A couple weeks ago we introduced Early Line Moves. We seek out the earliest lines and compare them on late Tuesday nights to see what the so-called Line Movers do who bet football. By and large their track record is solid and dependable. Last week in college football, they were ordinary 4-4 on sides and sharp 3-0 in college totals. This makes season record 19-9-1, 67.8 percent on sides and 8-5, 61.5 percent on Totals in CFB. In the NFL, they were perfect 4-0 on sides and 0-1 in Totals, bring record to 6-2 on sides and 2-2 on Totals. Enjoy reading and closely follow these numbers for wagering portfolio.
College Sides
Mississipp1 -4.5 to -7
North Carolina –Pick to -2.5
Oregon -13 to -10
Akron -7 to -10
Missouri -31 to -34
College Totals
Ohio/Northw. 48 to 51
Miami-O/Cincy 50 to 47
Navy/ Rutgers 58 to 60.5
WF/FSU 51 to 48
CMU/ Purdue 60 to 64
Idaho/Utah St. 67 to 63
NM St/UTEP 53 to 58.5
NFL Sides
Tennessee -6.5 to -4.5
San Diego -7.5 to -9
College Football Free Plays
Sometimes the gambling gods work for and against you the same day. Yesterday our Top System had no business winning, until the Cubs scored four runs in the bottom of the ninth to tie the game and went on win in extra innings. The day’s Top Trend looked rock solid until Tampa Bay blew a two run lead at home in the ninth, allowing the Twins to score five times in the loss. I felt for Sal, after the excitement wore off of Colorado players, it was clear West Virginia was the better team and should have beaten the Buffalos by 10 points no problem. However ‘Teers coach Bill Stewart found a way to have the game go into overtime and eventually lost. In spite of being what appears to be a very nice man, Stewart seems more cut out working on a bowl committee, wearing a bright sports jacket and shaking everybody’s hand and telling them how wonderful they are. We have three Free Football plays ready for Saturday. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY AGAINST a road team like Troy after allowing six points or less in last game, against opponent after scoring seven points or less in the first half in two straight games. This system is a consistent winner at 36-9 ATS, 80 percent and says back Ohio State.
Free Football Trend -2) Fresno State is 1-11 ATS after one or more consecutive straight up losses over the last three seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) Brian from the Left Coast Connection makes five college football plays each Saturday and is 9-5-1 thus far. One of his plays this week will be on Utah minus the points.
Free Football System-1) PLAY AGAINST a road team like Troy after allowing six points or less in last game, against opponent after scoring seven points or less in the first half in two straight games. This system is a consistent winner at 36-9 ATS, 80 percent and says back Ohio State.
Free Football Trend -2) Fresno State is 1-11 ATS after one or more consecutive straight up losses over the last three seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) Brian from the Left Coast Connection makes five college football plays each Saturday and is 9-5-1 thus far. One of his plays this week will be on Utah minus the points.
3Daily Winners Free Sports Selections
We had a perfect 2-0 day here at 3DW and the vast majority of LCC members were right on Louisville last night. When you go to Vegas and you hit a hot streak, it only makes sense to ride the wave and that is exactly what we are doing with today’s Top System, just updating the situation to fit with unreal 36-1 record. The always popular Perfect Trend returns and should have real valuable at 14-0. Sal has been the best money-maker in college football and is on one side tonight. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs, like the Brewers with a money line of +175 to +250, who are cold hitting team batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher like the Cubs Rich Harden with a WHIP of under 1.000 over his last five starts. Why mess with a good thing. This system is a staggering 36-1, including 11-0 this season.
Free Baseball Trend -2) James Shields and Tampa Bay are 14-0 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season.
Free Football Selection -3) Sal from the Left Coast Connection is 11-4, 73.3 percent in college football this season and is backing West Virginia at -3 tonight.
NEW Feature – We realize not everyone has access to computer all day. We are introducing 3Daily Winners by phone. Call 480.205.9388 and listen to Free System, Top Trend and Free Pick each day, available today after 2 Eastern.
Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs, like the Brewers with a money line of +175 to +250, who are cold hitting team batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher like the Cubs Rich Harden with a WHIP of under 1.000 over his last five starts. Why mess with a good thing. This system is a staggering 36-1, including 11-0 this season.
Free Baseball Trend -2) James Shields and Tampa Bay are 14-0 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season.
Free Football Selection -3) Sal from the Left Coast Connection is 11-4, 73.3 percent in college football this season and is backing West Virginia at -3 tonight.
NEW Feature – We realize not everyone has access to computer all day. We are introducing 3Daily Winners by phone. Call 480.205.9388 and listen to Free System, Top Trend and Free Pick each day, available today after 2 Eastern.
Looking ahead in Rearview Mirror in Wagering on Football
Home underdogs are well liked by supposedly bettors with more acumen; however they and everyone else might want to be careful which dogs have some bark. The NFL home teams catching points last were 1-4 ATS; the season to date record is 5-8 against the number. Teams like St. Louis and Detroit look like they will have a hard time all season no matter how many points they’ll be receiving and Cincinnati, Miami and Kansas City might not be that far behind.College football favorites took it on the chin again this week with 19-22-3 ATS record. The double digit home favorite actually did fairly well with 7-4-1 ATS record if they didn’t play a Sun Belt Conference team. This past week, home favorites of 10 or more against the Sun Belt were 1-3-1 against the number and are 6-6-1 ATS on the season. The spread record is not all that bad considering the SBC is 1-12 straight up in this role. Thank goodness USC won so decisively against Ohio State or it would have been an even blacker week for the Pac-10. As a group, the conference was 3-7 in non-conference play and 2-8 ATS the spread. Three favorites lost outright and Oregon was fortunate to survive at Purdue. The lack of defense is the likely answer with the Pac-10 being 15-5 Over in non-league games. Want more proof about the Pac-10’s struggles, what about 0-5 and 1-4 ATS against the Mountain West this season.
Do’s
If coach Gary Pinkel wants Chase Daniel to not just go to New York, but win the Heisman Trophy this season, he is doing everything possible for that to occur. Missouri leads the country in total offense at 597.3 yards a game and scoring at 57.6 points in three outings. The weapons are abundant with the likes of Jeremy Maclin and Chase Coffman to name a few. The Tigers are 14-3 ATS in all games since late 2006 and face an improving Buffalo team that can move the ball, but is slow defensively by Big 12 standards. Missouri goes to Nebraska the following week to open conference play, however catch the Huskers off big battle with Virginia Tech.
I picked TCU to win the Mountain West and nothing I have seen has changed my mind. Opponent hardly ever run on the Horned Frogs (1.7 YPC this season) and when they have a solid back seven like this year, they are efficient. Offensively, coach Gary Patterson (not the cartoonist) has moved beyond talented, but oft-injured and troubled running back Aaron Brown to options that are nearly as good. Quarterback Andy Dalton has improved tremendously in decision making and mentally is catching up to ability. TCU can name the score in alphabet contest against SMU and has covered only one of last five due to boredom. Excellent measuring stick next week when Frogs travel to Oklahoma, where they have won last two times (2005, 1996) they visited. TCU is 8-0 ATS on the receiving end of eight or more points on the road.
Oklahoma State has not and will not play an opponent that gives them a real challenge until Oct.10 at Missouri. Until then QB Zak Robinson will lead the number three rushing attack that is more diverse than the Feds AIG bailout deal. The Cowboys have big bodies up front that can help move the chains for the running backs. Okie State has enough speed on the perimeter, they can help T. Boone Pickens kick start his wind power idea. Don’t think Oklahoma State will discount Troy next week off a bye after being embarrassed by them on national TV 41-23 last season. Cowboys are 18-9-3 ATS as double digit home favorites.
Don’ts
If you are from the Eastern part of the United States and are a big fan of college football and think the Big East Conference rocks, proceed to next paragraph. The Big Least is 2-14 ATS this season, 2-14. That’s a worse record than the Milwaukee Brewers this month. Rutgers lost first two games at home by total of 49 points. At least Morgan State should stem that tide at the end of the month and only local bookies will take action on that one. The only enjoyment Syracuse fans will have this season is going to movie theatre and seeing former Orangemen Ernie Davis in, “The Express”. Don’t be surprised before the end of the season if coach Greg Robinson is in the express checkout line for departing coaches, with his recruits ranking 115th in total defense.
Was Hawaii really unbeaten and playing in the Sugar Bowl when the year began? Losing at Florida was a given and at Oregon State was not expected to be a luau, but 17 total points scored in those games! Things should improve once WAC play starts and more home games are played, nevertheless betting Hawaii, in what has to be a shock to the returning players from last season, would not in the words of the first president named Bush, “be prudent.”
UAB has already lost first three games and failed to cover any of them thanks to defense that is 119th or last in the country. (Western Kentucky is the 120th team in the FBS but is on unofficial purgatory from statistics standpoint until they become Sun Belt member next year) The Blazers have 17 returning starters back and it doesn’t look they that will help. This university gives very little support to the athletic department, with some of the most meager facilities in the country. UAB for years was a superb wager as a home dog or road dog, when they had a talented quarterback and receivers, which does not appear to be the case these days in Birmingham.
NFL Betting Thoughts
For those bettors that are emotionally involved in living and dying with every play on your bets, this past weekend was heaven and hell. The favored team trailed in six different early games, causing a great deal of consternation. If you have the NFL ticket, teams like Carolina, Indianapolis, Jacksonville and Cincinnati must have ate the same pregame meal the Cal Bears had the day before as they were as dull as a Ralph Nadar speech.
Three of the teams, the Colts, Panthers and Redskins came back to win and cover the number, spreading joy and misery at the same time. Watching the games, the sensation was exactly the same as the NCAA Basketball Tournament, where the team you picked has nice halftime lead, only to be blown out in second half and fail to cover.
Arizona is in position to win the NFC West, thanks to 2-0 start covering both games. Seattle was the odds-on favorite, but has yet to win and resembles a mash unit with so many injuries. The Cardinals season will likely hinge on the five games they will play in the Eastern Time Zone, as they are 9-21 ATS on the road against non-division teams.
Most everyone assumed Jacksonville was ready to take the next step in progression towards the Super Bowl. A 0-2 start and staring at Indianapolis this week, places the Jaguars in peril, just to make the playoffs this season. With three offensive linemen injured in the middle of the line, David Garrard is under more duress and the ground game can’t get cranked up. No point on betting on Jacksonville right now.
Media and other thoughts –David Norrie and Terry Gannon are announcers for college football games on ESPN/ABC. Norrie is a former UCLA quarterback and had a brief career in the NFL. I’ve heard him call two games this season as an analyst and maybe I just never noticed before, but if you listen to one of his games, there are 14 all-conference players with NFL ability or sure-fire first day draft potential players on the field on any given play. These are college players and I have no problem talking them up, since they are still young adults. But to blatantly suggest the talent level is this high on the field of play undermines his credibility as an analyst.
Ohio State was decidedly whacked by USC, but the aftermath led me to rethink a position. In today’s world of sports, either you are champions or chumps. Ohio State is in the conversation for one of the three best programs of this decade and has one any many BSC titles as USC. No doubt they have stunk in their last three big games and deserve a certain amount of criticism, which is another blog post. But for those in the media to call the Buckeyes –LOSERS- is wrong.
Is Phil Mickelson a loser, being the second best golfer in the world, having to be born when Tiger Woods came around? What about those that work at Pepsi are they losers, having never passed up Coke for the top spot in soft drinks? What about the commission salesmen who are second or third in their companies for selling whatever, are they losers for not being the best?
Only one person, team or company can be at the top of the sheet. That doesn’t mean the others aren’t striving to be better, quite the contrary, maybe the circumstances don’t allow them to reach the top or sometimes they are just not as good. The last thing Ohio State players are is losers. Keep in mind, if New England played the New York Giants five times, who do you think would have won the majority of the time? On that day, the Giants were better, that’s all.
Do’s
If coach Gary Pinkel wants Chase Daniel to not just go to New York, but win the Heisman Trophy this season, he is doing everything possible for that to occur. Missouri leads the country in total offense at 597.3 yards a game and scoring at 57.6 points in three outings. The weapons are abundant with the likes of Jeremy Maclin and Chase Coffman to name a few. The Tigers are 14-3 ATS in all games since late 2006 and face an improving Buffalo team that can move the ball, but is slow defensively by Big 12 standards. Missouri goes to Nebraska the following week to open conference play, however catch the Huskers off big battle with Virginia Tech.
I picked TCU to win the Mountain West and nothing I have seen has changed my mind. Opponent hardly ever run on the Horned Frogs (1.7 YPC this season) and when they have a solid back seven like this year, they are efficient. Offensively, coach Gary Patterson (not the cartoonist) has moved beyond talented, but oft-injured and troubled running back Aaron Brown to options that are nearly as good. Quarterback Andy Dalton has improved tremendously in decision making and mentally is catching up to ability. TCU can name the score in alphabet contest against SMU and has covered only one of last five due to boredom. Excellent measuring stick next week when Frogs travel to Oklahoma, where they have won last two times (2005, 1996) they visited. TCU is 8-0 ATS on the receiving end of eight or more points on the road.
Oklahoma State has not and will not play an opponent that gives them a real challenge until Oct.10 at Missouri. Until then QB Zak Robinson will lead the number three rushing attack that is more diverse than the Feds AIG bailout deal. The Cowboys have big bodies up front that can help move the chains for the running backs. Okie State has enough speed on the perimeter, they can help T. Boone Pickens kick start his wind power idea. Don’t think Oklahoma State will discount Troy next week off a bye after being embarrassed by them on national TV 41-23 last season. Cowboys are 18-9-3 ATS as double digit home favorites.
Don’ts
If you are from the Eastern part of the United States and are a big fan of college football and think the Big East Conference rocks, proceed to next paragraph. The Big Least is 2-14 ATS this season, 2-14. That’s a worse record than the Milwaukee Brewers this month. Rutgers lost first two games at home by total of 49 points. At least Morgan State should stem that tide at the end of the month and only local bookies will take action on that one. The only enjoyment Syracuse fans will have this season is going to movie theatre and seeing former Orangemen Ernie Davis in, “The Express”. Don’t be surprised before the end of the season if coach Greg Robinson is in the express checkout line for departing coaches, with his recruits ranking 115th in total defense.
Was Hawaii really unbeaten and playing in the Sugar Bowl when the year began? Losing at Florida was a given and at Oregon State was not expected to be a luau, but 17 total points scored in those games! Things should improve once WAC play starts and more home games are played, nevertheless betting Hawaii, in what has to be a shock to the returning players from last season, would not in the words of the first president named Bush, “be prudent.”
UAB has already lost first three games and failed to cover any of them thanks to defense that is 119th or last in the country. (Western Kentucky is the 120th team in the FBS but is on unofficial purgatory from statistics standpoint until they become Sun Belt member next year) The Blazers have 17 returning starters back and it doesn’t look they that will help. This university gives very little support to the athletic department, with some of the most meager facilities in the country. UAB for years was a superb wager as a home dog or road dog, when they had a talented quarterback and receivers, which does not appear to be the case these days in Birmingham.
NFL Betting Thoughts
For those bettors that are emotionally involved in living and dying with every play on your bets, this past weekend was heaven and hell. The favored team trailed in six different early games, causing a great deal of consternation. If you have the NFL ticket, teams like Carolina, Indianapolis, Jacksonville and Cincinnati must have ate the same pregame meal the Cal Bears had the day before as they were as dull as a Ralph Nadar speech.
Three of the teams, the Colts, Panthers and Redskins came back to win and cover the number, spreading joy and misery at the same time. Watching the games, the sensation was exactly the same as the NCAA Basketball Tournament, where the team you picked has nice halftime lead, only to be blown out in second half and fail to cover.
Arizona is in position to win the NFC West, thanks to 2-0 start covering both games. Seattle was the odds-on favorite, but has yet to win and resembles a mash unit with so many injuries. The Cardinals season will likely hinge on the five games they will play in the Eastern Time Zone, as they are 9-21 ATS on the road against non-division teams.
Most everyone assumed Jacksonville was ready to take the next step in progression towards the Super Bowl. A 0-2 start and staring at Indianapolis this week, places the Jaguars in peril, just to make the playoffs this season. With three offensive linemen injured in the middle of the line, David Garrard is under more duress and the ground game can’t get cranked up. No point on betting on Jacksonville right now.
Media and other thoughts –David Norrie and Terry Gannon are announcers for college football games on ESPN/ABC. Norrie is a former UCLA quarterback and had a brief career in the NFL. I’ve heard him call two games this season as an analyst and maybe I just never noticed before, but if you listen to one of his games, there are 14 all-conference players with NFL ability or sure-fire first day draft potential players on the field on any given play. These are college players and I have no problem talking them up, since they are still young adults. But to blatantly suggest the talent level is this high on the field of play undermines his credibility as an analyst.
Ohio State was decidedly whacked by USC, but the aftermath led me to rethink a position. In today’s world of sports, either you are champions or chumps. Ohio State is in the conversation for one of the three best programs of this decade and has one any many BSC titles as USC. No doubt they have stunk in their last three big games and deserve a certain amount of criticism, which is another blog post. But for those in the media to call the Buckeyes –LOSERS- is wrong.
Is Phil Mickelson a loser, being the second best golfer in the world, having to be born when Tiger Woods came around? What about those that work at Pepsi are they losers, having never passed up Coke for the top spot in soft drinks? What about the commission salesmen who are second or third in their companies for selling whatever, are they losers for not being the best?
Only one person, team or company can be at the top of the sheet. That doesn’t mean the others aren’t striving to be better, quite the contrary, maybe the circumstances don’t allow them to reach the top or sometimes they are just not as good. The last thing Ohio State players are is losers. Keep in mind, if New England played the New York Giants five times, who do you think would have won the majority of the time? On that day, the Giants were better, that’s all.
Free Baseball Plays for Hump Day
There is nothing wrong with a sweet 3-1 day here at 3Daily Winners. Our System selection won on an underdog yesterday and today we bring back a system that we have used often here, and once you read about it, you will understand why. Today’s Top Trend follows the exploits of the best pitcher in baseball this season. No Free Plays today, just interesting info. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like the Astros with a money line of +175 to +250, who are cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher like Marlins Ricky Nolasco, who has a WHIP under 1.000 over his last five starts. This mellifluous system is 35-1 the last three years, including 10-0 this season.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Though we could use yesterday’s top trend again by adding one since it fits (see Below), we’ll keep it fresh and see if Cliff Lee and Cleveland can improve to 14-1 when the total is 8 to 8.5.
Free Football Selection -3) Baseball plays are pretty split, with nothing standing out. Though not official play, 10 members of LCC on Louisville and 4 on Kansas State tonight.
NEW Feature – We realize not everyone has access to computer all day. We are introducing 3Daily Winners by phone. Call 480.205.9388 and listen to Free System, Top Trend and Free Pick each day, available after 5:30 Eastern weekdays.
Free Baseball System -1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs like the Astros with a money line of +175 to +250, who are cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher like Marlins Ricky Nolasco, who has a WHIP under 1.000 over his last five starts. This mellifluous system is 35-1 the last three years, including 10-0 this season.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Though we could use yesterday’s top trend again by adding one since it fits (see Below), we’ll keep it fresh and see if Cliff Lee and Cleveland can improve to 14-1 when the total is 8 to 8.5.
Free Football Selection -3) Baseball plays are pretty split, with nothing standing out. Though not official play, 10 members of LCC on Louisville and 4 on Kansas State tonight.
NEW Feature – We realize not everyone has access to computer all day. We are introducing 3Daily Winners by phone. Call 480.205.9388 and listen to Free System, Top Trend and Free Pick each day, available after 5:30 Eastern weekdays.
Betting the Big East Takes Guts
When the ACC raided the Big East, many thought this would signal the end of this league as a power and talk circulated that potentially this conference should be decertified as a BCS league. Naturally the conference members howled their disapproval and went out and did a little pilfering of their own in grabbing Cincinnati, Louisville and South Florida from Conference-USA.The first year turned out better than the Big East could have imagined, with conference champion, West Virginia pulling a stunning upset of Georgia 38-35 as six-point underdog in the Sugar Bowl in 2006.
Big East Commissioner Mike Tranghese was absolutely thrilled about how the 2007 season played out. Barely one year removed from dismissal talk, this conference had three teams in the Top 10 in the country in November, with several key games to be played. Louisville ended up being the champion of the Big East and did the league proud with a 24-13 win over Wake Forest in the Orange Bowl.
Last season was not quite as exciting as the previous year, but all eyes were on West Virginia, who was in line to potentially play for the national championship with a win over rival Pittsburgh at home. The Mountaineers were monstrous 29-point favorites, yet fell to the Panthers 13-9, after quarterback Pat White went down with an injury. The whole Rich Rodriquez saga ensued, with him taking the Michigan job and few gave West Virginia a chance in the Fiesta Bowl against Oklahoma as seven point underdogs. Instead, a proud group of Mountaineers was energized and they out-muscled and out-fought a Sooners team that didn’t know what hit them, winning 48-28 under then interim coach Bill Stewart.
Fast forward to today, after three weeks of the college football season, the Big East is 10-9 in non-conference play and get this 1-14 against the spread. (Really) What has happened in the course of a few seasons, at the pinnacle of the league’s success?
One of the most underrated and not frequently discussed aspects of conferences is the coaches in the league. Television commentators will question the judgment of a coach’s decision, yet will never go into the intricacies how good a coach one may actually be. This shouldn’t be surprising given the knowledge those working on public airwaves have to use these coaches to find out information and are seeking nuggets of information that can be used on a broadcast. Alienate the coach by criticizing him, essentially access is denied.
That is not a problem here, as we can dissect what is currently happening in the Big East. West Virginia, the reigning conference champs, had plenty of questions about the hiring of Bill Stewart to what has become a Top 10 program. Stewart is an affable man, a big smile and considered to be a smart assistant coach. With the bar having been raised under Rodriguez’s tenure, is he the right man to continue the structure? He’s put in a new offense that suits his preferences, yet as East Carolina game proved, the players are somewhat miscast and searching to understand what they need to do. With the Big East having only eight members, this leaves room for five non-conferences games. The ‘Teers have not been strong against these types of opponents and are 12-14-1 ATS since 2003.
Louisville has gone from a powerhouse to also-ran, with the departure of nomadic Bobby Petrino. The talent level has shrunk like a 100 percent cotton shirt thrown into a hot dryer and the natives are getting restless about coach Steve Kragthorpe spoiling what has been a very good thing for the Papa John Cardinal Stadium crowd. The Cards are 14-11 ATS in non-league games, but just 1-4 ATS the last two years.
Pittsburgh and Syracuse, two original members are saddled with two former NFL coaches, who are not getting the job done. Dave Wannstedt is 17-20 at Pitt with 16-18ATS record and has never shown a proclivity towards winning as a head coach anywhere. Syracuse fired Paul Pasqualoni for too many 6-6 to 8-4 seasons and hired Greg Robinson. Those numbers would be a welcome relief for the Orange fans with Robinson 7-31 and 15-23 ATS.
Connecticut’s Randy Edsall and Rutgers Greg Schiano both have proven to be solid coaches in building programs from nothing. Now they have reached a level of success, can either overcome limitations by the universities to take programs to championship levels? Coming into this 2008 campaign, both coaches had done well in the last five years in non-conference play (Rutgers 17-7-1 ATS and UConn 17-12-1 ATS), however most of those numbers were as undervalued underdogs.
Cincinnati has Brian Kelley in his second season. Kelly had unbelievable success at D-ll level with 118-35-2 record and is known for no-nonsense approach. Too early to predict what happens in the Queen City.
Presently the most stable program is South Florida, who didn’t have football 12 years ago. Jim Leavitt took the job in Tampa and quickly has ascended this program to alarmingly unique heights, starting from scratch. Most of his assistants have been there since day one, helping provide the continuity which has helped make this work. Even with this uprising, the Bulls are pedestrian 9-10 ATS in non-conference play in just over five seasons.
With the Big East on such shaky ground from coaching perspective, what should one expect once conference play starts? It would stand to reason underdogs of all sorts should do well given the state of affairs. Here is a chart explaining how these teams have performed as home favorites in the Big East as long as they have been part of the conference.
Big East ATS Records as Favorites
For Conference Play Last Five Years
Cincinnati 1-2 (3-years as member)
Connecticut 4-1 (4-years as member)
Louisville 6-4 (3-years as member)
Pittsburgh 6-3
Rutgers 2-5
South Florida 2-3 (3-years as member)
Syracuse 5-3
West Virginia 4-9-1
This conference has been a bookmaker’s dream with 30-30-1 ATS record on home favorites, with existing teams over the last five years. With the current coaching lineup, the numbers are actually more in favor of the road underdog than at first glance. Pittsburgh might be 6-3 ATS as a home Big East favorite, but all three losses have come with Wanny as coach. Basically the same is true of Syracuse, with their three spread losses coming with Robinson wearing the headset.
Watch closely who these Big East teams are matched against in non-conference play this week, trying to fully understand not only the opponent, but who is on the other sideline as coach. When league play starts, watch the spreads of home favorites, being able to take advantage of quality situations.
Top Tuesday Free Plays
Kendall of the Left Coast Connection finished off a 4-0 NFL weekend with winner on the Eagles and is 8-1 on the season. Today’s Top System involves division rivals and is a rare play that hits 80 percent of the time. The perfect Trend is back and is in the Keystone State. In an odd occurrence, the LCC has two unanimous MLB plays today. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System-1) PLAY ON home teams like the Cubs who are very good offensive team scoring 5.3 runs or more a game, against a very good starting pitcher like Milwaukee's C.C. Sabathia with ERA under three in the NL, with a starting pitcher like Ryan Dempster who allows 5.5 or less hits a start. This rare system is 8-2 since 2006.
Free Baseball Trend -2) The Pittsburgh Pirates are 0-10 at home when +150 to +200 underdogs this season.
Free Baseball Selection -3) I hasn't happened but maybe 10 times all season, but the members of the Left Coast Connection both unanimously support Philadelphia and Toronto in MLB action. In each case, eight members picked these two teams with no dissenters.
NEW Feature – We realize not everyone has access to computer all day. We are introducing 3Daily Winners by phone. Call 480.205.9388 and listen to Free System, Top Trend and Free Pick each day, available after 5:30 Eastern weekdays.
Free Baseball System-1) PLAY ON home teams like the Cubs who are very good offensive team scoring 5.3 runs or more a game, against a very good starting pitcher like Milwaukee's C.C. Sabathia with ERA under three in the NL, with a starting pitcher like Ryan Dempster who allows 5.5 or less hits a start. This rare system is 8-2 since 2006.
Free Baseball Trend -2) The Pittsburgh Pirates are 0-10 at home when +150 to +200 underdogs this season.
Free Baseball Selection -3) I hasn't happened but maybe 10 times all season, but the members of the Left Coast Connection both unanimously support Philadelphia and Toronto in MLB action. In each case, eight members picked these two teams with no dissenters.
NEW Feature – We realize not everyone has access to computer all day. We are introducing 3Daily Winners by phone. Call 480.205.9388 and listen to Free System, Top Trend and Free Pick each day, available after 5:30 Eastern weekdays.
Monday's Free Plays from 3Daily Winners
Another nice 2-1 day as our System and Free Play were both Winners. Kendall has been scintillating the start the NFL season at 7-1 and gave us the Packers yesterday. Today he has side on the Monday night game with advice. Our Top Trend checks in on the Minnesota Twins tonight. There was not any outstanding baseball systems today, leading us to look a college football money line play that is 32-2 over the last decade. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON home favorites like Georgia Tech vs. the money line in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with two or more straight losses against opponent in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with two or more straight wins. This college football ML system is 32-2 since 1998.
Free Baseball Trend -2) The Minnesota Twins are 15-2 against the money line with an on base percentage of .393 or better over their last three games this season.
Free Football Selection -3) Kendall from the Left Coast Connection was 3-0 in the NFL yesterday (now 7-1 for the year), with winners on Green Bay (here), Oakland and New England. Kendall believes a tie is better than a loss and is playing Philadelphia and recommends to do so only if number is at +7 or higher. Anything below, he suggests passing.
NEW Feature – We realize not everyone has access to computer all day. We are introducing 3Daily Winners by phone. Call 480.205.9388 and listen to Free System, Top Trend and Free Pick each day, available after 5:30 Eastern weekdays.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON home favorites like Georgia Tech vs. the money line in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with two or more straight losses against opponent in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with two or more straight wins. This college football ML system is 32-2 since 1998.
Free Baseball Trend -2) The Minnesota Twins are 15-2 against the money line with an on base percentage of .393 or better over their last three games this season.
Free Football Selection -3) Kendall from the Left Coast Connection was 3-0 in the NFL yesterday (now 7-1 for the year), with winners on Green Bay (here), Oakland and New England. Kendall believes a tie is better than a loss and is playing Philadelphia and recommends to do so only if number is at +7 or higher. Anything below, he suggests passing.
NEW Feature – We realize not everyone has access to computer all day. We are introducing 3Daily Winners by phone. Call 480.205.9388 and listen to Free System, Top Trend and Free Pick each day, available after 5:30 Eastern weekdays.
NFL Free Plays for Sunday
Over the last two days, the college football plays ended being 4-2, for some nice winning action. Two of those wins came from our Super Systems plays and today we have a 79.2 percent system with a solid winning margin. The Top Trend looks at one of the two AFC West matchups and Kendall from the Left Coast Connection will go for a second straight week of NFL winners with a surprising play. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY AGAINST home teams like Minnesota where the line is +3 to -3- off a road loss, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with two or more straight losses. This system is 38-10 79.2 percent with winning margin being 6.3 points per game.
Free Football Trend -2) The Oakland Raiders are 1-9 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2+ seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) Kendall was 4-1 in the NFL last week and sees Green Bay coming away a spread winner.
NEW Feature – We realize not everyone has access to computer all day. We are introducing 3Daily Winners by phone. Call 480.205.9388 and listen to Free system, Top Trend and Free Pick each day, starting today after 11:30 Eastern.
Free Football System-1) PLAY AGAINST home teams like Minnesota where the line is +3 to -3- off a road loss, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with two or more straight losses. This system is 38-10 79.2 percent with winning margin being 6.3 points per game.
Free Football Trend -2) The Oakland Raiders are 1-9 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2+ seasons.
Free Football Selection -3) Kendall was 4-1 in the NFL last week and sees Green Bay coming away a spread winner.
NEW Feature – We realize not everyone has access to computer all day. We are introducing 3Daily Winners by phone. Call 480.205.9388 and listen to Free system, Top Trend and Free Pick each day, starting today after 11:30 Eastern.
Early Line Moves
A couple weeks ago we introduced Early Line Moves. We seek out the earliest lines and compare them on late Tuesday nights to see what the so-called Line Movers do. By and large their track record is solid and dependable. As the season wears on, our results have shown these numbers to get better. Last week in college football, they were super 7-1-1 on sides and 5-5 in college totals. This makes season record 15-5-1 on sides and 5-5 on Totals in CFB. In the NFL, they were 2-2 on sides and 2-1 in Totals. Enjoy reading and closely follow these numbers for wagering portfolio. Getting a late start on getting this info out this week.
College Sides
South Florida -6 to -3.5 Winner
Washington State -5 to +1.5 Winner
Oregon -5- to -8
Oregon State -9.5 to -12.5
Michigan -4 to -1
California -11.5 to -14.5
Buffalo -4 to -66.5
So. Miss -2.5 to +2.5
College Totals
Navy/Duke 53 to 58
ECU/ Tulane 40- to 44.5
Utah/Utah St. 47 to 5.5
NFL Sides
Cincinnati -3 to -1
New Orleans -2 to Pick
N.Y, Giants -6 to -8.5
Seattle -9.5 to -7
NFL Totals
Oak/KC 34.5 to 36.5
College Sides
South Florida -6 to -3.5 Winner
Washington State -5 to +1.5 Winner
Oregon -5- to -8
Oregon State -9.5 to -12.5
Michigan -4 to -1
California -11.5 to -14.5
Buffalo -4 to -66.5
So. Miss -2.5 to +2.5
College Totals
Navy/Duke 53 to 58
ECU/ Tulane 40- to 44.5
Utah/Utah St. 47 to 5.5
NFL Sides
Cincinnati -3 to -1
New Orleans -2 to Pick
N.Y, Giants -6 to -8.5
Seattle -9.5 to -7
NFL Totals
Oak/KC 34.5 to 36.5
College Football Betting Previews
The college football landscape is being overshadowed by Ohio State and USC contest that is as big as Hurricane Ike, without the inevitable consequences. There are many other games on the radar, with a number of teams already in trouble with a loss on Saturday. South Carolina paid good money to bring in Steve Spurrier to win, not lose to Vanderbilt in consecutive seasons. A loss to Georgia makes this season uphill from here. Michigan certainly doesn’t need another September loss, trying to change directions with a new coach and if this is Notre Dame’s idea of improvement, where’s Bob Davie? Washington might have lost to BYU anyway, but shouldn’t the refs have used better discretion? For their efforts the Huskies get Oklahoma who has an even better offense than BYU. These and other wagering options are awaiting your perusal. Click here to read more.
Free College Football Plays at 3Daily Winners
Our only play that could be documented was an easy Winner on Baylor. Today we hope to have another winning Free Play from our pal Sal who is again heating up. Our Top Trend looks into an ACC matchup and today’s System play has been an 82.4 percent winner over the last five years. For anyone thinking about backing a team from the Big East, consider they are 0-11 ATS to start the new season. We are adding a New Feature today, learn more below. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY AGAINST road teams like Stanford after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games against opponent after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game. This system is 28-6, 82.4 percent since 2004.
Free Football Trend -2) Virginia Tech is 13-4 ATS in last 17 ACC contests.
Free Football Selection -3) Sal from the Left Coast Connection is on a nice roll again, with 8-2 record this week and 7-3 in college football after going 2-0 last night with Kansas and Baylor. Today he’s backing Buffalo minus the points against Temple.
NEW Feature – We realize not everyone has access to computer all day. We are introducing 3Daily Winners by phone. Call 480.205.9388 and listen to Free system, Top Trend and Free Pick each day, starting today after 11:30 Eastern. Special Bonus info today just for calling.
Free Football System-1) PLAY AGAINST road teams like Stanford after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games against opponent after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game. This system is 28-6, 82.4 percent since 2004.
Free Football Trend -2) Virginia Tech is 13-4 ATS in last 17 ACC contests.
Free Football Selection -3) Sal from the Left Coast Connection is on a nice roll again, with 8-2 record this week and 7-3 in college football after going 2-0 last night with Kansas and Baylor. Today he’s backing Buffalo minus the points against Temple.
NEW Feature – We realize not everyone has access to computer all day. We are introducing 3Daily Winners by phone. Call 480.205.9388 and listen to Free system, Top Trend and Free Pick each day, starting today after 11:30 Eastern. Special Bonus info today just for calling.
3Daily Winners for Friday the 12th
Minnesota’s extra inning loss cost us a 3-1 day; however the Free plays have been picking up, with three winners in a row and this pick is now available. Our focus turns towards college football and we have quality System that wins 83.9 percent of the time and involves a Pac-10 team. Our Top Trend has a team from the MAC who is primed for this position with 13-1 record. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON home favorites like Oregon State of 10.5 to 21 points, after allowing 37 points or more last game against opponent after scoring seven points or less in the first half in two straight games. Home cooking does the Beavers right in this system that 26-5 ATS, 83.9 percent.
Free Football Trend -2) Central Michigan is 13-1 ATS after playing a road game.
Free Football Selection -3) Seven of eight members of the Left Coast Connection are playing Baylor tonight .
Free Football System-1) PLAY ON home favorites like Oregon State of 10.5 to 21 points, after allowing 37 points or more last game against opponent after scoring seven points or less in the first half in two straight games. Home cooking does the Beavers right in this system that 26-5 ATS, 83.9 percent.
Free Football Trend -2) Central Michigan is 13-1 ATS after playing a road game.
Free Football Selection -3) Seven of eight members of the Left Coast Connection are playing Baylor tonight .
Free MLB Plays for Thursday
Finally a snappy winning day with 3-1 mark, let’s see if we can build on that. Today’s stellar System play yields not one, but two plays today that are 37-5. The White Sox broke Toronto’s long winning streak, will they beat them again, review today’s Top Trend for possible answer. The LCC was 2-0 yesterday in Free Plays and has another ready to go. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250, where team's hitters draw three walks or less a game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher with WHIP of less 1.000 over in last five starts. The pitchers are Francisco Liriano and Roy Oswalt and the teams to play against are Kansas City and Pittsburgh. This system is powerful 37-5, 88 percent.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Gavin Floyd and the White Sox are 13-2 at US Cellular Field this season.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Consensus MLB play in on the Chicago Cubs to take the series.
Free Baseball System-1) PLAY AGAINST all underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250, where team's hitters draw three walks or less a game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher with WHIP of less 1.000 over in last five starts. The pitchers are Francisco Liriano and Roy Oswalt and the teams to play against are Kansas City and Pittsburgh. This system is powerful 37-5, 88 percent.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Gavin Floyd and the White Sox are 13-2 at US Cellular Field this season.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Consensus MLB play in on the Chicago Cubs to take the series.
A Look ahead in Rearview Mirror in Betting Football
After a sterling start of 25-16 ATS the opening week, favorites took it on the chin in Week 2 in college football. It wasn’t a disaster; however favorites were 19-23-1 against the spread. Part of the reason for this shift was home underdogs after a 3-6 start, came back to bite with 7-5 ATS record overall. Kudos to oddsmakers on the Totals, with 42-42 record for the first two weeks.In the NFL, favorites were a solid 10-6 ATS in the opening weekend with the Under being the correct choice most often with 9-7 record. It was interesting to note, the value of Week 1 was in the middle numbers. Home favorites of a touchdown or more were 2-3 ATS and home dogs were 3-4 ATS. Home favorites of less than five points achieved perfection with 4-0 ATS mark.
Do’s
Penn State gave another very good performance, blasting Oregon State in 45-14, in a contest for all intents and purposes was over at halftime. The Nittany Lions ran the ball down their throats for 239 yards and played with a purpose against the Beavers, who were not sharp. Penn State is almost a four touchdown favorite at Syracuse and can name the final score. First real test of any sort is hosting Illinois in Big 10 opener on September 27.
Georgia Tech is shaping up as Play On team with upset win at Boston College 19-16 as 6.5-point underdogs. The Yellow Jackets still commit too many fumbles in learning new coach Paul Johnson’s offense, yet by the fourth quarter at B.C., the efficiency was much better and the pounding of running the offense was wearing down the Eagles. Georgia Tech’s defense was better than expected and with ACC not appearing especially strong, the Jackets will have opportunities to improve on 16-7 ATS record as ACC road dog.
What is most impressive about East Carolina is the physical nature of which they play. The Pirates were the better team against Virginia Tech and West Virginia on both days. Skip Holtz’s club beats on opponents, giving no quarter and whipping teams known for using brute force to win games. Though the schedule doesn’t look imposing by BCS standards, East Carolina still has six road games left on the docket and has been exposed like the internet in Bill Curtis commercials. No more lurking in the shadows for ECU, opposing teams have a new target to aim for. Hard not to ride coach who is 27-11 ATS, as Holtz and the Pirates head to Tulane this week in C-USA opener.
Don’ts
If this is new and improved Notre Dame, could be another long season in South Bend. The supposedly bigger, stronger and improved Irish offensive line saw backs average three yards a carry against San Diego State, who allowed over five yards a carry the previous week to powerhouse (?) Cal- Poly. The Notre Dame new blitzing schemes had one problem; they kept running into blockers, instead of finding open lanes to get to quarterback. At least Jimmy Clausen looked more like the hyped prospect Notre Dame was looking for, with several nice passes. The Irish are 5-11 as home favorites under Charley Weis and remain on fade alert especially when favored by 10 or more points.
South Carolina might have a tremendous defense, nonetheless, the offense and special (misnomer) teams are still an issue. Vanderbilt had no business being in the game with the Gamecocks, yet they hung around and Steve Spurrier’s squad let the Commodores into the game and they seized the opportunity in pulling upset as home dog. One would presume South Carolina shoots for big effort this week at home against Georgia, yet are 3-6 ATS as home pooch under Spurrier and the Bulldogs are 15-10 ATS on the SEC road. It takes intestinal fortitude to back Gamecocks this week.
What the “Freidgen” is going on in College Park, MD? Maryland had to fight for their collective lives to hold off Delaware at home 14-7 and lost at Middle Tennessee State 24-14 as better than two touchdown favorites! Coming off three losing seasons in last four years, it looks like coach Ralph Friedgen has been eating into the recruiting budget, with sparse talent available. In comes 23rd ranked California who might be better than presumed. The Terps are 3-6 ATS catching points at home against ranked opponents.
NFL Betting Thoughts
If any of us were a tackling dummy, the best place to have a job would be working for the Detroit Lions, who missed more tackles against Atlanta than the number of games Raiders owner Al Davis has watched in person. Detroit has a chance for renewal against division rival Green Bay on short week.
Philadelphia was crisp against receding Rams, setting up dandy matchup next Monday against Dallas, where the Eagles are 9-3 ATS.
A vast amount of handicappers and knowledgeable sports bettors were on Cincinnati last week at Baltimore, starting a rookie quarterback and running back. The Bengals defense could never stop the Ravens when they needed to and the offense was pathetic. This point’s to the value of preseason. While the games mean nothing, we saw with Cincy, Seattle, San Diego and Indianapolis not being close to ready offensively. You still need time with game action to put continuity together for offense.
Most impressed by Dallas, Carolina, Philadelphia and Denver. In each case, the game plans and execution was spectacular.
Media and other thoughts – Former Ravens coach Brian Billick had a quality debut in the booth as analyst. He was informative, made salient points and was definitely a coach in the booth. For those that prefer information to be delved out above the norm, Billick was a breath of fresh air. No doubt the network will tell him to dumb it down.
I’m only going to say this once this football season, but Troy Aikman drives me crazy. The former Cowboy quarterback does good work as an announcer, yet is a hack with the English language. Aikman ends the majority of words ending with ‘ing’ with his version of in’. (Example – The Cowboys are really tacklin’ well today.) I suggest you play along and have a large pad of paper and make a scratch mark for every time Aikman ends a word with in’. He does this more times than the number of Motel 6 Inns there are across the Lower 48. In the movie Scarface, if memory serves, somebody told me the F-Bomb was used 126 times. Aikman should have that before the end of the third quarter.
If you watched Florida and Miami last Saturday, you may have noticed the Gators scored 17 points in the last quarter to win. What caught my eye was the urgency of which Florida was trying to score with a VERY comfortable 23-3 lead late in the fourth quarter. By all appearances the Gators were desperately trying to score a touchdown and did, though it was called back for a penalty. You don’t suppose Urban Meyer had heard earlier in the week that Florida alums had the Gators in the -22 to -24 range do you? No, that would never happen. (Wink, wink)
Hump Day Plays at 3Daily Winners
We seem to be caught up in the buzzsaw of utilizing terrific information in what is a bad time for betting baseball. The numbers of baseball are convoluted compared to a month ago, meaning value is difficult to find. Many of the guys in the Left Coast Connection have stopped betting baseball for that reason and concentrated their efforts solely on football. As I stated last week, our focus needs to do so as well, however I have tried to give you loyal reader’s fresh information and recently the results have been unsatisfactory. When we still believe we have something of value to show in baseball we will, otherwise the tone will turn more towards football, with possibly fewer systems and more trends. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System-1) PLAY ON all favorites like the Dodgers with a money line of -150 or more after having won 2 of their last 3 games, being a marginal winning team (51 to 54 percent) playing a bad team with a winning percentage 38 to 46 percent. This system is 115-35, 76.7 percent the last five seasons.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Oakland has yet to win when Sean Gallagher is the starting pitcher and an underdog in nine attempts.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Consensus MLB plays from the LCC is the Cubs and Houston.
Free Baseball System-1) PLAY ON all favorites like the Dodgers with a money line of -150 or more after having won 2 of their last 3 games, being a marginal winning team (51 to 54 percent) playing a bad team with a winning percentage 38 to 46 percent. This system is 115-35, 76.7 percent the last five seasons.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Oakland has yet to win when Sean Gallagher is the starting pitcher and an underdog in nine attempts.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Consensus MLB plays from the LCC is the Cubs and Houston.
Ohio State at USC Wagering Outlook
Did you hear about this little college football game their playing Saturday, involving two of the most recognized universities on the college football planet? Each of these fine schools has set a new standard in this millennium with superior coaching and athleticism that only a few other programs can possibly keep up with. This magnificent match-up could be the first of two games between these powerful programs this season, with the other site to be determined.USC’s head coach Pete Carroll has to love the ways of the college football compared to the NFL in terms of supplying believable information. After Mark Sanchez went down with dislocated knee cap, many wondered if he would be available for monster Ohio State conflict, let alone for the opener at Virginia. While Sanchez was chattering, saying we would be ready for Cavaliers, this was gently pushed to the side as macho football talk, with yet another player taking heroic stance. Coach Carroll was pretty mum on the subject, doling out less information on the Sanchez subject than a Bill Belichick daily press briefing.
When USC took the field at Charlottesville, Sanchez had more giddy-up than a racehorse making a stretch run. If became readily apparent why the junior signal caller wanted to take the field so bad, these Trojans are loaded. USC gained 558 yards of offense with a stable of running backs deeper than Calumet Farms in Kentucky. Four different backs, with Joe McKnight and CJ Gable being the more familiar names, galloped for 5.3 yards per carry on 41 attempts. The speed and craftiness of each runner was awesome, as was the holes they had to run thru. ONLY nine different receivers caught passes for USC, totaling 340 yards, giving new meaning to diversity on the Trojans campus.
The USC defense was everything that was expected; except for a few passes that Virginia completed that seemed almost surprising. In the end, it was clear, USC was not tested and Sanchez has the confident appearance of a team leader, in what is now an assembly line of succession General Motors could only dream about, with the next stellar quarterback emerging at Troy.
It is no wonder Carroll has become a favorite among sports bettors, sporting 77-14 record in Los Angeles, with 55-36 (60.4 percent) against the spread record in his eighth season. Since getting everything in order in his second year in 2002, Carroll’s teams are 27-2 straight up in non-conference games (includes bowls), with 21-8 ATS record. The Men of Troy are 22-2 SU and 18-6 ATS taking in ranked teams since halfway thru 2002 campaign.
Ohio State was sharp in opener and duller then Lindsey Lohan commenting on Republican VP Sarah Palin against Ohio U. at Columbus last week. Are roving friends of 3Daily Winners have seen Buckeyes practices and both games and are convinced this is the best, most complete Ohio State team of the Jim Tressel sleeveless sweater-era. Here is what separates this squad from a few of the vintage Buckeye squads of this decade.
The 2002 national championship team probably embodied Tressel more than any other he has had in Columbus. Thou talented, not over the top by any means compared to later versions. That team did what it had to win through preparation and never flinched, no matter the circumstances. Six of their wins were by seven points or less during the regular season and what is easy to forget is they were 11-point underdogs to Miami-FL in unforgettable championship overtime game.
The 2003 and 2005 had better talent as 22 starters, yet were not even close to showing the resolve of 2002 squad. The 2006 team was literally shocked by Florida’s speed and was out-classed by hungrier team that was playing better. Last year’s team was really one year ahead of schedule, in terms of maturity and understanding what it takes to be a champion. No question Tressel did a splendid job in reloading, however were not in the same true class as LSU.
One theme among the folks we spoke to that have followed and wagered on Ohio State (for and against keep in mind), is the positive cockiness needed to be a champion. How this team carries itself is more reminiscent of the Woody Hayes days and the best of John Cooper years, when Ohio State always believed they were the best team, even if the opponent was lucky enough to beat them. This 2008 team is reportedly a modern version, having the Tressel coolness and a certain detachment of arrogance.
Tressel can hang with Carroll record-wise at 75-16, but is a pauper comparatively against the spread at 46-38-1, 54.7 percent. Ohio State has taken a more gentlemanly approach in non-conference conflicts with 29-5 record (3 losses in bowl games), being a mere 17-16 ATS in those encounters. Tressel’s Buckeyes are 6-5 ATS as single digit underdogs since his second season.
This will be biggest September clash in years, even more so than the Texas/Ohio State games of a few years back. Both are as talented as any teams one will see this season. All the players on both teams are supremely confident, with only the complete status of running back Beanie Wells an uncertainty. USC opened as a 9.5-point home favorite and that number quickly jumped to 10.5 at most wagering outlets. The Total has been altered also, from opening at 46.5 to 44.
Coaching, along with the players, will have a huge implication in determining the outcome. If Ohio State’s front seven can contain USC running game, they make the Trojans more one-dimensional. That is not to say Sanchez can can’t win through having to throw the ball, however offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian prefers to have balanced offense. It was not by mistake, the Trojans showed numerous offensive formations and shifting into the second quarter against Virginia, before settling in on what they wanted to do. This was a message to Ohio State defense coaches to tell them to be prepared for anything. Even after just one game, it’s not a surprise to know the Trojans are 17-5 ATS after a week off in the regular season.
Ohio State was sleep-walking for 2 1/2 quarters against Ohio U in last game, yet still kept in close to the sweater vest, in not giving away too much for USC to look at. Senior Todd Boeckman will have to bring his thinking cap for this matchup. USC will try and funnel pressure up the gut, meaning Buckeyes coaches must be able to have outlets on either flank, to slow pass rush and blitzing. Boeckman will have to distinguish when USC overloads a side and the blitz comes from that direction, being able to use slot receiver or tight end into vacated spot. The Buckeyes are 12-4 ATS in non-conference regular season games versus BCS schools.
No matter what the polls say, the winner of this much anticipated encounter becomes the top team in the country based on public perception. USC is 10-2 ATS as favorite at the L.A. Memorial Coliseum on Carroll’s watch versus ranked teams, with Ohio State 2-1 ATS as road dog in opposite role. This should be special.
Tuesday MLB Action from 3DW
A frustrating Monday as Minnesota and Green Bay went Over to give us a 1-2 day. Our select System play is due and follows the exploits of Philadelphia in the pennant race. This system is 47-14 the last five years. The Top Trend was a winner and checks on in slumping Arizona by The Bay. Our best baseball expert this season Sal, has his Top Play. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System-1) PLAY ON home favorites like Philadelphia with a money line of -125 to -175, with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better on the season, with a cold starting pitcher like Kyle Kendrick with an ERA 7.00 over his last five starts. This system is 47-15, 75.8 percent since 2004.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Barry Zito and San Francisco are 1-10 as home underdogs, as they get ready to face Arizona again.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Sal continues his fine run in baseball betting, being up +49.6 units (not those phony 200+ units guys boast about) for the season, easily the best of among the Left Coast Connection members. Tonight he's believes Seattle wins behind King Felix.
Free Baseball System-1) PLAY ON home favorites like Philadelphia with a money line of -125 to -175, with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better on the season, with a cold starting pitcher like Kyle Kendrick with an ERA 7.00 over his last five starts. This system is 47-15, 75.8 percent since 2004.
Free Baseball Trend -2) Barry Zito and San Francisco are 1-10 as home underdogs, as they get ready to face Arizona again.
Free Baseball Selection -3) Sal continues his fine run in baseball betting, being up +49.6 units (not those phony 200+ units guys boast about) for the season, easily the best of among the Left Coast Connection members. Tonight he's believes Seattle wins behind King Felix.
Free Monday MLB and NFL Action
Our first bad day in some time at 3Daily Winners with a 1-4 record. It happens and we report when we do well and when we don’t. Today we have a very solid MLB system that is 73.5 percent. Our Top Trend ventures back into the world of baseball, looking at Pittsburgh and Free Play is now available. Good Luck.
Free Baseball System -1) Baltimore has lost eight straight, giving us reason to back Cleveland. Play On all favorites with money line of -110 or higher, with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing three runs or less three straight games. The logic here is the pitching is overcoming the hitting. Baltimore has allowed 8.3 runs per game in last seven losses. This system is 119-43, 73.5 percent the last five seasons.
Free Baseball Trend -2) The Pittsburgh Pirates are 2-17 on the road after allowing 10 or more runs in a game.
Free Football Selection -3) Kendall from the Left Coast Connection was 4-1 in the NFL yesterday and is backing the Under in Minnesota and Green Bay conflict.
Free Baseball System -1) Baltimore has lost eight straight, giving us reason to back Cleveland. Play On all favorites with money line of -110 or higher, with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing three runs or less three straight games. The logic here is the pitching is overcoming the hitting. Baltimore has allowed 8.3 runs per game in last seven losses. This system is 119-43, 73.5 percent the last five seasons.
Free Baseball Trend -2) The Pittsburgh Pirates are 2-17 on the road after allowing 10 or more runs in a game.
Free Football Selection -3) Kendall from the Left Coast Connection was 4-1 in the NFL yesterday and is backing the Under in Minnesota and Green Bay conflict.
NFL System, Trend and Free Pick at 3Daily Winners
3Daily Winners ended up with 2-2 day counting the Wyoming Trend from Thursday. Utah just missed, but Mick had a tasty winner on Penn State that was essentially over by halftime. Our Top system actually yields three plays on Sunday from a system that has unique twist. Slick Rick was 3-0 in college football and supplies us with his best NFL selection. Our Top Trend takes us down to the Bayou to check in on the Saints. Good Luck.
Free Football System-1) Play On favorites in the first week of the season, after closing out last season with three or more straight ATS losses. This steadfast system is 29-8, 78.4 percent and suggests looking at Detroit, New England and Dallas today.
Free Football Trend -2) The New Orleans Saints are 3-11 ATS as home favorite of three points or less.
Free Football Selection -3) Slick Rick from the LCC was 3-0 in college football yesterday, taking Ole Miss, Kansas and Penn State. Today Houston strikes his fancy as best play.
Free Football System-1) Play On favorites in the first week of the season, after closing out last season with three or more straight ATS losses. This steadfast system is 29-8, 78.4 percent and suggests looking at Detroit, New England and Dallas today.
Free Football Trend -2) The New Orleans Saints are 3-11 ATS as home favorite of three points or less.
Free Football Selection -3) Slick Rick from the LCC was 3-0 in college football yesterday, taking Ole Miss, Kansas and Penn State. Today Houston strikes his fancy as best play.
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