Early Line Moves

A couple weeks ago we introduced Early Line Moves. We seek out the earliest lines and compare them on late Tuesday nights to see what the so-called Line Movers do. By and large their track record is solid and dependable. As the season wears on, our results have shown these numbers to get better. Last week in college football, they were super 7-1-1 on sides and 5-5 in college totals. This makes season record 15-5-1 on sides and 5-5 on Totals in CFB. In the NFL, they were 2-2 on sides and 2-1 in Totals. Enjoy reading and closely follow these numbers for wagering portfolio. Getting a late start on getting this info out this week.

College Sides
South Florida -6 to -3.5 Winner
Washington State -5 to +1.5 Winner
Oregon -5- to -8
Oregon State -9.5 to -12.5
Michigan -4 to -1
California -11.5 to -14.5
Buffalo -4 to -66.5
So. Miss -2.5 to +2.5

College Totals
Navy/Duke 53 to 58
ECU/ Tulane 40- to 44.5
Utah/Utah St. 47 to 5.5

NFL Sides
Cincinnati -3 to -1
New Orleans -2 to Pick
N.Y, Giants -6 to -8.5
Seattle -9.5 to -7

NFL Totals
Oak/KC 34.5 to 36.5

College Football Betting Previews

The college football landscape is being overshadowed by Ohio State and USC contest that is as big as Hurricane Ike, without the inevitable consequences. There are many other games on the radar, with a number of teams already in trouble with a loss on Saturday. South Carolina paid good money to bring in Steve Spurrier to win, not lose to Vanderbilt in consecutive seasons. A loss to Georgia makes this season uphill from here. Michigan certainly doesn’t need another September loss, trying to change directions with a new coach and if this is Notre Dame’s idea of improvement, where’s Bob Davie? Washington might have lost to BYU anyway, but shouldn’t the refs have used better discretion? For their efforts the Huskies get Oklahoma who has an even better offense than BYU. These and other wagering options are awaiting your perusal. Click here to read more.

Free College Football Plays at 3Daily Winners

Our only play that could be documented was an easy Winner on Baylor. Today we hope to have another winning Free Play from our pal Sal who is again heating up. Our Top Trend looks into an ACC matchup and today’s System play has been an 82.4 percent winner over the last five years. For anyone thinking about backing a team from the Big East, consider they are 0-11 ATS to start the new season. We are adding a New Feature today, learn more below. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) PLAY AGAINST road teams like Stanford after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games against opponent after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game. This system is 28-6, 82.4 percent since 2004.

Free Football Trend -2) Virginia Tech is 13-4 ATS in last 17 ACC contests.

Free Football Selection -3) Sal from the Left Coast Connection is on a nice roll again, with 8-2 record this week and 7-3 in college football after going 2-0 last night with Kansas and Baylor. Today he’s backing Buffalo minus the points against Temple.

NEW Feature – We realize not everyone has access to computer all day. We are introducing 3Daily Winners by phone. Call 480.205.9388 and listen to Free system, Top Trend and Free Pick each day, starting today after 11:30 Eastern. Special Bonus info today just for calling.

3Daily Winners for Friday the 12th

Minnesota’s extra inning loss cost us a 3-1 day; however the Free plays have been picking up, with three winners in a row and this pick is now available. Our focus turns towards college football and we have quality System that wins 83.9 percent of the time and involves a Pac-10 team. Our Top Trend has a team from the MAC who is primed for this position with 13-1 record. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) PLAY ON home favorites like Oregon State of 10.5 to 21 points, after allowing 37 points or more last game against opponent after scoring seven points or less in the first half in two straight games. Home cooking does the Beavers right in this system that 26-5 ATS, 83.9 percent.

Free Football Trend -2) Central Michigan is 13-1 ATS after playing a road game.

Free Football Selection -3) Seven of eight members of the Left Coast Connection are playing Baylor tonight .

Free MLB Plays for Thursday

Finally a snappy winning day with 3-1 mark, let’s see if we can build on that. Today’s stellar System play yields not one, but two plays today that are 37-5. The White Sox broke Toronto’s long winning streak, will they beat them again, review today’s Top Trend for possible answer. The LCC was 2-0 yesterday in Free Plays and has another ready to go. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250, where team's hitters draw three walks or less a game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher with WHIP of less 1.000 over in last five starts. The pitchers are Francisco Liriano and Roy Oswalt and the teams to play against are Kansas City and Pittsburgh. This system is powerful 37-5, 88 percent.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Gavin Floyd and the White Sox are 13-2 at US Cellular Field this season.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Consensus MLB play in on the Chicago Cubs to take the series.

A Look ahead in Rearview Mirror in Betting Football

After a sterling start of 25-16 ATS the opening week, favorites took it on the chin in Week 2 in college football. It wasn’t a disaster; however favorites were 19-23-1 against the spread. Part of the reason for this shift was home underdogs after a 3-6 start, came back to bite with 7-5 ATS record overall. Kudos to oddsmakers on the Totals, with 42-42 record for the first two weeks.

In the NFL, favorites were a solid 10-6 ATS in the opening weekend with the Under being the correct choice most often with 9-7 record. It was interesting to note, the value of Week 1 was in the middle numbers. Home favorites of a touchdown or more were 2-3 ATS and home dogs were 3-4 ATS. Home favorites of less than five points achieved perfection with 4-0 ATS mark.

Do’s

Penn State gave another very good performance, blasting Oregon State in 45-14, in a contest for all intents and purposes was over at halftime. The Nittany Lions ran the ball down their throats for 239 yards and played with a purpose against the Beavers, who were not sharp. Penn State is almost a four touchdown favorite at Syracuse and can name the final score. First real test of any sort is hosting Illinois in Big 10 opener on September 27.

Georgia Tech is shaping up as Play On team with upset win at Boston College 19-16 as 6.5-point underdogs. The Yellow Jackets still commit too many fumbles in learning new coach Paul Johnson’s offense, yet by the fourth quarter at B.C., the efficiency was much better and the pounding of running the offense was wearing down the Eagles. Georgia Tech’s defense was better than expected and with ACC not appearing especially strong, the Jackets will have opportunities to improve on 16-7 ATS record as ACC road dog.

What is most impressive about East Carolina is the physical nature of which they play. The Pirates were the better team against Virginia Tech and West Virginia on both days. Skip Holtz’s club beats on opponents, giving no quarter and whipping teams known for using brute force to win games. Though the schedule doesn’t look imposing by BCS standards, East Carolina still has six road games left on the docket and has been exposed like the internet in Bill Curtis commercials. No more lurking in the shadows for ECU, opposing teams have a new target to aim for. Hard not to ride coach who is 27-11 ATS, as Holtz and the Pirates head to Tulane this week in C-USA opener.

Don’ts

If this is new and improved Notre Dame, could be another long season in South Bend. The supposedly bigger, stronger and improved Irish offensive line saw backs average three yards a carry against San Diego State, who allowed over five yards a carry the previous week to powerhouse (?) Cal- Poly. The Notre Dame new blitzing schemes had one problem; they kept running into blockers, instead of finding open lanes to get to quarterback. At least Jimmy Clausen looked more like the hyped prospect Notre Dame was looking for, with several nice passes. The Irish are 5-11 as home favorites under Charley Weis and remain on fade alert especially when favored by 10 or more points.

South Carolina might have a tremendous defense, nonetheless, the offense and special (misnomer) teams are still an issue. Vanderbilt had no business being in the game with the Gamecocks, yet they hung around and Steve Spurrier’s squad let the Commodores into the game and they seized the opportunity in pulling upset as home dog. One would presume South Carolina shoots for big effort this week at home against Georgia, yet are 3-6 ATS as home pooch under Spurrier and the Bulldogs are 15-10 ATS on the SEC road. It takes intestinal fortitude to back Gamecocks this week.

What the “Freidgen” is going on in College Park, MD? Maryland had to fight for their collective lives to hold off Delaware at home 14-7 and lost at Middle Tennessee State 24-14 as better than two touchdown favorites! Coming off three losing seasons in last four years, it looks like coach Ralph Friedgen has been eating into the recruiting budget, with sparse talent available. In comes 23rd ranked California who might be better than presumed. The Terps are 3-6 ATS catching points at home against ranked opponents.

NFL Betting Thoughts

If any of us were a tackling dummy, the best place to have a job would be working for the Detroit Lions, who missed more tackles against Atlanta than the number of games Raiders owner Al Davis has watched in person. Detroit has a chance for renewal against division rival Green Bay on short week.

Philadelphia was crisp against receding Rams, setting up dandy matchup next Monday against Dallas, where the Eagles are 9-3 ATS.

A vast amount of handicappers and knowledgeable sports bettors were on Cincinnati last week at Baltimore, starting a rookie quarterback and running back. The Bengals defense could never stop the Ravens when they needed to and the offense was pathetic. This point’s to the value of preseason. While the games mean nothing, we saw with Cincy, Seattle, San Diego and Indianapolis not being close to ready offensively. You still need time with game action to put continuity together for offense.

Most impressed by Dallas, Carolina, Philadelphia and Denver. In each case, the game plans and execution was spectacular.


Media and other thoughts – Former Ravens coach Brian Billick had a quality debut in the booth as analyst. He was informative, made salient points and was definitely a coach in the booth. For those that prefer information to be delved out above the norm, Billick was a breath of fresh air. No doubt the network will tell him to dumb it down.

I’m only going to say this once this football season, but Troy Aikman drives me crazy. The former Cowboy quarterback does good work as an announcer, yet is a hack with the English language. Aikman ends the majority of words ending with ‘ing’ with his version of in’. (Example – The Cowboys are really tacklin’ well today.) I suggest you play along and have a large pad of paper and make a scratch mark for every time Aikman ends a word with in’. He does this more times than the number of Motel 6 Inns there are across the Lower 48. In the movie Scarface, if memory serves, somebody told me the F-Bomb was used 126 times. Aikman should have that before the end of the third quarter.

If you watched Florida and Miami last Saturday, you may have noticed the Gators scored 17 points in the last quarter to win. What caught my eye was the urgency of which Florida was trying to score with a VERY comfortable 23-3 lead late in the fourth quarter. By all appearances the Gators were desperately trying to score a touchdown and did, though it was called back for a penalty. You don’t suppose Urban Meyer had heard earlier in the week that Florida alums had the Gators in the -22 to -24 range do you? No, that would never happen. (Wink, wink)

Hump Day Plays at 3Daily Winners

We seem to be caught up in the buzzsaw of utilizing terrific information in what is a bad time for betting baseball. The numbers of baseball are convoluted compared to a month ago, meaning value is difficult to find. Many of the guys in the Left Coast Connection have stopped betting baseball for that reason and concentrated their efforts solely on football. As I stated last week, our focus needs to do so as well, however I have tried to give you loyal reader’s fresh information and recently the results have been unsatisfactory. When we still believe we have something of value to show in baseball we will, otherwise the tone will turn more towards football, with possibly fewer systems and more trends. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY ON all favorites like the Dodgers with a money line of -150 or more after having won 2 of their last 3 games, being a marginal winning team (51 to 54 percent) playing a bad team with a winning percentage 38 to 46 percent. This system is 115-35, 76.7 percent the last five seasons.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Oakland has yet to win when Sean Gallagher is the starting pitcher and an underdog in nine attempts.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Consensus MLB plays from the LCC is the Cubs and Houston.

Ohio State at USC Wagering Outlook

Did you hear about this little college football game their playing Saturday, involving two of the most recognized universities on the college football planet? Each of these fine schools has set a new standard in this millennium with superior coaching and athleticism that only a few other programs can possibly keep up with. This magnificent match-up could be the first of two games between these powerful programs this season, with the other site to be determined.

USC’s head coach Pete Carroll has to love the ways of the college football compared to the NFL in terms of supplying believable information. After Mark Sanchez went down with dislocated knee cap, many wondered if he would be available for monster Ohio State conflict, let alone for the opener at Virginia. While Sanchez was chattering, saying we would be ready for Cavaliers, this was gently pushed to the side as macho football talk, with yet another player taking heroic stance. Coach Carroll was pretty mum on the subject, doling out less information on the Sanchez subject than a Bill Belichick daily press briefing.

When USC took the field at Charlottesville, Sanchez had more giddy-up than a racehorse making a stretch run. If became readily apparent why the junior signal caller wanted to take the field so bad, these Trojans are loaded. USC gained 558 yards of offense with a stable of running backs deeper than Calumet Farms in Kentucky. Four different backs, with Joe McKnight and CJ Gable being the more familiar names, galloped for 5.3 yards per carry on 41 attempts. The speed and craftiness of each runner was awesome, as was the holes they had to run thru. ONLY nine different receivers caught passes for USC, totaling 340 yards, giving new meaning to diversity on the Trojans campus.

The USC defense was everything that was expected; except for a few passes that Virginia completed that seemed almost surprising. In the end, it was clear, USC was not tested and Sanchez has the confident appearance of a team leader, in what is now an assembly line of succession General Motors could only dream about, with the next stellar quarterback emerging at Troy.

It is no wonder Carroll has become a favorite among sports bettors, sporting 77-14 record in Los Angeles, with 55-36 (60.4 percent) against the spread record in his eighth season. Since getting everything in order in his second year in 2002, Carroll’s teams are 27-2 straight up in non-conference games (includes bowls), with 21-8 ATS record. The Men of Troy are 22-2 SU and 18-6 ATS taking in ranked teams since halfway thru 2002 campaign.

Ohio State was sharp in opener and duller then Lindsey Lohan commenting on Republican VP Sarah Palin against Ohio U. at Columbus last week. Are roving friends of 3Daily Winners have seen Buckeyes practices and both games and are convinced this is the best, most complete Ohio State team of the Jim Tressel sleeveless sweater-era. Here is what separates this squad from a few of the vintage Buckeye squads of this decade.

The 2002 national championship team probably embodied Tressel more than any other he has had in Columbus. Thou talented, not over the top by any means compared to later versions. That team did what it had to win through preparation and never flinched, no matter the circumstances. Six of their wins were by seven points or less during the regular season and what is easy to forget is they were 11-point underdogs to Miami-FL in unforgettable championship overtime game.

The 2003 and 2005 had better talent as 22 starters, yet were not even close to showing the resolve of 2002 squad. The 2006 team was literally shocked by Florida’s speed and was out-classed by hungrier team that was playing better. Last year’s team was really one year ahead of schedule, in terms of maturity and understanding what it takes to be a champion. No question Tressel did a splendid job in reloading, however were not in the same true class as LSU.

One theme among the folks we spoke to that have followed and wagered on Ohio State (for and against keep in mind), is the positive cockiness needed to be a champion. How this team carries itself is more reminiscent of the Woody Hayes days and the best of John Cooper years, when Ohio State always believed they were the best team, even if the opponent was lucky enough to beat them. This 2008 team is reportedly a modern version, having the Tressel coolness and a certain detachment of arrogance.

Tressel can hang with Carroll record-wise at 75-16, but is a pauper comparatively against the spread at 46-38-1, 54.7 percent. Ohio State has taken a more gentlemanly approach in non-conference conflicts with 29-5 record (3 losses in bowl games), being a mere 17-16 ATS in those encounters. Tressel’s Buckeyes are 6-5 ATS as single digit underdogs since his second season.

This will be biggest September clash in years, even more so than the Texas/Ohio State games of a few years back. Both are as talented as any teams one will see this season. All the players on both teams are supremely confident, with only the complete status of running back Beanie Wells an uncertainty. USC opened as a 9.5-point home favorite and that number quickly jumped to 10.5 at most wagering outlets. The Total has been altered also, from opening at 46.5 to 44.

Coaching, along with the players, will have a huge implication in determining the outcome. If Ohio State’s front seven can contain USC running game, they make the Trojans more one-dimensional. That is not to say Sanchez can can’t win through having to throw the ball, however offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian prefers to have balanced offense. It was not by mistake, the Trojans showed numerous offensive formations and shifting into the second quarter against Virginia, before settling in on what they wanted to do. This was a message to Ohio State defense coaches to tell them to be prepared for anything. Even after just one game, it’s not a surprise to know the Trojans are 17-5 ATS after a week off in the regular season.

Ohio State was sleep-walking for 2 1/2 quarters against Ohio U in last game, yet still kept in close to the sweater vest, in not giving away too much for USC to look at. Senior Todd Boeckman will have to bring his thinking cap for this matchup. USC will try and funnel pressure up the gut, meaning Buckeyes coaches must be able to have outlets on either flank, to slow pass rush and blitzing. Boeckman will have to distinguish when USC overloads a side and the blitz comes from that direction, being able to use slot receiver or tight end into vacated spot. The Buckeyes are 12-4 ATS in non-conference regular season games versus BCS schools.

No matter what the polls say, the winner of this much anticipated encounter becomes the top team in the country based on public perception. USC is 10-2 ATS as favorite at the L.A. Memorial Coliseum on Carroll’s watch versus ranked teams, with Ohio State 2-1 ATS as road dog in opposite role. This should be special.

Tuesday MLB Action from 3DW

A frustrating Monday as Minnesota and Green Bay went Over to give us a 1-2 day. Our select System play is due and follows the exploits of Philadelphia in the pennant race. This system is 47-14 the last five years. The Top Trend was a winner and checks on in slumping Arizona by The Bay. Our best baseball expert this season Sal, has his Top Play. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System-1) PLAY ON home favorites like Philadelphia with a money line of -125 to -175, with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better on the season, with a cold starting pitcher like Kyle Kendrick with an ERA 7.00 over his last five starts. This system is 47-15, 75.8 percent since 2004.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Barry Zito and San Francisco are 1-10 as home underdogs, as they get ready to face Arizona again.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Sal continues his fine run in baseball betting, being up +49.6 units (not those phony 200+ units guys boast about) for the season, easily the best of among the Left Coast Connection members. Tonight he's believes Seattle wins behind King Felix.

Free Monday MLB and NFL Action

Our first bad day in some time at 3Daily Winners with a 1-4 record. It happens and we report when we do well and when we don’t. Today we have a very solid MLB system that is 73.5 percent. Our Top Trend ventures back into the world of baseball, looking at Pittsburgh and Free Play is now available. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System -1) Baltimore has lost eight straight, giving us reason to back Cleveland. Play On all favorites with money line of -110 or higher, with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing three runs or less three straight games. The logic here is the pitching is overcoming the hitting. Baltimore has allowed 8.3 runs per game in last seven losses. This system is 119-43, 73.5 percent the last five seasons.

Free Baseball Trend -2) The Pittsburgh Pirates are 2-17 on the road after allowing 10 or more runs in a game.

Free Football Selection -3) Kendall from the Left Coast Connection was 4-1 in the NFL yesterday and is backing the Under in Minnesota and Green Bay conflict.

NFL System, Trend and Free Pick at 3Daily Winners

3Daily Winners ended up with 2-2 day counting the Wyoming Trend from Thursday. Utah just missed, but Mick had a tasty winner on Penn State that was essentially over by halftime. Our Top system actually yields three plays on Sunday from a system that has unique twist. Slick Rick was 3-0 in college football and supplies us with his best NFL selection. Our Top Trend takes us down to the Bayou to check in on the Saints. Good Luck.

Free Football System-1) Play On favorites in the first week of the season, after closing out last season with three or more straight ATS losses. This steadfast system is 29-8, 78.4 percent and suggests looking at Detroit, New England and Dallas today.

Free Football Trend -2) The New Orleans Saints are 3-11 ATS as home favorite of three points or less.

Free Football Selection -3) Slick Rick from the LCC was 3-0 in college football yesterday, taking Ole Miss, Kansas and Penn State. Today Houston strikes his fancy as best play.

College Football Betting Saturday

With one big home underdog upset already in the books for Week 2 with Vanderbilt’s come from behind win, how many more upsets will arise? Can a seemingly overmatched Washington team spoil the BCS dreams of BYU? Is Central Florida’s offense and defense strong enough to take down South Florida in the I-4 War? Penn State suffered suspensions; will they be focused at home against offensive-minded Oregon State? Can U-Miami make quantum leap and shock the world in Gainesville? Review what is being said about these and other college football contests.

Southern Miss (+17.5, 43) Auburn 12:30E GamePlan and ESPN360

Auburn plays a second straight non-conference home game, taking on Southern Miss. The Tigers are working on improving new spread offensive scheme installed by first year offensive coordinator Tony Franklin. This is last chance to rev up offense, with SEC play starting next week at Mississippi State, and the following week hosting LSU, which should be key contest to help decide SEC West. The job is made easier running behind what most insiders feel in the best offensive line in the country. The wide receivers showed inexperience in 34-0 whitewashing of Louisiana- Monroe and need to come together quickly. Auburn ended up playing Auburn football rushing for 321 yards for almost seven yards a carry. The Tigers are just 4-10 against the spread when favored by double digits.

Southern Miss has a new look with Larry Fedora the head coach, after former USM alum Jeff Bower was forced out, despite 14 consecutive winning seasons. Last week the Golden Eagles opened with Louisiana- Lafayette and dismantled them 51-21. The Southern Miss offense is bolstered by junior running back Damion Fletcher, who ran for 222 yards in wider running lanes in Fedora’s version of spread offense, which was very successful at Oklahoma State, where he was offensive coordinator. Fletcher ran for over 1,500 yards and scored 15 touchdowns a season ago and is the coach’s kind of player. “He loves practicing and every aspect of football.” Fedora said. Defense has been a hallmark in Hattiesburg; however the talent level has slipped, allowing over 20 points per game in three of last four years, after not surrendering more than 20 PPG from 1997 -2003. The Golden Eagles are 11-5 ATS in road openers.

These teams have not met since 1993 and Auburn holds the all-time series edge at 16-5. With conference tilt on deck, Auburn might look past this game like in the past and is only 5-10 ATS in last 16 meetings with non-conference foes. The Tigers are just 3-6 ATS before first conference matchup. Southern Miss has a long history of success in September with 29-12 ATS record, yet is 0-6 against the number as underdog the last few seasons.

To read more game write-ups click here.

Free College Football Plays

Our winning days were snapped with 1-2 record, meaning it’s time to start another winning streak. Our Top System continues to thrive and we have a 26-5 play against a home underdog ready to fire. Utah is off upset of Michigan, how do they do in next game in this situation? Mick from the LCC makes his debut here at 3Daily Winners, being a college sports expert. Good Luck.

Free Football System -1) PLAY AGAINST home underdogs like Washington off a loss against a conference rival, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with two or more straight losses. This system is a percolating 26-5 ATS, 83.9 percent.

Free Football Trend -2) Utah is perfect 10-0 ATS in home games off an upset win as an underdog.

Free Football Selection -3) Mick from the Left Coast Connection plays college sports exclusively besides making a living playing poker. He’s 4-2 thus far in college football, having Ball State last night. Today he’s putting a large investment on Penn State.

Three Baseball Betting Thoughts for Friday

Its one thing to lose to the Mets, but quite another to be defeated by San Diego, as the Brewers loss gave us a .500 day. Our Top System heads north of the border, where an 85.7 percent system can be applied. Our always popular unbeaten Top Trend is back, with a familiar look. Jason gave us a Giants football winner yesterday; we’ll see how he performs in baseball. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System -1) PLAY ON home favorites, like Toronto with a money line of -175 to -250 with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after a win by four runs or more. This simple system is 24-4, 85.7 percent the last three years. Blue Jays with Halladay fly away from Tampa Bay.

Free Baseball Trend -2) We’ve played this recently and why not again. Kevin Correia and the Giants are 11-0 when favored by -110 or higher money line.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Jason from the LCC has started well here at 3DW and likes the Mets to take down Philadelphia in series opener.

Free Plays

If you would like to receive my personal plays, you can do so for FREE. Just sign up on our email list and Presto, they will be emailed to you. With all the new people coming to the blog, you would rightfully ask, why should I do that? Besides the outstanding information you will receive daily, my very first blog page introduced what we have to offer.

2004 The Sports Eye 2nd Preseason NFL
2004 Wagertracker 1st Preseason NFL
2004 Gurutracker 8th NFL
2004-05 Wagertacker 1st NBA Best Bets
2004-05 The Sports Eye 1st College Hoops
2004 The Sports Eye 1st Baseball

After hooking up with handicapper Paul Buck we accomplished this:

2006 Free Sports Monitor 1st College Football
2007 Free Sports Monitor 4th Baseball

This season in baseball I'm 183-145, good for +19.57 units. Paul has his own paid picks that will show up here shortly. It's your choice, but as we all know, free is great price.

Early Line Moves in Foootball

Last week we introduced Early Line Moves. We seek out the earliest lines and compare them on late Tuesday nights to see what the so-called Line Movers do. By and large their track record is solid and dependable. As the season wears on, our results have shown these numbers to get better. Last week in college football, they were 8-4 and thou we will not officially count the college totals, 10-5 is awfully damn good. Enjoy reading and closely follow these numbers for wagering portfolio.

College Sides
Michigan State -24 to -21
Auburn -20- to -17.5
Ohio State -37 to -33
Penn State -13 to -16.5
Florida -24 to -21.5
Oklahoma State -12.5 to -16.5
Wake Forest -10 to -7.5
California -11 to -13.5
Tulsa -18 to -21.5

College Totals
GT/BC 41.5 to 38.5
WV/ ECU 53 to 50
Minn/BG 58 to 55
SJ State/Neb 61 to 57.5
Miami/FL 58 to 51
SD St/ ND 46 to 43
Missi/WF 50 to 47
NIU/WM 56 to 53
So. Flor/UCF 58 to 51.5
Stan/ASU 55.5 to 52.5

NFL Sides
Baltimore -1 to +1.5
Detroit -1 to -3
Dallas -3 to -5.5
Denver -1 to -3

NFL Totals
Cinc/Balt 42 to 38.5
KC/NE 48 to 44
Det/Atl 44 to 41

Free Plays for September 4 from 3Daily Winners

A second straight 2-1 day works as Milwaukee coughed up home series to the Mets. (So did the Cubs) If you’ve noticed, San Diego has been a frequent target of play against teams in our Top Baseball System. Will they be marked again today? We’ll jump over to a little college football and football in general as the weeks pass by and baseball doesn’t offer quite as many Top Trends. Free Play up for review. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST any poor team like San Diego with BA .250 or less, against an average starting pitcher like Jeff Suppan (10-7, 4.49 ERA) who has ERA in 4.20 to 5.20 range in the NL, with a starting pitcher Shawn (Oh my arm hurts) Estes, whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL. This sweet system is 19-3, 86.3 percent since 2004.

Free Football Trend -2) With today a slow baseball day and many more to come, we’ll start throwing in upcoming football trends and keep track as the games are played. For example, Wyoming is 0-6 ATS when favored at home recently.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Jason is the newest member of the Left Coast Connection and has been one of the bet NFL players according to the members that know him. Tonight he's backing the New York football Giants.(Editor's note: This was at -4)

New York Giants Betting Favorite

The New York Giants will start the 2008 campaign, essentially where they left the 2007 regular season. They are believed to be a pretty good football team, with enough weapons to be dangerous, however with shortcomings in enough areas. Along the way, in between the end of one season and before the next, they picked up a little hardware and some gaudy rings, having something to do with that Super Bowl thing. Giants’ fans and football bettors are still relishing the money they made on New York’s improbable run to NFL title, especially those on the money line against the then unbeaten New England Patriots.

Its opening night of a new season and Roger the Commish and his minions give us an old-fashioned NFC East rivalry to kick-off a new 17-week regular season. The Giants start under the leadership of Eli Manning, no longer challenged if he can be The Man in New York.

The Giants do have problems coming into the season with injuries, free agency and retirement taking away many of the aspects that contributed to spectacular late season run. This is not to say the cupboard is bare on defense for the G-Men, rather signals defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo will have to meet the challenge with new personnel. Last year the Giants were 6-0 ATS when they held teams between 15 and 21 points.

Washington has given unproven Jim Zorn the keys to the Redskins present and future, with plenty of doubt surrounding the environment. While quarterback Jason Campbell strives to learn yet another offensive system, how the running game works will determine early season success or failure of Washington. The offensive line brought back a couple of old faces that were injured last season, but essentially the group is the same, meaning Clinton Portis will have to use his vision and shiftiness to find holes. The Giants will try to clog running lanes; to stifle Skins attack and make Campbell hit many of his new receivers. Washington arrives in New Jersey 13-5-1 ATS against NFC East opponents.

Sportsbooks have moved New York up to 4.5-point favorite with total of 41. The Giants are 10-6 and 9-7 ATS hosting Washington since 1992, with the visitor having covered three in a row.

Serious football bettors will want to watch how Redskins T Stephen Heyer handles DE Justin Tuck. Heyer is descent player who gives good effort. Tuck has high motor and quickness off the ball. Whoever wins this battle will help team immeasurably.

Another battle is Plaxico Burress vs. Shawn Springs. When Plax plays like he did in the postseason, he is unstoppable in all the various pass routes. Springs is intelligent defender, and will try to jam Burress to throw off timing routes of which Manning is extremely comfortable throwing.
Lastly, will Manning be able to have TE Kevin Boss as reliable bailout? Boss looked uncertain in preseason. This could cause teams to double Burress if they don’t fear Boss or any other Giants tight ends.

Washington is 5-5 and 2-6-2 ATS in first game of the season and 6-10 ATS on the road the last two seasons. New York is also .500 in first tilt, with exact same spread record at 5-5.

NBC has the NFL season opener with Al and John and presumably new artist singing song to start the year. Keep in mind the Super Bowl champs are 6-0-1 ATS in first game the next season.

A look ahead in Rearview Mirror in Betting Football

Bettors across the country either benefited or were hung by what has become an annual right of college football the first few weeks of the season. Because of the limited amount of practice time coaches have with players and scholarship limitations, special teams are often neglected aspect of preseason practice. It’s not like the NFL where kinks can be worked out ahead of time. No matter what coaches’ hope, game speed is warp speed compared to what happens in practice. They worry a lot about this element of football to start the year.

Some coaches want to use best athletes or starters on special teams, but too often the players might not be focused, thinking about normal assignments. Hustling players with lesser ability might get caught up in wedge or lack lane responsibilities, allowing for kickoff or punt returns. UCLA had blocked punt to give them early momentum in upset of Tennessee. Missouri’s electric Jeremy Maclin had 99-yard kickoff return and 45-yard punt return before leaving with sprained ankle to help keep Illinois at bay. East Carolina was rewarded for out-playing Virginia Tech, with late blocked punt for the win. Colorado and Colorado State even had the rare back-to-back kickoff returns. This is one aspect that is difficult to account for from handicapping perspective early in the year, which has enormous impact on the outcome of games and wagers.

Do’s

It seems safe to say Mark Sanchez is very good quarterback and USC will continue to be a good wager as long as Pete Carroll is head coach (55-36 ATS, 60.4 percent). They gave scary good effort against Virginia, showing imagination, skill and domination. At one point in the second quarter, quarterback Pete Lalich threw a pass for completion and looked at teammate with raised eyebrow and half smile as if to say, “I did that against those guys, Wow.”

The only thing Clemson lacked in the preseason was a good enough offensive line with just one starter back. Turned out to be a WAY bigger deal than what most believed. The Tigers again showed they were the cowardly lion from the Wizard of Oz. If Nick Saban is a top 10 college coach (which he is), than Tommy Bowden is in the 90’s among his 120 FBS peers. Clemson might still end up being the best team in the ACC, but will anyone care? Those who had Clemson minus points are unlikely to return any time soon. Either playing against or passing on these toothless Tigers is the best bet.

Watching Virginia Tech, the thought crossed my mind, when was the last time I saw a team from Blacksburg that had less talent. East Carolina out-gained the Hokies 369-243 and held Frank Beamer’s team to 12 first downs. Skip Holtz’s team flying under the radar days are quickly coming to an end, especially if they can pull another upset this time at home against West Virginia. ECU is now special 27-11 ATS with Holtz as coach.

Missouri has Nevada and Buffalo in coming weeks, giving ample time to sort out defensive shortcomings. Chase Daniel makes every play and you’re almost surprised when he doesn’t complete pass. This offense is dynamic and will light up scoreboards all season. Covering spreads is doable for Missouri, if defense doesn’t play as soft as they did in the second half against Illinois.

Don’ts

Unless Illinois finds a running game against reasonable competition (Eastern Illinois does not quality as such this week), it could disappointment city for the Illini. Yes, Juice Williams did look better as passer, while still fair on touch routes. The Zookers are not going to be good bet if they become passing team. A 7-5 record appears to be fate, with .500 or less spread record unless running backs and defensive front seven improves.

The ACC caught plenty of deserved flak, but what about the Big East? Favored Pittsburgh, Louisville and Rutgers all lost at home on consecutive days and they were considered middle to upper tier of the conference. Dave (I’ve never coached a game I couldn’t lose) Wannstedt’s Pitt club again crumbled at the first sign of adversity at home to Bowling Green, after building 14-0 lead. Three fumbles doomed the Panthers, being outscored 27-3 the rest of the way by the Falcons. Don’t assume the Wanny’s bounce back either, being 5-10 ATS off a loss. Did Bobby Petrino stop recruiting before he left Louisville or is replacement Steve Kragthorpe over his head coaching in BCS league? Not convinced Kentucky’s defense is as good as they looked, as Louisville looked clueless against the Cats. Rutgers had chances to grab lead from Fresno State at home, but miscues and misplays cost them dearly. What could once again be foreshadowing, the Scarlet Knights were punished for 206 yards rushing by the Bulldogs (allowed 200+ yards rushing five times in 2007). Rutgers has 10 days to prepare for North Carolina, nevertheless are only 8-10 ATS as home favorites of late.

Another assumption not to make is South Carolina is really coming on after white-washing nauseating N.C. State squad 34-0. After making junior Tommy Beecher his quarterback back in April, Coach Steve Spurrier was more patience than TLC’s “Jon and Kate Plus 8”, watching Beecher toss four picks. Former starter Chris Smelley came in and led three touchdown drives, earning a start this week. Unless Smelley turns into Tim Tebow the rest of the year, this game of musical chairs under center limits what bettors can expect from what should be very good defensive team.


Media- I continue to be amazed Bob Greise still has a job broadcasting football. He seldom offers any real insight and makes more mistakes than almost any announcer you listen to. This past Saturday, ABC called Keith Jackson to see what the retired legendary announcer was doing on the opening week of college football. Greise was involved in the conversation and asked Jackson, his former long time partner, how many times he said “Oh Nellie!” I almost spilled my beverage in shock. The entire world knows Jackson bellowed for decades, “Whoa Nellie!” and this ignoramus who sat next to him for years couldn’t get it right.

Todd Christensen used to be a very good tight end for the Oakland Raiders and was a top TV analyst for NBC and ESPN. Reports of his demise were often centered on his lack of preparedness and he is doing The Mountain West conference games on The Mountain Network. It was a pleasure to here his voice again, since he is eloquent speaker and has a command of the English language. Though still not always prepared, “#44 made a nice play on the ball” at least he doesn’t butcher the language of the United States. (It still is English right?)

Did anybody see the ESPN post-game wrapup Saturday night with Rece, Lou and Mark? They had this new feature called The Verdict. Honestly, it looked like a bad Saturday Night Live skit.

Free Baseball Plays for Wednesday

A pleasant 2-1 day actually included three winners (see below), unfortunately my parlay was bust. Today we bring back blistering System that is 33-1 the last three years. The Top Trend follows the exploits of a Japanese fellow who has been big winner all year and Mark from the LCC is coming to a simmer with 6-1 record and has his Top Play available for viewing. Good Luck.

Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like San Diego with a money line of +175 to +250, batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher like Hiroki Kuroda, with a WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last five starts. We have used this system in the past and it is 33-1 since 2006 and 8-0 this season.

Free Baseball Trend -2) Boston is 20-4 when Daisuke Matsuzaka starts this season.

Free Baseball Selection -3) Mark from the Left Coast Connection is 6-1 since Sunday in all sports wagering and is playing Milwaukee this afternoon.