August 8, 2009 at 3Daily Winners

Everything was going according to plan until the Giants gave it faster than (Fill in your own story) _____ and lost to Cincy, giving us losing day. The Cubs are in a nasty spot for Top Trend. The Best System around is 81.5 percent and a LLC member making solid cash has Free Pick. Good Luck

What happened yesterday- Though I lost in the monitors because there was no way to avoid it, I saved myself some money. I’d bet the Cubs with Carlos Zambrano, who scratched 15 minutes before the start of the game. I always take listed pitchers, since I rather go into a game with the reasoning I had (good or bad) than hope I get lucky with other circumstances I had not thought of. Do you play Listed Pitchers or Play Action? I’d love to here.

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Free Baseball System-1) PLAY ON AL home favorites like Detroit with a money line of -150 or more, with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season, in August games. Since 2005, this system is 31-7, 81.5 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) The Chicago Cubs are 3-19 as underdogs of +100 or higher, losing by 2.3 runs per game.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Alan of the Left Coast Connection is $5,240.00 since August began on personal wagering and he believes San Diego will sail by the Mets.

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Suitable for Framing Friday (I hope)

Not exactly inspiring 1-1 Thursday, but at least didn’t have losing day. The Top Trend will yield two plays from the same game, but will only count as one. The Best System is about as straightforward as they come and 62-12. Jason looks for another winner as a high volume player with Free Pick. Good Luck

What I’m learning – I’ve received a couple of emails from people regarding buying picks from the Google ads. As many of you might know, I have no control of what Goggle places on this blog other than to create matches. I’ve received one email today and saw one on a forum Killer Sports (From Google ads) is doing something fishy. When I learn more details will pass along, but like everything in life, Buyer Beware.

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Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Pittsburgh with a money line of +175 to +250 after allowing 10 runs or more. This system is an 83.7 percent winner at 62-12 since 2007.

Free Baseball Trend -2) I’m a little embarrassed to use this as trend because of the money line, thus I’ll give you both sides of it. Homer Bailey and Cincinnati are 0-10 when playing against a team with a winning record and Tim “Cy” Lincecum and the Giants are 15-1 vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game. (There I fell better)

Free Baseball Selection -3) Jason had the correct side yesterday raising his record to 23-9 in August and his best bet is Kansas City to oust Oakland.

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MLB Series Wagering- Twins at Tigers

For most of the season, the Minnesota Twins have been a floundering baseball club, not being good enough to run neck and neck with Detroit in the AL Central, nor bad enough to hang out with Cleveland and Kansas City. This weekend in the Motor City, they will have chance to change people’s perception of them, including their own.

The Twins (53-55, -7.8 units) have lost five of six and are undernourished 22-32 on the road, scoring 4.3 runs per game. Minnesota is in third place, 4 ½ games behind Detroit and knows the significance of turning season around quickly. “They’re all important when you’re chasing,” Minnesota manager Ron Gardenhire said. “It’s in our division and on the road. You don’t want to get too far behind or too far under .500.”

Detroit (57-50, +2.2 units) on the other hand has been a punishing home team. The Tigers are 34-17 at Comerica Park, which ties them for the fourth best home record with Tampa Bay and they are very profitable +12.4 units. Besides wanting to create distance between Central Division rivals, Detroit wants to get Armando Galarraga (5-10, 5.22 ERA) pointed in opposite direction. Galarraga has lost his last three decisions (Tigers have fallen five straight when Galarraga starts), having last won on June 30 against Oakland. "No pitcher in the history of the game can hide from the fact that you've got to throw strikes," manager Jim Leyland said in reference to his right-hander. "Every pitching coach talks about the same thing: Strike one. There's nothing new about that, but there's also a lot of truth to that.” Detroit is a -110 home favorite at DiamondSportsbook.com with total of 9.5, with Galarraga and teammates 2-12 in night games.

Minnesota will counter with Anthony Swarzak (3-4, 4.25), who was among the pitchers torn up by the Los Angeles Angels last weekend. Swarzak is a rookie and though his numbers are not overly impressive, he’s 2-0, with 2.22 ERA pitching on the road in four starts (Twins 3-1). With Minnesota off a tough 2-1 loss yesterday at Cleveland, they are 8-0 after losing by a single run versus a division rival over the last two seasons.

Game 1 Edge: Minnesota

Saturday’s contest will have the Tigers as large chalk favorites and they come into this series 28-12 as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. The main reason for being tagged with big number is because Jason Verlander (12-5, 3.29) is Detroit’s starting pitcher. Twins hitters don’t figure to have an easy time with hard throwing right-hander. Those swinging from the right side of the plate are batting only .223 against Verlander and he has 1.66 ERA this season in home games. Overall, Verlander and Detroit are 22-4 at Comerica against teams with losing records.

With Minny starting this series with 28-10 record after having lost five or six of their last seven games over the last two years, they will need Glen Perkins (6-7, 5.95) to do a 180-degree turn, after being shelled for season highs in runs (9) and hits (12) by the Halos. Perkins usually does a descent job once thru the batting order, but because he lacks an “out’ pitch, hitters are very comfortable the second or third time around. The only bright news is Perkins and the Twins are 10-4 when he hurls in Game 2’s. Totals players should be aware 10 of those 14 starts have gone OVER.

Game 2 Edge: Detroit

The scheduled Sunday afternoon pitchers are Scott Baker (9-7, 4.59) for Minnesota and Jarrod Washburn (8-7, 2.93) for Detroit. Baker was horrible to start 2009, but has emerged as Gardenhire’s ace since June. Baker is 7-1 since June 4, allowing three or less runs in 10 of his last dozen starts. Watch the money line on him since Baker and the Twinkies are 1-6 as underdogs.

Washburn was brought in to solidify Tigers staff and he suffered rocky first game wearing the “D” for a lid, giving up six runs in just over five innings against Baltimore in taking the loss. From pitching effectiveness perspective, he’s on pace to have career low ERA and could have his most wins since 2002 World Series season with the Angels (18). Left-handed batters are hitting only .184 against him, which could neutralize the M&M boys from Minnesota. Washburn is 4-2 in day games (team’s record) with 2.29 ERA and he’s on the right team with the Tigers 24-14 playing without lights.

Game 3 Edge: Detroit

Because our guest selectors have been performing so well with 4-0 record, we’ll bring in another, professional gambler named Sal to make the pick.

“It’s tempting to pick the Twins because they have won six of eight against Detroit and have winning record (11-9) at Comerica the last three years. Verlander will dominate Game 2 for Detroit. Game 1 is likely an Over with two pitchers that will be lucky to see the sixth (inning). I’ll give the Twins the nod in the opener. This brings it down to Sunday. As much as I like Baker right now, the Tigers play so well at home and the Twins stink as visitors. Washburn settles down with new club and Detroit wins the series.”

DiamondSportsbook.com series odds: Minnesota +135, Detroit -170

3DWPick: Detroit

2009 Record – 6-9

In Search of Winning Thursday

After 16 weeks of providing 60 percent or higher plays, we have hit the wall this week. As I said before, we’ll brag a little when we are doing well and face up to the fact when we are not. We’ve had five lousy days in a row and believe we have the right tonic in today’s Free Play and Top Trend. We want the Top System to be a winner; it just won’t count in our record since it is below 80 percent. Good Luck

What I thought yesterday- While Henry Aaron is one of the all-time great players; he’s on occasion voiced opinions that were questionable. He recently said all 104 players names should be released on 2003 MLB drug testing. I agree, but he’s also asked about having asterisk by their names in the record books. That is incorrect since what those players did was not against the rules of baseball. I agree it was against the integrity of the game, but it wasn’t against the rules.

Aaron has also said Pete Rose should be in the Hall of Fame. In this case Rose did break the rules and has been punished. Why would Aaron want a convicted (loose term I understand) liar allowed to receive the game’s greatest honor yet chastise others for what wasn’t illegal? This type of logic would be like every person who was pulled aside for potential drunken driving and blew 0.9 when the law was 1.0 and deciding to re-ticket them now since the new rule is 0.8. Thanks for the memories Hank, but you are wrong on these points. (Your opinions welcome)

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Free Baseball System-1) PLAY OVER on teams like Oakland teams when the total is 9 to 9.5, off two straight upset wins over division rivals as a home underdog and have 38 to 46 win percentage on the on the season. This non-qualifying system is 33-10, 76.7 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Though Texas is very popular wager today; the Rangers are 1-10 in road games with double revenge against opponent this season.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Jason of the LCC had been having ordinary MLB season by his standards, but has gotten as hot as the August weather and like the Yankees on the run line.

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New York Yankees revenge-minded favorites

The New York Yankees hold down first place in the American League East, however that will be only one the things they will have on their minds as Boston comes to town for consequential four-game series. New York is 0 for 2009 against the Red Sox, having lost eight games to them and they fully realized many more losses could cost them coveted division crown.

With the Yankees having been outscored 55-31 by the BoSox this season, manager Joe Girardi framed succinctly what these games mean. “You want to get that zero, that goose egg out of there,” Girardi said. “We’re going to be asked about that goose egg as long as it’s there, so you want to get that out of the way as soon as possible.”

After playing sloppy baseball the first three games in Chicago, New York won the last contest against the White Sox and swept Toronto 2-0, including taking down Yankee-killer Roy Halladay. This has to give Girardi’s club a mental boost and they are 14-2 after six or more consecutive road games this season.

Boston (62-44, +3 units) limps into the Big Apple, after losing two to Tampa Bay, falling further behind the Bronx Bombers and letting the Rays narrow the gap for wild card to three games. The Red Sox offense has been inconsistent all season on the road, scoring 4.8 runs per game, but tending to do it bunches. This accounts for 27-27 record and they are only 18-29 playing against a team with win percentage of 54-to-62 percent in the second half of the season since last year.

Boston will be at another disadvantage, as pickup John Smoltz (2-4, 7.12 ERA) has been totally ineffective. In his last three starts, Smoltz has ERA of 9.18 and has been tagged for six home runs, not exactly recipe for success at long ball-friendly Yankee Stadium. Though the former Atlanta hurler didn’t walk a batter, he is 1-8 after allowing no free passes over the last two seasons. (Team's Record)

The Yanks Joba Chamberlain (7-2, 3.58 ERA) by contrast has been amazingly effective. He’s come up with several big performances when New York has needed them and in last three starts, he has 0.83 ERA over 21 innings, surrendering just eight hits, posting three wins. Chamberlain and his pin-striped teammates are 14-3 in his last 17 starts in the Bronx.

Sports bettors are pounding the money line at Bookmaker.com on New York, now up to -200 after opening at -170, with the total relatively stable at Un10. The Red Sox should have confidence based on this year’s results and are 22-7 vs. AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs a game on the season. New York returns home feeling much the same way on three game winning streak. The Yankees are 20-6 off a victory and have won 27 of last 37 encounters. They have had their way with right-hand starters with sensational 17-4 record.

First pitch is set for 7:05 Eastern and though public perception is these rivals always play high-scoring games, they are 9-9 against the total playing in New York.

Time to climb over the hump on Wednesday

It was a bad day at Bedrock (rare Flintstone’s reference) with 0-3 record. I really sense a tumultuous period, with lots of surprising underdogs winning. If you are not having good season, it might be time to bail and get ready for football or be very careful like yours truly over the next several days. The Best System is 90.9 percent and has complete article about it is written for today. The Top Trend features a Brewers pitcher and Randy of the LCC hopes to keep winning with Free play. Good Luck

What I learned yesterday - Ichiro Suzuki went 2-for-5 in the Mariners' 7-6 win at Kansas City. It was the 600th multiple-hit game of Ichiro's nine-year major-league career. That's by far the most multi-hit games over a nine-year span during the live-ball era. The second-highest total during that time is 581 by Rogers Hornsby (1920-1928 and 1921-1929). Thanks Elias

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Free Baseball System-1) See Reds article below.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Brandon Looper of Milwaukee is 1-11 when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last two seasons. (Team's Record)

Free Baseball Selection -3) Randy of the LCC pops up on 7-2 baseball run and likes the Rangers on the money line.

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Reds up against nasty 90+ percent system

The Cincinnati Reds have fallen into the abyss and they are engaged in a battle they really can’t win at the moment. Cincinnati (45-61, -14.8 units) started to go south just before the All-Star break, losing six of eight. Things have gotten even worse for the Reds, as they have gone off the deep end, right into the nearby Ohio River since, with eight straight losses and posting one win in last 15 contests.

The offense in particular is to blame, having nine hits as the high water mark in last 11 games. The Cincinnati bats have generated an atrocious 3.1 runs per game during stretch and they have lacked pitching support as bailout backup plan, since they have been outscored by almost three runs per game (2.93) during this horrendous period.

It doesn’t figure to get any easier tonight against their division rival Chicago Cubs (57-48, -0.4 units). The Cubs are a National League-best 14-5 (+8.85) since the All-Star game and are mere percentage points ahead of St. Louis for the lead in the NL Central. With two victories already in hand in the series, the Cubs have won six in a row over the Reds this season.

Chicago will go for the sweep behind Rich Harden (7-6, 4.50 ERA), who has worked out mechanical issues. Harden was having difficulties with his stride, causing him to throw everything up in the strike zone. Since making correction, Harden has 1.50 ERA in his last four starts and picked up two wins. The right-hander has been sterling on the road all year with 4-1 record and 2.19 ERA in eight assignments.

With Cincinnati scoring a measly 2.6 runs per game in this eight-game losing streak, they are +165 home underdogs according to DiamondSportsbook.com and run up against this puissant system.

Play Against all underdogs with a money line of +150 or more, who is cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last three games, against opponent with a sizzling starting pitcher, with WHIP 1.000 or less over his last five starts.

With the Reds 4-15 at Great American Ballpark after five straight games with less than 10 hits, it is even more difficult to combat a system that is 40-4, 90.9 percent since 2005. The Cubs are bashing bad baseball teams like the Reds and are 9-0 vs. clubs outscored by opposition by 0.5 or more runs a game in the second half of the season.

Take a close look at playing against Cincy the results are in your favor to be satisfied.

Tuesday's Top Plays and lesson learned

Never would have guessed the Dodgers to lose last night, but it happens. In case you haven’t noticed, the MLB lines are razor sharp and dogs have been coming in with great frequency since August has started. Today’s only qualifying System play is 80.9 percent. Kendall reappears here for Top Free Play and a team from the Cement Jungle is involved in Top Trend. Good Luck

What I learned yesterday (again) – Why wagering everyday is so difficult is the moods we are in. Even the most successful of sports bettors have off days, sometimes due to lack of discipline. Though I only 0-1 yesterday, playing Pittsburgh was stupid and here’s why. On Friday when the series started, I remember telling myself (I work at home, I’m so alone I have to talk to somebody that will listen) to be smart and don’t follow bad teams playing each other because every game can literally go either way. So what do I do yesterday, play the Bucs against the Nats. I’m still having great season, however dunce cap for that play.

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Free Baseball System-1) PLAY ON AL home favorites with a money line of -150 or more with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season, in August games. The Tigers fit a system this is 76-18, since 1997.

Free Baseball Trend -2) The New York Mets are 15-1 against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw six or more innings, winning by almost four runs per games. (Granted with much better line-up)

Free Baseball Selection -3) Kendall must be getting ready for football, he’s smokin’ in MLB action with 9-2 run and views Florida flushing Washington.

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These Angels make Heavenly Profits

The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim quietly moved ahead of more well-known teams like Boston and the New York Yankees, to be the best team in the American League with 63-40 record and would be ahead for the best overall record with their city brethren, the Dodgers, if they had played two more games and won both. The Angels may not have made a lot of noise in climbing to be the best team in the AL, but they have excruciatingly loud with how they swing the bat.

The Angels lead the Major Leagues in hitting with a .290 average. With the high batting average, they are also the No.1 scoring offense at 5.7 runs per game, helped dramatically by hitting .308 with runners in scoring position. Just how good is the Los Angeles offense, start considering these numbers.

Manager Mike Scioscia’s team plays its own version of merry-go-round, with 94 more total hits than the average AL team to this point of the season. The Halos are second in baseball in all important on-base percentage to the Yankees and are third in slugging percentage, despite hitting 40 less home runs than the Bronx Bombers (154 homers) and 45 less than second place Texas (159 homers).

To understand just how good Los Angeles has been playing, consider on June 12, they were 29-29 on the season. Since then, L.A. is 34-11, having picked up +21.65 units of profit in just over seven weeks. Over what is a quarter of the season during this stretch, the Angels are AVERAGING over seven runs per game. That includes not having two of their biggest sluggers, Torii Hunter and Vladimir Guerrero in the lineup since before the All-Star break when they swept the Yankees at the Big A.

Just this part weekend, L.A. traveled to Minnesota, who was just off a sweep of the Chicago White Sox and feeling pretty spry. All the Angels did was outscore the Twins 35-15, collecting at least 15 hits in each game, becoming just the second American League team since the 1938 Red Sox (Sept. 4-5) to score more than ten runs with at least 15 base hits in each of three straight games. The Cleveland Indians did so in the interim with 15-4, 13-5 and 17-9 victories over the Brewers at County Stadium (Sept. 4-6 1986) according to Elias Sports Bureau.

The Angels remarkable offense plays in the Windy City starting Tuesday against the White Sox. The domination of this newer Big Red Machine shows up in several other key areas. A test of a team’s strength is how they preside over other opponents. Scioscia’s squad leads the major’s in running from first to third and this dizzying pace has them at 27-12 in games decided by four or more runs. They are 14-7 (+14.6) as underdogs and one game behind Philadelphia for the best road record (31-20) in baseball, having won 15 of last 18 as visitors.

Are the Angels than true World Series contenders? Probably not, unless the offense can continue at near the same pace, this is unlikely to occur in the postseason. The Los Angeles pitching staff does not strike fear into opposing hitters with ERA of almost five. John Lackey’s pitching has improved as the season has won on, but he is no longer the hard thrower he was when the Halos won the World Series in 2002. Jered Weaver has started to pitch like a No. 4 starter again, after throwing like an ace early in the season. Joe Saunders is hitting a lot of bats and Ervin Santana is a shell of former self since coming back from injury.

The bullpen has gotten better after carrying ERA of 5.5 or worse into June, but could hardly be described as reliable. The Angels front office acted like a salesperson working without leads in this recession and did nothing to help out current team, despite many working parts in the minor leagues.

That is something to concern with later; right now the Angels are stuffing bankrolls. Parlay wagers on them with the OVER mean serious return on investment, with Los Angeles 61-37-5 OVER (No.1). Totals players can’t believe their great fortune with L.A. on 13-0 OVER run. Since July 1, the Angels and OVER has won on parlays 18 times.

It’s not always fun to follow the crowd and do what everyone else is doing, nevertheless, when money is ripe to be taken, playing these Angels and the total is heavenly.

Looking to start the week right

We’ve been a little ordinary lately with our plays, time to pick up the pace. We’ll start with 40-3 System, which is awfully good. The Top Trends checks in how the O’s might do in Motown. I’ll dole out another Free Play chasing success. Good Luck

What I learned yesterday – Melky Cabrera's ninth-inning triple completed the first cycle by a Yankee since Tony Fernandez in 1995. The only American League team with a longer current cycle drought than the one the Yankees just ended is Kansas City. No player has cycled for the Royals since George Brett in 1990. Cabrera's cycle was the fifth in the major leagues this season and the fourth that was completed with the toughest of the four elements, a triple. Michael Cuddyer, Ian Kinsler and Orlando Hudson each finished a 2009 cycle with a three-base hit; Jason Kubel capped his with a home run.

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Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like Milwaukee, with a money line of +150 or more, who are batting chilly .200 or worse over their last three games, against opponent with starting pitcher who has WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last five starts. Give me a high five if you like 40-3 record, 93 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) The Baltimore Orioles are 2-15 in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 or better this season, losing by 3.3 runs per game.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Nailed my play here and like Pittsburgh to keep it going for me.

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Why can’t San Fransisco win on the road?

You’ll have to forgive the San Francisco if they are feeling a little giddy at the moment. This team came into the 2009 season looking to rid itself of an overbearing shadow (Barry Bonds) and build a new foundation based on pitching and fielding with younger players. Everything has essentially gone according to plan except for one element, the Giants are tied for the wild card lead after winning three of four at home against the World Series champion Philadelphia Phillies, who have the best road in baseball.

San Francisco has the best home record in the game at 37-16 (+20.4 units). Unless the Giants are going win there remaining 28 games at AT&T Park, they are going to have to pick up the pace on the road.

The Giants travel to Houston (52-53, +1.3 units) for a three game set and they are 21-31 (-6.8 units) wearing the road uniforms. Most team’s offense will sag on the road, which is particularly dangerous for manager Bruce Bochy’s club, since they only score 3.9 runs per game to start. As visitors, the Giants are last in the National League (29th in baseball) in runs scored at 3.4 per game.

Brian Sabean is the San Francisco general manager, who tried to milk the Bond’s era for every late drop and not enough every day ball players have come up through the Giants system that are productive. The farm system hasn’t been completely barren, with hitting-machine Pablo Sandoval and Nate Schierholtz having very good breakout seasons.

Though AT&T Park is believed to be pitcher’s park, it’s the Giants pitchers and extensive center field area that lends itself to that belief. Balls hit straight away to right or left field and towards the lines, travel the same as anywhere else. If anything, San Francisco should score more runs, not less on the road.

The conundrum is more varied and is brought out in other numbers. Giants’ hitters are next to last in the Major Leagues in extra base hits and home runs on the road. They are far from a patient group in visiting uniforms, averaging only two walks per game (30th) and have little speed, with a manger not inclined towards the running game, ranked 12th in stolen bases in the senior circuit.

What the Giants do have is pitching and lots of hit. Led by Tim Lincecum, San Francisco can mow down opposing batters. They lead the NL in ERA, complete games (9) and shutouts (15). There infielders don’t receive as much action as other teams, however they get plenty of practice throwing the ball around the infield, since Giants hurlers strikeout the most batters.
One big turnaround pitcher has been Matt Cain (12-2, 2.12 ERA). After years of being a play against pitcher because he always had that one bad inning, Cain has been brilliant, and is coming off nine shutouts innings against Pittsburgh last Wednesday. The Giants have won 16 of his 21 starts in 2009.

DiamondSportsbook.com has made the Giants a -133 money line road favorite and Cain and company are 11-1 as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. They will face Mike Hampton (6-8, 5.36) and the Astros in series lid-lifter. Hampton has been rocked in last three starts with ERA of almost 10. Though San Fran is 17-11 against left-hand starters, Hampton has given them trouble during his career. The veteran lefty has owned certain teams like Pittsburgh, whom he’s picked up half his wins against this season, with the Giants not to far behind. He’s 15-4 with a 3.59 ERA in 23 career starts vs San Francisco and Houston heats up like the Texas weather in August, with 22-10 record the last couple of seasons.

This contest is an 8:05 Eastern start at Minute Maid Park and will be available for viewing in local markets. One last thing to worry about the Giants, they are 1-6 in last seven visits to Houston.

Planning on Winning Sunday at 3Daily Winners

Had a misstep yesterday with 1-2 mark and want to close the week on winning note. To do so have 85 percent system taking place in the Bay Area. Today’s Top Trend involves bad baseball teams, which is worse, keep reading. I’ll throw out my two cents (I actually will wager more) on Free Play. Good Luck

Thought of the day – While most people don’t believe the New York Yankees could lose four in a row to Chicago, don’t count me among them. The Yankees are playing very sloppy baseball, both physically and mentally and though C.C. Money Bags has good history against the White Sox, his recent starts have teams batting .317 against him. Mark Buehrle has poor history against Yanks, but you won’t see me betting against him on a Sunday at the Cell.

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Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs with a money line of +150 or more, who are batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games, against opponent with a scorching starting pitcher, with WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last five starts. The pitcher is Cole Hamels, which means San Francisco could be hurting for system that is 51-9, 85 percent since 2007.

Free Baseball Trend -2) The Washington Nationals are 0-12 on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season, losing by an average of 2.9 runs per game.

Free Baseball Selection -3) I’m as hot as anyone right now with 21 winners in 28 games (not bragging just factual) and I like Toronto to toast Oakland.

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Sunday Night Baseball Preview

With Jair Jurrjens taking the mound, the Atlanta Braves have a good chance to win their lone home series in a 17-day span. That will require a second straight victory over the best team in the majors as the Braves and Los Angeles Dodgers decide their three-game set Sunday night at Turner Field. These games are Atlanta’s only home contests between July 24 and Aug. 9, a stretch that came just as the Braves have won 11 of 14 at home. Jurrjens (9-7, 2.69 ERA) has won all three of his starts at Turner Field in that span, allowing one earned run and six hits in 20 2-3 innings.

Atlanta’s latest home loss was a 5-0 defeat in Friday’s series opener, but the Braves (53-51, -6.8 units) bounced back with a 4-3 victory Saturday afternoon, giving them their ninth win in last 12 games as home favorite.

With an offense that has been inconsistent for much of the year, Atlanta has relied on strong pitching—its 3.74 ERA is among the lowest in the majors—to stay within striking distance in the NL East and wild-card races. Derek Lowe turned in a quality start Saturday to win his first game against his former team.

Jurrjens has been perhaps the Braves’ best pitcher this season, with his ERA leading the team’s starters and ranking among the top six in the NL.

The right-hander has been especially hot lately; going 3-0 with a 1.75 ERA in his last four starts overall. He failed to win his fourth straight outing Tuesday against Florida, but still allowed just two runs in six innings of Atlanta’s 4-3 loss. He is 20-8 after a win over the last three seasons. (Braves Record)

Jurrjens beat the Dodgers twice last year, allowing two runs and eight hits in 13 innings and has won his last five starts against NL West clubs. He’ll again face Los Angeles’ Chad Billingsley after beating him in Atlanta’s 9-3 victory July 8, 2008.

The Dodgers (64-40, +17.6 units) aren’t feeling much heat with a comfortable lead in the NL West, but Billingsley (10-6, 3.96) is under some pressure after his recent struggles. The right-hander won nine of his first 12 decisions and had a 2.72 ERA on June 14, but since then he’s 1-3 with a 6.46 ERA in eight starts, including 1-4 if opponent had winning record.

He allowed one hit through five shutout innings Tuesday against St. Louis, but gave up six runs and couldn’t get out of the sixth in a 10-0 loss, walking a season-high six. Still, Dodgers manager Joe Torre said he had “good stuff” and seemed optimistic about Billingsley’s progress. “It got to the point, in a close game, it just looked to me like he was trying to make every pitch perfect,” Torre told the Dodgers’ official Web site. “That was about as good and loose and free I’ve seen him in a while.”

Besides his loss to Jurrjens, Billingsley also lost to the Braves in his first start against them April 19, 2008. In the two outings, the right-hander walked nine and allowed nine earned runs in 10 1/3 innings.

The newest Brave, Adam LaRoche, has homered twice off Billingsley in four at-bats. LaRoche, traded from Boston to Atlanta on Friday after being shipped from Pittsburgh to the Red Sox nine days earlier, went 2 for 3 with a walk Saturday to begin his second stint with the Braves.

“This turned out great,” LaRoche said. “I’m not going to lie and say Boston wasn’t fun. I did not see this coming at all. But if I was going to go anywhere from Boston, this is where I would want to be.” Atlanta has won six of seven at Turner Field against right-hand starters.

DiamondSportsbook.com has established Atlanta as -120 money line favorites with total having shrunk to 7.5. The Braves are 5-1 in Game 3’s of late and 6-2 if Jurrjens is the starter. Atlanta is 12-3 UNDER when the 23-year old takes the ball and the money line is +125 to -125.

Andre Ethier is the Dodgers hottest hitter, going 4 for 9 with two home runs and five RBIs in the series. He’s 2 for 3 with three walks in his career against Jurrjens. Los Angeles will need his bat and they are 20-7 vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits a start this season. L.A. is 9-2 OVER after allowing four runs or less four straight games this season.

ESPN of course will have the coverage starting just after 8 Eastern, with Torre’s club 23-9 in Game 3 of a series. These teams will meet four times at Dodger Stadium starting Thursday.

Mike Lipka, STATS writer contributed to this article.

Line them up on a Saturday

A 2-1 Friday record brings us to 173-111-3, 60.9 percent, more than holding our own going over four months. Today’s Best System is 37-8 in the American League. The Top Trend looks at a total following a pitcher who has pitched like a king. The Free Plays are on 16-2 run. Good Luck

What I learned yesterday - Jason Schmidt and three relievers held the Braves off the scoreboard as the Dodgers took the opener of their series in Atlanta, 5-0. Believe it or not, that was the Dodgers' first shutout win in Atlanta in more than 20 years - since Ramon Martinez blanked the Braves, 7-0, on June 5, 1989. That span of 20 years, 56 days is the longest in National League history without a road shutout win by one team against another. (Thanks, Elias)

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Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Royals, who average 0.9 or less home runs per game, against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less dingers a start, with an artic starting pitcher who has WHIP 2.000 or higher over his last three starts. Since 2005, this system is 37-8, 82.2 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Felix Hernandez and Seattle are 14-2 UNDER on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last two seasons, with the average scored totaling 6.2 runs per game.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Kyle of the Left Coast Connection expects the Yankees to turn Chicago into a pair of dirty old sox.

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Lookin' to Fly on a Friday

Just like I said, nothing to worry about as 3Daily Winners came back with you guessed it, three Winners yesterday. You will have to visit Sesame Street for Free Pick since the teams involved start with the letter “C”. The Top Trend settles down on the west coast of Florida and the Best System is 86.4 percent. Good Luck

What I learned yesterday - The White Sox and Yankees combined for 23 strikeouts and one walk on Thursday in Chicago. In the era of the designated hitter (1973 to date) there's been only three other games played under American League rules in which the teams combined for 23 or more strikeouts and no more than one walk, and in each of those games, the ratio was also 23/1.(Thanks, Elias)

Now on Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY ON home favorites with a money line of -150 or more like Minnesota, after three straight games where they committed no errors, starting a pitcher who allowed five or more runs in his last two outings. This was today’s only qualifying system and it is 38-6, 86.4 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Tampa Bay is 21-3 in home games vs. a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 over the last two seasons, winning by an average of 2.6 runs per game.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Nice work by Kyle on 4-0 day and he likes Colorado to sink Cincinnati.

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CFB Pre-Season Magazines offer intrigue - Part Dos

In part two of our article about college football pre-season magazines, we’ll take a look at the other five conferences, the Big Ten, Pac-10, SEC, MAC and Sun Belt. Three of the five leagues and or divisions have unanimous choices and it doesn’t take brain surgeon to figure what teams those are, with a few others up for grabs. Read on to learn more and start preparing to place your bets.

Big Ten
1) Ohio State
2) Penn State
3) Michigan State
4) Iowa
5) Illinois
6) Michigan
7) Wisconsin
8) Minnesota
9) Northwestern
10) Purdue
11) Indiana

Analysis- Here’s a surprise; Ohio State and Penn State are the favorites to win the Big Ten. Well, not really. The Buckeyes reload with the best of them and they will find out early where they are on national scope, hosting USC. Honestly, not sure why the Nittany Lions are rated this high with all the personnel losses and they haven’t recruited like the other top schools in the country. This also might be indictment of Big Ten. Michigan State continues to improve under coach Mark Dantonio, however quarterback and running back positions must be filled. Iowa could finish higher if lines on both sides of the pigskin dominate. Illinois could be most explosive offense in the conference and they might need to be, with so many new faces in back seven of defense. Rich Rodriguez better have a winning record in Ann Arbor, or fans of the Maize and Blue will really become restless. Minnesota opens new outdoor venue, but also has trips to Penn State and Ohio State that will impede progress. The rest of the teams have more holes than a Dunkin Donuts. Another so-so year in Big Ten Country.

Pac-10
1) USC
2) California
3) Oregon
4) Oregon State
5) UCLA
6) Arizona State
7) Stanford
8) Arizona
9) Washington
10) Washington State

Analysis – When somebody raises the bar to a new level, aren’t those chasing the lead dog supposed to at least catch them in time, if not surpass their efforts? In spite of only having 12 returning starters (three on defense), USC is the unanimous choice to repeat as Pac-10 champs. Besides Pete Carroll’s ability to fill a three-deep roster with incredible talent, this happens to be the year the Pacific 10 is quarterback poor. Only Washington and Oregon have field leaders that can be counted on to start the year. If one team has legit shot at the Trojans this year, it is California. If Kevin Riley improves accuracy to receiving targets, the 15 other Bears’ players that started last season should be even hungrier. Cal will know where they stand by early October with games at Oregon and USC, the first two on Pac-10 slate. Oregon has new coach in Chip Kelly needing to rebuild O-Line. Oregon State will have several fresh eager Beavers on defense. The rest are trying cover up weakness, with the Washington universities trying to lay foundation.

SEC East
1) Florida
2) Georgia
3) Tennessee
4) So. Carolina
5) Kentucky
6) Vanderbilt

SEC West
1) Mississippi
2) Alabama
3) LSU
4) Arkansas
5) Auburn
6) Mississippi State

Analysis – In the East Division, Florida is the hands-down choice to be play for SEC title again and is most everyone’s No.1 team to start the season. Georgia has just the kind of team that excels when in this position. Coach Mark Richt’s best teams have been those with lower expectations. Tennessee’s Lane Kiffin will eventually have to stop talking and coach, trying to bring in players that can knock off the Gators and Bulldogs. Steve Spurrier has found out top recruits like Gainesville better than Columbia, SC. As mundane as the East appears, the West Division should be rollicking fun. Ole Miss has gathered the most first place votes, with a talented squad led by QB Jevan Snead and Oxford will play host to Alabama, LSU and Tennessee, with Florida or Georgia nowhere in sight. If Greg McElroy is as prepared to lead the Crimson Tide as he believes, those that choose Bama to win the West should be correct. Coach Les Miles has always been unafraid of change and brought in top notch coaches like John Chavis (14 years at Tennessee) to improve his defense. Check with Bookmaker.com for the latest odds. These Tigers will be trouble. This is still the best conference in football by fair margin. (Did you guess that was Tim Tebow pic?)

MAC-East
1) Buffalo
2) Bowling Green
3) Temple
4) Ohio U
5) Akron
6) Kent State
7) Miami-O

MAC –West
1) Central Michigan
2) Western Michigan
3) Northern Illinois
4) Ball State
5) Toledo
6) Eastern Michigan

Analysis- The MAC conference has its up and down years and this could be one of the not so great years with five new coaches among the 13 universities. What last season proved is mediocrity or losing, won’t cut it in the MAC anymore. This conference needs to put fannies in the seats and have teams that play well with all it’s weekday televised games during the course of the season. Buffalo created vast excitement, winning the East Division and is the odds-on choice to repeat, with Bowling Green and Ohio U. snagging first place votes. In the West Division, the two best quarterbacks in the league reside on that half of the ledger. Dan LeFevour will once again be at the helm for Central Michigan, while Tim Hiller is under center for Western Michigan. None of the rest of the squads are presumed to compete for West crown. Everyone is still scratching their heads at Ball State, why Brady Hoke left his alma mater to coach San Diego State. At best a lateral career move for Hoke.

Sun Belt
1) Troy
2) Arkansas State
3) Florida Atlantic
4) Middle Tennessee State
5) UL-Monroe
6) Florida International
7) Louisiana- Lafayette
8) North Texas
9) Western Kentucky

Analysis- Maybe it’s the nickname Trojans, but Troy has the same appeal in the Sun Belt Conference that USC has out West, being unanimous choice. Troy joined the Sun Belt in 2004 and has won three championships in a row. Coach Larry Blakeney recruits well, sets high expectations and hits the road to play top teams like Florida this season. The league as a whole is improving and Arkansas State and Florida Atlantic are part of that development. The Red Wolves are loaded at skill positions, while the Owls are flying with confidence, having won six of last seven contests a year ago, including the Motor City Bowl upset of Central Michigan. Middle Tennessee State has 19 starters back, however many played as freshmen and sophomores. The Blue Raiders have upset potential if Dwight Dasher emerges as quarterback. The remaining group will try to avoid last place, hoping its newest member Western Kentucky, will occupy that spot in 2009.

MLB Series Wagering- Astros at Cardinals

Coming into the season, the Houston Astros were among the more interesting teams in baseball. They had a veteran cast of players who had been involved in several pennant races and because of budget restrictions, general manager Ed Wade had to assemble a starting pitching staff by using Linkedin, with the only other qualification being they were under 40 years old. Oddsmakers weren’t impressed and hung 73.5 for a win total on Houston, however with roughly two months to go in the season; the Astros (51-51, +0.9 units) are hovering around .500 and within striking distance like they have been in the five years in the NL Central.

Houston’s season has taken many twists and turns and presently they are in downward spiral, having lost five of six. They arrive in St. Louis (56-49, 0 units) to face a club that almost swept the best team in the National League, the Los Angeles Dodgers, in four games. The Cardinals pitching was fantastic against L.A., allowing six runs in 36 regulation innings and two runs in seven extra frames. Last night’s 10-inning loss to the Dodgers dropped the Cards out of first place for the moment. St. Louis enters the weekend having played the most games in the big leagues and manager Tony LaRussa has to be thrilled his club will be off Monday and Thursday next week, for a well deserved break.

Houston will trot out one its elder statesmen Brian Moehler (7-6, 5.16 ERA) in the series opener. The 37-year old right-hander became a starter again last season in Houston and had found a groove in allowing three earned runs or less in eight straight starts, before being roughed up by the New York Mets for five runs in his last turn. Moehler’s skill has been his ability to keep his team in the game and the Astros are 20-11 in night games when he pitches the last two years.

The Cardinals will come from the opposite direction, recalling rookie Mitchell Boggs (1-0, 3.22) from Triple-A Memphis. Boggs was up with St. Louis in April and part of May and started to struggle. He’s earned this promotion according to manager Tony La Russa, conceding one run in last 21 innings over three starts. “I think he’s pitched effectively down there,” La Russa told the team’s official Web site. DiamondSportsbook.com has the St. Louis has -180 money line favorites in the opener, with the total Ov9. The Cards are 7-1 in recent Game 1’s and 12-3 as home favorites. Don’t give up completely on Houston, since they have won Moehler’s last five road starts and are 4-0 when he’s been listed as underdog.

Game 1 Edge: St. Louis

Both bullpens came into this series weary for different reasons. St. Louis had two extra inning games with the Dodgers and Houston’s was slapped around like the 3 Stooges by the Cubs. The middle conflict of this NL Central showdown is likely to see the pens get some rest with two strong pitchers. Wandy Rodriguez (10-6, 2.65) has to be sad to see the calendar flip to August, after sensational July. In five starts, the left-hander was 4-0 (Astros 5-0) with microscopic 0.75 ERA. He’s among the better values as starter at +6.45 units.

The Cardinals will counter with their ace Chris Carpenter (9-3, 2.19). The New Hampshire native hasn’t always had his best stuff like last Monday on ESPN, but he steers clear of trouble, being able to find one of his assortment of pitches to take care of hitters. St. Louis is 21-7 in Carpenter’s Game 2 starts and 39-12 if he pitches at Busch Stadium.

Game 2 Edge: St. Louis

The Cardinals role as favorite in the last game of the series will be determined by who pitches for the ‘Stros. Roy Oswalt (6-4, 3.61) left Tuesday's game with a lower back strain and received a pain-killing injection on Wednesday. If he feels well enough, Oswalt will give it a go. If not, Bud Norris will make his first Major League starting appearance. Norris allowed one run in three innings in his debut Wednesday against the Cubs. Baseball America has the 24-year old as the second best prospect in the Houston organization. He has 92-96 MPH fastball and a plus-curveball.

The only thing Adam Wainwright (12-6, 2.80) needs is a saddle. The Redbirds workhorse has pitched a minimum of six innings in last 20 starts (seven innings or more in seven of last nine trips to mound) and has surpassed the 110-pitch count 10 times in 2009. Wainwright and the Cards are 8-2 versus the NL Central, yet is surprisingly 6-6 at home. This will be the only day game of the series, with St. Louis 20-19 and Houston 17-15.

Game 3 Edge: St. Louis

Houston swept the Cards earlier in July during one of its hot spells. The Astros have also been swept in St. Louis this season and have lost nine of last 11 contests near The Arch. Our guest cappers are 3-0 and Hurricane Bill of Playbook.com will try to keep the streak alive.

“A big weekend match-up finds a pair of NL Central contenders heading in opposite directions as the struggling Houston Astros, losers of 5 of their last 6, travel to St. Louis to take on Cardinal squad that is coming off a series win over the Los Angeles Dodgers. To make matters worse for the visitors is they arrive short-handed with main offensive weapon, Lance Berkman, on the DL and ace Roy Oswalt experiencing back stiffness and in danger of missing Sunday’s finale. The hosts, on the other hand, look to be firing on all cylinders as new additions Matt Holliday, Mark DeRosa and Julio Lugo are all making significant contributions. The Cards also have the luxury of having their big two, Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright, on the hill in this series and will be heavy favorites in all three games. Though we prefer to wager on dogs we cannot recommend a play on these bite-less ‘Stros. We’ll look for a St. Louie sweep, as they put another nail in Houston’s coffin.”

DiamondSportsbook.com series odds: Houston +220, St. Louis -300

3DWPick: St. Louis

2009 Record – 5-9

CFB Pre-Season Magazines offer intrigue

An annual right of summer is to gather the various college football magazines and go over the predictions from each conference. As a writer and sports handicapper, I have been pouring over data for months now and have strong feelings and opinions about how the various conferences races could play out. Part of winning college football wagers is having the necessary information to place your self into a position to win. This is why I annually make pilgrimages to the various book stores to purchase all the magazines (thankfully, the StatFox Edge was delivered to me) containing college football material.

The reasons for doing this are attaining knowledge and giving myself the best chance to win. First, I’m seeking information on the coaches and teams I may have missed in my own personal research. No matter how hard or far you dig, you will always find other useful nuggets. Next, is learning about all the players, particularly the difference-makers on each team, which is a powerful tool to understand if a team may be over or underrated before the season starts. Lastly, just to see what other so-called experts believe in making predictions. For example, in the Big East, FIVE DIFFERENT teams have been chosen to finish first and earn the BCS berth, talk about a difference of opinion! This is worth reading to understand why these publications would have such varying of beliefs. You can judge for yourself if the points are valid or just nonsense. Plus this allows one to find strong situations to place futures wagers at places like DiamondSportsbook.com on particular teams.

Listed below is the accumulation of all the conferences and the teams ranked in order, taking all the pre-season publications that were acquired, along with further analysis. Today we will at the ACC, Big East, MWC, Big 12, WAC, C-USA and Independents.

ACC -Atlantic
1) Florida State
2) Clemson
3) N.C. State
4) Wake Forest
5) Boston College
6) Maryland


ACC – Coastal
1) Virginia Tech
2) Georgia Tech
3) North Carolina
4) Miami
5) Virginia
6) Duke

Analysis- Virginia Tech ended the ACC’s eight-year BCS bowl drought with 20-7 win over Cincinnati in the Orange Bowl last season. Now, coach Frank Beamer wants to climb back into the national spotlight and an opening game victory over Alabama could do just that. Virginia Tech is unanimous choice to play in ACC title tilt. Georgia Tech has 17 starters back and is thought to be the only team in the Coastal Division to give the Hokies a run. Butch Davis is acquiring more talent annually in Chapel Hill; however the offensive losses hold North Carolina back. Florida State was almost everyone’s pick to capture the Atlantic Division, as talent is getting back towards the glory years, still with quite a ways to go. Clemson and North Carolina State are the most likely contenders to take down the Seminoles. Both have offensive weapons, which are curtailed with defensive deficiencies. The Nov. 14 contest in Raleigh could be meaningful. Its clearer today why Tom O’Brien left Boston College, as the Eagles could be grounded. This conference has a great deal of ground to makeup to be in elite status, but should be competitive. They must find the right place for ACC title game, since the crowds are embarrassment to league.

Big East
1) West Virginia
2) South Florida
3) Rutgers
4) Pittsburgh
5) Cincinnati
6) Connecticut
7) Louisville
8) Syracuse

Analysis- Conference’s that are not particularly outstanding will talk about having balance. This can make for extraordinarily entertaining football on the campuses involved, but it plays havoc trying to pick a winner. In reviewing the different college football magazines, the Big East stood out with five different teams chosen to finish atop the conference. Here is the other really crazy aspect, four of the top five listed above were also picked to finish 5th. (Rutgers was exception, there lowest rating was 4th) What makes this conference so confounding is every positive is outweighed by a negative. New quarterbacks, changing defenses and sometimes questionable coaching, suggest this league is ripe for underdogs to flourish.

Mountain West
1) Utah
2) TCU
3) BYU
4) Air Force
5) Colorado State
6) UNLV
7) New Mexico
8) San Diego State
9) Wyoming

Analysis – Utah completed second unbeaten season in five years, with big time blowout win against Alabama in the Sugar Bowl. The Utes might not have finished with a perfect record, since they hosted nearest competitors TCU and BYU in Salt Lake City. Everything won’t be quite so easy in 2009, having to play those teams on the road in what should be three hotly-contested affairs between the best three squads in the Mountain West. The Horned Frogs are more settled on offense and has better athletes on defense than BYU, giving them slight edge. The rest of the conference will have three new head coaches and the chasm between the top teams and the rest is roughly about the length of the Continental Divide across the western United States.

Big 12 North
1) Nebraska
2) Kansas
3) Missouri
4) Colorado
5) Kansas State
6) Iowa State

Big 12 South
1) Texas
2) Oklahoma
3) Oklahoma State
4) Texas Tech
5) Baylor
6) Texas A&M

Analysis – The quarterback position in the Big 12 won’t have the same depth as last season; nevertheless the conference should feature more than enough firepower from its field generals. Current Heisman Trophy winner Sam Bradford returns to Oklahoma, just not with the same cast on offense that averaged video game-like 51.1 points per contest. The Sooners defense should be considerably tougher with nine starters back and they picked up a few first place votes over favored Texas. In almost any other year, Colt McCoy would have won the Heisman himself, after completing NCAA record 76.7 percent of pass attempts. The Longhorns only weak spots are finding every down running back and defensive linemen to chase down talented signal callers. Oklahoma State should break into top three in the South, with QB Zac Robinson, RB Kendall Hunter and WR Dez Bryant leading the way. In the North Division, Nebraska has few more talented football players than Kansas; however don’t count the Jayhawks out with Todd Reesing at the controls. Missouri will fall without Chase Daniels around. Colorado is sleeper pick (in this case good or bad), with 10 offensive starters back and home games against Kansas, Missouri and Nebraska. Buffs have only four starters returning on defense that ranked 78th in 2008.

WAC
1) Boise State
2) Nevada
3) Louisiana Tech
4) Fresno State
5) Hawaii
6) San Jose State
7) Utah State
8) Idaho
9) New Mexico State

Analysis- Last season was to be rebuilding year for Boise State and all they did was finish 12-0 and lost 17-16 to very good TCU outfit in the Poinsettia Bowl. Now the Broncos are still relatively youthful with a ton of experience and everyone’s choice to win the WAC yet again. In the unlikely event Boise State stumbles, look for Nevada to be ready to step in. The Wolf Pack has quarterback Colin Kaepernick, who plays like the Pistol offense was made for him. Louisiana Tech with 17 starters back in the fold and a running game that averaged 4.65 yards per carry could make noise in the WAC. If the Bulldogs should upset Nevada on the road in October, mark down Nov.6 as the biggest day ever potentially in Ruston, LA, with Boise State coming to town. Fresno State and Hawaii are middle of the pack in the WAC, with San Jose State the best of the rest.

Conference USA East Division
1) East Carolina
2) Southern Miss
3) Memphis
4) Marshall
5) Central Florida
6) UAB

Conference USA West Division
1) Houston
2) Tulsa
3) UTEP
4) SMU
5) Rice
6) Tulane

Analysis- The Big 12 offenses last season averaged a college football best 439.6 yards per game, guess who was second? That’s right football wizard, Conference USA at 401.8 yards per game. Every one has to find their niche in life and after much turmoil; C-USA is attracting offensive talent, which just isn’t determined good enough for the bigger conferences. It was also a banner postseason for the conference with 4-1 SU and ATS record. Houston has unfinished business of losing the West Division in last regular season contest to city rival Rice. Nearly everyone figures quarterback Case Keenum will finish the deal in 2009. Tulsa and UTEP are next in line, but several paces behind. In the East Division, a slight edge goes to East Carolina, being the surprise defending conference champions, with 18 regulars back in Greenville. Southern Miss is loaded as well, with 16 starters and they visit ECU on Nov. 28. The only true unanimous choice in C-USA action is UAB will finish last.

Independents
1) Notre Dame
2) Navy
3) Army

Analysis- Being the football coach and quarterback at Notre Dame are always pressure-packed positions, but maybe never more than this year. It’s BCS or join the unemployment line for Charley Weis in South Bend. Most magazines have Jimmy Clausen rated 13th to 23rd best quarterback in the country, if he’s not in Top 10 by season’s end, he and the Irish will have failed. The beat keeps rolling along for the Navy, with another winning season and minor bowl to compete in. Normally conservative Army stepped out of character and brought in Rich Ellerson to change results of 12 straight losing seasons. Ellerson was known innovator at Cal Poly and will install triple-option offense with passing efficiency a real key.

Part 2 - Friday

In a hurry on a Thursday

It has been awhile since we had back to back losing days, but were not worried, as our track record has been outstanding for months. All plays are in the afternoon starting with an 83.1 percent System in Chi-town. The Top Trend is in Crap Cake land and is 7-0 and Kyle still likes a certain from in the Big Apple even after in rains. Good Luck

What I saw yesterday - I was flipping channels last night and came across Wayne Allen Root on Sean Hannity on Fox. You won't ever here me talk politics (I prefer to make fun of both parties) but I wanted to hear what one of the better all-time handicapping scammers had to say. Root for those that don't know is part of the Libertarian party now, as a disgruntled Bush Republican. Hannity had one of his Fox cronies and a Obama apologist, along with Root on panel. It was humorous to watch Hannity and the others either ignore or dismiss anything the now gray-haired WAR had to say. Though he gave the appearance of confidence, he was looked down upon by these political pundits. I know he wants to win some political office, but it seems Root should stick to making false claims and beefing up his (handicapping) record, just like a politician.

Now on Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST road underdogs like Houston, with a money line of +175 to +250, after allowing 10 runs or more. Since 2005, 98 winners and only 20 losers.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Bradley Bergesen and Baltimore are 7-0 as home favorites of -150 or less.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Kyle picked up two other winners last night and still likes the Mets in Game 1 with Johan Santana.

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Taken down The Man this Wednesday

Got blistered pretty good with 1-3 day. Hopefully we can climb back on the winning bandwagon, with a quality system that is 80.7 percent. This hopefully will lead to Top Trend being a winner from a top-line hurler. A new member of the LCC offers his first ever Free Play, hope it’s a winner. Good Luck and a lot of hope I’m asking for.

What I though yesterday – I’m glad Brett Favre decided to retire. I had the pleasure of watching him twice a year or more in person for much of his career and he gave me plenty of thrills. Though as adults, we don’t have many sports heroes like when we were kids, he’s probably the closest thing to one for me in my adult life. The last several years of shanigans (my opinion) have placed a foul taste in my mouth and others about No. 4 and I’ve had no trouble ripping him for what he’s done, in spite of having several publicly painful things happen to him. I now applaud him for stepping aside and instead selling for Sears and other opportunities that will come his way.

Now on Twitter at: www.twitter.com/3Dailywinners

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST home underdogs like Arizona, with a money line of +125 to +175, who are typical NL offensive team scoring 4.3 to 4.8 runs a game, against a capable starter (ERA of 3.70 or less), after a loss by two runs or less. This system is 21-5 since 2005, 80.7 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) There are trends today with higher win percentages, but this one caught my eye. Roy Halladay and Toronto are 41-4 vs. AL teams scoring 4.2 or less runs a game on the season, winning by 2.9 runs per game.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Kyle of the LCC is 8-3 the last three days and believes the Mets with will keep playing well, and clip Colorado.

New StatFox Football Annual on Sale – A must for Every Sports Bettor

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