Winners

As KC and the Sunshine Band used to say, “That’s the way we like it” after another 3-0 day here at 3DW. Our last 34 plays are now 26-8, 76.4 percent. Atlanta has beaten Arizona twice in their series; today’s Top Trend looks at if they can do it again. The LCC was correct on the Dodgers last night and has another consensus selection. No great systems in baseball, thus have unofficial one to ponder in the NFL. Good Luck.

Free Football System -1) PLAY UNDER on any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points in the first two weeks of the NFL Preseason. Teams that fit are Indy, Dallas and Washington. This system is 44-14, 72.4 percent. Please note this will not be official system play.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Atlanta is 1-12 against the money line in road games after a win by four runs or more this season.

Free Baseball Selection -3) The Left Coast Connection has seven bettors on the Chicago Cubs today and not a soul on the Cardinals.

Free Baseball Selections at 3Daily Winners

It’s been awhile, but it was due to happen, we finally had a losing 1-2 day. The Top Trend lost for the first time in eight days and comes back with perfect angle, which have hit nine of ten. A top notch System has several variables, with the day of the week being one of them and has won over 84 percent of the time. The Left Coast Connection has supplied many consensus winners as Free plays and has another. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST home underdogs, like Seattle with a money line of +125 to +175, who are below average AL hitting team (.265 or lower BA) against a team with a good bullpen like Tampa Bay, with an ERA under 3.75, playing on Friday. This system is ruthless 39-7, 84.8 percent the last 11 years.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Minnesota is 12-0 (+13.9 Units) against the money line with an on base percentage of .393 or better over their last three games this season.

Free Baseball Selection -3) The Left Coast Connection has eight members on the Dodgers with nary a soul backing the Giants. Like yesterday, divided opinions on the NFL tonight.

Broadway Brett affecting NFL

The Brett Favre soap opera has come to a conclusion and it couldn’t end soon enough for most people. The Green Bay Packers have traded Farve to the Jets for a conditional fourth round pick that should at the very least be a second round selection. Unfortunately, this will be play out longer in Wisconsin than most of the new shows that will be debuting on the various television networks this fall. This whole circumstance could have been avoided if Favre and the Green Bay Packers had acted like smart business people, interested in win-win scenario, instead of narcissistic individuals, playing to the crowd. This whole mess will end up having an impact on several teams, leading one to be cautious about making win total wagers.

Starting with Favre, his behavior off the field the several seasons has left a lot to be desired. The constant flip-flopping of retirement talk has made even boxers blush by comparison. In fact, its surprising Republicans haven’t come out and said Barack Obama is like Brett Favre, wavering on decisions.

Favre has given his all for the Green and Gold, no denying that, yet his constant off-field self-induced dramas has made him the butt of jokes. You have to ask yourself, why Favre would go on Fox’s Greta Van Susteren show. This is sports news, not national news in a traditional sense. Plus, calling out his employers, not feeling loved and wanted, despite making 12 million a year and having about 90 percent of the people in the state in your corner, no matter how many slip-ups over the years. Flying back to be at Lambeau Field for the team’s first official controlled scrimmage with Aaron Rodgers under center last Sunday, told everyone about how important Favre felt about his own shadow.

It’s not like the Green Bay front office is blame-less. General Manager Ted Thompson has never publicly stated any ill-will towards Favre, but has never gone out of this too praise him a great deal, more talking about the team in football-speak. His ridiculous stance of not wanting to Favre back is plain idiotic, since even if Favre were to play back to 2005-06 levels, he’s still in the top half of all starting quarterbacks in the NFL. Where do you or any other GM believes Aaron Rodgers ranks coming into 2008?

The sense you get is Thompson has done a good job rebuilding the Packers into a playoff team and he has fairly high opinion of himself for doing so. His Seattle days left more than a few feathers ruffled and he seems to have the full support of coach Mike McCarthy. This off-season, all of us have seen and heard more from McCarthy than any of his previous two seasons in Packer-land and it’s quite clear, he has his coach-speak down cold. The whole “80-man team” works well in July and August, but what about a divided locker after a few losses early in the season.

Kudos to Aaron Rodgers for being the best adult in the room. His situation was almost impossible after Favre retired, now with this, wow. If adversity determines the strength of a man, than Rodgers could probably win the gold medal for “clean and jerk” portion of the Beijing Olympics right today and the regular season is a month away. He’s done everything flawlessly off the field, however will be judged with greater scrutiny for what he does on the gridiron.

It is of note; the Packers have stayed at 9-1 odds to be NFC Super Bowl representative, however have been passed by Minnesota (5-1) and New Orleans (7-1) and tied by Philadelphia and Seattle as possible Super Bowl teams. Green Bay’s win total has also dropped from opening of Un9 to even money (-115 each side) at 8.5 wins at every sportsbook I could find.

Packer players have talked about being tired of all this talk about one man, who just recently became officially un-retired. What happens if the team gets off to slow start as Steve Makinen from StatFox.com wondered? “Opening Minnesota game has to be emotional on several levels, followed by a short week at sometimes challenging Detroit. Next is home game with Dallas. I’m not saying a 0-3 start will happen, but if it did, you could likely pull the plug on 2008 dreams.”

Tampa Bay figured to be the favorite all along, however something just didn’t click and will be determined in the days ahead. The New York Jets made plenty of noise in the off-season, with signings and now have made the play to knock the Giants off the front page of the sports section. A reasonable argument can be made that the Flyboys offensive skill players are every bit as good as the Packers with receiver Laveranues Coles and running back Thomas Jones leading the way. New York’s offensive line has to be considered above average with youthful talent blended with All-Pro free agent Alan Faneca. Sportsbooks across the world immediately pulled the Jets season total of wins and other long term projection odds. It would seem having the Flyboys at 7.5 or 8 wins, is looking a whole lot better today than on original purchase.

Minnesota thought they were seriously in the running, but underestimated Green Bay’s stubborn in keeping number four out of the division. The Vikings can say what they want, but having arguably the best offensive and defensive lines in the NFL, playing six games against Rodgers, Jon Kitna and T-Rex/Orton, would have made them feel pretty secure having the grey-speckled signal caller under center and improved their odds dramatically as NFC Central and NFC rep down in Tampa in February.

At this juncture, rehashing what should have occurred won’t change what did. Nonetheless, the miscalculations and ego-driven behavior will have direct impact on how the 2008 season will play out for all the teams involved in this fracas. It’s a sad day for Green Bay, but Broadway Brett is the new center of attention in the Big Apple.

Free Baseball Picks at 3Daily Winners

Hard to get too upset when a 2-1 day lowers your average, but that’s what has happened at 3Daily Winners, now a paltry (?) 22-6, 78.5 percent in last 28 Free Selections. Sal from the LCC has what he believes is another Free Winner out West. The Top Trends have won seven straight and looks at Rocky Mountain matchup. Super System play came up short and has intriguing play at 52-11 up today. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like the A’s with a money line of +100 or higher, who are poor AL offensive team scoring 4.2 runs a game or less against a team with a very good bullpen like Toronto (ERA of 3.33 or less), with a starting pitcher like Justin Duchscherer who gives up 5.5 or less hits a start. This scintillating system is 52-11, 82.5 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Washington is 3-13 in 2008 when Jason Bergmann is starting pitcher.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Sal’s tremendous baseball exploits continue after yesterday’s winner and he is on Arizona to rebound versus Atlanta. FYI- The Left Coast Connection members are all over the board on tonight’s NFL preseason games, thus nothing to report.

Free Picks back at 3Daily Winners

Back to deliver more winning information on 20-5 run, we’ve found a Super System that hits 80 percent right on the nose, on a large number of plays. Top Trend returns and it turns out to be one of those perfect, 100 percent angles. Sal from the LCC was hot in Vegas, will he continue, see below. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System -1) PLAY ON All favorites like Arizona with a money line of -150 or more, having won two of their last three games and is marginal winning team (51% to 54%), playing a weak team (38 to 46%) like Pittsburgh. This play comes up fairly frequently on the last five years with 140 plays, winning an astonishing 112 times. Reasoning is based on two teams not that far apart in terms of record, have a significant money line differential, suggesting reasons why a slightly above average team would be such a large favorite.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Minnesota is 11-0 against the money line with an on base percentage of .393 or better over their last three games this season.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Sal off a number of winners in Las Vegas, is playing the White Sox to win as Free pick here.

Back from Vegas

After little sleep, too many adult beverages, it’s back to reality. No doubt things are quieter these days in Sin City. The economy has had an impact, even in Las Vegas. Many more food deals, tons more one and two-cent slot machines and happy hours in most places we ventured. Normally craps is very good to me, however, only found one really hot table and came up a little short overall. I’d never played Let it Ride before, but Sal convinced me to try it and generally thought it was a pretty solid game and won a little. One of the guys pounded a five-team baseball parlay and hit it, wagering on Washington, Cincy, Arizona, Cleveland and Angels on Monday. Thou not something I would do, props to him on fantastic 29-1 payout. This was legit, since I saw the ticket.

Speaking of legit went and saw Carrot Top. The guy was hilarious with all his props and kept the jokes coming rabid fire. Everyone agreed, best stand-up they had seen in sometime. Went to Hawaiian Tropic restaurant after seeing something on the Travel Channel (yes, other things in life besides just sports, just not many) about this place. Despite girls walking around in bikini-tops and short cover-ups, no way to hide bad food. Calamari was the worst I’ve had in years and everyone agreed this place was pretty bad. Girls – Yes, Food – NO!

Mandalay Bay put in new bar called Eye-Candy, you can figure out the rest. The Palazzo is newer joint, next to the Venetian and though nice, didn’t grab anybody. Took my car out to Red Rock Hotel since nobody had been their besides me, everyone very impressed and quite a bit of action, being 15-20 minutes from The Strip.

Looking forward to getting back into routine, at least for a few days, more on that later.

Be Smart in Betting NFL Pre-Season

Many professional bettors and those that wager significant amounts of money on NFL football have differing opinions on this topic. There are those that see this as a real opportunity to build up a bankroll, taking advantage of lines they consider weak, especially totals. Others take the opposite approach and are extremely selective or pass all together, with too many variables that come into place which do not give them the advantage they are used to holding. While nobody is right or wrong based on personal taste, there are definitely wise precautions to take and enhance your position and make additional cash.

Never bet just to bet

One of the gentlemen from Las Vegas I spoke to said, “They line up at the windows like salivating dogs, dying to place that first football wager. I sit back and laugh my ass off watchin’ those fools so damn anxious to give away their money.” His point is well taken, the first couple of games are not necessarily the best games to bet on, be selective.

Know coaching tendencies

This is big, since August NFL football is completely different from the regular season. Coach like Tony Dungy of Indianapolis uses this month to prepare team for the regular season, not to win games. He plays it more vanilla than his public persona and the Colts play accordingly with 3-10 ATS record in last 13 outings. No matter whom the coach is; Dallas is another team that doesn’t place much stock in winning and is 16-29-2 ATS as a favorite in the preseason.

Other coaches want to establish a winning atmosphere from day one. Bill Belichick is one such coach and he is 7-0-1 ATS in week 1. Denver, with Mike Shanahan and all the coaches that came before him have wanted to win from the get-go and are 22-6 ATS for that first preseason game. The Broncos don’t mess around either off a loss, being 12-2-1 ATS if they were beaten as a favorite.

First year coaches and those feeling the pressure of poor previous seasons, will turn up the heat on players and demand immediate results to let the players know who is in charge or things have to change in order to have greater success. These head coaches want more of a sense of urgency.

Seek the right spot to find winners

Sal from the Left Coast Connection said this, “You’ll find plenty of gold backing teams winning or losing by 12 or more points. When teams win big, coaches will play nice to keep the players happy and they’re often unmotivated in next game, love to play against those teams. Conversely, a team plays badly, the head coach will become a lunatic and the players will go out and beat the crap out of next opponent just to shut the coach up.” Great example of this last August was Baltimore destroyed Philadelphia 29-3 at home as three-point favorites. The next contest, still playing at home, they were out-rushed 182-75 by the New York Giants and lost 13-12 as field goal favorites.

Look for bad scheduling spots

Last season the Green Bay Packers dismantled Seattle 48-13 on a Saturday in the second week of the preseason. The so-called all important third game is thought to be the dress rehearsal for the regular season, however the Pack had to come back just five days later to play Jacksonville in a nationally televised encounter and were defeated 21-13, as coach Mike McCarthy decided to not play regulars as much and word leaked out. Green Bay went from a 2.5-point favorite to three-point home underdog.

Read various team pages

As opposed to the regular season, when every coach become more tight-lipped then Teller (the guy that doesn’t talk) of Penn and Teller, coaches will openly discuss with the media their plans from game to game and provide information that provides insights to all the teams. Pick your favorite site and read up. One Vegas insider confided, “I wouldn’t bet a nickel unless I knew what the coach was thinking (in the preseason).”

Understand money management

Nobody will get rich betting NFL football this time of year, however serious damage could be done to a bankroll by being foolhardy trying to cash in. Set strict limits on each wager and NEVER deviate. Take your winnings into the regular season to have more to work with, instead of foolishly doubling down on a streak of good luck.

3Daily Winners take Time-Out

The 3Daily Winners crew is heading to Vegas to hit the tables and have a LITTLE FUN. No plays for Sunday for sure, Monday is very possible. Based on Monday night's plans, forget Tuesday, back in the saddle on Wednesday, hopefully with thicker wallets.

Good Luck to all of you.

Free Baseball Selections on Major Roll

You have to admit, this is fun getting Free Plays that are on 18-4 run, including 3-0yesterday. If you liked Friday’s Top System, you will love today’s with 42-5 record. Paul Buck, chief handicapper at 3DW is burning up the base paths and has another Free pick. Top Trends have been hotter than then Bullhead City, AZ and feature Boston. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System -1) PLAY ON all favorites like Milwaukee, with a money line of -175 to -250, with a rested bullpen, that has thrown two innings or less in each of the last two games against opponent after a game where the bullpen threw six or more innings. This unique system is 42-5, 89.4 percent in last 11 years.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Pitcher John Lester and Boston are 14-2 in the second half of the season in his career.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Paul Buck has been smokin’, hitting seven of his last nine MLB plays and is on Minnesota again to scalp the Tribe as his Free Play.

Free Baseball Selections, with Awesome System

Another winning 2-1 day has 3Daily Winners on nice 15-4 run. Today’s Top System is a remarkable 84.4 percent and must be considered. Will the Dodgers bounce back off 2-1 at home to Arizona, read the Top Trend for insight. Paul Buck returns with one his best plays of the day. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System -1) PLAY ON home favorites like Tampa Bay with a money line of -175 to -250, with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing two runs or less. This awesome system is 60-11, 84.4 percent. The average differential in these games has been +2.7 runs, plus you have to like the fact the Rays are 40-16 at The Trop.

Free Baseball Trend -2) The Los Angeles Dodgers are 3-10 after a one run loss.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Paul Buck has hit four of his last six MLB plays and is on Minnesota to maul Cleveland as his Free Play.

Free Baseball Selections at 3Daily Winners

After yesterday’s perfect 3-0 day, the 3Daily Winners plays are 13-3 since last Saturday. The LLC has another consensus Free play looking for two in a row. The Top Trends keep winning and showcase the big battle out West in the National League. Top System play takes a look at final White Sox and Twins matchup, with 80+ percent play. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like the White Sox with a money line of +100 or higher, starting a pitcher like John Danks who did not walk a hitter in last outing (six innings), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games. This system perks up bettor’s days being 37-9 record, 80.4 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Brandon Webb and Arizona are 11-2 in NL West road contests.

Free Baseball Selection -3) After being correct yesterday, five members of the Left Coast Connection have Cardinals as Best Bet, with nobody supporting Atlanta.

2008 Indianapolis Colts Preview

Even off of last year’s stunning playoff loss to San Diego, plenty of excitement abounds the Colts facilities this season. The opening of Lucas Oil Stadium has the town buzzing and Indianapolis did not suffer many casualties to free agency. The Colts ended up allowing the fewest points in the league (16.4 PPG), but the omnipresent pass rush was curtailed when Dwight Freeney went down. The return to health of Freeney and others should have the Colts back on course.

With Peyton Manning, the “other Manning” these days, he’s been freed to work on improving himself and showing the patience he occasionally lacked last season. This situation took a bit of a U-turn when Manning had to have what essentially was emergency surgery on his knee, due to infection, which had suddenly caused him pain in early July. While playing in one of the Colts' final two preseason games remains a possibility, Manning's primary goal is to be fully prepared for the Sept. 7 season and home opener against the Chicago Bears.

Marvin Harrison has looked good thus far in camp, with no noticeable limp and the more familiar explosiveness Colts fans are used to. Manning learned to play without Harrison the second half of the season and no longer needs him as security blanket. Peyton still led an offense that was third in points scored (28.1), fifth in total offense (358.7 YPG) and number one in third down conversion at 49.3 percent. It’s hard to find much fault, as long as Bill Polian and Tony Dungy are in charge.

There is a very good reason why Indianapolis has been as good as they have without a decline. GM Bill Polian and head coach Tony Dungy live in the present, always thinking about the future. The Colts lost G Jake Scott and back-up TE Ben Utecht, yet was able to keep every other player they needed. The offense line, though still strong, was given full attention, with three picks used. Arizona State’s Mike Pollack was chosen first and Remington runner-up, C Steve Justice was chosen in sixth round. Pollack is already showing promise, sharing playing time early in camp with vet Charlie Johnson at right guard for the departed Scott. The Colts M.O. has been to choose versatile linemen who can play more than one position and ultimately excel at one, once they find their niche. Tough Mike Hart of Michigan will compete for carries behind Joe Addai and bring winning attitude to the club. Adding outside linebackers Marcus Howard and Philip Wheeler means more speed from players that look like a good fit for Dungy’s defensive system. The beat goes on in Indy.

2008 Outlook- The expression, “luck is a residue of design” embarks what Indianapolis Colts are all about. GM Polian has carefully crafted a roster in harmony to his and coach Dungy’s preferences. Though the Colts are heavily wagered upon, they have still managed to be 15-10-1 ATS on the road the last three years. Indianapolis has the NFL’s second toughest schedule, yet nothing to fret; they just keep putting up “W’s” and head off all challengers. The Colts at 4-1, is quality wager to win the AFC. Even with the teams in the division improving and rugged slate of games, you either bet Indianapolis to go Over 11 wins at wagering outlets or pass.

Free Baseball Winners at 3Daily Winners

A 2-1Tuesday, with System and Trend plays coming up Winners. Today’s Top System goes right back to Texas, with 79.1 winning percentage. With Atlanta crying “uncle”, the Top Trend assesses their chances against the Redbirds. The Free Play in a consensus selection from the Left Coast Connection. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System -1) PLAY ON home favorites with a money line of -150 or more like Texas, a good offensive team scoring 5.2 or more runs a game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 15 runs or more. This system is sultry 57-15, 79.1 percent since 2006 and average winning margin is 2.5 runs per game.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Atlanta is 4-16 with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games over the last three seasons.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Six members of the Left Coast Connection have Arizona as Best Bet, with nobody backing San Diego.